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2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Oklahoma

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Oklahoma

← 2016November 6, 2018 (2018-11-06)2020 →

All 5 Oklahoma seats to theUnited States House of Representatives
 Majority partyMinority party
 
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Last election50
Seats won41
Seat changeDecrease 1Increase 1
Popular vote730,531428,452
Percentage61.97%36.35%
SwingDecrease 7.01%Increase 9.42%

District results
County results

Republican

  40–50%
  50–60%
  60–70%
  70–80%
  80–90%
  >90%

Democratic

  50–60%

The2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Oklahoma were held on November 6, 2018, to elect the fiveU.S. representatives from thestate ofOklahoma, one from each of the state's fivecongressional districts. The elections coincided withother elections to the House of Representatives,elections to theUnited States Senate and variousstate andlocal elections. Primary elections were held on June 26 and runoff elections were held two months later on August 28.[1] The state's U.S. House delegation Republican majority changed from 5–0 to 4–1. As of 2025, this is the only time since 2010 that Democrats won any house race in Oklahoma.

Results summary

[edit]
Elections in Oklahoma
Government

Statewide

[edit]
Popular vote
Republican
61.97%
Democratic
36.35%
Independent
1.33%
Libertarian
0.35%
House seats
Republican
80.00%
Democratic
20.00%

District

[edit]

Results of the 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Oklahoma by district:[2]

DistrictRepublicanDemocraticOthersTotalResult
Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%
District 1150,12959.30%103,04240.70%00.00%253,171100.00%Republican hold
District 2140,45165.02%65,02130.10%10,5304.87%216,002100.00%Republican hold
District 3172,91373.87%61,15226.13%00.00%234,065100.00%Republican hold
District 4149,22763.06%78,08833.00%9,3233.94%236,638100.00%Republican hold
District 5117,81149.30%121,14950.70%00.00%238,960100.00%Democratic gain
Total730,53161.97%428,45236.35%19,8531.68%1,178,836100.00%

District 1

[edit]
2018 Oklahoma's 1st congressional district election

← 2016
2020 →
 
NomineeKevin HernTim Gilpin
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Popular vote150,129103,042
Percentage59.3%40.7%

Precinct and county-level results

U.S. Representative before election

Vacant

Elected U.S. Representative

Kevin Hern
Republican

See also:Oklahoma's 1st congressional district

The 1st district is located in theTulsa metropolitan area and includesCreek,Rogers,Tulsa,Wagoner andWashington counties. Incumbent RepublicanJim Bridenstine, who had represented the district since 2013, resigned on April 23 to becomeNASAAdministrator. He was re-elected unopposed in 2016. The district had aPVI of R+17.

Republican primary

[edit]

During his initial election in 2012, Bridenstine self-imposed a three term limit. Bridenstine confirmed that he would honor his term-limit pledge.[3]

Bridenstine becameAdministrator ofNASA in the Donald Trump administration, and resigned on April 23.[4]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]
Declined
[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Andy Coleman
Organizations
Nathan Dahm
Organizations
Kevin Hern
Organizations

Results

[edit]
Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanTim Harris28,39227.5
RepublicanKevin Hern23,42522.7
RepublicanAndy Coleman22,58421.9
RepublicanNathan Dahm20,84320.2
RepublicanDanny Stockstill8,0867.8
Total votes103,330100.0

Runoff

[edit]
Polling
[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Tim
Harris
Kevin
Hern
Undecided
SoonerPoll[10]July 24–29, 2018811± 3.4%38%26%36%
Results
[edit]
Republican primary runoff results
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanKevin Hern40,37354.9
RepublicanTim Harris33,13845.1
Total votes73,511100.0

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]
  • Amanda Douglas, business analyst, energy consultant and member of theCherokee Nation[12]
  • Gwendolyn Fields
  • Mark Keeter
  • David Hullum
Declined
[edit]

Results

[edit]
Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticTim Gilpin24,53234.5
DemocraticAmanda Douglas23,04532.4
DemocraticGwendolyn Fields13,94719.6
DemocraticMark Keeter6,0138.5
DemocraticDavid Hullum3,5735.0
Total votes71,110100.0

Runoff results

[edit]
Democratic primary runoff results
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticTim Gilpin16,98559.4
DemocraticAmanda Douglas11,62040.6
Total votes28,605100.0

General election

[edit]

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Kevin
Hern (R)
Tim
Gilpin (D)
Undecided
SoonerPoll[13]September 15–25, 2018306± 5.6%54%32%14%

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[14]Safe RNovember 5, 2018
Inside Elections[15]Safe RNovember 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[16]Safe RNovember 5, 2018
RCP[17]Safe RNovember 5, 2018
Daily Kos[18]Safe RNovember 5, 2018
538[19]Safe RNovember 7, 2018
CNN[20]Safe ROctober 31, 2018
Politico[21]Safe RNovember 2, 2018

