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2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Mississippi

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Mississippi
← 2016November 6, 2018 (2018-11-06)2020 →
All 4 Mississippi seats to theUnited States House of Representatives
 Majority partyMinority partyThird party
 
PartyRepublicanDemocraticIndependent
Last election310
Seats won310
Seat changeSteadySteadySteady
Popular vote471,162398,77048,104
Percentage50.18%42.47%5.12%
SwingDecrease 7.40%Increase 4.42%Increase 3.80%
District results
County results

Republican

  40–50%
  50–60%
  60–70%
  70–80%
  80–90%

Democratic

  40–50%
  50–60%
  60–70%
  70–80%
  80–90%

Independent

  40–50%

The2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Mississippi were held on Tuesday, November 6, to elect the fourU.S. representatives from theU.S. state ofMississippi; one from each of the state's fourcongressional districts. Primaries were held on June 5, 2018. The elections and primaries coincided with the elections and primaries of other federal and state offices.

Overview

[edit]
2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Mississippi[1]
PartyVotesPercentageSeats+/–
Republican471,16250.18%3-
Democratic398,77042.47%1-
Independents48,1045.12%0-
Reform20,8672.22%0-
Totals938,903100.00%4—

District

[edit]

Results of the 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Mississippi by district:[2]

DistrictRepublicanDemocraticOthersTotalResult
Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%
District 1158,24566.90%76,60132.39%1,6750.71%236,521100%Republican hold
District 200.00%158,92171.79%62,45828.21%221,379100%Democratic hold
District 3160,28462.30%94,46136.72%2,5260.98%257,271100%Republican hold
District 4152,63368.22%68,78730.75%2,3121.03%223,732100%Republican hold
Total471,16250.18%398,77042.47%68,9717.35%938,903100%
Popular vote
Republican
 
 50.18%
Democratic
 
42.47%
Other
 
7.34%
House seats
Republican
 
75%
Democratic
 
25%
Elections in Mississippi
U.S. President
Presidential primaries
U.S. Senate
U.S. House

District 1

[edit]
2018 Mississippi's 1st congressional district election
← 2016
2020 →
 
NomineeTrent KellyRandy Wadkins
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Popular vote158,24576,601
Percentage66.9%32.4%
County results
Kelly:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
Wadkins:     50–60%
U.S. Representative before election

Trent Kelly
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Trent Kelly
Republican

See also:Mississippi's 1st congressional district

The incumbent was RepublicanTrent Kelly, who had represented the district since 2015. Kelly was re-elected with 69% of the vote in 2016.

Democratic primary

[edit]
  • Randy Wadkins, professor[3]

Primary results

[edit]
Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticRandy Wadkins11,692100.0
Total votes11,692100.0

Republican primary

[edit]

Primary results

[edit]
Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanTrent Kelly (incumbent)30,151100.0
Total votes30,151100.0

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[4]Safe RNovember 5, 2018
Inside Elections[5]Safe RNovember 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[6]Safe RNovember 5, 2018
RCP[7]Safe RNovember 5, 2018
Daily Kos[8]Safe RNovember 5, 2018
538[9]Safe RNovember 7, 2018
CNN[10]Safe ROctober 31, 2018
Politico[11]Safe RNovember 4, 2018

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Trent
Kelly (R)		Randy
Wadkins (D)		Undecided
Triumph Campaigns[12]July 30–31, 2018525± 3.5%57%28%15%

Results

[edit]
2018 Mississippi's 1st congressional district election[13]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanTrent Kelly (incumbent)158,24566.9
DemocraticRandy Wadkins76,60132.4
ReformTracella Lou O'Hara Hill1,6750.7
Total votes236,521100.0
Republicanhold

