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2018 United States Senate election in Wisconsin

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2018 United States Senate election in Wisconsin
← 2012
November 6, 2018 (2018-11-06)
2024 →
Turnout61.2%Decrease
 
NomineeTammy BaldwinLeah Vukmir
PartyDemocraticRepublican
Popular vote1,472,9141,184,885
Percentage55.36%44.53%
County results
Congressional district results
Precinct results
Baldwin:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Vukmir:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Tie:     40–50%     50%     No data
U.S. senator before election

Tammy Baldwin
Democratic

Elected U.S. Senator

Tammy Baldwin
Democratic

Elections in Wisconsin
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The2018 United States Senate election in Wisconsin took place on November 6, 2018, to elect a member of theU.S. Senate fromWisconsin. This election coincided with agubernatorial election,U.S. Houseelections and various other state and local elections. IncumbentDemocratic senatorTammy Baldwin won re-election to a second term, defeatingRepublican nomineeLeah Vukmir by more than 10 percentage points. This was one of ten Democratic-held Senate seats up for election in a stateDonald Trump won in the2016 presidential election. The primary elections were held on August 14, with a filing deadline on June 1. Baldwin was unopposed for the Democratic nomination, while Vukmir defeated Charles Barman, Griffin Jones, George Lucia and Kevin Nicholson in the Republican primary.[1]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Tammy Baldwin

U.S. senators

Organizations

Results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[28]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticTammy Baldwin (incumbent)510,81299.64%
Write-in1,8480.36%
Total votes512,660100%

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]

Declined

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Kevin Nicholson

Federal officials

U.S. senators

State legislators

Organizations

Newspapers

Leah Vukmir

Federal officials

U.S. representatives

State officials

State legislators

Local officials

Individuals

Organizations

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Kevin
Nicholson		Leah
Vukmir		OtherUndecided
Emerson College[85]July 26–28, 2018238± 6.5%35%35%3%27%
Marist College[86]July 15–19, 2018355± 6.1%38%28%<1%34%
Hodas & Associates (R-Restoration PAC)[87]July 12–16, 2018600± 3.0%33%20%–47%
Marquette University[88]July 11–15, 2018266± 7.0%32%34%2%30%
Marquette University[89]June 13–17, 2018274± 6.9%37%32%1%30%
Hodas & Associates (R-Restoration PAC)[90]June 7–12, 2018600± 3.0%28%14%–58%
The Tarrance Group (R-Wisconsin Next PAC)[91]May 31 – June 4, 2018800± 3.5%29%36%–35%
American Viewpoint (R-Vukmir)[92]May 29–31, 2018500± 4.4%32%30%––
Hodas & Associates (R-Restoration PAC)[93]April 30 – May 3, 2018240± 6.0%46%15%––
WPA Intelligence (R-Nicholson)[94]April 2–4, 20181,028± 3.1%45%27%–28%
Marquette University[95]February 25 – March 1, 2018243± 8.2%28%19%2%49%
WPA Intelligence (R-Nicholson)[96]January 22–23, 2018350± 5.2%48%9%1%[a]42%
WPA Intelligence (R-Nicholson)[96]January 2–3, 2018350± 5.2%27%10%2%[b]60%
WPA Intelligence (R-Nicholson)[97]December 6–7, 20171,004± 3.1%30%23%2%[b]45%
Notes
  1. ^John Schiess 1%
  2. ^abJohn Schiess 2%
Hypothetical polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		David
Clarke		Sean
Duffy		Undecided
Magellan Strategies (R)[98]February 15–16, 2017300± 5.7%32%26%42%

Results

[edit]
Results by county
  Vukmir
  •   60–70%
  •   50–60%
  •   40–50%
  Nicholson
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
Republican primary results[28]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanLeah Vukmir217,23048.90%
RepublicanKevin Nicholson191,27643.06%
RepublicanGeorge Lucia18,7864.23%
RepublicanGriffin Jones8,6991.96%
RepublicanCharles Barman7,9591.79%
Write-in3030.07%
Total votes444,253100%

General election

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Leah Vukmir (R)

U.S. executive branch officials

U.S. senators

U.S. representatives

State officials

State legislators

Local officials

Individuals

Organizations

Tammy Baldwin (D)

Former U.S. executive branch officials

U.S. senators

U.S. representatives

State officials

State legislators

Local officials

Individuals

Organizations

Debates

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[124]Likely DOctober 26, 2018
Inside Elections[125]Safe DNovember 1, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[126]Likely DNovember 5, 2018
Fox News[127][a]Likely DNovember 5, 2018
CNN[128]Likely DNovember 5, 2018
RealClearPolitics[129]Lean DNovember 5, 2018
Notes
  1. ^The Fox News Midterm Power Rankings uniquely does not contain a category for Safe/Solid races

