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All 27 New York seats to theUnited States House of Representatives | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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The2018 United States House of Representatives elections in New York were held November 6, 2018 to elect aU.S. Representative from each of New York's 27congressional districts. The elections coincided with thegubernatorial election, as well as an election to theUnited States Senate and variousstate andlocal elections.
Contested primaries were held June 26, 2018. On election day, Democrats gained three New York House seats, and the Democratic Party retook control of the House of Representatives. Democrats won a total of 21 New York House seats, while Republicans won six.
Elections were held in all 27 of New York's congressional districts in 2018. Prior to the 2018 elections, one New York House seat was vacant[1] due to the death of Rep. Louise Slaughter (D-25th District) on March 16, 2018.[2] In theJune 26, 2018 Democratic primary in District 14, insurgentAlexandria Ocasio-Cortez upset longtime incumbent Rep.Joe Crowley.[3] On November 6, 2018, the Democratic Party held the open seat in District 25 and defeated three Republican incumbents; with the exception of Crowley, all Democratic incumbent members of Congress in New York were re-elected.[4][5] The defeated Republican incumbents were Rep.Dan Donovan (R-11th District) (defeated by DemocratMax Rose), Rep.John Faso (R-19th District) (defeated by DemocratAntonio Delgado), and Rep.Claudia Tenney (R-22nd District) (defeated by DemocratAnthony Brindisi).[4] Incumbent Rep.Chris Collins (R-27th District) was narrowly re-elected[6] despite having been arrested on insider trading charges in August 2018.[7]
Democrats won a total of 21 New York House seats, while Republicans won six.[4] Nationally, the Democratic Party won control of the House of Representatives on election day.[8]
New York is near unique among the states in that it allowselectoral fusion (cross-endorsement).[9] As a result, New York ballots tend to list many political parties. Most news outlets report election results using only the primary affiliation of party registration of candidates rather than by the party nominees who are elected, and most pollsters group candidates the same way.[10]
| Party | Votes | Percentage | Seats | +/– | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | 3,760,566 | 63.30% | 21 | +3 | |
| Republican | 1,639,593 | 27.60% | 6 | –3 | |
| Conservative | 207,094 | 3.49% | 0 | ||
| Working Families | 176,483 | 2.97% | 0 | ||
| Reform | 44,931 | 0.76% | 0 | ||
| Independence | 44,722 | 0.75% | 0 | ||
| Women's Equality | 41,317 | 0.70% | 0 | ||
| Independent | 2,835 | 0.05% | 0 | ||
| Totals | 5,917,541 | 100.00% | 27 | ||
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Results of the 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in New York by district:[11]
| District | Democratic | Republican | Others | Total | Result | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | ||
| District 1 | 127,991 | 47.40% | 139,027 | 51.49% | 2,988 | 1.11% | 270,006 | Republican hold |
| District 2 | 113,074 | 46.89% | 128,078 | 53.11% | 0 | 0.00% | 241,152 | Republican hold |
| District 3 | 157,456 | 58.98% | 109,514 | 41.02% | 0 | 0.00% | 266,970 | Democratic hold |
| District 4 | 159,535 | 61.33% | 100,571 | 38.67% | 0 | 0.00% | 260,106 | Democratic hold |
| District 5 | 160,500 | 100.00% | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0.00% | 160,500 | Democratic hold |
| District 6 | 111,646 | 90.88% | 0 | 0.00% | 11,209 | 9.12% | 122,855 | Democratic hold |
| District 7 | 146,687 | 93.37% | 0 | 0.00% | 10,410 | 6.63% | 157,097 | Democratic hold |
| District 8 | 180,376 | 94.24% | 0 | 0.00% | 11,028 | 5.76% | 263,307 | Democratic hold |
| District 9 | 181,455 | 89.33% | 20,901 | 10.29% | 779 | 0.38% | 203,135 | Democratic hold |
| District 10 | 173,095 | 82.15% | 37,619 | 17.85% | 0 | 0.00% | 210,714 | Democratic hold |
| District 11 | 101,823 | 53.02% | 89,441 | 46.58% | 774 | 0.40% | 192,038 | Democratic gain |
| District 12 | 217,430 | 86.42% | 30,446 | 12.10% | 3,728 | 1.48% | 251,604 | Democratic hold |
| District 13 | 180,035 | 94.60% | 10,268 | 5.40% | 0 | 0.00% | 190,303 | Democratic hold |
| District 14 | 110,318 | 78.17% | 19,202 | 13.61% | 11,602 | 8.22% | 141,122 | Democratic hold |
| District 15 | 124,469 | 95.99% | 5,205 | 4.01% | 0 | 0.00% | 129,674 | Democratic hold |
| District 16 | 182,044 | 100.00% | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0.00% | 182,044 | Democratic hold |
| District 17 | 170,168 | 88.02% | 0 | 0.00% | 23,150 | 11.98% | 193,318 | Democratic hold |
| District 18 | 139,564 | 55.47% | 112,035 | 44.53% | 0 | 0.00% | 251,599 | Democratic hold |
| District 19 | 147,873 | 51.37% | 132,873 | 46.15% | 7,148 | 2.48% | 287,894 | Democratic gain |
| District 20 | 176,811 | 66.50% | 89,058 | 33.50% | 0 | 0.00% | 265,869 | Democratic hold |
| District 21 | 99,791 | 42.43% | 131,981 | 56.11% | 3,437 | 1.46% | 235,209 | Republican hold |
| District 22 | 127,715 | 50.89% | 123,242 | 49.11% | 0 | 0.00% | 250,957 | Democratic gain |
| District 23 | 109,932 | 45.76% | 130,323 | 54.24% | 0 | 0.00% | 279,327 | Republican hold |
| District 24 | 123,226 | 47.37% | 136,920 | 52.63% | 0 | 0.00% | 260,146 | Republican hold |
| District 25 | 159,244 | 58.98% | 110,736 | 41.02% | 0 | 0.00% | 269,980 | Democratic hold |
| District 26 | 169,166 | 73.34% | 61,488 | 26.66% | 0 | 0.00% | 230,654 | Democratic hold |
| District 27 | 139,059 | 48.76% | 140,146 | 49.14% | 5,973 | 2.10% | 285,178 | Republican hold |
| Total | 3,990,483 | 65.93% | 1,859,074 | 30.72% | 92,226 | 1.52% | 6,052,758 | |
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.svg) County results Zeldin: 50–60% | ||||||||||||||||||||||
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The 1st district is located in easternLong Island and includes most of central and easternSuffolk County. The incumbent was RepublicanLee Zeldin, who had represented the district since 2015. He was re-elected to a second term with 58% of the vote in 2016.
