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2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

For related races, see2020 United States House of Representatives elections.
Not to be confused with2020 Kentucky House of Representatives election.
2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky

← 2018November 3, 20202022 →

All 6 Kentucky seats to theUnited States House of Representatives
 Majority partyMinority party
 
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Last election51
Seats won51
Seat changeSteadySteady
Popular vote1,363,964735,419
Percentage64.46%34.76%
SwingIncrease 4.87%Decrease 4.29%

District results
County results

Republican

  50–60%
  60–70%
  70–80%
  80–90%
  >90%

Democratic

  50–60%
  60–70%

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The2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky was held on November 3, 2020, to elect the sixU.S. representatives from thestate ofKentucky, one from each of the state's sixcongressional districts. The elections coincided with the2020 U.S. presidential election, as well asother elections to the House of Representatives,elections to theUnited States Senate and variousstate andlocal elections.

Overview

[edit]
DistrictRepublicanDemocraticOthersTotalResult
Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%
District 1246,32974.99%82,14125.01%00.00%328,470100.0%Republican hold
District 2255,73570.96%94,64326.26%10,0212.78%360,399100.0%Republican hold
District 3136,42537.16%230,67262.84%00.00%367,097100.0%Democratic hold
District 4256,61367.09%125,89632.91%00.00%382,509100.0%Republican hold
District 5250,91484.21%47,05615.79%00.00%297,970100.0%Republican hold
District 6216,94857.32%155,01140.96%6,4911.72%378,450100.0%Republican hold
Total1,363,96464.46%735,41934.76%16,5120.78%2,115,895100.0%
Popular vote
Republican
64.46%
Democratic
34.76%
Other
0.78%
House seats
Republican
83.33%
Democratic
16.67%

District 1

[edit]
2020 Kentucky's 1st congressional district election

← 2018
2022 →
 
NomineeJames ComerJames Rhodes
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Popular vote246,32982,141
Percentage75.0%25.0%

County results
Comer:     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%

U.S. Representative before election

James Comer
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

James Comer
Republican

See also:Kentucky's 1st congressional district

The 1st district takes inWestern Kentucky, includingPaducah,Hopkinsville,Murray, andHenderson. The incumbent is RepublicanJames Comer, who was re-elected with 68.6% of the vote.[1]

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Declared
[edit]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Declared
[edit]
  • James Rhodes[2]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[3]Safe RJuly 2, 2020
Inside Elections[4]Safe RJune 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[5]Safe RJuly 2, 2020
Politico[6]Safe RApril 19, 2020
Daily Kos[7]Safe RJune 3, 2020
RCP[8]Safe RJune 9, 2020
Niskanen[9]Safe RJune 7, 2020

Results

[edit]
Kentucky's 1st congressional district, 2020[10]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanJames Comer (incumbent)246,32975.0
DemocraticJames Rhodes82,14125.0
Total votes328,470100.0
Republicanhold

District 2

[edit]
2020 Kentucky's 2nd congressional district election

← 2018
2022 →
 
NomineeBrett GuthrieHank Linderman
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Popular vote255,73594,643
Percentage70.9%26.3%

County results
Guthrie:     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%

U.S. Representative before election

Brett Guthrie
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Brett Guthrie
Republican

See also:Kentucky's 2nd congressional district

The 2nd district encompasses west-central Kentucky, taking inBowling Green,Owensboro, andElizabethtown. The incumbent is RepublicanBrett Guthrie, who was re-elected with 66.7% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Declared
[edit]

Primary results

[edit]
Republican primary results[12]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanBrett Guthrie (incumbent)65,31388.6
RepublicanKathleen Free8,38011.4
Total votes73,693100.0

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Declared
[edit]
  • Hank Linderman, nominee for Kentucky's 2nd congressional district in2018[11]

Third parties

[edit]

Libertarian Party

[edit]
  • Robert Lee Perry[13]

Populist Party

[edit]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[3]Safe RJuly 2, 2020
Inside Elections[4]Safe RJune 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[5]Safe RJuly 2, 2020
Politico[6]Safe RApril 19, 2020
Daily Kos[7]Safe RJune 3, 2020
RCP[8]Safe RJune 9, 2020
Niskanen[9]Safe RJune 7, 2020

Results

[edit]
Kentucky's 2nd congressional district, 2020[10]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanBrett Guthrie (incumbent)255,73570.9
DemocraticHank Linderman94,64326.3
LibertarianRobert Lee Perry7,5882.1
PopulistLewis Carter2,4310.7
Write-in20.0
Total votes360,399100.0
Republicanhold

