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2020 United States Senate election in North Carolina

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
US state election
Not to be confused with2020 North Carolina Senate election.

2020 United States Senate election in North Carolina
← 2014November 3, 20202026 →
Turnout77.4%Increase
 
NomineeThom TillisCal Cunningham
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Popular vote2,665,5982,569,965
Percentage48.69%46.94%
County results
Congressional district results
Precinct results
Tillis:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Cunningham:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Tie:     40–50%
U.S. senator before election

Thom Tillis
Republican

Elected U.S. Senator

Thom Tillis
Republican

Elections in North Carolina
U.S. President
Presidential primaries
U.S. Senate
U.S. House of Representatives

The2020 United States Senate election in North Carolina was held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of theUnited States Senate to represent theState of North Carolina, concurrently with the2020 United States presidential election as well asother elections to the United States Senate in other states andelections to theUnited States House of Representatives, and variousstate and local elections. North Carolina was one of just five states holding presidential, gubernatorial, and senatorial elections concurrently in 2020. On March 3, 2020, Republican incumbentThom Tillis and former Democratic state senatorCal Cunningham won their respectiveprimaries.[1]

Cunningham led Tillis in the polls throughout much of the campaign.[2] In early October 2020, it was reported that Cunningham had exchanged sexually suggestive messages with a married woman who was not his wife. Cunningham confirmed the texts were authentic and apologized for his behavior.[3][4] The woman stated that she had a consensual physical relationship with Cunningham in 2020.[5][6]

Tillis was re-elected to a second and final term, outperforming pre-election polling to win a narrow victory, breaking the "one-term curse" that existed with this particular Senate seat for over twenty years; as no incumbent had been re-elected to this seat since 1996 whenJesse Helms won reelection.[7][8][9] On November 10, 2020, a week after Election Day, Cunningham called Tillis to concede the race.[10] Tillis won by a margin of 1.8% over Cunningham, slightly larger than his 1.5% victory in 2014.[11][12] Tillis received a smaller vote share thanDonald Trump's 49.93%, but slightly overperformed his margin of victory in North Carolina.

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]

Withdrawn

[edit]

Declined

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Thom Tillis

U.S. presidents

U.S. executive branch officials

Organizations

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size[a]		Margin
of error		Sandy
Smith		Thom
Tillis		Garland
Tucker		Mark
Walker		Paul
Wright		OtherUndecided
High Point University[23]February 21–28, 2020247 (LV)––69%––8%8%[b]16%
444 (RV)––58%––7%10%[c]26%
Meredith College[24]February 16–24, 2020353 (LV)± 3.0%–53%––5%6%[d]36%
SurveyUSA[25]February 13–16, 2020501 (LV)± 5.0%–59%––3%8%[e]29%
High Point University[26]January 31 – February 6, 2020198 (LV)––62%––7%5%[f]27%
400 (RV)––52%––6%5%[g]38%
December 20, 2019Smith withdraws from the race; Wright announces his candidacy
December 16, 2019Walker announces he will not run[27]
Harper Polling/Civitas (R)[28]December 2–4, 2019500 (LV)± 4.38%11%[h]63%––––25%
December 2, 2019Tucker withdraws from the race
FOX News[29]November 10–13, 2019574 (LV)± 4.0%4%54%11%––5%[i]26%
Public Policy Polling[30]August 19–20, 2019564 (V)––[j]38%31%–––31%
Diversified Research (R)[31][32][A]July 8–9, 2019500 (V)––40%30%–––30%
WPA Intelligence (R)[33][B]May 19–21, 2019502 (LV)± 4.5%2%[k]40%11%17%––30%
2%[l]18%8%56%––16%
May 6, 2019Tucker announces his candidacy[34]
Diversified Research (R)[31][32][A]Months before May, 2019–[m]––63%7%–––30%
Hypothetical polling

with only Thom Tillis and Mark Walker

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size[a]		Margin
of error		Thom
Tillis		Mark
Walker		Undecided
WPA Intelligence (R)[33][B]May 19–21, 2019502 (LV)± 4.5%43%[k]34%23%
28%[n]64%8%
21%[o]69%10%

with Thom Tillis and Generic Republican

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size[a]		Margin
of error		Thom
Tillis		Generic
Republican		Undecided
WPA Intelligence (R)[33][B]May 19–21, 2019502 (LV)± 4.5%17%[k]18%52%[p]
7%[l]32%57%[p]

Results

[edit]
Results by county:
  Tillis
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
Republican primary results[1]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanThom Tillis (incumbent)608,94378.08%
RepublicanPaul Wright58,9087.55%
RepublicanLarry Holmquist57,3567.35%
RepublicanSharon Y. Hudson54,6517.01%
Total votes779,858100.00%

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]

Withdrawn

[edit]

Declined

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Cal Cunningham

Federal officials

State officials

Local officials

Organizations

Newspapers

Individuals

Erica D. Smith

Federal officials

State officials

Newspapers

Organizations

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size[a]		Margin
of error		Cal
Cunningham		Trevor
Fuller		Atul
Goel		Erica
Smith		Steve
Swenson		Undecided
High Point University[23]February 21–28, 2020274 (LV)–50%4%1%24%3%18%
474 (RV)–42%5%1%24%4%4%
Civitas Institute/Spry Strategies[66]February 26–27, 2020587 (LV)± 4.1%45%2%1%23%1%28%
NBC News/Marist[67]February 23–27, 2020568 (LV)± 5.1%51%3%1%18%2%25%
Public Policy Polling[68]February 23–24, 2020852 (LV)± 3.4%45%4%1%18%2%30%
Meredith College[24]February 16–24, 2020429 (LV)± 3.0%43%2%1%14%2%36%
Civitas Institute/Spry Strategies[69]February 21–23, 2020553 (LV)± 3.8%48%1%0%21%1%29%
SurveyUSA[25]February 13–16, 2020698 (LV)± 4.9%42%3%1%17%3%34%
High Point University[26]January 31 – February 6, 2020224 (LV)–37%4%0%11%4%44%
397 (RV)–29%5%1%10%5%50%
Public Policy Polling[70]February 4–5, 2020604 (LV)–29%3%2%10%4%52%
Public Policy Polling[71]January 10–12, 2020509 (LV)–22%2%3%12%1%60%
FOX News[29]November 10–13, 2019669 (RV)± 4.0%13%10%–18%–49%

Results

[edit]
Results by county:
  Cunningham
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  Smith
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
Democratic primary results[1]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticCal Cunningham717,94156.93%
DemocraticErica D. Smith438,96934.81%
DemocraticTrevor M. Fuller48,1683.82%
DemocraticSteve Swenson33,7412.68%
DemocraticAtul Goel22,2261.76%
Total votes1,261,045100.00%

Other candidates

[edit]

Libertarian Party

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Constitution Party

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Independence Party

[edit]

Withdrawn

[edit]

Independent write-in candidates

[edit]

Withdrawn

[edit]

General election

[edit]

Campaign

[edit]

During the Democratic primary, a Republican-fundedSuper PAC spent $3 million on ads attacking Cunningham and promoting left-wing rivalErica D. Smith.[77][78]

Cunningham and Tillis participated in debates on September 13,[79] September 22,[80] and October 1.[81]

In July, Tillis claimed Cunningham had been "silent" on the issue ofdefunding the police, saying,—"I assume [his] silence is ...consent". In reality, Cunningham had spoken publicly about the issue and written anop-ed a month earlier stating his opposition to defunding the police, advocatingpolice reform instead.[82]

