 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Turnout | 57.9%[1] | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
 County results Congressional district results Precinct results
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Apresidential election was held inIndiana on Tuesday, November 8, 2016, as part of the2016 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus theDistrict of Columbia participated.Indiana voters chose electors to represent them in theElectoral College via a popular vote, pitting theRepublican Party's nominee, businessmanDonald Trump, and running mateIndiana GovernorMike Pence againstDemocratic Party nominee, formerSecretary of StateHillary Clinton, and her running mate VirginiaSenatorTim Kaine. Indiana has 11 electoral votes in the Electoral College.[2]
Trump won the state with 56.94% of the vote, while Clinton received 37.77%.[3] Indiana is the home state of Pence, which was believed to have provided assistance to the Trump campaign in what already would have been a Republican-leaning state.
Two candidates appeared on the Democratic presidential primary ballot:
| Indiana Democratic primary, May 3, 2016 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Popular vote | Estimated delegates | |||
| Count | Percentage | Pledged | Unpledged | Total | |
| Bernie Sanders | 335,074 | 52.46% | 44 | 0 | 44 |
| Hillary Clinton | 303,705 | 47.54% | 39 | 7 | 46 |
| Uncommitted | N/a | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
| Total | 638,779 | 100% | 83 | 9 | 92 |
| Source:[4] | |||||
Twelve candidates appeared on the Republican presidential primary ballot:
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bound | Unbound | Total | |||
| Donald Trump | 591,514 | 53.26% | 57 | 0 | 57 |
| Ted Cruz | 406,783 | 36.63% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| John Kasich | 84,111 | 7.57% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ben Carson(withdrawn) | 8,914 | 0.80% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jeb Bush(withdrawn) | 6,508 | 0.59% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Marco Rubio(withdrawn) | 5,175 | 0.47% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Rand Paul(withdrawn) | 4,306 | 0.39% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Chris Christie(withdrawn) | 1,738 | 0.16% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Carly Fiorina(withdrawn) | 1,494 | 0.13% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Unprojected delegates: | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
| Total: | 1,110,543 | 100.00% | 57 | 0 | 57 |
| Source:The Green Papers | |||||
Donald Trump won every pre-election poll conducted by at least 5 points, and often by double digits. The average of the last 3 polls showed Trump ahead of Hillary Clinton 49% to 38%.[5] Donald Trump had won almost all the undecided vote, as shown by the results where he won 56% to 37%.
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| CNN[6] | Safe R | November 4, 2016 |
| Cook Political Report[7] | Likely R | November 7, 2016 |
| Electoral-vote.com[8] | Safe R | November 7, 2016 |