By county

[edit]
County[14]Trent Kelly
Republican		Randy Wadkins
Democratic		Tracella Lou O'Hara Hill
Reform		MarginTotal
#%#%#%#%
Alcorn8,23380.71%1,90818.70%600.59%6,32562.00%10,201
Benton1,61857.85%1,16041.47%190.68%45816.37%2,797
Calhoun3,33271.36%1,30327.91%340.73%2,02943.46%4,669
Chickasaw3,37256.45%2,54542.61%560.94%82713.85%5,973
Choctaw2,17171.86%82727.38%230.76%1,34444.49%3,021
Clay3,50845.50%4,14953.81%530.69%-641-8.31%7,710
DeSoto33,11865.22%17,25833.99%4010.79%15,86031.23%50,777
Itawamba6,09488.43%75610.97%410.59%5,33877.46%6,891
Lafayette9,35756.81%7,01842.61%970.59%2,33914.20%16,472
Lee18,18871.04%7,25428.33%1610.63%10,93442.71%25,603
Lowndes10,83254.59%8,85244.61%1580.80%1,9809.98%19,842
Marshall5,38847.40%5,88051.72%1000.88%-492-4.33%11,368
Monroe7,89466.66%3,86532.64%830.70%4,02934.02%11,842
Oktibbeha (part)79260.50%50938.88%80.61%28321.62%1,309
Pontotoc8,01982.64%1,62916.79%550.57%6,39065.86%9,703
Prentiss5,76579.56%1,43319.78%480.66%4,33259.78%7,246
Tate5,78166.57%2,84732.78%560.64%2,93433.79%8,684
Tippah5,57980.18%1,32219.00%570.82%4,25761.18%6,958
Tishomingo4,98281.13%1,11718.19%420.68%3,86562.94%6,141
Union6,97483.63%1,30415.64%610.73%5,67067.99%8,339
Webster3,19781.14%72418.38%190.48%2,47362.77%3,940
Winston4,05157.58%2,94141.81%430.61%1,11015.78%7,035
Totals158,24566.91%76,60132.39%1,6750.71%81,64434.52%236,521

District 2

[edit]
2018 Mississippi's 2nd congressional district election
← 2016
2020 →
 
NomineeBennie ThompsonTroy RayIrving Harris
PartyDemocraticIndependentReform
Popular vote158,92148,10414,354
Percentage71.8%21.7%6.5%
County results
Thompson:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
Ray:     40–50%
U.S. Representative before election

Bennie Thompson
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Bennie Thompson
Democratic

See also:Mississippi's 2nd congressional district

The incumbent was DemocratBennie Thompson, who had represented the district since 1993. He was re-elected with 67% of the vote in 2016.

Democratic primary

[edit]

Primary results

[edit]
Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticBennie Thompson (incumbent)31,203100.0
Total votes31,203100.0

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[4]Safe DNovember 5, 2018
Inside Elections[5]Safe DNovember 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[6]Safe DNovember 5, 2018
RCP[7]Safe DNovember 5, 2018
Daily Kos[8]Safe DNovember 5, 2018
538[9]Safe DNovember 7, 2018
CNN[10]Safe DOctober 31, 2018
Politico[11]Safe DNovember 4, 2018

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Bennie
Thompson (D)		Irving
Harris (REF)		Undecided
Triumph Campaigns[12]July 30–31, 2018525± 3.5%51%22%27%

Results

[edit]
2018 Mississippi's 2nd congressional district election[15]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticBennie Thompson (incumbent)158,92171.8
IndependentTroy Ray48,10421.7
ReformIrving Harris14,3546.5
Total votes221,379100.0
Democratichold

By county

[edit]
County[14]Bennie Thompson
Democratic		Troy Ray
Independent		Irving Harris
Reform		MarginTotal
#%#%#%#%
Attala2,91949.48%2,40640.79%5749.73%5138.70%5,899
Bolivar7,89875.42%2,11720.22%4574.36%5,78155.20%10,472
Carroll1,73843.45%1,84246.05%42010.50%-104-2.60%4,000
Claiborne2,89586.06%2758.17%1945.77%2,62077.88%3,364
Coahoma4,98780.13%93915.09%2984.79%4,04865.04%6,224
Copiah6,16460.98%2,71026.81%1,23512.22%3,45434.17%10,109
Grenada4,16658.20%2,41233.70%5808.10%1,75424.50%7,158
Hinds (part)52,70379.84%10,11015.32%3,1984.84%42,59364.52%66,011
Holmes4,82986.51%59010.57%1632.92%4,23975.94%5,582
Humphreys2,55281.02%41413.14%1845.84%2,13867.87%3,150
Issaquena34465.77%13525.81%448.41%20939.96%523
Jefferson2,71784.85%2036.34%2828.81%2,43576.05%3,202
Leake3,31354.36%2,11334.67%66810.96%1,20019.69%6,094
Leflore6,35775.64%1,59919.03%4485.33%4,75856.62%8,404
Madison (part)7,49181.59%1,28914.04%4014.37%6,20267.55%9,181
Montgomery1,96254.20%1,32736.66%3319.14%63517.54%3,620
Panola6,51461.08%3,32931.22%8217.70%3,18529.87%10,664
Quitman1,80376.24%39316.62%1697.15%1,41059.62%2,365
Sharkey1,36580.44%24614.50%865.07%1,11965.94%1,697
Sunflower5,77679.25%1,18016.19%3324.56%4,59663.06%7,288
Tallahatchie2,83968.08%1,04425.04%2876.88%1,79543.05%4,170
Tunica1,98080.68%34514.06%1295.26%1,63566.63%2,454
Warren8,28855.77%5,17134.80%1,4019.43%3,11720.98%14,860
Washington10,46177.19%2,48318.32%6094.49%7,97858.87%13,553
Yalobusha2,49557.82%1,52035.23%3006.95%97522.60%4,315
Yazoo4,36562.18%1,91227.24%74310.58%2,45334.94%7,020
Totals158,92171.79%48,10421.73%14,3546.48%110,81750.06%221,379

