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2018 United States Senate election in Washington

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2018 United States Senate election in Washington
← 2012November 6, 20182024 →
 
NomineeMaria CantwellSusan Hutchison
PartyDemocraticRepublican
Popular vote1,803,3641,282,804
Percentage58.43%41.57%
County results
Congressional district results
Precinct results
Cantwell:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Hutchison:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Tie:     50%     No votes
U.S. senator before election

Maria Cantwell
Democratic

Elected U.S. Senator

Maria Cantwell
Democratic

Elections in Washington (state)
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The2018 United States Senate election in Washington took place on November 6, 2018, to elect a member of theUnited States Senate to represent the State ofWashington. Incumbent DemocratMaria Cantwell won election to a fourth term over television news journalistSusan Hutchison, a Republican.

Nonpartisan blanket primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

The primary election featured 30 candidates.[1]

Democratic Party

[edit]
Declared
[edit]

Republican Party

[edit]
Declared
[edit]
Withdrawn
[edit]
  • Ron Higgins (withdrew May 19, 2018[9])
Endorsements
[edit]
Susan Hutchison (R)
Individuals
Organizations
  • Hunters Heritage Council[16]
  • Washington Farm Bureau[17]

Independents

[edit]
Declared
[edit]
  • Thor Amundson
  • Jon Butler
  • Jennifer "GiGi" Ferguson[18][19]
  • Charlie R. Jackson
  • Dave Strider[20]
Write-in
[edit]
  • Clay Johnson, activist[19]

Minor parties

[edit]

In Washington, primary candidates may declare a preference for any party, and their party preference does not imply that the candidate is nominated or endorsed by the party. Candidates may also declare a preference for new or single-candidate parties.

Declared
[edit]

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^According to Chase, FDFR stands for "Fuck Democrats Fuck Republicans".[1]

Results

[edit]
Results by county:
  Cantwell—60–70%
  Cantwell—50–60%
  Cantwell—40–50%
  Cantwell—30–40%
  Hutchinson—30–40%
  Hutchinson—40–50%
Blanket primary election results[25]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticMaria Cantwell (incumbent)929,96154.68%
RepublicanSusan Hutchison413,31724.30%
RepublicanKeith Swank39,8182.34%
RepublicanJoey Gibson38,6762.27%
DemocraticClint Tannehill35,7702.10%
RepublicanDave Bryant33,9622.00%
RepublicanArt Coday30,6541.80%
IndependentJennifer Gigi Ferguson25,2241.48%
RepublicanTim Owen23,1671.36%
RepublicanMatt Hawkins13,3240.78%
DemocraticDon L. Rivers12,6340.74%
LibertarianMike Luke12,3020.72%
RepublicanGlen R. Stockwell11,6110.68%
IndependentThor Amundson9,3930.55%
DemocraticMohammad Said8,6490.51%
RepublicanMatthew D. Heines7,7370.45%
Freedom SocialistSteve Hoffman7,3900.43%
RepublicanGoodSpaceGuy7,0570.41%
RepublicanJohn Orlinski6,9050.41%
IndependentDave Strider6,8210.40%
RepublicanRoque "Rocky" De La Fuente5,7240.34%
GreenJames Robert "Jimmie" Deal3,8490.23%
The Human Rights PartySam Wright3,7610.22%
FDFR PartyBrad Chase2,6550.16%
DemocraticGeorge H. Kalberer2,4480.14%
IndependentCharlie R. Jackson2,4110.14%
RepublicanR. C. Smith2,2380.13%
IndependentJon Butler2,0160.12%
StandUpAmericaAlex Tsimerman1,3660.08%
Total votes1,700,840100.00%

General election

[edit]

