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2019 European Parliament election in Hungary

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2019 European Parliament election in Hungary

← 201426 May 20192024 →

All 21 Hungarian seats to theEuropean Parliament
Turnout43.48% (Increase 14.51%)
 First partySecond partyThird party
 
LeaderLászló TrócsányiKlára DobrevKatalin Cseh
PartyFidesz–KDNPDKMomentum
AllianceEPP[a]S&DALDE
Last election51.48%, 12 seats9.75%, 2 seatsNew party
Seats won1342
Seat changeIncrease 1Increase 2new party
Popular vote1,824,220557,081344,512
Percentage52.56%16.05%9.93%
SwingIncrease 1.08Increase 6.30New party

 Fourth partyFifth party
 
LeaderBertalan TóthMárton Gyöngyösi
PartyMSZPPárbeszédJobbik
AllianceS&D,Greens/EFANI
Last election18.15%, 3 seats[b]14.67%, 3 seats
Seats won11
Seat changeDecrease 2Decrease 2
Popular vote229,551220,184
Percentage6.61%6.34%
SwingDecrease 11.54Decrease 8.33

An election ofMembers of the European Parliament fromHungary to theEuropean Parliament was held on 26 May 2019,[1]electing the 21 members of the Hungary delegation to the European Parliament as part of the European elections held across the European Union.[2]

Electoral system

[edit]
Main article:Electoral system of Hungary

Date of the vote

[edit]

European Parliament Elections are held every five years in theEuropean Union. The vote had to take place from 23 to 26 May 2019, but themember states could set the exact date.[3] Since Hungarian law states elections can only take place on a Sunday,[4] the only possible date was 26 May 2019. Accordingly,PresidentJános Áder announced on 4 March 2019 that the vote would be held on 26 May.[1]

Background

[edit]

Fidesz

[edit]

During early 2019, the Hungarian government launched a poster campaign targeting European commission presidentJean-Claude Juncker and Hungarian-American philanthropistGeorge Soros. The government campaign accuses Juncker and Soros of wanting “to weaken member states’ rights to protect their own borders” and claims “they want …migrants’ visas”.[5] Due to the poster campaign, some members of theEuropean People's Party (EPP), which the Hungarian governing partyFidesz is a member of, started moves to remove it from the group.”[6] Hungarian Prime MinisterViktor Orbán, called those who were calling for his removal from the EPP "Useful idiots".”[7][8] In response to the political ad campaign,Manfred Weber,Spitzenkandidat of the EPP demanded Orbán apologize for and renounce the criticism levied against the EU by him and his party or face Fidesz's suspension from the EPP.[9]

On 20 March 2019, the European People's Party voted to suspend the membership of Fidesz citing its anti-immigration stance, and personal attacks on Jean-Claude Juncker and George Soros. Prime Minister and Fidesz leader Viktor Orbán had threatened to pull out of the EPP if it was suspended.[10]

Parties contesting

[edit]

According to election law, Hungary consists of a single election district and all parties that collect 20,000 valid signatures from eligible citizens are put on the ballot. By the deadline (23 April 2019, 16:00), eleven parties or party alliances had submitted signature lists. Of those, two parties were refused registration, lacking a sufficient number of valid signatures : the United Hungarian National People's Party (EMNP) and the Tea Party Hungary (TPM).[11] Nine qualified lists were approved by the National Election Committee (NVB) to be put on the ballot, of which two of them are shared lists. All parties represented in theOrszággyűlés participated in the election, in addition to four extra-parliamentary parties. The parties appeared on the ballot papers in the following randomly drawn order:

Hungarian parties contesting the 2019 European Parliament election
Abbr.PartyLead candidateLast electionEP affiliation
MSZP–PárbeszédHungarian Socialist PartyDialogue for HungaryBertalan Tóth10.9%+7.25%[c]2+1 seatsS&D+Greens/EFA
MKKPHungarian Two Tailed Dog PartyZsuzsanna Dömedid not contest
JobbikMovement for a Better HungaryMárton Gyöngyösi14.67%3 seatsNI
Fidesz–KDNPFidesz – Hungarian Civic AllianceChristian Democratic People's PartyLászló Trócsányi51.48%11+1 seatsEPP[a]
MomentumMomentum MovementKatalin Csehdid not contestALDE
DKDemocratic CoalitionKlára Dobrev9.75%2 seatsS&D
MHOur Homeland MovementLászló Toroczkaidid not contest
MunkáspártHungarian Workers' PartyGyula Thürmerdid not contest
LMPPolitics Can Be DifferentGábor Vágó5.04%1 seatGreens/EFA

