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2020 New Zealand general election

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2020 New Zealand general election

← 2017
17 October 2020
2023 →

All 120 seats in theHouse of Representatives
61 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
Turnout2,919,073 (82.24%;Increase 2.49pp)
 First partySecond partyThird party
 
LeaderJacinda ArdernJudith CollinsJames Shaw
Marama Davidson
PartyLabourNationalGreen
Leader since1 August 201714 July 202030 May 2015
8 April 2018
Leader's seatMount AlbertPapakuraList
Last election46 seats
36.89%
56 seats
44.45%
8 seats
6.27%
Seats before46548
Seats won653310
Seat changeIncrease 19Decrease 23Increase 2
Electorate vote1,357,501
48.07%

Increase 10.19pp
963,845
34.13%
Decrease 9.92 pp
162,245
5.74%
Decrease 1.17 pp
Party vote1,443,545
50.01%

Increase 13.12 pp
738,275
25.58%
Decrease 18.87 pp
226,757
7.86%
Increase 1.59 pp

 Fourth partyFifth partySixth party
 
LeaderDavid SeymourJohn Tamihere
Debbie Ngarewa-Packer
Winston Peters
PartyACTMāori PartyNZ First
Leader since4 October 201415 April 202018 July 1993
Leader's seatEpsomRan inTāmaki Makaurau (lost)[a]
List
List(lost)
Last election1 seat
0.50%
0 seats
1.18%
9 seats
7.20%
Seats before109
Seats won1020
Seat changeIncrease 9Increase 2Decrease 9
Electorate vote97,697
3.46%
Increase 2.45 pp
60,837
2.15%
Increase 0.04 pp
30,209
1.07%
Decrease 4.38 pp
Party vote219,031
7.59%
Increase 7.08 pp
33,630
1.17%
Decrease 0.01 pp
75,020
2.60%
Decrease 4.60 pp

Compact results by electorate
Results by electorate, shaded by winning margin
Results by electorate, shaded by party vote share

Prime Minister and coalition before election

Jacinda Ardern (Labour)
LabourNZ First (C&S:Green)

Subsequent Prime Minister and coalition

Jacinda Ardern (Labour)
Labour (C&S:Green)

The2020 New Zealand general election was held on Saturday 17 October 2020 to determine the composition of the53rd New Zealand Parliament.[2][3] Voters elected 120 members to theHouse of Representatives, 72 fromsingle-member electorates and 48 fromclosed party lists. Tworeferendums,one on the personal use of cannabis andone on euthanasia, were also held on the same day.[4][5] Official results of the election and referendums were released on 6 November.[6]

The governingLabour Party, led by incumbentPrime MinisterJacinda Ardern, won the election in alandslide victory against theNational Party, led byJudith Collins.[7] Labour won 65 seats, enough for amajority government. It is the first time that a party has won enough seats to govern alone since themixed-member proportional representation (MMP) system was introduced in 1996.[8] Labour also achieved the highest percentage of the party vote (50.01%) since MMP was introduced, winning the plurality of party vote in 71 of the 72 electorates (Epsom being the sole exception). This is also the best nationwide result in the popular vote for a main party since1951, the most seats any party has won since1990 and the first time Labour has won an absolute majority of the vote since1946.[9][10] Ardern subsequently became the most successful New Zealand politician of the MMP era, overtakingJohn Key by number of seats won under a single premiership. Conversely, this election was the second-worst result for the National Party, which performed more poorly only in the2002 general election.[11]

With the election being highly centred around the government's praised response to theCOVID-19 pandemic, it led to the unprecedented flipping of traditionally National-voting seats to Labour, often with very comfortable margins.[12] Examples included the rural seats ofWairarapa,East Coast,Ōtaki andRangitata, the latter having never previously voted for Labour.[13][14] In another blow to National's heartlands, every city exceptAuckland andTauranga gave their seats entirely to Labour. Ina surprise victory, the left-wing environmentalistGreen Party'sChlöe Swarbrick won theAuckland Central seat vacated by National's retiringNikki Kaye with a margin of 1,068 votes over Labour'sHelen White.[15] The right-wing libertarianACT Party and the Greens both increased their number of seats due to the collapse of National's support base. TheMāori Party, representing the cause ofindigenous rights, re-entered Parliament with two seats afterRawiri Waititi won theWaiariki electorate. Populist nationalist partyNew Zealand First, led by Deputy Prime MinisterWinston Peters incoalition with Labour, suffered its worst-ever result, losing all its seats.[16][17]

Ardern moved the Labour Party further to thecentre during its campaign, promising to cut spending during the remainder ofCOVID-19 recession and controversially cancelling the government's promise to make the standard three years oftertiary education tuition-free.[18][19][20] Doing so alienated someleft-wing Labour supporters, giving the Green Party a boost in seat numbers and their victory inAuckland Central.[21] While results of opinion polls early in the year were neck-and-neck between the two major parties, Ardern and the Labour Government were praised for their response to theCOVID-19 pandemic in New Zealand. Following the Level 4 lockdown in March 2020, polls began to suggest that Labour could either attain amajority government or could govern withconfidence-and-supply from the Greens.[22] In contrast, theleadership of the National Party changed twice in less than three months, unable to improve its poor polling results after collapsing in April 2020.[23] Heading a campaign widely perceived as centrist or centre-leaning,[24][25] Labour gained support from a large demographic of moderateswing voters, many of whom had previously voted for National under John Key. Approximately 16% of Labour's voters had voted for National inthe previous election.[26][27]

Background

[edit]
Parliamentary makeup prior to the 2020 election.
Government:
  Labour (46)
  NZ First (9)
  Green (8)
Opposition:
  National (55)
  ACT (1)
  Independent (1)
Further information:Results of the 2017 New Zealand general election and52nd New Zealand Parliament

The final results of the23 September 2017 election gaveNational 56 seats, whileLabour and theGreens combined had 54 seats.New Zealand First won 9 seats and held thebalance of power; it was in a position to give either National or Labour the 61 seats needed to form a government. On 19 October 2017,Winston Peters, leader of New Zealand First, announced that he would form a coalition government with Labour.[28] On the same day,James Shaw, leader of the Green Party, announced that his party would giveconfidence and supply to a Labour–NZ First government.[29] Thus, Labour regained power after nine years in opposition, ending theFifth National Government which had been in power for three terms (2008–2017). The 2017 election also marked the first time under MMP in New Zealand that a party led a government without commanding the plurality of the party vote.[30]

On 22 May 2020,a leadership election occurred following two poor polling results for theNational Party, in whichTodd Muller replacedSimon Bridges as leader andLeader of the Opposition, andNikki Kaye replacedPaula Bennett as deputy leader of the party.[31] Muller himself then resigned on 14 July 2020 citing health reasons, leading toanother leadership election later that day, in which Collins was voted into the National leadership position.[32]

Electoral system

[edit]
Main article:Electoral system of New Zealand

New Zealand uses amixed-member proportional (MMP) voting system to elect theHouse of Representatives. Each voter gets two votes, one for a political party (the party vote) and one for a local candidate (the electorate vote). Political parties that meet thethreshold (5% of the party vote or one electorate seat) receive seats in the House in proportion to the percentage of the party vote they receive. 72 of the 120 seats are filled by the MPs elected from theelectorates, with the winner in each electorate determined by thefirst-past-the-post method (i.e. most votes wins). The remaining 48 seats are filled by candidates from each party'sclosedparty list.[30] If a party wins more electorates than seats it is entitled to under the party vote, anoverhang results; in this case, the House will add extra seats to cover the overhang.[33]

A political party or parties with the support of the majority of members in the House form theGovernment. Prior to this election, from the introduction of MMP in 1996 no single party had won enough votes to win an outright majority of seats; when no party has commanded a majority, parties have had to negotiate with other parties to form acoalition government or aminority government.[34]

Electorate boundaries

[edit]
The 2014 electoral boundaries showing electorates out of tolerance following the 2018 census and Māori electoral option. Orange electorates were more than 5% above quota and therefore had to drop population. Blue electorates were more than 5% below quota and therefore had to add population.

Electorate boundaries for the next election are required to be redrawn after eachNew Zealand census.[35] The most recent census was heldin 2018.