The 1st district was included on the initial list of Republican-held seats being targeted by theDemocratic Congressional Campaign Committee in 2018.[12]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Perry Gershon | 7,902 | 35.5 | |
| Democratic | Kate Browning | 6,813 | 30.6 | |
| Democratic | Vivian Viloria-Fisher | 3,616 | 16.3 | |
| Democratic | David Pechefsky | 2,565 | 11.5 | |
| Democratic | Elaine DiMasi | 1,344 | 6.0 | |
| Total votes | 22,240 | 100.0 | ||
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[26] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[27] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[28] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[29] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[30] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[31] | Likely R | November 7, 2018 |
In mid-September, Gershon said his campaign had raised more than $1.25 million since July 1, with contributions averaging $85.[32] At the end of September, the nonpartisan Washington, D.C.-based Cook Political Report rated the race as "Likely Republican;" the "Likely" designation is for seats "not considered competitive at this point, but hav[ing] the potential to become engaged."[33]
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| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Lee Zeldin (R) | Perry Gershon (D) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Change Research (D)[44] | October 27–29, 2018 | 838 | – | 52% | 37% | – |
| GBA Strategies (D-Gershon)[45] | October 8–10, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 50% | 46% | – |
| NYT Upshot/Siena College[46] | October 4–8, 2018 | 502 | ± 4.6% | 49% | 41% | 10% |
| Global Strategy Group (D)[47] | September 11–17, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 47% | 44% | – |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Lee Zeldin | 121,562 | 45.0 | |
| Conservative | Lee Zeldin | 14,284 | 5.3 | |
| Independence | Lee Zeldin | 2,693 | 1.0 | |
| Reform | Lee Zeldin | 488 | 0.2 | |
| Total | Lee Zeldin (incumbent) | 139,027 | 51.5 | |
| Democratic | Perry Gershon | 124,213 | 46.0 | |
| Working Families | Perry Gershon | 3,778 | 1.4 | |
| Total | Perry Gershon | 127,991 | 47.4 | |
| Women's Equality | Kate Browning | 2,988 | 1.1 | |
| Total votes | 270,006 | 100.0 | ||
| Republicanhold | ||||
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.svg) County results King: 60–70% Shirley: 50–60% | ||||||||||||||||||||||
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The 2nd district is based along theSouth Shore ofLong Island and includes southwesternSuffolk County and a small portion of southeasternNassau County. The incumbent was RepublicanPeter T. King, who had represented the district since 2013 and previously represented the 3rd district from 1993 to 2013. He was re-elected to a thirteenth term with 62% of the vote in 2016.
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Liuba Grechen Shirley | 7,315 | 57.3 | |
| Democratic | DuWayne Gregory | 5,456 | 42.7 | |
| Total votes | 12,771 | 100.0 | ||
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[26] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[27] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[28] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[29] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[30] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[31] | Lean R | November 7, 2018 |
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| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Democratic |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn | ||||||
| Peter King | Liuba Grechen Shirley | |||||
| 1 | Oct. 18, 2018 | WRNN-TV | Richard French | [57] | P | P |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Peter T. King | 112,565 | 46.7 | |
| Conservative | Peter T. King | 12,504 | 5.2 | |
| Independence | Peter T. King | 2,535 | 1.0 | |
| Reform | Peter T. King | 474 | 0.2 | |
| Total | Peter T. King (incumbent) | 128,078 | 53.1 | |
| Democratic | Liuba Grechen Shirley | 108,803 | 45.1 | |
| Working Families | Liuba Grechen Shirley | 2,799 | 1.2 | |
| Women's Equality | Liuba Grechen Shirley | 1,472 | 0.6 | |
| Total | Liuba Grechen Shirley | 113,074 | 46.9 | |
| Total votes | 241,152 | 100.0 | ||
| Republicanhold | ||||
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.svg) County results Suozzi: 50–60% 60–70% | ||||||||||||||||||||
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The 3rd district includes most of theNorth Shore of Long Island. It covers northwesternSuffolk County, northernNassau County, and northeasternQueens. The incumbent was DemocratTom Suozzi, who had represented the district since 2017. He was elected to replace retiring representativeSteve Israel with 53% of the vote in 2016.
New York's 3rd district was included on the initial list of Democrat-held seats being targeted by theNational Republican Congressional Committee in 2018.[58]
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[26] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[27] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[28] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[29] | Likely D | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[30] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[31] | Safe D | November 7, 2018 |
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| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Tom Suozzi | 149,937 | 56.2 | |
| Independence | Tom Suozzi | 2,962 | 1.1 | |
| Working Families | Tom Suozzi | 2,838 | 1.1 | |
| Women's Equality | Tom Suozzi | 1,376 | 0.5 | |
| Reform | Tom Suozzi | 343 | 0.1 | |
| Total | Tom Suozzi (incumbent) | 157,456 | 59.0 | |
| Republican | Dan DeBono | 98,716 | 37.0 | |
| Conservative | Dan DeBono | 10,798 | 4.0 | |
| Total | Dan DeBono | 109,514 | 41.0 | |
| Total votes | 266,970 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratichold | ||||
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.svg) County results Rice: 60–70% | ||||||||||||||||||||
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The 4th district is located in central and southernNassau County. The incumbent was DemocratKathleen Rice, who had represented the district since 2015. She was re-elected to a second term with 59.5% of the vote in 2016.
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[26] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[27] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[28] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[29] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[30] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[31] | Safe D | November 7, 2018 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Kathleen Rice | 156,728 | 60.2 | |
| Women's Equality | Kathleen Rice | 2,807 | 1.1 | |
| Total | Kathleen Rice (incumbent) | 159,535 | 61.3 | |
| Republican | Ameer Benno | 90,306 | 34.7 | |
| Conservative | Ameer Benno | 9,709 | 3.7 | |
| Reform | Ameer Benno | 556 | 0.2 | |
| Total | Ameer Benno | 100,571 | 38.7 | |
| Total votes | 260,106 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratichold | ||||
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The 5th district is mostly located withinQueens inNew York City, but also includes a small portion ofNassau County. The incumbent was DemocratGregory Meeks, who had represented the district since 2013 and previously represented the 6th district from 1998 to 2013. He was re-elected to a tenth term with 85% of the vote in 2016.
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Gregory Meeks (incumbent) | 11,060 | 81.6 | |
| Democratic | Carl Achille | 1,288 | 9.5 | |
| Democratic | Mizan Choudhury | 1,200 | 8.9 | |
| Total votes | 13,548 | 100.0 | ||
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[26] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[27] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[28] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[29] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[30] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[31] | Safe D | November 7, 2018 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Gregory Meeks (incumbent) | 160,500 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 160,500 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratichold | ||||
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.svg) County results Meng: >90% | ||||||||||||||||||||
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The 6th district is located entirely withinQueens inNew York City. The incumbent was DemocratGrace Meng, who had represented the district since 2013. She was re-elected to a third term with 72% of the vote in 2016.
