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2016 United States presidential election

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For related races, see2016 United States elections.

2016 United States presidential election

← 2012November 8, 20162020 →

538 members of theElectoral College
270 electoral votes needed to win
Opinion polls
Turnout60.1%[1] (Increase 1.5pp)
 
NomineeDonald TrumpHillary Clinton
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Home stateNew YorkNew York
Running mateMike PenceTim Kaine
Electoral vote304[a]227[a]
States carried30 +ME-0220 +DC
Popular vote62,984,828[2]65,853,514[2]
Percentage46.1%[2]48.2%[2]

Presidential election results map.Red denotes states won by Trump/Pence andblue denotes those won by Clinton/Kaine. Numbers indicateelectoral votes cast by each state and the District of Columbia. On election night, Trump won 306 electors and Clinton 232. However, because of sevenfaithless electors (five Democratic and two Republican), Trump received 304 votes and Clinton 227.

President before election

Barack Obama
Democratic

Elected President

Donald Trump
Republican

2016 U.S. presidential election
Republican Party
Democratic Party
Third parties
Related races
← 201220162020 →

Presidential elections were held in theUnited States on November 8, 2016. TheRepublican ticket ofbusinessmanDonald Trump andIndiana governorMike Pence defeated theDemocratic ticket of formersecretary of stateHillary Clinton and Virginia junior senatorTim Kaine, in what was considered one of the biggest politicalupsets in American history.[3] It was the fifth and most recent presidential election in which thewinning candidate lost the popular vote.[2][4]

Incumbent Democratic presidentBarack Obama was ineligible to pursue a third term due to the term limits established by theTwenty-second Amendment to the U.S. Constitution. Clinton secured the nomination over U.S. senatorBernie Sanders inthe Democratic primary and became the first female presidential nominee of a major American political party. Initially considered anovelty candidate, Trump presented himself as a blunt-spoken political outsider and emerged as theRepublican front-runner, defeating several notable opponents, including U.S. senatorsTed Cruz andMarco Rubio, as well as governorsJohn Kasich andJeb Bush.[5] Trump'sright-wing populist,nationalist campaign, which promised to "Make America Great Again" and opposedpolitical correctness,illegal immigration, and manyUS free trade agreements,[6] garnered extensivefree media coverage due to Trump's inflammatory comments.[7][8] Clinton emphasized her extensive political experience; denounced Trump and half of his supporters as "deplorable" bigots and extremists; and advocated the expansion ofObama's policies, stressingracial equality,LGBT rights,women's rights, andinclusive capitalism.[9]

The tone of the election campaign was widely characterized as divisive, negative, and troubling.[10][11][12] Trump faced controversy overhis views on race and immigration, incidents ofviolence against protesters at his rallies,[13][14][15] and numeroussexual misconduct allegations including theAccess Hollywood tape. Clinton's popularity and public image were tarnished by concerns about her ethics and trustworthiness,[16] and a controversy and subsequentFBI investigation regardingher improper use of a private email server while serving as secretary of state, which received more media coverage than any other topic during the campaign.[17][18] Clinton led in almost every nationwide and swing-state poll, with some predictive models giving her over a 90 percent chance of victory.[19][20]

On election day, Trump over-performed his polls, winning several key swing states for a majority in theElectoral College while losing the nationwide popular vote by 2.87 million votes.[21] Trump flipped six states that had voted Democratic in 2012:Florida,Iowa,Michigan,Ohio,Pennsylvania, andWisconsin, as well asMaine's 2nd congressional district. He gained a combined 46 electoral votes from his pivotal upset victories in the Democratic-leaningRust Belt states ofMichigan,Pennsylvania, andWisconsin, which he carried by fewer than 80,000 votes in the three states combined. Trump's surprise victories were perceived to have been assisted by Clinton's lack of campaigning in some swing states (especially Wisconsin),[22] the rightward shift of the whiteworking class,[23] as well as the influence ofObama–Trump voters andSanders–Trump voters.[24][25][26] Ultimately, Trump received 304 electoral votes and Clinton 227, as twofaithless electors defected from Trump and five from Clinton. Trump was the first president with neitherprior public service nor military experience.

With ballot access to the entire national electorate,Libertarian nomineeGary Johnson received nearly 4.5 million votes (3.27%), the highest nationwide vote share for a third-party candidate sinceRoss Perot in1996,[27] whileGreen Party nomineeJill Stein received almost 1.45 million votes (1.06%). Independent candidateEvan McMullin received21.4% of the vote in his home state of Utah, the highest share of the vote for a non-major party candidate in any state since 1992.[28]

On January 6, 2017, theU.S. Intelligence Community concluded that theRussian government had interfered in the election[29][30] in order to "undermine public faith in the U.S. democratic process, denigrate Secretary Clinton, and harm her electability and potential presidency".[31] ASpecial Counsel investigation[32][33] concluded in March 2019 that Russia had interfered "in sweeping and systematic fashion" in favor of Trump's candidacy, but did not establish that members of the Trump campaign colluded with the Russian government.[34][35]

Background

Further information:United States presidential election § Procedure
Theincumbent in 2016,Barack Obama. His second term expired at noon on January 20, 2017.

PresidentBarack Obama, aDemocrat and formerU.S. senator fromIllinois, was ineligible to seek reelection to a third term due to the restrictions of the American presidential term limits established by theTwenty-second Amendment.[36][37]

Both the Democratic and Republican parties, as well as third parties such as the Green and Libertarian parties, held a series ofpresidential primary elections and caucuses that took place between February and June 2016, staggered among the 50 states, theDistrict of Columbia, andU.S. territories. This nominating process was also an indirect election, where voters cast ballots for a slate of delegates to a political party'snominating convention, who in turn elected their party's presidential nominee. Speculation about the 2016 campaign began almost immediately following the 2012 campaign, withNew York magazine declaring that the race had begun in an article published on November 8, two days after the 2012 election.[38] On the same day,Politico released an article predicting that the 2016 general election would be between Clinton and formerFlorida GovernorJeb Bush, while an article inThe New York Times namedNew Jersey GovernorChris Christie and SenatorCory Booker fromNew Jersey as potential candidates.[39][40]

Nominations

Republican Party

Primaries

Main article:2016 Republican Party presidential primaries

With seventeen major candidates entering the race, starting withTed Cruz on March 23, 2015, this was the largest presidential primary field for any political party in American history,[41] before being overtaken by the 2020 Democratic presidential primaries.[42]

Prior to theIowa caucuses on February 1, 2016, Perry, Walker, Jindal, Graham, and Pataki withdrew due to low polling numbers. Despite leading many polls in Iowa, Trump came in second to Cruz, after which Huckabee, Paul, and Santorum withdrew due to poor performances at the ballot box. Following a sizable victory for Trump in theNew Hampshire primary, Christie, Fiorina, and Gilmore abandoned the race. Bush followed suit after scoring fourth place to Trump, Rubio, and Cruz inSouth Carolina. On March 1, the first of four "Super Tuesday" primaries, Rubio won his first contest in Minnesota, Cruz won Alaska, Oklahoma, and his home state of Texas, and Trump won the other seven states that voted. Failing to gain traction, Carson suspended his campaign a few days later.[43] On March 15, the second "Super Tuesday", Kasich won his only contest in his home state of Ohio, and Trump won five primaries including Florida. Rubio suspended his campaign after losing his home state.[44]

Between March 16 and May 3, only three candidates remained in the race: Trump, Cruz, and Kasich. Cruz won the most delegates in four Western contests and in Wisconsin, keeping a credible path to denying Trump the nomination on the first ballot with 1,237 delegates. Trump then augmented his lead by scoring landslide victories in New York and five Northeastern states in April, followed by a decisive victory in Indiana on May 3, securing all 57 of the state's delegates. Without any further chances of forcing acontested convention, both Cruz[45] and Kasich[46] suspended their campaigns. Trump remained the only active candidate and was declared the presumptive Republican nominee byRepublican National Committee chairmanReince Priebus on the evening of May 3.[47]

A 2018 study found that media coverage of Trump led to increased public support for him during the primaries. The study showed that Trump received nearly $2 billion in free media, more than double any other candidate. Political scientistJohn M. Sides argued that Trump's polling surge was "almost certainly" due to frequent media coverage of his campaign. Sides concluded "Trump is surging in the polls because the news media has consistently focused on him since he announced his candidacy on June 16".[48] Prior to clinching the Republican nomination, Trump received little support from establishment Republicans.[49]

Nominees

This article is part of
a series about
Donald Trump


45th and 47th
President of the United States

Tenure
Timeline
Executive actions
Trips
Shutdowns
Speeches
Opinion polls
Legal affairs
Protests
2020 presidential election overturning attempts






Donald Trump's signature
Seal of the President of the United States
Main article:Donald Trump 2016 presidential campaign
This article is part of
a series about
Mike Pence

Vice President of the United States


U.S. Representative
for Indiana's 2nd and 6th districts


Vice presidential campaigns
Republican Party (United States)
Republican Party (United States)
2016 Republican Party ticket
Donald TrumpMike Pence
for Presidentfor Vice President
Chairman of
The Trump Organization
(1971–2017)
50th
Governor of Indiana
(2013–2017)
Campaign

Candidates

Main article:2016 Republican Party presidential candidates

Major candidates were determined by the various media based on common consensus. The following were invited to sanctioned televised debates based on their poll ratings.

