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2020 United States presidential election in Louisiana

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Main article:2020 United States presidential election

2020United States presidential election in Louisiana

← 2016November 3, 20202024 →
Turnout69.49%Increase
 
NomineeDonald TrumpJoe Biden
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Home stateFloridaDelaware
Running mateMike PenceKamala Harris
Electoral vote80
Popular vote1,255,776856,034
Percentage58.46%39.85%

Parish results
Congressional district results
Precinct results

Trump

  40–50%
  50–60%
  60–70%
  70–80%
  80–90%
  90–100%

Biden

  40–50%
  50–60%
  60–70%
  70–80%
  80–90%
  90–100%

Tie/No Vote

  
  


President before election

Donald Trump
Republican

Elected President

Joe Biden
Democratic

Elections in Louisiana
Presidential elections
Presidential primaries
Democratic
2000
2004
2008
2012
2016
2020
2024
Republican
2004
2008
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2016
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U.S. Senate elections
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Government

The2020 United States presidential election in Louisiana was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus theDistrict of Columbia participated.[1]Louisiana voters chose electors to represent them in theElectoral College via a popular vote, pitting theRepublican Party's nominee, incumbent PresidentDonald Trump, and running mateVice PresidentMike Pence againstDemocratic Party nominee, former Vice PresidentJoe Biden, and his running mate California SenatorKamala Harris. Louisiana has eight electoral votes in the Electoral College.[2]

Trump won Louisiana on the day of the election 58.5% to 39.9%, a margin of 18.6%, down from 19.4% in 2016. Perexit polls by theAssociated Press, his strength in Louisiana came fromWhiteborn-again/EvangelicalChristians as well asconservative Roman Catholics who have a high population in Louisiana, who supported Trump with 91% and 80% of their vote. On the issue of abortion, 57% of voters believedabortion should be illegal in most or all cases. As is the case in most southern states, there was a starkracial divide in voting for this election:Whites supported Trump by 77%–22% whileAfrican Americans supported Biden by 88%–10%.[3]

Primary elections

[edit]

The primary elections were originally scheduled for April 4, 2020. On March 13, they were moved to June 20 due to concerns over theCOVID-19 pandemic.[4] Then on April 14, they were further pushed back to July 11.[5]

Republican primary

[edit]

Incumbent PresidentDonald Trump was essentially uncontested in the Republican primary.[6] The state has 46 delegates to the2020 Republican National Convention.[7]

Democratic primary

[edit]
This section is an excerpt from2020 Louisiana Democratic presidential primary § Results.[edit]
2020 Louisiana Democratic presidential primary[8]
CandidateVotes%Delegates[9]
Joe Biden212,55579.5254
Bernie Sanders(withdrawn)19,8597.43
Elizabeth Warren(withdrawn)6,4262.40
Michael Bennet(withdrawn)6,1732.31
Andrew Yang(withdrawn)4,6171.73
Michael Bloomberg(withdrawn)4,3121.61
Amy Klobuchar(withdrawn)2,4310.91
Pete Buttigieg(withdrawn)2,3630.88
Tulsi Gabbard(withdrawn)1,9620.73
John Delaney(withdrawn)1,8770.70
Tom Steyer(withdrawn)9020.34
Deval Patrick(withdrawn)8770.33
Other candidates2,9321.10
Total267,286100%54

General election

[edit]
COVID-19 pandemicsocial-distanced queue for early voting at New Orleans Arena, 27 October 2020

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[10]Safe RSeptember 10, 2020
Inside Elections[11]Safe RSeptember 4, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[12]Safe RJuly 14, 2020
Politico[13]Safe RSeptember 8, 2020
RCP[14]Likely RAugust 3, 2020
Niskanen[15]Safe RJuly 26, 2020
CNN[16]Safe RAugust 3, 2020
The Economist[17]Safe RSeptember 23, 2020
CBS News[18]Likely RAugust 16, 2020
270towin[19]Safe RAugust 2, 2020
ABC News[20]Safe RJuly 31, 2020
NPR[21]Likely RAugust 3, 2020
NBC News[22]Likely RAugust 6, 2020
538[23]Safe RNovember 2, 2020

Polling

[edit]

Graphical summary

This graph was using thelegacy Graph extension, which is no longer supported. It needs to be converted to thenew Chart extension.