District 3

[edit]
2020 Kentucky's 3rd congressional district election

← 2018
2022 →
 
NomineeJohn YarmuthRhonda Palazzo
PartyDemocraticRepublican
Popular vote230,672137,425
Percentage62.7%37.3%

County result
Yarmuth:     60–70%

U.S. Representative before election

John Yarmuth
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

John Yarmuth
Democratic

See also:Kentucky's 3rd congressional district

The 3rd district encompasses nearly all of theLouisville metropolitan area. The incumbent is DemocratJohn Yarmuth, who was re-elected with 62.1% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Declared
[edit]

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Declared
[edit]
  • Mike Craven, activist and candidate for Kentucky's 3rd congressional district in2018[15]
  • Waymen Eddings, businessman[15]
  • Rhonda Palazzo, realtor and candidate for Kentucky's 3rd congressional district in2018[15]

Primary results

[edit]
Republican primary results[12]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanRhonda Palazzo19,80642.4
RepublicanMike Craven19,67642.1
RepublicanWaymen Eddings7,27515.5
Total votes46,757100.0

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[3]Safe DJuly 2, 2020
Inside Elections[4]Safe DJune 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[5]Safe DJuly 2, 2020
Politico[6]Safe DApril 19, 2020
Daily Kos[7]Safe DJune 3, 2020
RCP[8]Safe DJune 9, 2020
Niskanen[9]Safe DJune 7, 2020

Results

[edit]
Kentucky's 3rd congressional district, 2020[10]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticJohn Yarmuth (incumbent)230,67262.7
RepublicanRhonda Palazzo137,42537.3
Total votes368,097100.0
Democratichold

District 4

[edit]
2020 Kentucky's 4th congressional district election

← 2018
2022 →
 
NomineeThomas MassieAlexandra Owensby
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Popular vote256,613125,896
Percentage67.1%32.9%

County results
Massie:     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%

U.S. Representative before election

Thomas Massie
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Thomas Massie
Republican

See also:Kentucky's 4th congressional district

The 4th district is located in the northeastern part of the state along theOhio River, including the suburbs ofCincinnati and a small part ofLouisville. The incumbent is RepublicanThomas Massie, who was re-elected with 62.2% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Declared
[edit]
Declined
[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Thomas Massie (R)

US senators

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Thomas
Massie
Todd
McMurty
Kim
Moser
Undecided
WPA Intelligence[20][A]June 10–11, 2020411 (LV)± 4.9%77%11%12%
WPA Intelligence[21][A]April 27–28, 2020407 (LV)± 4.9%70%13%17%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[22][B]February 4–6, 2020300 (V)± 5.66%71%3%
WPA Intelligence[23][C]July 8–9, 2019400 (LV)± 4.9%64%10%26%
Hypothetical polling

with Generic Republican

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Thomas
Massie
Generic
Republican
Undecided
WPA Intelligence[23][C]July 8–9, 2019400 (LV)± 4.9%50%8%43%[b]

Primary results

[edit]
Republican primary results[12]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanThomas Massie (incumbent)68,59181.0
RepublicanTodd McMurtry16,09219.0
Total votes84,683100.0

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Declared
[edit]
  • Shannon Fabert, business consultant[24]
  • Alexandra Owensby, nurse practitioner[24]

Primary results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[12]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticAlexandra Owensby41,53158.4
DemocraticShannon Fabert29,55741.6
Total votes71,088100.0

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[3]Safe RJuly 2, 2020
Inside Elections[4]Safe RJune 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[5]Safe RJuly 2, 2020
Politico[6]Safe RApril 19, 2020
Daily Kos[7]Safe RJune 3, 2020
RCP[8]Safe RJune 9, 2020
Niskanen[9]Safe RJune 7, 2020

Results

[edit]
Kentucky's 4th congressional district, 2020[10]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanThomas Massie (incumbent)256,61367.1
DemocraticAlexandra Owensby125,89632.9
Total votes382,509100.0
Republicanhold

District 5

[edit]
2020 Kentucky's 5th congressional district election

← 2018
2022 →
 
NomineeHal RogersMatthew Best
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Popular vote250,91447,056
Percentage84.2%15.8%

County results
Rogers:     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%

U.S. Representative before election

Hal Rogers
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Hal Rogers
Republican

