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2020 United States Senate election in Mississippi

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2020 United States Senate election in Mississippi
← 2018 (special)November 3, 20202026 →
Turnout60.4%Increase
 
NomineeCindy Hyde-SmithMike Espy
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Popular vote709,511578,691
Percentage54.11%44.13%
County results
Congressional district results
Precinct results
Hyde-Smith:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80-90%     >90%
Espy:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Tie:     50%     No data
U.S. senator before election

Cindy Hyde-Smith
Republican

Elected U.S. Senator

Cindy Hyde-Smith
Republican

Elections in Mississippi
U.S. President
Presidential primaries
U.S. Senate
U.S. House

The2020 United States Senate election in Mississippi was held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of theUnited States Senate to represent theState of Mississippi, concurrently with the2020 U.S. presidential election, as well asother elections to the United States Senate,elections to theUnited States House of Representatives and variousstate and local elections.

IncumbentRepublican SenatorCindy Hyde-Smith won reelection to a full term againstDemocratic nomineeMike Espy, in a rematch of the2018 special election. Despite being outspent nearly four to one,[1] Hyde-Smith won by a ten-point margin; however, she underperformed Republican presidentDonald Trump in the concurrentpresidential election by around 6 points.

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Declined

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Cindy Hyde-Smith
Organizations

Results

[edit]
Republican primary results[7]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanCindy Hyde-Smith (incumbent)235,463100.0%
Total votes235,463100.0%

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]
  • Tobey Bartee, former military intelligence officer and candidate for U.S. Senate in2018[10]
  • Jensen Bohren, teacher, candidate for U.S. Senate in 2018[11]

Declined

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Mike Espy
Organizations

Results

[edit]
Results by county
  Espy
  •   ≥90%
  •   80–90%
  •   70–80%
  Bartee
  •   50–60%
Democratic primary results[16]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticMike Espy250,49693.12%
DemocraticTobey Bartee11,1484.14%
DemocraticJensen Bohren7,3452.74%
Total votes268,989100.0%

Other candidates

[edit]

Libertarian Party

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[18]Likely ROctober 29, 2020
Inside Elections[19]Safe ROctober 28, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[20]Likely RNovember 2, 2020
Daily Kos[21]Safe ROctober 30, 2020
Politico[22]Likely RNovember 2, 2020
RCP[23]Lean ROctober 23, 2020
DDHQ[24]Likely RNovember 3, 2020
538[25]Likely RNovember 2, 2020
Economist[26]Likely RNovember 2, 2020

Endorsements

[edit]
Cindy Hyde-Smith (R)
Executive Branch officials
Organizations
Mike Espy (D)
Executive Branch officials
  • Joe Biden, 47th vice president of the United States (2009–2017), U.S. Senator from Delaware (1973–2009)[33]
  • Barack Obama, 44th president of the United States (2009–2017), U.S. Senator from Illinois (2005–2008)[34]
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
State officials
Notable individuals
Organizations
Unions

Polling

[edit]

Graphical summary

This graph was using thelegacy Graph extension, which is no longer supported. It needs to be converted to thenew Chart extension.
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Cindy
Hyde-Smith (R)		Mike
Espy (D)		OtherUndecided
Data For Progress[44]October 27 – November 1, 2020562 (LV)± 4.1%50%47%4%[a]–
Civiqs/Daily Kos[45]October 23–26, 2020507 (LV)± 5.3%52%44%3%[b]2%
The Progress Campaign (D)[46]October 23, 2020– (V)[c]–48%43%––
Tyson Group (R)[47][A]August 28–30, 2020600 (LV)± 4%41%40%–18%
Garin-Hart-Yang Research (D)[48][B]July 30 – August 9, 2020600 (LV)± 4.1%47%42%3%[d]8%
Public Policy Polling (D)[49][C]May 27–28, 2020871 (V)± 3.3%49%41%–10%
Impact Management Group (R)[50]May 4–7, 2020606 (LV)± 4.4%58%31%3%[e]9%[f]
Tyson Group (R)[47][A]March 10–12, 2020600 (LV)–54%28%–18%
The Progress Campaign (D)[51]March 3–7, 2020826 (V)–52%44%–4%[g]
Mason-Dixon[52]February 26–28, 2020625 (LV)± 4.0%53%43%–4%
Chism Strategies[53]January 3–7, 2020618 (LV)± 3.9%44%36%–20%

Results

[edit]
2020 United States Senate election in Mississippi[54]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
RepublicanCindy Hyde-Smith (incumbent)709,51154.11%+0.48%
DemocraticMike Espy578,69144.13%−2.24%
LibertarianJimmy Edwards23,1521.77%N/A
Total votes1,311,354100.00%
Republicanhold

