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2018 Colorado Senate election

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2018 Colorado State Senate election

← 2016November 6, 20182020 →

17 of the 35 seats in theColorado Senate
18 seats needed for a majority
 Majority partyMinority party
 
LeaderLeroy GarciaKevin Grantham
(term-limited)
PartyDemocraticRepublican
Leader's seatDistrict 3District 2
Last election1718
Seats before1618
Seats won1916
Seat changeIncrease3Decrease2
Popular vote608,037564,971
Percentage50.3%46.75%
Seats up610
Races won98

Results:
     Democratic gain
     Democratic hold     Republican hold
     No election

President of the Senate before election

Kevin Grantham
Republican

ElectedPresident of the Senate

Leroy Garcia
Democratic

Elections in Colorado
Presidential elections
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The2018 Colorado State Senate elections took place as part of thebiennialUnited States elections.Colorado voters elected state senators in 17 of the 35 districts in the state senate. State senators serve four-year terms in theColorado State Senate. The Colorado Reapportionment Commission provides a statewide map of the state Senatehere, and individual district maps are available from the U.S. Censushere.

A primary election on June 26, 2018, determined which candidates appeared on the November 6general election ballot. Primary election results can be obtained from theColorado Secretary of State's website.[1]

Following the 2016 state Senate elections,Republicans maintained effective control of the Senate with 18 members. Democratic state SenatorCheri Jahn switched from Democrat to unaffiliated on December 29, 2017.[2] However, Sen. Jahn decided to still caucus with Democrats. In the 2018 election, Republicans defended 10 seats, while Democrats defended six seats, with Jahn's one Independent seat up for grabs.

To claim control of the chamber fromRepublicans, theDemocrats needed to net one Senate seat while electing a Democrat to the Independent seat. The Democratic candidate won the Independent seat, while Democrats netted two additional seats, giving the party majority status in the chamber. The results ultimately led to Democrats gaining apolitical trifecta for the first time since 2014.[3]

Background

[edit]

Heading to the 2018 elections, Republicans held a one-seat majority in the Senate and sought to defend their very narrow majority in the election. Democrats had not held the state Senate since 2014, and aimed at flipping it to potentially achieve apolitical trifecta, as Democrats were expected to retain control of the state House, and gubernatorial nomineeJared Polis was considered the frontrunner heading up to the polls.[4][5]

Five Senate seats were considered vital to determine the political balance of the Senate and even the political outlook of the state. Democratic women dubbed the "Fab Five" were running to defend or win these five competitive districts. Incumbent RepublicansTim Neville andBeth Humenik were seen as the most vulnerable, as both narrowly won their races in 2014, and they represented districts which Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton won in 2016.[4][5]

Results

[edit]
  • Districts not shown would not be up for election until 2020.
DistrictIncumbentPartyElected senatorParty
1stJerry SonnenbergRepJerry SonnenbergRep
2ndKevin GranthamRepDennis HiseyRep
3rdLeroy GarciaDemLeroy GarciaDem
5thKerry DonovanDemKerry DonovanDem
6thDon CoramRepDon CoramRep
7thRay ScottRepRay ScottRep
9thKent LambertRepPaul LundeenRep
11thMichael MerrifieldDemPete LeeDem
13thJohn CookeRepJohn CookeRep
15thKevin LundbergRepRob WoodwardRep
16thTim NevilleRepTammy StoryDem
20thCheri JahnIndJessie DanielsonDem
22ndAndy KerrDemBrittany PettersenDem
24thBeth Martinez HumenikRepFaith WinterDem
30thChris HolbertRepChris HolbertRep
32ndIrene AguilarDemRobert RodriguezDem
34thLucía GuzmánDemJulie GonzalesDem

Source:[6][7]

Incumbents not seeking re-election

[edit]

Term-limited incumbents

[edit]

Seven incumbent senators (three Democrats, three Republicans and one independent) were term-limited and unable to seek a third term.

Retiring incumbents

[edit]

One incumbent Democrat did not seek re-election despite being able to do so.

Closest races

[edit]

Seats where the margin of victory was under 10%:

  1. District 15, 6.18%
  2. District 6, 9.38%

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
Governing[8]TossupOctober 8, 2018

Detailed results

[edit]

District 1District 2District 3District 5District 6District 7District 9District 11District 13District 15District 16District 20District 22District 24District 30District 32District 34

Sources:[6][9]

District 1

[edit]
Democratic primary
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticDebra Gustafson5,523100.0
Total votes5,523100.0
Republican primary
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanJerry Sonnenberg (incumbent)23,879100.0
Total votes23,879100.0
2018 Colorado Senate election, 1st District
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanJerry Sonnenberg (incumbent)52,31179.01
DemocraticDebra Gustafson13,89420.99
Total votes66,205100.0
Republicanhold