By law, the number ofSouth Island general electorates is fixed at 16,[36][37] with the number ofNorth Island general electorates and Māori electorates increasing or decreasing in proportion to the population. Each electorate must have the same population, with a tolerance of plus or minus five percent.[37] For the2014 and2017 elections, there were 48 North Island general electorates and 7 Māori electorates, which, along with the 16 South Island electorates, gives a nationwide total of 71 electorates.[38]

On 23 September 2019,Statistics New Zealand announced that population growth necessitated one additional North Island general electorate,[39] bringing the total number of North Island general electorates to 49 and the overall number of electorates to 72 (reducing the number of list seats available by one).[40] Statistics New Zealand also announced that 11 North Island, three South Island, and two Māori electorates were above 5% tolerance, while five South Island electorates and one Māori electorate were below 5% tolerance.[41]

The Representation Commission undertook a review of electoral boundaries. This review was commenced in October 2019 and was completed in April 2020.[42] The boundaries will apply in the 2020 general election, and the subsequent general election. In total, 36 electorates remained unchanged, 35 electorates were modified, and one new electorate created. The most significant boundary changes occurred in theAuckland,Waikato, centralCanterbury, andOtago regions, with smaller changes in theNorthland andTasman regions.[43]

The new electorate was created inSouth Auckland and namedTakanini. Taking area from the Hunua, Manurewa, and Papakura electorates, Takanini is predicted to be a National-tilting to marginal electorate.[44] Takanini's creation cascaded existing electorates north through Auckland and south through Waikato. Significant changes to the north include Manukau East takingSylvia Park andPanmure from Maungakiekie, with the electorate renamedPanmure-Ōtāhuhu; New Lynn taking the Waitakere Ranges from Helensville; Helensville takingWellsford,Warkworth and the Kowhai Coast from Rodney and Northland, with the electorate renamedKaipara ki Mahurangi; and Rodney taking Dairy Flat from Helensville and being renamedWhangaparāoa. To the south, Papakura took the entire Hunua electorate east of State Highway 1, in exchange for Hunua taking the northern part of the Waikato electorate as far south as, and including,Te Kauwhata. Hunua subsequently returned to its pre-2008 name,Port Waikato. Waikato tookTe Aroha and the remainder of the Matamata-Piako District area from Coromandel, allowing Coromandel to takeŌmokoroa from Bay of Plenty.[45]

In the South Island, Selwyn lost theRakaia area to Rangitata, Mcleans Island andChristchurch Airport to Ilam, andHornby South to Wigram. Ilam gainedAvonhead from Wigram, allowing Wigram to takeAidanfield from Port Hills, which in turn allowed Port Hills to take the entireBanks Peninsula from Selwyn. Port Hills subsequently returned to its pre-2008 name ofBanks Peninsula. Clutha-Southland lost theTuatapere-Te Waewae area to Invercargill andBalclutha,Milton and the lower Clutha Valley to Dunedin South, while gainingAlexandra,Clyde and the Clutha Valley upstream ofBeaumont from Waitaki. Waitaki in turn took thePalmerston area from Dunedin North, allowing Dunedin North to take theOtago Peninsula from Dunedin South. The Otago-Southland boundary changes saw three electorates change names: Clutha-Southland toSouthland, Dunedin North toDunedin, and Dunedin South toTaieri. In the Tasman region, the town ofBrightwater moved from Nelson to West Coast-Tasman to bring the latter electorate within quota.[45]

Two electorates had name changes to correct their spelling. Rimutaka was renamedRemutaka in line with its namesake, theRemutaka Range, which was renamed in 2017 as part of a Treaty of Waitangi settlement. TheWhangārei electorate was renamed by adding amacron to the second "a".[45]

Schedule

[edit]
Governor-General DamePatsy Reddy (right) issues the writ for the election before the chief electoral officer, Alicia Wright (left), on 13 September 2020.

Unless an early election is called or the election date is set to circumvent holding a by-election, a general election is held every three years.[46] The previous election was held on 23 September 2017.

Thegovernor-general (Patsy Reddy) must issuewrits for an election within seven days of the expiration or dissolution of the current parliament. Under section 17 of theConstitution Act 1986, parliament expires three years "from the day fixed for the return of the writs issued for the last preceding general election of members of the House of Representatives, and no longer." The writs for the 2017 election were returned on 12 October 2017;[47] as a result, the 52nd Parliament would have to dissolve no later than 12 October 2020. Consequently, the last day for issuance of the writs of election is 19 October 2020. Since the passage of the Electoral Amendment Act 2020,[48] which came into force on 11 March 2020, the writs must be returned within 60 days of their issuance (save for any judicial recount, death of a candidate, or emergency adjournment),[49] which would be 18 December 2020. Because polling day must be on a Saturday,[49] and ten days is required for counting of special votes,[50] the last possible date for this general election is 21 November 2020.[51][52]

On 28 January 2020, Ardern announced that the election would be held on 19 September,[51] with the 52nd Parliament holding its last sitting day on 6 August and dissolving on 12 August.[53] On 17 August 2020, Ardern delayed the election to 17 October,[2] with the dissolution of Parliament delayed until 6 September.[54] The writ date for the election, which was originally set for 16 August,[55] was subsequently delayed until 13 September.[56] Political parties would have had to be registered by this day to contest the party vote.[57]

The timetable for the general election was as follows:[56][58]

28 January 2020 (Tuesday)Prime Minister Ardern announces the general election will be held on 19 September.
6 July 2020 (Monday)Electoral Commission begins enrolment update campaign.
18 July 2020 (Saturday)Election hoardings may be erected (subject to local council rules).
17 August 2020 (Monday)Prime Minister Ardern changes the election date to 17 October due to theCOVID-19 pandemic.
18 August 2020 (Tuesday)The regulated election advertising period begins.
6 September 2020 (Sunday)The 52nd Parliament is dissolved.
13 September 2020 (Sunday)Writ day – Governor-General issues formal direction to the Electoral Commission to hold the election.
Last day to ordinarily enrol to vote (late enrolments must cast special votes)
Official campaigning begins; radio and television advertising begins
17 September 2020 (Thursday)Deadline (12:00) for registered parties to lodge bulk nominations of candidates and party lists.
18 September 2020 (Friday)Deadline (12:00) for individual candidates to lodge nominations.
30 September 2020 (Wednesday)Overseas voting begins
3 October 2020 (Saturday)Advance voting begins
16 October 2020 (Friday)Advance and overseas voting ends.
Last day to enrol to vote (except in-person at polling places).
The regulated election advertising period ends; all election advertising must be taken down by 23:59.
17 October 2020 (Saturday)Election day – polling places open 09:00 to 19:00.
People may enrol in-person at polling places.
Preliminary election results released progressively after 19:00
30 October 2020 (Friday)Preliminary referendum results released
6 November 2020 (Friday)Official election and referendum results declared
20 November 2020 (Friday)Writ for election returned; official declaration of elected members (subject to judicial recounts)
25 November 2020 (Wednesday)The 53rd Parliament meets for the first time

Impact of the COVID-19 pandemic

[edit]
See also:COVID-19 pandemic in New Zealand

The original date of 19 September was announced before theCOVID-19 pandemic had reached New Zealand. In April 2020, the National Party doubted that the public would be ready for an election in September, andNew Zealand First leaderWinston Peters called for the election to be delayed to 21 November.[59][60] In May 2020, Ardern said she did not intend to change the date of the election and Chief Electoral Officer Alicia Wright said that the Electoral Commission was working to the dates originally set by the Prime Minister.[61]

After new cases of community transmission in Auckland were reported on 11 August 2020, with theCOVID-19 alert level being raised to level 3 in the Auckland region and level 2 elsewhere, there were growing calls to delay the dissolution of Parliament and the election.[62] The following day, Collins called for the election to be delayed until at least after November with the aim of allowing parties more time to campaign,[63] and all major political parties suspended their campaigns.[64] Delaying the dissolution of parliament beyond 12 October 2020, and therefore the election date beyond 28 November 2020, would require a legislative amendment. As the length of the parliamentary term isentrenched, such an amendment would require a 75%supermajority to pass.[65]

On 12 August 2020, Prime Minister Ardern delayed the dissolution of Parliament until 17 August and was seeking advice from the Electoral Commission regarding the election timeline. On 17 August, Ardern announced that the general election would be pushed back to 17 October while the dissolution of Parliament would be delayed until 6 September.[2][54]

The Chief Electoral Officer has powers under the Electoral Act to delay polling at some or all polling places for up to three days due to unforeseen circumstances. This can be extended for up to seven days at a time following consultation with the Prime Minister and the Leader of the Opposition.[66]

Parties and candidates

[edit]
Further information:Candidates in the 2020 New Zealand general election by electorate andParty lists in the 2020 New Zealand general election