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[26] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[27] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[28] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[29] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[30] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[31] | Safe D | November 7, 2018 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Grace Meng | 104,293 | 84.9 | |
| Working Families | Grace Meng | 6,429 | 5.2 | |
| Reform | Grace Meng | 924 | 0.8 | |
| Total | Grace Meng (incumbent) | 111,646 | 90.9 | |
| Green | Thomas Hillgardner | 11,209 | 9.1 | |
| Total votes | 122,855 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratichold | ||||
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.svg) County results Velazquez: 80-90% >90% | ||||||||||||||||||||||
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The 7th district is located entirely inNew York City and includes parts ofBrooklyn,Queens, andManhattan. The incumbent was DemocratNydia Velázquez, who had represented the district since 2013 and previously represented the 12th district from 1993 to 2013. She was re-elected to a thirteenth term with 91% of the vote in 2016.
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[26] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[27] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[28] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[29] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[30] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[31] | Safe D | November 7, 2018 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Nydia Velázquez | 134,125 | 85.4 | |
| Working Families | Nydia Velázquez | 12,562 | 8.0 | |
| Total | Nydia Velázquez (incumbent) | 146,687 | 93.4 | |
| Conservative | Joseph Lieberman | 8,670 | 5.5 | |
| Reform | Jeffrey Kurzon | 1,740 | 1.1 | |
| Total votes | 157,097 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratichold | ||||
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.svg) County results Jefferies: 70-80% >90% | ||||||||||||||||||||||
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The 8th district is located entirely in theNew York City boroughs ofBrooklyn andQueens. The incumbent was DemocratHakeem Jeffries, who had represented the district since 2013. He was re-elected to a third term with 93% of the vote in 2016.
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[26] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[27] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[28] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[29] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[30] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[31] | Safe D | November 7, 2018 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Hakeem Jeffries | 170,850 | 89.3 | |
| Working Families | Hakeem Jeffries | 9,526 | 5.0 | |
| Total | Hakeem Jeffries (incumbent) | 180,376 | 94.3 | |
| Conservative | Ernest Johnson | 9,997 | 5.2 | |
| Reform | Jessica White | 1,031 | 0.5 | |
| Total votes | 191,404 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratichold | ||||
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.svg) County results Clarke: 80-90% | ||||||||||||||||||||
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The 9th district is located entirely within theNew York City borough ofBrooklyn. The incumbent was DemocratYvette Clarke, who had represented the district since 2013 and previously represented the 11th district from 2007 to 2013. She was re-elected to a sixth term with 92% of the vote in 2016.
Clarke 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% 90–100% | Bunkeddeko 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% 90–100% | Other 40-50% tie 50% tie No votes
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| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Yvette Clarke (incumbent) | 16,202 | 53.0 | |
| Democratic | Adem Bunkeddeko | 14,350 | 47.0 | |
| Total votes | 30,552 | 100.0 | ||
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[26] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[27] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[28] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[29] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[30] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[31] | Safe D | November 7, 2018 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Yvette Clarke | 167,269 | 82.3 | |
| Working Families | Yvette Clarke | 14,186 | 7.0 | |
| Total | Yvette Clarke (incumbent) | 181,455 | 89.3 | |
| Republican | Lutchi Gayot | 18,702 | 9.2 | |
| Conservative | Lutchi Gayot | 2,199 | 1.1 | |
| Total | Lutchi Gayot | 20,901 | 10.3 | |
| Reform | Joel Anabilah-Azumah | 779 | 0.4 | |
| Total votes | 203,135 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratichold | ||||
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.svg) County results Nadler: 50-60% 80-90% | ||||||||||||||||||||
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The 10th district is located inNew York City and includes theUpper West Side ofManhattan; the west side ofLower Manhattan, includingGreenwich Village and theFinancial District; and parts ofBrooklyn, includingBorough Park. The incumbent was DemocratJerrold Nadler, who had represented the district since 2013, and previously represented the 8th district from 1993 to 2013 and the 17th district from 1992 to 1993. He was re-elected to a thirteenth full term with 78% of the vote in 2016.
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[26] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[27] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[28] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[29] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[30] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[31] | Safe D | November 7, 2018 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Jerrold Nadler | 162,131 | 76.9 | |
| Working Families | Jerrold Nadler | 10,964 | 5.2 | |
| Total | Jerrold Nadler (incumbent) | 173,095 | 82.1 | |
| Republican | Naomi Levin | 33,692 | 16.0 | |
| Conservative | Naomi Levin | 3,259 | 1.6 | |
| Reform | Naomi Levin | 668 | 0.3 | |
| Total | Naomi Levin | 37,619 | 17.9 | |
| Total votes | 210,714 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratichold | ||||
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.svg) County results Rose: 50–60% | ||||||||||||||||||||
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The 11th district is located entirely inNew York City and includes all ofStaten Island and parts of southernBrooklyn. The incumbent was RepublicanDan Donovan, who had represented the district since 2015. He was re-elected to a second term with 62% of the vote in 2016.
Former CongressmanMichael Grimm, who resigned in 2014 after pleading guilty to federal tax fraud charges for which he served eight months in prison, challenged Donovan in the primary.[68][69]
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| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Dan Donovan (R) | Michael Grimm (R) | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Remington Research (R)[71] | June 20–21, 2018 | 703 | ± 3.7% | 47% | 40% | – | 13% |
| Siena College[72] | May 29–June 3, 2018 | 513 | ± 4.3% | 37% | 47% | – | 16% |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Dan Donovan (incumbent) | 13,515 | 62.9 | |
| Republican | Michael Grimm | 7,957 | 37.1 | |
| Total votes | 21,472 | 100.0 | ||
New York's 11th district was included on the initial list of Republican-held seats being targeted by theDemocratic Congressional Campaign Committee in 2018.[12]
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| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Max Rose | 11,539 | 63.3 | |
| Democratic | Michael DeVito Jr. | 3,642 | 20.0 | |
| Democratic | Omar Vaid | 1,589 | 8.7 | |
| Democratic | Radhakrishna Mohan | 719 | 4.0 | |
| Democratic | Paul Sperling | 486 | 2.7 | |
| Democratic | Zach Emig | 249 | 1.4 | |
| Total votes | 18,224 | 100.0 | ||
Dan Donovan also ran in the primary for theConservative Party of New York State.