On October 3, theNew York Times wrote that the race had fallen into "utter mayhem" within a period of a few hours after Tillis tested positive forCOVID-19 and Cunningham admitted to exchanging sexual text messages with a woman who was not his wife, damaging an image that leaned heavily on his character and military service. Days later, the woman stated that she had had a consensual physical relationship with Cunningham in 2020.[5] The Army Reserve started an investigation into Cunningham.[83] The husband of the woman who stated that she had had an affair with Cunningham, himself an Army veteran, called on Cunningham to drop out of the Senate race.[6] Asked repeatedly whether he had had other extramarital affairs, Cunningham declined to answer.[84][85][86][87]

Tillis's diagnosis, which came after anoutbreak at a White House ceremony for Supreme Court nomineeAmy Coney Barrett, temporarily threwBarrett's confirmation into jeopardy, as two Republican senators had already stated their intention to vote against (though one of them would eventually vote in favor of her confirmation).[88][89]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
538[90]Lean D(flip)November 2, 2020
Economist[91]Lean D(flip)November 2, 2020
Daily Kos[92]TossupOctober 30, 2020
DDHQ[93]Lean D(flip)November 3, 2020
Inside Elections[94]Tilt D(flip)October 28, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[95]Lean D(flip)November 2, 2020
RCP[96]TossupOctober 23, 2020
The Cook Political Report[97]TossupOctober 29, 2020
Politico[98]TossupNovember 2, 2020

Post-primary endorsements

[edit]
Thom Tillis (R)

U.S. presidents

U.S. executive branch officials

Organizations

Cal Cunningham (D)

U.S. presidents

U.S. senators, representatives, and federal officials

State officials

Local officials

Organizations

Fundraising

[edit]

In the first quarter of 2020, Cunningham outraised Tillis for the first time, receiving $4.4 million compared to the $2.1 million Tillis raised. Tillis's prior fundraising, however, left him with the advantage in cash on hand, with $6.5 million in the bank, compared to Cunningham's $3 million.[135]

Polling

[edit]

Graphical summary

[edit]
This graph was using thelegacy Graph extension, which is no longer supported. It needs to be converted to thenew Chart extension.

Aggregate polls

[edit]
Cal Cunningham vs. Thom Tillis
Source of poll aggregationDates administeredDates updatedCal CunninghamThom TillisOther/Undecided[q]Margin
270 to Win[136]November 2, 2020November 3, 202047.0%44.2%8.8%Cunningham +2.8%
Real Clear Politics[137]November 1, 2020November 3, 202047.6%45.0%7.4%Cunningham +2.6%