Polling

[edit]
%support01020304050602018/03/162018/08/192018/10/072018/11/3BaldwinVukmirOther/UndecidedOpinion polling for the 2018 United States S...
Viewsource data.
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Tammy
Baldwin (D)		Leah
Vukmir (R)		OtherUndecided
Research Co.[130]November 1–3, 2018450± 4.6%50%39%–11%
Emerson College[131]October 29–31, 2018604± 4.1%53%44%–3%
Marquette University[132]October 24–28, 20181,154 LV± 3.2%54%43%–1%
1,400 RV± 3.0%52%42%–3%
Ipsos[133]October 12–18, 20181,193± 3.0%54%39%3%5%
Public Policy Polling (D-Protect Our Care)[134]October 10–11, 2018816± 3.4%52%42%–6%
Marquette University[135]October 3–7, 2018799 LV± 3.9%53%43%–2%
1,000 RV± 3.6%53%42%–3%
Marist College[136]September 30 – October 3, 2018571 LV± 4.8%54%40%1%5%
781 RV± 4.1%53%40%1%6%
Ipsos[133]September 14–24, 20181,109± 3.0%52%39%4%5%
Marquette University[137]September 12–16, 2018614 LV± 4.4%53%42%–2%
800 RV± 4.0%52%40%–4%
Suffolk University[138]August 18–24, 2018500± 4.4%50%42%–8%
Marquette University[139]August 15–19, 2018601 LV± 4.5%49%47%–2%
800 RV± 4.0%51%43%–4%
Emerson College[85]July 26–28, 2018632± 4.2%50%36%4%10%
Marist College[86]July 15–19, 2018906± 3.8%55%38%1%6%
SurveyMonkey/Axios[140]June 11 – July 2, 2018968± 4.5%56%40%–4%
Marquette University[89]June 13–17, 2018800± 4.0%49%40%–8%
Public Policy Polling (D-Protect Our Care)[141]March 15–16, 2018910± 3.3%51%39%–10%
Hypothetical polling

with Kevin Nicholson

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Tammy
Baldwin (D)		Kevin
Nicholson (R)		OtherUndecided
Emerson College[85]July 26–28, 2018632± 4.2%49%40%3%9%
Marist College[86]July 15–19, 2018906± 3.8%54%39%1%6%
SurveyMonkey/Axios[140]June 11 – July 2, 2018968± 4.5%55%42%–3%
Marquette University[89]June 13–17, 2018800± 4.0%50%39%–7%
Public Policy Polling (D-Protect Our Care)[141]March 15–16, 2018910± 3.3%51%38%–11%

with generic Republican

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Tammy
Baldwin (D)		Generic
Republican		Undecided
SurveyMonkey/Axios[142]February 12 – March 5, 20181,668± 3.6%49%46%5%

with David Clarke

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Tammy
Baldwin (D)		David
Clarke (R)		OtherUndecided
Magellan Strategies (R)[98]February 9–10, 2017500± 4.4%49%35%2%14%

with Sean Duffy

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Tammy
Baldwin (D)		Sean
Duffy (R)		OtherUndecided
Magellan Strategies (R)[98]February 9–10, 2017500± 4.4%49%36%2%13%

Results

[edit]

Despite initial expectations of a potentially close race, Baldwin ended up winning by over 10 percentage points, which was the highest margin of victory for a Wisconsin Democratic statewide candidate in 2018. She ran up the margins in the traditional Democratic strongholds of Milwaukee and Madison, but also won in western Wisconsin, Green Bay and most of the counties borderingIllinois, includingRacine,Rock, andKenosha counties.[143] This was the largest margin of victory for the Democrats in a major Wisconsin statewide campaign (presidential, senate, gubernatorial) since 2008.

United States Senate election in Wisconsin, 2018[144]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
DemocraticTammy Baldwin (incumbent)1,472,91455.36%+3.95%
RepublicanLeah Vukmir1,184,88544.53%−1.33%
Write-in2,9640.11%N/A
Total votes2,660,763100.00%N/A
Democratichold

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

[edit]

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

[edit]

By congressional district

[edit]

As a result of partisan gerrymandering, Baldwin only won three out of the state's eight Congressional districts, despite winning the election comfortably by over ten percentage points.[145]

DistrictBaldwinVukmirRepresentative
1st49.6%50.3%Bryan Steil
2nd73%26%Mark Pocan
3rd56%44%Ron Kind
4th79%21%Gwen Moore
5th43%57%Jim Sensenbrenner
6th47%52%Glenn Grothman
7th48%52%Sean Duffy
8th48%51%Mike Gallagher

See also

[edit]

Notes

[edit]