Political parties registered with the Electoral Commission can contest the general election as a party. To register, parties must have at least 500 financial members, an auditor, and an appropriate party name.[67] A registered party may submit a party list to contest the party vote, and can have a party campaign expenses limit in addition to limits on individual candidates' campaigns. Unregistered parties and independents can contest the electorate vote only.[68]

Seventeen of the eighteen registered parties submitted a list and contested the general election. TheMana Party did not submit a party list or apply for a broadcasting allocation, and has endorsed and offered its resources to theMāori Party.[69]

PartyLeader(s)FoundedIdeology2017 result2017 election resultSeats before electionStatus
NationalJudith Collins1936Liberal conservatism44.45%
56 / 120
54 / 120
Opposition
LabourJacinda Ardern1916Social democracy36.89%
46 / 120
46 / 120
Government
NZ FirstWinston Peters1993Nationalism,populism7.20%
9 / 120
9 / 120
Government
GreenJames Shaw /Marama Davidson1990Green politics,social democracy6.27%
8 / 120
8 / 120
Government
ACTDavid Seymour1994Classical liberalism,right-libertarianism0.50%
1 / 120
1 / 120
Opposition
Opportunities (TOP)Geoff Simmons2016Radical centrism,environmentalism2.44%00Extra-parliamentary
Māori PartyJohn Tamihere[a] /Debbie Ngarewa-Packer2004Māori rights1.18%00
Legalise CannabisMaki Herbert /Michael Appleby1996Cannabis legalisation0.31%00
New ConservativeLeighton Baker2011Conservatism,right-wing populism0.24%00
OutdoorsSue Grey / Alan Simmons2015Environmentalism,conspiracism0.06%00
Social CreditChris Leitch1953Social credit,economic democracy0.03%00
Advance NZJami-Lee Ross /Billy Te Kahika2020Conspiracism00[i]
HeartlandMark Ball2020Agrarianism00
ONEEdward Shanly / Stephanie Harawira2020Christian fundamentalism00
Sustainable NZVernon Tava2019Environmentalism,centrism00
TEAJohn Hong / Susanna Kruger2020Anti-racism,fiscal conservatism00
Vision NZHannah Tamaki2019Christian nationalism00
  1. ^Jami-Lee Ross, the leader of Advance, was an incumbent member of parliament, having been elected as a National MP in 2017 before leaving the party. However, officially he was an independent MP and not affiliated with a party.[70]

MPs not standing for re-election

[edit]
NamePartyElectorate/ListTerm in officeDate announcedNotes
David CarterNationalList1994–202017 October 2018[71]
Ruth DysonLabourPort Hills1993–20203 March 2019[72]
Alastair ScottNationalWairarapa2014–202025 June 2019[73]
Nathan GuyNationalŌtaki2005–202030 July 2019[74]
Clare CurranLabourDunedin South2008–202027 August 2019[75]
Maggie BarryNationalNorth Shore2011–20205 November 2019[76]
Gareth HughesGreenList2010–202017 November 2019[77]
Sarah DowieNationalInvercargill2014–202011 February 2020[78]Initially re-selected as Invercargill candidate
Nicky WagnerNationalList2005–2020
Clayton MitchellNZ FirstList2014–20205 June 2020[79]
Anne TolleyNationalEast Coast1999–2002
2005–2020
27 June 2020[80]Initially announced on 20 December 2019 as list-only with intention of becomingSpeaker of the House[81]
Paula BennettNationalUpper Harbour2005–202029 June 2020[82]Initially announced on 14 August 2019 as list-only[83]
Hamish WalkerNationalClutha-Southland2017–20208 July 2020Was re-selected as candidate for the Southland electorate but resigned after leaking private information of COVID-19 patients.[84]
Jian YangNationalList2011–202010 July 2020[85]
Nikki KayeNationalAuckland Central2008–202016 July 2020[86]Was re-selected as candidate for the Auckland Central electorate but resigned following the resignation of Todd Muller, to whom she was deputy.
Amy AdamsNationalSelwyn2008–2020Announced intention to retire from politics at upcoming election on 25 June 2019,[87] and a new National candidate was subsequently selected for Selwyn.[88] After aleadership change in the National Party, she reversed her decision and announced she would stand again as a list-only candidate.[89] Adams announced her retirement again shortly afterTodd Muller resigned as the party leader.
Raymond HuoLabourList2008–2014
2017–2020
21 July 2020Initially re-selected as a list-only candidate (rank 26) but later announced he would not contest the election.[90]
Iain Lees-GallowayLabourPalmerston North2008–202022 July 2020Initially re-selected as candidate for Palmerston North and ranked 13 on the Labour Party list, but later announced he would not contest the election after being removed as a Minister for having a consensual, but inappropriate relationship with a former staff member.[91]

MPs standing for re-election as list-only MPs

[edit]

Some incumbents who had previously stood in an electorate (but may have been returned as list representatives) stood as list-only candidates in the 2020 election.

NamePartyElectorate/ListTerm in officeDate announcedNotes
Kris FaafoiLabourMana2010–present8 February 2020[92]
Paulo GarciaNationalList2019–202011 February 2020[93]Stood in theNew Lynn electorate at the2017 election
Julie Anne GenterGreenList2011–present25 May 2020[94]Stood in theMount Albert electorate at the2017 election
Louisa WallLabourManurewa2008
2011–present
29 May 2020Faced two challengers at the 30 May reselection as the Labour candidate in Manurewa, but withdrew to stand as a list-only candidate[95]
Jami-Lee RossIndependent
(Advance NZ)
Botany2011–202015 September 2020Previously a National MP, Ross left that party in 2018 and began sitting as an independent. He announced he would contest Botany for the Advance New Zealand party, but later decided to only seek a list position.[96]

Campaigning

[edit]

Expense limits and broadcasting allocations

[edit]
Election hoardings lining the Dunedin Northern Motorway, August 2020

During the regulated period prior to election day, parties and candidates have limits on how much they may spend on election campaigning. The limits are updated every year to reflect inflation. It is illegal in New Zealand to campaign on election day itself, or within 10 metres of an advance polling booth.[97]

For the 2020 general election, the regulated period ran from 18 August to 16 October 2020. Every registered party contending the party vote was permitted to spend$1,199,000 plus $28,200 per electorate candidate on campaigning during the regulated period, excluding radio and television campaigning (broadcasting funding is allocated separately). For example, a registered party with candidates in all 72 electorates was permitted to spend $3,229,400 on campaigning for the party vote. Electorate candidates were permitted to spend $28,200 each on campaigning for the electorate vote.[98]

Registered parties are allocated a separate broadcasting budget for radio and television campaigning. Only money from the broadcasting allocation can be used to purchase airtime; production costs can come from the general election expenses budget. The Electoral Commission determines how much broadcasting funding each party gets, set out by part 6 of theBroadcasting Act 1989. The allocation is based a number of factors including the number of seats in the current Parliament, results of the previous general election and any by-elections since, and support in opinion polls.[99]

A joint statement was released on 9 June 2020 by theSocial Credit Party,Māori Party,New Conservative Party,New Zealand Outdoors Party, andAotearoa Legalise Cannabis Party in which they condemn the broadcasting allocations and call for reform.[100]

An initial broadcasting statement was released from the Electoral Commission on 29 May 2020, including parties that have not yet registered but intend to.[101] The broadcasting allocation was revised on 11 September 2020, redistributing funds from parties that failed to register in time for the election.[102] For comparison, the cost of a 30-second slot onTVNZ in October 2020 ranged from $250 in overnight slots up to $22,000 for slots during the1 News at 6pm bulletin.[103][104]

PartyBroadcasting
allocation (NZD)
National$1,335,255
Labour$1,249,111
Green$323,046
NZ First$323,046
ACT$150,755
Māori Party$150,755
Opportunities$150,755
Advance NZ$64,609
Legalise Cannabis$64,609
New Conservative$64,609
ONE$53,840
Outdoors$53,840
Social Credit$53,840
Sustainable NZ$53,840
Vision NZ$53,840

Third-party promoters, such as trade unions andlobby groups, can campaign during the regulated period. The maximum expense limit for the election is $338,000 for those promoters registered with the Electoral Commission, and $13,600 for unregistered promoters.[98] As of 29 September 2020[update], the following third-party promoters were registered for the general election (i.e. excluding those solely registered for one or both of the referendums).[105]

Party campaigns

[edit]

After the announcement of 19 September as election date, parties started their campaigns.[106] Party campaigns throughout 2020 were heavily impacted by COVID-19, with parties unable to host events duringalert levels 3 and 4.