Tillis vs. Cunningham

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size[a]		Margin
of error		Thom
Tillis (R)		Cal
Cunningham (D)		Shannon
Bray (L)		Other /
Undecided
Change Research/CNBC[138]October 29 – November 1, 2020473 (LV)± 4.51%46%50%–5%[r]
Swayable[139]October 27 – November 1, 2020619 (LV)± 5.6%47%53%––
Ipsos/Reuters[140]October 27 – November 1, 2020707 (LV)± 4.2%46%48%–6%[s]
Data for Progress[141]October 27 – November 1, 2020908 (LV)± 3.3%46%51%1%1%[t]
Frederick Polls[142][C]October 30–31, 2020676 (LV)± 3.7%46%50%3%2%[u]
Emerson College[143]October 29–31, 2020855 (LV)± 3.3%47%[v]50%–2%[w]
Morning Consult[144]October 22–31, 20201,982 (LV)± 2%43%47%––
CNN/SSRS[145]October 23–30, 2020901 (LV)± 4%44%47%2%5%[x]
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports[146]October 28–29, 2020800 (LV)± 3.5%44%47%–9%[y]
East Carolina University[147]October 27–28, 20201,103 (LV)± 3.4%46%[v]48%–5%[z]
Cardinal Point Analytics (R)[148]October 27–28, 2020750 (LV)± 3.6%46%41%6%7%[aa]
Marist College/NBC[149]October 25–28, 2020800 (LV)± 4.7%43%53%–4%[ab]
Gravis Marketing[150]October 26–27, 2020614 (LV)± 4%44%46%–9%[ac]
Public Policy Polling (D)[151][D]October 26–27, 2020937 (V)± 3.2%44%47%–9%[ac]
Meeting Street Insights/Carolina Partnership for Reform (R)[152]October 24–27, 2020600 (LV)± 4%43%47%––
Siena College/NYT Upshot[153]October 23–27, 20201,034 (LV)± 3.4%43%46%2%9%[ad]
Ipsos/Reuters[154]October 21–27, 2020647 (LV)± 4.4%47%48%–4%[ae]
RMG Research[155][af]October 24–26, 2020800 (LV)± 3.5%42%[k]49%–9%[ag]
40%[ah]51%–9%[ag]
43%[ai]48%–9%[ag]
Swayable[156]October 23–26, 2020363 (LV)± 7.1%50%50%––
SurveyUSA[157]October 23–26, 2020627 (LV)± 4.9%45%48%–7%[aj]
YouGov/UMass Lowell[158]October 20–26, 2020911 (LV)± 4.2%45%49%–7%[ak]
Harper Polling/Civitas (R)[159]October 22–25, 2020504 (LV)± 4.37%43%46%2%8%[al]
YouGov/CBS[160]October 20–23, 20201,022 (LV)± 4.1%43%49%–8%[am]
Trafalgar Group[161]October 20–22, 20201,098 (LV)± 2.89%49%47%2%2%[an]
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports[162]October 20–21, 2020800 (LV)± 3.5%45%45%–10%[ao]
Citizen Data[163]October 17–20, 20201,000 (LV)± 3.1%42%48%–9%[ap]
Ipsos/Reuters[164]October 14–20, 2020660 (LV)± 4.3%47%47%–6%[aq]
Morning Consult[144]October 11–20, 20201,904 (LV)± 2.2%42%48%––
Meredith College[165]October 16–19, 2020732 (LV)± 3.5%38%43%4%15%[ar]
Change Research/CNBC[166]October 16–19, 2020521 (LV)[as]–45%51%––
Data for Progress (D)[167]October 15–18, 2020929 (LV)± 3.2%42%46%1%11%[at]
East Carolina University[168]October 15–18, 20201,155 (LV)± 3.4%47%48%–5%[au]
ABC/Washington Post[169]October 12–17, 2020646 (LV)± 4.5%47%49%–4%[av]
Emerson College[170]October 13–14, 2020721 (LV)± 3.6%44%45%–12%[aw]
Civiqs/Daily Kos[171]October 11–14, 20201,211 (LV)± 3.3%45%51%2%3%[ax]
Siena College/NYT Upshot[172]October 9–13, 2020627 (LV)± 4.5%37%41%4%19%[ay]
Ipsos/Reuters[173]October 7–13, 2020660 (LV)± 4.3%42%46%–12%[az]
Monmouth University[174]October 8–11, 2020500 (RV)± 4.4%44%48%3%4%[ba]
500 (LV)[bb]44%49%–6%[bc]
500 (LV)[bd]47%48%–4%[ab]
SurveyUSA[175]October 8–11, 2020669 (LV)± 4.8%39%49%–11%[be]
Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc. (R)[176][E]October 7–11, 2020500 (LV)± 4.3%44%46%–9%[bf]
RMG Research[177][bg]October 7–11, 2020800 (LV)–36%46%4%15%[bh]
Morning Consult[178]October 2–11, 20201,993 (LV)± 2.2%41%47%––
Ipsos/Reuters[179]September 29 – October 6, 2020693 (LV)± 4.2%42%47%–11%[bi]
Public Policy Polling[180]October 4–5, 2020911 (V)± 3.3%42%48%–11%[bj]
Data For Progress (D)[181]September 30 – October 5, 20201,285 (LV)± 2.7%39%50%2%9%[bk]
Change Research/CNBC[182]October 2–4, 2020396 (LV)–46%50%–4%[bl]
East Carolina University[183]October 2–4, 20201,232 (LV)± 3.2%47%46%–7%[bm]
ALG Research (D)[184][F]September 22–28, 2020822 (V)–41%53%––
Hart Research Associates (D)[185][G]September 24–27, 2020400 (LV)± 4.9%41%54%––
YouGov/CBS[186]September 22–25, 20201,213 (LV)± 3.6%38%48%–14%[bn]
YouGov/UMass Lowell[187]September 18–25, 2020921 (LV)± 4.1%43%49%–8%[bo]
Meredith College[188]September 18–22, 2020705 (RV)± 3.5%42%43%4%13%[bp]
Change Research/CNBC[189]September 18–20, 2020579 (LV)–43%48%–9%[bq]
Harper Polling/Civitas (R)[190]September 17–20, 2020612 (LV)± 3.96%38%44%3%15%[br]
Morning Consult[191]September 11–20, 20201,604 (LV)± (2% – 7%)38%[bs]47%––
Emerson College[192]September 16–18, 2020717 (LV)± 3.6%43%49%–8%[bt]
Morning Consult[193]September 8–17, 20201,664 (LV)[as]± (2% – 4%)39%46%––
Ipsos/Reuters[194]September 11–16, 2020586 (LV)± 4.6%44%48%–9%[bu]
Siena College/NYT Upshot[195]September 11–16, 2020653 (LV)± 4.3%37%42%2%19%[bv]