Results

[edit]
Oklahoma's 1st congressional district, 2018
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanKevin Hern150,12959.3
DemocraticTim Gilpin103,04240.7
Total votes253,171100.0
Republicanhold

District 2

[edit]
2018 Oklahoma's 2nd congressional district election

← 2016
2020 →
 
NomineeMarkwayne MullinJason Nichols
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Popular vote140,45165,021
Percentage65.0%30.1%

Precinct and county-level results

U.S. Representative before election

Markwayne Mullin
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Markwayne Mullin
Republican

See also:Oklahoma's 2nd congressional district

The 2nd district is located in the regions ofGreen Country andKiamichi Country and includes the city ofMuskogee and numerous sparsely populated counties. The incumbent was RepublicanMarkwayne Mullin, who had represented the district since 2013. He was re-elected with 71% of the vote in 2016.

Republican primary

[edit]

Mullin had pledged to serve only three terms when he was first elected in 2012. During the 2016 campaign, Mullin stated he was reassessing his pledge, and refused to rule out running again in 2018.[22]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]
  • Brian Jackson
  • Jarrin Jackson, veteran, conservative activist and candidate for the seat in2016[23]
  • John McCarthy
Declined
[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Jarrin Jackson
U.S. senators

Results

[edit]
Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanMarkwayne Mullin (incumbent)32,62454.1
RepublicanJarrin Jackson15,19125.2
RepublicanBrian Jackson6,89911.5
RepublicanJohn McCarthy5,5369.2
Total votes60,250100.0

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]
Declined
[edit]

Results

[edit]
Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticJason Nichols32,54937.9
DemocraticClay Padgett20,79624.2
DemocraticElijah McIntosh16,34319.0
DemocraticVirginia Jenner16,20418.9
Total votes85,892100.0

Runoff results

[edit]
Democratic primary runoff results
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticJason Nichols19,54856.8
DemocraticClay Padgett14,84543.2
Total votes34,393100.0

General election

[edit]

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Markwayne
Mullin (R)
Jason
Nichols (D)
Richard
Castaldo (L)
John
Foreman (I)
Undecided
SoonerPoll[25]September 15–25, 2018306± 5.6%46%32%4%6%12%

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[14]Safe RNovember 5, 2018
Inside Elections[15]Safe RNovember 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[16]Safe RNovember 5, 2018
RCP[17]Safe RNovember 5, 2018
Daily Kos[18]Safe RNovember 5, 2018
538[19]Safe RNovember 7, 2018
CNN[20]Safe ROctober 31, 2018
Politico[21]Safe RNovember 2, 2018

Results

[edit]
Oklahoma's 2nd congressional district, 2018
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanMarkwayne Mullin (incumbent)140,45165.0
DemocraticJason Nichols65,02130.1
IndependentJohn Foreman6,3903.0
LibertarianRichard Castaldo4,1401.9
Total votes216,002100.0
Republicanhold

District 3

[edit]
2018 Oklahoma's 3rd congressional district election

← 2016
2020 →
 
NomineeFrank LucasFrankie Robbins
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Popular vote172,91361,152
Percentage73.9%26.1%

Precinct and county-level results

U.S. Representative before election

Frank Lucas
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Frank Lucas
Republican

See also:Oklahoma's 3rd congressional district

The 3rd district is located inWestern Oklahoma. The largest district in Oklahoma and one of the largest in the country, it includes theOklahoma Panhandle,Ponca City and the city ofStillwater as well as theOsage Nation. Incumbent RepublicanFrank Lucas, who had represented the district since 2003 and previously represented the 6th district from 1994 to 2003, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 78% of the vote in 2016. The district had aPVI of R+27.

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
  • Frankie Robbins, engineer
Eliminated in primary
[edit]
  • Murray Thibodeaux

Results

[edit]
Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticFrankie Robbins38,73364.8
DemocraticMurray Thibodeaux20,99835.2
Total votes59,731100.0

General election

[edit]

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Frank
Lucas (R)
Frankie
Robbins (D)
Undecided
SoonerPoll[26]September 15–25, 2018267± 6.0%54%24%22%

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[14]Safe RNovember 5, 2018
Inside Elections[15]Safe RNovember 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[16]Safe RNovember 5, 2018
RCP[17]Safe RNovember 5, 2018
Daily Kos[18]Safe RNovember 5, 2018
538[19]Safe RNovember 7, 2018
CNN[20]Safe ROctober 31, 2018
Politico[21]Safe RNovember 2, 2018

Results

[edit]
Oklahoma's 3rd congressional district, 2018
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanFrank Lucas (incumbent)172,91373.9
DemocraticFrankie Robbins61,15226.1
Total votes234,065100.0
Republicanhold

District 4

[edit]
2018 Oklahoma's 4th congressional district election

← 2016
2020 →
 
NomineeTom ColeMary Brannon
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Popular vote149,22778,088
Percentage63.1%33.0%

Precinct and county-level results

U.S. Representative before election

Tom Cole
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Tom Cole
Republican

See also:Oklahoma's 4th congressional district

The 4th district is located inSouth Central Oklahoma and includes the suburbs of Oklahoma City, such as the counties ofCanadian,Comanche andCleveland and numerous other sparsely populated counties. Incumbent RepublicanTom Cole, who had represented the district since 2003, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 70% of the vote in 2016. The district had aPVI of R+20.

