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2020 Indiana gubernatorial election

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

For related races, see2020 United States gubernatorial elections.

2020 Indiana gubernatorial election

← 2016November 3, 20202024 →
 
NomineeEric HolcombWoody MyersDonald Rainwater
PartyRepublicanDemocraticLibertarian
Running mateSuzanne CrouchLinda LawsonWilliam Henry
Popular vote1,706,727968,094345,569
Percentage56.51%32.05%11.44%

County results
Congressional district results
Precinct results
Holcomb:     30–40%     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Myers:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Tie:     40–50%     50%     No data

Governor before election

Eric Holcomb
Republican

ElectedGovernor

Eric Holcomb
Republican

Elections in Indiana
Presidential elections
Presidential primaries
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1996
2000
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2008
2016
2020
Republican
2008
2012
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U.S. Senate elections
U.S. House of Representatives elections

The2020 Indiana gubernatorial election was won by incumbentRepublicanEric Holcomb on November 3, 2020. The election was held concurrently with the2020 U.S. presidential election, as well aselections to theUnited States House of Representatives and variousstate andlocal elections.

Holcomb was eligible to run for re-election to a second term in office, and announced his intention to do so on July 13, 2019, alongside hislieutenant governor,Suzanne Crouch.[1] He facedDemocratWoody Myers, the former health commissioner of Indiana (and later, ofNew York City) and his running mate,Linda Lawson, the former minority leader of theIndiana House of Representatives, in addition toLibertarian Donald Rainwater, aU.S. Navy veteran and his running mate William Henry.[2][3] Primary elections were held on June 2; Holcomb and Myers ran unopposed.

In the general election, Holcomb won re-election to a second term. Myers also became the first major party candidate to receive fewer than one million votes since RepublicanDavid McIntosh in2000.[4] The election was also notable for the strong performance of Libertarian candidate Rainwater, who finished in second place, behind Holcomb and ahead of Myers, in over one-third of Indiana's counties, 33 out of 92.[5] The stronger-than-expected performance by Rainwater was perceived to be a reaction to Governor Holcomb's response to theCOVID-19 pandemic, with Rainwater pushing for fewer government restrictions.[6]

The Associated Press's large-scale pre-election survey found that Eric Holcomb won white Hoosiers 62–27%, while Myers won black Hoosiers 76–20%.[7]

This election marked the worst performance by a Democratic candidate for governor in Indiana history.[8]

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Removed from ballot

[edit]

Declined

[edit]

Results

[edit]
Republican primary results[15]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanEric Holcomb (incumbent)524,496100.00
Total votes524,496100.00

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Withdrew

[edit]

Declined

[edit]

Results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[15]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticWoody Myers408,230100.00
Total votes408,230100.00

Libertarian convention

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]
  • Running mate: William Henry

Eliminated at convention

[edit]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[29]Safe ROctober 23, 2020
Inside Elections[30]Safe ROctober 28, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[31]Safe RNovember 2, 2020
Politico[32]Likely RNovember 2, 2020
Daily Kos[33]Safe ROctober 28, 2020
RCP[34]Safe RNovember 2, 2020
270towin[35]Safe RNovember 2, 2020

Endorsements

[edit]
Eric Holcomb (R)

Organizations

Woody Myers (D)

U.S. vice presidents

U.S. senators

U.S. representatives

State officials

State senators

  • Jean Breaux, Member of the Indiana Senate from the 34th district (2006–present)[42]
  • J. D. Ford, Member of the Indiana Senate from the 34th district (2018–present)[42]
  • Tim Lanane, Minority Leader of theIndiana Senate (2008–present) and Member of the Indiana Senate from the 25th district (1997–present)[42]
  • Eddie Melton, Member of the Indiana Senate from the 34th district (2016–present)[42]

State representatives

Local officials

Donald Rainwater (L)

Organizations

State representatives

  • Jim Lucas, Member of the Indiana House of Representatives from the 69th district (2012–present)(Republican)[45]

Individuals

Polling

[edit]