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[196]September 12–15, 20201,092 (LV)± 2.97%38%49%–13%[bw]
Suffolk University[197]September 10–14, 2020500 (LV)± 4.4%38%42%6%15%[bx]
SurveyUSA[198]September 10–13, 2020596 (LV)± 5.6%40%47%–13%[by]
CNN/SSRS[199]September 9–13, 2020787 (LV)± 4.4%46%47%3%4%[bz]
893 (RV)± 4.1%44%46%4%6%[ca]
Kaiser Family Foundation/Cook Political Report[200]August 29 – September 13, 20201,116 (RV)–37%41%–22%[cb]
The Trafalgar Group (R)[201]September 9–11, 20201,046 (LV)± 3.0%45%46%3%6%[cc]
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[202]September 7–8, 20201,000 (LV)± 3.0%44%47%–10%[cd]
Benenson Strategy Group/GS Strategy Group[203][H]August 8 – September 8, 20201,600 (LV)± 2.5%39%42%5%13%[ce]
Change Research/CNBC[204]September 4–6, 2020442 (LV)± 4.6%44%51%–5%[cf]
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[205]August 30 – September 3, 2020951 (LV)± 3.2%37%47%–16%[cg]
Monmouth University[206]August 29 – September 1, 2020401 (RV)± 4.9%45%46%2%7%[ch]
401 (LV)[ci]45%47%–8%[cj]
401 (LV)[ck]46%46%–8%[cj]
FOX News[207]August 29 – September 1, 2020722 (LV)± 3.5%42%48%3%8%[cl]
804 (RV)40%47%3%10%[cm]
East Carolina University[208]August 29–30, 20201,101 (LV)± 3.4%44%44%–12%[cn]
Change Research/CNBC[209]August 21–23, 2020560 (LV)± 3.6%42%52%–6%[co]
Morning Consult[210]August 14–23, 20201,541 (LV)± 2.0%39%47%–14%
Redfield and Wilton Strategies[211]August 16–18, 2020856 (LV)± 3.4%38%47%–16%[cp]
East Carolina University[212]August 12–13, 20201,255 (RV)± 3.2%40%44%–16%[cq]
Emerson College[213]August 8–10, 2020673 (LV)± 3.8%42%44%–14%[cr]
Harper Polling/Civitas (R)[214]August 6–10, 2020600 (LV)± 4.0%38%41%2%18%[cs]
Change Research/CNBC[215]August 7–9, 2020491 (LV)± 4.4%43%48%–10%[ct]
Public Policy Polling (D)[216][I]July 30–31, 2020934 (V)± 3.2%44%48%–8%[bt]
Data for Progress[217]July 24 – August 2, 20201,170 (LV)± 3.2%41%49%–10%[cu]
YouGov/CBS[218]July 28–31, 20201,121 (LV)± 3.8%39%48%–12%[cv]
HIT Strategies (D)[219][J]July 23–31, 2020400 (RV)± 4.9%32%48%–21%[cw]
Change Research/CNBC[220]July 24–26, 2020284 (LV)± 5.6%40%52%–8%
Morning Consult[221]July 17–26, 20201,504 (LV)± 3.0%37%46%–17%
Cardinal Point Analytics (R)[222][cx]July 22–24, 2020735 (LV)± 3.6%43%43%1%13%[cy]
Public Policy Polling[223]July 22–23, 2020939 (V)± 3.2%40%48%–13%[cz]
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[224]July 19–23, 2020919 (LV)± 3.2%36%47%–16%[da]
Marist College/NBC News[225]July 14–22, 2020882 (RV)± 4.0%41%50%–10%[db]
Spry Strategies (R)[226][K]July 11–16, 2020750 (LV)± 3.5%40%40%–20%[dc]
Cardinal Point Analytics (R)[227]July 13–15, 2020547 (LV)± 4.2%44%47%1%7%[dd]
Change Research/CNBC[228]July 10–12, 2020655 (LV)± 3.8%42%49%–9%[de]
Public Policy Polling[229]July 7–8, 2020818 (V)± 3.4%39%47%–15%[df]
Change Research/CNBC[230]June 26–28, 2020468 (LV)[as]± 3.9%41%51%–8%[dg]
East Carolina University[231]June 22–25, 20201,149 (RV)± 3.4%41%41%–18%[dh]
Public Policy Polling[232]June 22–23, 20201,157 (V)± 2.9%40%44%–16%[di]
FOX News[233]June 20–23, 20201,012 (RV)± 3.0%37%39%3%20%[dj]
NYT Upshot/Siena College[234]June 8–18, 2020653 (RV)± 4.1%39%42%–19%[dk]
Gravis Marketing (R)[235][L]June 17, 2020631 (RV)± 3.9%46%45%–9%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[236]June 14–17, 2020902 (LV)± 3.3%36%45%–19%[dl]
Public Policy Polling[237]June 2–3, 2020913 (V)± 3.2%41%43%–16%[di]
Harper Polling/Civitas (R)[238]May 26–28, 2020500 (LV)± 4.4%38%36%3%24%[dm]
Meeting Street Insights (R)[239][dn]May 9–13, 2020500 (RV)± 3.8%44%46%–8%[bt]
East Carolina University[240]May 7–9, 20201,111 (RV)± 3.4%40%41%–19%[do]
Civiqs/Daily Kos (D)[241]May 2–4, 20201,362 (RV)± 3.0%41%50%–9%[dp]
Meredith College[242]April 27–28, 2020604 (RV)± 4.0%34%44%–22%
SurveyUSA[243]April 23–26, 2020580 (LV)± 5.5%39%41%–20%[dq]
Public Policy Polling[244]April 14–15, 20201,318 (LV)± 3.4%40%47%–13%
Harper Polling/Civitas (R)[245]April 5–7, 2020500 (LV)± 4.4%38%34%–28%
East Carolina University[246]February 27–28, 20201,288 (RV)± 3.2%44%42%–14%
NBC News/Marist[67]February 23–27, 20202,120 (RV)± 2.6%43%48%–9%
Public Policy Polling[247][M]February 25–26, 2020[as]911 (RV)–41%46%–13%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[248][N]January 11–15, 2020800 (LV)± 3.5%48%44%–8%
ALG Research (D)[249][O]January 8–13, 2020700 (LV)–42%44%–13%
Meredith College[250]September 29 – October 7, 2019996 (RV)± 3%33%33%–32%
Public Policy Polling (D)[251][O]September 16–17, 2019628 (V)± 3.9%43%45%–12%
Fabrizio Ward[252][H]July 29–31, 2019600 (LV)± 4.0%41%42%–17%
Public Policy Polling[253][P]June 17–18, 2019610 (RV)± 4.0%40%41%–19%
Hypothetical polling