National

[edit]

The National Party initially chosePaula Bennett as itscampaign manager. (All previous elections since2005 had seen National withSteven Joyce as campaign manager.[106]) On 2 February 2020, Simon Bridges announced that National would not want to form a coalition with New Zealand First after the election should NZ First become kingmaker once again. Bridges stated: "I can't trust New Zealand First", adding that "A vote for NZ First is a vote for Labour and the Greens".[107] Bridges said that he would, however, be open to working with ACT.[108] NZ First leader Winston Peters criticised Bridges' decision, saying that "narrowing your options can be the worst strategic move you will ever make".[107]

Owing to the four-weeklockdown in New Zealand from 23 March duringthe COVID-19 pandemic, National temporarily suspended their campaign on the same day.[109]

On 22 May 2020, following low poll results for National in the week prior, aNational parliamentary caucus meeting replaced Simon Bridges and Paula Bennett with Todd Muller and Nikki Kaye as leader and deputy leader respectively. In his first speech as leader, Muller expressed his openness to working with Winston Peters and New Zealand First after the election.[110] In conjunction with a reshuffle of caucus responsibilities on 25 May, Muller announced that the party had replaced Bennett as campaign manager withGerry Brownlee.[111] On 14 July 2020 Muller himself resigned as National Party leader, citing mental health issues.[112] An emergency party caucus meeting replaced him later that night with Collins, with Gerry Brownlee becoming the new deputy leader.[113]

After new cases of community transmission in Auckland were reported on 11 August, with the alert level being raised to level 3 in Auckland and level 2 elsewhere, National halted their campaigning for the duration of the lockdown.[62]

On 17 July, National announced they would spend $31 billion on transport projects over the coming decade and would abolish the Auckland regional fuel tax.[114]On 11 September, National announced that they would allowelectric vehicles in bus lanes, make one third of the Government's light vehicle fleet electric by 2023, and aim to have 80,000 electric vehicles in use by 2023 (four times more than there currently were).[115]On 15 September, they announced a $30 million policy to improve children's dental care.[116]On 29 September, National announced they would double funding for theSerious Fraud Office to $25 million annually and rename it to the Serious Fraud and Anti-corruption Agency.[117]

Labour

[edit]

Megan Woods was chosen as campaign manager.[106] On 29 January 2020, Ardern announced theNew Zealand Upgrade Programme, aNZ$12 billion infrastructure improvement package.[118] After new cases of community transmission in Auckland were reported on 11 August, with the alert level being raised to level 3 in Auckland and level 2 elsewhere, Labour halted their campaigning for the duration of the lockdown.[62]

On 7 September, Ardern committed to makingMatariki apublic holiday from 2022 if Labour was re-elected.[119] On 9 September, Finance spokesperson Grant Robertson announced that Labour would reintroduce the top 39%tax bracket for income above $180,000, applying to 2% of people. He said the new rate would generate around $550 million a year in revenue, needed to pay off the debt incurred by the COVID-19 response plan.[120] On 10 September, Ardern announced Labour would aim to makeelectricity in New Zealand 100% renewable by 2030, five years before the previous target of 2035. This would be done by banning the building of new coal or gas power plants, boostingthe solar sector, and speeding up the consent process for renewable energy projects.[121]

NZ First

[edit]

New Zealand First leaderWinston Peters named the provincial growth fund in its current form as his first bottom line for any post-election coalition talks. Peters also outlined the party's immigration policy ahead of the election, saying: "The current immigration track must stop and only New Zealand First, with a stronger hand in 2020, can make this happen", and "a vote for New Zealand First will see the permanent residency qualification raised from two to five years". Peters also said the party wanted to lead a public discussion with voters about a "population policy", including defining acceptable population growth and the time for a migrant to obtain permanent residency.[122][123] At the campaign launch on 19 July 2020, Peters promised a cap of 15,000 highly skilled immigrants and recruiting 1,000 new police officers.[124] After new cases of community transmission in Auckland were reported on 11 August, with the alert level being raised to level 3 in Auckland and level 2 elsewhere, New Zealand First halted their campaigning.[62]

Green

[edit]

On 28 June 2020, the Green Party released a Poverty Action Plan, which included aguaranteed minimum income of $325 a week. Green co-leaderMarama Davidson stated that "Our Guaranteed Minimum Income is about fairness. It's about ensuring those who have done well under our current system pay it forward and share that success with people who are struggling."[125][126] This was followed up by the launch of a Clean Energy Plan, to ensure a "just transition away from fossil fuels". The plan included a pledge to establish a Clean Energy Industry Training Plan and to end coal use in New Zealand by 2030.[127][128] The Green Party launched a 52-page "Think Ahead, Act Now" election platform on 25 July 2020. Green co-leaderJames Shaw described it as "a reference document that will guide our caucus and our ministers as we navigate the everyday choices that our Government will have to make."[129] After new cases of community transmission in Auckland were reported on 11 August, with the alert level being raised to level 3 in Auckland and level 2 elsewhere, the Green Party halted their campaigning for the duration of the lockdown.[62] On 15 September, Shaw announced that the Green Party would propose a bill that makes it mandatory for large companies to make annual disclosures about theimpact of climate change on their businesses and declare strategies for mitigating these impacts.[130]

The Green Party campaigned for the electorate vote in the electorates ofAuckland Central andTāmaki Makaurau.[131][132]

ACT

[edit]

ACT launched their party campaign on 12 July 2020. ACT party leaderDavid Seymour criticised the government's COVID-19 response as "clearly, demonstrably unsustainable", and called for the open pursuing of "having the world's smartest border, not as a rhetorical device, but a practical reality." The party also unveiled a new employment insurance scheme, with 0.55% of income tax being paid to a ring-fenced insurance fund. If someone became unemployed, they would be able to claim 55% of their average weekly earnings over the year up to $60,000.[133][134] After new cases of community transmission in Auckland were reported on 11 August, with the alert level being raised to level 3 in Auckland and level 2 elsewhere, ACT cancelled its upcoming campaign events.[62]

Māori

[edit]

TheMāori Party launched their campaign on 20 June 2020 at theHoani Waititi Marae, with a flagship "Whānau First" policy, ensuring that a quarter of government spending over the next two years is spent on projects led by Māori and involving Māori-led businesses. Māori Party co-leaderDebbie Ngarewa-Packer was quoted as saying that "Māori must be guaranteed resources for Māori recovery, we cannot go backwards to how we were living pre-COVID – that is not an option for our whānau, too many of whom are struggling just to survive".[135][136] Crushed in the last election due to voters inMāori electorates greatly choosing Labour over theMāori Party, co-leaderJohn Tamihere made it clear they would not re-enter a coalition government with National like they did in previous terms of Parliament.[137] On 19 July 2020, the party released a climate change policy, involving an end to new offshore oil and gas permits, as well as withdrawing existing onshore and offshore permits with the goal of ending the oil and gas industry by 2030. The party would also ban newseabed mining permits and withdraw existing permits, as well as establish a $1 billion Pūngao Auaha for "Māori-owned community energy projects and solar panel and insulation instillations".[138][139] On 14 September, the party announced their major policies, including changing the official name of the country toAotearoa by 2026, restoring the original Māori names of all towns and cities, requiring primary schools to incorporate Māori language into 25% and later 50% of the curriculum, and requiring all state-funded broadcasters to have a basic fluency level of Māori.[140]

New Conservative

[edit]

The New Conservatives ruled out an alliance with both theLabour-led coalition and Billy Te Kahika Jr'sNew Zealand Public Party.[141][142] The party received a broadcasting allocation of $62,186 for the 2020 election.[143] The party made headlines during the campaign following repeated vandalism of their advertising in multiple cities,[144][145][146] for posting a meme comparing a New Conservative candidate toNelson Mandela andAbraham Lincoln,[147] and when a candidate repeatedly and falsely claimed to be an ambassador for theCancer Society charity.[148]

On 6 October 2020, party leader Leighton Baker mounted a legal challenge at theAuckland High Court to protest the party's exclusion from public broadcasterTVNZ's Minor Party debate scheduled for 8 October. To qualify for inclusion in the debate, parties not represented in Parliament must score at least 3 percent in the1News Colmar-Brunton Poll held during the last six months. The hearing was held on 7 October.[149][150] The High Court dismissed the New Conservatives' bid, ruling in favour of TVNZ.[151][152]

On 10 October 2020, it was reported that the New Conservatives'Instagram page had been hacked the previous day with pro-LGBT messages posted on their message feed. In addition, screenshots of the party's logo were shown in rainbow colours. The hack was condemned by party leader Baker and deputy party leader Ikilei, who accused their opponents of intolerance.[153][154] According toNZME journalist Ethan Griffiths, the hacker had temporarily gained access to the New Conservative Instagram account by posing as Deputy Leader Ikilei on Instagram.[153]