Graphical summary

[edit]
This graph was using thelegacy Graph extension, which is no longer supported. It needs to be converted to thenew Chart extension.
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Eric
Holcomb (R)
Woody
Myers (D)
Donald
Rainwater (L)
Other /
Undecided
Cygnal[47]October 21–23, 2020600 (LV)± 4%47%29%15%10%[b]
Ragnar Research (R)[48]October 18–21, 2020529 (LV)± 4%52%26%14%8%[c]
SurveyUSA[49][A]October 10–13, 2020527 (LV)± 5.2%55%25%10%11%[d]
BK Strategies (R)[50][B]October 4–5, 2020600 (LV)± 4%60%21%8%11%
Change Research[51]September 3–7, 20201,033 (LV)± 3.1%36%30%24%10%
BK Strategies (R)[52][B]May 20–21, 2020600 (LV)± 4%64%21%15%
Change Research[53]April 10–13, 20201,021 (LV)± 3.1%45%25%8%22%[e]

Results

[edit]

Holcomb won reelection by over 24 percentage points, the biggest margin of victory for an Indiana gubernatorial candidate sinceEvan Bayh in1992 as well as the biggest ever for a Republican. Exit polls show Holcomb won over 30% of voters who voted forDemocratJoe Biden for president. This is also one of the strongest performances for a third-party candidate in a statewide election inIndiana, withLibertarian nominee Donald Rainwater receiving over 11% of the total vote. Rainwater outperformed Myers in several counties; his best performance was inPutnam County, where he received nearly 26% of the vote.

Indiana gubernatorial election, 2020[54][55][56]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican
1,706,72756.51+5.13
Democratic968,09432.05−13.37
Libertarian
  • Donald Rainwater
  • William Henry
345,56711.44+8.24
Total votes3,020,388100.00N/A
Turnout3,068,62565.58
Registered electors4,751,370
Republicanhold