References

[edit]
  1. ^"Elections - Wisconsin Elections Commission".elections.wi.gov. Archived fromthe original on April 17, 2018. RetrievedMarch 29, 2018.
  2. ^"Sen. Baldwin prepares for re-election fight in 2018". April 19, 2017.Archived from the original on November 4, 2017. RetrievedOctober 30, 2017.
  3. ^ab"WI-Sen: Sen. Cory Booker (D. NJ) Helps Fuel Tammy Baldwin's (D) Re-Election Campaign".Daily Kos. March 11, 2018.Archived from the original on August 31, 2024. RetrievedMay 19, 2018.
  4. ^ab"WI-Sen: Sen. Tammy Duckwoth (D. IL) Refuses To Let Cadet Bone Spurs Defeat A Fellow Tammy".Daily Kos. March 27, 2018.Archived from the original on May 19, 2018. RetrievedMay 19, 2018.
  5. ^ab"WI, FL & VA-Sen: Sen. Dick Durbin (D. IL) Helps These Democrats Keep Up The Resistance".Daily Kos. October 30, 2017.Archived from the original on August 31, 2024. RetrievedMay 19, 2018.
  6. ^ab"WI-Sen: Russ Feingold (D) Refuses To Let Right-Wing Billionaires Defeat Tammy Baldwin (D)".Daily Kos. June 22, 2017.Archived from the original on August 31, 2024. RetrievedMay 19, 2018.
  7. ^ab"WI-Sen: Al Franken (D. MN) Helps Fuel Tammy Baldwin's (D) Campaign To Continue To Take On Trump".Daily Kos. June 22, 2017.Archived from the original on August 31, 2024. RetrievedMay 19, 2018.
  8. ^ab"WI-Sen: Kamala Harris (D. CA) Helps Tammy Baldwin (D) Keep Up The Fight To Defeat Trumpcare".Daily Kos. June 22, 2017.Archived from the original on August 31, 2024. RetrievedMay 19, 2018.
  9. ^ab"MA, MO & WI-Sen: Sen. Maggie Hassan (D. NH) Helps These Women Persist & Resist Trump".Daily Kos. November 7, 2017.Archived from the original on August 31, 2024. RetrievedMay 19, 2018.
  10. ^abJones sent out an email to supporters soliciting donations to Baldwin.
  11. ^ab"MO & WI-Sen: Sen Catherine Cortez Masto (D. NV) Helps These Dems Keep Up The Resistance".Daily Kos. September 29, 2017.
  12. ^ab"WI-Sen: Sen. Jeff Merkley (D. OR) Refuses To Let Trump & The Kochs Take Down Tammy Baldwin (D)".Daily Kos. March 9, 2018.Archived from the original on May 19, 2018. RetrievedMay 19, 2018.
  13. ^ab"MI, IN, WI, MN, OH & PA-Sen: Sen. Gary Peters (D. MI) Helps Senate Dems Win Big In The Midwest".Daily Kos. February 27, 2018.Archived from the original on August 31, 2024. RetrievedMay 19, 2018.
  14. ^abTammy Baldwin."Exciting announcement: @BernieSanders is coming to Wisconsin to show that he's on #TeamTammy!".Twitter.Archived from the original on July 10, 2018. RetrievedJuly 10, 2018.
  15. ^ab"Elizabeth Warren to appear at fundraiser for Tammy Baldwin Saturday in Milwaukee".Archived from the original on June 22, 2019. RetrievedOctober 30, 2017.
  16. ^ab"WI-Sen: Sen. Sheldon Whitehouse (D. RI) Refuses To Let Kochs' Dark Money Defeat Tammy Baldwin (D)".Daily Kos. February 8, 2018.Archived from the original on August 31, 2024. RetrievedMay 19, 2018.
  17. ^ab"2018 Council-endorsed Senate Candidates - Council for a Livable World".Council for a Livable World.Archived from the original on September 6, 2023. RetrievedJune 20, 2018.
  18. ^abHagen, Lisa (January 20, 2017)."Major progressive group unveils first 2018 Senate endorsements".The Hill.Archived from the original on January 27, 2017. RetrievedJanuary 29, 2017.
  19. ^ab"EMILY's List Endorses Nine Democratic Women Senators for Re-Election in 2018".EMILY's List. February 10, 2017.Archived from the original on February 13, 2017. RetrievedFebruary 13, 2017.
  20. ^abPathé, Simone (April 13, 2017)."Liberal PAC Makes First Senate Endorsements of 2018".Roll Call. RetrievedApril 14, 2017.
  21. ^ab"2018 Senate Endorsees - JStreet". Archived fromthe original on June 16, 2018. RetrievedJune 20, 2018.
  22. ^abcd"LCV Action Fund and the Sierra Club Endorse Senator Tammy Baldwin for Re-Election".League of Conservation Voters. March 20, 2018.Archived from the original on March 21, 2018. RetrievedMarch 21, 2018.
  23. ^ab"LegitPAC - LegitAction".legitaction.com.Archived from the original on November 2, 2017. RetrievedOctober 17, 2017.