Aggregate polls

[edit]
Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Joe
Biden

Democratic
Donald
Trump

Republican
Other/
Undecided
[a]
Margin
270 to Win[24]October 14–27, 2020November 3, 202036.0%56.5%7.5%Trump +20.5
FiveThirtyEight[25]until November 2, 2020November 3, 202037.1%57.6%5.3%Trump +20.6
Average36.6%57.1%6.4%Trump +20.5

Polls

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump

Republican
Joe
Biden

Democratic
Jo
Jorgensen

Libertarian
Howie
Hawkins

Green
OtherUndecided
SurveyMonkey/Axios[26]Oct 20 – Nov 2, 20201,556 (LV)± 3.5%62%[c]36%
Swayable[27]Oct 23 – Nov 1, 2020378 (LV)± 6.7%57%39%4%
SurveyMonkey/Axios[26]Oct 1–28, 20202,633 (LV)60%38%
University of New Orleans[28]Oct 22, 2020755 (LV)± 3.6%59%36%4%1%
Trafalgar Group[29]Oct 4–6, 20201,048 (LV)± 2.95%54%36%3%1%[d]6%
SurveyMonkey/Axios[26]Sep 1–30, 20202,475 (LV)60%38%2%
Tyson Group/Consumer Energy Alliance[30][A]Sep 2–5, 2020600 (LV)± 4%48%42%2%No voters[e]7%
SurveyMonkey/Axios[26]Aug 1–31, 20202,587 (LV)59%38%2%
Trafalgar Group[31]Aug 13–17, 20201,002 (LV)± 2.99%54%38%3%1%[d]4%
ALG Research/Perkins for LA[32][1][B]Aug 6–12, 2020800 (LV)± 3.5%50%43%7%
SurveyMonkey/Axios[26]Jul 1–31, 20202,998 (LV)60%39%2%
SurveyMonkey/Axios[26]Jun 8–30, 20201,134 (LV)60%37%3%
Hypothetical polling

with Donald Trump and Generic Opponent

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Generic
Opponent
OtherUndecided
Multi-Quest International/The Hay Ride[33]Jul 19–21, 2019601 (RV)± 4%50%39%1%[f]10%
Market Research Insight[34]Apr 9–11, 2019600 (LV)± 4.1%54%37%10%

with Generic Republican and Generic Democrat

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Generic
Republican
Generic
Democrat
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/LaPolitics[35]Aug 6–12, 2020600 (RV)± 3.5%47%43%

Results

[edit]
2020 United States presidential election in Louisiana[36]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
RepublicanDonald Trump
Mike Pence
1,255,77658.46%+0.46%
DemocraticJoe Biden
Kamala Harris
856,03439.85%+1.45%
LibertarianJo Jorgensen
Spike Cohen
21,6451.01%−0.89%
The Birthday PartyKanye West
Michelle Tidball
4,8970.23%N/A
American SolidarityBrian Carroll
Amar Patel
2,4970.12%N/A
Becoming One NationJade Simmons
Claudeliah Rose
1,6260.08%N/A
C.U.P.President Boddie
Eric Stoneham
1,1250.05%N/A
Socialism and LiberationGloria La Riva
Sunil Freeman
9870.05%N/A
ConstitutionDon Blankenship
William Mohr
8600.04%N/A
Freedom and ProsperityBrock Pierce
Karla Ballard
7490.03%N/A
Life, Liberty, ConstitutionTom Hoefling
Andy Prior
6680.03%N/A
UnityBill Hammons
Eric Bodenstab
6620.03%N/A
Socialist WorkersAlyson Kennedy
Malcolm Jarrett
5360.02%N/A
Total votes2,148,062100.00%

