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All 6 Kentucky seats to theUnited States House of Representatives | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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The2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky were held on November 6, 2018, to elect the sixU.S. representatives from thestate ofKentucky, one from each of the state's sixcongressional districts. The elections coincided withother elections to the House of Representatives,elections to theUnited States Senate, and variousstate andlocal elections.
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Results of the 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky by district:[1]
| District | Republican | Democratic | Others | Total | Result | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | ||
| District 1 | 172,167 | 68.59% | 78,849 | 31.41% | 0 | 0.00% | 251,016 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
| District 2 | 171,700 | 66.72% | 79,964 | 31.07% | 5,681 | 2.21% | 257,345 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
| District 3 | 101,930 | 36.57% | 173,002 | 62.07% | 3,788 | 1.36% | 278,720 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
| District 4 | 162,946 | 62.24% | 90,536 | 34.58% | 8,330 | 3.18% | 261,812 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
| District 5 | 172,093 | 78.94% | 45,890 | 21.05% | 34 | 0.02% | 218,017 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
| District 6 | 154,468 | 51.00% | 144,736 | 47.79% | 3,684 | 1.22% | 302,888 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
| Total | 935,304 | 59.58% | 612,977 | 39.05% | 21,517 | 1.37% | 1,569,798 | 100.0% | |
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County results Comer: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% | |||||||||||||||||
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Incumbent RepublicanJames Comer, who had represented the district since 2016, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 73% of the vote in 2016. The district had aPVI of R+23.
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Paul Walker | 51,094 | 74.6 | |
| Democratic | Alonzo Pennington | 17,398 | 25.4 | |
| Total votes | 68,492 | 100.0 | ||
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[4] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[5] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[7] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[8] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[9] | Safe R | November 7, 2018 |
| CNN[10] | Safe R | October 31, 2018 |
| Politico[11] | Safe R | November 4, 2018 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | James Comer (incumbent) | 172,167 | 68.6 | |
| Democratic | Paul Walker | 78,849 | 31.4 | |
| Total votes | 251,016 | 100.0 | ||
| Republicanhold | ||||
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County results Guthrie: 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% | |||||||||||||||||
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Incumbent RepublicanBrett Guthrie, who had represented the district since 2009, ran for re-election. He was re-elected unopposed in 2016. The district had aPVI of R+19.
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Hank Linderman | 14,516 | 30.0 | |
| Democratic | Brian Pedigo | 13,866 | 28.7 | |
| Democratic | Rane Eir Olivia Sessions | 10,501 | 21.7 | |
| Democratic | Grant Short | 9,470 | 19.6 | |
| Total votes | 48,353 | 100.0 | ||
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[4] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[5] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[7] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[8] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[9] | Safe R | November 7, 2018 |
| CNN[10] | Safe R | October 31, 2018 |
| Politico[11] | Safe R | November 4, 2018 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Brett Guthrie (incumbent) | 171,700 | 66.7 | |
| Democratic | Hank Linderman | 79,964 | 31.1 | |
| Independent | Thomas Loecken | 5,681 | 2.2 | |
| Total votes | 257,345 | 100.0 | ||
| Republicanhold | ||||
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County results Yarmuth: 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
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Incumbent DemocratJohn Yarmuth, who had represented the district since 2007, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 63% of the vote in 2016. The district had aPVI of D+6.
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Vickie Yates Glisson | 11,239 | 49.1 | |
| Republican | Mike Craven | 6,163 | 26.9 | |
| Republican | Rhonda Palazzo | 5,511 | 24.0 | |
| Total votes | 22,913 | 100.0 | ||
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[4] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[5] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[7] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[8] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[9] | Safe D | November 7, 2018 |
| CNN[10] | Safe D | October 31, 2018 |
| Politico[11] | Safe D | November 4, 2018 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | John Yarmuth (incumbent) | 173,002 | 62.1 | |
| Republican | Vickie Yates Glisson | 101,930 | 36.6 | |
| Libertarian | Gregory Boles | 3,788 | 1.4 | |
| Total votes | 278,720 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratichold | ||||
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County results Massie: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% | |||||||||||||||||
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Incumbent RepublicanThomas Massie, who had represented the district since 2012, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 71% of the vote in 2016. The district had aPVI of R+18.
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Seth Hall | 17,859 | 40.8 | |
| Democratic | Patti Piatt | 16,441 | 37.5 | |
| Democratic | Christina Lord | 9,509 | 21.7 | |
| Total votes | 43,809 | 100.0 | ||
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[4] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[5] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[7] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[8] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[9] | Safe R | November 7, 2018 |
| CNN[10] | Safe R | October 31, 2018 |
| Politico[11] | Safe R | November 4, 2018 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Thomas Massie (incumbent) | 162,946 | 62.2 | |
| Democratic | Seth Hall | 90,536 | 34.6 | |
| Independent | Mike Moffett | 8,318 | 2.2 | |
| Independent | David Goodwin (write-in) | 12 | 0.0 | |
| Total votes | 261,812 | 100.0 | ||
| Republicanhold | ||||
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County results Rogers: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% | |||||||||||||||||
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Incumbent RepublicanHal Rogers, who had represented the district since 1981, ran for re-election. He was re-elected unopposed in 2016. The district had aPVI of R+31.