By county

[edit]
By county
County[55]Cindy Hyde-Smith
Republican		Mike Espy
Democratic		Jimmy Edwards
Libertarian		MarginTotal
votes
#%#%#%#%
Adams5,41639.378,19059.531521.10-2,774-20.1613,758
Alcorn11,61674.293,64123.293782.427,97551.0115,635
Amite4,34760.622,75038.35741.031,59722.277,171
Attala4,88855.423,82443.361081.221,06412.068,820
Benton2,32054.211,86843.64922.1545210.564,280
Bolivar4,31731.409,33067.861020.74-5,013-36.4613,749
Calhoun4,34165.862,13832.441121.702,20333.426,591
Carroll3,71664.931,92333.60841.471,79331.335,723
Chickasaw3,91347.964,13450.671121.37-221-2.718,159
Choctaw2,81166.791,32031.36781.851,49135.424,209
Claiborne55512.373,90787.05260.58-3,352-74.694,488
Clarke5,16961.933,05336.581251.502,11625.358,347
Clay4,00638.956,17159.991091.06-2,165-21.0510,286
Coahoma2,13325.056,33774.41460.54-4,204-49.378,516
Copiah6,06246.966,73052.131180.91-668-5.1712,910
Covington5,60459.803,63738.811311.401,96720.999,372
DeSoto43,17156.7631,11540.911,7682.3212,05615.8576,054
Forrest16,07950.8114,87146.996952.201,2083.8231,645
Franklin2,83363.561,57035.23541.211,26328.344,457
George8,81180.721,84416.892602.386,96763.8310,915
Greene4,39576.841,19620.911292.263,19955.935,720
Grenada5,65451.725,12046.841571.445344.8910,931
Hancock14,53770.025,65127.225732.768,88642.8020,761
Harrison43,18057.0430,36740.122,1522.8412,81316.9375,699
Hinds23,66123.6575,46775.449100.91-51,806-51.79100,038
Holmes1,23015.256,79884.30360.45-5,568-69.058,064
Humphreys1,02324.433,13574.87290.69-2,112-50.444,187
Issaquena30945.3736753.8950.73-58-8.52681
Itawamba8,81882.041,68015.632512.347,13866.4110,749
Jackson33,60861.9319,33435.631,3252.4414,27426.3054,267
Jasper4,10246.884,55652.07921.05-454-5.198,750
Jefferson Davis2,40038.703,75860.59440.71-1,358-21.906,202
Jefferson47612.163,42887.54120.31-2,952-75.383,916
Jones19,91766.439,42231.436412.1410,49535.0129,980
Kemper1,72036.402,96562.75400.85-1,245-26.354,725
Lafayette12,12751.9010,80646.254321.851,3215.6523,365
Lamar19,58868.888,15728.686932.4411,43140.2028,438
Lauderdale17,08254.8913,53743.505011.613,54511.3931,120
Lawrence4,22264.002,31835.14570.861,90428.866,597
Leake4,99154.214,12344.79921.008689.439,206
Lee22,73961.7013,37236.287452.029,36725.4236,856
Leflore2,91426.727,93672.76570.52-5,022-46.0410,907
Lincoln11,37867.725,25631.281681.006,12236.4416,802
Lowndes13,01047.7913,84350.853691.36-833-3.0627,222
Madison30,03853.4225,37445.128231.464,6648.2956,235
Marion7,82164.194,17734.281871.533,64429.9112,185
Marshall6,90443.968,59054.692121.35-1,686-10.7315,706
Monroe10,51660.896,44137.293141.824,07523.5917,271
Montgomery2,73853.812,26444.50861.694749.325,088
Neshoba7,79767.023,60230.962342.014,19536.0611,633
Newton6,65965.773,29032.491761.743,36933.2710,125
Noxubee1,17822.074,13877.53210.39-2,960-55.465,337
Oktibbeha8,59243.4510,87054.973131.58-2,278-11.5219,775
Panola7,42547.607,95350.992201.41-528-3.3915,598
Pearl River17,81475.335,05321.377803.3012,76153.9623,647
Perry4,20471.241,55526.351422.412,64944.895,901
Pike8,04446.379,04852.152571.48-1,004-5.7917,349
Pontotoc10,80375.523,16422.123372.367,63953.4014,304
Prentiss7,65172.222,71425.622292.164,93746.6010,594
Quitman88327.272,30771.25481.48-1,424-43.983,238
Rankin48,50268.8220,31528.821,6642.3628,18739.9970,481
Scott5,93355.284,64943.321511.411,28411.9610,733
Sharkey66330.401,51169.2870.32-848-38.882,181
Simpson7,38162.434,30336.401381.173,07826.0411,822
Smith6,20274.641,97723.791301.564,22550.858,309
Stone5,60971.382,05126.101982.523,55845.287,858
Sunflower2,62327.087,02072.48420.43-4,397-45.409,685
Tallahatchie2,30940.593,31658.29641.12-1,007-17.705,689
Tate8,07161.984,69436.052561.973,37725.9413,021
Tippah7,39473.692,43224.242082.074,96249.4510,034
Tishomingo7,21679.591,59417.582562.825,62262.019,066
Tunica81422.782,71776.04421.18-1,903-53.263,573
Union9,57275.632,66021.024243.356,91254.6112,656
Walthall4,00556.542,99342.25861.211,01214.297,084
Warren9,91247.1810,85351.652461.17-941-4.4821,011
Washington4,89126.9413,15572.461090.60-8,264-45.5218,155
Wayne5,98459.353,95439.221441.432,03020.1310,082
Webster4,06775.621,19822.281132.102,86953.355,378
Wilkinson1,29531.762,70266.27801.96-1,407-34.514,077
Winston4,84652.324,30346.451141.235435.869,263
Yalobusha3,41552.473,00546.17881.354106.306,508
Yazoo4,55143.625,80455.63790.76-1,253-12.0110,434
Totals709,51154.11578,69144.1323,1521.77130,8209.981,311,354
Swing by county
Trend relative to the state by county
Legend
  •   Republican — +7.5−10%
  •   Republican — +5−7.5%
  •   Republican — +2.5−5%
  •   Republican — +0−2.5%
  •   Democratic — +0−2.5%
  •   Democratic — +2.5−5%
  •   Democratic — +5−7.5%
  •   Democratic — +7.5-10%

