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2017 Lower Saxony state election

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
State election in Lower Saxony, Germany
2017 Lower Saxony state election

← 201315 October 20172022 →

All 137 seats in theLandtag of Lower Saxony
69 seats needed for a majority
Turnout3,828,003 (63.1%)
Increase 3.7%
 First partySecond partyThird party
 
LeaderStephan WeilBernd AlthusmannAnja Piel
PartySPDCDUGreens
Last election49 seats, 32.6%54 seats, 36.0%20 seats, 13.7%
Seats won555012
Seat changeIncrease 6Decrease 4Decrease 8
Popular vote1,413,9901,287,191334,130
Percentage36.9%33.6%8.7%
SwingIncrease 4.3%Decrease 2.4%Decrease 5.0%

 Fourth partyFifth party
 
LeaderStefan BirknerDana Guth
PartyFDPAfD
Last election14 seats, 9.9%Did not exist
Seats won119
Seat changeDecrease 3Increase 9
Popular vote287,957235,863
Percentage7.5%6.2%
SwingDecrease 2.4%Did not exist

Results for the single-member constituencies

Government before election

First Weil cabinet
SPDGreen

Government after election

Second Weil cabinet
SPDCDU

The2017 Lower Saxony state election was held on 15 October 2017 to elect the 18thLandtag of Lower Saxony. The incumbentcoalition government of theSocial Democratic Party (SPD) andThe Greens led byMinister-PresidentStephan Weil was defeated. Though the SPD became the largest party in the Landtag largely fueled by the personal popularity of Weil, their gains were offset by losses for the Greens, depriving the government of its majority. The SPD subsequently formed agrand coalition with theChristian Democratic Union (CDU), and Weil continued as Minister-President.

This was the last election, state or federal, in which the SPD gained seats or increased their share of the popular vote until the2021 German federal election and2021 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election which both took place on the same day in September 2021.

Background

[edit]

Following the2013 state election, a red-green coalition between the SPD and Greens was formed, holding a one-seat majority in the Landtag. After Green parliamentarianElke Twesten controversially defected to the CDU on 4 August 2017, the coalition lost its majority,[1] which prompted Minister-President Stephan Weil to schedule an early election for 15 October.[2] The Landtag was officially dissolved on 21 August after 135 of 137 parliamentarians voted in favor, with 91 votes required for its dissolution.[3]

Electoral system

[edit]

The Landtag of Lower Saxony is elected usingmixed-member proportional representation. Its minimum size is 135 seats. Of these, 87 are elected insingle-member constituencies, and the remainder are determined by party lists. Voters have two votes: the "first vote" for candidates within each individual constituency, and the "second vote" for party lists. There is an electoral threshold of 5% of second vote to qualify for seats. Seats are allocated using thed'Hondt method, with additionaloverhang andleveling seats provided to ensure proportionality. The normal term of the Landtag is 5 years.[4]

Parties

[edit]

The table below lists parties represented in the 17th Landtag of Lower Saxony.

NameIdeologyLeader(s)2013 result
Votes (%)Seats
CDUChristian Democratic Union of Germany
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands
Christian democracyBernd Althusmann36.0%
54 / 137
SPDSocial Democratic Party of Germany
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands
Social democracyStephan Weil32.6%
49 / 137
GrüneAlliance 90/The Greens
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
Green politicsAnja Piel13.7%
20 / 137
FDPFree Democratic Party
Freie Demokratische Partei
Classical liberalismStefan Birkner9.9%
14 / 137