Trump received 14,010,177 total votes in the primary. Trump, Cruz, Rubio and Kasich each won at least one primary, with Trump receiving the highest number of votes and Ted Cruz receiving the second highest.

Candidates in this section are sorted by popular vote from the primaries
Ted CruzJohn KasichMarco RubioBen CarsonJeb BushRand PaulChris ChristieMike Huckabee
U.S. senator
fromTexas
(2013–present)
69th
Governor of Ohio
(2011–2019)
U.S. senator
fromFlorida
(2011–2025)
Dir. ofPediatric Neurosurgery,
Johns Hopkins Hospital
(1984–2013)
43rd
Governor of Florida
(1999–2007)
U.S. senator
fromKentucky
(2011–present)
55th
Governor of New Jersey
(2010–2018)
44th
Governor of Arkansas
(1996–2007)
CampaignCampaignCampaignCampaignCampaignCampaignCampaignCampaign
W: May 3
7,811,110 votes
W: May 4
4,287,479 votes
W: Mar 15
3,514,124 votes
W: Mar 4
857,009 votes
W: Feb 20
286,634 votes
W: Feb 3
66,781 votes
W: Feb 10
57,634 votes
W: Feb 1
51,436 votes
[50][51][52][53][54][55][56][57][58][59][60][61][62][63][64][65][66][67][68]
Carly FiorinaJim GilmoreRick SantorumLindsey GrahamGeorge PatakiBobby JindalScott WalkerRick Perry
CEO of
Hewlett-Packard
(1999–2005)
68th
Governor of Virginia
(1998–2002)
U.S. senator
fromPennsylvania
(1995–2007)
U.S. senator
fromSouth Carolina
(2003–present)
53rd
Governor of New York
(1995–2006)
55th
Governor of Louisiana
(2008–2016)
45th
Governor of Wisconsin
(2011–2019)
47th
Governor of Texas
(2000–2015)
CampaignCampaignCampaignCampaignCampaignCampaignCampaignCampaign
W: Feb 10
40,577 votes
W: Feb 12
18,364 votes
W: Feb 3
16,622 votes
W: December 21, 2015
5,666 votes
W: December 29, 2015
2,036 votes
W: November 17, 2015
222 votes
W: September 21, 2015
1 write-in vote in New Hampshire
W: September 11, 2015
1 write-in vote in New Hampshire
[69][70][71][72][73][74][75][76][77][78][79][80][81][82][82][83][84]

Vice presidential selection

Main article:2016 Republican Party vice presidential candidate selection

Trump turned his attention towards selecting a running mate after he became the presumptive nominee on May 4.[85] In mid-June, Eli Stokols and Burgess Everett ofPolitico reported that the Trump campaign was consideringNew Jersey GovernorChris Christie, formerSpeaker of the HouseNewt Gingrich fromGeorgia, SenatorJeff Sessions of Alabama, andOklahoma GovernorMary Fallin.[86] A June 30 report fromThe Washington Post also included SenatorsBob Corker from Tennessee,Richard Burr fromNorth Carolina,Tom Cotton from Arkansas,Joni Ernst from Iowa, and Indiana governorMike Pence as individuals still being considered for the ticket.[87] Trump also said he was considering two military generals for the position, including retired Lieutenant GeneralMichael Flynn.[88]

It was on July 12 reported that Trump had narrowed his list of possible running mates down to three: Christie, Gingrich, and Pence.[89] Two days later, several major media outlets reported that Trump had selected Pence as his running mate. Trump confirmed these reports in a messageTwitter on July 15, and formally made the announcement the following day in New York.[90][91] On July 19, the second night of the2016 Republican National Convention, Pence won the Republican vice presidential nomination by acclamation.[92]

Democratic Party

Primaries

Main article:2016 Democratic Party presidential primaries

Former secretary of stateHillary Clinton, who also served in the U.S. Senate and was thefirst lady of the United States, became the first Democrat in the field to formally launch a major candidacy for the presidency with an announcement on April 12, 2015, via a video message.[93] Whilenationwide opinion polls in 2015 indicated that Clinton was thefront-runner for the 2016 Democratic presidential nomination, she faced strong challenges from independent SenatorBernie Sanders of Vermont,[94] who became the second major candidate when he formally announced on April 30, that he was running for the Democratic nomination.[95] September 2015 polling numbers indicated a narrowing gap between Clinton and Sanders.[94][96][97] On May 30, formergovernor of MarylandMartin O'Malley was the third major candidate to enter the Democratic primary race,[98] followed by former independent governor and Republican senator of Rhode IslandLincoln Chafee on June 3,[99][100] former Virginia senatorJim Webb on July 2,[101] and former Harvard law professorLawrence Lessig on September 6.[102]

On October 20, Webb announced his withdrawal from the primaries, and explored a potential independent run.[103] The next day, Vice PresidentJoe Biden decided not to run, ending months of speculation, stating, "While I will not be a candidate, I will not be silent".[104][105] On October 23, Chafee withdrew, stating that he hoped for "an end to the endless wars and the beginning of a new era for the United States and humanity".[106] On November 2, after failing to qualify for the second DNC-sanctioned debate after adoption of a rule change negated polls which before might have necessitated his inclusion in the debate, Lessig withdrew as well, narrowing the field to Clinton, O'Malley, and Sanders.[107]

On February 1, 2016, Clinton won theIowa caucuses by a margin of 0.2 points over Sanders. After winning no delegates in Iowa, O'Malley withdrew from the presidential race that day. On February 9, Sanders bounced back to win theNew Hampshire primary with 60% of the vote. In the remaining two February contests, Clinton won theNevada caucuses with 53% of the vote and scored a decisive victory in theSouth Carolina primary with 73% of the vote.[108][109] On March 1, eleven states participated in the first of four "Super Tuesday" primaries. Clinton won Alabama, Arkansas, Georgia, Massachusetts, Tennessee, Texas, and Virginia and 504 pledged delegates, while Sanders wonColorado, Minnesota,Oklahoma, and his home state of Vermont and 340 delegates. The following weekend, Sanders won victories inKansas,Nebraska, andMaine with 15- to 30-point margins, while Clinton won theLouisiana primary with 71% of the vote. On March 8, despite never having a lead in theMichigan primary, Sanders won by a small margin of 1.5 points and outperforming polls by over 19 points, while Clinton won 83% of the vote inMississippi.[110] On March 15, the second "Super Tuesday", Clinton won inFlorida,Illinois,Missouri,North Carolina, andOhio. Between March 22 and April 9, Sanders won six caucuses inIdaho,Utah,Alaska,Hawaii,Washington, andWyoming, as well as theWisconsin primary, while Clinton won theArizona primary. On April 19, Clinton won theNew York primary with 58% of the vote. On April 26, in the third "Super Tuesday" dubbed the "Acela primary", she won contests inConnecticut,Delaware,Maryland, andPennsylvania, while Sanders won inRhode Island. Over the course of May, Sanders accomplished another surprise win in theIndiana primary[111] and also won inWest Virginia andOregon, while Clinton won theGuam caucus andKentucky primary (and also non-binding primaries in Nebraska and Washington).

On June 4–5, Clinton won two victories in theVirgin Islands caucus andPuerto Rico primary. Two days later, theAssociated Press andNBC News reported that Clinton had become thepresumptive nominee after reaching the required number of delegates, including pledged delegates andsuperdelegates, to secure the nomination, becoming thefirst woman to ever clinch the presidential nomination of a major U.S. political party.[112] On June 7, Clinton secured a majority of pledged delegates after winning primaries inCalifornia,New Jersey,New Mexico, andSouth Dakota, while Sanders won onlyMontana andNorth Dakota. Clinton also won the final primary in theDistrict of Columbia on June 14. At the conclusion of the primary process, Clinton had won 2,204 pledged delegates (54% of the total) awarded by the primary elections and caucuses, while Sanders had won 1,847 (46%). Out of the 714unpledged delegates or "superdelegates" who were set to vote in theconvention in July, Clinton received endorsements from 560 (78%), while Sanders received 47 (7%).[113]

Although Sanders had not formally dropped out of the race, he announced on June 16, that his main goal in the coming months would be to work with Clinton to defeat Trump in the general election.[114] On July 8, appointees from the Clinton campaign, the Sanders campaign, and the Democratic National Committee negotiated a draft of the party's platform.[115] On July 12, Sanders formally endorsed Clinton at a rally in New Hampshire in which he appeared with her.[116] Sanders then went on to headline 39 campaign rallies on behalf of Clinton in 13 key states.[117]

Nominees

Main article:Hillary Clinton 2016 presidential campaign
This article is part of
a series about
Hillary Clinton


First Lady of Arkansas


U.S. Senator from New York



‹ Thetemplate below (Tim Kaine series) is being considered for deletion. Seetemplates for discussion to help reach a consensus. ›
This article is part of
a series about
Tim Kaine

Mayor of Richmond

Lieutenant Governor of Virginia

Chair of the DNC

Governor of Virginia

U.S. Senator from Virginia

Vice presidential campaign

Democratic Party (United States)
Democratic Party (United States)
2016 Democratic Party ticket
Hillary ClintonTim Kaine
for Presidentfor Vice President
67th
U.S. Secretary of State
(2009–2013)
U.S. Senator
fromVirginia
(2013–present)
Campaign

Candidates

Main article:2016 Democratic Party presidential candidates

The following candidates were frequently interviewed by major broadcast networks and cable news channels or were listed in publicly published national polls. Lessig was invited to one forum, but withdrew when rules were changed which prevented him from participating in officially sanctioned debates.