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | Dan Donovan (incumbent) | 610 | 55.0 | |
| Conservative | Michael Grimm | 497 | 44.7 | |
| Conservative | Max Rose | 3 | 0.3 | |
| Total votes | 1,110 | 100.0 | ||
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[26] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[27] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[28] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[29] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[30] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[31] | Likely R | November 7, 2018 |
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| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Dan Donovan (R) | Max Rose (D) | Henry Bardel (G) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYT Upshot/Siena College[81] | October 23–27, 2018 | 495 | ± 4.7% | 44% | 40% | 1% | 15% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[82] | September 4–5, 2018 | 509 | – | 47% | 39% | – | 14% |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Max Rose | 96,850 | 50.4 | |
| Working Families | Max Rose | 3,894 | 2.0 | |
| Women's Equality | Max Rose | 1,079 | 0.6 | |
| Total | Max Rose | 101,823 | 53.0 | |
| Republican | Dan Donovan | 80,440 | 41.9 | |
| Conservative | Dan Donovan | 7,352 | 3.8 | |
| Independence | Dan Donovan | 1,302 | 0.7 | |
| Reform | Dan Donovan | 347 | 0.2 | |
| Total | Dan Donovan (incumbent) | 89,441 | 46.6 | |
| Green | Henry Bardel | 774 | 0.4 | |
| Total votes | 192,038 | 100.0 | ||
| Democraticgain fromRepublican | ||||
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.svg) County results Maloney: 80–90% >90% | ||||||||||||||||||||
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The 12th district is located entirely inNew York City and includes several neighborhoods in theEast Side ofManhattan,Greenpoint and westernQueens. The incumbent was DemocratCarolyn Maloney, who had represented the district since 2013 and previously represented the 14th district from 1993 to 2013. She was re-elected to a thirteenth term with 83% of the vote in 2016.
Maloney 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% 90–100% | Patel 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% 90–100% | Other 50% tie No votes
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| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Carolyn Maloney (incumbent) | 26,742 | 59.6 | |
| Democratic | Suraj Patel | 18,098 | 40.4 | |
| Total votes | 44,840 | 100.0 | ||
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[26] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[27] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[28] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[29] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[30] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[31] | Safe D | November 7, 2018 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Carolyn Maloney | 205,858 | 81.8 | |
| Working Families | Carolyn Maloney | 10,972 | 4.4 | |
| Reform | Carolyn Maloney | 600 | 0.2 | |
| Total | Carolyn Maloney (incumbent) | 217,430 | 86.4 | |
| Republican | Eliot Rabin | 30,446 | 12.1 | |
| Green | Scott Hutchins | 3,728 | 1.5 | |
| Total votes | 251,604 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratichold | ||||
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.svg) County results Espaillat: >90% | ||||||||||||||||||||
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The 13th district is located entirely inNew York City and includesUpper Manhattan and a small portion of the westernBronx. The incumbent was DemocratAdriano Espaillat, who had represented the district since 2017. He was elected to replace retiring representativeCharles Rangel with 89% of the vote in 2016.
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[26] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[27] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[28] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[29] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[30] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[31] | Safe D | November 7, 2018 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Adriano Espaillat | 171,341 | 90.0 | |
| Working Families | Adriano Espaillat | 8,694 | 4.6 | |
| Total | Adriano Espaillat (incumbent) | 180,035 | 94.6 | |
| Republican | Jineea Butler | 9,535 | 5.0 | |
| Reform | Jineea Butler | 733 | 0.4 | |
| Total | Jineea Butler | 10,268 | 5.4 | |
| Total votes | 190,303 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratichold | ||||
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.svg) County results Ocasio-Cortez: 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
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The 14th district is located inNew York City and includes the easternBronx and part of north-centralQueens. The incumbent was DemocratJoseph Crowley, a leader of the New Democrat Coalition, who had represented the district since 2013. Crowley previously represented the 7th district from 1999 to 2013. He was re-elected to a tenth term with 83% of the vote in 2016. Crowley, who had been named as a potential successor to Nancy Pelosi as House Leader or Speaker, sought re-election in 2018.[83]
Backed by the organizationBrand New Congress, bartender and activistAlexandria Ocasio-Cortez challenged Crowley in the primary, announcing her campaign in June 2017.[84] Ocasio-Cortez, who had been an organizer inBernie Sanders'2016 presidential campaign,[85] was the first primary challenger Crowley had faced since2004.[84] On May 10, 2018, it was announced that she had gathered enough signatures to appear on the primary ballot.[86] Despite this, most observers concluded that Crowley would win the primary, citing his strong support from elected officials and his large fundraising advantage.[85]
In her campaign, Ocasio-Cortez claimed that Crowley was not progressive enough for the district,[87] and also accused him ofcorruption, stating that he was using his position as chair of the Queens Democratic Party improperly.[84] She aggressively built a presence onsocial media platforms, creating a biographical video promoting her campaign that wentviral.[88][89] Crowley significantly outspent Ocasio-Cortez prior to the primary election.[88]
| 2018 New York's 14th congressional district Democratic primary debates | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No. | Date & Time | Host | Moderator | Link | Participants | ||||||||||
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Non-invitee W Withdrawn | |||||||||||||||
| Joe Crowley | Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | ||||||||||||||
| 1[90] | June 15, 2018 | NY1 | Errol Louis | P | P | ||||||||||
| 2[91] | June 18, 2018 | The Parkchester Times | Robert Press[92] | P[a] | P | ||||||||||
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Ocasio-Cortez defeated Crowley in the Democratic primary election, which was considered an upset victory.[88]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | 16,898 | 56.7 | |
| Democratic | Joseph Crowley (incumbent) | 12,880 | 43.3 | |
| Total votes | 29,778 | 100.0 | ||
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[26] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[27] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[28] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[29] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[30] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[31] | Safe D | November 7, 2018 |
Following his defeat in the Democratic primary, Crowley remained on the ballot on theWorking Families Party line, but did not actively campaign.[100] Following Ocasio-Cortez's primary win,Joann Ariola, chairwoman of the Queens Republican Party, claimed that the Republican Party had a chance of winning the seat due to Ocasio-Cortez being ademocratic socialist.[101] Michael Rendino, chairman of the Bronx Republican Party, was more skeptical, declaring that "even if Crowley and Ocasio-Cortez split the vote, we'd still lose two-to-one".[101]
Professor Anthony Pappas was the Republican nominee, but was disavowed by the Queens and Bronx Republican Parties after he was accused of committingdomestic violence.[101] Several Republicans approached both the Queens and Bronx Republican parties with the intent of replacing Pappas on the ballot, but Pappas refused to withdraw from the race.[101] Pappas's campaign was based around the abolition ofjudicial immunity, which he argued had led to judges becoming unaccountable for their actions.[101] Pappas's campaign manager attempted to convince him to run an aggressive campaign against Ocasio-Cortez, but he refused.[101]
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| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | 110,318 | 78.2 | |
| Republican | Anthony Pappas | 19,202 | 13.6 | |
| Working Families | Joseph Crowley | 8,075 | 5.7 | |
| Women's Equality | Joseph Crowley | 1,273 | 0.9 | |
| Total | Joseph Crowley (incumbent) | 9,348 | 6.6 | |
| Conservative | Elizabeth Perri | 2,254 | 1.6 | |
| Total votes | 141,122 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratichold | ||||
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.svg) County results Serrano: >90% | ||||||||||||||||||||
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The 15th district is located entirely withinThe Bronx inNew York City and is one of the smallest districts by area in the entire country. The incumbent was DemocratJosé E. Serrano, who had represented the district since 2013, and previously represented the 16th district from 1993 to 2013 and the 18th district from 1990 to 1993. He was re-elected to a fourteenth full term with 95% of the vote in 2016.