Advance NZ

[edit]

Advance NZ launched their campaign on 26 July 2020, merging with theNew Zealand Public Party, a party described as "conspiracy theory-driven".[155] The Public Party is to keep their identity and structure, but with the exception ofBilly Te Kahika inTe Tai Tokerau, who is running on the Public Party name, all candidates will run as Advance NZ candidates.Jami-Lee Ross, MP forBotany and Te Kahika are to become co-leaders of Advance NZ. Ross stated in regards to the merger that "By forming an alliance of parties, together with other small parties that believe in greater freedom and democracy, we stand a stronger chance of uniting together and crossing the 5 percent threshold in to Parliament," and branded Advance NZ "the newAlliance Party of the 2020s, but a centrist version of that model".[156] At the launch, Te Kahika promised an immediate repeal of theCOVID-19 Public Health Response Act 2020.[157] Ross also reportedly told the NZ Herald that the party was in talks with six smaller parties about joining Advance NZ.[158] On 6 August 2020, the party was registered with the Electoral Commission.[159]

Debates

[edit]

Television New Zealand (TVNZ) hosted three television leaders' debates: two between the National and Labour leaders, and one multi-party debate. The first National–Labour debate was moderated byJohn Campbell, with the multi party debate and second National–Labour debate hosted by Jessica Mutch McKay. A young voters debate was hosted byJack Tame.[160] Newshub Nation hosted a "power brokers" debate, which included the Māori Party, with the inclusion threshold being having held a seat in Parliament over the past 2 parliamentary terms.[161] This was confirmed on 27 August 2020, when Newshub announced a leaders' debate on 30 September between National and Labour, and a "powerbrokers" debate which included the Greens, ACT and the Māori Party.[162]

TVNZ qualification criteria

[edit]

The inclusion criteria set by TVNZ for its multi-party debate was either having current representation in Parliament or winning 3% in a poll, which sparked controversy as those criteria excluded minor parties such as theMāori Party,The Opportunities Party and theNew Conservative Party from the debate. Māori Party co-leaderJohn Tamihere said TVNZ had a responsibility to "reflect Māori perspectives, as laid out in ministerial direction". Race Relations CommissionerMeng Foon endorsed the Māori Party position.[163][161][164] The requirements were modified on 8 September 2020, when TVNZ broadened their criteria to use previous parliamentary representation as a marker, including the Māori Party.[165] The parliamentary criterion was expanded to include "leaders of registered parties where the leader has been an MP, or party has been represented, in either/both of the past two parliaments."[166]

Qualifying parties for the TVNZ multi-party debate
PartyMet polling criterion
(≥3% in any Colmar Brunton poll)
Met parliamentary criterion
(Having seats in either of
the last two Parliaments)
Attending
debate
LabourYes
(48% in September 2020 poll)
YesNo
NationalYes
(35% in September 2020 poll)
YesNo
ACTYes
(8% in September 2020 poll)
YesYes
GreenYes
(6% in September 2020 poll)
YesYes
NZ FirstYes
(3.3% in February 2020 poll)
YesYes
Māori PartyNo
(0.9% in September 2020 poll)
YesYes
Advance NZNo
(0.8% in September 2020 poll)
YesYes
New ConservativeNo
(1.6% in September 2020 poll)
NoNo
OpportunitiesNo
(1.1% in September 2020 poll)
NoNo
Legalise CannabisNo
(0.2% in September 2020 poll)
NoNo
OutdoorsNo
(0.2% in September 2020 poll)
NoNo
Sustainable NZNo
(0.1% in September 2020 poll)
NoNo
ONENo
(0.2% in July 2020 poll)
NoNo
Social CreditNo
(0.1% in June 2020 poll)
NoNo
Vision NZNo
(0.1% in May 2020 poll)
NoNo
HeartlandNoNoNo
TEANoNoNo

Table of major debates

[edit]
DateTime (NZT)Organiser(s)SubjectParticipants
NationalLabourNZ FirstGreenACTAdvance NZMāoriTOPVision NZ
6 August17:30–19:30CID[167]Foreign affairsPresent
Bridges
Present
Parker
Present
Tabuteau
Present
Shaw
Present
Seymour
Not invitedNot invitedNot invitedNot invited
18 September11:45–13:15WasteMINZ[168]Waste and environmentPresent
Simpson
Present
Parker
AbsentPresent
Sage
Present
Court
Not invitedAbsentPresent
Christie
Not invited
22 September[169]19:00–20:30TVNZ[160]Leaders' debatePresent
Collins
Present
Ardern
Not invitedNot invitedNot invitedNot invitedNot invitedNot invitedNot invited
22 September19:00–20:30ASB/Newshub[170]FinancePresent
Goldsmith
Present
Robertson
Present
Tabuteau
Present
Shaw
Present
Seymour
Not invitedNot invitedNot invitedNot invited
24 September[171]18:00–21:00[171]Te Taumata Toi-a-Iwi[171]Arts and culturePresent
Young
Present
Sepuloni
AbsentPresent
Swarbrick
AbsentNot invitedNot invitedNot invitedNot invited
28 September[169]TVNZ/University of Auckland[160]Young votersPresent
Brown
Present
Allan
Present
Griffith
Present
Swarbrick
Present
van Velden
Not invitedNot invitedNot invitedNot invited
30 SeptemberFrom 19:30Newshub[162]Leaders' debatePresent
Collins
Present
Ardern
Not invitedNot invitedNot invitedNot invitedNot invitedNot invitedNot invited
3 October
(filmed 1 October)
From 09:30NewshubNation[162][172]Minor partiesNot invitedNot invitedPresent
Peters
Present
Davidson
Present
Seymour
Not invitedPresent
Tamihere
Not invitedNot invited
6 OctoberFrom 19:00Māori Television[173]Multi-party debate in theMāori languageAbsentPresent
Henare
Present
Jones
Present
Tuiono
AbsentNot invitedPresent
Waititi
Not invitedPresent
Wilcox
6 October[169]From 19:00Stuff[169]Leaders' debatePresent
Collins
Present
Ardern
Not invitedNot invitedNot invitedNot invitedNot invitedNot invitedNot invited
8 October[169]From 19:00TVNZ[160][174]Multi-party debateAbsentAbsentPresent
Peters
Present
Shaw
Present
Seymour
Present
Ross
Present
Tamihere
Not invitedNot invited
15 October[169]From 19:00TVNZ[160]Leaders' debatePresent
Collins
Present
Ardern
Not invitedNot invitedNot invitedNot invitedNot invitedNot invitedNot invited

Opinion polls

[edit]
Main article:Opinion polling for the 2020 New Zealand general election

Various organisations commissioned opinion polling for the general election. Two main polling organisations regularly sampled the electorates' opinions: Reid Research (on behalf ofMediaWorks New Zealand) andColmar Brunton (on behalf ofTVNZ). Roy Morgan Research released a series of polls in June 2020, covering the first five months of the year, and subsequently released monthly polls. These were their first opinion polls in New Zealand since November 2017.

Graphical summary of polls conducted for the 2020 New Zealand general election. Results as of the end of 17 October (election day) are indicated with diamonds.

Seat projections

[edit]

The use ofmixed-member proportional representation allows ready conversion of a party's support into a party vote percentage and therefore a number of seats in Parliament. Projections assume the new electorate ofTakanini will be won by either Labour or National[175] and thatBotany will be returned to National.[176][177] Projections that show the National Party winning fewer than 41 total seats (41 being the number of electorate seats held by National during the 52nd Parliament) assume that National will lose at least enough electorates to avoid an overhang. Parties that do not hold an electorate seat and poll below 5% are assumed to win zero seats. Otherwise, projections assume no material change to the electorate seats held by each party. Parties that do not hold an electorate seat and poll below 5% are assumed to win zero seats.

When determining the scenarios for the overall result, the minimum parties necessary to form majority governments are listed (provided parties have indicated openness to working together). Actual governments formed may include other parties beyond the minimum required for a majority; this happened after the2014 election, when National only needed one seat from another party to reach a 61-seat majority, but instead chose to form a 64-seat government with Māori, ACT and United Future.[178]

SourceSeats in Parliament[i]Likely
government
formation(s)
NATLABNZFGRNACTMRITotal
Roy Morgan[179]
Sep 2020 poll
386101290120Labour (61)
1 News–Colmar Brunton[180]
10–14 Oct 2020 poll
4059011100120Labour–Green (70)
Newshub–Reid Research[181]
8–15 Oct 2020 poll
416108100120Labour (61)
2020 result3365010102120Labour (65)
  1. ^Forecasted seats are calculated using the Electoral Commission'sMMP seat allocation calculator, based on polling results.