District 2

[edit]
Democratic primary
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticBeth "Hart" Harz6,81374.09
DemocraticDennis Obduskey2,38325.91
Total votes9,196100.0
Republican primary
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanDennis Hisey12,81857.95
RepublicanStephanie Luck9,30242.05
Total votes22,120100.0
2018 Colorado Senate election, 2nd District
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanDennis Hisey42,53165.32
DemocraticBeth "Hart" Harz22,58334.68
Total votes65,114100.0
Republicanhold

District 3

[edit]
Democratic primary
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticLeroy M. Garcia (incumbent)15,423100.0
Total votes15,423100.0
2018 Colorado Senate election, 3rd District
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticLeroy M. Garcia (incumbent)39,76873.62
LibertarianJohn Pickerill14,25326.38
Total votes54,021100.0
Democratichold

District 5

[edit]
Democratic primary
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticKerry Donovan (incumbent)13,707100.0
Total votes13,707100.0
Republican primary
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanOlen Lund9,796100.0
Total votes9,796100.0
2018 Colorado Senate election, 5th District
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticKerry Donovan (incumbent)41,83860.45
RepublicanOlen Lund27,37539.55
Total votes69,213100.0
Democratichold

District 6

[edit]
Republican primary
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanDon Coram (incumbent)14,893100.0
Total votes14,893100.0
Democratic primary
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticGuinn Unger, Jr.11,392100.0
Total votes11,392100.0
2018 Colorado Senate election, 6th District
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanDon Coram (incumbent)40,08854.69
DemocraticGuinn Unger, Jr.33,20845.31
Total votes73,296100.0
Republicanhold

District 7

[edit]
Democratic primary
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticChris Kennedy8,996100.0
Total votes8,996100.0
Republican primary
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanRay Scott (incumbent)14,36164.07
RepublicanDan Thurlow8,05435.93
Total votes22,415100.0
2018 Colorado Senate election, 7th District
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanRay Scott (incumbent)42,32763.62
DemocraticChris Kennedy24,20536.38
Total votes66,532100.0
Republicanhold

District 9

[edit]
Democratic primary
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticGil Armendariz9,751100.0
Total votes9,751100.0
Republican primary
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanPaul Lundeen26,206100.0
Total votes26,206100.0
2018 Colorado Senate election, 9th District
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanPaul Lundeen61,34170.32
DemocraticGil Armendariz25,89229.68
Total votes87,233100.0
Republicanhold

District 11

[edit]
Democratic primary
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticPete Lee10,499100.0
Total votes10,499100.0
Republican primary
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanPat McIntire7,580100.0
Total votes7,580100.0
2018 Colorado Senate election, 11th District
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticPete Lee28,01561.96
RepublicanPat McIntire17,20038.04
Total votes45,215100.0
Democratichold

District 13

[edit]
Republican primary
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanJohn Cooke (incumbent)10,763100.0
Total votes10,763100.0
Democratic primary
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticPhil Kelley7,667100.0
Total votes7,667100.0
2018 Colorado Senate election, 13th District
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanJohn Cooke (incumbent)33,02658.71
DemocraticPhil Kelley21,45338.14
LibertarianEric E. Joss1,7763.16
Total votes56,255100.0
Republicanhold

District 15

[edit]
Democratic primary
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticRebecca Cranston14,699100.0
Total votes14,699100.0
Republican primary
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanRob Woodward16,023100.0
Total votes16,023100.0
2018 Colorado Senate election, 15th District
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanRob Woodward44,43453.09
DemocraticRebecca Cranston39,25646.91
Total votes83,690100.0
Republicanhold

District 16

[edit]
Republican primary
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanTim Neville (incumbent)12,996100.0
Total votes12,996100.0
Democratic primary
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticTammy Story18,424100.0
Total votes18,424100.0
2018 Colorado Senate election, 16th District
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticTammy Story47,40355.67
RepublicanTim Neville (incumbent)35,15441.28
LibertarianJames Gilman2,5973.05
Total votes85,154100.0
Democraticgain fromRepublican

District 20

[edit]
Democratic primary
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticJessie Danielson19,778100.0
Total votes19,778100.0
Republican primary
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanChristine Jensen13,821100.0
Total votes13,821100.0
2018 Colorado Senate election, 20th District
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticJessie Danielson49,97454.13
RepublicanChristine Jensen39,10242.36
LibertarianCharles Messick3,2393.51
Total votes92,315100.0
Democraticgain fromIndependent

District 22

[edit]
Democratic primary
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticBrittany Pettersen16,066100.0
Total votes16,066100.0
Republican primary
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanTony Sanchez11,440100.0
Total votes11,440100.0
2018 Colorado Senate election, 22nd District
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticBrittany Pettersen42,74758.16
RepublicanTony Sanchez30,75441.84
Total votes73,501100.0
Democratichold

