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2018 Arkansas gubernatorial election

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

For related races, see2018 United States gubernatorial elections.

2018 Arkansas gubernatorial election

← 2014
November 6, 2018 (2018-11-06)
2022 →
 
NomineeAsa HutchinsonJared Henderson
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Popular vote582,406283,218
Percentage65.33%31.77%

County results
Congressional district results
Township results
Precinct results
Hutchinson:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Henderson:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Tie:     40–50%     50%

Governor before election

Asa Hutchinson
Republican

ElectedGovernor

Asa Hutchinson
Republican

Elections in Arkansas
Seal of Arkansas
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The2018 Arkansas gubernatorial election was held on November 6, 2018, to elect thegovernor of Arkansas, concurrently withelections to the United States Senate in other states,elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections. IncumbentRepublican governorAsa Hutchinson won re-election to a second term, winning by more than 33 percentage points and carrying all but seven counties, marking the largest winning margin of any Republican gubernatorial candidate in Arkansas history.

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Declared

[edit]

Declined

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Asa Hutchinson
Federal officials
Organizations
Newspapers

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Asa
Hutchinson
Jan
Morgan
Undecided
Hendrix College[10]April 17–19, 2018676± 3.8%58%31%12%

Results

[edit]
Results by county:
Hutchinson
  •   80–90%
  •   70–80%
  •   60–70%
  •   50–60%
Morgan
  •   50–60%
Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanAsa Hutchinson (incumbent)145,25169.7
RepublicanJan Morgan63,00930.3
Total votes208,260100.0

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Declared

[edit]

Declined

[edit]

Results

[edit]
Results by county:
Henderson
  •   70–80%
  •   60–70%
  •   50–60%
Sanders
  •   50–60%
Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticJared Henderson68,34063.4
DemocraticLeticia Sanders39,38236.6
Total votes107,722100.0

Independents

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Declined

[edit]

Libertarian primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Declared

[edit]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[19]Safe ROctober 26, 2018
The Washington Post[20]Safe RNovember 5, 2018
FiveThirtyEight[21]Safe RNovember 5, 2018
Rothenberg Political Report[22]Safe RNovember 1, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[23]Safe RNovember 5, 2018
RealClearPolitics[24]Safe RNovember 4, 2018
Daily Kos[25]Safe RNovember 5, 2018
Fox News[26][a]Likely RNovember 5, 2018
Politico[27]Safe RNovember 5, 2018
Governing[28]Safe RNovember 5, 2018
Notes
  1. ^The Fox News Midterm Power Rankings uniquely does not contain a category for Safe/Solid races

Debates

[edit]
DatesLocationHutchinsonHendersonWestLink
September 12, 2018Little Rock,ArkansasDidn't participateParticipantParticipantFull debate[29] -YouTube
October 12, 2018Conway,ArkansasParticipantParticipantParticipantFull debate[30] -C-SPAN

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Asa
Hutchinson (R)
Jared
Henderson (D)
Mark
West (L)
OtherUndecided
University of Arkansas[31]October 1–28, 2018618± 3.9%59%35%6%
Hendrix College[32]October 18–19, 2018528± 4.3%60%24%5%11%
Hendrix College[33]September 5–7, 20181,701± 2.4%60%25%6%9%
Mason-Dixon[34]March 21–24, 2018625± 4.0%63%24%13%

Results

[edit]
2018 Arkansas gubernatorial election[35]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
RepublicanAsa Hutchinson (incumbent)582,40665.33%+9.89%
DemocraticJared Henderson283,21831.77%−9.72%
LibertarianMark West25,8852.90%+0.98%
Total votes891,509100.00%N/A
Republicanhold

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

[edit]

By congressional district

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Hutchinson won all four congressional districts.[36]

DistrictHutchinsonHendersonRepresentative
1st69%27%Rick Crawford
2nd59%39%French Hill
3rd66%31%Steve Womack
4th69%28%Bruce Westerman

See also

[edit]