with Erica D. Smith

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size[a]		Margin
of error		Thom
Tillis (R)		Erica D.
Smith (D)		Undecided
Meredith College[250]September 29 – October 7, 2019996 (RV)± 3%33%34%17%
Emerson College[254]May 31 – June 3, 2019932 (RV)± 3.1%39%46%15%

with Generic Democrat

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size[a]		Margin
of error		Thom
Tillis (R)		Generic
Democrat		Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[255][Q]June 30 – July 1, 20171,102 (V)± 3.6%44%48%8%

with Thom Tillis and Generic Opponent

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size[a]		Margin
of error		Thom
Tillis (R)		Generic
Opponent		OtherUndecided
Fabrizio Ward[252][H]July 29–31, 2019600 (LV)± 4.0%26%52%[dr]3%[ds]19%

with Generic Republican and Generic Democrat

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size[a]		Margin
of error		Generic
Republican		Generic
Democrat		Other/Undecided
Ipsos/Reuters[194]September 11–16, 2020586 (LV)± 4.6%47%48%5%[dt]
Siena College/NYT Upshot[195]September 11–16, 2020653 (LV)± 4.3%48%44%8%[du]
Emerson College[213]August 8–10, 2020673 (LV)± 3.8%45%44%11%[bj]
Harper Polling/Civitas (R)[214]August 6–10, 2020600 (LV)± 4%42%43%16%[dv]
Harper Polling/Civitas (R)[238]May 26–28, 2020500 (LV)± 4.38%43%40%17%[dw]
Harper Polling/Civitas (R)[245]April 5–7, 2020500 (LV)± 4.4%41%42%17%[dw]
Harper Polling/Civitas (R)[238]Released March 17, 2020–[m]–44%41%15%[dx]
Climate Nexus[256]Feb 11–15, 2020675 (RV)± 3.9%43%46%11%
Harper Polling/Civitas (R)[238]Released October 17, 2019–[m]–40%41%20%[dy]
Harper Polling/Civitas (R)[238]Released September 11, 2019–[m]–37%42%21%[dz]
Harper Polling/Civitas (R)[238]Released August 4, 2019–[m]–39%37%24%[ea]
Fabrizio Ward[252][H]July 29–31, 2019600 (LV)± 4.0%44%44%11%[eb]
Harper Polling/Civitas (R)[238]Released June 10, 2019–[m]–38%38%24%[ec]
Harper Polling/Civitas (R)[238]Released May 5, 2019–[m]–39%39%22%[ed]
Harper Polling/Civitas (R)[238]Released March 17, 2019–[m]–37%40%22%[ee]
Harper Polling/Civitas (R)[238]Released February 13, 2019–[m]–37%38%25%[ef]

Results

[edit]

Like many RepublicanSenate candidates in 2020, Tillis did much better on Election Day than pre-election prediction polling indicated. The senator narrowly defeated Cunningham 48.7 to 46.9 and slightly outperformedPresident Trump in terms of margin of victory. Tillis's upset victory has been largely attributed to Cunningham's response to his alleged affair as well as Tillis's fierce campaigning during the last few weeks of the campaign.[257]

2020 United States Senate election in North Carolina[258]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
RepublicanThom Tillis (incumbent)2,665,59848.69%−0.13%
DemocraticCal Cunningham2,569,96546.94%−0.32%
LibertarianShannon Bray171,5713.13%−0.61%
ConstitutionKevin E. Hayes67,8181.24%N/A
Total votes5,474,952100.00%
Republicanhold
Shift by county
Trend by county
Legend
  •   Democratic — +7.5-10%
  •   Democratic — +5−7.5%
  •   Democratic — +2.5−5%
  •   Democratic — +0−2.5%
  •   Republican — +0−2.5%
  •   Republican — +2.5−5%
  •   Republican — +5−7.5%
  •   Republican — +7.5−10%
  •   Republican — +10−12.5%
  •   Republican — +12.5−15%
  •   Republican — >15%