Clinton received 16,849,779 votes in the primary.

Candidates in this section are sorted by popular vote from the primaries
Bernie SandersMartin O'MalleyLawrence LessigJim WebbLincoln Chafee
U.S. senator fromVermont
(2007–present)
61st
governor of Maryland
(2007–2015)
Harvard Law professor
(2009–2016)
U.S. senator
fromVirginia
(2007–2013)
74th
Governor of Rhode Island
(2011–2015)
CampaignCampaignCampaignCampaignCampaign
LN: July 26, 2016
13,167,848 votes
W: February 1, 2016
110,423 votes
W: November 2, 2015
4 write-in votes in New Hampshire
W: October 20, 2015
2 write-in votes in New Hampshire
W: October 23, 2015
0 votes
[118][119][120][107][121][122]

Vice presidential selection

Main article:2016 Democratic Party vice presidential candidate selection

In April 2016, the Clinton campaign began to compile a list of 15 to 20 individuals to vet for the position of running mate, even though Sanders continued to challenge Clinton in the Democratic primaries.[123] In mid-June,The Wall Street Journal reported that Clinton's shortlist included RepresentativeXavier Becerra from California, SenatorCory Booker fromNew Jersey, SenatorSherrod Brown fromOhio, Housing and Urban Development SecretaryJulián Castro fromTexas, Mayor ofLos AngelesEric Garcetti fromCalifornia, SenatorTim Kaine fromVirginia,Labor SecretaryTom Perez fromMaryland, RepresentativeTim Ryan from Ohio, and SenatorElizabeth Warren fromMassachusetts.[124] Subsequent reports stated that Clinton was also considering Secretary of AgricultureTom Vilsack, retired AdmiralJames Stavridis, and GovernorJohn Hickenlooper of Colorado.[125] In discussing her potential vice presidential choice, Clinton said the most important attribute she looked for was the ability and experience to immediately step into the role of president.[125]

On July 22, Clinton announced that she had chosen Senator Tim Kaine from Virginia as her running mate.[126] The delegates at the2016 Democratic National Convention, which took place July 25–28, formally nominated the Democratic ticket.

Minor parties and independents

Main article:Third party and independent candidates for the 2016 United States presidential election
Campaign signs of third-party candidatesJill Stein andGary Johnson, October 2016 inSt. Johnsbury, Vermont

Third party andindependent candidates who obtained more than 100,000 votes nationally or on ballot in at least 15 states are listed separately.

Libertarian Party

Main articles:Libertarian Party (United States) and2016 Libertarian Party presidential primaries
This article is part of
a series about
Gary Johnson

Governor of New Mexico

Presidential campaigns


Seal of the Governor of New Mexico
This article is part of
a series about
Bill Weld

Pre-governorship

Governor of Massachusetts



Notable endorsements:Scott Rigell,Tom Campbell,James L. Buckley,Jesse Ventura,John Stossel
Additional party endorsements:Independence Party of New York
Notable endorsements:Adam Kokesh,John Moore,L. Neil Smith

Ballot access to all 538 electoral votes

Nominees

Main article:Gary Johnson 2016 presidential campaign
2016 Libertarian Party ticket
Gary JohnsonBill Weld
for Presidentfor Vice President
29th
Governor of New Mexico
(1995–2003)
68th
Governor of Massachusetts
(1991–1997)
Withdrawn candidates
Candidates in this section are sorted by popular vote from the primaries
John McAfeeAustin Petersen
Founder and CEO ofMcAfee, Inc.Owner and founder ofThe Libertarian Republic
CampaignCampaign
3,391 votes3,066 votes

Green Party

Main articles:Green Party of the United States and2016 Green Party presidential primaries
This article is part of
a series about
Jill Stein





Ballot access to 480 electoral votes (522 with write-in):[127]map

  • As write-in:Georgia, Indiana, North Carolina[128][129]
  • No ballot access:Nevada, South Dakota, Oklahoma[128][130]

Nominees

Main article:Jill Stein 2016 presidential campaign
2016 Green Party ticket
Jill SteinAjamu Baraka
for Presidentfor Vice President
Physician
fromLexington, Massachusetts
Activist
fromWashington, D.C.

Constitution Party

Main articles:Constitution Party of the United States and2016 Constitution Party presidential primaries

Ballot access to 207 electoral votes (451 with write-in):[131][132]map

  • As write-in:Alabama, Arizona, Connecticut, Delaware, Georgia, Illinois, Indiana, Kansas, Kentucky, Maine, Maryland, Montana, Nebraska, New Hampshire, New York, Ohio, Oregon, Rhode Island, Tennessee, Texas, Vermont, Virginia[131][133][134][135][136]
  • No ballot access:California, District of Columbia, Massachusetts, North Carolina, Oklahoma[131]

Nominees

Main article:Darrell Castle 2016 presidential campaign

2016 Constitution Party ticket

Darrell CastleScott Bradley
for Presidentfor Vice President
Attorney
fromMemphis, Tennessee
Businessman
fromUtah
Campaign
[137]

Independent

Main article:Evan McMullin 2016 presidential campaign
Additional party endorsement:Independence Party of Minnesota,South Carolina Independence Party

Ballot access to 84 electoral votes (451 with write-in):[138]map

  • As write-in:Alabama, Alaska, Arizona, California, Connecticut, Delaware, Georgia, Illinois, Kansas, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New York, North Dakota, Ohio, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, Tennessee, Texas, Vermont, Washington, West Virginia, Wisconsin[138][139][140][141][142][143][144]
  • No ballot access:District of Columbia, Florida, Hawaii, Indiana, Mississippi, Nevada, North Carolina, Oklahoma, South Dakota, Wyoming

In some states, Evan McMullin's running mate was listed as Nathan Johnson on the ballot rather than Mindy Finn, although Nathan Johnson was intended to only be a placeholder until an actual running mate was chosen.[145]

2016 Independent ticket
Evan McMullinMindy Finn
for Presidentfor Vice President
Chief policy director for the
House Republican Conference(2015–2016)
President of
Empowered Women
(2015–present)
Campaign
[146]

Party for Socialism and Liberation

2016Socialism and Liberation ticket
Gloria La RivaEugene Puryear
for Presidentfor Vice President
Newspaper printer and activist from CaliforniaActivist from Washington, D.C.

Other nominations

Main article:Third-party and independent candidates for the 2016 United States presidential election
PartyPresidential nomineeVice presidential nomineeAttainable electors
(write-in)
Popular voteStates with ballot access
(write-in)
Party for Socialism and Liberation

Peace and Freedom[147]
Liberty Union Party[148]

Gloria La Riva
Newspaper printer and activist fromCalifornia
Eugene Puryear
Activist fromWashington, D.C.
112
(226)
map
74,402
(0.05%)
California, Colorado, Iowa, Louisiana, New Jersey, New Mexico, Vermont, Washington[149][150]
(Alabama, Connecticut, Delaware, Kansas, Maryland, Minnesota, New Hampshire, New York, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, West Virginia)[140][141][143][135][151][152][153][154][155]
IndependentRichard Duncan
Real Estate Agent fromOhio
Ricky Johnson
Preacher fromPennsylvania
18
(173)
24,307
(0.02%)
Ohio[156]
(Alabama, Alaska, Delaware, Florida, Idaho, Indiana, Iowa, Kentucky, Maryland, Minnesota, Montana, Nebraska, New Hampshire, New Jersey, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, Vermont, West Virginia)[135][151][152][157][158][153][154][150][155][159][160][161][162]

General election campaign

A general election ballot, listing the presidential and vice presidential candidates
Presidential candidates Trump and Clinton campaigned in 26 states, excluding their home state, during the 2016 United States presidential election.[163]

Beliefs and policies of candidates

Main articles:Political positions of Donald Trump andPolitical positions of Hillary Clinton