Voting

[edit]

EasyVote packs were sent to voters starting on 28 September 2020. These packs contain the voter's personalised EasyVote card, which is used by polling booth staff to help identify and locate the voter on the electoral roll. It also included flyers on the voting process and two referendums. On 5 October 2020,The Spinoff reported that four EasyVote packs in Northland allegedly contained a flyer from Votesafe, a third-party promoter opposing the End of Life Choice Act. Votesafe confirmed its flyers were printed at the same facility as the Electoral Commission's flyers, and both Votesafe and the Electoral Commission were investigating.[182][183]

Advance voting began on 3 October at 450 polling locations, increasing to 2,600 locations on election day, 17 October. TheElectoral Commission estimated that 60% of votes would occur during the advance voting period, up from 47% in 2017.[184] On 12 October, the number of advance votes cast passed the 1,240,740 advance votes cast overall at the 2017 election.[185]Overall, 1,976,996 advance votes were cast, 66.7% of all votes cast.[186] The polling booth at North City Shopping Centre inPorirua was the busiest advance polling booth with 13,371 votes cast, while the polling booth at theSelwyn District Council headquarters inRolleston was the busiest election-day polling booth with 1,601 votes cast.[187]

Voters on the Māori roll faced issues with receivingMāori electorate ballots due to high demand during advance voting, leading to some people having to castspecial votes instead.[188]

On 5 October, an error was discovered onPort Waikato electorate ballot papers, where there was no circle to tick next toVision NZ on the party vote ballot. The Electoral Commission subsequently reprinted the ballot papers. Provided the voter's intention is clear, a tick or other mark placed outside the circle will still be counted as a valid vote.[189][190]

The Electoral Commission referred two people toPolice after they claimed to havevoted multiple times, one on 5 October and another on 14 October.[191][192]

In September 2023, the Electoral Commission released a report which found that 16% ofAsian New Zealanders had a "poor" or "very poor" understanding of the New Zealand voting process during the 2020 election, compared to 9% of non-Asians. The report also found that Asians were less confident that the New Zealand elections would be free from influence but were more likely to be motivated to "make a change" when voting. Asian New Zealanders were also less engaged with the EasyVote information package, television advertisements and informational pamphlets but were more likely to notice election advertising on signs and bus shelters. Asian voters were less familiar with voting instructions, candidates, and parties on ballot papers. Despite these negative findings, the report also found that Asian satisfaction with the voting process had improved since the 2017 election.[193]

Results

[edit]
Main article:Results of the 2020 New Zealand general election
Results of the 2020 general election. From left to right: general electorate winners, Māori electorate winners, and numbers ofList MPs.
Map of party votes in each electorate. Labour won the most party votes in 71 of the 72 electorates, losing onlyEpsom.

Preliminary results were gradually released after polling booths close at 19:00 (NZDT) on 17 October.[56] The preliminary count only includes advance ordinary and election day ordinary votes; it does not include anyspecial votes, which have a deadline ten days later (27 October).[50] Special votes include votes from those who enrolled after the deadline of 13 September, those who voted outside their electorate (including all overseas votes), voters in hospital or prison, and those voters enrolled on the unpublished roll.[194] Official results, including all recounted ordinary votes and special votes, were released by the Electoral Commission on 6 November 2020.[56]

On the official results, the Labour Party won 65 seats, a majority of four–the party's biggest victory in 50 years.[195] The Labour Party's 50.0%[196] vote share in this election is the third highest throughout its 104-year history, only surpassed by its election victories in1938 (55.8%)[197] and1946 (51.3%).[197] It is the first time under the currentmixed-member proportional representation (MMP) electoral system that a party has won a majority of parliamentary seats.[198] The National Party obtained 25.6%[199] of the popular vote and 33 seats[200] in Parliament, which represented its worst result since2002 (where it obtained 20.9%[201] of the popular vote), its second worst historical result, and in terms of the difference between National's and Labour's vote share the worst election outcome since the party's founding in 1936.[202][203] National's leader Collins conceded the election just after 10pm on election night, but said in her concession speech that "[National] will be back".[204][205]

The results of the "COVID-19 election"[206] led to the flipping of many traditionally "blue" National-voting provincial seats, with often more than comfortable margins. Examples wereWairarapa,[207]East Coast,[208]Ōtaki,[209] andRangitata,[210] the latter having never previously voted for Labour.[211] In another devastating blow to National's heartlands, every city exceptAuckland (including theHibiscus Coast),Tauranga,Rotorua andInvercargill gave their seats entirely to Labour.[b] Victims of National seat losses were National deputy leaderGerry Brownlee, who had heldIlam for its entire existence;Chris Bishop, considered a rising star,[212] who unexpectedly flippedHutt South for National in2017; andFather of the HouseNick Smith, member forNelson since1990. Three electorates flipped to Labour following the inclusion of special votes:Northland,Whangārei andMaungakiekie.[213] Labour also flippedHamilton West, the country'sbellwether; in 15 of the 17 general elections since the electorate's formation in 1969, the candidate winning the electorate vote in Hamilton West has been from the party that would form the government, the two exceptions being1993 and 2017.[214]

In a surprise victory, list MPChlöe Swarbrick won theAuckland Centralelectoral seat vacated by National's retiringNikki Kaye, with a margin of 1,068 votes over Labour'sHelen White, thus winning for theGreen Party an electorate seat for the first time since1999.[215][216] Swarbrick's victory was notable as she garnered 3,923[216] more votes within the same electorate than her ownGreen Party, a prime example of voters being engaged insplit-ticket voting; however, it was highly unusual as numerous voters who supported a major party also voted for an electorate MP from a minor party.[217] The Māori Party also returned to Parliament due to the election ofRawiri Waititi in the seat ofWaiariki, a seat which the party had lost three years prior.[218] This makesTāmati Coffey the only Labour electorate MP to lose their electorate, however due to his list placing, Coffey returned to parliament through the list.[219]

The 2020 general election saw the election of New Zealand's firstAfrican MP (Ibrahim Omer), firstSri Lankan-born MP (Vanushi Walters) and first Latin American MP (Ricardo Menéndez March).[220] Six newLGBT+ MPs were elected (Menéndez March,Glen Bennett,Ayesha Verrall,Shanan Halbert,Elizabeth Kerekere,Tangi Utikere), making the New Zealand House of Representatives the national parliament with the highest percentage of LGBT+ members in the world.[221][222]

Parties and candidates have three working days after the release of the official results to apply for ajudicial recount. These recounts take place under the auspices of aDistrict Court judge (the Chief District Court Judge in case of a nationwide recount).[223][224] National MP Matt King announced he would seek a recount in the Northland electorate, after he lost the electorate to Labour's Willow-Jean Prime by 163 votes,[225] but later changed his mind and conceded.[226]

Detailed results

[edit]
Summary of the17 October 2020 election for theHouse of Representatives[227]
PartyParty voteElectorate vote sumTotal
seats
+/-
Votes%Change
(pp)
SeatsVotes%Change
(pp)
Seats
Labour1,443,54550.01Increase13.12191,357,50148.07Increase10.194665Increase19
National738,27525.58Decrease18.8710963,84534.13Decrease9.922333Decrease23
Green226,7577.86Increase1.599162,2455.74Decrease1.17110Increase2
ACT219,0317.59Increase7.08997,6973.46Increase2.45110Increase9
NZ First75,0202.60Decrease4.60030,2091.07Decrease4.3800Decrease9
Opportunities (TOP)43,4491.51Decrease0.94025,1810.89Decrease0.1400Steady
New Conservative42,6131.48Increase1.24049,5981.76Increase1.5200Steady
Māori Party33,6301.17Decrease0.01160,8372.15Increase0.0412Increase2
Advance NZ28,4290.98new025,0540.89new00new
Legalise Cannabis13,3290.46Increase0.1508,0440.28Increase0.1200Steady
ONE8,1210.28new06,8300.24new00new
Vision NZ4,2370.15new02,1390.08new00new
Outdoors3,2560.11Increase0.0507,9820.28Increase0.2300Steady
TEA2,4140.08new02,7640.10new00new
Sustainable NZ1,8800.07new02,4210.09new00new
Social Credit1,5200.05Increase0.0202,6990.11Decrease0.0900Steady
Heartland9140.03new08,4620.30new00new
Unregistered parties3,3910.12Increase0.0800Steady
Independent7,2990.26Decrease0.2400Steady
Valid votes2,886,42098.88Increase0.342,824,19896.75Increase0.58
Informal votes21,3720.73Increase0.3257,1381.96Increase0.80
Disallowed votes11,2810.39Decrease0.6637,7372.66Decrease1.37
Belowelectoral threshold225,1827.71
Total2,919,073100482,919,07310072120
Eligible voters andturnout3,549,58082.24Increase2.493,549,58082.24Increase2.49
Electorate vote
Labour
48.07%
National
34.13%
Green
5.74%
ACT
3.46%
Māori
2.15%
New Conservative
1.76%
NZ First
1.07%
Others
3.62%
Party vote
Labour
50.01%
National
25.58%
Green
7.86%
ACT
7.59%
NZ First
2.60%
Opportunities
1.51%
New Conservative
1.48%
Māori
1.17%
Others
2.22%
Parliament seats
Labour
54.17%
National
27.50%
Green
8.33%
ACT
8.33%
Māori
1.67%