By congressional district

[edit]

Hyde-Smith won three of four congressional districts.[56]

DistrictHyde-SmithEspyRepresentative
1st60%38%Trent Kelly
2nd33%66%Bennie Thompson
3rd58%41%Michael Guest
4th63%34%Steven Palazzo

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^Edwards (L) with 3%; "Other candidate or write-in" with 1%
  2. ^Edwards (L) with 2%; "Someone else" with 1%
  3. ^Not yet released
  4. ^"Third party" with 3%
  5. ^Edwards (L) with 3%
  6. ^Includes "refused"
  7. ^Listed as "other/undecided"

Partisan clients

  1. ^abPoll sponsored by the Consumer Energy Alliance, which is a pro-Keystone XL lobbying group.
  2. ^Poll sponsored by Espy's campaign
  3. ^Poll conducted for theMississippi Democratic Party.

References

[edit]
  1. ^"Mississippi Senate 2020 Race".OpenSecrets.Archived from the original on April 21, 2021.
  2. ^"HYDE-SMITH, CINDY – Candidate overview".FEC.gov.
  3. ^Lange, Alan (May 22, 2019)."Say it ain't so. Time to talk about the 2020 senate race already?". Y'all Politics. RetrievedMay 23, 2019.
  4. ^abDouglas, William; Glueck, Katie (November 28, 2018)."Get ready: The fierce Mississippi Senate race may not be ending anytime soon".McClatchy. RetrievedNovember 30, 2018.
  5. ^Ganucheau, Adam (November 12, 2019)."Former Miss America pageant leader mulls Sen. Hyde-Smith challenge in 2020 GOP primary".Mississippi Today. RetrievedNovember 15, 2019.
  6. ^"2020 Candidates".maggieslist.org.
  7. ^"2020 State Republican Party Certified Primary Election Results".MS GOP. June 3, 2020. Archived fromthe original on August 14, 2020. RetrievedJune 3, 2020.
  8. ^"ESPY, MICHAEL – Candidate overview".FEC.gov.
  9. ^"Democrat Mike Espy starts 2020 US Senate bid in Mississippi".The Philadelphia Tribune. November 15, 2019.
  10. ^"Mississippi will have Democratic primary for US Senate".AP NEWS. January 10, 2020. RetrievedFebruary 13, 2020.
  11. ^Ulmer, Sarah (June 17, 2019)."Unique candidate Jensen Bohren announces candidacy for 2020 U.S. Senate run". RetrievedJune 17, 2019.
  12. ^abSingiser, Steve."Here's our ultimate Democratic wishlist for Senate in 2020. Who's on yours?".Daily Kos. RetrievedFebruary 19, 2019.
  13. ^"DSCC Endorses Mike Espy in Mississippi Senate Race". November 13, 2019.
  14. ^"Our Candidates".Flip the Senate. RetrievedMarch 10, 2020.
  15. ^Acosta, Lucas (March 4, 2020)."HRC Endorses Mike Espy for U.S. Senate".Human Rights Campaign.[dead link]
  16. ^"2020 State Democratic Party Certified Primary Election Results".MS DEMS. June 3, 2020. Archived fromthe original on April 18, 2020. RetrievedJune 3, 2020.
  17. ^Pettus, Emily (March 11, 2020)."Espy wins Mississippi US Senate primary, setting up rematch with Hyde-Smith". Associated Press. RetrievedMay 13, 2020.
  18. ^"2020 Senate Race Ratings for October 29, 2020".The Cook Political Report. RetrievedMarch 11, 2021.
  19. ^"2020 Senate Ratings".Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. RetrievedMarch 11, 2021.
  20. ^"2020 Senate race ratings".Sabato's Crystal Ball. RetrievedMarch 12, 2021.
  21. ^"2020 Senate Race Ratings".Daily Kos Elections. RetrievedMarch 13, 2021.
