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All 11 Virginia seats to theUnited States House of Representatives | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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The2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Virginia were held on November 6, 2018, to elect the 11U.S. representatives from thestate ofVirginia, one from each of the state's 11congressional districts. The elections coincided withother states' elections to the House of Representatives,elections to theUnited States Senate and variousstate andlocal elections. Primary elections took place on June 12.[1]
The state congressional delegation flipped from a 7–4 Republican majority to a 7–4 Democratic majority. Democrats last held a majority of seats in the state in2010.
| Party | Candidates | Votes | Seats | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No. | % | No. | +/– | % | |||
| Democratic | 11 | 1,867,061 | 56.69% | 7 | 63.64% | ||
| Republican | 10 | 1,408,701 | 42.77% | 4 | 36.36% | ||
| Libertarian | 3 | 13,995 | 0.42% | 0 | 0.0% | ||
| Write-in | 11 | 4,050 | 0.12% | 0 | 0.0% | ||
| Total | 35 | 3,293,807 | 100% | 11 | 100% | ||
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Results of the 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Virginia by district:[2]
| District | Democratic | Republican | Others | Total | Result | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | ||
| District 1 | 148,464 | 44.70% | 183,250 | 55.18% | 387 | 0.12% | 332,101 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
| District 2 | 139,571 | 51.05% | 133,458 | 48.81% | 371 | 0.14% | 273,400 | 100.0% | Democratic gain |
| District 3 | 198,615 | 91.22% | 0 | 0.00% | 19,107 | 8.78% | 217,722 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
| District 4 | 187,642 | 62.58% | 107,706 | 35.92% | 4,506 | 1.50% | 299,854 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
| District 5 | 145,040 | 46.65% | 165,339 | 53.18% | 547 | 0.18% | 310,926 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
| District 6 | 113,133 | 40.21% | 167,957 | 59.69% | 287 | 0.10% | 281,377 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
| District 7 | 176,079 | 50.34% | 169,295 | 48.40% | 4,429 | 1.27% | 349,803 | 100.0% | Democratic gain |
| District 8 | 247,137 | 76.10% | 76,899 | 23.68% | 712 | 0.22% | 324,748 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
| District 9 | 85,833 | 34.75% | 160,933 | 65.16% | 214 | 0.09% | 246,980 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
| District 10 | 206,356 | 56.11% | 160,841 | 43.73% | 598 | 0.16% | 367,795 | 100.0% | Democratic gain |
| District 11 | 219,191 | 71.11% | 83,023 | 26.93% | 6,036 | 1.96% | 308,250 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
| Total | 1,867,061 | 56.36% | 1,408,701 | 42.52% | 37,194 | 1.12% | 3,312,956 | 100.0% | |
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County and independent city results Wittman: 50–60% 60–70% Williams: 50–60% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
Precinct results Wittman: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Williams: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% >90% | |||||||||||||||||
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Incumbent RepublicanRob Wittman, who had represented the district since 2007, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 60% of the vote in 2016. The district had aPVI of R+8.
Wittman was unopposed for the Republican nomination.
Vangie Williams defeated both Edwin Santana and John Suddarth in the Democratic primary, becoming the first woman of color to ever win a primary for congressional office throughout Virginia.[6]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Vangie Williams | 11,008 | 40.0 | |
| Democratic | Edwin Santana | 9,059 | 32.9 | |
| Democratic | John Suddarth | 7,471 | 27.1 | |
| Total votes | 27,538 | 100.0 | ||
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[8] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[9] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[11] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[12] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[13] | Safe R | November 7, 2018 |
| CNN[14] | Safe R | October 31, 2018 |
| Politico[15] | Safe R | November 4, 2018 |
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Democratic |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn | ||||||
| Rob Wittman | Vangie Williams | |||||
| 1 | Oct. 22, 2018 | University of Mary Washington | [17] | P | P | |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Rob Wittman (incumbent) | 183,250 | 55.2 | |
| Democratic | Vangie Williams | 148,464 | 44.7 | |
| Write-in | 387 | 0.1 | ||
| Total votes | 332,101 | 100.0 | ||
| Republicanhold | ||||
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County and independent city results Luria: 50–60% 70–80% Taylor: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||
Precinct results Luria: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Taylor: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% >90% | |||||||||||||||||
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Incumbent RepublicanScott Taylor, who had represented the district since 2016, ran for re-election. He was elected with 61% of the vote in 2016. The district had aPVI of R+3. This was one of only two GOP held seats that voted for DemocratRalph Northam in2017.