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]
  • James Taylor

Results

[edit]
Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanTom Cole (incumbent)55,89164.7
RepublicanJames Taylor30,44135.3
Total votes86,332100.0

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
  • Mary Brannon, teacher
Eliminated in primary
[edit]
Withdrawn
[edit]
  • John McKenna

Results

[edit]
Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticMary Brannon25,73634.4
DemocraticFred Gipson22,74430.4
DemocraticMallory Varner13,93818.6
DemocraticRoxann Klutts12,48216.7
Total votes74,900100.0

Runoff results

[edit]
Democratic primary runoff results
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticMary Brannon15,24557.5
DemocraticFred Gipson11,26442.5
Total votes26,509100.0

General election

[edit]

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Tom
Cole (R)
Mary
Brannon (D)
Rudy
Peters (I)
Undecided
SoonerPoll[26]September 15–25, 2018291± 5.74%58%25%6%11%

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[14]Safe RNovember 5, 2018
Inside Elections[15]Safe RNovember 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[16]Safe RNovember 5, 2018
RCP[17]Safe RNovember 5, 2018
Daily Kos[18]Safe RNovember 5, 2018
538[19]Safe RNovember 7, 2018
CNN[20]Safe ROctober 31, 2018
Politico[21]Safe RNovember 2, 2018

Results

[edit]
Oklahoma's 4th congressional district, 2018
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanTom Cole (incumbent)149,22763.1
DemocraticMary Brannon78,08833.0
IndependentRuby Peters9,3233.9
Total votes236,638100.0
Republicanhold

District 5

[edit]
2018 Oklahoma's 5th congressional district election

← 2016
2020 →
 
NomineeKendra HornSteve Russell
PartyDemocraticRepublican
Popular vote121,149117,811
Percentage50.7%49.3%

Precinct and county-level results
Horn:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     ≥90%
Russell:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     ≥90%
     No votes

U.S. Representative before election

Steve Russell
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Kendra Horn
Democratic

See also:Oklahoma's 5th congressional district

The 5th district is located inCentral Oklahoma and centered around the state capital,Oklahoma City, and the surrounding areas such asEdmond andShawnee. Incumbent RepublicanSteve Russell, who had represented the district since 2015, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 57% of the vote in 2016. The district had aPVI of R+10. DemocratKendra Horn won by a margin of 1.4% in what was considered anupset.

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]
  • Gregory Dunson
  • DeJuan Edwards

Results

[edit]
Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanSteve Russell (incumbent)65,98283.6
RepublicanGregory Dunson7,6389.7
RepublicanDeJuan Edwards5,2846.7
Total votes78,904100.0

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
  • Kendra Horn, attorney and communication technology firm strategic consultant[27]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]
Declined
[edit]

Results

[edit]
Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticKendra Horn34,85743.8
DemocraticTom Guild14,24217.9
DemocraticElysabeth Britt10,73913.5
DemocraticEddie Porter8,44710.6
DemocraticLeona Kelley-Leonard6,6938.4
DemocraticTyson Meade4,5275.7
Total votes79,505100.0

Runoff results

[edit]
Democratic primary runoff results
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticKendra Horn22,05275.8
DemocraticTom Guild7,03924.2
Total votes29,091100.0

General election

[edit]

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Steve
Russell (R)
Kendra
Horn (D)
Undecided
SoonerPoll[28]October 29, 2018440± 4.66%49%37%14%
VCreek/AMG (R-Russell)[29]October 14–15, 2018974± 3.14%51%35%14%
VCreek/AMG (R-Russell)[30]September 24–25, 20181,407± 2.61%50%37%13%
SoonerPoll[26]September 15–25, 2018303± 5.63%47%37%16%
VCreek/AMG (R-Russell)[31]September 4–6, 20181,182± 2.85%49%35%16%

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[14]Likely RNovember 5, 2018
Inside Elections[15]Safe RNovember 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[16]Likely RNovember 5, 2018
RCP[17]Likely RNovember 5, 2018
Daily Kos[18]Likely RNovember 5, 2018
538[19]Likely RNovember 7, 2018
CNN[20]Safe ROctober 31, 2018
Politico[21]Likely RNovember 2, 2018

