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2018 Minnesota gubernatorial election

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

See also:2018 United States gubernatorial elections

2018 Minnesota gubernatorial election

← 2014November 6, 20182022 →
Turnout2,587,287 (63.6%)[a]
 
NomineeTim WalzJeff Johnson
PartyDemocratic (DFL)Republican
Running matePeggy FlanaganDonna Bergstrom
Popular vote1,393,0961,097,705
Percentage53.84%42.43%

County results
Congressional district results
Precinct results
Walz:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Johnson:     30–40%     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Tie:     40–50%     50%     No votes

Governor before election

Mark Dayton
Democratic (DFL)

ElectedGovernor

Tim Walz
Democratic (DFL)

Elections in Minnesota
Presidential elections
Presidential primaries
Senate elections
House of Representatives
Gubernatorial elections
Lieutenant gubernatorial elections
Secretary of State elections
State Auditor elections
Attorney General elections

The2018 Minnesota gubernatorial election took place on November 6, to elect the 41stgovernor of Minnesota, as incumbentDemocratic (DFL) GovernorMark Dayton chose not to run for re-election for a third term. The Democratic nominee was U.S. RepresentativeTim Walz fromMinnesota's 1st congressional district, while theRepublican Party nominatedHennepin County commissionerJeff Johnson for a second consecutive time. TheIndependence Party of Minnesota did not field a candidate for the first time since1994. Going into the election polls showed Walz ahead; the race was characterized as lean or likely DFL.

Walz went on to defeat Johnson by the largest margin for a DFL candidate since1986, receiving more votes than any other gubernatorial candidate in Minnesota history. This was the first Minnesota gubernatorial election since1958 in which any party won more than two consecutive elections, as well as the first time since1998 where the party of the incumbent president lost.

Democratic–Farmer–Labor primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominated

[edit]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]

Withdrawn

[edit]

Declined

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Erin Murphy (DFL)
Organizations
Labor unions
State elected officials
Local officials
National organizations
Rebecca Otto (DFL)
State officials
  • Tina Liebling, state representative, former 2018 gubernatorial candidate
Individuals
Lori Swanson (DFL)
Federal politicians
  • Rick Nolan, U.S. representative and candidate for lieutenant governor on the same ticket
State elected officials
Newspapers
Unions
Tim Walz (DFL)
Federal politicians
Mayors
State elected officials
Individuals
Tribal nations
Newspapers
Labor unions
Organizations

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Erin
Murphy
Lori
Swanson
Tim
Walz
OtherUndecided
Emerson College[49]August 8–11, 2018217± 6.9%19%29%28%24%
Marist College[50]July 15–19, 2018439± 5.6%11%28%24%1%37%
GQR Research (D-Minnesota Victory PAC)[51]June 25–27, 201860217%37%29%1%[52]16%
Hypothetical polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Tom
Bakk
Chris
Coleman
Amy
Klobuchar
Erin
Murphy
Rebecca
Otto
R. T.
Rybak
Tina
Smith
Lori
Swanson
Tim
Walz
Undecided
SurveyUSA[53]November 17–19, 20161%3%25%0%1%6%1%3%5%54%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Chris
Coleman
Tina
Liebling
Erin
Murphy
Rebecca
Otto
Lori
Swanson
Paul
Thissen
Tim
Walz
Undecided
Mason-Dixon[54]January 8–10, 201829812%2%6%9%16%4%21%30%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Erin
Murphy
Rebecca
Otto
Tim
Walz
OtherUndecided
Expedition Strategies (D-Walz)[55]April 23–26, 2018600± 4.0%3%19%27%2%49%

Straw poll

[edit]
Straw poll ballot at the Minnesota DFL February 2018 precinct caucuses

On February 6, 2018, the DFL conducted a statewide straw poll among registered Democrats in Minnesota. Caucus-goers were scheduled to elect delegates to their party's Senate district and county conventions, which in turn would elect state convention delegates who would endorse candidates for governor, two U.S. Senate seats, attorney general, state auditor and secretary of state. Congressional district delegates would endorse U.S. House candidates. Since the straw poll, the three lowest performing candidates withdrew from the race (Paul Thissen, Chris Coleman, and Tina Liebling).

Congressional
unit
Total
attendance
Chris ColemanTina LieblingErin MurphyRebecca OttoPaul ThissenTim
Walz
OtherUncommitted
12,57771355107232561,5584163
23,5013842024116561201,1564523
34,2916702023868271861,3628530
46,0728542971,1111,2271391,38411897
59,5191,0194571,4001,4625372,363301,137
62,375326115294587595904375
72,1211241062744051727614273
83,8734412774741,0822637598527
Statewide34,3293,8892,0114,4576,4781,5329,933734,425
Percent-11.86%6.13%13.59%19.75%4.67%30.29%0.22%13.49%

Results

[edit]
Results by county
  Walz
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  Murphy
  •   40–50%
  Swanson
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
Results by county
Results by congressional district
  Walz
  •   40–50%
  •   70–80%
  Murphy
  •   40–50%
  Swanson
  •   40–50%
Results by congressional district
Minnesota Democratic–Farmer–Labor Party primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic (DFL)Tim Walz242,83241.60%
Democratic (DFL)Erin Murphy186,96932.03%
Democratic (DFL)Lori Swanson143,51724.59%
Democratic (DFL)Tim Holden6,3981.10%
Democratic (DFL)Olé Savior4,0190.69%
Total votes583,735100.00%