References

[edit]
  1. ^abcdWickline, Michael R. (January 3, 2017)."Arkansas governor to hold fundraiser for term 2; re-election bid not yet formally announced".Arkansas Democrat-Gazette. RetrievedJanuary 3, 2017.
  2. ^Wickline, Michael R. (May 17, 2017)."Arkansas Gov. Asa Hutchinson to pursue second term".Arkansas Democrat-Gazette. RetrievedMay 18, 2017.
  3. ^Lanning, Curt (October 3, 2017)."Gov. Hutchinson May Have a GOP Challenger".KNWA-TV. RetrievedOctober 5, 2017.
  4. ^"Republican Jan Morgan Announces Run for Arkansas Governor".U.S. News & World Report. January 1, 2018. RetrievedJanuary 3, 2018.
  5. ^Ramsey, David (April 18, 2016)."Lt. Gov. Tim Griffin "opposes Obamacare" (duh), dodges questions on "Arkansas Works"".Arkansas Times. RetrievedJuly 13, 2016.
  6. ^DeMillo, Andrew (July 11, 2016)."Lt. Gov. Griffin says he's seeking re-election".Log Cabin Democrat. Archived fromthe original on July 13, 2016. RetrievedJuly 13, 2016.
  7. ^Donald J. Trump.".@AsaHutchinson, the great Governor of Arkansas, is in a primary tomorrow. He has done an incredible job with a focus on lower taxes, border security, and crime prevention. Asa loves our military and our veterans. I fully endorse Asa for Governor!".Twitter.
  8. ^"NRA Endorses Governor Asa Hutchinson In Re-Election Bid".5newsonline.com. September 20, 2018. Archived fromthe original on August 14, 2020.
  9. ^"EDITORIAL: For Asa Hutchinson".Arkansas Democrat-Gazette. October 23, 2018.
  10. ^Hendrix College
  11. ^Brock, Roby (December 12, 2017)."Jared Henderson to run as Democratic candidate for Governor".Talk Business & Politics. RetrievedDecember 12, 2017.
  12. ^"Meet Jan Morgan, GOP Candidate For Arkansas Governor". KFSM. March 27, 2018. RetrievedApril 8, 2018.
  13. ^Brock, Roby (November 28, 2017)."Former State Rep. Jay Martin eyeing run for governor on Democratic ticket".Talk Business & Politics. RetrievedNovember 29, 2017.
  14. ^"Martin says time is not right to run for Arkansas governor's office".Talk Business & Politics. December 1, 2017. RetrievedDecember 12, 2017.
  15. ^"Radio host Bobby Bones considering run for Ark. governor". THV11 Digital, KTHV. January 3, 2017. Archived fromthe original on January 4, 2017. RetrievedJanuary 3, 2017.
  16. ^Taha, Nada (March 14, 2017)."Bobby Makes Official Statement On Political Plans".The Bobby Bones Show. Archived fromthe original on March 20, 2017. RetrievedMay 18, 2017.
  17. ^Wickline, Michael R. (June 28, 2017)."Libertarian to run for governor's post".Arkansas Democrat-Gazette. RetrievedJune 28, 2017.
  18. ^Lampe, Ellen (June 27, 2017)."Libertarian Party Candidate Announces Run for AR Governor". ArkansasMatters.com. RetrievedJune 28, 2017.
  19. ^"2018 Governor Race Ratings for October 26, 2018".The Cook Political Report. RetrievedApril 10, 2021.
  20. ^"The Washington Post's gubernatorial race ratings".The Washington Post. October 16, 2018.
  21. ^"2018 Governor Forecast".FiveThirtyEight. October 17, 2018. Archived fromthe original on October 18, 2018. RetrievedOctober 17, 2018.
  22. ^"2018 Gubernatorial Ratings | Inside Elections".insideelections.com. RetrievedNovember 15, 2017.
  23. ^"Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2018 Governor".www.centerforpolitics.org. RetrievedNovember 15, 2017.
  24. ^"2018 Governor Races".RealClearPolitics. October 9, 2018.
  25. ^"2018 Governor Race Ratings".Daily Kos. June 5, 2018.
  26. ^"2018 Midterm Power Ranking".Fox News. August 2, 2023.
  27. ^"Politico Race Ratings".Politico.
  28. ^"2018 Governor Elections: As November Nears, More Governors' Races Become Tossups".www.governing.com. Archived fromthe original on October 21, 2018. RetrievedJuly 18, 2018.
  29. ^Full debate
  30. ^Full debate
  31. ^University of Arkansas
  32. ^Hendrix College
  33. ^Hendrix College
  34. ^Mason-Dixon
  35. ^"2018 Arkansas Gubernatorial election". RetrievedJanuary 6, 2022.
  36. ^"DRA 2020".Daves Redistricting. RetrievedAugust 19, 2024.

External links

[edit]

Official campaign websites

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