| NBC[9] | Lean R | November 7, 2016 |
| RealClearPolitics[10] | Likely R | November 7, 2016 |
| Rothenberg Political Report[11] | Lean R | November 7, 2016 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[12] | Safe R | November 7, 2016 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Donald Trump Mike Pence | 1,557,286 | 56.94% | +2.81% | |
| Democratic | Hillary Clinton Tim Kaine | 1,033,126 | 37.77% | −6.16% | |
| Libertarian | Gary Johnson Bill Weld | 133,993 | 4.90% | +2.99% | |
| Green | Jill Stein (write-in) Ajamu Baraka | 7,841 | 0.29% | +0.27% | |
| Constitution | Darrell Castle (write-in) Scott Bradley | 1,937 | 0.07% | +0.06% | |
| Write-in | 775 | 0.03% | +0.03% | ||
| Total votes | 2,734,958 | 100.00% | |||
Trump won seven of nine congressional districts.[14]
| District | Trump | Clinton | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 41% | 53% | Pete Visclosky |
| 2nd | 58% | 35% | Jackie Walorski |
| 3rd | 64% | 30% | Marlin Stutzman |
| 4th | 63% | 30% | Todd Rokita |
| 5th | 52% | 41% | Susan Brooks |
| 6th | 67% | 27% | Luke Messer |
| 7th | 36% | 58% | André Carson |
| 8th | 64% | 31% | Larry Bucshon |
| 9th | 60% | 34% | Todd Young |
| County | Donald Trump Republican | Hillary Clinton Democratic | Various candidates Other parties | Margin | Total | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
| Adams | 9,648 | 73.12% | 2,805 | 21.26% | 741 | 5.62% | 6,843 | 51.86% | 13,194 |
| Allen | 83,930 | 56.47% | 55,382 | 37.26% | 9,320 | 6.27% | 28,548 | 19.21% | 148,632 |
| Bartholomew | 20,640 | 63.09% | 9,841 | 30.08% | 2,236 | 6.83% | 10,799 | 33.01% | 32,717 |
| Benton | 2,579 | 69.93% | 860 | 23.32% | 249 | 6.75% | 1,719 | 46.61% | 3,688 |
| Blackford | 3,350 | 68.63% | 1,243 | 25.47% | 288 | 5.90% | 2,107 | 43.16% | 4,881 |
| Boone | 19,654 | 60.41% | 10,181 | 31.29% | 2,702 | 8.30% | 9,473 | 29.12% | 32,537 |
| Brown | 5,016 | 62.69% | 2,518 | 31.47% | 467 | 5.84% | 2,498 | 31.22% | 8,001 |
| Carroll | 6,273 | 72.10% | 1,892 | 21.74% | 536 | 6.16% | 4,381 | 50.36% | 8,701 |
| Cass | 9,701 | 68.27% | 3,759 | 26.46% | 749 | 5.27% | 5,942 | 41.81% | 14,209 |
| Clark | 30,035 | 57.99% | 18,808 | 36.32% | 2,946 | 5.69% | 11,227 | 21.67% | 51,789 |
| Clay | 8,531 | 75.26% | 2,306 | 20.34% | 498 | 4.40% | 6,225 | 54.92% | 11,335 |
| Clinton | 8,531 | 71.15% | 2,819 | 23.51% | 641 | 5.34% | 5,712 | 47.64% | 11,991 |
| Crawford | 3,015 | 64.95% | 1,323 | 28.50% | 304 | 6.55% | 1,692 | 36.45% | 4,642 |
| Daviess | 8,545 | 78.98% | 1,800 | 16.64% | 474 | 4.38% | 6,745 | 62.34% | 10,819 |
| Dearborn | 18,113 | 75.06% | 4,883 | 20.24% | 1,135 | 4.70% | 13,230 | 54.82% | 24,131 |
| Decatur | 8,490 | 75.95% | 2,121 | 18.97% | 567 | 5.08% | 6,369 | 56.98% | 11,178 |
| DeKalb | 12,054 | 70.92% | 3,942 | 23.19% | 1,000 | 5.89% | 8,112 | 47.73% | 16,996 |
| Delaware | 24,263 | 53.31% | 18,153 | 39.89% | 3,093 | 6.80% | 6,110 | 13.42% | 45,509 |
| Dubois | 13,365 | 66.51% | 5,389 | 26.82% | 1,341 | 6.67% | 7,976 | 39.69% | 20,095 |
| Elkhart | 41,867 | 63.21% | 20,740 | 31.31% | 3,632 | 5.48% | 21,127 | 31.90% | 66,239 |
