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2018 United States Senate election in Nebraska

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2018 United States Senate election in Nebraska

← 2012November 6, 20182024 →
Turnout57.32%
 
NomineeDeb FischerJane Raybould
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Popular vote403,151269,917
Percentage57.69%38.62%

County results
Congressional district results
Precinct results
Fischer:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Raybould:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Tie:     40–50%     No votes

U.S. senator before election

Deb Fischer
Republican

Elected U.S. Senator

Deb Fischer
Republican

Elections in Nebraska
Presidential elections
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The2018 United States Senate election in Nebraska took place on November 6, 2018, to elect a member of theUnited States Senate to represent the state ofNebraska. Incumbent RepublicanDeb Fischer was re-elected to a second term againstLincoln city councilwoman Jane Raybould and Libertarian candidate Jim Schultz.

The candidate filing deadline was March 1, 2018, and the primary election was held on May 15, 2018.[1]

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominated

[edit]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]

Declined

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Deb Fischer
Federal officials
Governors
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
Statewide politicians
Mayors
Organizations

Results

[edit]
Results by county:
Fischer
  •   80–90%
  •   70–80%
  •   60–70%
  •   50–60%
Republican primary results[22]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanDeb Fischer (inc.)128,15775.79%
RepublicanTodd F. Watson19,66111.63%
RepublicanJack Heidel9,4135.57%
RepublicanJeffrey Lynn Stein6,3803.77%
RepublicanDennis Frank Macek5,4833.24%
Total votes169,094100.00%

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominated

[edit]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Jane Raybould
U.S. senators
Local and statewide politicians
Labor unions
Organizations

Results

[edit]
Results by county:
Raybould
  •   80–90%
  •   70–80%
  •   60–70%
  •   50–60%
  •   40–50%
  •   30–40%
Svoboda
  •   50–60%
  •   40-50%
  •   30-40%
Democratic primary results[22]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticJane Raybould59,06763.75%
DemocraticChris Janicek18,75220.24%
DemocraticFrank B. Svoboda10,54811.38%
DemocraticLarry Marvin4,3934.74%
Total votes92,660100.00%

Libertarian primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Declared

[edit]

Results

[edit]
Results by county:
Schultz
  •   100%
No votes
  •   No votes
Libertarian primary results[22]
PartyCandidateVotes%
LibertarianJim Schultz1,202100.00%
Total votes1,202100.00%

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[34]Safe ROctober 26, 2018
Inside Elections[35]Safe RNovember 1, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[36]Safe RNovember 5, 2018
Fox News[37]Likely RJuly 9, 2018
CNN[38]Safe RJuly 12, 2018
RealClearPolitics[39]Safe RNovember 5, 2018

Debates

[edit]
Host
network/sponsors
DateLink(s)Participants
Jane
Raybould (D)
Deb
Fischer (R)
KMTV-TVAugust 27, 2018[40]InvitedInvited

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Deb
Fischer (R)
Jane
Raybould (D)
Undecided
DFM Research[41]October 23–27, 2018683± 3.8%54%39%7%
Grassroots Targeting (R)[42]Late June 20181,000± 3.1%63%28%
Meeting Street Research (R-Fischer)[43]January 24–28, 201850051%34%
Public Policy Polling (D-Raybould)[44]November 10–12, 20171,190± 2.8%42%31%27%
Hypothetical polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Generic
Republican
Generic
Democrat
Undecided
Meeting Street Research (R-Fischer)[43]January 24–28, 201850047%32%

Results

[edit]
Swing by county
Legend
  •   Democratic—+5-10%
  •   Democratic—+<5%
  •   Republican—+<5%
  •   Republican—+5-10%
  •   Republican—+10-15%
  •   Republican—+15-20%
  •   Republican—+20-25%
  •   Republican—+25-30%
  •   Republican—+>30%
2018 United States Senate election in Nebraska[45]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
RepublicanDeb Fischer (inc.)403,15157.69%−0.08%
DemocraticJane Raybould269,91738.62%−3.61%
LibertarianJim Schultz25,3493.63
Write-in4660.07%
Majority133,23419.06%+3.52%
Total votes698,883100.00%
Republicanhold