Electorate results

[edit]
Party affiliation of winning electorate candidates.
See also:Candidates in the 2020 New Zealand general election by electorate

The table below shows the results of the 2020 general election:

Key

  National
  Labour
  ACT
  Green
  NZ First
  New Conservative
  Opportunities
  Māori Party
  Heartland
  Advance NZ
  Legalise Cannabis
  Vision NZ
  Independent

Electorate results of the 2020 New Zealand general election[228][229]
ElectorateIncumbentWinnerMajorityRunner upThird place
Auckland CentralNikki KayeChlöe Swarbrick1,068Helen WhiteEmma Mellow
Banks PeninsulaNew electorateTracey McLellan13,156Catherine ChuEugenie Sage
Bay of PlentyTodd Muller3,415Angie Warren-ClarkBruce Carley
BotanyJami-Lee RossChristopher Luxon3,999Naisi ChenDamien Smith
Christchurch CentralDuncan Webb14,098Dale StephensChrys Horn
Christchurch EastPoto Williams17,336Lincoln PlattNikki Berry
CoromandelScott Simpson3,505Nathaniel BlomfieldPamela Grealey
DunedinNew electorateDavid Clark15,521Michael WoodhouseJack Brazil
East CoastAnne TolleyKiri Allan6,331Tania TapsellMeredith Akuhata-Brown
East Coast BaysErica Stanford8,764Monina HernandezDan Jones
EpsomDavid Seymour9,224Camilla BelichPaul Goldsmith
Hamilton EastDavid BennettJamie Strange2,973David BennettRimu Bhooi
Hamilton WestTim MacindoeGaurav Sharma6,267Tim MacindoeRoger Weldon
Hutt SouthChris BishopGinny Andersen3,777Chris BishopRichard McIntosh
IlamGerry BrownleeSarah Pallett3,463Gerry BrownleeDavid Bennett
InvercargillSarah DowiePenny Simmonds224Liz CraigRochelle Francis
KaikōuraStuart Smith2,295Matt FlightRichard McCubbin
Kaipara ki MahurangiNew electorateChris Penk4,435Marja LubeckBeth Houlbrooke
KelstonCarmel Sepuloni15,660Bala BeeramJessamine Fraser
ManaKris FaafoiBarbara Edmonds16,224Jo HayesJan Logie
MāngereWilliam Sio19,396Agnes LoheniPeter Brian Sykes
ManurewaLouisa WallArena Williams17,179Nuwi SamarakoneJohn Hall
MaungakiekieDenise LeePriyanca Radhakrishnan635Denise LeeRicardo Menéndez March
Mount AlbertJacinda Ardern21,246Melissa LeeLuke Wijohn
Mount RoskillMichael Wood13,853Parmjeet ParmarGolriz Ghahraman
NapierStuart Nash5,856Katie NimonJames Crow
NelsonNick SmithRachel Boyack4,525Nick SmithAaron Stallard
New LynnDeborah Russell13,134Lisa WhyteSteve Abel
New PlymouthJonathan YoungGlen Bennett2,555Jonathan YoungMurray Chong
North ShoreMaggie BarrySimon Watts3,734Romy UdangaLiz Rawlings
NorthcoteDan BidoisShanan Halbert2,534Dan BidoisNatasha Fairley
NorthlandMatt KingWillow-Jean Prime163Matt KingShane Jones
ŌhāriuGreg O'Connor11,961Brett HudsonJessica Hammond
ŌtakiNathan GuyTerisa Ngobi2,988Tim CostleyBernard Long
PakurangaSimeon Brown10,050Nerissa HenryLawrence Xu-Nan
Palmerston NorthIain Lees-GallowayTangi Utikere12,508William WoodTeanau Tuiono
Panmure-ŌtāhuhuNew electorateJenny Salesa18,626Kanwaljit Singh BakshiMark Simiona
PapakuraJudith Collins5,583Anahila Kanongata'a-SuisuikiSue Cowie
Port WaikatoNew electorateAndrew Bayly4,313Baljit KaurMark Ball
RangitataVacant[c]Jo Luxton4,408Megan HandsHamish Hutton
RangitīkeiIan McKelvie2,961Soraya Peke-MasonAli Hale Tilley
RemutakaChris Hipkins20,497Mark CrofskeyChris Norton
RongotaiPaul Eagle19,207Teall CrossenDavid Patterson
RotoruaTodd McClay825Claire MahonKaya Sparke
SelwynAmy AdamsNicola Grigg4,968Reuben DavidsonStuart Armstrong
SouthlandNew electorateJoseph Mooney5,645Jon MitchellDavid Kennedy
TaieriNew electorateIngrid Leary12,398Liam KernaghanScott Willis
TakaniniNew electorateNeru Leavasa7,724Rima NakhleMike McCormick
TāmakiSimon O'Connor8,068Shirin BrownSylvia Boys
Taranaki-King CountryBarbara Kuriger3,134Angela RobertsBrent Miles
TaupōLouise Upston5,119Ala' Al-BustanjiDanna Glendining
TaurangaSimon Bridges1,856Jan TinettiJosh Cole
Te AtatūPhil Twyford10,508Alfred NgaroScott Hindman
TukitukiLawrence YuleAnna Lorck1,590Lawrence YuleChris Perley
Upper HarbourPaula BennettVanushi Walters2,392Jake BezzantRyan Nicholls
WaikatoTim van de Molen5,216Kerrin LeoniJames McDowall
WaimakaririMatt Doocey1,507Dan RosewarneLeighton Baker
WairarapaAlastair ScottKieran McAnulty6,545Mike ButterickRon Mark
WaitakiJacqui Dean3,281Liam WairepoSampsa Kiuru
Wellington CentralGrant Robertson18,878Nicola WillisJames Shaw
West Coast-TasmanDamien O'Connor6,208Maureen PughSteve Richards
WhanganuiHarete HipangoSteph Lewis8,191Harete HipangoAlan Clay
WhangaparāoaNew electorateMark Mitchell7,823Lorayne FergusonPaul Grace
WhangāreiShane RetiEmily Henderson431Shane RetiDavid Seymour[d]
WigramMegan Woods14,770Hamish CampbellRichard Wesley
Māori electorates
Hauraki-WaikatoNanaia Mahuta9,660Donna Pokere-PhillipsPhilip Lambert
Ikaroa-RāwhitiMeka Whaitiri6,045Heather Te Au-SkipworthElizabeth Kerekere
Tāmaki MakaurauPeeni Henare927John TamihereMarama Davidson
Te Tai HauāuruAdrian Rurawhe1,053Debbie Ngarewa-PackerNoeline Apiata
Te Tai TokerauKelvin Davis8,164Mariameno Kapa-KingiMaki Herbert
Te Tai TongaRino Tirikatene6,855Tākuta FerrisAriana Paretutanganui-Tamati
WaiarikiTāmati CoffeyRawiri Waititi836Tāmati CoffeyHannah Tamaki

In above table, majority denotes the winning candidate's lead over the second place candidate.