Hillary Clinton focused her candidacy on several themes, including raising middle class incomes, expanding women's rights, instituting campaign finance reform, and improving theAffordable Care Act. In March 2016, she laid out a detailed economic plan basing her economic philosophy oninclusive capitalism, which proposed a "clawback" that rescindstax cuts and other benefits for companies that move jobs overseas; with provision of incentives for companies that share profits with employees, communities and the environment, rather than focusing on short-term profits to increase stock value and rewarding shareholders; as well as increasingcollective bargaining rights; and placing an "exit tax" on companies that move their headquarters out of the U.S. in order to pay a lower tax rate overseas.[164] Clinton promotedequal pay for equal work to address current alleged shortfalls in how much women are paid to do the same jobs men do,[165] promoted explicitly focus on family issues and support ofuniversal preschool,[166] expressed support for the right tosame-sex marriage,[166] and proposed allowingundocumented immigrants to have a path tocitizenship stating that it "[i]s at its heart a family issue".[167]

Donald Trump's campaign drew heavily on his personal image, enhanced by his previous media exposure.[168] The primary slogan of the Trump campaign, extensively used on campaign merchandise, wasMake America Great Again. The red baseball cap with the slogan emblazoned on the front became a symbol of the campaign and has been frequently donned by Trump and his supporters.[169] Trump'sright-wing populist positions—reported byThe New Yorker to benativist,protectionist, and semi-isolationist—differ in many ways fromtraditional U.S. conservatism.[170] He opposed manyfree trade deals andmilitary interventionist policies that conservatives generally support, and opposed cuts inMedicare andSocial Security benefits. Moreover, he has insisted that Washington is "broken" and can be fixed only by an outsider.[171][172][173] Support for Trump was high among working and middle-class white male voters with annual incomes of less than $50,000 and nocollege degree.[174] This group, particularly those without ahigh-school diploma, suffered a decline in their income in recent years.[175] According toThe Washington Post, support for Trump is higher in areas with a higher mortality rate for middle-aged white people.[176] A sample of interviews with more than 11,000 Republican-leaning respondents from August to December 2015 found that Trump at that time found his strongest support among Republicans inWest Virginia, followed byNew York, and then followed by six Southern states.[177]

Media coverage

Main article:Media coverage of the 2016 United States presidential election

Clinton had an uneasy—and, at times, adversarial—relationship with the press throughout her life in public service.[178] Weeks before her official entry as a presidential candidate, Clinton attended a political press corps event, pledging to start fresh on what she described as a "complicated" relationship with political reporters.[179] Clinton was initially criticized by the press for avoiding taking their questions,[180][181] after which she provided more interviews.

In contrast, Trump benefited from free media more than any other candidate. From the beginning of his campaign through February 2016, Trump received almost $2 billion in free media attention, twice the amount that Clinton received.[182] According to data from theTyndall Report, which tracks nightly news content, through February 2016, Trump alone accounted for more than a quarter of all 2016 election coverage on the evening newscasts ofNBC,CBS andABC, more than all the Democratic campaigns combined.[183][184][185] Observers noted Trump's ability to garner constant mainstream media coverage "almost at will".[186] However, Trump frequently criticized the media for writing what he alleged to be false stories about him[187] and he has called upon his supporters to be "thesilent majority".[188] Trump also said the media "put false meaning into the words I say", and says he does not mind being criticized by the media as long as they are honest about it.[189][190]

Controversies

Trump at a rally inPhoenix, Arizona on October 29
Clinton campaigning in Raleigh, North Carolina on October 22

According to a wide range of representative polls, both Clinton and Trump had significant net-unfavorability ratings, and their controversial reputations set the tone of the campaign.[191]

Clinton's practice during her time as Secretary of State ofusing a private email address and server, in lieu of State Department servers, gained widespread public attention back in March 2015.[192] Concerns were raised about security and preservation of emails, and the possibility that laws may have been violated.[193] After allegations were raised that some of the emails in question fell into this so-called "born classified" category, an FBI probe was initiated regarding how classified information was handled on the Clinton server.[194][195][196][197]The FBI probe was concluded on July 5, 2016, with a recommendation of no charges, a recommendation that was followed by the Justice Department.

Also, on September 9, Clinton said: "You know, just to be grossly generalistic, you could put half of Trump's supporters into what I call thebasket of deplorables. They're racist, sexist, homophobic, xenophobic, Islamophobic—you name it",[198] adding "But that 'other' basket of people are people who feel the government has let them down, the economy has let them down, nobody cares about them, nobody worries about what happens to their lives and their futures; and they're just desperate for change...Those are people we have to understand and empathize with as well".[199]

Donald Trump criticized her remark as insulting his supporters.[200][201] The following day Clinton expressed regret for saying "half", while insisting that Trump had deplorably amplified "hateful views and voices".[202] Previously on August 25, Clinton gave a speech criticizing Trump's campaign for using "racist lies" and allowing thealt-right to gain prominence.[203]

On September 11, Clinton left a 9/11 memorial event early due to illness.[204] Video footage of Clinton's departure showed Clinton becoming unsteady on her feet and being helped into a van.[205] Later that evening, Clinton reassured reporters that she was "feeling great".[206] After initially stating that Clinton had become overheated at the event, her campaign later added that she had been diagnosed withpneumonia two days earlier.[205] The media criticized the Clinton campaign for a lack of transparency regarding Clinton's illness.[205] Clinton cancelled a planned trip to California due to her illness. The episode drew renewed public attention to questions about Clinton's health.[206]

On the other side, on October 7,video and accompanying audio were released byThe Washington Post in which Trump referred obscenely to women in a 2005 conversation withBilly Bush while they were preparing to film an episode ofAccess Hollywood. In the recording, Trump described his attempts to initiate a sexual relationship with a married woman and added that women would allow male celebrities to grope their genitalia (Trump used the phrase "grab 'em by the pussy"). The audio was met with a reaction of disbelief and disgust from the media.[207][208][209] Following the revelation, Trump's campaign issued an apology, stating that the video was of a private conversation from "many years ago".[210] The incident was condemned by numerous prominent Republicans likeReince Priebus,Mitt Romney,John Kasich,Jeb Bush[211] and theSpeaker of the HousePaul Ryan.[212] Many believed the video had doomed Trump's chances for election. By October 8, several dozen Republicans had called for Trump to withdraw from the campaign and let Pence andCondoleezza Rice head the ticket.[213] Trump insisted he would never drop out, but apologized for his remarks.[214][215]

Trump also delivered strong and controversial statements towards Muslims and Islam on the campaign trail, saying, "I think Islam hates us".[216] He was criticized and also supported for his statement at a rally declaring, "Donald J. Trump is calling for a total and complete shutdown of Muslims entering the United States until our country's representatives can figure out what is going on".[217] Additionally, Trump announced that he would "look into" surveilling mosques, and mentioned potentially going after the families ofdomestic terrorists in the wake of theSan Bernardino shooting.[218] His strong rhetoric towards Muslims resulted in leadership from both parties condemning his statements. However, many of his supporters shared their support for his proposedtravel ban, despite the backlash.[217]

Throughout the campaign, Trump indicated in interviews, speeches, andTwitter posts that he would refuse to recognize the outcome of the election if he was defeated.[219][220] Trump falsely stated that the election would berigged against him.[221][222] During the finalpresidential debate of 2016, Trump refused to tellFox News anchorChris Wallace whether or not he would accept the election results.[223] The rejection of election results by a major nominee would have been unprecedented at the time as no major presidential candidate had ever refused to accept the outcome of an election until Trump did so himself in the following2020 presidential election.[224][225]

The ongoing controversy of the election made third parties attract voters' attention. On March 3, 2016, Libertarian Gary Johnson addressed theConservative Political Action Conference in Washington, DC, touting himself as the third-party option for anti-Trump Republicans.[226][227] In early May, some commentators opined that Johnson was moderate enough to pull votes away from both Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump who were very disliked and polarizing.[228] Johnson also began to get time on national television, being invited onABC News,NBC News,CBS News,CNN,Fox News,MSNBC,Bloomberg, and many other networks.[229] In September–October 2016, Johnson suffered a "string of damaging stumbles when he has fielded questions about foreign affairs".[230][231] On September 8, Johnson, when he appeared onMSNBC'sMorning Joe, was asked by panelistMike Barnicle, "What would you do, if you were elected, aboutAleppo?" (referring to awar-torn city inSyria). Johnson responded, "And what is Aleppo?"[232] His response prompted widespread attention, much of it negative.[232][233] Later that day, Johnson said that he had "blanked" and that he did "understand the dynamics of theSyrian conflict—I talk about them every day".[233]

On the other hand, Green Party candidateJill Stein said the Democratic and Republican parties are "two corporate parties" that have converged into one.[234] Concerned by the rise of thefar right internationally and the tendency towardsneoliberalism within the Democratic Party, she has said, "The answer toneofascism is stopping neoliberalism. Putting another Clinton in the White House will fan the flames of this right-wing extremism".[235][236]