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominated

[edit]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]

Withdrew

[edit]

Declined

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Tim Pawlenty
State officials
Organizations
Newspapers and publications

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Jeff
Johnson
Matt
Kruse
Tim
Pawlenty
OtherUndecided
Emerson College[49]August 8–11, 2018156± 8.0%34%43%23%
Marist College[50]July 15–19, 2018340± 6.4%32%51%1%16%
BK Strategies (R)[96]June 24–25, 2018439± 4.7%20%3%54%23%
Hypothetical polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Kurt
Daudt
Keith
Downey
Tom
Emmer
Mike
McFadden
Erik
Paulsen
Tim
Pawlenty
Rich
Stanek
Undecided
SurveyUSA[53]November 17–19, 20162%1%4%2%8%19%1%64%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Kurt
Daudt
Matt
Dean
Keith
Downey
Jeff
Johnson
Julie
Rosen
Mary G.
Stephens
Undecided
Mason-Dixon[54]January 8–10, 201821812%2%1%24%4%1%54%

Results

[edit]
Results by county
  Johnson
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  Pawlenty
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
Results by county
Results by congressional district
  Johnson
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  Pawlenty
  •   40–50%
Results by congressional district
Republican Party of Minnesota primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanJeff Johnson168,84152.61%
RepublicanTim Pawlenty140,74343.86%
RepublicanMathew Kruse11,3303.53%
Total votes320,914100.00%

Third parties and independents

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Declared

[edit]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[99]Likely DOctober 26, 2018
The Washington Post[100]Lean DNovember 5, 2018
FiveThirtyEight[101]Likely DNovember 5, 2018
Rothenberg Political Report[102]Likely DNovember 1, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[103]Lean DNovember 5, 2018
RealClearPolitics[104]Lean DNovember 4, 2018
Daily Kos[105]Likely DNovember 5, 2018
Fox News[106][b]Lean DNovember 5, 2018
Politico[107]Likely DNovember 5, 2018
Governing[108]Lean DNovember 5, 2018
Notes
  1. ^Based on an estimated number of 4,064,389 eligible voters[1]
  2. ^The Fox News Midterm Power Rankings uniquely does not contain a category for Safe/Solid races

Debates

[edit]

The debate season began only three days after the primaries, withJohnson andWalz participating in two debates on Friday, August 17. A third debate was held on Friday, August 31.[109][110]

Host
network/sponsors
DateLink(s)Participants
Tim
Walz (DFL)
Jeff
Johnson (R)
MPR NewsAugust 31, 2018[110]InvitedInvited
KSTP-TVAugust 17, 2018[111]InvitedInvited
Twin Cities PBS (Almanac)August 17, 2018[112]InvitedInvited

Endorsements

[edit]
Jeff Johnson (R)
Federal officials
Statewide and local officials
Individuals
Organizations
Tim Walz (DFL)
Federal officials
Newspapers
Mayors
  • Rita Albrecht, mayor of Bemidji
  • Robert Beussman, mayor of New Ulm
  • Bob Byrnes, mayor of Marshall
  • Rick Cannata, mayor of Hibbing
  • Melvin Carter, mayor of St. Paul
  • Molly Cummings, mayor of Hopkins
  • Jacob Frey, mayor of Minneapolis[37]
  • Mary Gaasch, mayor of Lauderdale
  • Eric Garcetti, mayor of Los Angeles[129]
  • Emily Larson, mayor of Duluth
  • Kirsten Hagen-Kennedy, mayor of North Branch
  • Mike Kuhle, mayor of Worthington
  • Mike Maguire, mayor of Eagan
  • Rick Miller, mayor of Waite Park
  • Harold Peterson, mayor of Blooming Prairie
  • Sarah Schroeder, mayor of Spring Grove
  • Nancy Tyra-Lukens, mayor of Eden Prairie
  • Ardell Brede, mayor of Rochester
  • Ben Schierer, mayor of Fergus Falls
  • Jim Hovland, mayor of Edina
  • Shep Harris, mayor of Golden Valley
  • Gary Skalko, mayor of Mountain Iron
  • Roy Srp, mayor of Waseca
  • Myron Bailey, mayor of Cottage Grove
  • Pat Baustian, mayor of Luverne
  • Bob Broeder, mayor of Le Seur
  • Ted Kozlowski, mayor of Stillwater
  • Jack L'Heureux, mayor of Mora
  • Charles Novak, mayor of Ely
  • Mark Peterson, mayor of Winona
  • Dennis Phelps, mayor of Westbrook
  • Mike Poellinger, mayor of La Crescent
  • R. T. Rybak, formermayor ofMinneapolis[36]
  • Gary Skalko, mayor of Mountain Iron
  • Nora Slawik, mayor of Maplewood
  • Dave Smiglewski, mayor of Granite Falls
  • Tom Stiehm, mayor of Austin
  • El Tinklenberg, former mayor of Blaine
  • John Tuorilla, mayor of Columet
State and local officials
Local officials
  • Betsy Tate Anderson, former Hopkins School Board
  • David Boone, Robbinsdale School Board
  • Jen Bouchard, Hopkins School Board
  • Crystal Brakke, Richfield School Board
  • Katy Campbell, Hopkins Council
  • Anne Casey, St. Louis Park School Board
  • Joanie Clausen, Golden Valley Council
  • Mari Daily, Moorhead Council
  • Jim Grabowska, St. Clair School Board
  • Dan Hartman, former Duluth Council
  • Michael Herring, Robbinsdale School Board
  • Linda Higgins, Hennepin County commissioner
  • Noah Hobbs, Duluth City Council
  • Valerie Holthus, Andover City Council
  • Andrew Johnson, Minneapolis City Council
  • Chris LaTondresse, Hopkins School Board
  • Pam Lindberg, Robbinsdale School Board
  • Nevada Littlewolf, Virginia City Council
  • Nancy Livingston, North St. Paul School Board
  • Randy Maluchnik, Carver County commissioner
  • Ken Morrison, St. Louis Park School Board
  • Reed Olson, Beltrami County commissioner
  • Linea Palmisano, Minneapolis City Council
  • Todd Rengo, Esko School Board
  • Gillian Rosenquist, Golden Valley Council
  • Kevin Staunton, Edina City Council
  • Vance Stuehrenberg, Blue Earth County commissioner
  • Christian Torkelson, Little Canada Council
  • Mary Tomback, St. Louis Park School Board
  • Renee Van Nett, Duluth City Council
  • Karen Waters, St. Louis Park School Board
  • Gordy Wagner, Pope County commissioner
  • Abdi Warsame, Minneapolis City Council
Individuals
Tribal nations
Unions
National organizations