  24. ^abStewart, Brian (August 1, 2017)."MoveOn Endorses Six Senators' Re-Election Bids, Backing 'Health Care Heroes' for Helping Lead Effort to Stop Trumpcare From Becoming Law, Embracing Progressive Policies in Trump Era".MoveOn.org.Archived from the original on June 22, 2018. RetrievedSeptember 10, 2017.
  25. ^ab"Federal Endorsements by the NOW PAC | National Organization for Women Political Action Committees".nowpac.org. August 23, 2017. Archived fromthe original on April 26, 2019. RetrievedAugust 1, 2018.
  26. ^abDison, Denis (January 31, 2018)."NRDC Action Fund endorses Sens. Tammy Baldwin and Bill Nelson".Natural Resources Defense Council.Archived from the original on March 13, 2018. RetrievedMarch 13, 2018.
  27. ^abLaguens, Dawn; Atkinson, Tanya (May 10, 2018)."Planned Parenthood Action Fund Endorses U.S. Senator Tammy Baldwin for Re-election".plannedparenthoodaction.org. Planned Parenthood Action Fund.Archived from the original on May 19, 2018. RetrievedMay 19, 2018.
  28. ^ab"United States Senate primary election in Wisconsin, 2018"(PDF). Office of the Wisconsin Secretary of State. Archived fromthe original(PDF) on October 21, 2021. RetrievedJune 6, 2019.
  29. ^Greenwood, Max (August 14, 2018)."Establishment-backed Vukmir wins Wisconsin GOP Senate primary".The Hill.Archived from the original on July 27, 2021. RetrievedApril 16, 2024.
  30. ^"BARMAN, CHARLES EDWARD - Candidate overview - FEC.gov".FEC.gov.Archived from the original on September 11, 2020. RetrievedApril 10, 2018.
  31. ^"JONES, GRIFFIN GILBERT - Candidate overview - FEC.gov".FEC.gov.Archived from the original on September 11, 2018. RetrievedApril 10, 2018.
  32. ^"Wisconsin 2018 General Election".The Green Papers.Archived from the original on June 16, 2018. RetrievedJune 16, 2018.
  33. ^Glabuer, Bill (July 26, 2017)."Marine veteran Kevin Nicholson launches GOP Wisconsin Senate bid against Tammy Baldwin".Milwaukee Journal Sentinel.Archived from the original on July 14, 2018. RetrievedJuly 27, 2017.
  34. ^Horning, Joe (January 19, 2017)."Super PAC wants David Clarke to run against Tammy Baldwin".WFRV-TV.Archived from the original on January 31, 2017. RetrievedJanuary 19, 2017.
  35. ^""Cop Under Fire:" Sheriff Clarke says he won't run for Senate, criticizes Gov. Walker in new book". March 1, 2017.
  36. ^abcdefghCurtis, Jake (December 18, 2016)."Buoyed by Trump's win, Wisconsin Republicans eye Baldwin challenge".The Hill.Archived from the original on December 21, 2016. RetrievedDecember 19, 2016.
  37. ^Pathé, Simone (February 15, 2017)."Wisconsin's Sean Duffy Expected to Forgo Senate Bid".Roll Call.Archived from the original on February 16, 2017. RetrievedFebruary 15, 2017.
  38. ^"Republican Eric Hovde won't decide Senate run for months".WQOW.Associated Press. November 17, 2016. Archived fromthe original on November 18, 2016. RetrievedNovember 17, 2016.
  39. ^"Lt. Gov. Rebecca Kleefisch Rules Out 2018 Senate Run"(PDF).usnews.com. June 19, 2017.Archived from the original on May 2, 2018. RetrievedJune 20, 2017.
  40. ^Bader, Jerry (March 28, 2017)."Another GOP Name Surfaces in WI 2018 Senate Race".RightWisconsin. Archived fromthe original on March 29, 2017. RetrievedMarch 28, 2017.
  41. ^Stein, Jason (June 27, 2017)."Nicole Schneider won't run for Senate against Tammy Baldwin".Milwaukee Journal Sentinel.Archived from the original on September 11, 2018. RetrievedJune 28, 2017.
  42. ^abc"I'm proud to support my colleague, friend and consistent conservative warrior @LeahVukmir for US Senate. #WIsen".Twitter. September 7, 2017.Archived from the original on December 4, 2017. RetrievedSeptember 7, 2017.
  43. ^Sommerhauser, Mark (October 6, 2016)."Charlie Sykes: 'Absolutely no truth' to suggestion he'd challenge Tammy Baldwin for U.S. Senate".Wisconsin State Journal.Archived from the original on October 9, 2016. RetrievedOctober 11, 2016.
  44. ^Drucker, David M. (November 16, 2016)."Gov. Scott Walker leaning toward re-election, rules out 2018 Senate bid".The Washington Examiner.Archived from the original on July 29, 2017. RetrievedNovember 17, 2016.