By county

[edit]
Vote breakdown by county[54]
Holcomb/Crouch
Republican
Myers/Lawson
Democratic
Rainwater/Henry
Libertarian
Total
CountyVotes%Votes%Votes%Votes
Adams9,44166.7%2,14315.1%2,57018.2%14,154
Allen98,40658.5%53,89532.0%16,0119.5%168,312
Bartholomew21,95960.9%9,01325.0%5,06514.1%36,037
Benton2,81568.7%67116.4%61415.0%4,100
Blackford3,33363.1%93317.7%1,01719.3%5,283
Boone23,73761.7%9,66125.1%5,09413.2%38,492
Brown4,95355.3%2,38126.6%1,62318.1%8,957
Carroll6,07763.9%1,56916.5%1,86419.6%9,510
Cass8,83358.3%3,37322.3%2,94019.4%15,146
Clark34,66960.4%19,07733.2%3,6806.4%57,426
Clay8,16467.0%1,78014.6%2,24218.4%12,186
Clinton7,97161.8%2,40618.7%2,51419.5%12,891
Crawford3,06463.1%1,24225.6%55311.4%4,859
Daviess8,31370.1%1,53112.9%2,01617.0%11,860
Dearborn18,35372.6%4,55918.0%2,3839.4%25,295
Decatur7,91164.5%1,56212.7%2,78722.7%12,260
Dekalb13,04266.9%3,29316.9%3,15816.2%19,493
Delaware26,82956.0%15,63832.6%5,48211.4%47,949
Dubois14,40366.7%4,58621.2%2,59912.0%21,588
Elkhart46,22362.1%20,51227.6%7,69010.3%74,425
Fayette6,93369.0%1,70717.0%1,41414.1%10,054
Floyd24,97260.0%14,94835.9%1,6694.0%41,589
Fountain5,18965.3%1,15014.5%1,61320.3%7,952
Franklin8,63373.0%1,69014.3%1,49912.7%11,822
Fulton5,43659.6%1,60317.6%2,08422.8%9,123
Gibson11,60772.0%2,99018.5%1,5339.5%16,130
Grant16,84762.3%5,84921.6%4,32516.0%27,021
Greene9,57965.2%2,51117.1%2,60417.7%14,694
Hamilton117,74960.8%58,71430.3%17,1218.8%193,584
Hancock25,64759.9%8,53819.9%8,62420.1%42,809
Harrison14,08369.7%4,51422.3%1,6027.9%20,199
Hendricks50,69757.5%23,17926.3%14,24616.2%88,122
Henry12,49159.3%4,12819.6%4,44221.1%21,061
Howard24,35960.1%9,87124.3%6,31715.6%40,547
Huntington11,75966.3%2,80415.8%3,16817.9%17,731
Jackson11,71461.2%3,23416.9%4,18821.9%19,136
Jasper10,37867.5%2,90418.9%2,08913.6%15,371
Jay5,22762.2%1,24014.8%1,93823.1%8,405
Jefferson9,07662.4%3,71125.5%1,75012.0%14,537
Jennings7,54762.1%1,93015.9%2,67622.0%12,153
Johnson47,46761.4%17,63022.8%12,17715.8%77,274
Knox11,21070.8%2,80917.7%1,82111.5%15,840
Kosciusko23,02964.6%5,78416.2%6,84519.2%35,658
Lagrange7,52071.1%1,69016.0%1,36512.9%10,575
Lake94,84143.7%112,35251.7%10,0394.6%217,232
LaPorte26,12953.7%18,13337.3%4,3569.0%48,618
Lawrence13,37164.1%3,61617.3%3,88118.6%20,868
Madison29,43456.8%14,25427.5%8,11815.7%51,806
Marion152,40539.0%203,47552.1%34,9748.9%390,854
Marshall13,14566.4%4,02520.3%2,63413.3%19,804
Martin3,23263.1%70913.9%1,17723.0%5,118
Miami9,20864.1%2,43917.0%2,71418.9%14,361
Monroe24,60539.4%33,03352.8%4,8857.8%62,523
Montgomery10,58761.6%2,81216.4%3,78522.0%17,184
Morgan22,16161.6%5,60215.6%8,18422.8%35,947
Newton4,35866.5%1,14817.5%1,05016.0%6,556
Noble12,49865.5%3,23717.0%3,35317.6%19,088
Ohio2,21069.4%64120.1%33510.5%3,186
Orange5,59163.8%1,95222.3%1,21613.9%8,759
Owen5,85759.5%1,85218.8%2,13721.7%9,846
Parke4,76668.4%1,12716.2%1,07915.5%6,972
Perry5,52363.9%2,51829.1%6077.0%8,648
Pike4,19968.4%1,09217.8%85013.8%6,141
Porter45,99653.2%33,39738.6%7,1318.2%86,524
Posey9,64872.9%2,77321.0%8096.1%13,230
Pulaski3,87467.2%1,01917.7%87515.2%5,768
Putnam9,37556.7%2,87617.4%4,26925.8%16,520
Randolph7,39967.3%1,86316.9%1,73215.8%10,994
Ripley9,51867.0%2,23115.7%2,45817.3%14,207
Rush4,94962.8%1,21515.4%1,71621.8%7,880
Scott6,06560.8%2,29723.0%1,61316.2%9,975
Shelby12,26961.8%3,49917.6%4,09920.6%19,867
Spencer7,27268.2%2,46123.1%9268.7%10,659
St. Joseph60,69652.9%48,61042.4%5,3874.7%114,693
Starke6,73066.1%2,02619.9%1,42714.0%10,183
Steuben11,40770.9%2,93918.3%1,73910.8%16,085
Sullivan6,00967.4%1,55017.4%1,35715.2%8,916
Switzerland2,84669.8%82220.1%41210.1%4,080
Tippecanoe37,97953.3%26,17936.8%7,0579.9%71,215
Tipton5,16964.0%1,20014.9%1,70721.1%8,076
Union2,53373.2%60317.4%3239.3%3,459
Vanderburgh46,49060.1%27,24235.2%3,6584.7%77,390
Vermillion4,93866.9%1,53120.7%91712.4%7,386
Vigo25,91759.8%13,99932.3%3,4197.9%43,335
Wabash9,11162.8%2,42116.7%2,97920.5%14,511
Warren3,00967.5%67215.1%77717.4%4,458
Warrick22,70367.7%9,07427.1%1,7475.2%33,524
Washington7,91965.6%2,40819.9%1,74614.5%12,073
Wayne16,91461.2%7,53427.3%3,17211.5%27,620
Wells9,37166.7%1,96714.0%2,71219.3%14,050
White7,33465.8%1,97817.8%1,82616.4%11,138
Whitley11,52266.0%2,73815.7%3,19118.3%17,451

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

[edit]

Holcomb won seven of nine congressional districts.[57]