By county

[edit]

FromSecretary of State of Nebraska[46]

CountyDeb Fischer
Republican
Jane Raybould
Democratic
Jim Schultz
Libertarian
Write-inTotal
votes
%#%#%#%#
Adams63.44%6,48732.61%3,3343.93%4020.02%210,225
Antelope81.56%2,06115.67%3962.65%670.12%32,527
Arthur87.07%20210.34%242.59%60.00%0232
Banner83.76%26312.42%393.82%120.00%0314
Blaine84.79%22312.93%342.28%60.00%0263
Boone76.56%1,75719.91%4573.22%740.31%72,295
Box Butte72.51%2,63223.00%8354.41%1600.08%33,630
Boyd83.11%79713.35%1283.55%340.00%0959
Brown83.25%1,15313.72%1903.03%420.00%01,385
Buffalo66.86%10,93929.12%4,7653.97%6500.04%716,361
Burt67.93%1,99528.46%8363.54%1040.07%22,937
Butler71.00%2,47025.04%8713.94%1370.03%13,479
Cass63.97%6,78731.98%3,3933.99%4230.06%610,609
Cedar81.56%2,86615.28%5373.16%1110.00%03,514
Chase85.73%1,34011.77%1842.43%380.06%11,563
Cherry80.18%1,91313.16%3146.08%1450.59%142,386
Cheyenne78.76%2,56617.77%5793.41%1110.06%23,258
Clay73.87%1,97922.10%5924.03%1080.00%02,679
Colfax69.27%1,73127.73%6933.00%750.00%02,499
Cuming79.45%2,67217.96%6042.56%860.03%13,363
Custer81.78%3,79714.80%6873.40%1580.02%14,643
Dakota59.02%2,67737.28%1,6913.62%1640.09%44,536
Dawes68.79%2,33426.94%9144.19%1420.09%33,393
Dawson69.77%4,36326.50%1,6573.63%2270.10%66,253
Deuel80.61%57815.20%1094.18%300.00%0717
Dixon74.38%1,65521.93%4883.64%810.04%12,225
Dodge64.90%7,82731.71%3,8243.36%4050.03%412,060
Douglas46.30%94,77750.35%103,0703.29%6,7270.06%133204,707
Dundy84.07%64912.82%992.98%230.13%1772
Fillmore67.99%1,71827.31%6904.67%1180.04%12,527
Franklin77.39%1,04418.90%2553.71%500.00%01,349
Frontier79.90%83116.63%1733.46%360.00%01,040
Furnas80.36%1,71915.61%3344.02%860.00%02,139
Gage58.74%4,89636.28%3,0244.91%4090.07%68,335
Garden81.52%81613.89%1394.40%440.20%21,001
Garfield83.48%66714.14%1132.25%180.13%1799
Gosper79.69%66717.56%1472.75%230.00%0837
Grant93.69%2824.65%141.66%50.00%0301
Greeley73.57%73223.92%2382.51%250.00%0995
Hall62.45%10,48333.50%5,6243.96%6650.09%1516,787
Hamilton74.88%3,07621.81%8963.24%1330.07%34,108
Harlan77.11%1,14919.26%2873.49%520.13%21,490
Hayes89.06%3508.14%322.54%100.25%1393
Hitchcock82.48%89014.27%1543.24%350.00%01,079
Holt77.75%3,22617.47%7254.60%1910.17%74,149