  45. ^"Steve Bannon injects himself into Wisconsin Senate race, backing Vukmir challenger Kevin Nicholson". October 17, 2017. Archived fromthe original on October 18, 2017. RetrievedOctober 17, 2017.
  46. ^"John Bolton Endorse Kevin Nicholson in 2018 Wisconsin Senate Race". National Review. August 10, 2017.Archived from the original on October 14, 2017. RetrievedMay 2, 2018.
  47. ^"Kevin Nicholson on Twitter".Archived from the original on July 10, 2020. RetrievedJanuary 4, 2018.
  48. ^"Nicholson campaign: Senator Mike Lee endorses Marine veteran Kevin Nicholson for U.S. senate in Wisconsin".WisPolitics.Archived from the original on April 23, 2018. RetrievedApril 23, 2018.
  49. ^Jesse Kremer."Proud to be endorsing @KevinMNicholson for US Senate!".Twitter.Archived from the original on July 10, 2018. RetrievedMay 12, 2018.
  50. ^Sarah Seifert (May 16, 2018)."Third Wisconsin veterans' tour draws in candidate for U.S. Senate seat at Chippewa Falls stop".Chippewa Herald.Archived from the original on May 26, 2018. RetrievedMay 25, 2018.
  51. ^"Club PAC-Endorsed Candidates".Club for Growth.Archived from the original on October 17, 2017. RetrievedOctober 16, 2017.
  52. ^"FreedomWorks for America Endorses Kevin Nicholson in Wisconsin Senate Race | FreedomWorks for America". Archived fromthe original on October 19, 2017. RetrievedOctober 19, 2017.
  53. ^Glauber, Bill (October 16, 2017)."Wisconsin GOP Senate contender Kevin Nicholson wins endorsement from super PAC tied to Steve Bannon".Milwaukee Journal Sentinel.
  54. ^"The Madison Project Endorses Kevin Nicholson".Madison Project. August 24, 2017. Archived fromthe original on August 10, 2018. RetrievedAugust 10, 2018.
  55. ^"Kevin Nicholson for U.S. Senate".Senate Conservatives Fund. August 9, 2018.
  56. ^"Citizens Fund Endorses Kevin Nicholson for Senate in Wisconsin".Tea Party Patriots Citizens Fund. April 16, 2018. Archived fromthe original on April 16, 2018.
  57. ^abc"WISCONSIN FAMILY ACTION PAC ANNOUNCES FIRST ROUND OF FALL 2018 ENDORSEMENTS".Wisconsin Family Action. July 23, 2018. Archived fromthe original on September 28, 2020. RetrievedAugust 10, 2018.
  58. ^abc"WRTL PAC Announces Second Round of Endorsements".Wisconsin Right to Life. July 9, 2018.Archived from the original on August 10, 2018. RetrievedAugust 10, 2018.
  59. ^"Nicholson stands out in tight GOP Senate primary".Kenosha News.Archived from the original on November 5, 2018. RetrievedAugust 2, 2018.
  60. ^abLeah Vukmir (January 22, 2018).".@Reince knows exactly what it takes to win in Wisconsin, and I am honored to have his support for my U.S. Senate campaign. 🇺🇸#wisen #wiright #maga".Twitter.Archived from the original on January 22, 2018. RetrievedJanuary 22, 2018.
  61. ^abImrie, Robert."Duffy endorses Vukmir in GOP Senate primary".waow.com. Archived fromthe original on July 10, 2018. RetrievedJuly 9, 2018.
  62. ^ab"Glenn Grothman Chooses Leah Vukmir for U.S. Senate".Leah Vukmir for Senate. July 9, 2018. Archived fromthe original on July 10, 2018. RetrievedJuly 9, 2018.
  63. ^abcd"RYAN & SENSENBRENNER: WE CHOOSE LEAH".RightWisconsin. June 25, 2018. Archived fromthe original on June 26, 2018. RetrievedJune 26, 2018.
  64. ^abcdefghijklmnopqrstuvwxyzaaabacadaeafagahaiajakalamanaoapaqarasatauavawaxayazbabbbcbdbebfbgbhbibjbkblbmbnbobpbqbrbsbtbubvbwbxbybzcacbcccdcecfcgchcicjckclcmcncocpcqcrcsctcucvcwcxcyczdadbdcdddedfdgdhdidjdkdldmdndodpdqdrdsdt"Leah Vukmir Announces Steering Committee for U.S. Senate".medium.com. November 2, 2017.Archived from the original on November 7, 2017. RetrievedNovember 3, 2017.
  65. ^ab"FORMER LT. GOV. MARGARET FARROW ENDORSES LEAH VUKMIR FOR U.S. SENATE".Right Wisconsin. September 14, 2017. Archived fromthe original on August 16, 2018. RetrievedSeptember 15, 2017.
  66. ^abcdefghijklmn"Leah announces 300+ Wisconsin endorsements".medium.com. January 31, 2018.Archived from the original on February 4, 2018. RetrievedFebruary 3, 2018.
  67. ^ab"Join me in supporting @LeahVukmir for US Senate, a proven conservative with a record of reform that she'll take to DC! #wisenate #wiright".Twitter. October 5, 2017.