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Tim
Walz (DFL)
Jeff
Johnson (R)
Josh
Welter (L)
OtherUndecided
Change Research[132]November 2–4, 201895353%41%2%2%[133]
Research Co.[134]November 1–3, 2018450± 4.6%48%42%1%9%
SurveyUSA[135]October 29–31, 2018600± 5.3%49%41%2%9%
St. Cloud State University[136]October 15–30, 201840450%34%
Mason-Dixon[137]October 15–17, 2018800± 3.5%45%39%3%2%[133]12%
Change Research[138]October 12–13, 20181,41347%44%3%4%[139]2%
Marist College[140]September 30 – October 4, 2018637 LV± 4.9%51%36%6%<1%6%
55%38%<1%7%
860 RV± 4.2%49%37%7%<1%7%
53%39%1%8%
Mason-Dixon[141]September 10–12, 2018800± 3.5%45%36%1%2%[133]16%
SurveyUSA[142]September 6–8, 2018574± 4.9%47%40%3%10%
Suffolk University[143]August 17–20, 2018500± 4.4%46%41%1%1%[144]12%
Emerson College[49]August 8–11, 2018500± 4.6%40%33%27%
Hypothetical polling

with Erin Murphy and Tim Pawlenty

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Erin
Murphy (D)
Tim
Pawlenty (R)
OtherUndecided
Marist College[50]July 15–19, 2018876± 4.0%48%40%2%9%

with Lori Swanson and Tim Pawlenty

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Lori
Swanson (D)
Tim
Pawlenty (R)
OtherUndecided
Emerson College[49]August 8–11, 2018500± 4.6%44%36%21%
Marist College[50]July 15–19, 2018876± 4.0%51%40%2%7%
BK Strategies[145]June 24–25, 20181,574± 2.5%46%41%13%

with Tim Walz and Tim Pawlenty

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Tim
Walz (D)
Tim
Pawlenty (R)
OtherUndecided
Emerson College[49]August 8–11, 2018500± 4.6%44%33%23%
Marist College[50]July 15–19, 2018876± 4.0%51%40%1%8%
BK Strategies[145]June 24–25, 20181,574± 2.5%48%41%11%

with Lori Swanson and Jeff Johnson

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Lori
Swanson (D)
Jeff
Johnson (R)
Undecided
Emerson College[49]August 8–11, 2018500± 4.6%37%32%31%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Generic
Democrat
Generic
Republican
Undecided
BK Strategies[145]June 24–25, 20181,574± 2.5%48%42%10%
Public Policy Polling (D-A Better Minnesota)[146]June 15–16, 201871746%39%16%

Results

[edit]
Swing by county
Legend
  •   Democratic — +>15%
  •   Democratic — +12.5-15%
  •   Democratic — +10-12.5%
  •   Democratic — +7.5-10%
  •   Democratic — +5-7.5%
  •   Democratic — +2.5-5%
  •   Democratic — +0-2.5%
  •   Republican — +0-2.5%
  •   Republican — +2.5-5%
  •   Republican — +5-7.5%
  •   Republican — +7.5-10%
  •   Republican — +10-12.5%
  •   Republican — +12.5-15%
  •   Republican — +>15%
Trend by county
Legend
  •   Democratic — +>15%
  •   Democratic — +12.5-15%
  •   Democratic — +10-12.5%
  •   Democratic — +7.5-10%
  •   Democratic — +5-7.5%
  •   Democratic — +2.5-5%
  •   Democratic — +0-2.5%
  •   Republican — +0-2.5%
  •   Republican — +2.5-5%
  •   Republican — +5-7.5%
  •   Republican — +7.5-10%
  •   Republican — +10-12.5%
  •   Republican — +12.5-15%
  •   Republican — +>15%
2018 Minnesota gubernatorial election[147]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Democratic (DFL)Tim Walz1,393,09653.84%+3.77%
RepublicanJeff Johnson1,097,70542.43%−2.08%
Grassroots—LCChris Wright68,6672.65%+1.07%
LibertarianJosh Welter26,7351.03%+0.11%
Write-in1,0840.04%0.00%
Total votes2,587,287100.00%N/A
Democratic (DFL)hold