District 3

[edit]
2018 Mississippi's 3rd congressional district election
← 2016
2020 →
 
NomineeMichael GuestMichael Evans
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Popular vote160,28494,461
Percentage62.3%36.7%
County results
Guest:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%
Evans:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%
U.S. Representative before election

Gregg Harper
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Michael Guest
Republican

See also:Mississippi's 3rd congressional district

The incumbent was RepublicanGregg Harper, who had represented the district since 2009. He was re-elected with 66% of the vote in 2016.

In January 2018, Harper announced that he would retire fromCongress and not run for re-election in 2018.[16]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Primary results

[edit]
Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticMichael Evans17,01669.3
DemocraticMichael Aycox7,52530.7
Total votes24,541100.0

Republican primary

[edit]

Primary results

[edit]
Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanMichael Guest29,15744.8
RepublicanWhit Hughes14,46422.2
RepublicanPerry Parker10,56216.2
RepublicanSally Doty6,60810.2
RepublicanMorgan Dunn3,8205.9
RepublicanKatherine Tate4160.6
Total votes65,027100.0

Runoff results

[edit]
Republican primary runoff results
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanMichael Guest31,12165.1
RepublicanWhit Hughes16,69134.9
Total votes47,812100.0

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[4]Safe RNovember 5, 2018
Inside Elections[5]Safe RNovember 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[6]Safe RNovember 5, 2018
RCP[7]Safe RNovember 5, 2018
Daily Kos[8]Safe RNovember 5, 2018
538[9]Safe RNovember 7, 2018
CNN[10]Safe ROctober 31, 2018
Politico[11]Safe RNovember 4, 2018

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Michael
Guest (R)		Michael
Evans (D)		Undecided
Triumph Campaigns[12]July 30–31, 2018525± 3.5%56%27%17%

Results

[edit]
2018 Mississippi's 3rd congressional district election[24]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanMichael Guest160,28462.3
DemocraticMichael Evans94,46136.7
ReformMatthew Holland2,5261.0
Total votes257,271100.0
Republicanhold