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[26] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[27] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[28] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[29] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[30] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[31] | Safe D | November 7, 2018 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | José Serrano | 122,007 | 94.1 | |
| Working Families | José Serrano | 2,462 | 1.9 | |
| Total | José E. Serrano (incumbent) | 124,469 | 96.0 | |
| Republican | Jason Gonzalez | 4,566 | 3.5 | |
| Conservative | Jason Gonzalez | 639 | 0.5 | |
| Total | Jason Gonzalez | 5,205 | 4.0 | |
| Total votes | 129,674 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratichold | ||||
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The 16th district is located in the northern part ofThe Bronx and the southern half ofWestchester County, including the cities ofMount Vernon,Yonkers,New Rochelle, andRye. The incumbent was DemocratEliot Engel, who had represented the district since 2013 and previously represented the 17th district from 1993 to 2013 and the 19th district from 1989 to 1993. He was re-elected to a fifteenth term with 95% of the vote in 2016.
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Eliot Engel (incumbent) | 22,160 | 73.7 | |
| Democratic | Jonathan Lewis | 4,866 | 16.2 | |
| Democratic | Joyce Briscoe | 1,772 | 5.9 | |
| Democratic | Derickson Lawrence | 1,280 | 4.2 | |
| Total votes | 30,078 | 100.0 | ||
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[26] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[27] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[28] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[29] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[30] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[31] | Safe D | November 7, 2018 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Eliot Engel | 172,815 | 94.9 | |
| Working Families | Eliot Engel | 6,755 | 3.7 | |
| Women's Equality | Eliot Engel | 2,474 | 1.4 | |
| Total | Eliot Engel (incumbent) | 182,044 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 182,044 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratichold | ||||
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.svg) County results Lowey: 80–90% >90% | ||||||||||||||||||||
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The 17th district contains all ofRockland County and the northern and central portions ofWestchester County, including the cities ofPeekskill andWhite Plains. The incumbent was DemocratNita Lowey, who had represented the district since 2013 and previously represented the 18th district from 1993 to 2013 and the 20th district from 1989 to 1993. She was re-elected to a fifteenth term unopposed in 2016.
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[26] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[27] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[28] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[29] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[30] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[31] | Safe D | November 7, 2018 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Nita Lowey | 159,923 | 82.7 | |
| Working Families | Nita Lowey | 7,336 | 3.8 | |
| Women's Equality | Nita Lowey | 2,909 | 1.5 | |
| Total | Nita Lowey (incumbent) | 170,168 | 88.0 | |
| Reform | Joseph Ciardullo | 23,150 | 12.0 | |
| Total votes | 193,318 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratichold | ||||
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 Results by county Maloney: 50–60% 60–70% O'Donnell: 50–60% | ||||||||||||||||||||
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The 18th district is located entirely within theHudson Valley, covering all ofOrange County andPutnam County, as well as parts of southernDutchess County and northeasternWestchester County. The incumbent was DemocratSean Patrick Maloney, who had represented the district since 2013. He was re-elected to a third term with 56% of the vote in 2016.
New York's 18th district was included on the initial list of Democratic held seats that were being targeted by theNational Republican Congressional Committee in 2018.[58]
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[26] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[27] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[28] | Likely D | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[29] | Likely D | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[30] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[31] | Safe D | November 7, 2018 |
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Republican |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn | ||||||
| Sean Patrick Maloney | James O'Donnell | |||||
| 1 | Oct. 23, 2018 | WRNN-TV | Richard French | [121] | P | P |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Sean Patrick Maloney | 126,368 | 50.2 | |
| Independence | Sean Patrick Maloney | 7,726 | 3.1 | |
| Working Families | Sean Patrick Maloney | 3,929 | 1.6 | |
| Women's Equality | Sean Patrick Maloney | 1,541 | 0.6 | |
| Total | Sean Patrick Maloney (incumbent) | 139,564 | 55.5 | |
| Republican | James O'Donnell | 96,345 | 38.3 | |
| Conservative | James O'Donnell | 14,484 | 5.7 | |
| Reform | James O'Donnell | 1,206 | 0.5 | |
| Total | James O'Donnell | 112,035 | 44.5 | |
| Total votes | 251,599 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratichold | ||||
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 Results by county Delgado: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% Faso: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% | ||||||||||||||||||||
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The 19th district is located in New York'sHudson Valley andCatskills regions and includes all ofColumbia,Delaware,Greene,Otsego,Schoharie,Sullivan andUlster counties, and parts ofBroome,Dutchess,Montgomery andRensselaer counties. The incumbent was RepublicanJohn Faso, who had represented the district since 2017. He was elected to replace retiring representativeChris Gibson with 54% of the vote in 2016. The Democratic nominee wasAntonio Delgado. ActressDiane Neal ran under the newly created Friends of Diane Neal ballot line.[122]
New York's 19th district was included on the initial list of Republican-held seats being targeted by theDemocratic Congressional Campaign Committee in 2018.[12]
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Jeff Beals | Dave Clegg | Erin Collier | Antonio Delgado | Brian Flynn | Gareth Rhodes | Pat Ryan | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Change Research (D-Collier)[134] | June 16–17, 2018 | 319 | — | 9% | 5% | 5% | 21% | 14% | 4% | 14% | — | 27% |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Antonio Delgado | 8,576 | 22.1 | |
| Democratic | Pat Ryan | 6,941 | 17.9 | |
| Democratic | Gareth Rhodes | 6,890 | 17.7 | |
| Democratic | Brian Flynn | 5,245 | 13.5 | |
| Democratic | Jeff Beals | 4,991 | 12.9 | |
| Democratic | David Clegg | 4,257 | 11.0 | |