Opinion polling

[edit]
Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
CDUSPDGrüneFDPLinkeAfDOthersLead
2017 state election15 Oct 201733.636.98.77.54.66.22.43.3
Civey25 Sep–13 Oct 20175,07331.834.68.58.95.77.82.72.8
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen10–11 Oct 20171,0013334.599572.51.5
INSA4–6 Oct 20171,005323310105731
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen2–5 Oct 20171,0833333910573Tie
Infratest dimap2–4 Oct 20171,00234348.584.583Tie
Civey24 Sep–1 Oct 20174,57033.132.89.98.05.48.12.70.3
Infratest dimap26–27 Sep 20171,0043534985631
2017 federal election24 Sep 201734.927.48.79.36.99.13.67.5
Infratest dimap30 Aug–5 Sep 20171,00137321065735
dimap18–26 Aug 20171,0033931884828
INSA9 Aug 20171,00040289957212
Infratest dimap8–9 Aug 20171,0034032973638
INSA18–23 May 20171,00041278956414
Forsa18–28 Apr 20171,0013536864651
Infratest dimap13–18 Jan 20171,00235311464824
Forsa22 Dec 2016–9 Jan 20171,00034321264752
INSA6–14 Oct 20161,00033311285742
Forsa23 Oct–20 Nov 20151,00235331464442
INSA21 Aug–2 Sep 20151,00037291466358
Infratest dimap26 Jun–1 Jul 20151,00040311455239
GMS8–13 Jan 20151,012413014344411
2014 European election25 May 201439.432.510.92.54.05.45.36.9
Infratest dimap14–16 Jan 20141,00040321345338
2013 federal election22 Sep 201341.133.18.84.25.03.74.18.0
2013 state election20 Jan 201336.032.613.79.93.14.63.4

Results

[edit]
PartyConstituencyParty listTotal
seats
+/–
Votes%SeatsVotes%Seats
Social Democratic Party (SPD)1,508,83039.6%551,413,99036.9%055+6
Christian Democratic Union (CDU)1,420,08337.3%321,287,19133.6%1850–4
Alliance 90/The Greens (Grüne)283,3277.4%0334,1308.7%1212–8
Free Democratic Party (FDP)226,5545.9%0287,9577.5%1111–3
Alternative for Germany (AfD)174,5214.6%0235,8636.2%99+9
The Left (Linke)170,6604.5%0177,1184.6%00
Animal Protection Party (Tierschutz)027,1080.7%00
Die PARTEI (PARTEI)9,0970.2%022,5780.6%00
Free Voters (FW)11,3480.3%014,8690.4%00
Pirate Party (Piraten)2,3500.1%08,4490.2%00
Basic Income Alliance (BFE)05,1250.1%00
German Centre (DM)04,4820.1%00
V-Partei304,1510.1%00
Ecological Democratic Party (ÖDP)7350.0%04,0420.1%00
Liberal Conservative Reformers (LKR)4880.0%09500.0%00
The Grays (DG)2600.0%000
Independents2,4470.1%000
Total3,811,125100.0%873,828,003100.0%50137
Valid votes3,811,12599.0%3,828,00399.5%
Invalid votes37,8921.0%21,0140.5%
Turnout3,849,01763.1%
Eligible voters6,098,379
Source:Niedersächsische Landeswahlleiterin

Government formation

[edit]

Due to AfD entering the Landtag and no party willing to form a coalition with them, neither the incumbent red-green coalition between the SPD and Greens nor the black-yellow opposition of the CDU and FDP secured a majority of seats in the election. Because the FDP ruled out the possibility of atraffic light coalition (between the SPD, FDP, and Greens) and the Greens ruled out aJamaica coalition (between the CDU, Greens, and FDP),[5] the SPD and CDU subsequently agreed to start negotiations to form agrand coalition.[6]

On 16 November, the SPD and CDU agreed to form a government.[7]

See also

[edit]

References

[edit]
  1. ^Lisa Caspari; Veronika Völlinger; Rita Lauter (4 August 2017)."Die Frau, die Niedersachsens Regierung stürzte".Die Zeit. Retrieved28 August 2017.
  2. ^"Niedersachsen-Wahl am 15. Oktober".Die Welt. 7 August 2017. Retrieved28 September 2017.
  3. ^"Der Niedersächsische Landtag hat sich aufgelöst". Norddeutscher Rundfunk. 21 August 2017. Retrieved28 September 2017.
  4. ^Wilko Zicht (20 January 2013)."Wahlsystem Niedersachsen". Wahlrecht.de. Retrieved28 September 2017.
  5. ^"FDP und Grüne in Hannover stellen sich auf Opposition ein".Die Welt. Deutsche Presse-Agentur. 27 October 2017. Retrieved1 November 2017.
  6. ^"Niedersachsen vor Großer Koalition". ZDF. Deutsche Press-Agentur. 1 November 2017. Archived fromthe original on 1 November 2017. Retrieved1 November 2017.
  7. ^"SPD und CDU schließen "Koalition der Vernunft"". NDR. 16 November 2017. Retrieved16 November 2017.

External links

[edit]
Lower Saxony
Brunswick
Oldenburg
Schaumburg-Lippe
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