Opinion polling

[edit]
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Polling firmFieldwork dateFidesz-KDNPMSZP-PárbeszédDKJobbikMomentumLMPMKKPMHLead
2019 election26 May 201952.626.6216.096.379.832.172.613.3036.81
Nézőpont25 May 20195510119732241
Politico24 May 201955.088.5110.689.536.023.343.001.5344.40
Publicus16-22 May 201952131113641139
MediánArchived 2019-05-23 at theWayback Machine15-18 May 20195210.51011.55.543340.5
Századvég10-18 May 201954.87.511.89.76.53.203.243
MR CenterArchived 2019-05-26 at theWayback Machine15 May 201942.19.58.39.86.21.83.58.332.3
NézőpontMay 201954101010653244
Závecz Research4-14 May 201953121112452241
Idea Institute2-6 May 20195012913352037
Nézőpont1-26 April 20195710810542247
Závecz Research15-25 April 20195713116542144
MR CenterArchived 2019-05-10 at theWayback Machine16-26 April 201950.309.2310.2010.356.253.704.701.4049.95
Századvég10-21 April 20195410914440240
Závecz ResearchApril 20195312912442244
MediánMar-Apr 20195312811572041
Idea Institute29 Mar-1 Apr 20194812914643234
Publicus13-20 March 20195215616632036
Závecz ResearchMarch 20195013914541236
Nézőpont1-28 March 20195611612454244
Idea Institute28 Feb-3 Mar 20194712917434230
Nézőpont31 Jan-22 Feb 20195411613454341
Nézőpont31 Jan-22 Feb 20195411613454341
European Parliament5-15 February 201953.012.38.313.33.74.71.72.039.7
Závecz Research3-10 February 20194912914442235
European ParliamentArchived 2019-05-27 at theWayback Machine6 February 201949.313.37.215.55.04.53.71.233.8
2014 election25 May 201451.4810.909.7514.675.0436.81

Results

[edit]
PartyVotes%Seats+/–
Fidesz-KDNP1,824,22052.5613+1
Democratic Coalition557,08116.054+2
Momentum Movement344,5129.932New
Hungarian Socialist PartyDialogue for Hungary229,5516.611–2
Jobbik220,1846.341–2
Our Homeland Movement114,1563.290New
Hungarian Two Tailed Dog Party90,9122.620New
Politics Can Be Different75,4982.180–1
Hungarian Workers' Party14,4520.420New
Total3,470,566100.00210
Valid votes3,470,56699.49
Invalid/blank votes17,7750.51
Total votes3,488,341100.00
Registered voters/turnout8,008,35343.56
Source:Valasztas.hu

By county and in the diaspora

[edit]
County results in %[12]Fidesz-KDNPDKMomentumMSZP-PárbeszédJobbikMHMKKPLMPMunkáspártTotal Votes CastTurnout
Baranya50.1318.439.446.636.063.132.892.840.46125,67341.35%
Bács-Kiskun58.8113.437.275.087.053.672.192.100.39166,01339.80%
Békés52.7016.746.806.178.654.092.142.010.46109,77538.65%
Borsod-Abaúj-Zemplén51.6515.775.797.1511.694.021.821.520.59202,26838.31%
Budapest (capital)41.1719.7917.359.043.182.323.832.980.34689,52652.51%
Csongrád49.3213.899.4711.535.384.952.992.070.42145,39343.90%
Fejér53.8316.019.155.317.033.692.581.980.43148,56343.38%
Győr-Moson-Sopron59.1713.748.444.905.793.262.282.070.35166,60246.36%
Hajdú-Bihar57.3714.167.965.547.143.172.211.950.47156,69136.55%
Heves52.6316.127.145.8310.263.951.881.740.46100,09341.38%
Jász-Nagykun-Szolnok53.4414.956.006.539.605.281.931.580.70113,54237.42%
Komárom-Esztergom50.0819.658.565.597.343.502.612.220.43101,79041.40%
Nógrád56.9015.655.117.276.764.471.571.400.8661,93639.38%
Pest51.3815.5511.705.645.293.343.232.540.34449,27044.20%
Somogy55.3017.226.445.388.902.871.791.670.43102,98140.70%
Szabolcs-Szatmár-Bereg60.6613.455.326.278.252.921.451.250.42170,75438.05%
Tolna59.0214.406.635.986.113.532.011.880.4373,03640.17%
Vas61.0313.037.425.636.432.402.011.760.29100,16948.80%
Veszprém54.7515.208.225.967.533.502.392.060.38129,67845.32%
Zala58.1315.636.914.846.813.581.861.890.34100,56544.72%
Foreign representations41.309.6029.046.372.292.075.224.000.1117,74987.47%
Diaspora95.970.600.960.450.320.630.580.360.1257,77755.29%
Total52.5616.059.936.616.343.292.622.180.42