  68. ^ab"Honored to have these leaders who helped bring about Trump's, Walker's and RoJo's election victories on my finance team. #wisen #wiright".Twitter. September 21, 2017.
  69. ^abcdef"Leah Reaches 400+ Grassroots Wisconsin Endorsements".medium.com. February 21, 2018.Archived from the original on February 21, 2018. RetrievedFebruary 21, 2018.
  70. ^ab"Joel Kleefisch: I choose Leah".medium.com. October 26, 2017.Archived from the original on October 27, 2017. RetrievedOctober 26, 2017.
  71. ^abLeah, Vukmir."Thanks, @RepSteffen, for your endorsement! Appreciate having someone w/so much respect for our police and military on my team! 🇺🇸 #wisen".Twitter.Archived from the original on December 4, 2017. RetrievedOctober 20, 2017.
  72. ^abcdefghijklmnop"Leah Topples 200+ Grassroots Endorsements".medium.com. January 4, 2018.Archived from the original on January 7, 2018. RetrievedJanuary 7, 2018.
  73. ^ab"Sen. Van Wanggaard endorses Leah Vukmir for U.S. Senate".medium.com. October 16, 2017.Archived from the original on October 21, 2017. RetrievedOctober 20, 2017.
  74. ^abGlauber, Bill (March 26, 2018)."Leah Vukmir rolls up support in Wisconsin Senate race from GOP insiders and activists".Milwaukee Journal Sentinel.
  75. ^ab"Leah Vukmir Announces Steering Committee for U.S. Senate".medium.com. September 18, 2017.
  76. ^"Facebook".facebook.com.
  77. ^abWigderson, James (February 12, 2018)."FIRST LADY TONETTE WALKER SUPPORTS VUKMIR FOR U.S. SENATE".RightWisconsin. Archived fromthe original on September 13, 2020. RetrievedFebruary 13, 2018.
  78. ^abWigderson, James (August 12, 2018)."WISN'S JAY WEBER ENDORSES VUKMIR FOR SENATE".RightWisconsin. Archived fromthe original on December 28, 2019. RetrievedAugust 13, 2018.
  79. ^ab"Maggie's List Proudly Endorsed Leah Vukmir for U.S Senate".Maggie's List. December 12, 2017.Archived from the original on December 15, 2017.
  80. ^ab"NRA-PVF | NRA Endorses State Senator Leah Vukmir for U.S. Senate in Wisconsin".nrapvf.org. NRA-PVF. July 17, 2018.Archived from the original on August 16, 2023. RetrievedAugust 16, 2023.
  81. ^abJashinsky, Emily (July 17, 2018)."NRA endorses Leah Vukmir in Wisconsin Senate race".The Washington Examiner.Archived from the original on July 17, 2018.
  82. ^abBill Glauber (May 12, 2018)."Leah Vukmir claims U.S. Senate endorsement at Wisconsin GOP convention".Milwaukee Journal Sentinel.Archived from the original on June 14, 2018.
  83. ^ab"ICYMI – RightNOW Women PAC Endorses Leah Vukmir".RightNOW Women. Urban Milwaukee. January 2, 2018.Archived from the original on February 4, 2018.
  84. ^abWaukesha Young Republicans."Young Republicans across Waukesha County TODAY are casting their vote for our great team of proven conservatives to keep WI moving forward & bring the WI Way to DC!! #WIRight #WYR #ChooseLeah #WIYREndorsed".Twitter.Archived from the original on August 27, 2018. RetrievedAugust 14, 2018.
  85. ^abcEmerson CollegeArchived 2018-08-18 at theWayback Machine
  86. ^abcMarist College
  87. ^Hodas & Associates (R-Restoration PAC)
  88. ^Marquette UniversityArchived 2020-03-05 at theWayback Machine
  89. ^abc"Marquette University"(PDF).Archived(PDF) from the original on June 20, 2018. RetrievedJune 20, 2018.
  90. ^"Hodas & Associates (R-Restoration PAC)".Archived from the original on November 8, 2018. RetrievedJune 18, 2018.
  91. ^The Tarrance Group (R-Wisconsin Next PAC)
  92. ^American Viewpoint (R-Vukmir)
  93. ^"Hodas & Associates (R-Restoration PAC)".Archived from the original on June 15, 2018. RetrievedJune 15, 2018.
  94. ^"WPA Intelligence (R-Nicholson)".Archived from the original on November 28, 2018. RetrievedApril 6, 2018.
  95. ^"Marquette University".Archived from the original on March 5, 2018. RetrievedMarch 5, 2018.
  96. ^ab"WPA Intelligence (R-Nicholson)".Archived from the original on February 9, 2018. RetrievedFebruary 8, 2018.
  97. ^"WPA Intelligence (R-Nicholson)".Archived from the original on November 8, 2018. RetrievedDecember 15, 2017.
  98. ^abcMagellan Strategies (R)