Taylor was challenged in the Republican primary by formerJames City County Supervisor Mary Jones, who attacked Rep. Taylor for his moderate stances and because she believed he had not backed President Donald Trump's proposals strongly enough.[19]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Scott Taylor (incumbent) | 28,515 | 76.1 | |
| Republican | Mary Jones | 8,982 | 23.9 | |
| Total votes | 37,497 | 100.0 | ||
TheDemocratic Congressional Campaign Committee supported Elaine Luria, aUnited States Navalcommander, for the nomination.[22]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Elaine Luria | 17,552 | 62.3 | |
| Democratic | Karen Mallard | 10,610 | 37.7 | |
| Total votes | 28,162 | 100.0 | ||
Roanoke Commonwealth's Attorney Donald Caldwell had been appointed as aspecial prosecutor to investigate claims that Taylor's aides forged signatures, including those of DelegateGlenn Davis and his wife,[23] on Shaun Brown's petitions to make the ballot as anindependent candidate. Taylor had already cut ties with his campaign manager when these irregularities came to light and promised to cooperate with the investigation, and said that the irregularities in the petitions should have no bearing on Brown's right to be on the ballot.[24]
Shaun Brown submitted 2,163 petition signatures which actually went through the verification process. 1,030 of those were considered valid.[23] Democrats asked theVirginia State Board of Elections to remove Brown from the ballot for falling short of the 1,000 signatures required,[25] and filed suit.[26] They also askedAttorney General of VirginiaMark Herring to investigate.[27]
A review of the signatures also revealed that more than 50 Virginia Beach sheriff's employees had signed petition forms at work to get Brown on the ballot during the closing days of the petition drive, when petitioners were scrambling to meet the deadline.[28]
Brown was accused by federal prosecutors of lying to theFederal Election Commission about donating $700,000 to her campaign and bilking the government by falsifying the number of meals her nonprofit fed to needy children, but her trial—in which Brown testified in her own defense and was subjected to a lengthy cross-examination[29]—ended in a mistrial after the jury deadlocked 11–1.[30] In a new trial the following October, Brown was convicted of fraud conspiracy, two counts of wire fraud and theft of government property.[31] In March, 2019 Brown was sentenced to three years in prison.[32]
In September, circuit judge Gregory Rupe ordered Brown off the ballot. Brown subsequently appealed to theVirginia Supreme Court but justices declined to hear her case. TheVirginia Attorney General's office argued that it was too late for her to appear on the ballot.[33]
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Democratic |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn | ||||||
| Scott Taylor | Elaine Luria | |||||
| 1 | Oct. 23, 2018 | Hampton Roads Chamber of Commerce | Bob Hollsworth | [38] | P | P |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Scott Taylor (R) | Elaine Luria (D) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Change Research (D)[39] | November 2–4, 2018 | 710 | – | 47% | 47% | 6% |
| NYT Upshot/Siena College[40] | October 18–22, 2018 | 508 | ± 4.6% | 45% | 42% | 13% |
| Christopher Newport University[41] | October 3–12, 2018 | 798 | ± 4.0% | 50% | 43% | 7% |
| NYT Upshot/Siena College[42] | September 26 – October 1, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 49% | 41% | 10% |
| Change Research (D)[43] | September 26–28, 2018 | 758 | – | 46% | 46% | – |
| Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group (D-Luria)[44] | September 5–8, 2018 | 404 | ± 5.0% | 43% | 51% | – |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[45] | April 16–17, 2018 | 609 | ± 4.0% | 48% | 42% | 10% |
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[8] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[9] | Tilt R | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Lean D(flip) | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[11] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[12] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[13] | Lean R | November 7, 2018 |
| CNN[14] | Tossup | October 31, 2018 |
| Politico[15] | Tossup | November 4, 2018 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Elaine Luria | 139,571 | 51.1 | |||
| Republican | Scott Taylor (incumbent) | 133,458 | 48.8 | |||
| Write-in | 371 | 0.1 | ||||
| Total votes | 273,400 | 100.0 | ||||
| Democraticgain fromRepublican | ||||||
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County and independent city results Scott: 70–80% 80–90% >90% | |||||||||||||||||
Precinct results Scott: 70–80% 80–90% >90% | |||||||||||||||||
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Incumbent DemocratBobby Scott, who had represented the district since 1993, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 67% of the vote in 2016. The district had aPVI of D+16.
No Republicans filed.
