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| Turnout | 59.96% | ||||||||||||||||||||
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 County results Municipality results Congressional district resultsKing: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Brakey: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: | |||||||||||||||||||||
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The2018 United States Senate election in Maine was held on November 6, 2018, alongside agubernatorial election,U.S. House elections, and other state and local elections. Incumbentindependent Senator Angus King won re-election to a second term, defeatingDemocratic nominee Zak Ringelstein andRepublican nomineeEric Brakey. This was one of two independent-held Senate seats up for election in a state thatHillary Clinton won in the2016 presidential election.
The primary election was held on June 12, 2018.[1]
The U.S. Senate elections were conducted withranked-choice voting, as opposed to a simple plurality, after Maine voters passeda citizen referendum approving the change in 2016[2] and a June 2018 referendum sustaining the change.[3] Ranked choice voting was used in the primary elections as well.[4] The first round of each election saw a majority and the instant runoff did not need to be carried out.
A part of New England, Maine was once a bastion of the Republican Party, and was one of two states to vote against Franklin Roosevelt all four times he ran for president. Lyndon Johnson won the state in 1964, and Hubert Humphrey carried it in 1968 before the state reverted to form and reestablished a GOP voting streak that lasted until the 1990s. With the GOP progressively becoming more culturally conservative, the state began moving toward the Democrats, and Bill Clinton carried it in 1992. Clinton's win established a Democratic winning streak that lasted until Donald Trump won an electoral vote from the state's second congressional district in 2016 despite losing the rest of the state.[5]
The state has a tradition of electing various independent candidates to high office, such as Angus King, who served as governor of the state from 1995 to 2003. In 2012, King's decision to run for the Senate seat being vacated by RepublicanOlympia Snowe dramatized the battle for the Senate, as he left open whether he would caucus with the Republicans or the Democrats.[6] He eventually decided to caucus with the Democrats and has established a center-left voting record.[7]
King said his reelection plans would not be affected by treatment forprostate cancer, which he announced he had on June 22, 2015.[8]
On January 12, 2015,Maine GovernorPaul LePage made a statement onHowie Carr's radio program that he might run for U.S. Senate against King, citing King's switching his endorsement in the2014 gubernatorial election from independent candidateEliot Cutler to Democratic candidateMike Michaud as a "horrible thing to do".[10] The next day, LePage said his comment was a joke,[9] though on an August 25, 2015 appearance on Carr's program, he said he was "very strongly" considering running, citing King's caucusing with Senate Democrats.[11] LePage also criticized King for his involvement in the Maine wind energy industry, saying King "ripped us off by $104 million during his eight years as governor – he ripped us off, royally, and I can’t wait until 2018 because I’m thinking that’s the guy I'm going after." A spokesman for King dismissed LePage's criticism.[12]
On May 10, 2016, LePage announced at a town hall meeting inOakland that he would run against King unless he was hired by theDonald Trump administration.[13] On May 10, 2017, LePage decided not to run; his spokesman said he preferred to focus on being governor.[14] On July 20, 2017, LePage again said he "might" challenge King.[15] Trump personally encouraged LePage to run and offered his endorsement.[16] LePage did not file to run by the March 15, 2018 deadline.[17][18]
Eric Brakey's campaign successfully contested 258 signatures to Max Linn's petitions to appear on the primary ballot, which meant that Linn had 10 fewer signatures than the 2,000 needed to be on the ballot. Maine Secretary of StateMatthew Dunlap then declared Linn ineligible to be a candidate, although it was too late to remove Linn's name from the ballot. Voters were informed of Linn's status when they voted, and any votes cast for him were counted as blanks.[19] Nevertheless, Linn's campaign was active on Twitter and placed campaign signs along roads in Maine. Linn signs were also seen inNew Hampshire, including inDover. Dover city officials said they would remove the signs upon request if Linn's campaign did not remove them, because Linn is not a candidate in a New Hampshire election and because the signs were placed improperly.[20] Linn appealed the decision to disqualify him to U.S. District Court inPortland, but JudgeNancy Torresen rejected Linn's request for an injunction to bar Dunlap from informing voters he is ineligible. Linn subsequently announced he would run against U.S. SenatorSusan Collins in the2020 Republican primary election.[21]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Eric Brakey | 59,853 | 58.92% | |
| Republican | Blank ballots | 41,732 | 41.08% | |
| Total votes | 101,585 | 100.00% | ||
The Democratic primary race initially included both teacher Zak Ringelstein and homebuilder Benjamin Pollard, but Pollard withdrew to run as an independent two days after Ringelstein announced a list of 16 endorsements from Democratic state legislators.[34] Ringelstein was the only major-party candidate for Senate to be a dues-paying member of theDemocratic Socialists of America in 2018.[35]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Zak Ringelstein | 89,841 | 67.65% | |
| Democratic | Blank ballots | 42,955 | 32.35% | |
| Total votes | 132,795 | 100.00% | ||
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[76] | Safe I | October 26, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[77] | Safe I | November 1, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[78] | Safe I | November 5, 2018 |
| Fox News[79][a] | Likely I | November 5, 2018 |
| CNN[80] | Solid I | November 5, 2018 |
| RealClearPolitics[81] | Safe I | November 5, 2018 |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | RCV round | Angus King (I) | Eric Brakey (R) | Zak Ringelstein (D) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College[82] | October 27–29, 2018 | 883 | ± 3.5% | Round 1 | 50% | 37% | 6% | 7% |
| Critical Insights (R-Brakey)[83] | October 8–16, 2018 | 600 | ± 3.9% | Round 1 | 41% | 27% | 7% | 23% |
| Pan Atlantic Research[84] | October 1–7, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | Round 1 | 57% | 30% | 8% | 5% |
| Self-Made Insights (R-Brakey)[85] | September 27–30, 2018 | 750 | ± 3.4% | Round 1 | 47% | 36% | 8% | – |
| Suffolk University[86] | August 2–6, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | Round 1 | 52% | 25% | 9% | 15% |
| Round 2[87] | 58% | 27% | – | 15% |
with Paul LePage
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Angus King (I) | Paul LePage (R) | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colby College/Boston Globe[88] | September 4–10, 2016 | 779 | ± 3.6% | 59% | 37% | – | 4% |
| University of New Hampshire[89] | June 15–21, 2016 | 467 | ± 4.5% | 63% | 29% | 3% | 5% |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Independent | Angus King (incumbent) | 344,575 | 54.31% | +1.42% | |
| Republican | Eric Brakey | 223,502 | 35.23% | +4.48% | |
| Democratic | Zak Ringelstein | 66,268 | 10.45% | −2.81% | |
| Write-in | 64 | 0.01% | N/A | ||
| Total votes | 634,409 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
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Counties that flipped from Independent to Republican
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King won both congressional districts, which both elected Democrats.[91]
| District | King | Brakey | Ringelstein | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 58% | 30% | 12% | Chellie Pingree |
| 2nd | 50% | 41% | 9% | Jared Golden |
Official campaign websites
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