By county

[edit]
County[14]Michael Guest
Republican		Michael Evans
Democratic		Matthew Holland
Reform		MarginTotal
#%#%#%#%
Adams4,53541.99%6,15657.00%1091.01%-1,621-15.01%10,800
Amite3,31861.71%2,00037.20%591.10%1,31824.51%5,377
Clarke (part)3,62568.41%1,64030.95%340.64%1,98537.46%5,299
Covington4,09859.58%2,67438.88%1061.54%1,42420.70%6,878
Franklin2,03864.05%1,09734.48%471.48%94129.57%3,182
Hinds (part)6,00951.93%5,44047.01%1231.06%5694.92%11,572
Jasper2,93145.59%3,41653.13%821.28%-485-7.54%6,429
Jefferson Davis1,92139.60%2,87259.20%581.20%-951-19.60%4,851
Kemper97927.70%2,54171.90%140.40%-1,562-44.20%3,534
Lauderdale14,04660.70%8,95238.69%1420.61%5,09422.01%23,140
Lawrence3,23363.47%1,81035.53%511.00%1,42327.93%5,094
Lincoln8,70569.73%3,66429.35%1150.92%5,04140.38%12,484
Madison (part)22,22171.30%8,69227.89%2540.81%13,52943.41%31,167
Neshoba5,08563.29%2,86035.60%891.11%2,22527.69%8,034
Newton4,99468.73%2,21230.44%600.83%2,78238.29%7,266
Noxubee88922.51%3,02676.61%350.89%-2,137-54.10%3,950
Oktibbeha (part)6,29248.51%6,54450.45%1351.04%-252-1.94%12,971
Pike6,55951.40%6,05147.42%1501.18%5083.98%12,760
Rankin39,77977.00%11,34621.96%5361.04%28,43355.04%51,661
Scott4,68359.28%3,14839.85%690.87%1,53519.43%7,900
Simpson5,86165.43%3,00933.59%870.97%2,85231.84%8,957
Smith4,52775.51%1,38323.07%851.42%3,14452.44%5,995
Walthall2,99458.45%2,06940.39%591.15%92518.06%5,122
Wilkinson96233.78%1,85965.27%270.95%-897-31.50%2,848
Totals160,28462.30%94,46136.72%2,5260.98%65,82325.59%257,271

District 4

[edit]
2018 Mississippi's 4th congressional district election
← 2016
2020 →
 
NomineeSteven PalazzoJeramey Anderson
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Popular vote152,63368,787
Percentage68.2%30.8%
County results
Palazzo:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
Anderson:     50–60%
U.S. Representative before election

Steven Palazzo
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Steven Palazzo
Republican

See also:Mississippi's 4th congressional district

The incumbent is RepublicanSteven Palazzo, who has represented the district since 2011. He was re-elected with 65% of the vote in 2016.

Democratic primary

[edit]

Primary results

[edit]
Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticJeramey Anderson14,560100.0
Total votes14,560100.0

Republican primary

[edit]

Primary results

[edit]
Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanSteven Palazzo (incumbent)30,27070.5
RepublicanE. Brian Rose12,66429.5
Total votes42,934100.0

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[4]Safe RNovember 5, 2018
Inside Elections[5]Safe RNovember 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[6]Safe RNovember 5, 2018
RCP[7]Safe RNovember 5, 2018
Daily Kos[8]Safe RNovember 5, 2018
538[9]Safe RNovember 7, 2018
CNN[10]Safe ROctober 31, 2018
Politico[11]Safe RNovember 4, 2018

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Steven
Palazzo (R)		Jeramey
Anderson (D)		Undecided
Triumph Campaigns[12]July 30–31, 2018525± 3.5%54%37%10%

Results

[edit]
2018 Mississippi's 4th congressional district election[27]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanSteven Palazzo (incumbent)152,63368.2
DemocraticJeramey Anderson68,78730.7
ReformLajena Sheets2,3121.0
Total votes223,732100.0
Republicanhold

By county

[edit]
County[14]Steven Palazzo
Republican		Jeramey Anderson
Democratic		Lajena Sheets
Reform		MarginTotal
#%#%#%#%
Clarke (part)35544.65%43054.09%101.26%-75-9.43%795
Forrest12,93256.89%9,59842.23%2000.88%3,33414.67%22,730
George6,29087.00%88112.19%590.82%5,40974.81%7,230
Greene3,04780.54%71018.77%260.69%2,33761.78%3,783
Hancock10,35574.41%3,40224.45%1591.14%6,95349.96%13,916
Harrison31,72961.63%19,05937.02%6911.34%12,67024.61%51,479
Jackson26,49066.34%12,98532.52%4551.14%13,50533.82%39,930
Jones15,65870.40%6,38528.71%1980.89%9,27341.69%22,241
Lamar15,17176.03%4,60123.06%1810.91%10,57052.97%19,953
Marion6,11468.16%2,80431.26%520.58%3,31036.90%8,970
Pearl River12,83380.50%2,96718.61%1420.89%9,86661.89%15,942
Perry3,00375.23%94723.72%421.05%2,05651.50%3,992
Stone4,06775.50%1,27223.61%480.89%2,79551.88%5,387
Wayne4,58962.15%2,74637.19%490.66%1,84324.96%7,384
Totals152,63368.22%68,78730.75%2,3121.03%83,84637.48%223,732