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

[edit]

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

[edit]

By congressional district

[edit]

Walz won five of eight congressional districts, with the remaining three going to Johnson. Each candidate won a district that elected a representative of the other party.[148]

DistrictWalzJohnsonRepresentative
1st50%47%Jim Hagedorn
2nd51%45%Angie Craig
3rd54%42%Dean Phillips
4th66%31%Betty McCollum
5th78%18%Ilhan Omar
6th41%55%Tom Emmer
7th40%57%Collin Peterson
8th47%49%Pete Stauber

Voter demographics

[edit]
Edison Research exit poll
Demographic subgroupWalzJohnsonNo
answer
% of
voters
Gender
Men4849346
Women5937454
Age
18–24 years old712546
25–29 years old633435
30–39 years old6038212
40–49 years old5146313
50–64 years old5445129
65 and older5246235
Race
White5346189
Black841425
LatinoN/AN/AN/A3
AsianN/AN/AN/A2
OtherN/AN/AN/A2
Race by gender
White men4653141
White women5939248
Black menN/AN/AN/A3
Black womenN/AN/AN/A2
Latino menN/AN/AN/A1
Latino womenN/AN/AN/A1
OthersN/AN/AN/A3
Education
High school or less5245317
Somecollege education4849324
Associate degree4849317
Bachelor's degree5640426
Advanced degree7028216
Education and race
White college graduates6135438
White no college degree4651351
Non-white college graduates702644
Non-white no college degree742337
Whites by education and gender
White women with college degrees6829321
White women without college degrees5145428
White men with college degrees5443317
White men without college degrees4058223
Non-whites7324311
Income
Under $30,0006334314
$30,000–49,9995443321
$50,000–99,9994851136
$100,000–199,9995542323
Over $200,000N/AN/AN/A7
Party ID
Democrats955N/A39
Republicans1090N/A32
Independents5142728
Party by gender
Democratic men945114
Democratic women954125
Republican men892N/A16
Republican women1288N/A17
Independent men4748516
Independent women5834813
Ideology
Liberals942427
Moderates6532339
Conservatives1087333
Marital status
Married4749468
Unmarried6333432
Gender by marital status
Married men4354331
Married women5145436
Unmarried men5243515
Unmarried women7224418
First-time midterm election voter
Yes5244412
No5542388
Most important issue facing the country
Health care7424250
Immigration2079122
Economy3067318
Gun policyN/AN/AN/A8
Area type
Urban6730340
Suburban5046432
Rural4156328
Source:CNN[149]

See also

[edit]

Notes

[edit]