European groups

[edit]
European groupSeats 2014Seats 2019Change
European People's PartyEPP
12 / 21
13 / 21
Increase 1
Progressive Alliance of Socialists and DemocratsS&D
4 / 21
5 / 21
Increase 1
Alliance of Liberals and Democrats for EuropeALDE0
2 / 21
Increase 2
Non-InscritsNI
3 / 21
1 / 21
Decrease 2
The Greens–European Free AllianceGreens-EFA
2 / 21
0Decrease 2
2121

List of seat winners

[edit]

On theFidesz-KDNP list: (EPP Group)

  1. László Trócsányi
  2. József Szájer
  3. Lívia Járóka
  4. Tamás Deutsch
  5. András Gyürk
  6. Kinga Gál
  7. György Hölvényi (KDNP)
  8. Enikő Győri
  9. Ádám Kósa
  10. Andrea Bocskor
  11. Andor Deli
  12. Balázs Hidvéghi
  13. Edina Tóth


On theDemocratic Coalition list: (S&D)

  1. Klára Dobrev
  2. Csaba Molnár
  3. Sándor Rónai
  4. Attila Ara-Kovács

On theMomentum Movement list: (ALDE)

  1. Katalin Cseh
  2. Anna Donáth

On theHungarian Socialist PartyDialogue for Hungary list: (S&D)

  1. István Ujhelyi[d]

On theJobbik list: (Non-inscrits)

  1. Márton Gyöngyösi

Analysis

[edit]

These elections marked the change of balance in Hungarian politics. Although Fidesz-KNDP remained largest and dominant party, but MSZP and Jobbik were replaced by Democratic Coalition and Momentum Movement as leading opposition parties. LMP was wiped off from political sphere. The results of the European elections in Hungary were also viewed with interest for their potential implications in the upcominglocal elections in 2019. András Bódis of Válasz Online noted possibility that in some municipalities joint opposition candidates can defeat Fidesz-KNDP candidates.[13]

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^abMembership of Fidesz was suspended.
  2. ^Joint result ofMSZP andEgyüttPM in the last EU election
  3. ^Common list with the now-defunctTogether in the 2014 election
  4. ^Bertalan Tóth was elected as lead candidate but did not take his seat.

References

[edit]
  1. ^abZoltán, Dull Szabolcs, Kovács (2019-03-01)."President of the Republic announces date of European Election in Hungary".index.hu. Retrieved2019-03-04.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: multiple names: authors list (link)
  2. ^"EU elections: how many MEPs will each country get in 2019? | News | European Parliament".www.europarl.europa.eu. 2018-01-02. Retrieved2019-02-09.
  3. ^"Council agrees dates for the 2019 European Parliament elections - Consilium".www.consilium.europa.eu. Retrieved2019-02-09.
  4. ^"Nemzeti Jogszabálytár".njt.hu. Retrieved2019-02-09.
  5. ^Rankin, Jennifer (February 19, 2019)."Brussels accuses Orbán of peddling conspiracy theory with Juncker poster".The Guardian – via www.theguardian.com.
  6. ^"Orban faces boot by EU centre-right group".BBC News. March 5, 2019.
  7. ^Karnitschnig, Matthew (March 2, 2019)."Viktor Orbán calls EPP critics 'useful idiots'".POLITICO.
  8. ^"Hungary's Viktor Orban calls his EU party critics 'useful idiots' | DW | 04.03.2019".DW.COM.
  9. ^"European conservative gives ultimatum to Hungarian leader".Reuters. 2019-03-05. Retrieved2019-03-14.
  10. ^de la Baume, Maïa; Bayer, Lili (21 March 2019)."Hungary's Orbán clings on to Europe's power center".Politico. Retrieved21 March 2019.
  11. ^Kilenc listára lehet majd szavazni az EP-választáson – Index.hu, 2019-04-25.
  12. ^"Eredmények 2019 - Európa Parlamenti választás".
  13. ^"Szuperelemzés: 111 hely, ahol a Fidesz valódi versenyre kényszerülhet ősszel | Válasz Online".
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