DistrictHolcombMyersRainwaterRepresentative
1st47%48%6%Frank J. Mrvan
2nd59%31%10%Jackie Walorski
3rd62%24%13%Jim Banks
4th59%25%16%Jim Baird
5th56%34%10%Victoria Spartz
6th63%22%15%Greg Pence
7th37%53%10%André Carson
8th65%25%10%Larry Bucshon
9th58%30%12%Trey Hollingsworth

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ^Undecided with 10%
  3. ^Undecided with 8%
  4. ^Undecided with 11%
  5. ^Undecided with 22%

Partisan clients

  1. ^Polling's funding was crowdsourced by Election Twitter.
  2. ^abPoll sponsored by Eric Holcomb's campaign

References

[edit]
  1. ^abSmith, Casey (July 13, 2019)."Gov. Eric Holcomb to run for reelection: 'Let's keep making Hoosier history for four more years'".Indianapolis Star. RetrievedJuly 13, 2019.
  2. ^"2020 General Election Candidate List - Abbreviated"(PDF).Indiana Secretary of State (Election Division). Archived fromthe original(PDF) on October 3, 2020. RetrievedOctober 2, 2020.
  3. ^"Libertarian governor candidate Donald Rainwater to visit Kokomo".Kokomo Tribune. October 22, 2020. RetrievedOctober 24, 2020.
  4. ^"2000 Gubernatorial General Election Results - Indiana". RetrievedMarch 31, 2023.
  5. ^Martin, Ryan; Sikich, Chris."'We sent a message': Donald Rainwater doesn't win, sets Indiana Libertarian record".IndyStar. RetrievedMay 8, 2021.
  6. ^Sikich, Chris."Indiana Libertarian candidate for governor targets voters upset by COVID-19 mandates".The Indianapolis Star. RetrievedMarch 16, 2022.
  7. ^"Poll Results". November 3, 2021.
  8. ^"Our Campaigns - Container Detail Page".www.ourcampaigns.com. RetrievedMarch 18, 2022.
  9. ^Erdody, Lindsey (September 10, 2019)."Carmel Republican planning election run against Holcomb".Indianapolis Business Journal. RetrievedSeptember 10, 2019.
  10. ^Smith, Brandon (September 11, 2019)."Carmel Republican Files For Potential Holcomb Challenge".WFYI. RetrievedSeptember 21, 2019.
  11. ^Sikich, Chris (September 11, 2019)."Westfield Republican signs up to challenge Gov. Holcomb in primary".Indianapolis Star. RetrievedSeptember 23, 2019.
  12. ^Berman, Eric (February 21, 2020)."CHALLENGERS TO HOLCOMB AND BAIRD BOOTED FROM PRIMARY BALLOT".WIBC. RetrievedFebruary 22, 2020.
  13. ^"Hill challenging Holcomb? A fool's errand".howeypolitics.com. Archived fromthe original on April 24, 2018. RetrievedApril 24, 2018.
  14. ^"Indiana Attorney General Curtis Hill announces re-election campaign".WNDU. November 14, 2019. RetrievedDecember 1, 2019.
  15. ^ab"Indiana State Primary Election Results 2020".Indiana Secretary of State. June 3, 2020. RetrievedJune 3, 2020.
  16. ^Davies, Tom (July 11, 2019)."Business executive enters 2020 Indiana governor's race".AP News. RetrievedJuly 11, 2019.
  17. ^Johnson, Dirk (January 20, 1990)."Man in the News: Woodrow Augustus Myers Jr.; A Commissioner Who Knows Strife".The New York Times.ISSN 0362-4331. RetrievedOctober 2, 2020.
  18. ^VanTryon, Matthew (May 8, 2020)."Indiana Democratic gubernatorial candidate Woody Myers names running mate".The Indianapolis Star. RetrievedSeptember 23, 2020.
  19. ^"Senator Eddie Melton withdraws from Indiana's governor race".FOX 59. January 6, 2020. RetrievedJanuary 7, 2020.
  20. ^Sikich, Chris (February 6, 2020)."Democrat Josh Owens withdraws from governor's race, endorses Woody Myers".Indianapolis Star.