References

[edit]
  1. ^"Minnesota Secretary of State - Historical Voter Turnout Statistics".
  2. ^Carlson, Heather J. (March 27, 2017)."Democrat Walz to run for governor".Post-Bulletin. Archived fromthe original on March 27, 2017. RetrievedMarch 27, 2017.
  3. ^Coolican, J. Patrick (October 5, 2017)."DFL candidate for governor Tim Walz picks Peggy Flanagan, state representative from Twin Cities, as running mate".Star Tribune. RetrievedOctober 5, 2017.
  4. ^abcd"Candidate Filings".candidates.sos.state.mn.us. RetrievedAugust 18, 2018.
  5. ^"Investor says he's selling St. Paul properties to run for mayor".Twin Cities. 2017-03-22. Retrieved2018-06-19.
  6. ^Stassen-Berger, Rachel E. (November 17, 2016)."St. Paul Rep. Erin Murphy announces run for MN governor".St. Paul Pioneer Press. RetrievedNovember 17, 2016.
  7. ^"Erin Murphy taps Erin Maye Quade as running mate in race for governor".WCCO-TV. June 3, 2018. RetrievedJune 3, 2018.
  8. ^Coolican, J. Patrick; Golden, Erin (June 4, 2017)."Attorney General Lori Swanson joins governor's race".Star Tribune. RetrievedJune 4, 2018.
  9. ^"St. Paul Mayor Chris Coleman to run for governor in 2018 – Twin Cities". December 13, 2016. Retrieved2016-12-13.
  10. ^"Coleman withdraws from governor's race". February 12, 2018. Retrieved2018-02-12.
  11. ^Stassen-Berger, Rachel E. (April 2, 2017)."With detailed policy focus, Democrat Tina Liebling to run for governor".St. Paul Pioneer Press. RetrievedApril 2, 2017.
  12. ^Magan, Christopher (March 12, 2018)."DFL Rep. Tina Liebling drops out of governor's race".St. Paul Pioneer Press. RetrievedMarch 12, 2018.
  13. ^"State Auditor Rebecca Otto Withdraws Campaign For Governor".CBS Minnesota. June 4, 2018. Archived fromthe original on June 15, 2018. RetrievedJune 5, 2018.
  14. ^Van Berkel, Jessie (February 7, 2018)."State Rep. Paul Thissen drops out of Minnesota governor's race".Minneapolis Star Tribune. Retrieved2018-02-07.
  15. ^Coolican, J. Patrick (June 14, 2017)."Former Minnesota DFL House Speaker Paul Thissen to run for governor".Minneapolis Star Tribune. Archived fromthe original on June 15, 2017. RetrievedJune 15, 2017.
  16. ^abCondon, Patrick (November 22, 2014)."Handicapping the next race for governor: the DFLers".Star Tribune. RetrievedMarch 6, 2015.
  17. ^Hanna, Bill (January 23, 2016)."Sen. Bakk Holds Caucus Together, While Also Reaching Across Political Aisle".Mesabi Daily News. RetrievedJune 21, 2016.
  18. ^The Timberjay. Quote: "Bakk said he had been considering his own bid for governor had the party failed to endorse a candidate, but he said the recent announcement by Republican Sen. Michelle Fischbach to resign her Senate seat to run with Tim Pawlenty helped to clarify his priorities."
  19. ^"Minnesota governor 2018: A who's who of possible candidates".Minnesota Public Radio.Associated Press. November 21, 2016. RetrievedFebruary 20, 2018....as both parties aim to replace Gov. Mark Dayton, who has said he won't seek a third term.
  20. ^Shepard, Steven (February 9, 2018)."Minnesota Rep. Nolan won't run for reelection".Politico. RetrievedFebruary 20, 2018.Gov. Mark Dayton — himself a former senator — isn't seeking a third term.
  21. ^Kayser, Zach (May 1, 2017)."Crow Wing County DFL convenes, thinks 2018".Brainerd Dispatch. Archived fromthe original on July 1, 2017. RetrievedMay 1, 2017.
  22. ^"DFL Rep. Debra Hilstrom joins Minn. attorney general race".Star Tribune. Retrieved2017-12-29.
  23. ^Sherry, Allison (December 25, 2016)."Klobuchar will run again for Senate, rules herself out for governor's race".Star Tribune. RetrievedDecember 26, 2016.
  24. ^Coolican, J. Patrick (June 2, 2017)."U.S. Rep. Rick Nolan running for re-election, not for governor".Star Tribune. RetrievedJune 2, 2017.
  25. ^Melo, Frederick (September 18, 2015)."Is a gubernatorial run next for St. Paul Mayor Chris Coleman?".St. Paul Pioneer Press. RetrievedSeptember 19, 2016.
  26. ^Kimball, Joe (May 4, 2016)."Q&A: R.T. Rybak on his new gig at the Minneapolis Foundation — and whether or not he'll run for governor".MinnPost. RetrievedSeptember 19, 2016.
  27. ^Ode, Kim (May 18, 2016)."R.T. Rybak says he's here to stay, in a city he loves like a middle-schooler's crush".Star Tribune. RetrievedSeptember 19, 2016.
  28. ^abcdefStassen-Berger, Rachel E. (September 1, 2015)."It's really not too early to think about 2018. Is it?".St. Paul Pioneer Press. RetrievedJune 21, 2016.
  29. ^Lopez, Ricardo (March 17, 2017)."Lt. Gov. Tina Smith will not run for Minnesota governor in 2018".Star Tribune. RetrievedMarch 17, 2017.
  30. ^"Erin Murphy".facebook.com. RetrievedAugust 18, 2018.
  31. ^Coolican, J. Patrick (September 20, 2017)."Minnesota Nurses Association endorses Rep. Erin Murphy for governor".StarTribune.com. Minneapolis Star Tribune.
  32. ^abc"Marco Rubio Endorses Jeff Johnson For Minnesota Gov". October 24, 2017. RetrievedOctober 24, 2017.