See also:Kentucky's 5th congressional district

The 5th district, one of the poorest and most rural in the country, is based in thecoalfields of eastern Kentucky. The incumbent is RepublicanHal Rogers, who was re-elected with 78.9% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Declared
[edit]
  • Hal Rogers, incumbent U.S. representative[25]
  • Geraldo Serrano, farmer and candidate for Kentucky's 5th congressional district in2018[25]

Primary results

[edit]
Republican primary results[12]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanHal Rogers (incumbent)76,57591.1
RepublicanGerardo Serrano7,4368.9
Total votes84,011100.0

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Declared
[edit]
Declined
[edit]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[3]Safe RJuly 2, 2020
Inside Elections[4]Safe RJune 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[5]Safe RJuly 2, 2020
Politico[6]Safe RApril 19, 2020
Daily Kos[7]Safe RJune 3, 2020
RCP[8]Safe RJune 9, 2020
Niskanen[9]Safe RJune 7, 2020

Results

[edit]
Kentucky's 5th congressional district, 2020[10]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanHal Rogers (incumbent)250,91484.2
DemocraticMatthew Best47,05615.8
Total votes297,970100.0
Republicanhold

District 6

[edit]
2020 Kentucky's 6th congressional district election

← 2018
2022 →
 
NomineeAndy BarrJosh Hicks
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Popular vote216,948155,011
Percentage57.3%41.0%

County results
Barr:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%
Hicks:     50–60%

U.S. Representative before election

Andy Barr
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Andy Barr
Republican

See also:Kentucky's 6th congressional district

The 6th district is located in central Kentucky, taking inLexington,Richmond, andFrankfort. The incumbent is RepublicanAndy Barr, who was re-elected with 51.0% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Declared
[edit]

Primary results

[edit]
Republican primary results[12]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanAndy Barr (incumbent)62,70690.7
RepublicanChuck Eddy3,6365.3
RepublicanGeoff Young2,7654.0
Total votes69,107100.0

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Declared
[edit]
  • Josh Hicks, attorney and U.S. Marine veteran[29]
  • Daniel Kemph, business analyst and candidate for Kentucky's 6th congressional district in2018[28]

Primary results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[12]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticJosh Hicks81,30572.4
DemocraticDaniel Kemph31,06427.6
Total votes112,369100.0

General election

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Josh Hicks (D)

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[3]Likely RJuly 2, 2020
Inside Elections[4]Safe RJune 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[5]Likely RJuly 2, 2020
Politico[6]Likely RApril 19, 2020
Daily Kos[7]Likely RJune 3, 2020
RCP[8]Lean ROctober 24, 2020
Niskanen[9]Lean RJune 7, 2020

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Andy
Barr (R)
Josh
Hicks (D)
Frank
Harris (L)
Undecided
Bluegrass Voters Coalition (D)[32][D]July 13, 2020700 (LV)± 5.0%48%50%2%11%

Results

[edit]
Kentucky's 6th congressional district, 2020[10]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanAndy Barr (incumbent)216,94857.3
DemocraticJosh Hicks155,01141.0
LibertarianFrank Harris6,4911.7
Total votes378,450100.0
Republicanhold

See also

[edit]

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^abcKey:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ^"Would consider another candidate besides Massie" with 36%; "don't know" with 7%

Partisan clients

  1. ^abBy the time of this poll's sampling period, the Club for Growth had endorsed Massie's re-election bid
  2. ^Poll sponsored by Massie
  3. ^abThe Club for Growth is an organization that exclusively endorses Republican candidates
  4. ^This pollster supports candidates it considers politically progressive