In response to Johnson's growing poll numbers, theClinton campaign and Democratic allies increased their criticism of Johnson in September 2016, warning that "a vote for a third party is a vote for Donald Trump" and deploying SenatorBernie Sanders (Clinton's former primary rival, who supported her in the general election) to win over voters who might be considering voting for Johnson or for Stein.[237]

On October 28, eleven days before the election,FBI DirectorJames Comey informed Congress that the FBI was analyzing additional Clinton emails obtained during its investigation ofan unrelated case.[238][239] On November 6, he notified Congress that the new emails did not change the FBI's earlier conclusion.[240][241] In the week following the "Comey Letter" of October 28, Clinton's lead dropped by 3 percentage points, leading some commentators - including Clinton herself - to conclude that this letter cost her the election,[242][243][244] though there are dissenting views.[243]

Ballot access

Presidential ticketPartyBallot accessVotes[2][245]Percentage
StatesElectors% of voters
Trump / PenceRepublican50 +DC538100%62,984,82846.09%
Clinton / KaineDemocratic50 +DC538100%65,853,51448.18%
Johnson / WeldLibertarian50 +DC538100%4,489,3413.28%
Stein / BarakaGreen44 +DC48089%1,457,2181.07%
McMullin / FinnIndependent118415%731,9910.54%
Castle / BradleyConstitution2420739%203,0900.15%
  • Candidates inbold were on ballots representing 270 electoral votes, without needing write-in states.
  • All other candidates were on the ballots of fewer than 25 states, but had write-in access greater than 270.

Party conventions

Map of United States showing Philadelphia, Cleveland, Orlando, and Houston
Philadelphia
Philadelphia
Cleveland
Cleveland
Orlando
Orlando
Houston
Houston
Salt Lake City
Salt Lake City
Map of the locations of party conventions for presidential/vice-presidential candidacy nominations
  Democratic Party
  Republican Party
  Libertarian Party
  Green Party
  Constitution Party

Republican Party

Main article:2016 Republican National Convention

Democratic Party

Main article:2016 Democratic National Convention
  • July 25–28: Democratic National Convention was held inPhiladelphia, Pennsylvania.[248]

Libertarian Party

Main article:2016 Libertarian National Convention

Green Party

Main article:2016 Green National Convention

Constitution Party

Main article:2016 Constitution Party National Convention

Campaign finance

See also:Lobbying in the United States

Wall Street spent a record $2 billion trying to influence the 2016 United States presidential election.[254][255]

The following table is an overview of the money used in the campaign as it is reported toFederal Election Commission (FEC) and released in September 2016. Outside groups areindependent expenditure-only committees – also calledPACs and SuperPACs. The sources of the numbers are the FEC andOpenSecrets.[256] Some spending totals are not available, due to withdrawals before the FEC deadline. As of September 2016[update], ten candidates with ballot access have filed financial reports with the FEC.

CandidateCampaign committee(as of December 9)Outside groups(as of December 9)Total spent
Money raisedMoney spentCash on handDebtMoney raisedMoney spentCash on hand
Donald Trump[257][258]$350,668,435$343,056,732$7,611,702$0$100,265,563$97,105,012$3,160,552$440,161,744
Hillary Clinton[259][260]$585,699,061$585,580,576$323,317$182$206,122,160$205,144,296$977,864$790,724,872
Gary Johnson[261][262]$12,193,984$12,463,110$6,299$0$1,386,971$1,314,095$75,976$13,777,205
Rocky De La Fuente[263]$8,075,959$8,074,913$1,046$8,058,834$0$0$0$8,074,913
Jill Stein[264][265]$11,240,359$11,275,899$105,132$87,740$0$0$0$11,275,899
Evan McMullin[266]$1,644,102$1,642,165$1,937$644,913$0$0$0$1,642,165
Darrell Castle[267]$72,264$68,063$4,200$4,902$0$0$0$68,063
Gloria La Riva[268]$31,408$32,611$0$0$0$0$0$32,611
Monica Moorehead[269]$14,313$15,355-$1,043-$5,500[A]$0$0$0$15,355
Peter Skewes[270]$8,216$8,216$0$4,000$0$0$0$8,216
  1. ^Debt owedto committee

Voting rights

The 2016 presidential election was the first in 50 years without all the protections of the originalVoting Rights Act.[271] Fourteen states hadnew voting restrictions in place, including swing states such as Virginia and Wisconsin.[272][273][274][275][276]

Election administration

Among states that offered early in-person voting to all voters in 2016, 27 percent of all votes were cast early in person. Across states where mail voting was available to all voters, 34 percent of all votes were cast by mail. Nationwide, a total of 40 percent of votes were cast before Election Day in the 2016 general election.[277]

Newspaper endorsements

Main article:Newspaper endorsements in the 2016 United States presidential election

Clinton was endorsed byThe New York Times,[278] theLos Angeles Times,[279] theHouston Chronicle,[280] theSan Jose Mercury News,[281] theChicago Sun-Times[282] and theNew York Daily News[283] editorial boards. Several papers which endorsed Clinton, such as theHouston Chronicle,[280]The Dallas Morning News,[284]The San Diego Union-Tribune,[285]The Columbus Dispatch[286] andThe Arizona Republic,[287] endorsed their first Democratic candidate for many decades.The Atlantic, which has been in circulation since 1857, gave Clinton its third-ever endorsement (afterAbraham Lincoln andLyndon Johnson).[288]

Trump, who frequently criticized themainstream media, was not endorsed by the vast majority of newspapers.[289][290] TheLas Vegas Review-Journal,[291]The Florida Times-Union,[292] and the tabloidNational Enquirer were his highest profile supporters.[293]USA Today, which had not endorsed any candidate since it was founded in 1982, broke tradition by giving an anti-endorsement against Trump, declaring him "unfit for the presidency".[294][295]

Gary Johnson received endorsements from several major daily newspapers, including theChicago Tribune,[296] and theRichmond Times-Dispatch.[297] Other traditionally Republican papers, including theNew Hampshire Union Leader, which had endorsed the Republican nominee in every election for the last 100 years,[298] andThe Detroit News, which had not endorsed a non-Republican in its 143 years,[299] endorsed Gary Johnson.

Notable expressions, phrases, and statements

See also:List of political slogans

By Trump and Republicans:

By Clinton and Democrats:

  • "Basket of deplorables": A controversial phrase coined by Hillary Clinton to describe half of those who support Trump.
  • "I'm with her": Clinton's unofficial campaign slogan ("Stronger Together" was the official slogan).[321]
  • "What, like with a cloth or something?": Said by Hillary Clinton in response to being asked whether she "wiped"her emails during an August 2015 press conference.[304]
  • "Why aren't I 50 points ahead?": Rhetorical question asked by Hillary Clinton during a video address to theLaborers' International Union of North America on September 21, 2016, which was then turned into an opposition ad by the Trump campaign.[322][323]
  • "When they go low, we go high": Said by then-first ladyMichelle Obama during herDemocratic conventionspeech.[301] This was later inverted byEric Holder.[324]
  • "Feel the Bern": A phrase chanted by supporters of theBernie Sanderscampaign which was officially adopted by his campaign.[325]
  • "Pokémon Go to the polls": An often-ridiculed phrase coined by Hillary Clinton to encourage young people to go to the polls.[326]

By others:

  • "What is Aleppo?": Said byLibertarian Party nomineeGary Johnson when questioned about the Syrian Civil War. The remark was largely credited as having derailed Johnson's campaign, which was polling in the double digits at the time of the remark.[327]

Debates

Primary election

Main articles:2016 Democratic Party presidential debates and forums,2016 Republican Party presidential debates and forums,2016 Libertarian Party presidential debates and forums, and2016 Green Party presidential debates and forums

General election

Main article:2016 United States presidential debates
Map of United States showing debate locations
Hofstra University Hempstead, NY
Hofstra University
Hempstead, NY
Longwood University Farmville, VA
Longwood University
Farmville, VA
Washington University in St. Louis, MO
Washington University in St. Louis, MO
University of Nevada Las Vegas
University of Nevada
Las Vegas
Sites of the 2016 general election debates

TheCommission on Presidential Debates (CPD), a non-profit organization, hosteddebates between qualifying presidential and vice-presidential candidates. According to the commission's website, to be eligible to opt to participate in the anticipated debates, "in addition to being Constitutionally eligible, candidates must appear on a sufficient number of state ballots to have a mathematical chance of winning a majority vote in the Electoral College, and have a level of support of at least 15 percent of the national electorate as determined by five selected national public opinion polling organizations, using the average of those organizations' most recently publicly-reported results at the time of the determination".[328]

The three locations (Hofstra University,Washington University in St. Louis,University of Nevada, Las Vegas) chosen to host the presidential debates, and the one location (Longwood University) selected to host the vice presidential debate, were announced in September 2015. The site of the first debate was originally designated asWright State University inDayton, Ohio; however, due to rising costs and security concerns, the debate was moved toHofstra University inHempstead, New York.[329]

On August 19,Kellyanne Conway, Trump's campaign manager confirmed that Trump would participate in a series of three debates.[330][331][332][333] Trump had complained two of the scheduled debates, one on September 26 and the other October 9, would have to compete for viewers withNational Football League games, referencing the similar complaints made regardingthe dates with low expected ratings during theDemocratic Party presidential debates.[334]

There were also debates between independent candidates.