References

[edit]
  1. ^"Election Statistics: 1920 to Present | US House of Representatives: History, Art & Archives".
  2. ^Johnson, Cheryl L. (February 28, 2019)."Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 6, 2018".Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives. RetrievedApril 27, 2019.
  3. ^"Meet the scientists running to transform Congress in 2018".Science | AAAS. February 20, 2018. RetrievedApril 15, 2018.
  4. ^abcd"2018 House Race Ratings".Cook Political Report. RetrievedOctober 30, 2018.
  5. ^abcd"2018 House Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. RetrievedNovember 5, 2018.
  6. ^abcd"2018 House".Sabato's Crystal Ball. RetrievedNovember 5, 2018.
  7. ^abcd"Battle for the House 2018". RCP. RetrievedNovember 5, 2018.
  8. ^abcd"Daily Kos Elections 2018 race ratings".Daily Kos. RetrievedNovember 5, 2018.[permanent dead link]
  9. ^abcdSilver, Nate (August 16, 2018)."2018 House Forecast".FiveThirtyEight. Archived fromthe original on September 9, 2018. RetrievedNovember 6, 2018.
  10. ^abcd"CNN's 2018 Race Ratings". CNN. Archived fromthe original on October 31, 2018. RetrievedJuly 30, 2023.
  11. ^abcd"Who wins 2018? Predictions for Every House & Senate Election".Politico. Archived fromthe original on November 4, 2018. RetrievedSeptember 7, 2018.
  12. ^abcdTriumph Campaigns
  13. ^Hosemann, Delbert (December 3, 2018)."United States House of Representatives Congressional District 1"(PDF).Secretary of State of Mississippi.Archived(PDF) from the original on May 22, 2023. RetrievedAugust 28, 2025.
  14. ^abcdHosemann, Delbert (November 6, 2018)."Official County Recapitulation Sheets 2018 General Election".Secretary of State of Mississippi.Archived from the original on June 25, 2025. RetrievedSeptember 6, 2025.
  15. ^Hosemann, Delbert (December 3, 2018)."United States House of Representatives Congressional District 2"(PDF).Secretary of State of Mississippi.Archived(PDF) from the original on April 22, 2025. RetrievedAugust 28, 2025.
  16. ^Pender, Geoff; Berry, Deborah (January 4, 2018)."Harper won't seek re-election".The Clarion-Ledger. Jackson, Mississippi. RetrievedJanuary 4, 2018.
  17. ^"Democrat Michael Evans joins crowd of Republicans running for Congress".The Clarion Ledger. RetrievedApril 15, 2018.
  18. ^"State lawmaker, Magee businesswoman announce run for Congress".The Clarion Ledger. RetrievedApril 15, 2018.
  19. ^"Morgan Dunn seeks Congressional seat". The Magee Courier & Simpson County News. January 23, 2018. RetrievedJanuary 10, 2024.
  20. ^"District Attorney Michael Guest running for Congress to replace Gregg Harper in #MS03".The Clarion Ledger. RetrievedApril 15, 2018.
  21. ^"Whit Hughes jumps into race to replace U.S. Rep. Gregg Harper".The Clarion Ledger. RetrievedApril 15, 2018.
  22. ^"International businessman running for 3rd District congressional seat".The Clarion Ledger. RetrievedApril 15, 2018.
  23. ^"Sixth candidate qualifies for 3rd District U.S. House seat".The Clarion Ledger. RetrievedApril 15, 2018.
  24. ^Hosemann, Delbert (December 3, 2018)."United States House of Representatives Congressional District 3"(PDF).Secretary of State of Mississippi.Archived(PDF) from the original on May 22, 2023. RetrievedAugust 28, 2025.
  25. ^"Jeramey Anderson, youngest state legislator, announces bid for Congress | Mississippi Today".mississippitoday.org. November 3, 2017. RetrievedApril 15, 2018.
  26. ^Elliott, David."Congressional candidate releases documents on Rep. Palazzo's military record". RetrievedApril 15, 2018.
  27. ^Hosemann, Delbert (December 3, 2018)."United States House of Representatives Congressional District 4"(PDF).Secretary of State of Mississippi.Archived(PDF) from the original on May 11, 2025. RetrievedAugust 28, 2025.

External links

[edit]

Official campaign websites for first district candidates

Official campaign websites for second district candidates

Official campaign websites for third district candidates

Official campaign websites for fourth district candidates

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