References

[edit]
  1. ^abcdefWasserman, David; Flinn, Ally (November 7, 2018)."2018 House Popular Vote Tracker". Cook Political Report. RetrievedMarch 8, 2019.
  2. ^abOverstreet, Melinda J. (January 10, 2020)."Candidates seek to unseat Riley, Rowland and Givens; 17 file for nine Glasgow council seats".Glasgow Daily Times. Archived fromthe original on January 27, 2020. RetrievedJanuary 26, 2020.
  3. ^abcdef"2020 Senate Race Ratings for April 19, 2019".The Cook Political Report. RetrievedSeptember 20, 2019.
  4. ^abcdef"2020 Senate Ratings".Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. RetrievedOctober 3, 2019.
  5. ^abcdef"2020 Senate race ratings".Sabato's Crystal Ball. Archived fromthe original on August 22, 2019. RetrievedAugust 28, 2019.
  6. ^abcdef"2020 Election Forecast".Politico. November 19, 2019.
  7. ^abcdef"Daily Kos Elections releases initial Senate race ratings for 2020".Daily Kos Elections. RetrievedFebruary 28, 2020.
  8. ^abcdef"Battle for White House".RCP. April 19, 2019.
  9. ^abcdef"2020 Negative Partisanship and the 2020 Congressional Elections".Niskanen Center. April 28, 2020. Archived fromthe original on June 21, 2020. RetrievedMay 1, 2020.
  10. ^abcdef"November 3, 2020 - Official 2020 General Election Results"(PDF).Kentucky Secretary of State. November 20, 2020. pp. 12–19. RetrievedNovember 21, 2020.
  11. ^abcSwietek, Wes (January 10, 2020)."Minter, Sheldon unopposed in 2020".Bowling Green Daily News. RetrievedJanuary 26, 2020.
  12. ^abcdefg"2020 Primary Election - Certified Election Results"(PDF).Commonwealth of Kentucky - State Board of Elections. RetrievedSeptember 5, 2020.
  13. ^Hannan, Lex (January 13, 2020)."MEET THE CANDIDATES - ROBERT PERRY".Libertarian Party of Kentucky. RetrievedMay 14, 2025.
  14. ^Munson, Emilie (January 6, 2020)."Exclusive: Another Republican joins 5th District race". RetrievedJanuary 9, 2020.
  15. ^abc"KENTUCKY".Politics 1. RetrievedJanuary 26, 2020.
  16. ^"Thomas Massie".www.facebook.com.
  17. ^Bailey, Phillip M.; Sonka, Joe (January 10, 2020)."Attorney in Covington Catholic case challenges Rep. Thomas Massie in GOP primary".Louisville Courier Journal. RetrievedJanuary 26, 2020.
  18. ^Bailey, Phillip M. (July 3, 2019)."National Republicans may be maneuvering to unseat Kentucky's conservative darling, Massie".The Courier-Journal. RetrievedJuly 3, 2019.
  19. ^Bailey, Phillip M. (July 4, 2019)."Rand Paul: Thomas Massie has 'my full support' against GOP primary threat".The Courier-Journal. RetrievedAugust 13, 2019.
  20. ^WPA Intelligence
  21. ^WPA Intelligence
  22. ^Public Opinion Strategies (R)
  23. ^abWPA Intelligence
  24. ^abFair, Julia (January 7, 2020)."This is our best shot at changing things.' NKY Democrat nurse practitioner files to run against Republican Rep. Thomas Massie in 2020".Cincinnati Enquirer. RetrievedJanuary 26, 2020.
  25. ^abcMills, Jarrod (January 11, 2020)."Several races set as election filing deadline passes".Times-Tribune. RetrievedJanuary 26, 2020.
  26. ^Desrochers, Daniel (December 2, 2019)."Rocky Adkins passes on U.S. Senate bid and takes job in Andy Beshear's administration".Lexington Herald Leader.
  27. ^"Andy Barr".Facebook. December 16, 2019. RetrievedDecember 25, 2019.
  28. ^abcGreene, Jonathan (January 14, 2020)."ELECTION 2020: Seven running for city commission".Richmond Register. RetrievedJanuary 26, 2020.
  29. ^Schreiner, Bruce (August 1, 2019)."Marine veteran enters race for 6th District seat in Kentucky".Associated Press News. RetrievedAugust 1, 2019.
  30. ^Charles Booker [@Booker4KY] (October 21, 2020)."From the hood to the holler, there is a movement growing in KY. Regular folks are rising up to fight back. @joshhicksky is standing for the people of KY's 6th District, and I am proud to stand with him. Let's send a warrior to Washington: https://t.co/Tu53QsIu4N https://t.co/weHGxxkofB" (Tweet). RetrievedJanuary 28, 2021 – viaTwitter.
  31. ^"VoteVets Endorses Josh Hicks for Congress – Josh Hicks for Congress". Archived fromthe original on October 26, 2020. RetrievedOctober 23, 2020.
  32. ^Bluegrass Voters Coalition (D)

External links

[edit]

Official campaign websites for 1st district candidates

Official campaign websites for 2nd district candidates

Official campaign websites for 3rd district candidates

Official campaign websites for 4th district candidates

Official campaign websites for 5th district candidates

Official campaign websites for 6th district candidates

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