Debates among candidates for the 2016 U.S. presidential election
No.DateTimeHostCityModerator(s)ParticipantsViewership

(millions)

P1September 269:00 p.m. EDTHofstra UniversityHempstead, New YorkLester HoltDonald Trump
Hillary Clinton
84.0[335]
VPOctober 49:00 p.m. EDTLongwood UniversityFarmville, VirginiaElaine QuijanoMike Pence
Tim Kaine
37.0[335]
P2October 98:00 p.m. CDTWashington University in St. LouisSt. Louis, MissouriAnderson Cooper
Martha Raddatz
Donald Trump
Hillary Clinton
66.5[335]
P3October 196:00 p.m. PDTUniversity of Nevada, Las VegasLas Vegas, NevadaChris WallaceDonald Trump
Hillary Clinton
71.6[335]

Timeline

Main article:Timeline of the 2016 United States presidential election

Results

PresidentBarack Obamavoting early inChicago on October 7

Election night and the next day

Clinton conceded victory to Trump on November 9.
PresidentBarack Obama (right) and President-electDonald Trump (left) meet in theOval Office of theWhite House as part of the presidential transition.

The news media and election experts were surprised at Trump's winning of the Electoral College. On the eve of the vote, spread betting firmSpreadex had Clinton at an Electoral College spread of 307–322 against Trump's 216–231.[336] The final polls showed a lead by Clinton, and in the end she did receive more votes.[337] Trump himself expected, based on polling, to lose the election, and rented a small hotel ballroom to make a brief concession speech, later remarking: "I said if we're going to lose I don't want a big ballroom".[338] Trump performed surprisingly well in allbattleground states, especiallyFlorida,Iowa,Ohio, andNorth Carolina. Even the Democratic-leaningRust Belt states ofMichigan,Pennsylvania, andWisconsin were narrowly won by Trump.[339]

According to the authors ofShattered: Inside Hillary Clinton's Doomed Campaign, the White House had concluded by late Tuesday night that Trump would win the election. Obama's political directorDavid Simas called Clinton campaign managerRobby Mook to persuade Clinton to concede the election, with no success. Obama then called Clinton directly, citing the importance of continuity of government, to ask her to publicly acknowledge that Trump had won.[340] Believing that Clinton was still unwilling to concede, the president then called her campaign chairJohn Podesta, but the call to Clinton had likely already persuaded her.[341]

The Associated Press called Pennsylvania for Trump at 1:35 AM EST, putting Trump at 267 electoral votes. By 2:01 AM EST, they had called both Maine and Nebraska's second congressional districts for Trump, putting him at 269 electoral votes, making it impossible for Clinton to reach 270. One minute after this, John Podesta told Hillary Clinton's victory party in New York that the election was too close to call. At 2:29 AM EST, the Associated Press called Wisconsin, and the election, for Trump, giving him 279 electoral votes. By 2:37 AM EST, Clinton had called Trump to concede the election.[342][343]

On Wednesday morning at 2:30 AM EST, it was reported that Trump had secured Wisconsin's 10 electoral votes, giving him a majority of the 538 electors in theElectoral College, enough to make him thepresident-elect of the United States,[344] and Trump gave his victory speech at 2:50 AM EST.[344] Later that day, Clinton asked her supporters to accept the result and hoped that Trump would be "a successful president for all Americans".[345] In his speech, Trump appealed for unity, saying "it is time for us to come together as one united people", and praised Clinton as someone who was owed "a major debt of gratitude for her service to our country".[346]

Statistical analysis

Trump's 2016 victory was among the few in which the electoral college winner received fewer popular votes than the rival (right end of chart).[347]

The 2016 election was the fifth and most recent presidential election in which thewinning candidate lost the popular vote.[2][4] Six states plus a portion of Maine that Obama won in 2012 switched to Trump (Electoral College votes in parentheses): Florida (29), Pennsylvania (20), Ohio (18), Michigan (16), Wisconsin (10), Iowa (6), and Maine's second congressional district (1). Initially, Trump won exactly 100 more Electoral College votes than Mitt Romney had in 2012, with two lost tofaithless electors in the final tally. Thirty-nine states swung more Republican compared to the previous presidential election, while eleven states and the District of Columbia swung more Democratic.[245] Based onUnited States Census Bureau estimates of the voting age population (VAP), turnout of voters casting a vote for president was nearly 1% higher than in 2012. Examining overall turnout in the2016 election, the University of Florida'sMichael McDonald estimated that 138.8 million Americans cast a ballot. Considering a VAP of 250.6 million people and a voting-eligible population (VEP) of 230.6 million people, this is a turnout rate of 55.4% VAP and 60.2% VEP.[348] Based on this estimate, voter turnout was up compared to 2012 (54.1% VAP) but down compared to 2008 (57.4% VAP). An FEC report of the election recorded an official total of 136.7 million votes cast for president—more than any prior election.[1]

By losing New York, Trump became the fourth and most recent victorious candidate to lose his home state, which also occurred in 1844, 1916, and 1968. Furthermore, along withJames Polk in 1844, Trump is one of two victorious presidential nominees to win without either their home state or birth state (in this case, both were New York). Data scientist Hamdan Azhar noted the paradoxes of the 2016 outcome, saying that "chief among them [was] the discrepancy between the popular vote, which Hillary Clinton won by 2.8 million votes, and the electoral college, where Trump won 304–227". He said Trump outperformed Mitt Romney's 2012 results, while Clinton only just matched Barack Obama's 2012 totals. Hamdan also said Trump was "the highest vote earner of any Republican candidate ever", exceedingGeorge W. Bush's 62.04 million votes in 2004, though neither reached Clinton's 65.9 million, nor Obama's 69.5 million votes in 2008. He concluded, with help fromThe Cook Political Report, that the election hinged not on Clinton's large 2.8 million overall vote margin over Trump, but rather on about 78,000 votes from only three counties in Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, and Michigan.[349] Clinton was the first former Secretary of State to be nominated by a major political party sinceJames G. Blaine in1884.

This is the first election since 1988 in which the Republican nominee won the states of Michigan and Pennsylvania, and the first since 1984 in which they won Wisconsin. It was the first time since 1988 that the Republicans won Maine's second congressional district and the first time since George W. Bush's victory in New Hampshire in 2000 that they won any electoral votes in the Northeast. This marked the first time that Maine split its electoral votes since it began awarding them based on congressional districts in 1972, and the first time the state split its electoral vote since 1828. The 2016 election marked the eighth consecutive presidential election where the victoriousmajor party nominee did not receive apopular vote majority by a double-digit margin over the losing major party nominee(s), with the sequence of presidential elections from1988 through 2016 surpassing the sequence from1876 through1900 to become the longest sequence of such presidential elections in U.S. history.[350][351] It was also the sixth presidential election in which both major party candidates were registered in the same home state; the others have been in1860,1904,1920,1940, and1944. It was also the first election since1928 that the Republicans won without having eitherRichard Nixon or one of theBushes on the ticket.

Trump was the first president with neither prior public service nor military experience. This election was the first since 1908 where neither candidate was currently serving in public office. This was the first election since 1980 where a Republican was elected without carrying every former Confederate state in the process, as Trump lost Virginia in this election.[b] Trump became the first Republican to earn more than 300 electoral votes since the 1988 election. This was the first time since 1976 that a Republican presidential candidate lost a pledged vote via a faithless elector, and, additionally, this was the first time since 1972 that the winning presidential candidate lost an electoral vote due to faithless electors. With ballot access to the entire national electorate, Johnson received nearly 4.5 million votes (3.27%), the highest nationwide vote share for a third-party candidate since Ross Perot in 1996, while Stein received almost 1.45 million votes (1.06%), the most for a Green nominee since Ralph Nader in 2000. Johnson received the highest ever share of the vote for a Libertarian nominee, surpassing Ed Clark's 1980 result.[352]

Independent candidate Evan McMullin, who appeared on the ballot in eleven states, received over 732,000 votes (0.53%). He won 21.4% of the vote in his home state of Utah, the highest share of the vote for a third-party candidate in any state since 1992. Despite dropping out of the election following his defeat in the Democratic primary, Senator Bernie Sanders received 5.7% of the vote in his home state of Vermont, the highest write-in draft campaign percentage for a presidential candidate in American history. Johnson and McMullin were the first third-party candidates since Nader to receive at least 5% of the vote in one or more states, with Johnson crossing the mark in nine states and McMullin crossing it in two.[352] Trump became the oldest non-incumbent candidate elected president, besting Ronald Reagan in 1980, although this would be surpassed by Joe Biden in the next election only for it to return to Trump after his victory in 2024. Of the 3,153 counties/districts/independent cities making returns, Trump won the most popular votes in 2,649 (84.02%) while Clinton carried 504 (15.98%).[353]