Hooker82.96%25815.76%490.96%30.32%1311
Howard70.20%1,69625.25%6104.51%1090.04%12,416
Jefferson64.22%1,91331.02%9244.63%1380.13%42,979
Johnson62.06%1,10132.75%5815.07%900.11%21,774
Kearney74.22%1,95222.51%5923.23%850.04%12,630
Keith79.19%2,54217.66%5673.12%1000.03%13,210
Keya Paha87.05%33610.88%422.07%80.00%0386
Kimball81.30%1,12214.64%2023.99%550.07%11,380
Knox78.37%2,81218.65%6692.98%1070.00%03,588
Lancaster42.22%49,44953.94%63,1753.77%4,4120.08%95117,131
Lincoln71.99%8,99923.09%2,8864.85%6060.07%912,500
Logan90.80%3066.82%232.37%80.00%0337
Loup80.46%24716.61%512.93%90.00%0307
Madison75.61%7,94921.27%2,2363.07%3230.05%510,513
McPherson87.02%2288.40%224.58%120.00%0262
Merrick76.21%2,56319.24%6474.52%1520.03%13,363
Morrill80.33%1,69914.56%3085.06%1070.05%12,115
Nance71.54%88525.46%3152.99%370.00%01,237
Nemaha68.48%1,78827.84%7273.68%960.00%02,611
Nuckolls75.40%1,32120.83%3653.77%660.00%01,752
Otoe64.62%4,09831.17%1,9774.10%2600.11%76,342
Pawnee67.13%77428.79%3324.08%470.00%01,153
Perkins82.60%1,01114.71%1802.70%330.00%01,224
Phelps79.50%3,06817.39%6713.01%1160.10%43,859
Pierce84.59%2,33912.33%3413.04%840.04%12,765
Platte75.85%8,37221.23%2,3432.87%3170.05%511,037
Polk75.20%1,57421.40%4483.39%710.00%02,093
Red Willow78.49%3,05117.91%6963.60%1400.00%03,887
Richardson69.29%2,13727.82%8582.82%870.06%23,084
Rock85.56%56911.88%792.56%170.00%0665
Saline53.46%2,25541.06%1,7325.43%2290.05%24,218
Sarpy58.08%39,30637.99%25,7063.86%2,6100.08%5167,673
Saunders68.06%6,47927.99%2,6643.90%3710.05%59,519
Scotts Bluff68.84%7,39826.87%2,8874.19%4500.10%1110,746
Seward65.21%4,60730.77%2,1743.99%2820.03%27,065
Sheridan81.98%1,67013.50%2754.47%910.05%12,037
Sherman67.67%87328.68%3703.57%460.08%11,290
Sioux83.24%44712.85%693.91%210.00%0537
Stanton80.36%1,81716.05%3633.58%810.00%02,261
Thayer71.89%1,60624.13%5393.98%890.00%02,234
Thomas86.09%29110.65%363.25%110.00%0338
Thurston53.03%97044.67%8172.13%390.16%31,829
Valley77.20%1,38819.97%3592.78%500.06%11,798
Washington70.28%6,46226.52%2,4383.17%2910.03%39,194
Wayne74.21%2,38822.50%7243.26%1050.03%13,218
Webster73.09%99723.31%3183.59%490.00%01,364
Wheeler82.85%34314.49%602.66%110.00%0414
York71.41%3,65925.00%1,2813.51%1800.08%45,124