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Hal Rogers (incumbent) | 75,405 | 84.2 | |
| Republican | Gerardo Serrano | 14,177 | 15.8 | |
| Total votes | 89,582 | 100.0 | ||
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Kenneth Stepp | 33,584 | 58.7 | |
| Democratic | Scott Sykes | 23,637 | 41.3 | |
| Total votes | 57,221 | 100.0 | ||
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[4] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[5] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[7] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[8] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[9] | Safe R | November 7, 2018 |
| CNN[10] | Safe R | October 31, 2018 |
| Politico[11] | Safe R | November 4, 2018 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Hal Rogers (incumbent) | 172,093 | 78.9 | |
| Democratic | Kenneth Stepp | 45,890 | 21.0 | |
| Independent | Bill Ray (write-in) | 34 | 0.1 | |
| Total votes | 218,017 | 100.0 | ||
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County results Barr: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% McGrath: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
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Incumbent RepublicanAndy Barr, who had represented the district since 2013, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 61% of the vote in 2016. The district had aPVI of R+9.
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Andy Barr (incumbent) | 40,514 | 83.8 | |
| Republican | Chuck Eddy | 7,858 | 16.2 | |
| Total votes | 48,372 | 100.0 | ||
TheDemocratic Congressional Campaign Committee included Kentucky's 6th congressional district on its initial list of Republican-held seats considered targets in 2018.[24][25] McGrath's campaign announcement video, entitled "Told Me", in which she spoke of her Navy service (being the first female Marine to fly aMcDonnell Douglas F/F-18 in combat), attracted much national attention.[26][27][28]
The DCCC opted to support Jim Gray in the primary.[29][30]
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| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Jim Gray | Amy McGrath | Reggie Thomas | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Garin Hart Yang (D-McGrath)[38] | April 17–19, 2018 | 400 | ±5.0% | 35% | 42% | 6% | 3% | 14% |
| Mellman Group (D-Gray)[39] | March 3–6, 2018 | 400 | ±4.9% | 52% | 19% | 6% | — | 23% |

| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Amy McGrath | 48,859 | 48.7 | |
| Democratic | Jim Gray | 40,684 | 40.5 | |
| Democratic | Reggie Thomas | 7,226 | 7.2 | |
| Democratic | Geoff Young | 1,574 | 1.6 | |
| Democratic | Daniel Kemph | 1,240 | 1.2 | |
| Democratic | Theodore Green | 835 | 0.8 | |
| Total votes | 100,418 | 100.0 | ||
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Graphical summary
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| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Andy Barr (R) | Amy McGrath (D) | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYT Upshot/Siena College[42] | November 1–4, 2018 | 438 | ± 4.9% | 44% | 44% | 2% | 10% |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R-Barr)[43] | October 6–8, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 48% | 46% | – | – |
| Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group (D-McGrath)[44] | September 30 – October 2, 2018 | 501 | ± 4.5% | 44% | 51% | – | – |
| Pulse Opinion Research[45] | September 12–17, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 47% | 47% | 2% | 3% |
| NYT Upshot/Siena College[46] | September 6–8, 2018 | 506 | ± 4.9% | 47% | 46% | – | 7% |
| Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R-CLF)[47] | September 4–6, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 49% | 45% | – | 6% |
| Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group (D-McGrath)[48] | July 7–10, 2018 | 461 | ± 4.6% | 43% | 50% | – | 7% |
| Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R-CLF)[47] | June 6–7, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 38% | 51% | – | 11% |
| DCCC (D)[49] | April 30–May 2, 2018 | 508 | ± 4.4% | 37% | 52% | – | 8% |
| Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group (D-McGrath)[50] | February 5–7, 2018 | 401 | ± 5.0% | 48% | 44% | – | – |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Andy Barr (R) | Generic Democrat | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[51] | February 12–13, 2018 | 662 | ± 3.8% | 42% | 44% | – | 14% |
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[4] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[5] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[7] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[8] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[9] | Tossup | November 7, 2018 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Andy Barr (incumbent) | 154,468 | 51.0 | |
| Democratic | Amy McGrath | 144,736 | 47.8 | |
| Libertarian | Frank Harris | 2,150 | 0.7 | |
| Independent | Rikka Wallin | 1,011 | 0.3 | |
| Independent | James Germalic | 523 | 0.2 | |
| Total votes | 302,890 | 100.0 | ||
| Republicanhold | ||||
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