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2018 United States Senate election in Vermont

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2018 United States Senate election in Vermont

← 2012November 6, 20182024 →
Turnout55.57%
 
NomineeBernie SandersLawrence Zupan
PartyIndependentRepublican
Popular vote183,64974,815
Percentage67.44%27.47%

County results
Municipality results
Sanders:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%
     70–80%     80–90%
Zupan:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%
Tie:     30–40%

U.S. Senator before election

Bernie Sanders
Independent

ElectedU.S. Senator

Bernie Sanders
Independent

Elections in Vermont
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This article is part of
a series about
Bernie Sanders


Mayor of Burlington

U.S. Representative from
Vermont's at-large district



The2018 United States Senate election in Vermont was held November 6, 2018, alongside agubernatorial election, U.S. House election, and other state and local elections. Incumbentindependent SenatorBernie Sanders won re-election to a third term, defeatingRepublican nominee Lawrence Zupan.[1] The primaries were held on August 14.[2] This was one of two independent-held Senate seats up for election in a state thatHillary Clinton won in the2016 presidential election.

Background

[edit]

Two-term independent SenatorBernie Sanders was re-elected with 71% of the vote in2012. Sanders, a candidate for president in the 2016 primary election and one of only three independent members of Congress, is a self-describeddemocratic socialist.[3][4]

Sanders had caucused with the Democratic Party since taking office in 2007, and was the chairman of theBudget Committee. He was 77 years old in 2018. Sanders ran for the2016 Democratic presidential nomination. After failing to win the nomination, he announced that he would run for re-election for his Senate seat in 2018.[5]

Independents

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Bernie Sanders
Organizations

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]
  • Folasade Adeluola, activist[14]

Not on ballot

[edit]
  • Jon Svitavsky, homelessness activist[14]

Withdrawn

[edit]

Results

[edit]
Results by county
Map legend
  •   Sanders—≥90%
  •   Sanders—80–90%
Democratic primary results[16]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticBernie Sanders (incumbent)63,68394.02%
DemocraticFolasade Adeluola3,7665.56%
Write-in2810.41%
Total votes67,730100.00%

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]
  • Lawrence Zupan, real estate broker[17]

Withdrew nomination

[edit]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]

Did not file

[edit]

Results

[edit]
Results by county
Map legend
  •   Paige—50–60%
  •   Paige—40–50%
  •   Paige—30–40%
  •   Zupan—30–40%
  •   Zupan—40–50%
  •   Zupan—50–60%
  •   Zupan—60–70%
Republican primary results[16]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanH. Brooke Paige9,80537.47%
RepublicanLawrence Zupan9,38335.86%
RepublicanJasdeep Pannu4,52717.30%
RepublicanRocky De La Fuente1,0574.04%
Write-in1,3945.33%
Total votes26,166100.00%

Post-primary

[edit]

H. Brooke Paige, who also won the Republican nominations forU.S. House, stateAttorney General, stateSecretary of State, stateTreasurer, and stateAuditor, withdrew from all but the secretary of state race on August 24, in order to allow theVermont Republican Party to name replacement candidates.[21] The Vermont Republican Party picked Lawrence Zupan, who came in second place in the primary, to be the Republican nominee.[22]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
CNN[23]Solid IJuly 12, 2018
Fox News[24]Likely* IJuly 9, 2018
RealClearPolitics[25]Safe IJune 6, 2018
The Cook Political Report[26]Solid IOctober 11, 2017
Inside Elections[27]Solid ISeptember 29, 2017
Sabato's Crystal Ball[28]Safe ISeptember 27, 2017

*Highest rating given

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Bernie
Sanders (I)
Lawrence
Zupan (R)
OtherUndecided
Gravis Marketing[29]October 30 – November 1, 2018885± 3.3%66%30%4%
Braun Research[30]October 5–14, 2018495± 4.4%60%19%7%[31]16%
Tulchin Research (D-Vermont Democratic Party)[32]September 23–26, 2018406± 4.9%75%20%

Results

[edit]

Sanders won re-election with 67.4% of the vote against eight other candidates.[33]

United States Senate election in Vermont, 2018
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
IndependentBernie Sanders (incumbent)183,64967.44%−3.56%
RepublicanLawrence Zupan74,81527.47%+2.57%
IndependentBrad J. Peacock3,6651.35%N/A
IndependentRussell Beste2,7631.02%N/A
IndependentEdward S. Gilbert, Jr.2,2440.82%N/A
IndependentFolasade Adeluola1,9790.73%N/A
Liberty UnionReid Kane1,1710.43%−0.43%
IndependentJon Svitavsky1,1300.42%N/A
IndependentBruce Busa9140.34%N/A
Write-in2940.11%N/A
Total votes272,330100.00%N/A
Independenthold

By county

[edit]
By county
CountyBernie Sanders
Independent
Lawrence Zupan
Republican
Various candidates
Other parties
#%#%#%
Addison11,96569.56%4,43925.81%7984.63%
Bennington8,97160.89%3,91026.54%1,85112.57%
Caledonia6,80358.31%4,29636.82%5674.87%
Chittenden55,66973.74%16,44121.78%3,3804.48%
Essex1,05948.67%97644.85%1416.48%
Franklin10,49257.6%6,78237.24%9405.16%
Grand Isle2,30762.61%1,22933.35%1494.04%
Lamoille7,98970.36%2,93125.81%4353.83%
Orange8,09964.6%3,79030.23%6495.17%
Orleans5,57156.41%3,85339.01%4534.58%
Rutland13,58755.78%9,57639.31%1,1964.91%
Washington19,39571.14%6,51723.9%1,3534.96%
Windham14,38675.66%3,67319.32%9555.02%
Windsor17,35669.28%6,40225.55%1,2945.17%
Totals183,64967.36%74,81527.44%14,1605.2%