By county

[edit]
By county
County[259]Thom Tillis
Republican		Cal Cunningham
Democratic		Shannon Bray
Libertarian		Kevin Hayes
Constitution		MarginTotal
votes
#%#%#%#%#%
Alamance44,24651.7438,03844.492,3022.699221.086,2087.2685,508
Alexander14,73973.534,28721.395632.814552.2710,45252.1520,044
Alleghany4,08267.951,58726.421923.201462.432,49541.536,007
Anson4,98144.845,75651.822041.841671.50-775-6.9811,108
Ashe10,61967.914,27927.374572.922811.806,34040.5515,636
Avery6,86573.652,07922.302462.641311.414,78651.359,321
Beaufort15,44859.319,43936.247062.714531.746,00923.0726,046
Bertie3,59737.115,82560.091581.631141.18-2,228-22.989,694
Bladen8,96753.127,28043.133992.362351.391,6879.9916,881
Brunswick52,97159.3832,18036.082,8813.231,1701.3120,79123.3189,202
Buncombe60,68837.9292,66457.905,0543.161,6361.02-31,976-19.98160,042
Burke28,93465.5113,10829.681,3092.968191.8515,82635.8344,170
Cabarrus61,23152.7448,88642.114,2613.671,7241.4812,34510.63116,102
Caldwell29,97170.7610,28824.291,2993.077991.8919,68346.4742,357
Camden4,18171.621,40324.031833.13711.222,77847.595,838
Carteret28,49267.4711,82328.001,3123.116011.4216,66939.4742,228
Caswell6,64355.544,91641.102782.321241.041,72714.4411,961
Catawba54,00465.1624,84529.982,5503.081,4841.7929,15935.1882,883
Chatham21,03943.5225,69753.161,1712.424310.89-4,658-9.6448,338
Cherokee12,04873.983,58922.044082.502411.488,45951.9416,286
Chowan4,35356.613,12440.631391.81730.951,22915.987,689
Clay4,89771.901,67624.611402.05981.443,22147.296,811
Cleveland32,02263.0616,75232.991,2352.437681.5115,27030.0750,777
Columbus15,56359.629,59936.775161.984241.625,96422.8526,102
Craven29,54256.2520,41638.871,7723.377911.519,12617.3852,521
Cumberland57,12139.2081,00155.595,3793.692,2181.52-23,880-16.39145,719
Currituck11,36871.293,84924.145543.471751.107,51947.1515,946
Dare13,58156.989,28438.957663.212040.864,29718.0323,835
Davidson60,68668.8123,66026.832,4962.831,3461.5337,02641.9988,188
Davie17,41569.216,57026.117813.103961.5710,84543.1025,162
Duplin12,95457.758,68938.734772.133121.394,26519.0122,432
Durham34,15219.20138,42977.405,0412.821,2240.68-104,277-58.30178,846
Edgecombe8,58233.9015,95263.015062.002781.10-7,370-29.1125,318
Forsyth83,22841.72107,27753.776,5333.272,4711.24-24,049-12.05199,509
Franklin19,65452.9415,65942.181,2463.365651.523,99510.7637,124
Gaston69,39860.7739,59534.673,5483.111,6601.4529,80326.07114,201
Gates3,20554.462,47442.041322.24741.2673112.425,885
Graham3,35573.751,01322.27942.07871.912,34251.484,549
Granville15,68750.0214,36845.829082.903961.261,3194.2131,359
Greene4,59152.783,84244.171892.17770.897498.618,699
Guilford104,90837.18165,82358.778,5873.042,8191.00-60,915-21.59282,137
Halifax9,44636.9315,43860.364561.782370.93-5,992-23.4325,577
Harnett33,32157.5721,52337.182,1283.689111.5711,79820.3857,883
Haywood21,50259.2613,11336.141,0812.985871.628,38923.1236,283
Henderson39,35957.9925,78237.991,9642.897681.1313,57720.0067,873
Hertford3,30531.806,81565.581541.481181.14-3,510-33.7810,392
Hoke8,63840.4011,46653.629094.253701.73-2,828-13.2221,383
Hyde1,31553.261,07543.54532.15261.052409.722,469
Iredell64,31963.4431,89331.463,4873.441,6871.6632,42631.98101,386
Jackson10,76350.689,38244.177883.713061.441,3816.5021,239
Johnston64,82258.8239,77136.093,9533.591,6671.5125,05122.73110,213
Jones3,04655.852,12438.941823.341021.8792216.915,454
Lee15,41953.7011,85141.279793.414651.623,56812.4328,714
Lenoir13,89849.4313,28447.245912.103461.236142.1828,119
Lincoln34,67369.6612,85825.831,4822.987631.5321,81543.8349,776
Macon13,40865.356,24830.455212.543401.667,16034.9020,517
Madison7,39957.174,98738.533622.801951.512,41218.6412,943
Martin6,03448.575,97348.082572.071601.29610.4912,424
McDowell15,89469.875,93426.095652.483541.569,96043.7922,747
Mecklenburg186,69333.18350,77562.3419,7643.515,4400.97-164,082-29.16562,672
Mitchell6,73575.321,91921.461812.021071.204,81653.868,942
Montgomery7,74160.954,37934.483242.552562.023,36226.4712,700
Moore35,68261.7119,63333.951,7603.047481.2916,04927.7657,823
Nash24,71947.6325,47449.091,1172.155851.13-755-1.4651,895
New Hanover61,41547.1361,70247.355,5164.231,6851.29-287-0.22130,318
Northampton3,72037.166,00559.981871.87990.99-2,285-22.8210,011
Onslow42,86860.2123,34432.793,6275.091,3631.9119,52427.4271,202
Orange20,86224.6861,21472.421,9612.324880.58-40,352-47.7484,525
Pamlico4,58960.532,68135.361882.481231.621,90825.177,581
Pasquotank9,49148.319,42147.955382.741981.01700.3619,648
Pender20,66061.2011,27233.391,2743.775531.649,38827.8133,759
Perquimans4,81764.872,38232.081391.87881.192,43532.797,426
Person12,19256.498,47539.276002.783151.463,71717.2221,582
Pitt37,94743.6745,59852.472,5102.898460.97-7,651-8.8086,901
Polk7,39460.354,43636.212862.331361.112,95824.1412,252
Randolph53,35773.5215,97322.012,0972.891,1431.5837,38451.5172,570
Richmond11,00253.858,51041.655662.773521.722,49212.2020,430
Robeson25,21154.8719,13541.649552.086481.416,07613.2245,949
Rockingham28,97161.2316,18934.221,4733.116801.4412,78227.0247,313
Rowan46,44663.8422,61531.092,2543.101,4331.9723,83132.7672,748
Rutherford23,59669.269,13626.827812.295541.6314,46042.4534,067
Sampson16,52158.2510,81838.156362.243851.365,70320.1128,360
Scotland7,06648.866,85047.373222.232231.542161.4914,461
Stanly23,89171.178,04523.969612.866742.0115,84647.2033,571
Stokes18,59972.995,61122.028123.194581.8012,98850.9725,480
Surry25,47570.179,26725.531,0302.845311.4616,20844.6536,303
Swain3,84655.172,69638.672984.271311.881,15016.506,971
Transylvania11,20955.488,15840.385522.732861.423,05115.1020,205
Tyrrell94552.9777843.61372.07241.351679.361,784
Union79,64561.3445,09634.733,7652.901,3381.0334,54926.61129,844
Vance7,87637.8412,24758.844552.192371.14-4,371-21.0020,815
Wake232,38837.05367,71858.6322,2303.544,8930.78-135,330-21.58627,229
Warren3,52034.306,43762.721941.891121.09-2,917-28.4210,263
Washington2,58442.053,32954.171282.081041.69-745-12.126,145
Watauga14,21644.5916,19350.801,1383.573311.04-1,977-6.2031,878
Wayne29,17453.1023,52842.821,4192.588231.505,64610.2854,944
Wilkes25,48872.678,07423.029242.645871.6717,41449.6535,073
Wilson18,64246.1320,44550.598852.194391.09-1,803-4.4640,411
Yadkin14,79874.864,03620.425532.803811.9310,76254.4419,768
Yancey7,03862.393,83333.982502.221591.413,20528.4111,280
Totals2,665,59848.692,569,96546.94171,5713.1367,8181.2495,6331.755,474,952

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

[edit]

Tillis won eight of 13 congressional districts.[260]

DistrictTillisCunninghamRepresentative
1st43%53%G. K. Butterfield
2nd35%60%George Holding
Deborah K. Ross
3rd59%37%Greg Murphy
4th32%64%David Price
5th64%31%Virginia Foxx
6th37%59%Mark Walker
Kathy Manning
7th56%39%David Rouzer
8th50%44%Richard Hudson
9th53%43%Dan Bishop
10th64%31%Patrick McHenry
11th53%42%Madison Cawthorn
12th29%66%Alma Adams
13th64%32%Ted Budd

See also

[edit]

Notes

[edit]

Partisan clients

  1. ^abPoll sponsored by the Garland Tucker campaign
  2. ^abcPoll conducted by theClub for Growth, a pro-Republican PAC
  3. ^Compete Everywhere primarily supports Democratic candidates
  4. ^Poll sponsored by Protect Our Care, a pro-Affordable Care Act organization.
  5. ^Poll sponsored by The American Greatness PAC, which is pro-Trump.
  6. ^Poll sponsored by Piedmont Rising, a pro-Affordable Care Act organization.
  7. ^Poll sponsored by The Human Rights Campaign, which has endorsed Biden prior to this poll's sampling period.
  8. ^abcdPoll sponsored byAARP.
  9. ^This poll's sponsor had endorsed Cunningham prior to the sampling period
  10. ^This poll’s sponsor, DFER, primarily supports Democratic candidates
  11. ^This poll's sponsor is the American Principles Project, a 501 that supports the Republican Party.
  12. ^Polling was sponsored byOANN.
  13. ^Poll sponsored by private client
  14. ^Internal poll
  15. ^abPoll sponsored by End Citizens United, an organization that has exclusively endorsed Democratic candidates
  16. ^Poll sponsored byVoteVets.org
  17. ^Poll sponsored by Save My Care, a pro-Affordable Care Act organization