Scott ran unopposed as no Republican candidates filed for the district.[46]
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[8] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[9] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[11] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[12] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[13] | Safe D | November 7, 2018 |
| CNN[14] | Safe D | October 31, 2018 |
| Politico[15] | Safe D | November 4, 2018 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Bobby Scott (incumbent) | 198,615 | 91.2 | |
| Write-in | 19,107 | 8.8 | ||
| Total votes | 217,772 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratichold | ||||
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County and independent city results McEachin: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% McAdams: 50–60% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
Precinct results McEachin: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% McAdams: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% | |||||||||||||||||
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Incumbent DemocratDonald McEachin, who had represented the district since 2017, ran for re-election. He was elected with 58% of the vote in 2016. The district had aPVI of D+10.
McEachin ran unopposed for the Democratic nomination.[47]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Ryan McAdams | 17,513 | 72.6 | |
| Republican | Shion Fenty | 6,621 | 27.4 | |
| Total votes | 24,134 | 100.0 | ||
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[8] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[9] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[11] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[12] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[13] | Safe D | November 7, 2018 |
| CNN[14] | Safe D | October 31, 2018 |
| Politico[15] | Safe D | November 4, 2018 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Donald McEachin (incumbent) | 187,642 | 62.6 | |
| Republican | Ryan McAdams | 107,706 | 35.9 | |
| Libertarian | Pete Wells | 4,233 | 1.4 | |
| Write-in | 273 | 0.1 | ||
| Total votes | 299,854 | 100.00 | ||
| Democratichold | ||||
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Riggleman: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Cockburn: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 50% | |||||||||||||||||
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Incumbent RepublicanTom Garrett, who had represented the district since 2017, did not run for re-election. He was elected with 58% of the vote in 2016. The district had aPVI of R+6.
Garrett announced on May 28, 2018, that he would not run for reelection due to his struggle withalcoholism.[49] Instead of a traditional primary to elect the Democratic and Republican nominees, party delegates voted to hold district conventions instead.
The Republican convention was held on June 2, 2018, less than one week after Garrett announced he would not seek reelection. Denver Riggleman edged out Cynthia Dunbar, who had just lost the Republican nomination in the6th district just weeks before, in the final round of voting to get the Republican nomination.[50]
The Democratic convention was held on May 5, 2018. The party delegates choseLeslie Cockburn as the Democratic nominee.[52]
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Democratic |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn | ||||||
| Denver Riggleman | Leslie Cockburn | |||||
| 1 | Sep. 28, 2018 | Frank Batten School of Leadership and Public Policy University of Virginia Center for Effective Lawmaking University of Virginia College Republicans University of Virginia University Democrats | Craig Volden Gerald Warburg | [56] | P | P |
| 2 | Oct. 8, 2018 | Piedmont Virginia Community College | Tyler Hawn | [57] | P | P |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Denver Riggleman (R) | Leslie Cockburn (D) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYT Upshot/Siena College[58] | October 16–22, 2018 | 501 | ± 4.6% | 45% | 46% | 10% |
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[8] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[9] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[11] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[12] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[13] | Tossup | November 7, 2018 |
| CNN[14] | Lean R | October 31, 2018 |
| Politico[15] | Lean R | November 4, 2018 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Denver Riggleman | 165,339 | 53.2 | |
| Democratic | Leslie Cockburn | 145,040 | 46.7 | |
| Write-in | 547 | 0.2 | ||
| Total votes | 310,926 | 100.0 | ||
| Republicanhold | ||||
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County and independent city results Cline: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Lewis: 50–60% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
Precinct results Cline: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Lewis: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% | |||||||||||||||||
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Incumbent RepublicanBob Goodlatte, who had represented the district since 1993, did not run for re-election. He was re-elected with 67% of the vote in 2016. The district had aPVI of R+13.
The 6th district was anopen seat in 2018, after Goodlatte announced his retirement in November 2017.[59][60]
Republican delegates decided to hold a party convention instead of the primary to choose their nominee. Eight Republicans ran in the convention in this district, where State DelegateBen Cline was chosen as the GOP nominee.
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Jennifer Lewis | 8,202 | 47.7 | |
| Democratic | Peter Volosin | 4,678 | 27.2 | |
| Democratic | Charlotte Moore | 3,175 | 18.5 | |
| Democratic | Sergio Coppola | 1,150 | 6.68 | |
| Total votes | 17,205 | 100.0 | ||
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[8] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[9] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[11] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[12] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[13] | Safe R | November 7, 2018 |
| CNN[14] | Safe R | October 31, 2018 |
| Politico[15] | Safe R | November 4, 2018 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Ben Cline | 167,957 | 59.7 | |
| Democratic | Jennifer Lewis | 113,133 | 40.2 | |
| Write-in | 287 | 0.1 | ||
| Total votes | 281,377 | 100.0 | ||
| Republicanhold | ||||
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Spanberger: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Brat: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||
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Incumbent RepublicanDave Brat, who had represented the district since 2014, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 58% of the vote in 2016. The district had aPVI of R+6.

| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Abigail Spanberger | 33,210 | 72.7 | |
| Democratic | Daniel Ward | 12,483 | 27.3 | |
| Total votes | 45,693 | 100.0 | ||
Helen Alli originally was going to run as a Democrat but failed to turn in enough signatures. She was then nominated by theModern Whig Party, but again failed to turn in enough signatures. She finally ran as a write-in candidate.[73]
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Democratic |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn | ||||||
| Dave Brat | Abigail Spanberger | |||||
| 1 | Oct. 15, 2018 | Culpeper Media Network | Jonathan Krawchuk | [74] | P | P |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Dave Brat (R) | Abigail Spanberger (D) | Joe Walton (L) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYT Upshot/Siena College[75] | October 30 – November 4, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.6% | 46% | 44% | 2% | 9% |
| Christopher Newport University[76] | October 18–27, 2018 | 871 | ± 4.2% | 45% | 46% | 4% | 3% |
| Monmouth University[77] | September 15–24, 2018 | 329 LV | ± 5.4% | 47% | 47% | <1% | 6% |
| 400 RV | ± 4.9% | 42% | 47% | 2% | 9% | ||
| Normington, Petts & Associates (D)[78] | September 18–20, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 47% | 47% | – | 6% |
| NYT Upshot/Siena College[79] | September 10–11, 2018 | 501 | ± 5.0% | 47% | 43% | – | 9% |
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[8] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[9] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Lean D(flip) | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[11] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[12] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[13] | Tossup | November 7, 2018 |
| CNN[14] | Tossup | October 31, 2018 |
| Politico[15] | Tossup | November 4, 2018 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Abigail Spanberger | 176,079 | 50.3 | |||
| Republican | Dave Brat (incumbent) | 169,295 | 48.4 | |||
| Libertarian | Joe Walton | 4,216 | 1.2 | |||
| Write-in | 155 | 0.1 | ||||
| Total votes | 349,745 | 100.0 | ||||
| Democraticgain fromRepublican | ||||||
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County and independent city results Beyer: 70–80% 80–90% | |||||||||||||||||
Precinct results Beyer: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% | |||||||||||||||||
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Incumbent DemocratDon Beyer, who had represented the district since 2015, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 68% of the vote in 2016. The district had aPVI of D+21.
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[8] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[9] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[11] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[12] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[13] | Safe D | November 7, 2018 |
| CNN[14] | Safe D | October 31, 2018 |
| Politico[15] | Safe D | November 4, 2018 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Don Beyer (incumbent) | 247,137 | 76.1 | |
| Republican | Thomas Oh | 76,899 | 23.7 | |
| Write-in | 712 | 0.2 | ||
| Total votes | 324,748 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratichold | ||||
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County and independent city results Griffith: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Flaccavento: 50–60% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
Precinct results Griffith: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Flaccavento: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% >90% | |||||||||||||||||
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Incumbent RepublicanMorgan Griffith, who had represented the district since 2011, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 65% of the vote in 2016. The district had aPVI of R+19.
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Anthony Flaccavento | 10,756 | 78.6 | |
| Democratic | Justin Santopietro | 2,921 | 21.4 | |
| Total votes | 13,677 | 100.0 | ||
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[8] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[9] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[11] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[12] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[13] | Safe R | November 7, 2018 |
| CNN[14] | Safe R | October 31, 2018 |
| Politico[15] | Safe R | November 4, 2018 |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Morgan Griffith (R) | Anthony Flaccavento (D) | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thirty-Ninth Street Strategies (D-Flaccavento)[83] | June 24–28, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 48% | 41% | 4% | 7% |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Morgan Griffith (incumbent) | 160,933 | 65.2 | |
| Democratic | Anthony Flaccavento | 85,833 | 34.7 | |
| Write-in | 214 | 0.1 | ||
| Total votes | 246,980 | 100.0 | ||
| Republicanhold | ||||
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County and independent city results Wexton: 50–60% 60–70% Comstock: 50–60% 60–70% | ||||||||||||||||
Precinct results Wexton: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Comstock: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% | ||||||||||||||||
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Incumbent RepublicanBarbara Comstock, who had represented the district since 2015, ran for re-election. She was re-elected with 53% of the vote in 2016. The district had aPVI of D+1.