  21. ^abcHowey, Brian A. (November 29, 2018)."INDems ponder future after Donnelly loss"(PDF). Howey Politics Indiana. Archived fromthe original(PDF) on December 1, 2018. RetrievedNovember 30, 2018.
  22. ^abcdHowey, Brian A. (March 21, 2019)."Democrats ponder gov race"(PDF). Howey Politics Indiana. Archived fromthe original(PDF) on March 21, 2019. RetrievedMarch 21, 2019.
  23. ^Howey, Brian A. (May 16, 2019)."Holcomb reelect on historic footing"(PDF). Howey Politics Indiana. Archived fromthe original(PDF) on July 24, 2019. RetrievedMay 16, 2019.
  24. ^Hakim-Shabazz, Abdul (August 13, 2019)."Macer Not Running For Governor". Indy Politics. RetrievedAugust 13, 2019.
  25. ^Langhorne, Thomas B. (December 10, 2019)."Former Evansville mayor Weinzapfel will run for Attorney General".Courier & Press.
  26. ^Hakim-Shabazz, Abdul (February 29, 2020)."LIBERTARIAN GUBERNATORIAL CANDIDATES DEBATE".Indy Politics. RetrievedMarch 2, 2020.
  27. ^WTHR.com Staff."Indiana Libertarians nominate Rainwater for Governor".wthr.com. Archived fromthe original on March 10, 2020. RetrievedMarch 3, 2020.
  28. ^"First Church of Cannabis founder Bill Levin running for Indiana governor". RTV6 Indianapolis. July 1, 2019. RetrievedJuly 1, 2019.
  29. ^"2020 Governor Race Ratings for October 23, 2020".The Cook Political Report. RetrievedMarch 11, 2021.
  30. ^"2020 Gubernatorial Ratings".insideelections.com. RetrievedMarch 11, 2021.
  31. ^"2020 Gubernatorial race ratings".Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball. November 2, 2020. RetrievedMarch 13, 2021.
  32. ^"We rated every gubernatorial race in 2020. Here's who we think will win".Politico. RetrievedNovember 19, 2019.
  33. ^"2020 Governor Race Ratings".Daily Kos. June 1, 2020. RetrievedJune 5, 2020.
  34. ^"2020 Governor Races".RealClearPolitics. June 13, 2020. RetrievedJune 14, 2020.
  35. ^"2020 Gubernatorial Elections Map".270towin.
  36. ^"2020 Endorsements". RetrievedOctober 31, 2020.
  37. ^"Endorsements".Governor Eric Holcomb. Archived fromthe original on September 22, 2020. RetrievedSeptember 17, 2020.
  38. ^"Indiana Endorsements". RetrievedSeptember 19, 2020.
  39. ^"Indiana Grades & Endorsements".nrapvf.org. NRA-PVF. Archived from the original on November 3, 2020. RetrievedFebruary 15, 2023.
  40. ^"Endorsements". Archived fromthe original on November 21, 2020. RetrievedOctober 31, 2020.
  41. ^Carden, Dan (September 16, 2020)."Biden calls on Hoosiers to elect Dr. Woody Myers as Indiana governor".The Times of Northwest Indiana.
  42. ^abcdefghijklmn"ENDORSERS". Archived fromthe original on October 8, 2020. RetrievedNovember 20, 2020.
  43. ^"Republican Jennifer McCormick is endorsing Democrats in Indiana election".IndyStar.
  44. ^"Indiana NORML".www.facebook.com.
  45. ^Hakim-Shabazz, Abdul."Lucas endorses Rainwater for governor".IndyPolitics. RetrievedSeptember 17, 2020.
  46. ^"Indiana Conservatives Bail on Holcomb's GOP". September 20, 2020.
  47. ^Cygnal
  48. ^Ragnar Research (R)
  49. ^SurveyUSA
  50. ^BK Strategies (R)
  51. ^Change Research
  52. ^BK Strategies (R)
  53. ^Change Research
  54. ^ab"Indiana Election Results".Indiana Election Division. November 23, 2020. RetrievedNovember 23, 2020.
  55. ^"Indiana Election Results".enr.indianavoters.in.gov. RetrievedMarch 31, 2023.
  56. ^"General Election Turnout and Registration"(PDF).State of Indiana. December 2, 2020.
  57. ^"Dra 2020".

External links

[edit]

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