Voter samples and additional candidates

  1. ^abcdefghiKey:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ^Hudson with 8%; Holmquist with 5%
  3. ^Holmquist and Hudson with 5%
  4. ^Holmquist and Hudson with 3%
  5. ^Holmquist and Hudson with 4%
  6. ^Holmquist with 3%; Hudson with 2%
  7. ^Hudson with 3%; Holmquist with 2%
  8. ^If the only candidates were Smith and Tillis
  9. ^"None of the above" with 5%; "other" with 0%
  10. ^If the only candidates were Tillis and Tucker
  11. ^abcdStandard VI response
  12. ^abResponse after pollster addresses respondents with talking points about Tillis
  13. ^abcdefghiNot yet released
  14. ^Response after pollster addresses respondents with short biographies for Tillis and Walker
  15. ^Response after short biographies and talking points about Tillis
  16. ^abListed as "would consider another candidate in a Republican primary"
  17. ^Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  18. ^"Refused" with 2%; Did not vote, would not vote and Undecided with 1%
  19. ^"Some other candidate" with 4%; would not vote with 0%; "Undecided/Refused" with 2%
  20. ^Hayes (C) with 1%; "Other candidate or write-in" with 0%
  21. ^Hayes (C) with 2%
  22. ^abWith voters who lean towards a given candidate
  23. ^"Someone else" with 2%
  24. ^Hayes (C) and Undecided with 2%; "None of these" with 1%; "Other" with 0%
  25. ^"Some other candidate" with 3%; Undecided with 6%
  26. ^"Some other candidate" with 3%; "Refused" with 2%; Did/would not vote with 0%; Undecided with no voters
  27. ^Hayes (C) with 2%; Undecided with 6%
  28. ^ab"Other" and Undecided with 2%
  29. ^abUndecided with 9%
  30. ^Would not vote with 2%; Hayes (C) with 1%; "Someone else" with 0%; "Undecided/Refused" with 6%
  31. ^"Some other candidate" with 3%; would not vote with 0%; "Undecided/Refused" with 1%
  32. ^Archived November 1, 2020, at theWayback Machine
  33. ^abc"Someoene else" with 4%; Undecided with 5%
  34. ^Results generated with high Democratic turnout model
  35. ^Results generated with high Republican turnout model
  36. ^"Other" with 3%; Undecided with 4%
  37. ^Did not vote with 1%; "Another candidate" with no voters; Undecided with 6%
  38. ^Hays (C) with 1%; Undecided with 7%
  39. ^"Someone else" with 3%; Undecided with 5%
  40. ^Hayes (C) with 1%; Undecided with 2%
  41. ^"Some other candidate" with 4%; Undecided with 6%
  42. ^"Other" with 3%; Undecided with 6%
  43. ^"Some other candidate" and "Undecided/Refused" with 3%; would not vote with 0%
  44. ^Hayes (C) with 1%; Undecided with 14%
  45. ^abcdAdditional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight
  46. ^Hayes (C) with 1%; Undecided with 10%
  47. ^Did/would not vote and "Some other candidate" with 1%; "Refused" with 0%; Undecided with 3%
  48. ^"Neither" with 1%; "Other" and would not vote with 0%; Undecided with 3%
  49. ^Undecided with 12%
  50. ^Hayes (C) with 1%; "Someone else" with 0%; Undecided with 2%
  51. ^Hayes (C) with 3%; would not vote with 1%; "Someone else" with 0%; "Undecided/Refused" with 15%
  52. ^"Some other candidate" with 5%; would not vote with 0%; "Undecided/Refused" with 7%
  53. ^"No one" with 1%; Hayes (C) with 0%; "Other candidate" with no voters; Undecided with 3%
  54. ^With a likely voter turnout model featuring high turnout
  55. ^"Other" and Undecided with 3%
  56. ^With a likely voter turnout model featuring low turnout
  57. ^"Some other candidate" with 3%; Undecided with 8%
  58. ^"Other" and "Refused" with 1%; Undecided with 7%
  59. ^Archived October 14, 2020, at theWayback Machine
  60. ^"Some other candidate" with 3%; Undecided with 12%
  61. ^"Some other candidate" with 4%; would not vote with 0%; "Undecided/Refused" with 7%
  62. ^abUndecided with 11%
  63. ^Hayes (C) with 1%; Undecided with 8%
  64. ^Would not vote with 1%; Undecided with 3%
  65. ^"Some other candidate" with 3%; "Refused" and would not vote with 1%; Undecided with 2%
  66. ^"Someone else" with 3%; Undecided with 11%
  67. ^"Another candidate" with 1%; Undecided with 7%
  68. ^Hayes (C) with 1%; Undecided with 12%
  69. ^Would not vote with 2%; "Don't recall" with 0%; Undecided with 7%
  70. ^Bray (L) with 2%; Undecided with 13%
  71. ^Overlapping sample with the previous Morning Consult poll, but more information available regarding sample size
  72. ^abcUndecided with 8%
  73. ^"Some other candidate" with 2%; would not vote with 1%; Undecided with 6%
  74. ^Hayes (C), "Someone else" and would not vote with 1%; "Undecided/Refused" with 16%
  75. ^"Another Third Party/Write-in" with 4%; Undecided with 9%
  76. ^Bray (L) with 6%; Hayes (C) and "Other" with 2%; "Refused" with 0%; Undecided with 11%
  77. ^"Another candidate" with 3%; Undecided with 10%
  78. ^Hayes (C) with 1%; "None of these" and "Other" with no voters; Undecided with 3%
  79. ^Hayes (C) with 1%; "None of these" and "Other" with 0%; Undecided with 5%
  80. ^"Neither/Another Party" with 3%; "Undecided/Don't know/Refused" with 19%
  81. ^Hayes (C) with 1%; Undecided with 5%
  82. ^"Another candidate" with 3%; Undecided with 7%
  83. ^Hayes with 1%; "Someone else" with 0%; Undecided with 12%
  84. ^Would not vote with 1%; Undecided with 4%
  85. ^"Another Third Party/Write-in" with 3%; Undecided with 13%
  86. ^Hayes (C) and "No one" with 1%; "Other candidate" with <1%; Undecided with 5%
  87. ^With a likely voter turnout model featuring higher turnout than in the 2016 presidential election
  88. ^ab"Other" and Undecided with 4%
  89. ^With a likely voter turnout model featuring lower turnout than in the 2016 presidential election
  90. ^Hayes (C), "Other" and would not vote with 1%; Undecided with 5%
  91. ^Hayes (C) with 2%; "Other" and would not vote with 1%; Undecided with 6%
  92. ^"Some other candidate" with 3%; Would not vote with 0%; Undecided with 9%
  93. ^Would not vote with 1%; Undecided with 5%
  94. ^"Third party/write-in" with 3%; Undecided with 13%
  95. ^"Some other candidate" with 5%; would not vote with 1%; Undecided with 10%
  96. ^Undecided with 14%
  97. ^Hayes (C) with 2%; Undecided with 16%
  98. ^Would not vote with 2%; Undecided with 8%
  99. ^"No one" with 10%
  100. ^"Someone else" with 3%; Undecided with 9%
  101. ^"Third party candidate" with 4%; would not vote with 2%; Undecided with 15%
  102. ^Archived July 30, 2020, at theWayback Machine
  103. ^Hayes (C) with 2%; Undecided with 11%
  104. ^Undecided with 13%
  105. ^"Third party/write-in" with 2%; Undecided with 14%
  106. ^"Other" with 1%; Undecided with 9%
  107. ^"Another candidate" with 6%; Undecided with 13%
  108. ^Hayes (C) with 1%; Undecided with 6%
  109. ^Undecided with 7%; would not vote with 2%
  110. ^Undecided with 15%
  111. ^Undecided with 7%; would not vote with 1%
  112. ^Undecided with 10%; "Some other candidate" with 8%
  113. ^abUndecided with 16%
  114. ^Undecided with 15%; Hayes (C) with 3%; "other" and would not vote with 1%
  115. ^Undecided with 17%; "Another candidate" and would not vote with 1%
  116. ^Undecided with 16%; "Another third party/write in" with 3%
  117. ^Hayes (C) with 2%; Undecided with 21%
  118. ^Archived June 5, 2020, at theWayback Machine
  119. ^Undecided with 11%; "other candidate" with 8%
  120. ^Undecided with 5%; "Someone else" with 4%
  121. ^Undecided with 20%
  122. ^"It is time to give a new person a chance to do better" with 50% as opposed to "Thillis has performed his job as U.S. Senator well enough to deserve re-election"
  123. ^"Refused" with 3%
  124. ^"Prefer not to answer/Refused" with 4%; "Candidate from another political party" with 1%; "Will not vote/not sure" with 0%
  125. ^"Undecided/Refused" with 8%
  126. ^"Neither" and "Other Party" with 1%; Undecided with 14%
  127. ^abUndecided with 14%; "Neither/other/independent" with 3%
  128. ^Undecided with 11%; "Neither/other/independent" with 4%
  129. ^Undecided with 17%; "Neither/other/independent" with 3%
  130. ^Undecided with 16%; "Neither/other/independent" with 5%
  131. ^Undecided with 19%; "Neither/other/independent" with 5%
  132. ^"Undecided" with 8%; "don't know/refused" with 3%
  133. ^Undecided with 18%; "Neither/other/independent" with 6%
  134. ^Undecided with 17%; "Neither/other/independent" with 5%
  135. ^Undecided with 15%; "Neither/other/independent" with 7%
  136. ^Undecided with 21%; "Neither/other/independent" with 4%