Electoral results

See also:Third party and independent candidates for the 2016 United States presidential election
Electoral results
Presidential candidatePartyHome statePopular vote[2]Electoral
vote[2]
Running mate
CountPercentageVice-presidential candidateHome stateElectoral vote[2]
Donald TrumpRepublicanNew York62,984,82846.09%304 (306)Mike PenceIndiana304[c]
Hillary ClintonDemocraticNew York65,853,51448.18%227 (232)Tim KaineVirginia227
Gary JohnsonLibertarianNew Mexico4,489,3413.28%0William WeldMassachusetts0
Jill SteinGreenMassachusetts1,457,2181.07%0Ajamu BarakaIllinois0
Evan McMullinIndependentUtah731,9910.54%0Mindy FinnDistrict of Columbia0
Darrell CastleConstitutionTennessee203,0900.15%0Scott BradleyUtah0
Gloria La RivaSocialism and LiberationCalifornia74,4010.05%0Eugene PuryearDistrict of Columbia0
Tickets that received electoral votes from faithless electors
Bernie Sanders[d]IndependentVermont111,850[e]0.08%[e]1 (0)Elizabeth Warren[d]Massachusetts1
John Kasich[d][f]RepublicanOhio2,684[e]0.00%[e]1 (0)Carly Fiorina[d][f]Virginia1
Ron Paul[d][f]Libertarian[354]Texas124[e]0.00%[e]1 (0)Mike PenceIndiana1
Colin Luther Powell[d]RepublicanVirginia25[e]0.00%[e]3 (0)Elizabeth Warren[d]Massachusetts1
Maria Cantwell[d]Washington1
Susan Collins[d]Maine1
Faith Spotted Eagle[d]DemocraticSouth Dakota00.00%1 (0)Winona LaDuke[d]Minnesota1
Other760,2100.56%Other
Total136,669,276100%538538
Needed to win270270

Notes:

  1. ^abIn state-by-state tallies, Trump earned 306 pledged electors, Clinton 232. They lost respectively two and five votes tofaithless electors. Vice presidential candidates Pence and Kaine lost one and five votes, respectively. Three other votes by electors were invalidated and recast.
  2. ^In 1980, Democrat Jimmy Carter carried his home state of Georgia, despite losing the election.
  3. ^Pence received 305 electoral votes for vice president, but only 304 as part of the Trump–Pence ticket; one faithless elector from Texas voted for Ron Paul as president instead of Trump, and is recorded separately below.[1]
  4. ^abcdefghijkReceived electoral vote(s) from afaithless elector
  5. ^abcdefghCandidate received votes as a write-in. The exact numbers of write-in votes have been published for three states: California, New Hampshire, and Vermont.[355]
  6. ^abcTwo faithless electors from Texas cast their presidential votes for Ron Paul and John Kasich, respectively. Chris Suprun said he cast his presidential vote for John Kasich and his vice presidential vote for Carly Fiorina. The other faithless elector in Texas, Bill Greene, cast his presidential vote for Ron Paul but cast his vice presidential vote for Mike Pence, as pledged. John Kasich received recorded write-in votes inAlabama,Georgia,Illinois,New Hampshire,North Carolina,Pennsylvania, andVermont.
Popular vote[2][245]
Clinton
48.18%
Trump
46.09%
Johnson
3.28%
Stein
1.07%
Others
1.38%
232306
ClintonTrump
Electoral vote—pledged
Trump/Pence
56.88%
Clinton/Kaine
43.12%
Electoral vote—President
Trump
56.51%
Clinton
42.19%
Powell
0.56%
Kasich
0.19%
Paul
0.19%
Sanders
0.19%
Spotted Eagle
0.19%
Electoral vote—Vice President
Pence
56.69%
Kaine
42.19%
Warren
0.37%
Cantwell
0.19%
Collins
0.19%
Fiorina
0.19%
LaDuke
0.19%

Results by state

The table below displays the official vote tallies by each state's Electoral College voting method. The source for the results of all states is the official Federal Election Commission report.[2] The column labeled "Margin" shows Trump's margin of victory over Clinton (the margin is negative for every state that Clinton won). A total of 29third party and independent presidential candidates appeared on the ballot in at least one state. FormerGovernor of New MexicoGary Johnson and physicianJill Stein repeated their2012 roles as the nominees for theLibertarian Party and theGreen Party, respectively.[356]

Aside fromFlorida andNorth Carolina, the states that secured Trump's victory are situated in theGreat Lakes/Rust Belt region.Wisconsin went Republican for the first time since1984, whilePennsylvania andMichigan went Republican for the first time since1988.[357][358][359] Stein petitioned for arecount in Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania. The Clinton campaign pledged to participate in the Green Party recount efforts, while Trump backers challenged them in court.[360][361][362] Meanwhile,American Delta Party/Reform Party presidential candidateRocky De La Fuente petitioned for and was granted a partial recount inNevada.[363] According to a 2021 study inScience Advances, conversion of voters who voted for Obama in 2012 to Trump in 2016 contributed to Republican flips in Ohio, Michigan, and Pennsylvania.[364]