  22. ^"2020 Election Forecast".Politico. November 19, 2019.
  23. ^"Battle for the Senate 2020".RCP. October 23, 2020.
  24. ^"2020 Senate Elections Model".Decision Desk HQ. September 2, 2020. RetrievedSeptember 2, 2020.
  25. ^Silver, Nate (September 18, 2020)."Forecasting the race for the Senate".FiveThirtyEight. Archived fromthe original on September 18, 2020. RetrievedSeptember 18, 2020.
  26. ^"Forecasting the US elections".The Economist. November 2, 2020. RetrievedMarch 13, 2021.
  27. ^Geoff Pender (October 21, 2020)."Trump endorses Cindy Hyde-Smith in Mississippi Senate race".Mississippi Today.
  28. ^"Endorsed Candidates | CWF".www.cwfpac.com. RetrievedAugust 21, 2024.
  29. ^"Mississippi".www.huckpac.com. Archived from the original on October 27, 2020.
  30. ^"NRA-PVF | Grades | Mississippi".NRA-PVF. Archived from the original on October 27, 2020.
  31. ^"2020 Election HQ". Archived fromthe original on November 1, 2020.
  32. ^"U.S. Chamber of Commerce again endorses Sen. Cindy Hyde-Smith for US Senate".www.yallpolitics.com. June 30, 2020.Today, the U.S. Chamber of Commerce has again endorsed Republican Senator Cindy Hyde-Smith in her race to retain her seat against Democrat challenger Mike Espy.
  33. ^"U.S. Senate Candidate Mike Espy receives endorsement from Joe Biden". WMC5. RetrievedOctober 2, 2020.
  34. ^"Obama endorses Espy in Mississippi Senate Race". The Hill. RetrievedOctober 21, 2020.
  35. ^"Sen. Elizabeth Warren endorses Mike Espy for U.S. Senator". June 21, 2020.
  36. ^Adam Ganucheau (October 22, 2020)."Rep. Bennie Thompson, Democratic kingmaker, throws full support behind Mike Espy in Senate race".Mississippi Today.
  37. ^"Stacey Abrams endorses candidates in 7 US Senate Contests". AP.
  38. ^Frank Corder (October 15, 2020)."Yang's PAC endorses Espy, says it gives Democrats better chance to pass universal basic income".Y'all Politics.
  39. ^"2020 Endorsements". RetrievedAugust 21, 2024.
  40. ^"CBC Candidate: Mike Espy". Archived fromthe original on October 27, 2020. RetrievedOctober 24, 2020.
  41. ^"2020 – Feminist Majority PAC".feministmajoritypac.org.
  42. ^"Mississippi AFL-CIO endorses Mike Espy for Senate". April 7, 2020.
  43. ^"U.S. Senate – Education Votes".educationvotes.nea.org.
  44. ^Data For Progress
  45. ^Civiqs/Daily Kos
  46. ^The Progress Campaign (D)
  47. ^abTyson Group (R)
  48. ^Garin-Hart-Yang Research (D)
  49. ^Public Policy Polling (D)
  50. ^Impact Management Group (R)[permanent dead link]
  51. ^The Progress Campaign (D)
  52. ^Mason-DixonArchived November 5, 2020, at theWayback Machine
  53. ^Chism Strategies
  54. ^Watson, Michael (December 7, 2020)."AMENDED Certification of Vote for United States Senate"(PDF).Secretary of State of Mississippi.Archived(PDF) from the original on July 15, 2025. RetrievedAugust 28, 2025.
  55. ^Watson, Michael (November 3, 2020)."Statewide Recapitulation Report"(PDF).Secretary of State of Mississippi.Archived(PDF) from the original on July 27, 2025. RetrievedAugust 27, 2025.
  56. ^"DRA 2020".Daves Redistricting. RetrievedAugust 21, 2024.

External links

[edit]

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