List results

[edit]
Further information:Party lists in the 2020 New Zealand general election

The followinglist candidates were elected:

LabourNationalGreenACTMāori

Andrew Little (07)
David Parker (09)
Trevor Mallard (11)
Kris Faafoi (15)
Ayesha Verrall (17)
Willie Jackson (19)
Louisa Wall (27)
Camilla Belich (30)
Jan Tinetti (32)
Marja Lubeck (34)
Angie Warren-Clark (35)
Tāmati Coffey (37)
Naisi Chen (38)
Liz Craig (41)
Ibrahim Omer (42)
Anahila Kanongata'a-Suisuiki (44)
Rachel Brooking (46)
Helen White (48)
Angela Roberts (50)

Gerry Brownlee (02)
Paul Goldsmith (03)
Shane Reti (05)
Chris Bishop (07)
David Bennett (11)
Michael Woodhouse (12)
Nicola Willis (13)
Melissa Lee (16)
Nick Smith (18)
Maureen Pugh (19)

Marama Davidson (01)
James Shaw (02)
Julie Anne Genter (04)
Jan Logie (05)
Eugenie Sage (06)
Golriz Ghahraman (07)
Teanau Tuiono (08)
Elizabeth Kerekere (09)
Ricardo Menéndez March (10)

Brooke van Velden (02)
Nicole McKee (03)
Chris Baillie (04)
Simon Court (05)
James McDowall (06)
Karen Chhour (07)
Mark Cameron (08)
Toni Severin (09)
Damien Smith (10)

Debbie Ngarewa-Packer (01)

MPs who lost their seats

[edit]
NamePartyElectorate/ListTerm in office
Jami-Lee RossAdvance NZBotany2011–2020
Tim MacindoeNationalHamilton East2008–2020
Denise LeeNationalMaungakiekie2017–2020
Jonathan YoungNationalNew Plymouth2008–2020
Dan BidoisNationalNorthcote2018–2020
Matt KingNationalNorthland2017–2020
Harete HipangoNationalWhanganui2017–2020
2021–present
Jonathan YoungNationalNew Plymouth2008–2020
Kanwaljit Singh BakshiNationalList2008–2020
Paulo GarciaNationalList2019–2020
Parmjeet ParmarNationalList2014–2020
Agnes LoheniNationalList2019–2020
Alfred NgaroNationalList2011–2020
Brett HudsonNationalList2014–2020
Jo HayesNationalList2014–2020
Winston PetersNZ FirstList1979–1981
1984–2008
2011–2020
Fletcher TabuteauNZ FirstList2014–2020
Tracey MartinNZ FirstList2011–2020
Shane JonesNZ FirstList2005–2014
2017–2020
Ron MarkNZ FirstList1996–2008
2014–2020
Darroch BallNZ FirstList2014–2020
Mark PattersonNZ FirstList2017–2020
Jenny MarcroftNZ FirstList2017–2020
Depiction of the government formation. While Labour formed a majority government, they chose to invite the Greens to participate in an idiosyncratic "cooperation agreement", which gave the latter two ministers outside cabinet.

Government formation

[edit]

On 31 October, Ardern announced that despite the Labour Party having won enough seats to continue theSixth Labour Government on their own, they had invited the Greens to participate in a "cooperation agreement", seeking their input on matters such as the environment, climate change and child wellbeing, and that the Greens had accepted the offer. Under the deal (which is not a coalition agreement), the two co-leaders of the Greens will receive ministerial portfolios outside the cabinet. James Shaw will continue in his previous role asMinister for Climate Change, as well as associate environment minister (biodiversity). Marama Davidson will be appointed to the new position ofMinister for the Prevention of Family and Sexual Violence, and will also take on the role of associate minister of housing (homelessness).[230] The Green Party also agreed to abstain on motions of confidence and supply during the term.[231]

Post-election events

[edit]

Leadership changes

[edit]

Following the election,Gerry Brownlee stepped down as deputy leader of the National Party. On 10 November 2020,Shane Reti was elected unopposed as his replacement. Leader Judith Collins was also unopposed to retain her position.[232]

On 3 November,Geoff Simmons stepped down as leader of The Opportunities Party.Shai Navot, former deputy leader, took over from Simmons.[233]

On 19 November, the board of theNew Conservative Party removed the party's leader,Leighton Baker, and replaced him with his deputy,Elliot Ikilei. The party's third-ranked list candidate at the election, Victoria O'Brien, became deputy leader.[234] O'Brien however resigned after less than a week in the role, on 25 November, amid apparent division in the party over Baker's removal and his subsequent role within its organisation.[235] Ikilei announced his resignation on New Year's Eve.[236][non-primary source needed]

Local by-elections

[edit]

A number oflocal by-elections are required due to the resignation of an incumbent local body politician following their election to Parliament:

Calls for vote recount

[edit]

On 11 November, theMāori Party co-leaderJohn Tamihere requested a vote recount in theMāori electorates ofTāmaki Makaurau andTe Tai Hauāuru, alleging there had been voter discrimination against Māori during the 2020 election. Tamihere claimed that the recount was intended to expose discriminatory laws such as the five-yearly Māori Electoral Option (which limited the ability of Māori to switch between the general and Māori rolls for a period five years), longer wait times for Māori voters at election booths, and some Māori not being allowed to vote on the Māori roll.[240] The altered official results for the two electorates following the recounts were released on 20 November. Tamihere's margin of defeat inTāmaki Makaurau decreased from 956 to 927, whileDebbie Ngarewa-Packer's margin of defeat inTe Tai Hauāuru increased from 1,035 to 1,053.[241][242]

Election donations

[edit]

Māori Party

[edit]

On 12 April 2021, theElectoral Commission referred the Māori Party to the Police for failing to disclose about NZ$320,000 worth of donations within the required timeframe. These donations came from former party co-leaderJohn Tamihere (NZ$158,223.72), the Urban Māori Authority (NZ$48,879.85), and the Aotearoa Te Kahu Limited Partnership (NZ$120,000). Party President Che Wilson attributed the late disclosure to the fact that the party was staffed by volunteers and rookies who were unfamiliar with electoral finance laws.[243] In late April, the Police referred the investigation into the Māori Party's undeclared donations to theSerious Fraud Office.[244] By late September 2022, the Serious Fraud Office had closed the investigation and declined to prosecute the individuals and parties involved.[245]

In late September 2022,Charities Services general manager Natasha Weight confirmed that the agency was investigating two charities headed by Tamihere, theTe Whānau Waipareira Trust and theNational Urban Māori Authority, for financing his 2020 election campaign. Existing charities legislation bans charities from donating or endorsing political parties and candidates. Political parties and candidates are not allowed to use charities' resources. According to the Charities Register, Te Whānau o Waipareira Trust Group had provided NZ$385,307 in interest free loans to support Tamihere's 2020 election campaign while the National Urban Māori Authority had paid Tamihere NZ$82,695 to support his 2020 election campaign and Māori Party aspirations. In response, Tamihere accused the Charities Services of racism and confirmed that he and the Māori Party would challenge the Charities Service if the agency ruled against them.[246][247][248]

National Party

[edit]

In late April 2021, the Electoral Commission issued the National Party with a warning for failing to declare a NZ$35,000 donation from real estate mogulGarth Barfoot but declined to refer the matter to the police.[249]

Advance New Zealand

[edit]

SeveralAdvance New Zealand candidates also faced fines for not filing campaign donations and expense returns. In late May 2021,Rangitīkei candidate Ricky Cribb pleaded guilty to two charges of violating theElectoral Act 1993 and was fined $300 plus court costs.[250]Mana candidate Edward James Ngatai Ponder pleaded guilty to violating the Electoral Act 1993 in mid June 2021 for failing to file an election expenses return to show that would have shown he had no expenses.[251] In early July, Advance NZInvercargill candidate Kurt Rohloff had his Electoral Act charge for failing to declare election and donation returns dismissed after completing a diversion.[252]

Early July also saw another Invercargill candidate, independent Basil Walker, be charged with failing to file his return on time.[253] Walker was offered a discharge without conviction if he completed 40 hours of community service, but he failed to do so, which he attributed to his workload. In September he agreed to plead guilty to the charge, received a conviction, and was fined $500.[254]

In September 2021, former Public Party leader and Advance NZ co-leader Billy Te Kahika was charged with filing a false electoral donation and obtaining $15,000 by deception.[255] Name suppression lapsed and he was identified in October 2021. Te Kahika has contested the charges and opted for a jury trial.[256][257]

See also

[edit]

Footnotes

[edit]
  1. ^abIn late October, after preliminary election results suggested that the only Māori Party seat in parliament would be theWaiariki electorate, held byRawiri Waititi, the party confirmed Rawiri as its new co-leader, replacingJohn Tamihere.[1]
  2. ^Some outer suburbs ofPalmerston North andChristchurch fall into surrounding rural electorates that were won by National.
  3. ^WasAndrew Falloon until his immediate resignation on 21 July 2020.
  4. ^The David Seymour who contested the electorate of Whangārei for ACT is a different person from ACT party leader, David Seymour, who re-contested and won his Auckland seat of Epsom.

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