| Fayette | 6,839 | 71.25% | 2,252 | 23.46% | 507 | 5.29% | 4,587 | 47.79% | 9,598 |
| Floyd | 21,432 | 56.64% | 13,945 | 36.85% | 2,465 | 6.51% | 7,487 | 19.79% | 37,842 |
| Fountain | 5,662 | 75.15% | 1,476 | 19.59% | 396 | 5.26% | 4,186 | 55.56% | 7,534 |
| Franklin | 8,669 | 78.12% | 1,969 | 17.74% | 459 | 4.14% | 6,700 | 60.38% | 11,097 |
| Fulton | 6,010 | 71.23% | 1,960 | 23.23% | 467 | 5.54% | 4,050 | 48.00% | 8,437 |
| Gibson | 11,081 | 71.56% | 3,721 | 24.03% | 682 | 4.41% | 7,360 | 47.53% | 15,484 |
| Grant | 17,008 | 66.51% | 7,010 | 27.41% | 1,554 | 6.08% | 9,998 | 39.10% | 25,572 |
| Greene | 10,277 | 74.14% | 2,929 | 21.13% | 655 | 4.73% | 7,348 | 53.01% | 13,861 |
| Hamilton | 87,404 | 56.04% | 57,263 | 36.72% | 11,299 | 7.24% | 30,141 | 19.32% | 155,966 |
| Hancock | 25,074 | 68.76% | 8,904 | 24.42% | 2,490 | 6.82% | 16,170 | 44.34% | 36,468 |
| Harrison | 12,943 | 69.74% | 4,783 | 25.77% | 832 | 4.49% | 8,160 | 43.97% | 18,558 |
| Hendricks | 48,337 | 63.45% | 22,600 | 29.67% | 5,247 | 6.88% | 25,737 | 33.78% | 76,184 |
| Henry | 13,895 | 68.48% | 5,124 | 25.25% | 1,271 | 6.27% | 8,771 | 43.23% | 20,290 |
| Howard | 23,675 | 63.40% | 11,215 | 30.03% | 2,452 | 6.57% | 12,460 | 33.37% | 37,342 |
| Huntington | 11,649 | 71.99% | 3,506 | 21.67% | 1,026 | 6.34% | 8,143 | 50.32% | 16,181 |
| Jackson | 12,859 | 72.79% | 3,843 | 21.75% | 965 | 5.46% | 9,016 | 51.04% | 17,667 |
| Jasper | 9,382 | 69.61% | 3,329 | 24.70% | 767 | 5.69% | 6,053 | 44.91% | 13,478 |
| Jay | 5,697 | 71.02% | 1,889 | 23.55% | 436 | 5.43% | 3,808 | 47.47% | 8,022 |
| Jefferson | 8,546 | 62.59% | 4,326 | 31.69% | 781 | 5.72% | 4,220 | 30.90% | 13,653 |
| Jennings | 8,224 | 73.23% | 2,364 | 21.05% | 643 | 5.72% | 5,860 | 52.18% | 11,231 |
| Johnson | 45,456 | 67.70% | 17,318 | 25.79% | 4,373 | 6.51% | 28,138 | 41.91% | 67,147 |
| Knox | 11,077 | 71.00% | 3,772 | 24.18% | 753 | 4.82% | 7,305 | 46.82% | 15,602 |
| Kosciusko | 23,935 | 73.78% | 6,313 | 19.46% | 2,193 | 6.76% | 17,622 | 54.32% | 32,441 |
| LaGrange | 7,025 | 72.68% | 2,080 | 21.52% | 561 | 5.80% | 4,945 | 51.16% | 9,666 |
| Lake | 75,625 | 37.29% | 116,935 | 57.66% | 10,243 | 5.05% | -41,310 | -20.37% | 202,803 |
| LaPorte | 22,687 | 49.74% | 19,798 | 43.41% | 3,124 | 6.85% | 2,889 | 6.33% | 45,609 |
| Lawrence | 14,035 | 72.95% | 4,210 | 21.88% | 993 | 5.17% | 9,825 | 51.07% | 19,238 |
| Madison | 32,376 | 59.54% | 18,595 | 34.20% | 3,407 | 6.26% | 13,781 | 25.34% | 54,378 |
| Marion | 130,360 | 35.53% | 212,899 | 58.03% | 23,620 | 6.44% | -82,539 | -22.50% | 366,879 |
| Marshall | 12,288 | 67.36% | 4,798 | 26.30% | 1,155 | 6.34% | 7,490 | 41.06% | 18,241 |
| Martin | 3,697 | 76.29% | 881 | 18.18% | 268 | 5.53% | 2,816 | 58.11% | 4,846 |
| Miami | 9,975 | 73.34% | 2,766 | 20.34% | 860 | 6.32% | 7,209 | 53.00% | 13,601 |
| Monroe | 20,592 | 35.23% | 34,216 | 58.53% | 3,646 | 6.24% | -13,624 | -23.30% | 58,454 |
| Montgomery | 11,059 | 72.41% | 3,362 | 22.01% | 851 | 5.58% | 7,697 | 50.40% | 15,272 |
| Morgan | 23,674 | 75.28% | 6,040 | 19.21% | 1,732 | 5.51% | 17,634 | 56.07% | 31,446 |
| Newton | 4,077 | 69.57% | 1,404 | 23.96% | 379 | 6.47% | 2,673 | 45.61% | 5,860 |