| Democratic | Erin Collier | 1,908 | 4.9 | |
| Total votes | 38,808 | 100.0 | ||
Declared
Disqualified[137]
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[26] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[27] | Tilt D(flip) | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[28] | Lean D(flip) | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[29] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[30] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[31] | Lean D(flip) | November 7, 2018 |
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| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | John Faso (R) | Antonio Delgado (D) | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYT Upshot/Siena College[141] | November 1–4, 2018 | 505 | ± 4.8% | 42% | 43% | 7% | 8% |
| SurveyUSA[142] | October 26–29, 2018 | 609 | ± 4.2% | 44% | 44% | 6%[143] | 6% |
| Monmouth University[144] | October 24–28, 2018 | 372 | ± 5.1% | 44% | 49% | 3%[145] | 4% |
| Siena College[146] | October 12–16, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.6% | 44% | 43% | 6%[147] | 7% |
| Monmouth University[148] | September 6–10, 2018 | 327 LV | ± 5.4% | 45% | 48% | 2%[149] | 5% |
| 401 RV | ± 4.9% | 43% | 45% | 3%[150] | 9% | ||
| Siena College[151] | August 20–26, 2018 | 501 | ± 4.8% | 45% | 40% | 1%[152] | 13% |
| IMGE Insights (R)[153] | July 9–12, 2018 | 400 | – | 49% | 44% | – | 7% |
| DCCC (D)[154] | June 27–28, 2018 | 545 | ± 4.2% | 42% | 49% | – | – |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[155] | May 4–7, 2018 | 928 | ± 3.2% | 42% | 42% | – | 16% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | John Faso (R) | Generic Democrat | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPP/Patriot Majority USA[156] | February 12–13, 2018 | 703 | ± 3.7% | 41% | 43% | – | 16% |
| PPP/Patriot Majority USA[157] | November 8–10, 2017 | 506 | ± 4.4% | 40% | 46% | – | 14% |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Antonio Delgado | 135,582 | 47.1 | |
| Working Families | Antonio Delgado | 9,237 | 3.2 | |
| Women's Equality | Antonio Delgado | 3,054 | 1.1 | |
| Total | Antonio Delgado | 147,873 | 51.4 | |
| Republican | John Faso | 112,304 | 39.0 | |
| Conservative | John Faso | 16,906 | 5.9 | |
| Independence | John Faso | 3,009 | 1.0 | |
| Reform | John Faso | 654 | 0.2 | |
| Total | John Faso (incumbent) | 132,873 | 46.1 | |
| Green | Steven Greenfield | 4,313 | 1.5 | |
| Independent | Diane Neal | 2,835 | 1.0 | |
| Total votes | 287,894 | 100.0 | ||
| Democraticgain fromRepublican | ||||
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.svg) County results Tonk: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% | ||||||||||||||||||||
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The 20th district is located in theCapital District and includes all ofAlbany andSchenectady Counties, and portions ofMontgomery,Rensselaer andSaratoga Counties. The incumbent was DemocratPaul Tonko, who had represented the district since 2013 and previously represented the 21st district from 2009 to 2013. He was re-elected to a fifth term with 68% of the vote in 2016.
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[26] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[27] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[28] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[29] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[30] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[31] | Safe D | November 7, 2018 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Paul Tonko | 161,330 | 60.7 | |
| Working Families | Paul Tonko | 10,129 | 3.8 | |
| Women's Equality | Paul Tonko | 3,712 | 1.4 | |
| Reform | Paul Tonko | 1,640 | 0.6 | |
| Total | Paul Tonko (incumbent) | 176,811 | 66.5 | |
| Republican | Joe Vitollo | 89,058 | 33.5 | |
| Total votes | 265,869 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratichold | ||||
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.svg) County results Stefanik: 50–60% 60–70% Cobb: 40–50% | ||||||||||||||||||||
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The 21st district, the state's largest and most rural congressional district, includes most of theNorth Country and the northern suburbs ofSyracuse. The district bordersVermont to the east. The incumbent was RepublicanElise Stefanik, who had represented the district since 2015. She was re-elected to a second term with 65.3% of the vote in 2016.
Farmer and real estate broker Russ Finley planned on making a primary challenge of Stefanik,[158] but later withdrew from the race, leaving Stefanik unopposed in the primary.
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Democratic | Democratic | Democratic | Democratic | Democratic |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn | ||||||||||
| Don Boyajian | Tedra Cobb | Emily Martz | Patrick Nelson | Dylan Ratigan | Katie Wilson | |||||
| 1 | Jun. 14, 2016 | WCFE-TV | [168] | N | P | P | P | P | P | |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Tedra Cobb | 10,853 | 55.3 | |
| Democratic | Katie Wilson | 2,356 | 12.0 | |
| Democratic | Dylan Ratigan | 2,313 | 11.8 | |
| Democratic | Emily Martz | 2,165 | 11.0 | |
| Democratic | Patrick Nelson | 1,802 | 9.2 | |
| Democratic | Don Boyajian | 129 | 0.7 | |
| Total votes | 19,618 | 100.0 | ||
Past Green Party nominee Matt Funiciello announced that he would not run in 2018.[169] Lynn Kahn was the Green Party candidate in 2018.[170]
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[26] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[27] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[28] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[29] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[30] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[31] | Likely R | November 7, 2018 |
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Democratic | Green |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn | |||||||
| Elise Stefanik | Tedra Cobb | Lynn Kahn | |||||
| 1 | Oct. 23, 2018 | WCFE-TV | Thom Hallock | [171] | P | P | P |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Elise Stefanik | 116,433 | 49.5 | |
| Conservative | Elise Stefanik | 11,398 | 4.9 | |
| Independence | Elise Stefanik | 3,369 | 1.4 | |
| Reform | Elise Stefanik | 781 | 0.3 | |
| Total | Elise Stefanik (incumbent) | 131,981 | 56.1 | |
| Democratic | Tedra Cobb | 93,394 | 39.7 | |
| Working Families | Tedra Cobb | 4,425 | 1.8 | |
| Women's Equality | Tedra Cobb | 1,972 | 0.9 | |
| Total | Tedra Cobb | 99,791 | 42.4 | |
| Green | Lynn Kahn | 3,437 | 1.5 | |
| Total votes | 235,267 | 100.0 | ||
| Republicanhold | ||||
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.svg) County results Brindisi: 50–60% Tenney: 50–60% 60–70% | ||||||||||||||||||||
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The 22nd district is located inCentral New York and includes all ofChenango,Cortland,Madison andOneida counties, and parts ofBroome,Herkimer,Oswego andTioga counties. The incumbent was RepublicanClaudia Tenney, who had represented the district since 2017. She was elected to replace retiring representativeRichard Hanna with 47% of the vote in 2016.
