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2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Idaho

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Idaho

← 2016November 6, 2018 (2018-11-06)2020 →

All 2 Idaho seats to theUnited States House of Representatives
 Majority partyMinority party
 
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Last election20
Seats won20
Seat changeSteadySteady
Popular vote367,441207,313
Percentage61.73%34.83%
SwingDecrease 3.93%Increase 4.17%

District results
County results

Republican

  50–60%
  60–70%
  70–80%
  80–90%

Democratic

  50–60%
  60–70%

The2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Idaho were held on Tuesday, November 6, 2018, to elect the twoU.S. representatives from theU.S. state ofIdaho, one from each of the state's twocongressional districts. Primaries were held on May 15, 2018. The elections and primaries coincided with the elections and primaries of other federal and state offices.

Overview

[edit]

Results of the 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Idaho by district:[1]

DistrictRepublicanDemocraticOthersTotalResult
Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%
District 1197,71962.75%96,92230.76%20,4286.48%315,069100.0%Republican hold
District 2170,27460.67%110,38139.33%00.00%280,655100.0%Republican hold
Total367,99361.77%207,30334.80%20,4283.43%595,724100.0%
Elections in Idaho
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District 1

[edit]
2018 Idaho's 1st congressional district election

← 2016
2020 →
 
NomineeRuss FulcherCristina McNeil
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Popular vote197,16796,932
Percentage62.7%30.8%

Precinct results
Fulcher:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
McNeil     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%
Tie:     40–50%
     No votes

U.S. Representatives before election

Raúl Labrador
Republican

Elected U.S. Representatives

Russ Fulcher
Republican

See also:Idaho's 1st congressional district

The incumbent was RepublicanRaúl Labrador, who had represented the district since 2011 and was reelected with 68% of the vote in 2016. He retired to unsuccessfully run inthe 2018 Republican gubernatorial primary.

Republican primary

[edit]

Primary results

[edit]
Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanRuss Fulcher42,79343.1
RepublicanDavid H. Leroy15,45115.6
RepublicanLuke Malek14,15414.3
RepublicanChristy Perry11,11011.2
RepublicanMichael Snyder10,25510.3
RepublicanAlex Gallegos3,4783.5
RepublicanNick Henderson2,0032.0
Total votes99,244100.0

Democratic primary

[edit]
  • Cristina McNeil, real estate agent, chair of the Latino caucus of theIdaho Democratic Party[9]
  • Michael Smith, former U.S. Marine
  • James Vandermaas, former U.S. Marine[10]

Primary results

[edit]
Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticCristina McNeil19,07069.3
DemocraticJames Vandermaas4,49116.3
DemocraticMichael Smith3,96314.4
Total votes27,524100.0

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[11]Safe RNovember 5, 2018
Inside Elections[12]Safe RNovember 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[13]Safe RNovember 5, 2018
RealClearPolitics[14]Safe RNovember 5, 2018
Daily Kos[15]Safe RNovember 5, 2018
538[16]Safe RNovember 7, 2018
CNN[17]Safe ROctober 31, 2018
Politico[18]Safe RNovember 4, 2018


Debate

[edit]
2018 Idaho's 1st congressional district debate
No.DateHostModeratorLinkRepublicanDemocratic
Key:
 P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited W  Withdrawn
Russ FulcherCristina McNeil
1Oct. 26, 2018KTVB[19]PP

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Russ
Fulcher (R)
Cristina
McNeil (D)
W. Scott
Howard (L)
OtherUndecided
Dan Jones & Associates[20]June 22 – July 9, 2018315± 5.5%35%27%10%8%[21]20%

Results

[edit]
Idaho's 1st congressional district, 2018
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanRuss Fulcher197,16762.7
DemocraticCristina McNeil96,93230.8
IndependentNatalie Fleming6,1882.0
LibertarianW. Scott Howard5,4351.7
IndependentPaul Farmer4,4791.4
ConstitutionMarvin "Pro-Life" Richardson3,1811.0
IndependentGordon Counsil1,0540.3
IndependentMichael J. Rath (write-in)910.0
Total votes314,527100.0
Republicanhold

District 2

[edit]
2018 Idaho's 2nd congressional district election

← 2016
2020 →
 
NomineeMike SimpsonAaron Swisher
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Popular vote170,274110,381
Percentage60.7%39.3%

Precinct results
Simpson:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Swisher     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%
     No votes

U.S. Representatives before election

Mike Simpson
Republican

Elected U.S. Representatives

Mike Simpson
Republican

See also:Idaho's 2nd congressional district

The incumbent was RepublicanMike Simpson, who had represented the district since 1999. He was reelected with 63% of the vote in 2016.