  99. ^Mike Pence."Big night for Wisconsin! Congrats to my friend & one of the nation's greatest governors @ScottWalker on his primary victory. And congrats to @LeahVukmir & @BryanSteilForWI, two great future leaders of the GOP!".Twitter.Archived from the original on August 16, 2018. RetrievedAugust 16, 2018.
  100. ^Leah Vukmir."Leah "is a strong leader who will ensure Wisconsin leads the way into the future. I am pleased to support her candidacy for the Senate." — Condoleezza Rice 🇺🇸 #wisen".Twitter.Archived from the original on November 2, 2018. RetrievedNovember 1, 2018.
  101. ^Donald J. Trump."Congratulations to Leah Vukmir of Wisconsin on your great win last night. You beat a very tough and good competitor and will make a fantastic Senator after winning in November against someone who has done very little. You have my complete and total Endorsement!".Twitter.Archived from the original on August 16, 2018. RetrievedAugust 16, 2018.
  102. ^Ron Johnson."Congratulations @LeahVukmir! #wisen".Twitter.Archived from the original on August 27, 2018. RetrievedAugust 17, 2018.
  103. ^Eric Trump."Thank you WISCONSIN!!! I absolutely loved being in your incredible state in support of the amazing @LeahVukmir, @RepSeanDuffy and @RepGrothman as we work to #MakeAmericaGreatAgain! #USAUSAUSA".Twitter.Archived from the original on October 4, 2020. RetrievedNovember 4, 2018.
  104. ^"Milwaukee Police Association Endorses Leah Vukmir for U.S. Senate".Urban Milwaukee. October 29, 2018.Archived from the original on October 31, 2018. RetrievedOctober 31, 2018.
  105. ^"U.S. Chamber of Commerce Endorses Leah Vukmir for U.S. Senate".Urban Milwaukee. October 30, 2018.Archived from the original on October 30, 2018. RetrievedOctober 31, 2018.
  106. ^Joe Biden."We desperately need men and women of character in elected office. That's why next Tuesday, one week out from Election Day, I'm proud to join @tammybaldwin & @Tony4WI at early vote rallies".Twitter.
  107. ^Barack Obama."Today, I'm proud to endorse even more Democratic candidates who aren't just running against something, but for something—to expand opportunity for all of us and to restore dignity, honor, and compassion to public service. They deserve your vote".Twitter.Archived from the original on October 2, 2018. RetrievedOctober 9, 2018.
  108. ^Tammy Baldwin."My friend @joekennedy is getting folks fired up today! He made some new friends at Marquette University this morning and is making sure everyone has a plan to vote!".Twitter.
  109. ^Gwen Moore."I am honored to stand tall with Senator @tammybaldwin in the fight to take #WI back this November! We must work together for progress and prosperity".Twitter.Archived from the original on November 17, 2018. RetrievedOctober 29, 2018.
  110. ^Mark Pocan."So glad to support @tammybaldwin today".Twitter.Archived from the original on November 17, 2020. RetrievedMay 15, 2019.
  111. ^Tony Evers."What an incredible afternoon in Milwaukee with @BarackObama, @TammyBaldwin, and our Wisconsin Democratic ticket. Our message was loud and clear: Democrats are fired up to vote and take our state back this November".Twitter.
  112. ^Mandela Barnes."Are we in the cheap seats, or is there just that much support for Tammy Baldwin? The answer is yes!".Twitter.
  113. ^Bill de Blasio."We have to show people their power. People talk themselves out of their power - because they're told that. You're agents of empowerment. @tammybaldwin".Twitter.Archived from the original on May 29, 2019. RetrievedOctober 24, 2018.
  114. ^Tammy Baldwin.""We need every woman across Wisconsin to stand up with Tammy — she stands up with us every day." — @Schriock1".Twitter.Archived from the original on March 21, 2024. RetrievedOctober 9, 2018.
  115. ^Siskind, Amy [@Amy_Siskind] (October 8, 2018)."END Mitch McConnell's reign of terror. Donate/volunteer for these close senate races: Jacky Rosen, NV Phil Bredesen, TN Claire McCaskill, MO Bill Nelson, FL Joe Donnelly, IN Heidi Heitkamp, ND Beto O'Rourke, TX Kyrsten Sinema, AZ Tammy Baldwin, WI" (Tweet). RetrievedOctober 20, 2018 – viaTwitter.