| Noble | 12,198 | 71.32% | 3,904 | 22.83% | 1,002 | 5.85% | 8,294 | 48.49% | 17,104 |
| Ohio | 2,118 | 72.51% | 686 | 23.49% | 117 | 4.00% | 1,432 | 49.02% | 2,921 |
| Orange | 5,803 | 70.10% | 2,048 | 24.74% | 427 | 5.16% | 3,755 | 45.36% | 8,278 |
| Owen | 6,153 | 71.41% | 1,946 | 22.59% | 517 | 6.00% | 4,207 | 48.82% | 8,616 |
| Parke | 4,863 | 73.28% | 1,441 | 21.71% | 332 | 5.01% | 3,422 | 51.57% | 6,636 |
| Perry | 4,556 | 56.30% | 3,062 | 37.84% | 474 | 5.86% | 1,494 | 18.46% | 8,092 |
| Pike | 4,398 | 73.58% | 1,297 | 21.70% | 282 | 4.72% | 3,101 | 51.88% | 5,977 |
| Porter | 38,832 | 49.62% | 33,676 | 43.03% | 5,758 | 7.35% | 5,156 | 6.59% | 78,266 |
| Posey | 8,404 | 66.74% | 3,521 | 27.96% | 667 | 5.30% | 4,883 | 38.78% | 12,592 |
| Pulaski | 3,854 | 70.60% | 1,327 | 24.31% | 278 | 5.09% | 2,527 | 46.29% | 5,459 |
| Putnam | 10,637 | 71.78% | 3,356 | 22.65% | 825 | 5.57% | 7,281 | 49.13% | 14,818 |
| Randolph | 7,517 | 71.43% | 2,446 | 23.24% | 560 | 5.33% | 5,071 | 48.19% | 10,523 |
| Ripley | 9,806 | 75.81% | 2,471 | 19.10% | 658 | 5.09% | 7,335 | 56.71% | 12,935 |
| Rush | 5,292 | 72.83% | 1,525 | 20.99% | 449 | 6.18% | 3,767 | 51.84% | 7,266 |
| Scott | 6,074 | 66.40% | 2,642 | 28.88% | 431 | 4.72% | 3,432 | 37.52% | 9,147 |
| Shelby | 12,718 | 70.34% | 4,247 | 23.49% | 1,115 | 6.17% | 8,471 | 46.85% | 18,080 |
| Spencer | 6,572 | 65.41% | 2,861 | 28.47% | 615 | 6.12% | 3,711 | 36.94% | 10,048 |
| St. Joseph | 52,021 | 46.51% | 52,252 | 46.72% | 7,569 | 6.77% | -231 | -0.21% | 111,842 |
| Starke | 6,367 | 68.34% | 2,489 | 26.72% | 460 | 4.94% | 3,878 | 41.62% | 9,316 |
| Steuben | 10,133 | 68.87% | 3,744 | 25.45% | 837 | 5.68% | 6,389 | 43.42% | 14,714 |
| Sullivan | 6,138 | 71.26% | 2,113 | 24.53% | 362 | 4.21% | 4,025 | 46.73% | 8,613 |
| Switzerland | 2,558 | 68.97% | 930 | 25.07% | 221 | 5.96% | 1,628 | 43.90% | 3,709 |
| Tippecanoe | 30,768 | 48.57% | 27,282 | 43.07% | 5,292 | 8.36% | 3,486 | 5.50% | 63,342 |
| Tipton | 5,589 | 74.42% | 1,587 | 21.13% | 334 | 4.45% | 4,002 | 53.29% | 7,510 |
| Union | 2,445 | 73.76% | 715 | 21.57% | 155 | 4.67% | 1,730 | 52.19% | 3,315 |
| Vanderburgh | 40,496 | 55.19% | 28,530 | 38.88% | 4,349 | 5.93% | 11,966 | 16.31% | 73,375 |
| Vermillion | 4,513 | 64.72% | 2,081 | 29.84% | 379 | 5.44% | 2,432 | 34.88% | 6,973 |
| Vigo | 21,937 | 54.67% | 15,931 | 39.70% | 2,259 | 5.63% | 6,006 | 14.97% | 40,127 |
| Wabash | 9,821 | 72.47% | 3,018 | 22.27% | 713 | 5.26% | 6,803 | 50.20% | 13,552 |
| Warren | 2,898 | 73.31% | 839 | 21.22% | 216 | 5.47% | 2,059 | 52.09% | 3,953 |
| Warrick | 19,113 | 63.84% | 9,086 | 30.35% | 1,741 | 5.81% | 10,027 | 33.49% | 29,940 |
| Washington | 8,209 | 72.12% | 2,636 | 23.16% | 537 | 4.72% | 5,573 | 48.96% | 11,382 |
| Wayne | 16,028 | 62.66% | 8,322 | 32.53% | 1,229 | 4.81% | 7,706 | 30.13% | 25,579 |
| Wells | 10,005 | 75.30% | 2,586 | 19.46% | 696 | 5.24% | 7,419 | 55.84% | 13,287 |
| White | 6,893 | 68.27% | 2,590 | 25.65% | 614 | 6.08% | 4,303 | 42.62% | 10,097 |
| Whitley | 11,358 | 72.07% | 3,379 | 21.44% | 1,022 | 6.49% | 7,979 | 50.63% | 15,759 |