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

[edit]

Fischer won all three congressional districts.[47]

DistrictFischerRaybouldRepresentative
1st55%42%Jeff Fortenberry
2nd49%48%Don Bacon
3rd72%24%Adrian Smith

References

[edit]
  1. ^"United States Senate election in Nebraska, 2018 - Ballotpedia".Archived from the original on April 21, 2017. RetrievedMarch 3, 2017.
  2. ^Rindels, Michelle (November 25, 2016)."Fresh off 2016 losses, Democrats target 2018 Senate races". McClatchy DC. Archived fromthe original on November 26, 2016. RetrievedNovember 25, 2016.
  3. ^Walton, Don (June 18, 2017)."Don Walton: Deb Fischer embarks on re-election bid".Lincoln Journal Star.Archived from the original on June 22, 2017. RetrievedJune 18, 2017.
  4. ^Walton, Don (January 22, 2018)."Retired professor will challenge Fischer in GOP primary".JournalStar.com.Archived from the original on September 18, 2020. RetrievedOctober 13, 2021.
  5. ^"Sen. Fischer's Latest Rival Asking a Lot".Archived from the original on January 25, 2018. RetrievedJanuary 24, 2018.
  6. ^ab"Deb Fischer enters election year with $2.4 million; challenger Jane Raybould has $200,000 | State and Regional News | omaha.com". February 9, 2018.Archived from the original on February 9, 2018. RetrievedFebruary 13, 2018.
  7. ^abcwriters, Roseann Moring and Erin Duffy World-Herald staff (March 2018)."Several Nebraska incumbents are running unopposed, but Deb Fischer faces 10 challengers".Omaha World-Herald.Archived from the original on October 13, 2021. RetrievedOctober 13, 2021.
  8. ^Walton, Don (November 21, 2017)."Fischer faces Republican challenge from the right".Lincoln Journal Star.Archived from the original on December 1, 2017. RetrievedNovember 29, 2017.
  9. ^Kraushaar, Josh (October 17, 2017)."Bannon's Bark Is Worse Than His Bite".National Journal.Archived from the original on October 19, 2017. RetrievedOctober 18, 2017.
  10. ^abJordan, Joe (October 20, 2017)."All Quiet on the Fischer Front as Money Rolls In".News Channel Nebraska.Archived from the original on October 26, 2017. RetrievedOctober 25, 2017.
  11. ^abcdMoring, Roseann (November 28, 2017)."Don Stenberg, Shane Osborn endorse Deb Fischer in U.S. Senate race".Omaha World-Herald.Archived from the original on September 13, 2020. RetrievedNovember 29, 2017.
  12. ^Trump, Donald [@realDonaldTrump] (May 15, 2018)."Nebraska - make sure you get out to the polls and VOTE for Deb Fischer today! https://t.co/bDHVaGv2FS" (Tweet). RetrievedJanuary 3, 2021 – viaTwitter.
  13. ^abcdefghijklFischer, Deb [@DebFischerNE] (October 11, 2017)."I'm honored to have the endorsement of more than 500 leaders across #Nebraska. Check out the full list here: https://t.co/0MCn0bo1g9" (Tweet). RetrievedJanuary 3, 2021 – viaTwitter.
  14. ^Fischer, Deb [@DebFischerNE] (May 4, 2018)."I'm honored to have earned the endorsement of @maggieslist1 and will continue to be a champion for limited government in the U.S. Senate. Retweet if you support having more conservative women in office! #NEsen https://t.co/4S958g2oUX" (Tweet). RetrievedJanuary 3, 2021 – viaTwitter.
  15. ^Aaron Sanderford (March 23, 2018)."Fischer announces endorsement from national small business group".Omaha World-Herald.Archived from the original on September 13, 2020. RetrievedMay 15, 2018.
  16. ^Fischer, Deb [@DebFischerNE] (May 11, 2018)."As the oldest pro-life organization in the country, @nrlc has been indispensable in our mission to protect and defend the unborn. I'm humbled to have the endorsement of National Right to Life and their supporters. #nesen https://t.co/4xGhawVcrw" (Tweet). RetrievedJanuary 3, 2021 – viaTwitter.
  17. ^"NEBRASKA CATTLEMEN ANNOUNCE SUPPORT FOR FISCHER FOR U.S. SENATE". April 30, 2018.Archived from the original on May 16, 2018. RetrievedMay 15, 2018.
  18. ^"Farm Bureau endorses Sen. Deb Fischer".Lincoln Journal Star. February 20, 2018.Archived from the original on May 13, 2018. RetrievedMay 12, 2018.
  19. ^Sanderford, Aaron (August 24, 2018)."Omaha fire union endorses Deb Fischer, a red flag for Jane Raybould".Omaha World-Herald.Archived from the original on August 24, 2018. RetrievedAugust 25, 2018.