  116. ^Tammy Baldwin.".@WhitfordBradley was in Wausau getting folks fired up to make calls and knock doors for Tammy! As a native Wisconsinite, he knows the stakes are too high in this election to sit on the sidelines".Twitter.Archived from the original on August 31, 2024. RetrievedOctober 9, 2018.
  117. ^"Retiree Group Endorses Sen. Tammy Baldwin for U.S. Senate - Retired Americans". Retired Americans. October 8, 2018. Archived fromthe original on October 29, 2018. RetrievedOctober 29, 2018.
  118. ^"Tammy Baldwin – Feminist Majority PAC".feministmajoritypac.org.Archived from the original on October 27, 2018. RetrievedOctober 27, 2018.
  119. ^"Candidates We Endorse and Support - NCPSSM".ncpssm.org.Archived from the original on October 4, 2018. RetrievedOctober 9, 2018.
  120. ^"Population Connection Action Fund Endorsements".Population Connection. Archived fromthe original on April 5, 2018. RetrievedOctober 27, 2018.
  121. ^"Endorsed Candidates | Rachel's Action Network".rachelsactionnetwork.org.Archived from the original on October 27, 2018. RetrievedOctober 27, 2018.
  122. ^"Candidates – Run with Pride | Electing LGBTQ+ Candidates to Congress".runwithpride.org.Archived from the original on October 27, 2018. RetrievedOctober 27, 2018.
  123. ^"Wisconsin – Official UAW Endorsements".uawendorsements.org. United Automobile Workers.Archived from the original on October 28, 2018. RetrievedOctober 27, 2018.
  124. ^"2018 Senate Race Ratings for October 26, 2018".The Cook Political Report.Archived from the original on February 5, 2021. RetrievedMarch 13, 2021.
  125. ^"2018 Senate Ratings".The Rothenberg Political Report.Archived from the original on September 12, 2021. RetrievedMarch 13, 2021.
  126. ^Skelley, Geoffrey (June 21, 2018)."Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » Senate 2018: Two Rust Belt Ratings Move in the Democrats' Direction".centerforpolitics.org. Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball.Archived from the original on June 25, 2018. RetrievedJune 21, 2018.
  127. ^"2018 Senate Power Rankings".Fox News.Archived from the original on July 4, 2018. RetrievedJuly 10, 2018.
  128. ^"Key Races: Senate".Archived from the original on June 14, 2018. RetrievedJuly 15, 2018.
  129. ^"Battle for the Senate 2018".Archived from the original on July 9, 2018. RetrievedJuly 15, 2018.
  130. ^"Research Co"(PDF).Archived(PDF) from the original on November 6, 2018. RetrievedNovember 5, 2018.
  131. ^"Emerson College".Archived from the original on November 2, 2018. RetrievedNovember 2, 2018.
  132. ^"Marquette University".Archived from the original on October 31, 2018. RetrievedOctober 31, 2018.
  133. ^ab"Ipsos".Archived from the original on September 21, 2018. RetrievedSeptember 26, 2018.
  134. ^"Public Policy Polling (D-Protect Our Care)"(PDF).Archived(PDF) from the original on October 15, 2018. RetrievedOctober 15, 2018.
  135. ^"Marquette University".Archived from the original on August 31, 2024. RetrievedOctober 10, 2018.
  136. ^"Marist College"(PDF).Archived(PDF) from the original on October 12, 2018. RetrievedOctober 11, 2018.
  137. ^"Marquette University".Archived from the original on September 18, 2018. RetrievedSeptember 18, 2018.
  138. ^Suffolk UniversityArchived 2018-11-07 at theWayback Machine
  139. ^"Marquette University".Archived from the original on August 22, 2018. RetrievedAugust 22, 2018.
  140. ^ab"SurveyMonkey/Axios".Archived from the original on October 10, 2018. RetrievedJuly 10, 2018.
  141. ^ab"Public Policy Polling (D-Protect Our Care)"(PDF).Archived(PDF) from the original on March 22, 2018. RetrievedMarch 21, 2018.
  142. ^SurveyMonkey/Axios
  143. ^Glauber, Bill."Tammy Baldwin's win - the largest in a top race in Wisconsin in 12 years - offers road map for 2020".Milwaukee Journal Sentinel.Archived from the original on December 31, 2019. RetrievedNovember 14, 2018.
  144. ^"Canvass Results for 2018 General Election"(PDF).elections.wi.gov. December 9, 2018. Archived fromthe original(PDF) on May 17, 2022. RetrievedDecember 30, 2018.
  145. ^https://davesredistricting.org/maps#viewmap::7d07ec5b-34c7-42a4-bd43-cc076bf366d6

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