By parish

[edit]
ParishDonald Trump
Republican
Joe Biden
Democratic
Various candidates
Other parties
MarginTotal
#%#%#%#%
Acadia22,59679.49%5,44319.15%3861.36%17,15360.34%28,425
Allen7,57477.21%2,10821.49%1281.30%5,46655.72%9,810
Ascension40,68765.28%20,39932.73%1,2391.99%20,28832.55%62,325
Assumption7,27164.72%3,83334.12%1311.16%3,43830.60%11,235
Avoyelles12,02869.56%4,97928.79%2851.65%7,04940.77%17,292
Beauregard13,57582.99%2,54215.54%2401.47%11,03367.45%16,357
Bienville3,89155.19%3,06743.50%921.31%82411.69%7,050
Bossier38,07469.66%15,66228.66%9191.68%22,41241.00%54,655
Caddo48,02145.77%55,11052.53%1,7811.70%-7,089-6.76%104,912
Calcasieu55,06666.62%25,98231.43%1,6151.95%29,08435.19%82,663
Caldwell3,97683.49%74515.64%410.87%3,23167.85%4,762
Cameron3,67190.89%3248.02%441.09%3,34782.87%4,039
Catahoula3,54172.89%1,26926.12%480.99%2,27246.77%4,858
Claiborne3,77057.29%2,73141.50%791.21%1,03915.79%6,580
Concordia5,55062.87%3,17735.99%1011.14%2,37326.88%8,828
DeSoto9,11261.83%5,45737.03%1671.14%3,65524.80%14,736
East Baton Rouge88,42042.47%115,57755.52%4,1852.01%-27,157-13.05%208,182
East Carroll1,08035.57%1,90062.58%561.85%-820-27.01%3,036
East Feliciana6,06457.70%4,28040.73%1651.57%1,78416.97%10,509
Evangeline11,05371.72%4,15826.98%2011.30%6,89544.74%15,412
Franklin6,97071.71%2,65827.35%920.94%4,31244.36%9,720
Grant8,11786.42%1,15712.32%1181.26%6,96074.10%9,392
Iberia21,25164.96%11,02733.71%4351.33%10,22431.25%32,713
Iberville7,89347.21%8,51450.92%3121.87%-621-3.71%16,719
Jackson5,39470.68%2,14328.08%951.24%3,25142.60%7,632
Jefferson105,94954.69%84,47743.60%3,3071.71%21,47211.09%193,733
Jefferson Davis11,42376.97%3,20821.62%2101.41%8,21555.35%14,841
Lafayette72,51963.32%39,68534.65%2,3172.03%32,83428.67%114,521
Lafourche36,02479.37%8,67219.11%6921.52%27,35260.26%45,388
LaSalle6,37890.12%6389.02%610.86%5,74081.10%7,077
Lincoln11,31158.68%7,55939.22%4052.10%3,75219.46%19,275
Livingston54,87784.13%9,24914.18%1,1041.69%45,62869.95%65,230
Madison1,93041.33%2,65456.83%861.84%-724-15.50%4,670
Morehouse6,51056.25%4,94642.73%1181.02%1,56413.52%11,574