Debates

[edit]
2018 United States Senate election in Washington debates
No.DateHostModeratorLinkDemocraticRepublican
Key:
 P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited W  Withdrawn
Maria CantwellSusan Hutchison
1Oct. 8, 2018KOMO-TV
Pacific Lutheran University		Mary Nam
Essex Porter		[26]PP
2Oct. 20, 2018Community Colleges of Spokane
Gonzaga University
Eastern Washington University
University of Washington
Washington State University Spokane
Whitworth University		Hayley Guenthner
Jane McCarthy		[27]PP

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[28]Safe DOctober 26, 2018
Inside Elections[29]Safe DNovember 1, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[30]Safe DNovember 5, 2018
Fox News[31]Likely DJuly 9, 2018
CNN[32]Safe DJuly 12, 2018
RealClearPolitics[33]Safe DNovember 5, 2018

Post-primary endorsements

[edit]
Maria Cantwell (D)

Newspapers

Polling

[edit]
This graph was using thelegacy Graph extension, which is no longer supported. It needs to be converted to thenew Chart extension.
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size[a]		Margin
of error		Maria
Cantwell (D)		Susan
Hutchison (R)		Undecided
Elway/Crosscut[35]October 4–9, 2018405 (RV)± 5.0%53%39%9%
Public Policy Polling (D)[36][A]May 22–23, 2018675 (LV)± 3.8%52%36%12%
Hypothetical polling

Maria Cantwell vs. Rob McKenna

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size[a]		Margin
of error		Maria
Cantwell (D)		Rob
McKenna (R)		Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[37][A]June 27–28, 2017887 (LV)± 3.3%53%40%6%

Results

[edit]
2018 United States Senate election in Washington[38]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
DemocraticMaria Cantwell (incumbent)1,803,36458.43%−2.02%
RepublicanSusan Hutchison1,282,80441.57%+2.02%
Total votes3,086,168100.00%N/A
Democratichold

By county

[edit]
By county
County[39]Maria Cantwell

Democratic

Susan Hutchison

Republican

MarginTotal
%#%#%#
Adams32.25%1,36567.75%2,867–35.49%–1,5024,232
Asotin41.82%3,80958.18%5,298–16.35%–1,4899,107
Benton37.52%28,18762.48%46,938–24.96%–18,75175,125
Chelan44.06%14,78755.94%18,775–11.88%–3,98833,562
Clallam50.67%20,03649.33%19,5041.35%53239,540
Clark52.96%102,61947.04%91,1535.92%11,466193,772
Columbia33.24%73166.76%1,468–33.52%–7372,199
Cowlitz46.29%20,48553.71%23,773–7.43%–3,28844,258
Douglas36.17%5,39063.83%9,512–27.66%–4,12214,902
Ferry38.10%1,32961.90%2,159–23.80%–8303,488
Franklin40.26%8,98359.74%13,329–19.48%–4,34622,312
Garfield33.58%44566.42%880–32.83%–4351,325
Grant30.80%8,15969.20%18,333–38.40%–10,17426,492
Grays Harbor47.81%13,60552.19%14,851–4.38%–1,24628,456
Island53.18%22,34146.82%19,6726.35%2,66942,013
Jefferson68.79%14,33131.21%6,50237.58%7,82920,833
King74.15%708,65425.85%247,07148.30%461,583955,725
Kitsap56.47%67,84743.53%52,30812.93%15,539120,155
Kittitas43.10%8,33056.90%10,996–13.79%–2,66619,326
Klickitat45.84%4,88954.16%5,776–8.32%–88710,665
Lewis32.71%11,07867.29%22,793–34.59%–11,71533,871
Lincoln28.76%1,60471.24%3,974–42.49%–2,3705,578
Mason47.84%13,22052.16%14,416–4.33%–1,19627,636
Okanogan43.44%7,23156.56%9,414–13.12%–2,18316,645
Pacific50.90%5,52749.10%5,3321.80%19510,859
Pend Oreille36.13%2,47763.87%4,379–27.74%–1,9026,856
Pierce53.36%174,09746.64%152,1776.72%21,920326,274
San Juan72.60%8,01627.40%3,02645.19%4,99011,042
Skagit51.49%28,12248.51%26,4982.97%1,62454,620
Skamania47.71%2,66352.29%2,919–4.59%–2565,582
Snohomish57.39%184,21842.61%136,74914.79%47,469320,967
Spokane49.23%112,00050.77%115,508–1.54%–3,508227,508
Stevens32.23%7,27467.77%15,296–35.54%–8,02222,570
Thurston58.54%72,67741.46%51,47217.08%21,205124,149
Wahkiakum44.66%1,08255.34%1,341–10.69%–2592,423
Walla Walla46.35%11,86253.65%13,731–7.30%–1,86925,593
Whatcom59.77%65,04340.23%43,78119.54%21,262108,824
Whitman54.35%9,37545.65%7,8758.70%1,50017,250
Yakima41.85%29,47658.15%40,958–16.30%–11,48270,434
Total58.43%1,803,36441.57%1,282,80416.87%520,5603,086,168