New York's 22nd district was included on the initial list of Republican-held seats being targeted by theDemocratic Congressional Campaign Committee in 2018.[12]
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[26] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[27] | Tilt D(flip) | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[28] | Lean D(flip) | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[29] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[30] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[31] | Tossup | November 7, 2018 |
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| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Democratic |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn | ||||||
| Claudia Tenney | Anthony Brindisi | |||||
| 1 | Nov. 1, 2018 | Leagues of Women Voters of Broome &Tioga Counties WSKG-TV | Charles Compton | [187] | P | P |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Claudia Tenney (R) | Anthony Brindisi (D) | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYT Upshot/Siena College[188] | November 1–4, 2018 | 506 | ± 4.7% | 46% | 45% | – | 9% |
| Siena College[189] | October 15–18, 2018 | 501 | ± 4.7% | 45% | 46% | – | 9% |
| The Polling Company (R-Citizens United)[190] | October 12–13, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 50% | 42% | 1% | 7% |
| Siena College[191] | August 20–26, 2018 | 499 | ± 4.8% | 44% | 46% | 1%[152] | 9% |
| Zogby Analytics[192] | April 23–27, 2018 | 358 | ± 5.2% | 40% | 47% | – | 13% |
| GQR Research (D)[193] | March 8–12, 2018 | 500 | – | 44% | 50% | – | – |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[194] | November 9–10, 2017 | 599 | ± 4.0% | 41% | 47% | – | 12% |
| DCCC (D)[195] | October 10, 2017 | 561 | ± 4.1% | 43% | 45% | – | 12% |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Anthony Brindisi | 116,001 | 46.2 | |
| Independence | Anthony Brindisi | 5,673 | 2.3 | |
| Working Families | Anthony Brindisi | 4,651 | 1.9 | |
| Women's Equality | Anthony Brindisi | 1,390 | 0.5 | |
| Total | Anthony Brindisi | 127,715 | 50.9 | |
| Republican | Claudia Tenney | 110,125 | 43.9 | |
| Conservative | Claudia Tenney | 12,061 | 4.8 | |
| Reform | Claudia Tenney | 1,056 | 0.4 | |
| Total | Claudia Tenney (incumbent) | 123,242 | 49.1 | |
| Total votes | 250,957 | 100.0 | ||
| Democraticgain fromRepublican | ||||
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 Results by county Reed: 50–60% 60–70% Mitrano: 70–80% | ||||||||||||||||||||
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The 23rd district includes all ofAllegany,Cattaraugus,Chautauqua,Chemung,Schuyler,Seneca,Steuben,Tompkins andYates counties, along with parts ofOntario andTioga counties. The incumbent was RepublicanTom Reed, who had represented the district since 2013 and previously represented the 29th district from 2009 to 2013. He was re-elected to a fifth term with 58% of the vote in 2016.
Although Della Pia finished slightly ahead of the other candidates on primary election night, he conceded to Mitrano after absentee ballots were counted.[203]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Tracy Mitrano | 7,724 | 32.9 | |
| Democratic | Max Della Pia | 7,494 | 31.9 | |
| Democratic | Linda Andrei | 3,603 | 15.3 | |
| Democratic | Ian Golden | 3,142 | 13.4 | |
| Democratic | Eddie Sundquist | 1,538 | 6.5 | |
| Total votes | 23,501 | 100.0 | ||
Tracy Mitrano ran unopposed for theWomen's Equality Party nomination.
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Women's Equality | Tracy Mitrano | 4 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 4 | 100.0 | ||
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[26] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[27] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[28] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[29] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[30] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[31] | Likely R | November 7, 2018 |
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| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Tom Reed (R) | Tracy Mitrano (D) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Change Research (D-Mitrano)[209] | October 23–24, 2018 | 510 | – | 49% | 47% | – |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Tom Reed | 114,722 | 47.7 | |
| Conservative | Tom Reed | 12,274 | 5.1 | |
| Independence | Tom Reed | 3,327 | 1.4 | |
| Total | Tom Reed (incumbent) | 130,323 | 54.2 | |
| Democratic | Tracy Mitrano | 100,914 | 42.0 | |
| Working Families | Tracy Mitrano | 6,464 | 2.7 | |
| Women's Equality | Tracy Mitrano | 2,554 | 1.1 | |
| Total | Tracy Mitrano | 109,932 | 45.8 | |
| Total votes | 240,255 | 100.0 | ||
| Republicanhold | ||||
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.svg) County results Katko: 60–70% Balter: 50–60% | ||||||||||||||||||||
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The 24th district includes all ofCayuga,Onondaga andWayne counties, and the western part ofOswego County. The incumbent was RepublicanJohn Katko, who had represented the district since 2015. He was re-elected to a second term with 61% of the vote in 2016.
New York's 24th district was included on the initial list of Republican-held seats being targeted by theDemocratic Congressional Campaign Committee in 2018.[12]
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Dana Balter (D) | Juanita Perez Williams (D) | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Siena College[216] | June 10–12, 2018 | 513 | ± 4.5% | 32% | 45% | – | 23% |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Dana Balter | 14,897 | 62.4 | |
| Democratic | Juanita Perez Williams | 8,958 | 37.6 | |
| Total votes | 23,855 | 100.0 | ||
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[26] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[27] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[28] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[29] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[30] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[31] | Likely R | November 7, 2018 |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | John Katko (R) | Dana Balter (D) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Siena College[217] | October 18–22, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.6% | 53% | 39% | 8% |
| Siena College[218] | August 20–23, 2018 | 513 | ± 4.7% | 54% | 39% | 7% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[219] | July 26–27, 2018 | 785 | – | 43% | 47% | 10% |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | John Katko | 113,538 | 43.6 | |
| Conservative | John Katko | 16,972 | 6.5 | |
| Independence | John Katko | 5,454 | 2.1 | |
| Reform | John Katko | 956 | 0.4 | |
| Total | John Katko (incumbent) | 136,920 | 52.6 | |
| Democratic | Dana Balter | 115,902 | 44.6 | |
| Working Families | Dana Balter | 4,784 | 1.8 | |
| Women's Equality | Dana Balter | 2,540 | 1.0 | |
| Total | Dana Balter | 123,226 | 47.4 | |
| Total votes | 260,146 | 100.0 | ||
| Republicanhold | ||||
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.svg) County results Morelle: 50–60% | ||||||||||||||||||||
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The 25th district is located entirely withinMonroe County, centered on the city ofRochester. The seat was vacant due to the March 2018 death of incumbent Democratic representativeLouise Slaughter, who represented the district from 2013 to 2018 and previously represented the 28th district from 1993 to 2013 and the 30th district from 1987 to 1993.
