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2018 United States Senate election in Massachusetts

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2018 United States Senate election in Massachusetts
← 2012November 6, 2018 (2018-11-06)2024 →
Turnout59.17%
 
NomineeElizabeth WarrenGeoff Diehl
PartyDemocraticRepublican
Popular vote1,633,371979,210
Percentage60.34%36.17%
County results
Municipality results
Congressional district results
Precinct results
Warren:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Diehl:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%
Tie:     40–50%
U.S. senator before election

Elizabeth Warren
Democratic

Elected U.S. Senator

Elizabeth Warren
Democratic

Elections in
Massachusetts
U.S. President
Presidential Primaries
U.S. Senate
U.S. House
Governor
Attorney General
Secretary of the Commonwealth
Treasurer and Receiver-General
State Senate
State House
Governor's Council
Ballot measures
flagMassachusetts portal

The2018 United States Senate election in Massachusetts took place on November 6, 2018. Incumbent Democratic U.S. senatorElizabeth Warren ran for re-election to a second term. The candidate filing deadline was June 5, 2018, and the primary election was held on September 4, 2018.[1]

Warren won re-election, defeating her Republican opponent, state RepresentativeGeoff Diehl.[2]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominated

[edit]

Results

[edit]
United States Senate Democratic primary in Massachusetts results by county, 2018:
  Warren—≥90%
Democratic primary results[5]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticElizabeth Warren (incumbent)590,83598.08%
Write-in11,5581.92%
Total votes602,393100.00%

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominated

[edit]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]

Eliminated at convention

[edit]
  • Darius Mitchell[9]
  • Heidi Wellman[10]

Declined

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Beth Lindstrom

Governors

State legislators

Local officials

Organizations

Newspapers

John Kingston

State legislators

Local officials

Individuals

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Geoff
Diehl		John
Kingston		Beth
Lindstrom		OtherUndecided
MassINC[43]June 22–25, 2018399± 4.9%26%12%15%5%41%

Results

[edit]

Overall

[edit]
Massachusetts United States Senate Republican primary results by municipality, 2018
Republican primary results[5]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanGeoff Diehl144,04355.15%
RepublicanJohn Kingston69,63626.66%
RepublicanBeth Lindstrom46,69317.88%
Write-in7980.31%
Total votes261,170100.00%

By county

[edit]
Massachusetts United States Senate Republican primary results by county, 2018:
  Diehl—70–80%
  Diehl—60–70%
  Diehl—50–60%
  Diehl—40–50%
  Kingston—40–50%

Results by county.Red represents counties won by Diehl.Teal represents counties won by Kingston.

CountyDiehl
%		Diehl
votes		Kingston
%		Kingston
votes		Lindstrom
%		Lindstrom
votes
Barnstable57.0%10,76124.2%4,57318.6%3,513
Berkshire47.9%1,22137.8%96513.8%352
Bristol61.8%11,00523.0%4,09515.0%2,669
Dukes55.2%34725.9%16318.9%119
Essex53.1%17,71628.3%9,42818.3%6,104
Franklin41.8%93842.3%94915.3%343
Hampden50.5%7,49134.0%5,04815.0%2,225
Hampshire45.7%1,96736.7%1,57916.9%725
Middlesex52.5%29,08426.8%14,85220.3%11,218
Nantucket50.1%16829.6%9920.3%68
Norfolk58.9%18,74922.0%7,00918.8%5,992
Plymouth70.1%23,24219.8%6,54910.0%3,316
Suffolk53.5%4,79227.6%2,47118.2%1,628
Worcester44.8%16,56232.1%11,85622.8%8,421
Total55.2%144,04326.7%69,63617.9%46,693

Libertarian primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Declined

[edit]

Independents

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Declared

[edit]

Declined

[edit]

General election

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Elizabeth Warren (D)

State officials

Newspapers

Organizations

Geoff Diehl (R)

U.S. executive branch officials

Governors

State legislators

Local officials

Individuals

Organizations

Newspapers

Shiva Ayyadurai (I)

Individuals

Newspapers

Debates

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[119]Safe DSeptember 28, 2018
Inside Elections[120]Safe DSeptember 29, 2017
Sabato's Crystal Ball[121]Safe DSeptember 27, 2017
Fox News[122]Likely DJuly 9, 2018
CNN[123]Safe DJuly 12, 2018
RealClearPolitics[124]Safe DMay 26, 2018

^Highest rating they assert

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Elizabeth
Warren (D)		Geoff
Diehl (R)		Shiva
Ayyadurai (I)		OtherUndecided
MassINC[125]October 25–28, 2018502± 4.4%54%32%6%3%3%
Suffolk University[126]October 24–28, 2018500± 4.4%56%34%4%–5%
Western New England University[127]October 10–27, 2018402 LV± 5.0%57%27%7%–8%
485 RV± 4.0%54%27%6%–12%
UMass Lowell[128]October 1–7, 2018485 LV± 5.6%56%31%8%3%2%
791 RV± 4.4%56%28%9%4%1%
MassINC[129]September 17–21, 2018506± 4.4%56%30%5%1%6%
Suffolk University[130]September 13–17, 2018500± 4.4%54%24%6%–16%
Suffolk University[131]June 8–12, 2018500± 4.4%55%33%––11%
MassINC[132]May 22–26, 2018501± 4.4%54%19%8%1%15%
MassINC[133]March 16–18, 2018504± 4.4%55%20%9%1%13%
MassINC[134]November 9–12, 2017503± 4.4%58%32%–3%7%
MassINC[135]June 19–22, 2017504± 4.4%60%29%–1%8%
Hypothetical polling