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

[edit]

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

[edit]
Swing by county
Legend
  •   Democratic — +7.5–10%
  •   Democratic — +2.5–5%
  •   Democratic — +0–2.5%
  •   Republican — +0-2.5%
  •   Republican — +2.5-5%
  •   Republican — +5-7.5%
  •   Republican — +7.5-10%
  •   Republican — +10-12.5%
  •   Republican — +12.5-15%
  •   Republican — +>15%
Trend relative to the state by county
Legend
  •   Democratic — +12.5-15%
  •   Democratic — +7.5-10%
  •   Democratic — +2.5–5%
  •   Republican — +0–2.5%
  •   Republican — +2.5–5%
  •   Republican — +5–7.5%
  •   Republican — +7.5-10%
  •   Republican — +10-12.5%
  •   Republican — +12.5-15%
  •   Republican — +>15%
County flips
Legend

  • Democratic

      Hold
      Gain from Republican

    Republican

      Hold
      Gain from Democratic

By congressional district

[edit]

Cantwell won seven of ten congressional districts.[40]

DistrictCantwellHutchisonRepresentative
1st57%43%Suzan DelBene
2nd61%39%Rick Larsen
3rd49%51%Jaime Herrera Beutler
4th38%62%Dan Newhouse
5th47%53%Cathy McMorris Rodgers
6th57%43%Derek Kilmer
7th84%16%Pramila Jayapal
8th51%49%Kim Schrier
9th73%27%Adam Smith
10th56%44%Denny Heck

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^abKey:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear

Partisan clients

  1. ^abThis poll was sponsored by the Northwest Progressive Institute

References

[edit]
  1. ^abcCamden, Jim (May 19, 2018)."U.S. Senate primary: Cantwell and 29 challengers".The Spokesman-Review. RetrievedJuly 23, 2018.
  2. ^CANTWELL, MARIA
  3. ^RIVERS, DON L MR
  4. ^TANNEHILL, CLINT RONALD
  5. ^"Roque "Rocky" De La Fuente".
  6. ^Kavanaugh, Shane Dixon (February 25, 2018)."Patriot Prayer leader Joey Gibson plans U.S. Senate run in Washington". Oregon Live. RetrievedFebruary 26, 2018.
  7. ^"Who has filed - King County".King County. May 16, 2018. RetrievedMay 16, 2018.
  8. ^O'Sullivan, Joseph; Brunner, Jim (May 18, 2018)."Former State Republican Party chair Susan Hutchison challenging Sen. Maria Cantwell".The Seattle Times. RetrievedMay 21, 2018.
  9. ^"2018 Candidates Who Have Filed". RetrievedJune 29, 2018.
  10. ^Susan Hutchison."I'm honored to be endorsed by @JaimeforUSRep, a fierce advocate for Southwest Washington! Let's have a strong showing from Republican voters all across the state today!".Twitter.
  11. ^Susan Hutchison."Proudly Endorsed by Former U.S. Senator Slade Gorton".Twitter.
  12. ^Susan Hutchison."Thank you to Congressman Dan Newhouse for his endorsement of our campaign! Proud to call him a friend and appreciate all he does for #WA04. Remember to return your ballots by Aug 7 and vote #Susan4Senate!".Twitter.
  13. ^Susan Hutchison."Yet another important early endorsement for our campaign: Congresswoman Cathy McMorris Rodgers. Republicans all across Washington are rallying behind our campaign for US Senate; be sure to return your ballot by August 7th! #Susan4Senate".Facebook.
  14. ^Susan Hutchison."Honored to have the endorsement of my friend and next WA House Speaker, @jtwilcox111".Twitter.
  15. ^Susan Hutchison."WA Secretary of State @KimWyman12 endorses @Susan4Senate. Grateful that our state's favorite elected official knows who's best for US Senate! #susan4senate".Twitter.
  16. ^Susan Hutchison."The 45,000-strong Hunters Heritage Council has endorsed @susan4senate! #susan4senate #hunting #waelex".Twitter.
  17. ^Susan Hutchison."I am proud to be endorsed by the Washington Farm Bureau, and will always fight to protect our private property and water rights from burdensome federal regulations. #Susan4Senate".Twitter.
  18. ^Details for Candidate ID : S8WA00202
  19. ^abColeman, Miles (July 5, 2017)."2018 Senate Race Ratings - July 2017". Decision Desk HQ. Archived fromthe original on June 29, 2018. RetrievedSeptember 2, 2017.
  20. ^STRIDER, DAVID LEE
  21. ^McNamara, Neal (February 26, 2018)."Patriot Prayer Founder Joey Gibson Will Run Against Cantwell".Seattle Patch. RetrievedFebruary 26, 2018.
  22. ^"Campaign Kickoff Party: Steve Hoffman for U.S. Senate".Freedom Socialist Party. February 23, 2018. RetrievedFebruary 26, 2018.
  23. ^"Mike Luke (L) for Senate". Archived fromthe original on January 2, 2018. RetrievedJanuary 13, 2018.
  24. ^TSIMERMAN, ALEX
  25. ^Wyman, Kim (August 7, 2018)."U.S. Senator".Secretary of State of Washington.Archived from the original on August 15, 2025. RetrievedOctober 21, 2025.
  26. ^C-SPAN
  27. ^C-SPAN
  28. ^"2018 Senate Race Ratings for October 26, 2018".The Cook Political Report. RetrievedMarch 13, 2021.
  29. ^"2018 Senate Ratings".The Rothenberg Political Report. RetrievedMarch 13, 2021.
  30. ^"2018 Crystal Ball Senate race ratings".Sabato's Crystal Ball. RetrievedOctober 11, 2017.
  31. ^"2018 Senate Power Rankings".Fox News. RetrievedJuly 10, 2018.
  32. ^"Key Races: Senate". RetrievedJuly 15, 2018.
  33. ^"Battle for the Senate 2018". RetrievedJuly 15, 2018.
  34. ^Editorial Board, The Seattle Times (October 12, 2018)."The Times recommends: Maria Cantwell for U.S. Senate".The Seattle Times.Archived from the original on October 14, 2024. RetrievedOctober 22, 2025.
  35. ^Elway/Crosscut
  36. ^Public Policy Polling (D)
  37. ^Public Policy Polling (D)
  38. ^Wyman, Kim (November 6, 2018)."U.S. Senator".Secretary of State of Washington.Archived from the original on August 14, 2025. RetrievedOctober 18, 2025.
  39. ^Wyman, Kim (November 6, 2018)."U.S. Senator - County Results".Secretary of State of Washington.Archived from the original on April 20, 2024. RetrievedAugust 7, 2025.
  40. ^"2018 General Data".sos.wa.gov.Archived from the original on June 28, 2023.

External links

[edit]

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