References

[edit]
  1. ^abc"NC SBE Contest Results".er.ncsbe.gov. North Carolina Board of Elections. RetrievedMarch 7, 2020.
  2. ^"Thom Tillis claims victory, Cal Cunningham waiting on all votes to be counted".wcnc.com. November 3, 2020.
  3. ^Robertson, Gary D. (October 3, 2020)."N. Carolina Senate race upended by sexting, virus diagnosis".Associated Press.
  4. ^Buck, Rebecca (October 3, 2020)."Democratic Senate candidate in North Carolina confirms romantic texts with woman who isn't his wife".CNN. RetrievedJuly 21, 2022.
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  20. ^"George W. Bush to hold virtual fundraiser for Republican senators".The Washington Post.
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  46. ^Arkin, James (March 13, 2019)."Senate recruiting notebook: Multiple Democrats eyeing Texas". Politico Pro. RetrievedMarch 13, 2019.Tom Ross, the president of the Volcker Alliance and former president of the University of North Carolina system, is a potential candidate, according to North Carolina Democrats. Ross, who was mentioned as a possible Senate candidate in 2016 but declined to run, confirmed to POLITICO that people have talked to him about the race and he's "considering what they have to say."
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  61. ^Editorial Board, Charlotte Post (February 27, 2020)."The Post endorses Mike Bloomberg for president".Charlotte Post.
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  63. ^"Page by Page Report Display (Page 945 of 1405)".
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  65. ^"Equality North Carolina Endorsed Candidates 2020".Equality NC. February 17, 2020.
  66. ^Civitas Institute/Spry Strategies
  67. ^abNBC News/Marist
  68. ^Public Policy Polling
  69. ^Civitas Institute/Spry Strategies
  70. ^Public Policy Polling
  71. ^Public Policy Polling
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  81. ^"Article".www.newsobserver.com. RetrievedMay 9, 2021.
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  83. ^Specht, Paul (October 6, 2020)."Army Reserve investigating Cunningham after woman confirms affair, more texts emerge".WRAL.com. RetrievedOctober 7, 2020.
  84. ^Kane, Paul (October 9, 2020)."Cunningham struggles to refocus N.C. Senate campaign after acknowledging extramarital relationship".The Washington Post. RetrievedOctober 10, 2020.
  85. ^Leslie, Laura (October 9, 2020)."Asked four times whether there are more affairs not yet known, Cunningham declined to say yes or no".WRAL.com. RetrievedOctober 10, 2020.
  86. ^"Cal Cunningham dodges several questions during first news conference since sexting scandal".WSOC. October 9, 2020. RetrievedOctober 10, 2020.
  87. ^Greenwood, Max (October 9, 2020)."Cunningham dodges questions about text message scandal".TheHill. RetrievedOctober 10, 2020.
  88. ^Edmondson, Catie (October 3, 2020)."Virus Diagnosis and Secret Texts Upend a Critical Senate Race in a Single Night".The New York Times. RetrievedOctober 4, 2020.
  89. ^Berman, Russell (October 3, 2020)."Suddenly, Amy Coney Barrett Might Not Have the Votes".The Atlantic.
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  101. ^PAC, Huck."Candidates – Huck PAC".www.huckpac.com. Archived from the original on June 11, 2020.
  102. ^"National Right To Life And NC Right To Life, Inc. Endorse Thom Tillis For US Senate".The Johnson County Report. November 4, 2019.
  103. ^"North Carolina Grades & Endorsements".nrapvf.org. NRA-PVF. Archived from the original on November 3, 2020. RetrievedFebruary 15, 2023.
  104. ^"Republican Jewish Coalition".www.rjchq.org.Archived from the original on July 3, 2020.
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  106. ^abcCunningham, Cal (March 4, 2020)."North Carolina Democratic Congressional Delegation Endorses Cal Cunningham". Archived fromthe original on May 8, 2020. RetrievedApril 7, 2020.
  107. ^"Serve America PAC endorses six new federal candidates".Serve America PAC. March 11, 2020.
  108. ^Kinnard, Meg (May 21, 2020)."Stacey Abrams endorses candidates in 7 US Senate contests".Associated Press.
  109. ^Cunningham, Cal (March 5, 2020)."Cal Earns Additional North Carolina Endorsements Following Decisive Primary Victory". Archived fromthe original on May 8, 2020. RetrievedApril 7, 2020.
  110. ^"NC-Sen: Mayor Pete Buttigieg (D. IN) Helps Cal Cunningham (D) End Moscow Mitch's Reign Of Terror".Daily KOS. April 23, 2020.
  111. ^Merica, Dan (May 13, 2020)."Buttigieg highlights importance of local officials in first post-campaign endorsements".CNN. RetrievedMay 14, 2020.
  112. ^"Bend the Arc Jewish Action PAC".Bend the Arc: Jewish Action.
  113. ^"Cal Cunningham – Black Economic Alliance PAC".Black Economic Alliance. Archived fromthe original on May 5, 2021. RetrievedSeptember 24, 2020.
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  115. ^"Communications Workers Of America Local 3611 Endorse Cal Cunningham For His Commitment To Economic Justice".Calfornc. Archived fromthe original on September 16, 2020. RetrievedSeptember 23, 2020.
  116. ^Muller, Tiffany (July 30, 2019)."End Citizens United Endorses Cal Cunningham for U.S. Senate".End Citizens United.
  117. ^"Equality North Carolina Releases Final Round Of 2020 Electoral Endorsements".Equality NC. April 23, 2020.
  118. ^"Everytown For Gun Safety Action Fund Endorses Cal Cunningham for U.S. Senate in North Carolina".Everytown. June 9, 2020.
  119. ^"2020 – Feminist Majority PAC".feministmajoritypac.org.
  120. ^"In Key Senate Races, Giffords Backs Challengers in Iowa and North Carolina Taking on NRA-Backed Incumbents".Giffords.
  121. ^"Human Rights Campaign Endorses 40 House, 5 Senate Pro-Equality Leaders".Human Rights Campaign. May 18, 2020.
  122. ^"Indivisible NC District 9".Indivisible NC District 9.
  123. ^"Meet the 2020 Candidates".Joint Action Committee for Political Affairs.[permanent dead link]
  124. ^"LCV Action Fund Endorses Cal Cunningham For Senate". July 31, 2019.
  125. ^"Former North Carolina State Senator and Candidate for U.S. Senate Earns Endorsement from Nation's Leading Pro-Choice Advocacy Group".replacementsltdpac. NARAL Pro-Choice America. March 5, 2020.
  126. ^"U.S. Senate – Education Votes".educationvotes.nea.org.
  127. ^"2020 Federal Endorsements – NOW PAC".nowpac.org.
  128. ^"Who We Support – Environmental Candidates".Natural Resources Defense Council.
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  131. ^"Planned Parenthood Action Fund Endorses Cal Cunningham and Deborah Ross to Fight for North Carolinians in Congress".replacementsltdpac. Planned Parenthood Action.
  132. ^"Sierra Club Endorses Cal Cunningham".Calfornc. Archived fromthe original on May 8, 2020. RetrievedApril 8, 2020.
  133. ^"North Carolina – Official UAW Endorsements".uawendorsements.org. United Automobile Workers.
  134. ^"Cal Cunningham for Senate".VoteVets.org. Archived fromthe original on October 1, 2020. RetrievedSeptember 23, 2020.
  135. ^Bravender, Robin (April 26, 2020)."With first quarter fundraising surge, Cunningham outraises Tillis for the first time".ncpolicywatch.com.NC Policy Watch. RetrievedApril 26, 2020.
  136. ^270 to Win
  137. ^Real Clear Politics
  138. ^Change Research/CNBC
  139. ^SwayableArchived November 13, 2020, at theWayback Machine
  140. ^Ipsos/Reuters
  141. ^Data for Progress
  142. ^Frederick Polls
  143. ^Emerson College
  144. ^abMorning Consult
  145. ^CNN/SSRSArchived October 31, 2020, at theWayback Machine
  146. ^Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports
  147. ^East Carolina University
  148. ^Cardinal Point Analytics (R)
  149. ^Marist College/NBC
  150. ^Gravis Marketing
  151. ^Public Policy Polling (D)
  152. ^Meeting Street Insights/Carolina Partnership for Reform (R)Archived October 31, 2020, at theWayback Machine
  153. ^Siena College/NYT Upshot
  154. ^Ipsos/Reuters
  155. ^RMG ResearchArchived November 1, 2020, at theWayback Machine
  156. ^Swayable
  157. ^SurveyUSA
  158. ^YouGov/UMass Lowell
  159. ^Harper Polling/Civitas (R)
  160. ^YouGov/CBS
  161. ^Trafalgar Group
  162. ^Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports
  163. ^Citizen Data
  164. ^Ipsos/Reuters
  165. ^Meredith College
  166. ^Change Research/CNBC
  167. ^Data for Progress (D)
  168. ^East Carolina University
  169. ^ABC/Washington Post
  170. ^Emerson College
  171. ^Civiqs/Daily Kos
  172. ^Siena College/NYT Upshot
  173. ^Ipsos/Reuters
  174. ^Monmouth University
  175. ^SurveyUSA
  176. ^Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc. (R)
  177. ^RMG ResearchArchived October 14, 2020, at theWayback Machine
  178. ^Morning Consult
  179. ^Ipsos/Reuters
  180. ^Public Policy Polling
  181. ^Data For Progress (D)
  182. ^Change Research/CNBC
  183. ^East Carolina University
  184. ^ALG Research (D)
  185. ^Hart Research Associates (D)
  186. ^YouGov/CBS
  187. ^YouGov/UMass Lowell
  188. ^Meredith College
  189. ^Change Research/CNBC
  190. ^Harper Polling/Civitas (R)
  191. ^Morning Consult
  192. ^Emerson College
  193. ^Morning Consult
  194. ^abIpsos/Reuters
  195. ^abSiena College/NYT Upshot
  196. ^Redfield & Wilton Strategies
  197. ^Suffolk University
  198. ^SurveyUSA
  199. ^CNN/SSRS
  200. ^Kaiser Family Foundation/Cook Political Report
  201. ^The Trafalgar Group (R)
  202. ^Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research
  203. ^Benenson Strategy Group/GS Strategy Group
  204. ^Change Research/CNBC
  205. ^Redfield & Wilton Strategies
  206. ^Monmouth University
  207. ^FOX News
  208. ^East Carolina University
  209. ^Change Research/CNBC
  210. ^Morning Consult
  211. ^Redfield and Wilton Strategies
  212. ^East Carolina University
  213. ^abEmerson College
  214. ^abHarper Polling/Civitas (R)
  215. ^Change Research/CNBC
  216. ^Public Policy Polling (D)
  217. ^Data for Progress
  218. ^YouGov/CBS
  219. ^HIT Strategies (D)
  220. ^Change Research/CNBC
  221. ^Morning Consult
  222. ^Cardinal Point Analytics (R)Archived July 30, 2020, at theWayback Machine
  223. ^Public Policy Polling
  224. ^Redfield & Wilton Strategies
  225. ^Marist College/NBC News
  226. ^Spry Strategies (R)
  227. ^Cardinal Point Analytics (R)
  228. ^Change Research/CNBC
  229. ^Public Policy Polling
  230. ^Change Research/CNBC
  231. ^East Carolina University
  232. ^Public Policy Polling
  233. ^FOX News
  234. ^NYT Upshot/Siena College
  235. ^Gravis Marketing (R)
  236. ^Redfield & Wilton Strategies
  237. ^Public Policy Polling
  238. ^abcdefghijHarper Polling/Civitas (R)
  239. ^Meeting Street Insights (R)Archived June 5, 2020, at theWayback Machine
  240. ^East Carolina University
  241. ^Civiqs/Daily Kos (D)
  242. ^Meredith College
  243. ^SurveyUSA
  244. ^Public Policy Polling
  245. ^abHarper Polling/Civitas (R)Archived April 23, 2020, at theWayback Machine
  246. ^East Carolina University
  247. ^Public Policy Polling
  248. ^Public Opinion Strategies (R)
  249. ^ALG Research (D)
  250. ^abMeredith College
  251. ^Public Policy Polling (D)
  252. ^abcFabrizio Ward
  253. ^Public Policy Polling
  254. ^Emerson CollegeArchived June 4, 2019, at theWayback Machine
  255. ^Public Policy Polling (D)
  256. ^Climate Nexus
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