Six Democratic candidates, encouraged by the fact that Republican incumbentBarbara Comstock's district voted forHillary Clinton in the2016 U.S. Presidential Election, submitted the required number of signatures to run for that seat.[84] Republicans believed, however, that given that Comstock was an excellent fundraiser and fierce campaigner, she would be able to keep the seat.[85] April polling was favorable to a generic Democrat against Comstock, although Comstock performed much better in polling when her name was on the ballot against a named Democratic opponent.[86]

| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Barbara Comstock (incumbent) | 28,287 | 60.7 | |
| Republican | Shak Hill | 18,311 | 39.3 | |
| Total votes | 46,598 | 100.0 | ||

| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Jennifer Wexton | 22,405 | 41.9 | |
| Democratic | Alison Friedman | 12,283 | 23.0 | |
| Democratic | Lindsey Davis Stover | 8,567 | 16.0 | |
| Democratic | Dan Helmer | 6,712 | 12.5 | |
| Democratic | Paul Pelletier | 2,010 | 3.8 | |
| Democratic | Julia Biggins | 1,513 | 2.8 | |
| Total votes | 53,490 | 100.0 | ||
Patriarchist libertarianNathan Larson filed to run as an independent,[96] but then withdrew his candidacy on August 13 and endorsed Wexton, calling her "theaccelerationist choice";[97] Wexton, through a spokesman, declined the endorsement.[98] Comstock tweeted, "It is good news for all voters in the 10th District that Nathan Larson, a convicted felon who served time in prison forthreatening to kill the President and is an admitted pedophile, an admitted rapist, white supremacist, and misogynist, is now off the ballot in the 10th Congressional District."[99]
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Democratic |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn | ||||||
| Barbara Comstock | Jennifer Wexton | |||||
| 1 | Sep. 21, 2018 | Loudoun County Chamber of Commerce | [100] | P | P | |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Barbara Comstock (R) | Jennifer Wexton (D) | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Washington Post/Schar School[101] | October 25–28, 2018 | 446 | ± 6.5% | 43% | 54% | 1% | 2% |
| Washington Post/Schar School[102] | October 15–21, 2018 | 430 | ± 6.5% | 43% | 56% | – | 1% |
| NYT Upshot/Siena College[103] | October 11–15, 2018 | 484 | ± 4.8% | 41% | 48% | – | 11% |
| Global Strategy Group (D)[104] | October 7–9, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 39% | 49% | – | – |
| McLaughlin & Associates (R-Comstock)[105] | October 6–8, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 48% | 47% | – | 5% |
| Washington Post/Schar School[102] | September 19 – October 5, 2018 | 866 | ± 4.0% | 43% | 55% | – | 2% |
| Christopher Newport University[106] | September 23 – October 2, 2018 | 794 | ± 4.1% | 44% | 51% | – | 5% |
| Monmouth University[107] | September 26–30, 2018 | 374 | ± 5.1% | 44% | 50% | <1% | 5% |
| Monmouth University[108] | June 21–24, 2018 | 338 LV | ± 5.3% | 41% | 50% | 3% | 6% |
| 400 RV | ± 4.9% | 39% | 49% | 2% | 10% | ||
| DCCC (D)[109] | March 20–21, 2018 | 400 | – | 43% | 46% | – | – |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Barbara Comstock (R) | "Democratic opponent" | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[110] | October 4–7, 2017 | 669 | ± 3.8% | 39% | 48% | — | 13% |
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[8] | Lean D(flip) | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[9] | Tilt D(flip) | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Lean D(flip) | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[11] | Lean D(flip) | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[12] | Lean D(flip) | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[13] | Likely D(flip) | November 7, 2018 |
| CNN[14] | Lean D(flip) | October 31, 2018 |
| Politico[15] | Lean D(flip) | November 4, 2018 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Jennifer Wexton | 206,356 | 56.1 | ||
| Republican | Barbara Comstock (incumbent) | 160,841 | 43.7 | ||
| Write-in | 598 | 0.2 | |||
| Total votes | 367,795 | 100.0 | |||
| Democraticgain fromRepublican | |||||
| |||||||||||||||||
Connolly: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
Incumbent DemocratGerry Connolly, who had represented the district since 2009, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 88% of the vote in 2016. The district had aPVI of D+15.
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[8] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[9] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[11] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[12] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[13] | Safe D | November 7, 2018 |
| CNN[14] | Safe D | October 31, 2018 |
| Politico[15] | Safe D | November 4, 2018 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Gerry Connolly (incumbent) | 219,191 | 71.1 | ||
| Republican | Jeff Dove | 83,023 | 26.9 | ||
| Libertarian | Stevan Porter | 5,546 | 1.8 | ||
| Write-in | 506 | 0.2 | |||
| Total votes | 308,266 | 100.0 | |||
| Democratichold | |||||
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