Natchitoches9,35856.53%6,89641.66%3001.81%2,46214.87%16,554
Orleans26,66415.00%147,85483.15%3,3011.85%-121,190-68.15%177,819
Ouachita42,25561.09%25,91337.46%9981.45%16,34223.63%69,166
Plaquemines7,41267.30%3,41431.00%1881.70%3,99836.30%11,014
Pointe Coupee7,50360.65%4,68337.85%1851.50%2,82022.80%12,371
Rapides38,34765.14%19,47533.08%1,0431.78%18,87232.06%58,865
Red River2,41358.40%1,64439.79%751.81%76918.61%4,132
Richland6,60766.47%3,22532.44%1081.09%3,38234.03%9,940
Sabine8,77682.82%1,73116.34%890.84%7,04566.48%10,596
St. Bernard11,17963.34%6,15134.85%3201.81%5,02828.49%17,650
St. Charles18,23363.94%9,80034.37%4841.69%7,43329.57%28,517
St. Helena2,71444.07%3,34654.34%981.59%-632-10.27%6,158
St. James5,95447.29%6,51051.71%1261.00%-556-4.42%12,590
St. John the Baptist7,53835.17%13,58263.37%3121.46%-6,044-28.20%21,432
St. Landry23,17156.30%17,37242.21%6111.49%5,79914.09%41,154
St. Martin18,20367.32%8,43931.21%3961.47%9,76436.11%27,038
St. Mary14,81163.88%8,05534.74%3201.38%6,76629.14%23,186
St. Tammany99,66671.13%37,74626.94%2,6981.93%61,92044.19%140,110
Tangipahoa37,80665.57%18,88732.76%9681.67%18,91932.81%57,661
Tensas1,19746.87%1,32952.04%281.09%-132-5.17%2,554
Terrebonne34,33974.26%11,19824.22%7031.52%23,14150.04%46,240
Union8,40775.06%2,65423.69%1401.25%5,75351.37%11,201
Vermilion21,93080.26%5,00918.33%3851.41%16,92161.93%27,324
Vernon14,10781.69%2,89816.78%2631.53%11,20964.91%17,268
Washington13,30768.20%5,97030.59%2361.21%7,33737.61%19,513
Webster11,83064.94%6,17233.88%2141.18%5,65831.06%18,216
West Baton Rouge7,68454.51%6,20043.98%2131.51%1,48410.53%14,097
West Carroll4,31785.45%71014.05%250.50%3,60771.40%5,052
West Feliciana3,86361.63%2,29836.66%1071.71%1,56524.97%6,268
Winn4,61974.20%1,54324.79%631.01%3,07649.41%6,225
Totals1,255,77658.46%856,03439.85%36,2521.69%399,74218.61%2,148,062
Swing by parish
Legend
  •   Democratic — +5-7.5%
  •   Democratic — +2.5-5%
  •   Democratic — +0-2.5%
  •   Republican — +0-2.5%
  •   Republican — +2.5-5%
  •   Republican — +5-7.5%
  •   Republican — +7.5-10%