  33. ^LBTQ Victory Fund endorsed Erin Maye Quade for Lieutenant Governor"Victory Fund Endorses 16 More LGBTQ Candidates for 2018, Including Two Historic Statewide Candidates".Victory Fund. 2018-07-24. Retrieved2018-07-25.
  34. ^ab"Tim Walz".facebook.com. RetrievedMay 22, 2018.
  35. ^abhcarlson@postbulletin.com, Heather J. Carlson (September 25, 2017)."Political Notebook: Nelson decision coming soon?". RetrievedMay 22, 2018.
  36. ^abcd"Congressman Collin Peterson and R.T. Rybak Support Tim!".Tim Walz for Governor. April 4, 2017. Archived fromthe original on May 11, 2017. RetrievedMay 10, 2017.
  37. ^abJacob Frey."After I sat down with @Tim_Walz & @peggyflanagan months ago to talk about the election, I knew who I wanted to lead Minnesota. I'm THRILLED that they're leading our ticket. I can't wait for them to win in November & I can't wait to have such strong allies in the Governor's office".Twitter.
  38. ^abFue Lee."Kicking off the Weekend of Action for the @Tim_Walz-@peggyflanagan Campaign at the @MinnesotaDFL North Minneapolis Office. Thank you @MNSteveSimon for the opening #OneMinnesota #MNVotesEarly #BeAVoter".Twitter.
  39. ^ab"Twitter".twitter.com. RetrievedMay 22, 2018.
  40. ^"Our View / Endorsement: DFLers have a leader in Walz".Duluth News Tribune. August 2, 2018.
  41. ^"Star Tribune endorsement for governor in DFL Primary: Tim Walz".Star Tribune. August 3, 2018. Archived fromthe original on January 21, 2025.
  42. ^ab"AFGE Endorses Minnesota's Tim Walz for Governor".Tim Walz for Governor. June 18, 2018. RetrievedJune 18, 2018.
  43. ^ab"Education Minnesota Endorses Tim Walz For Governor".Tim Walz for Governor. May 19, 2018. Archived fromthe original on May 23, 2018. RetrievedMay 21, 2018.
  44. ^ab"Operating Engineers Local 49 Endorses Tim Walz For Governor!".Tim Walz for Governor. February 6, 2018. RetrievedApril 10, 2018.
  45. ^ab"LiUNA! Minnesota and North Dakota Endorses Tim Walz For Governor!".Tim Walz for Governor. February 8, 2018. RetrievedApril 10, 2018.
  46. ^ab"MAPE Endorses Tim Walz For Governor!".Tim Walz for Governor. April 3, 2018. Archived fromthe original on April 11, 2018. RetrievedApril 10, 2018.
  47. ^ab"Sheet Metal Workers Local 10 Union Endorses Tim Walz For Governor & Peggy Flanagan for Lt. Governor".Tim Walz for Governor. February 12, 2018. RetrievedApril 10, 2018.
  48. ^ab"Teamsters Joint Council 32 Endorses Tim Walz For Minnesota Governor!".Tim Walz for Governor. February 28, 2018. Archived fromthe original on April 11, 2018. RetrievedApril 10, 2018.
  49. ^abcdefEmerson CollegeArchived 2018-08-15 at theWayback Machine
  50. ^abcdeMarist College
  51. ^GQR Research (D-Minnesota Victory PAC)
  52. ^Tim Holden and Olé Savior with 0%, other 1%
  53. ^abSurveyUSAArchived 2017-11-16 at theWayback Machine
  54. ^abMason-Dixon
  55. ^Expedition Strategies (D-Walz)
  56. ^Stassen-Berger, Rachel E. (May 10, 2017)."Echoing Trump's populist message, Jeff Johnson enters race for governor".St. Paul Pioneer Press. RetrievedMay 10, 2017.
  57. ^Van Berkel, Jessie (May 14, 2018)."Jeff Johnson picks Donna Bergstrom as running mate in governor's race".Star Tribune. RetrievedMay 14, 2018.
  58. ^Coolican, J. Patrick (April 5, 2018)."Tim Pawlenty makes it official: He's running for governor again".Star Tribune. RetrievedApril 5, 2018.
  59. ^Coolican, J Patrick (May 31, 2018)."Pawlenty picks Fischbach as running mate".Star Tribune. RetrievedMay 31, 2018.
  60. ^Lease, Lawrence (December 31, 2016)."MN native Christopher Chamberlin running for governor in 2018". News Record. RetrievedDecember 31, 2016.
  61. ^Pugmire, Tim (December 7, 2017)."As Dayton weighs Franken replacement, who may run in 2018?".Minnesota Public Radio. RetrievedDecember 7, 2017.
  62. ^The Associated Press,"Republican Matt Dean Is No Longer Running For Governor",WCCO, January 25, 2018. Retrieved January 25, 2018.
  63. ^Stassen-Berger, Rachel E. (July 24, 2017)."Keith Downey, former GOP chair, is running for governor with the message: 'I believe in you.'".St. Paul Pioneer Press. RetrievedAugust 22, 2017.
  64. ^Salisbury, Bill (April 18, 2018)."Keith Downey, former MN GOP chairman, drops out of governor's race".St. Paul Pioneer Press. RetrievedApril 18, 2018.
  65. ^"Ramsey County Commissioner Blake Huffman to run for governor".St. Paul Pioneer Press. April 18, 2017. RetrievedApril 19, 2017.
  66. ^Stassen-Berger, Rachel E. (September 3, 2017)."Ramsey County's Blake Huffman withdraws from race for MN governor".St. Paul Pioneer Press. RetrievedSeptember 5, 2017.
  67. ^The Associated Press (January 8, 2018)."David Osmek says his campaign for Minnesota governor is over".twincities.com. RetrievedJanuary 8, 2018.
  68. ^Morris, William (March 21, 2017)."Former Medford man launches run for governor".Owatonna People's Press. RetrievedAugust 22, 2017.
  69. ^"Woodbury mayor files to run for governor as Republican".Minneapolis Star Tribune. Archived fromthe original on 2017-11-30. Retrieved2017-11-29.