with Beth Lindstrom

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Elizabeth
Warren (D)		Beth
Lindstrom (R)		Shiva
Ayyadurai (I)		OtherUndecided
Suffolk University[131]June 8–12, 2018500± 4.4%56%31%––13%
MassINC[132]May 22–26, 2018501± 4.4%55%19%7%2%15%
MassINC[133]March 16–18, 2018504± 4.4%53%19%9%1%14%
MassINC[134]November 9–12, 2017504± 4.4%56%33%–3%8%

with John Kingston

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Elizabeth
Warren (D)		John
Kingston (R)		Shiva
Ayyadurai (I)		OtherUndecided
Suffolk University[131]June 8–12, 2018500± 4.4%54%30%––15%
MassINC[132]May 22–26, 2018501± 4.4%56%19%8%1%14%
MassINC[133]March 16–18, 2018504± 4.4%53%19%7%2%12%
MassINC[134]November 9–12, 2017504± 4.4%57%33%–2%7%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Elizabeth
Warren (D)		Karyn
Polito (R)		Mitt
Romney (R)		Richard
Tisei (R)		OtherUndecided
UMass Amherst[136]September 15–20, 2016≈450± 4.1%40%36%––5%19%
44%–31%–10%15%
39%––32%3%26%

with Shiva Ayyadurai running as Republican

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Elizabeth
Warren (D)		Shiva
Ayyadurai (R)		OtherUndecided
MassINC[134]November 9–12, 2017504± 4.4%58%27%4%10%
MassINC[135]June 19–22, 2017504± 4.4%61%25%2%9%

with Curt Schilling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Elizabeth
Warren (D)		Curt
Schilling (R)		OtherUndecided
Suffolk University[137]October 24–26, 2016500± 4.4%58%24%2%16%
UMass Amherst[136]September 15–20, 2016≈450± 4.1%47%28%9%16%
MassINC[138]September 7–10, 2016506± 4.4%54%29%3%15%

with William Weld

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Elizabeth
Warren (D)		William
Weld (L)		OtherUndecided
UMass Amherst[136]September 15–20, 2016≈450± 4.1%40%37%8%16%

Results

[edit]
United States Senate election in Massachusetts, 2018[139]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
DemocraticElizabeth Warren (incumbent)1,633,37160.34%+6.60%
RepublicanGeoff Diehl979,21036.17%−10.02%
IndependentShiva Ayyadurai91,7103.39%N/A
Write-in2,7990.10%N/A
Total votes2,707,090100.00%N/A
Democratichold

By county

[edit]
By county
CountyElizabeth Warren
Democratic		Geoff Diehl
Republican		All others
#%#%#%
Barnstable62,67053.151,81043.93,6283.1
Berkshire38,79272.113,50125.11,5432.9
Bristol98,92152.283,91944.36,6733.5
Dukes7,41473.22,33823.13813.8
Essex178,34357.3121,06738.911,7673.8
Franklin22,91269.58,79026.71,2653.8
Hampden86,86155.763,15240.55,8863.8
Hampshire49,94370.618,21725.82,5713.6
Middlesex440,90166.2202,87130.422,6423.4
Nantucket2,23361.71,38638.31653.1
Norfolk179,85358.6117,20238.29,6243.1
Plymouth107,59548.0109,99549.16,4902.9
Suffolk196,62378.846,50218.66,3252.5
Worcester159,88151.4138,49544.512,7724.1
Totals1,634,21360.4979,50736.291,7323.4

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

[edit]

Warren won all of the state’s congressional districts.[140]

DistrictWarrenDiehlRepresentative
1st59%37%Richard Neal
2nd57%39%Jim McGovern
3rd57%39%Niki Tsongas (115th Congress)
Lori Trahan (116th Congress)
4th58%38%Joe Kennedy III
5th69%28%Katherine Clark
6th55%41%Seth Moulton
7th84%13%Michael Capuano (115th Congress)
Ayanna Pressley (116th Congress)
8th58%39%Stephen Lynch
9th51%46%Bill Keating

References

[edit]
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  83. ^Geoff Diehl."Thrilled to have the endorsement of Weymouth @MayorBobHedlund! Remember to vote Geoff Diehl for U.S. Senate on Tuesday, September 4. #TheRealDiehl #mapoli #masen #masen2018 #magop".Twitter.
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  88. ^Geoff Diehl."Melrose Alderman Monica Medeiros endorses Geoff Diehl for U.S. Senate!".Facebook.
  89. ^Geoff Diehl."Thank you to #Hanson Board of Selectman Chair Ken Mitchell for your endorsement. Together we will put our communities and all of #MassachusettsFirst! #mapoli #masen #masen2018 #magop".Twitter.
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  91. ^Howie Carr."Good morning everyone! Big day today. Don't forget to vote for Geoff Diehl. @DiehlForSenate".Twitter.
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External links

[edit]

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