Republican primary

[edit]

Primary results

[edit]
Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanMike Simpson (incumbent)72,227100.0
Total votes72,227100.0

Democratic primary

[edit]
  • Peter Rickards[22]
  • Aaron Swisher, businessman[23]

Primary results

[edit]
Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticAaron Swisher18,67567.6
DemocraticPeter Rickards8,94332.4
Total votes27,618100.0

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[11]Safe RNovember 5, 2018
Inside Elections[12]Safe RNovember 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[13]Safe RNovember 5, 2018
RCP[14]Safe RNovember 5, 2018
Daily Kos[15]Safe RNovember 5, 2018
538[16]Safe RNovember 7, 2018
CNN[17]Safe ROctober 31, 2018
Politico[18]Safe RNovember 4, 2018

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Mike
Simpson (R)
Aaron
Swisher (D)
OtherUndecided
Dan Jones & Associates[20]June 22 – July 9, 2018285± 5.8%59%23%10%[24]9%

Results

[edit]
Idaho's 2nd congressional district, 2018
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanMike Simpson (incumbent)170,27460.7
DemocraticAaron Swisher110,38139.3
Total votes280,655100.0
Republicanhold

References

[edit]
  1. ^Johnson, Cheryl L. (February 28, 2019)."Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 6, 2018".Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives. RetrievedApril 27, 2019.
  2. ^"Russ Fulcher makes it official: He's leaving Idaho governor's race to run for Congress".idahostatesman. RetrievedApril 16, 2018.
  3. ^FOY, NICOLE."Alex Gallegos hosting candidate forum at the Hispanic Cultural Center".Idaho Press-Tribune. RetrievedApril 16, 2018.
  4. ^Key, Kyle."Idaho Congressional Candidate Nick Henderson Endorses Convention of States". RetrievedApril 16, 2018.
  5. ^"David Leroy announces candidacy for 1st District congressional seat".Spokesman.com. RetrievedApril 16, 2018.
  6. ^"Malek is in: CdA state lawmaker is running for Congress".Spokesman.com. RetrievedApril 16, 2018.
  7. ^Malloy, Chuck."Congressional race gets more crowded, and interesting".idahopoliticsweekly.com. RetrievedApril 16, 2018.
  8. ^"Idaho senator endorses end-times author for open seat in Congress".idahostatesman. RetrievedApril 16, 2018.
  9. ^"Fulcher wins GOP face-off for congressional seat; McNeil wins dem primary".
  10. ^Ferro, Judy."Encouraging signs for Democrats this primary".Idaho Press-Tribune. RetrievedApril 16, 2018.
  11. ^ab"2018 House Race Ratings".Cook Political Report. RetrievedOctober 30, 2018.
  12. ^ab"2018 House Ratings".The Rothenberg Political Report. RetrievedNovember 5, 2018.
  13. ^ab"2018 House".Sabato's Crystal Ball. RetrievedNovember 5, 2018.
  14. ^ab"Battle for the House 2018". RealClearPolitics. RetrievedNovember 5, 2018.
  15. ^ab"Daily Kos Elections 2018 race ratings".Daily Kos. RetrievedNovember 5, 2018.[permanent dead link]
  16. ^abSilver, Nate (August 16, 2018)."2018 House Forecast".FiveThirtyEight. RetrievedNovember 6, 2018.
  17. ^ab"CNN's 2018 Race Ratings". CNN. Archived fromthe original on October 31, 2018. RetrievedJuly 30, 2023.
  18. ^ab"Who wins 2018? Predictions for Every House & Senate Election".Politico. Archived fromthe original on November 4, 2018. RetrievedSeptember 7, 2018.
  19. ^YouTube
  20. ^abDan Jones & Associates
  21. ^Marvin "Pro-Life" Richardson (C) with 6%, "Someone else" with 2%
  22. ^BROWN, NATHAN."Twin Falls man wants to take on Simpson for Congress".Twin Falls Times-News. RetrievedApril 16, 2018.
  23. ^"Boise Democrat to challenge Simpson for congressional seat".The Seattle Times. December 18, 2017. RetrievedApril 16, 2018.
  24. ^"Someone else" with 10%

External links

[edit]

Official campaign websites for first district candidates

Official campaign websites for second district candidates

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