By congressional district

[edit]

Trump won five of the six congressional districts in Louisiana.[37]

DistrictTrumpBidenRepresentative
1st68%30%Steve Scalise
2nd23%76%Cedric Richmond
3rd68%30%Clay Higgins
4th61%37%Mike Johnson
5th64%34%Ralph Abraham
6th65%33%Garret Graves

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  2. ^abcKey:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. ^Overlapping sample with the previous SurveyMonkey/Axios poll, but more information available regarding sample size
  4. ^ab"Another Party Candidate" with 1%
  5. ^"Refused" with no voters
  6. ^"Refused" with 1%

Partisan clients

  1. ^The Consumer Energy Alliance is a pro-Keystone XL lobbying group
  2. ^Poll sponsored by Adrians Perkins' campaign in the 2020 United States Senate election in Louisiana

See also

[edit]

References

[edit]
  1. ^Kelly, Ben (August 13, 2018)."US elections key dates: When are the 2018 midterms and the 2020 presidential campaign?".The Independent.Archived from the original on August 2, 2018. RetrievedJanuary 3, 2019.
  2. ^"Distribution of Electoral Votes".National Archives and Records Administration. RetrievedJanuary 3, 2019.
  3. ^"Louisiana Voter Surveys: How Different Groups Voted".The New York Times. November 3, 2020.ISSN 0362-4331. RetrievedNovember 9, 2020.
  4. ^"Louisiana postpones Democratic primary over coronavirus, the first state to do so".CNBC. March 13, 2020.
  5. ^"Louisiana presidential primary pushed back again, to July 11".ABC News. April 14, 2020.
  6. ^"Donald Trump, Joe Biden win Louisiana's presidential primary".Associated Press. July 11, 2020.
  7. ^"Louisiana Republican Delegation 2020". The Green Papers. RetrievedJune 23, 2020.
  8. ^"Results for Election Date: 7/11/2020". Louisiana Secretary of State. RetrievedOctober 13, 2020.
  9. ^"Delegate Tracker".interactives.ap.org. Associated Press. RetrievedJuly 11, 2020.
  10. ^"2020 POTUS Race ratings"(PDF).The Cook Political Report. RetrievedMay 21, 2019.
  11. ^"POTUS Ratings | Inside Elections".insideelections.com. RetrievedMay 21, 2019.
  12. ^"Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2020 President".crystalball.centerforpolitics.org. RetrievedMay 21, 2019.
  13. ^"2020 Election Forecast".Politico. November 19, 2019.
  14. ^"Battle for White House".RCP. April 19, 2019.
  15. ^2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College PredictionsArchived April 23, 2020, at theWayback Machine,Niskanen Center, March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020.
  16. ^David Chalian; Terence Burlij (June 11, 2020)."Road to 270: CNN's debut Electoral College map for 2020".CNN. RetrievedJune 16, 2020.
  17. ^"Forecasting the US elections".The Economist. RetrievedJuly 7, 2020.
  18. ^"2020 Election Battleground Tracker".CBS News. July 12, 2020. RetrievedJuly 13, 2020.
  19. ^"2020 Presidential Election Interactive Map".270 to Win.
  20. ^"ABC News Race Ratings".CBS News. July 24, 2020. RetrievedJuly 24, 2020.
  21. ^Montanaro, Domenico (August 3, 2020)."2020 Electoral Map Ratings: Trump Slides, Biden Advantage Expands Over 270 Votes".NPR.org. RetrievedAugust 3, 2020.
  22. ^"Biden dominates the electoral map, but here's how the race could tighten".NBC News. August 6, 2020. RetrievedAugust 6, 2020.
  23. ^"2020 Election Forecast".FiveThirtyEight. August 12, 2020. Archived fromthe original on August 12, 2020. RetrievedAugust 14, 2020.
  24. ^"Louisiana 2020 Presidential Election Polls: Biden vs. Trump - 270toWin".270toWin.com.
  25. ^Best, Ryan; Bycoffe, Aaron; King, Ritchie; Mehta, Dhrumil; Wiederkehr, Anna (June 28, 2018)."Louisiana : President: general election Polls".FiveThirtyEight. Archived fromthe original on June 28, 2018.
  26. ^abcdef"Candidate preference".www.tableau.com.
  27. ^"Swayable". Archived fromthe original on November 27, 2020.
  28. ^"THE 2020 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION IN LOUISIANA | The University of New Orleans".www.uno.edu.
  29. ^"TRF LA Pres '20 Oct Poll Report.pdf".Google Docs.
  30. ^"Tyson Group/Consumer Energy Alliance"(PDF).
  31. ^"LA '20 Pres Poll Report.pdf".Google Docs.
  32. ^"ALG Research/Perkins for LA"(PDF). Archived fromthe original(PDF) on November 1, 2020.
  33. ^"Multi-Quest International/The Hay Ride"(PDF).
  34. ^"Market Research Insight"(PDF).
  35. ^Grace, Stephanie (July 31, 2020)."Grace Notes: How does Louisiana feel about President Trump? New poll shows a deep divide".NOLA.com.
  36. ^"Official Election Results - Presidential Electors".Louisiana Secretary of State. RetrievedNovember 19, 2020.
  37. ^"Dra 2020".

Further reading

[edit]

External links

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