See also

[edit]

References

[edit]
  1. ^Dobbs, Taylor."Bernie Sanders to Seek Reelection to U.S. Senate".Seven Days. RetrievedMay 22, 2018.
  2. ^Ember, Sydney (August 16, 2018)."Vermont Primary Election Results".The New York Times. RetrievedOctober 24, 2018.
  3. ^Lisa Lerer (July 16, 2009)."Where's the outrage over AIG bonuses?".Politico. RetrievedApril 19, 2010.
  4. ^Michael Powell (November 6, 2006)."Exceedingly Social But Doesn't Like Parties".The Washington Post. RetrievedNovember 26, 2012.
  5. ^abThomsen, Jacqueline (October 22, 2017)."Sanders to run as an independent in 2018".The Hill. RetrievedNovember 12, 2017.
  6. ^Madigan, Cherise (January 7, 2018)."Newcomer Brad Peacock launches bid for Senate".The Bennington Banner. RetrievedMay 21, 2018.
  7. ^Hagen, Lisa (January 20, 2017)."Major progressive group unveils first 2018 Senate endorsements".The Hill. RetrievedJanuary 29, 2017.
  8. ^Kampeas, Ron (October 19, 2018)."Jewish candidates in the 2018 congressional elections: The Senate".Heritage Florida Jewish News. Miami. RetrievedOctober 24, 2018.
  9. ^Stewart, Brian (August 1, 2017)."MoveOn Endorses Six Senators' Re-Election Bids, Backing 'Health Care Heroes' for Helping Lead Effort to Stop Trumpcare From Becoming Law, Embracing Progressive Policies in Trump Era".MoveOn.org. RetrievedSeptember 10, 2017.
  10. ^"Bernie Sanders".Our Revolution. RetrievedAugust 14, 2018.
  11. ^Nihart, Alison (July 17, 2018)."RAD's First Crop of Endorsed Candidates for 2018".Rights and Democracy. Archived fromthe original on July 19, 2018. RetrievedJuly 20, 2018.
  12. ^"Sierra Club #ClimateVoter Guide: Endorsements".
  13. ^"Sanders to run as a Democrat — but not accept nomination".Politico. RetrievedMay 22, 2018.
  14. ^abHirschfield, Peter (July 6, 2017)."Little-Known Challengers Seek To Unseat Bernie Sanders In 2018".Vermont Public Radio. RetrievedJuly 7, 2017.
  15. ^Sainato, Michael (July 7, 2017)."Bitter Clinton Supporters Try to Unseat Bernie Sanders in Senate Race".Observer. RetrievedMay 3, 2018.
  16. ^abFinal Canvass
  17. ^Zupan, Lawrence (July 30, 2018)."Letter: Zupan makes case for GOP senate nomination".Manchester Journal.
  18. ^Epp, Henry (August 3, 2018)."Campaign 2018: Rocky De La Fuente Running In Multiple US Senate Primaries, Including Vt".Vermont Public Radio. RetrievedAugust 7, 2018.
  19. ^McCullum, April (March 23, 2018)."Sen. Bernie Sanders' seat attracts 4 newcomer candidates".Burlington Free Press. Burlington, Vermont. RetrievedMay 3, 2018.
  20. ^abGregg, John P. (April 27, 2017)."Primary Source: Looking at the Sanders Juggernaut".Valley News. RetrievedApril 27, 2017.
  21. ^Meyn, Colin (August 24, 2018)."Republicans on the clock after Paige withdraws from five statewide races".VTDigger.
  22. ^Young, Taylor (August 30, 2018)."Vt. GOP picks candidates for 5 open slots".WCAX-TV. Gray Digital Media. RetrievedAugust 30, 2018.
  23. ^"Key Races: Senate". RetrievedJuly 15, 2018.
  24. ^"2018 Senate Power Rankings".Fox News. RetrievedJuly 10, 2018.
  25. ^"Battle for the Senate 2018". RetrievedJuly 15, 2018.
  26. ^"2018 Senate Race Ratings".The Cook Political Report. RetrievedOctober 11, 2017.
  27. ^"2018 Senate Ratings".The Rothenberg Political Report. RetrievedOctober 11, 2017.
  28. ^"2018 Crystal Ball Senate race ratings".Sabato's Crystal Ball. RetrievedOctober 11, 2017.
  29. ^Gravis Marketing
  30. ^Braun Research
  31. ^Russell Beste (I), Bruce Busa (I), Reid Kane (LU), and Brad Peacock (I) with 1%; Folasade Adeluola and Jon Svitavsky with 0%; none/write in/other with 3%
  32. ^Tulchin Research (D-Vermont Democratic Party)Archived October 2, 2018, at theWayback Machine
  33. ^Vermont Secretary of State (November 2018)."Vermont electoral results, 2018"(PDF).State of Vermont. Archived fromthe original(PDF) on January 8, 2019. RetrievedNovember 24, 2018.

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