Followingprecedent set in 2010, two concurrent elections were held in November 2018. One election was held to fill the seat for the 2018 lame-duck session, and another was held to fill the seat for the 2019–2020 term.[220]
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Democratic | Democratic | Democratic |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn | ||||||||
| Rachel Barnhart | Adam McFadden | Joseph Morelle | Robin Wilt | |||||
| 1 | Oct. 21, 2018 | WXXI-TV | Evan Dawson | [232] | P | P | P | P |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Joseph Morelle | 16,245 | 45.7 | |
| Democratic | Rachel Barnhart | 7,003 | 19.7 | |
| Democratic | Robin Wilt | 6,158 | 17.3 | |
| Democratic | Adam McFadden | 6,103 | 17.2 | |
| Total votes | 35,509 | 100.0 | ||
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[26] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[27] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[28] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[29] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[30] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[31] | Safe D | November 7, 2018 |
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Republican |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn | ||||||
| Joseph Morelle | Jim Maxwell | |||||
| 1 | Oct. 25, 2018 | WXXI-TV | Evan Dawson | [234] | P | P |
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| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Joseph Morelle (D) | Jim Maxwell (R) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dixie Strategies[242] | October 29–30, 2018 | 843 | ± 3.37% | 49% | 39% | 12% |
| Siena College[243] | October 4–8, 2018 | 465 | ± 4.7% | 53% | 36% | 11% |
| Siena College[244] | August 15–19, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 55% | 31% | 13% |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Joseph Morelle | 147,979 | 54.8 | |
| Independence | Joseph Morelle | 4,585 | 1.7 | |
| Working Families | Joseph Morelle | 4,575 | 1.7 | |
| Women's Equality | Joseph Morelle | 2,105 | 0.8 | |
| Total | Joseph Morelle | 159,244 | 59.0 | |
| Republican | Jim Maxwell | 91,342 | 33.8 | |
| Conservative | Jim Maxwell | 17,781 | 6.6 | |
| Reform | Jim Maxwell | 1,613 | 0.6 | |
| Total | Jim Maxwell | 110,736 | 41.0 | |
| Total votes | 269,980 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratichold | ||||
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.svg) County results Higgins: 60–70% 70–80% | ||||||||||||||||||||
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The 26th district is located inErie andNiagara counties and includes the cities ofBuffalo andNiagara Falls. The incumbent was DemocratBrian Higgins, who had represented the district since 2013, and previously represented the 27th district from 2005 to 2013. He was re-elected to a seventh term with 75% of the vote in 2016.
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[26] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[27] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[28] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[29] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[30] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[31] | Safe D | November 7, 2018 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Brian Higgins | 156,968 | 68.0 | |
| Working Families | Brian Higgins | 8,929 | 3.9 | |
| Women's Equality | Brian Higgins | 3,269 | 1.4 | |
| Total | Brian Higgins (incumbent) | 169,166 | 73.3 | |
| Republican | Renee Zeno | 61,488 | 26.7 | |
| Total votes | 230,654 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratichold | ||||
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.svg) County results Collins: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% McMurray: 50–60% | ||||||||||||||||||||
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The 27th district is located inWestern New York and includes all ofOrleans,Genesee,Wyoming andLivingston counties, and parts ofErie,Monroe,Niagara andOntario counties.
Incumbent RepublicanChris Collins, who had represented the district since 2013, ran for re-election. He was re-elected to a third term with 67% of the vote in 2016,
New York's 27th district was included on the initial list of Republican-held seats being targeted by theDemocratic Congressional Campaign Committee in 2018.[12]
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[26] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[27] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[28] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[29] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[30] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[31] | Likely R | November 7, 2018 |
On August 11, 2018, Collins announced that he would withdraw from his re-election campaign after being arrested forinsider trading. Removing himself from the ballot would have required Collins to be nominated as adummy candidate in another election or to move his legal place of residence out of state (he has additional homes in Florida and the District of Columbia).[253] On September 17, 2018, Collins announced that he had changed course and would campaign for re-election in November after all.[254]
Following Collins's August 11 announcement that he would withdraw from the race, as many as 20 candidates expressed interest in the Republican nomination. (Collins later changed course and opted to seek re-election.) Among them were the following:[255]
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Chris Collins (R) | Nate McMurray (D) | Larry Piegza (REF) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dixie Strategies[262] | October 29–30, 2018 | 801 | ± 3.46% | 45% | 38% | – | 17% |
| NYT Upshot/Siena College[263] | October 24–29, 2018 | 501 | ± 4.8% | 44% | 40% | 3% | 13% |
| Tulchin Research (D-McMurray)[264] | October 25–28, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 43% | 47% | 4% | 6% |
| Siena College[265] | October 6–11, 2018 | 490 | ± 4.7% | 46% | 43% | 1% | 10% |
| Tulchin Research (D-McMurray)[266] | October 6–8, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 42% | 42% | 6% | 10% |
With Jacobs
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Chris Jacobs (R) | Nate McMurray (D) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clout Research (R)[267] | August 13, 2018 | 338 | ± 5.3% | 46% | 35% | 19% |
With Mychajliw
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Nate McMurray (D) | Stefan Mychajliw (R) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clout Research (R)[267] | August 13, 2018 | 338 | ± 5.3% | 36% | 49% | 15% |
With Ortt
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Nate McMurray (D) | Rob Ortt (R) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clout Research (R)[267] | August 13, 2018 | 338 | ± 5.3% | 35% | 43% | 22% |
With Paladino
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Nate McMurray (D) | Carl Paladino (R) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clout Research (R)[267] | August 13, 2018 | 338 | ± 5.3% | 45% | 47% | 9% |
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| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Chris Collins | 114,506 | 40.2 | |
| Conservative | Chris Collins | 23,553 | 8.2 | |
| Independence | Chris Collins | 2,087 | 0.7 | |
| Total | Chris Collins (incumbent) | 140,146 | 49.1 | |
| Democratic | Nate McMurray | 128,167 | 45.0 | |
| Working Families | Nate McMurray | 8,090 | 2.8 | |
| Women's Equality | Nate McMurray | 2,802 | 1.0 | |
| Total | Nate McMurray | 139,059 | 48.8 | |
| Reform | Larry Piegza | 5,973 | 2.1 | |
| Total votes | 285,178 | 100.0 | ||
| Republicanhold | ||||
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