Results

[edit]
Oklahoma's 5th congressional district, 2018[32]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticKendra Horn121,14950.70
RepublicanSteve Russell (incumbent)117,81149.30
Total votes238,960100.00
Democraticgain fromRepublican

References

[edit]
  1. ^"Oklahoma Elections — 2018".Oklahoma State Election Board. The State of Oklahoma. RetrievedAugust 20, 2018.
  2. ^Johnson, Cheryl L. (February 28, 2019)."Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 6, 2018".Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives. RetrievedApril 27, 2019.
  3. ^Krehbiel, Randy (November 10, 2015)."Congressman Jim Bridenstine says third term would be his last".Tulsa World. RetrievedNovember 22, 2016.
  4. ^Davenport, Christian (November 11, 2016)."GOP congressman being considered for NASA administrator in Trump administration".The Washington Post. RetrievedNovember 22, 2016.
  5. ^abcdefghijklmnoCasteel, Chris (October 17, 2016)."After ho-hum year for state political contests, 2018 will be 'transformational'".The Oklahoman. RetrievedNovember 4, 2016.
  6. ^Thompson, Nathan (October 18, 2016)."Oklahoma AG Pruitt not considering run for Congress".Bartlesville Examiner-Enterprise. RetrievedNovember 4, 2016.
  7. ^"Please Vote Tomorrow for Nathan Dahm for U.S. House of Representatives!".nrapvf.org. NRA-PVF. June 25, 2018.Archived from the original on August 4, 2023. RetrievedAugust 4, 2023.The NRA Political Victory Fund (NRA-PVF) has endorsed Nathan Dahm for U.S. House of Representatives in the June 26, 2018
  8. ^Jamison Faught (June 18, 2018)."Republican Liberty Caucus Endorses Nathan Dahm".muskogeepolitico.com. Muskogee Politico. RetrievedAugust 3, 2023.
  9. ^Jamison Faught (May 2, 2018)."Hern endorsed by Republican Main Street Partnership".muskogeepolitico.com. Muskogee Politico. RetrievedAugust 3, 2023.
  10. ^SoonerPoll
  11. ^"TIM". RetrievedSeptember 12, 2018.[permanent dead link]
  12. ^"Amanda Douglas is the latest candidate for Native Vote18 in Oklahoma - IndianCountryToday.com". RetrievedSeptember 12, 2018.
  13. ^SoonerPoll
  14. ^abcde"2018 House Race Ratings".Cook Political Report. RetrievedOctober 30, 2018.
  15. ^abcde"2018 House Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. RetrievedNovember 5, 2018.
  16. ^abcde"2018 House".Sabato's Crystal Ball. RetrievedNovember 5, 2018.
  17. ^abcde"Battle for the House 2018". RCP. RetrievedNovember 5, 2018.
  18. ^abcde"Daily Kos Elections 2018 race ratings".Daily Kos. RetrievedNovember 5, 2018.[permanent dead link]
  19. ^abcdeSilver, Nate (August 16, 2018)."2018 House Forecast".FiveThirtyEight. Archived fromthe original on August 16, 2018. RetrievedNovember 6, 2018.
  20. ^abcde"CNN's 2018 Race Ratings".cnn.com. Turner Broadcasting System. Archived fromthe original on October 31, 2018. RetrievedJuly 30, 2023.
  21. ^abcde"Who wins 2018? Predictions for Every House & Senate Election".POLITICO. RetrievedSeptember 7, 2018.
  22. ^Casteel, Chris (March 30, 2016)."Oklahoma Congressman Mullin may reassess term limits pledge".The Oklahoman. RetrievedNovember 22, 2016.
  23. ^"JACKSON, JARRIN DALE - Candidate overview - FEC.gov".FEC.gov. RetrievedSeptember 12, 2018.
  24. ^"Coburn will work to oust Mullin after congressman breaks term limit pledge". July 8, 2017. RetrievedSeptember 12, 2018.
  25. ^SoonerPoll
  26. ^abcSoonerPoll
  27. ^McGuigan, Patrick B."At Oklahoma City event, Kendra Horn launches campaign for Democratic nomination in the Fifth Congressional District".Capitol Beat OK. Archived fromthe original on April 8, 2020. RetrievedAugust 6, 2018.
  28. ^SoonerPoll
  29. ^VCreek/AMG (R-Russell)
  30. ^VCreek/AMG (R-Russell)
  31. ^VCreek/AMG (R-Russell)
  32. ^"Official Results - General Election — November 6, 2018"(PDF). Oklahoma Secretary of State. November 6, 2018. RetrievedOctober 15, 2019.

External links

[edit]

Official campaign websites for first district candidates

Official campaign websites for second district candidates

Official campaign websites for third district candidates

Official campaign websites for fourth district candidates

Official campaign websites for fifth district candidates

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