  70. ^"GOP endorses Jeff Johnson for Governor".Kare 11. June 2, 2018.
  71. ^"Giuliani Stephens names Backer to ticket in GOP governor bid".Star Tribune. May 2, 2018. Archived fromthe original on May 5, 2018. RetrievedMay 4, 2018.
  72. ^Coolican, J. Patrick (February 18, 2017)."Rep. Sarah Anderson: A name for the 2018 statewide mix?".Star Tribune. RetrievedFebruary 24, 2017.
  73. ^Montgomery, David (July 19, 2017)."Michele Bachmann warns about 'radical Islam'".St. Paul Pioneer Press. RetrievedJuly 20, 2017.
  74. ^abcdefLopez, Ricardo (November 29, 2014)."Handicapping the next race for governor: The Republicans".Star Tribune. RetrievedMarch 6, 2015.
  75. ^Montgomery, David (December 5, 2016)."GOP hopefuls for governor seek support from party".Austin Daily Herald. RetrievedDecember 6, 2016.
  76. ^Dillon, Nora (May 25, 2018)."Emmer Files For Reelection".emmerforcongress.com. RetrievedJune 1, 2018.
  77. ^"Karin Housley pulls in $514K for Senate race; businessman Jerry Trooien to enter fray". April 13, 2018. RetrievedJune 1, 2018.
  78. ^"Morning Digest: GOP poll gives Tammy Baldwin an early double-digit lead in Wisconsin Senate race".Daily Kos Elections. February 23, 2017. RetrievedFebruary 24, 2017.
  79. ^abGolden, Erin (September 9, 2017)."Republican women consider runs for Minnesota office — but so far, few pulling trigger".Star Tribune. Retrieved2017-09-19.
  80. ^"Pillow mogul Mike Lindell denies report he is considering run for governor".Star Tribune. January 17, 2017. RetrievedMay 22, 2018.
  81. ^Carlson, Heather J. (June 7, 2017)."Miller out, but plenty of other GOPers mull 1st District bids".Post-Bulletin. RetrievedJune 13, 2017.
  82. ^Carlson, Heather J. (October 2, 2017)."Nelson running for Congress".Post-Bulletin. Archived fromthe original on October 3, 2017. RetrievedOctober 2, 2017.
  83. ^"Talking Points: Erik Paulsen & The 2018 Election". September 24, 2017. RetrievedJune 1, 2018.
  84. ^Coolican, J. Patrick (May 21, 2017)."Sheriff Rich Stanek running for re-election, not governor, in 2018".Minneapolis Star-Tribune. Archived fromthe original on May 21, 2017. RetrievedMay 22, 2017.
  85. ^"State Rep. Josh Heintzeman endorses Pawlenty-Fischbach for Governor/Lt. Governor".Tim Pawlenty for Governor. June 25, 2018.[permanent dead link]
  86. ^Tim Pawlenty for Governor."It's great to see one of our supporters, @SenatorJasinski, out promoting the Pawlenty-Fischbach ticket in Faribault! Don't forget to vote on Tuesday, August 14th! 🇺🇸 #mngov".Twitter.
  87. ^ab"Two former GOP Speakers of the Minnesota House endorse Pawlenty and Fischbach".Tim Pawlenty for Governor. June 11, 2018.[permanent dead link]
  88. ^"Associated Builders and Contractors Endorses Tim Pawlenty for Governor".Tim Pawlenty for Governor. June 28, 2018.[permanent dead link]
  89. ^"Housing First Minnesota Endorses Tim Pawlenty for Governor".Housing First Minnesota. May 31, 2018.[permanent dead link]
  90. ^"Minnesota Chamber Leadership Fund PAC endorses Pawlenty for governor".Tim Pawlenty for Governor. July 2, 2018.[permanent dead link]
  91. ^Minnesota College Republicans."MNCRs endorse @TPaw2018 for Governor!".Twitter.
  92. ^"Police Officers Federation of Minneapolis endorses Pawlenty-Fischbach for Governor/Lt. Governor".Tim Pawlenty for Governor. July 18, 2018. Archived fromthe original on July 22, 2018. RetrievedJuly 19, 2018.
  93. ^"Our View / Endorsement: Pawlenty gives Republicans best shot".Duluth News Tribune. August 1, 2018.
  94. ^"ENDORSEMENT: PAWLENTY IS GOP'S TICKET BACK TO THE GOVERNOR'S MANSION".Mesabi Daily News. August 9, 2018.
  95. ^"Star Tribune endorsement for governor in GOP primary: Tim Pawlenty".Star Tribune. August 4, 2018.
  96. ^BK Strategies (R)Archived 2018-06-29 at theWayback Machine
  97. ^Dickson, Janiese (May 10, 2017)."Politicians and citizens implore Minnesotans to legalize marijuana at 4/20 rally".City College News.
  98. ^Golden, Erin (June 16, 2018)."Legal pot advocates join Minnesota races for state, federal offices".Star Tribune. RetrievedJune 17, 2018.
  99. ^"2018 Governor Race Ratings for October 26, 2018".The Cook Political Report. Retrieved2021-04-10.
  100. ^"The Washington Post's gubernatorial race ratings".The Washington Post. October 16, 2018.
  101. ^"2018 Governor Forecast".FiveThirtyEight. October 17, 2018. Archived fromthe original on October 18, 2018. RetrievedOctober 17, 2018.
  102. ^"2018 Gubernatorial Ratings".Inside Elections. Retrieved2017-11-15.
  103. ^"Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2018 Governor".www.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved2017-11-15.
  104. ^"2018 Governor Races".RealClearPolitics. October 9, 2018.
  105. ^"2018 Governor Race Ratings".Daily Kos. June 5, 2018.[permanent dead link]
  106. ^"2018 Midterm Power Ranking".Fox News. October 10, 2021.
  107. ^"Politico Race Ratings".Politico.