District 24

[edit]
Republican primary
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanBeth Martinez Humenik (incumbent)9,401100.0
Total votes9,401100.0
Democratic primary
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticFaith Winter14,313100.0
Total votes14,313100.0
2018 Colorado Senate election, 24th District
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticFaith Winter35,57852.32
RepublicanBeth Martinez Humenik (incumbent)27,06839.80
IndependentAdam Matkowsky3,3284.89
LibertarianDonald Osborn2,0332.99
Total votes68,007100.0
Democraticgain fromRepublican

District 30

[edit]
Republican primary
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanChris Holbert (incumbent)15,342100.0
Total votes15,342100.0
Democratic primary
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticJulia Varnell-Sarjeant12,031100.0
Total votes12,031100.0
2018 Colorado Senate election, 30th District
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanChris Holbert (incumbent)43,94852.78
DemocraticJulia Varnell-Sarjeant34,60441.56
IndependentSteve Peterson4,7105.66
Total votes83,262100.0
Republicanhold

District 32

[edit]
Republican primary
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanMark Calonder5,561100.0
Total votes5,561100.0
Democratic primary
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticRobert Rodriguez10,63639.82
DemocraticZach Neumann8,61632.26
DemocraticHazel Gibson7,45827.92
Total votes26,710100.0
2018 Colorado Senate election, 32nd District
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticRobert Rodriguez53,30771.99
RepublicanMark Calonder17,29423.36
IndependentPeter Lucas Smith3,4464.65
Total votes74,047100.0
Democratichold

District 34

[edit]
Republican primary
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanGordon Alley2,777100.0
Total votes2,777100.0
Democratic primary
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticJulie Gonzales14,79863.80
DemocraticMilo Schwab4,57419.72
DemocraticAlan Kennedy-Shaffer3,82116.47
Total votes23,193100.0
2018 Colorado Senate election, 34th District
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticJulie Gonzales54,31283.13
RepublicanGordon Alley11,01816.87
Total votes65,330100.0
Democratichold

Analysis

[edit]

Democrats handily flipped the state Senate by significantly outperforming their margins compared to 2016 and 2014. Most of the votes that led to the Senate flipping was due to the outsized margins Democratic candidates received throughout theFront Range and ski counties.[3] Independent voters (the largest share of the electorate), along with women voters, younger voters, and suburban voters, helped propel Democrats to victory in many races.[10] Races that were considered competitive but eventually won by the so-called "Fab Five" ofFaith Winter,Jessie Danielson,Tammy Story,Kerry Donovan, andBrittany Petersen were won by relatively large margins.[11][12] Due to Democrats flipping the Senate, they were able to gain a political trifecta, as they expanded their majorities in the state House and won all statewide races, including for governor.[11]

The results in the Senate and other elections throughout 2018 were called by observers a "blue wave" in which Democrats made historic gains in Colorado.[13][10]

See also

[edit]

References

[edit]
  1. ^"June 26, 2018 Primary Election Official Results".Colorado Secretary of State. RetrievedSeptember 1, 2018.
  2. ^"Senator Cheri Jahn switches party". December 29, 2017. RetrievedSeptember 1, 2018.
  3. ^abFish, Sandra (November 7, 2018)."Mapping the 2018 vote: Blue Colorado gets bluer and the divide remains".The Colorado Sun. RetrievedSeptember 8, 2023.
  4. ^ab"Colorado's political future comes down to five Senate districts, and money is rushing in".The Denver Post. September 27, 2018. RetrievedSeptember 8, 2023.
  5. ^abChávez, Aída (October 30, 2018)."Total Democratic Control of Colorado Comes Down to Five Women".The Intercept. RetrievedSeptember 8, 2023.
  6. ^ab"Colorado State Senate elections, 2018".Ballotpedia. RetrievedSeptember 1, 2018.
  7. ^Colorado Secretary of State."Election Results & Data (Unofficial)".www.sos.state.co.us. RetrievedNovember 7, 2018.
  8. ^Jacobson, Louis (October 8, 2018)."A Month Before Election Day, Democrats Poised for Legislative Gains".Governing. RetrievedJune 27, 2024.
  9. ^"June 26, 2018 Primary Election Official Results".Colorado Secretary of State. RetrievedSeptember 1, 2018.
  10. ^abWeatherman, Lisa (November 7, 2018)."A Blue Wave Crashes Into Colorado in the 2018 Midterms".5280. RetrievedSeptember 8, 2023.
  11. ^abHerrick, John (November 7, 2018)."Democrats take the Colorado Senate".The Colorado Independent. RetrievedSeptember 8, 2023.
  12. ^Roberts, Michael."Colorado Legislature Election Results 2018: Dems Win House and Senate".Westword. RetrievedSeptember 8, 2023.
  13. ^Roberts, Michael."Colorado Election Results 2018: Polis, the Blue Wave and the Power of TABOR".Westword. RetrievedSeptember 8, 2023.
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