| Totals | 1,557,286 | 56.42% | 1,033,126 | 37.43% | 169,963 | 6.15% | 524,160 | 18.99% | 2,760,375 |
Swing by county
Trend relative to the state by county
County flipsDemocratic Hold | Republican Hold Gain from Democratic
|
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
.jpg)
Of the 2,760,375 votes cast, Donald Trump won 1,557,286 votes, Hillary Clinton won 1,033,126 votes and Gary Johnson won 133,993 votes.[15] Indiana has historically been the most conservative state in the Rust Belt. It wentDemocratic forBarack Obama in2008—the first time it had done so since1964, and only the fourth time since1912. However, it has shifted back to being solidlyRepublican. Republican nomineeDonald Trump carried the state by 19 points over DemocratHillary Clinton,[16] thus gaining all of Indiana's 11electoral votes.
Donald Trump's victory in Indiana can be attributed to several factors. For one, Donald Trump had selectedIndiana governorMike Pence as his running mate, effectively eliminating any chance that Clinton could repeat Obama's surprise upset win in the state overJohn McCain eight years prior. Also, the state skewswhiter and moreEvangelical Protestant than the rest of theMidwest and theRust Belt overall, which is a better demographic make-up for Republicans; Trump won white born-agains and evangelicals by a margin of 75–22.[17]
Suburban communities in the "doughnut counties" surroundingIndianapolis lean heavily Republican, and bolstered the Trump-Pence ticket in the state. Many of these voters are bothfiscally andsocially conservative. Another GOP stronghold that benefited Trump was thenortheast region aroundFort Wayne, which is a mix of suburban,exurban andrural areas, and is home to some of the most socially conservative voters in the nation.
InSouthern Indiana along theOhio River, especially aroundEvansville inVanderburgh County, the electorate is dominated by "Butternut Democrats" - socially conservative,working-classwhite voters who were Democrats for generations but have been trending Republican in reaction to the increased social liberalism of national Democrats.[18] Such voters turned out for Trump in full force, inspired by his economic populism and by Pence's social conservatism.
Trump also won inVigo County, home toTerre Haute and a notedbellwether; it has voted for the winner of every presidential election all but twice since1892. Clinton, for her part, performed well inIndianapolis inMarion County and inGary inLake County, which has a largeAfrican American population and is considered part of theChicago Metropolitan Area. Clinton wonAfrican Americans by a margin of 83–12. She also wonSt. Joseph andMonroe counties, home to theUniversity of Notre Dame andIndiana University, respectively. Areas, where Clinton improved on Obama's performance in2012, were predominantly located in well-educated suburbs of Indianapolis and areas surrounding large universities, where several socially moderate Republicans chose not to vote for Trump out of discomfort for his controversial views on race and women.
State and district results of the2016 United States presidential election | ||
|---|---|---|
|  | |
.jpg)