  108. ^"2018 Governor Elections: As November Nears, More Governors' Races Become Tossups".www.governing.com. Archived fromthe original on October 21, 2018. Retrieved2018-07-18.
  109. ^"Debates get race for Minnesota governor off to a roaring start".Star Tribune. August 18, 2018.
  110. ^ab"Johnson, Walz spar at State Fair governor's debate". August 31, 2018.
  111. ^"Johnson, Walz Participate in First Debate in Nisswa | KSTP.com". Archived fromthe original on 2018-08-19. Retrieved2018-08-18.
  112. ^"Almanac | Jeff Johnson + Tim Walz in the first post-primary TV debate | Season 2018 | Episode 48".
  113. ^Tom Emmer."Congratulations to @MNJeffJohnson and @doug_wardlow on their primary wins. Look forward to working with the entire @mngop ticket to #TurnMNRed this November". Twitter.
  114. ^Michael R. Pence."CONGRATS to @MNJeffJohnson & @PeteStauber on their primary victories in Minnesota last night. They are the kind of strong leaders we need supporting @realDonaldTrump's agenda!". Twitter.
  115. ^Donald J. Trump."Jeff Johnson of Minnesota had a big night in winning the Republican nomination for Governor against a very strong and well known opponent! Thanks for all of the support you showed me. You have my complete and total Endorsement. You will win in November!". Twitter.
  116. ^Michelle Benson."Update on @Tim_Walz government health care plan. @MNJeffJohnson is correct, it is not good for hospitals. #MNGov".Twitter.
  117. ^"Republican race for governor: Matt Dean drops out, throws support behind Jeff Johnson",Twin Cities Pioneer Press, January 25, 2018. Retrieved January 25, 2018.
  118. ^"Former Lt. Gov. snubs old boss Tim Pawlenty, endorses Jeff Johnson". May 4, 2018. RetrievedAugust 18, 2018.
  119. ^Tim Pawlenty."Although the primary results were not what I had hoped, I have no regrets about the run. Am so grateful for Mary, my campaign team, supporters and friends for the great help and support. I wish @MNJeffJohnson the best as he strives to become MN's next Governor. Support him!".Twitter.
  120. ^Jeff Johnson."I'm so proud to have the support of my friend, Gov. Al Quie. He just turned 95, is sharp as a tack and wears his button with pride wherever he goes. God bless you, Al".Twitter.
  121. ^Mike Lindell.".@MNJeffJohnson for MN Governor! #voteAugust14th".Twitter.
  122. ^Jeff Johnson."FARMER ENDORSED. Our campaign is proud to have the endorsement of @MNFarmBureau MN Farmers are the people who move our state forward & help nourish our entire country. We're beyond excited to represent them come November! #OverthrowTheStatusQuo #MNGov".Twitter.
  123. ^"Job Creators Strongly Support Jeff Johnson for Minnesota Governor".NFIB. September 25, 2018.
  124. ^Smith, Kelly (October 16, 2018)."Minneapolis police union endorses Republican Jeff Johnson for Minnesota governor".Star Tribune.
  125. ^Amy Klobuchar."Great event at @HoopsBrewing in Duluth for my friend @Tim_Walz with a big crowd of supporters. Tim is standing up for Minnesota values and for our future. Looking forward to seeing him and @peggyflanagan win in November!".Twitter.
  126. ^News Tribune (March 12, 2018)."Nolan endorses Walz for Minnesota governor".Duluth News Tribune.
  127. ^Barack Obama."Today, I'm proud to endorse even more Democratic candidates who aren't just running against something, but for something—to expand opportunity for all of us and to restore dignity, honor, and compassion to public service. They deserve your vote". Twitter.
  128. ^Tina Smith."I am SO excited to see the incredible turnout everywhere @Tim_Walz and I go. We are hopeful. We have the momentum. And we are not taking ANYTHING for granted over the next 38 days. #OneMinnesota".Twitter.
  129. ^Eric Garcetti."Kicking off #EGinMN at the @MinnesotaDFL Founders' Day Dinner listening to @Tim_Walz -- a teacher and coach, veteran and congressman. Fired up by his speech, inspired by the leader he'll be for Minnesota". Twitter.
  130. ^Jennifer Shultz."Looking good, Duluth! TY @amyklobuchar, @Tim_Walz & @TonyLourey for visiting with us". Twitter.
  131. ^"IFO Endorses Tim Walz For Governor!".Tim Walz for Governor. September 28, 2017. RetrievedApril 10, 2018.
  132. ^Change Research
  133. ^abcChris Wright (GLC) with 2%
  134. ^Research Co.
  135. ^SurveyUSA
  136. ^St. Cloud State University
  137. ^Mason-DixonArchived 2018-10-21 at theWayback Machine
  138. ^Change Research
  139. ^Chris Wright (GLC) with 4%
  140. ^Marist College
  141. ^Mason-Dixon
  142. ^SurveyUSA
  143. ^Suffolk UniversityArchived 2018-12-08 at theWayback Machine
  144. ^Chris Wright (GLC) with 1%
  145. ^abcBK StrategiesArchived 2018-06-29 at theWayback Machine
  146. ^Public Policy Polling (D-A Better Minnesota)
  147. ^"Minnesota Secretary of State - 2018 General Election Results". Archived fromthe original on 2020-04-10. Retrieved2018-12-12.
  148. ^"Home - Election Results".
  149. ^"Minnesota gubernatorial election exit poll".CNN. RetrievedNovember 20, 2018.

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