  20. ^"SBA List Endorses Deb Fischer for Senate".Susan B. Anthony List. November 8, 2017.Archived from the original on May 13, 2018. RetrievedMay 12, 2018.
  21. ^Fischer, Deb [@DebFischerNE] (May 7, 2018)."I am grateful to earn the endorsement of the @USChamber and it's [sic] Nebraska members. Our local chambers help our families and communities prosper. I look forward continuing to partner with our local Chambers to grow Nebraska business and create jobs. #NESen https://t.co/vAuXsJkMol" (Tweet). RetrievedJanuary 3, 2021 – viaTwitter.
  22. ^abcGale, John A. (2018).Official Report of the Nebraska Board of State Canvassers, Primary Election, May 15, 2018(PDF).
  23. ^Walton, Don (August 25, 2017)."Jane Raybould will challenge Sen. Deb Fischer".Lincoln Journal Star.Archived from the original on August 25, 2017. RetrievedAugust 25, 2017.
  24. ^"MARVIN, LARRY - Candidate overview".FEC.gov.Archived from the original on August 19, 2017. RetrievedAugust 19, 2017.
  25. ^Samantha."Please join us for an evening featuring Senator Ben Nelson and in support of Jane Raybould for US Senate".Douglas County Democrats. Archived fromthe original on June 21, 2018.
  26. ^Bischof, Bayley."Jane Raybould kicks off campaign for U.S. Senate".KLKN-TV.Archived from the original on October 17, 2017. RetrievedOctober 17, 2017.
  27. ^"NEA Fund - Recommended Candidates".www.neafund.org.Archived from the original on August 1, 2018. RetrievedMay 3, 2018.
  28. ^Benson, Jenni (March 15, 2018)."NSEA endorses Raybould in challenge to Fischer".JournalStar.com. Don Walton.Archived from the original on May 4, 2018. RetrievedMay 3, 2018.
  29. ^Muller, Tiffany (March 29, 2018)."End Citizens United Endorses Jane Raybould for U.S. Senate in Nebraska - End Citizens United".End Citizens United.Archived from the original on April 18, 2018. RetrievedMay 3, 2018.
  30. ^"LCV Action Fund Endorses Jane Raybould for Senate".League of Conservation Voters. June 12, 2018.Archived from the original on June 20, 2018. RetrievedJune 20, 2018.
  31. ^"List of Endorsements: 2018 Election | PPVotes".Archived from the original on November 10, 2018. RetrievedOctober 27, 2018.
  32. ^"Endorsed Candidates | Rachel's Action Network".rachelsactionnetwork.org.Archived from the original on October 27, 2018. RetrievedOctober 27, 2018.
  33. ^"Sierra Club Voter Guide: Endorsements".Sierra Club #ClimateVoter Guide. March 19, 2021.Archived from the original on December 8, 2019. RetrievedOctober 30, 2018.
  34. ^"2018 Senate Race Ratings for October 26, 2018".The Cook Political Report.Archived from the original on February 5, 2021. RetrievedMarch 13, 2021.
  35. ^"2018 Senate Ratings".The Rothenberg Political Report.Archived from the original on September 12, 2021. RetrievedMarch 13, 2021.
  36. ^"2018 Crystal Ball Senate race ratings".Sabato's Crystal Ball.Archived from the original on October 12, 2017. RetrievedOctober 11, 2017.
  37. ^"2018 Senate Power Rankings".Fox News.Archived from the original on July 4, 2018. RetrievedJuly 10, 2018.
  38. ^"Key Races: Senate".Archived from the original on June 14, 2018. RetrievedJuly 15, 2018.
  39. ^"Battle for the Senate 2018".Archived from the original on July 9, 2018. RetrievedJuly 15, 2018.
  40. ^"Nebraska Senate Debate | C-SPAN.org".www.c-span.org.Archived from the original on January 27, 2021. RetrievedOctober 13, 2021.
  41. ^DFM ResearchArchived October 31, 2018, at theWayback Machine
  42. ^Grassroots Targeting (R)
  43. ^abMeeting Street Research (R-Fischer)
  44. ^Public Policy Polling (D-Raybould)
  45. ^Gale, John A. (2018).Official Report of the Board of State Canvassers, General Election, November 6, 2018(PDF).
  46. ^"Archived copy"(PDF).Archived(PDF) from the original on March 10, 2021. RetrievedAugust 17, 2021.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
  47. ^"DRA 2020".Daves Redistricting. RetrievedAugust 19, 2024.

External links

[edit]

Official campaign websites

U.S.
Senate
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House

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ratings
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general
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