Legend
States/districts won byClinton/Kaine
States/districts won byTrump/Pence
At-large results (for states that split electoral votes)
State or
district
Clinton/Kaine
Democratic
Trump/Pence
Republican
Johnson/Weld
Libertarian
Stein/Baraka
Green
McMullin/Finn
Independent
OthersMarginMargin
swing[a]
Total
votes
Sources
Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%%
Alabama729,54734.36%1,318,25562.08%944,4672.09%9,3910.44%21,7121.02%588,70827.72%5.54%2,123,372[365]
Alaska116,45436.55%163,38751.28%318,7255.88%5,7351.80%14,3074.49%46,93314.73%0.74%318,608[366]
Arizona1,161,16745.13%1,252,40148.67%11106,3274.13%34,3451.33%17,4490.68%1,4760.06%91,2343.54%−5.56%2,573,165[367]
Arkansas380,49433.65%684,87260.57%629,9492.64%9,4730.84%13,1761.17%12,7121.12%304,37826.92%3.23%1,130,676[368]
California8,753,78861.73%554,483,81031.62%478,5003.37%278,6571.96%39,5960.28%147,2441.04%−4,269,978−30.11%−6.99%14,181,595[369]
Colorado1,338,87048.16%91,202,48443.25%144,1215.18%38,4371.38%28,9171.04%27,4180.99%−136,386−4.91%0.45%2,780,247[370]
Connecticut897,57254.57%7673,21540.93%48,6762.96%22,8411.39%2,1080.13%5080.03%−224,357−13.64%3.69%1,644,920[371]
Delaware235,60353.09%3185,12741.71%14,7573.32%6,1031.37%7060.16%1,5180.34%−50,476−11.38%7.26%443,814[372][373]
District of Columbia282,83090.86%312,7234.09%4,9061.57%4,2581.36%6,5512.52%−270,107−86.77%−3.14%311,268[374]
Florida4,504,97547.82%4,617,88649.02%29207,0432.20%64,3990.68%25,7360.28%112,9111.20%2.08%9,420,039[375]
Georgia1,877,96345.64%2,089,10450.77%16125,3063.05%7,6740.19%13,0170.32%1,6680.04%211,1415.13%−2.69%4,114,732[376][377]
Hawaii266,89162.22%3128,84730.04%15,9543.72%12,7372.97%4,5081.05%1−138,044−32.18%10.53%428,937[378]
Idaho189,76527.49%409,05559.26%428,3314.10%8,4961.23%46,4766.73%8,1321.18%219,29031.77%0.08%690,255[379]
Illinois3,090,72955.83%202,146,01538.76%209,5963.79%76,8021.39%11,6550.21%1,6270.03%−944,714−17.07%−0.19%5,536,424[380]
Indiana1,033,12637.77%1,557,28656.94%11133,9934.90%7,8410.29%2,7120.10%524,16019.17%8.97%2,734,958[381]
Iowa653,66941.74%800,98351.15%659,1863.78%11,4790.73%12,3660.79%28,3481.81%147,3149.41%15.22%1,566,031[382]
Kansas427,00536.05%671,01856.65%655,4064.68%23,5061.98%6,5200.55%9470.08%244,01320.60%−1.11%1,184,402[383]
Kentucky628,85432.68%1,202,97162.52%853,7522.79%13,9130.72%22,7801.18%1,8790.10%574,17729.84%7.15%1,924,149[384]
Louisiana780,15438.45%1,178,63858.09%837,9781.87%14,0310.69%8,5470.42%9,6840.48%398,48419.64%2.44%2,029,032[385]
Maine357,73547.83%2335,59344.87%38,1055.09%14,2511.91%1,8870.25%3560.05%−22,142−2.96%12.33%747,927[386][387]
ME-1Tooltip Maine's 1st congressional district212,77453.96%1154,38439.15%18,5924.71%7,5631.92%8070.20%2090.05%−58,390−14.81%6.58%394,329
ME-2Tooltip Maine's 2nd congressional district144,81740.98%181,17751.26%119,5105.52%6,6851.89%1,0800.31%1470.04%36,36010.28%18.85%353,416
Maryland1,677,92860.33%10943,16933.91%79,6052.86%35,9451.29%9,6300.35%35,1691.26%−734,759−26.42%−0.35%2,781,446[388]
Massachusetts1,995,19660.01%111,090,89332.81%138,0184.15%47,6611.43%2,7190.08%50,5591.52%−904,303−27.20%−4.06%3,325,046[389]
Michigan2,268,83947.27%2,279,54347.50%16172,1363.59%51,4631.07%8,1770.17%19,1260.40%10,7040.23%9.73%4,799,284[390]
Minnesota1,367,71646.44%101,322,95144.92%112,9723.84%36,9851.26%53,0761.80%51,1131.74%−44,765−1.52%6.17%2,944,813[391]
Mississippi485,13140.11%700,71457.94%614,4351.19%3,7310.31%5,3460.44%215,58317.83%6.33%1,209,357[392]
Missouri1,071,06838.14%1,594,51156.77%1097,3593.47%25,4190.91%7,0710.25%13,1770.47%523,44318.63%9.26%2,808,605[393]
Montana177,70935.75%279,24056.17%328,0375.64%7,9701.60%2,2970.46%1,8940.38%101,53120.42%6.77%497,147[394][395]
Nebraska284,49433.70%495,96158.75%238,9464.61%8,7751.04%16,0511.90%211,46725.05%3.28%844,227[396]
NE-1Tooltip Nebraska's 1st congressional district100,13235.46%158,64256.18%114,0334.97%3,3741.19%6,1812.19%58,50020.72%4.12%282,338
NE-2Tooltip Nebraska's 2nd congressional district131,03044.92%137,56447.16%113,2454.54%3,3471.15%6,4942.23%6,5342.24%−4.91%291,680
NE-3Tooltip Nebraska's 3rd congressional district53,33219.73%199,75573.92%111,6684.32%2,0540.76%3,4511.28%146,36754.19%11.78%270,109
Nevada539,26047.92%6512,05845.50%37,3843.29%36,6833.23%−27,202−2.42%4.26%1,125,385[397]
New Hampshire348,52646.83%4345,79046.46%30,7774.15%6,4960.88%1,0640.14%11,6431.24%−2,736−0.37%5.21%744,296[398]
New Jersey2,148,27855.45%141,601,93341.35%72,4771.87%37,7720.98%13,5860.35%−546,345−14.10%3.69%3,874,046[399]
New Mexico385,23448.26%5319,66740.04%74,5419.34%9,8791.24%5,8250.73%3,1730.40%−65,567−8.22%1.94%798,319[400]
New York4,556,12459.01%292,819,53436.52%176,5982.29%107,9341.40%10,3730.13%50,8900.66%−1,736,590−22.49%5.69%7,721,453[401]
North Carolina2,189,31646.17%2,362,63149.83%15130,1262.74%12,1050.26%47,3861.00%173,3153.66%1.62%4,741,564[402]
North Dakota93,75827.23%216,79462.96%321,4346.22%3,7801.10%8,5942.49%123,03635.73%16.11%344,360[403]
Ohio2,394,16443.56%2,841,00551.69%18174,4983.17%46,2710.84%12,5740.23%27,9750.51%446,8418.13%11.11%5,496,487[404]
Oklahoma420,37528.93%949,13665.32%783,4815.75%528,76136.39%2.95%1,452,992[405]
Oregon1,002,10650.07%7782,40339.09%94,2314.71%50,0022.50%72,5943.63%−219,703−10.98%1.11%2,001,336[406]
Pennsylvania2,926,44147.46%2,970,73348.18%20146,7152.38%49,9410.81%6,4720.11%65,1761.06%44,2920.72%6.10%6,165,478[407]
Rhode Island252,52554.41%4180,54338.90%14,7463.18%6,2201.34%5160.11%9,5942.07%−71,982−15.51%11.95%464,144[408]
South Carolina855,37340.67%1,155,38954.94%949,2042.34%13,0340.62%21,0161.00%9,0110.43%300,01614.27%3.80%2,103,027[409]
South Dakota117,45831.74%227,72161.53%320,8505.63%4,0641.10%110,26329.79%11.77%370,093[410]
Tennessee870,69534.72%1,522,92560.72%1170,3972.81%15,9930.64%11,9910.48%16,0260.64%652,23026.00%5.61%2,508,027[411]
Texas3,877,86843.24%4,685,04752.23%36283,4923.16%71,5580.80%42,3660.47%8,8950.10%2807,1798.99%−6.80%8,969,226[412]
Utah310,67627.46%515,23145.54%639,6083.50%9,4380.83%243,69021.54%12,7871.13%204,55518.08%−29.85%1,131,430[413]
Vermont178,57356.68%395,36930.27%10,0783.20%6,7582.14%6390.20%23,6507.51%−83,204−26.41%9.19%315,067[414]
Virginia1,981,47349.73%131,769,44344.41%118,2742.97%27,6380.69%54,0541.36%33,7490.85%−212,030−5.32%−1.44%3,984,631[415]
Washington1,742,71852.54%81,221,74736.83%160,8794.85%58,4171.76%133,2584.02%4−520,971−15.71%−0.84%3,317,019[416]
West Virginia188,79426.43%489,37168.50%523,0043.22%8,0751.13%1,1040.15%4,0750.57%300,57742.07%15.31%714,423[417]
Wisconsin1,382,53646.45%1,405,28447.22%10106,6743.58%31,0721.04%11,8550.40%38,7291.30%22,7480.77%7.71%2,976,150[418]
Wyoming55,97321.88%174,41968.17%313,2875.19%2,5150.98%9,6553.78%118,44646.29%5.47%255,849[419]
Total65,853,51648.18%22762,984,82546.09%3044,489,2213.28%1,457,2161.07%731,7880.54%1,152,6710.84%7−2,868,691−2.10%1.76%136,669,237
Sources
Clinton/Kaine
Democratic
Trump/Pence
Republican
Johnson/Weld
Libertarian
Stein/Baraka
Green
McMullin/Finn
Independent
OthersMarginMargin
swing
Total
votes

Two states (Maine[b] and Nebraska) allow for their electoral votes to be split between candidates by congressional districts. The winner within each congressional district gets one electoral vote for the district. The winner of the statewide vote gets two additional electoral votes.[421][422] Results are fromThe New York Times.[423]

States and EV districts that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Battleground states

Vote margin swing by state2012 to 2016. Only eleven states (as well as the District of Columbia and Nebraska's 2nd congressional district) shifted more Democratic. Thelarge swing in Utah is mostly due to the votes for third-party candidateEvan McMullin and the 2012 candidacy ofMitt Romney.

Mostmedia outlets announced the beginning of the presidential race about twenty months prior toElection Day. Soon after the first contestants declared their candidacy,Larry Sabato listed Virginia, Colorado, Iowa, New Hampshire, Florida, Nevada, and Ohio as the seven states most likely to be contested in thegeneral election. After Donald Trump clinched the Republican presidential nomination, many pundits felt that the major campaign locations might be different from what had originally been expected.[424]

Rust Belt states such asPennsylvania,Wisconsin, and evenMichigan were thought to be in play with Trump as the nominee, while states with large minority populations, such asColorado andVirginia, were expected to shift towards Clinton.[425] By the conventions period and the debates, however, it did not seem as though the Rust Belt states could deliver a victory to Trump, as many of them were considered to be part of the "blue wall" of Democratic-leaning states. Trump's courting of thePolish-American vote, a sizable number of whom wereReagan Democrats, has been cited as the cause for the loss of the Rust Belt by the Democratic nominee.[426] According to Politico[427] and FiveThirtyEight, his path to victory went through states such as Florida, North Carolina, Nevada, New Hampshire, and possibly Colorado.[428][429][430][431]

Early polling indicated a closer-than-usual race in former Democratic strongholds such asWashington,Delaware,New Jersey,Connecticut,Maine (for the two statewide electoral votes), andNew Mexico.[432][433][434]

A consensus amongpolitical pundits developed throughout theprimary election season regarding swing states.[435] From the results of presidential elections from2004 through to2012, the Democratic and Republican parties would generally start with a safeelectoral vote count of about 150 to 200.[436][425] However, themargins required to constitute a swing state are vague, and can vary between groups of analysts.[437][438] It was thought that left-leaning states in theRust Belt could become moreconservative, as Trump had strong appeal among manyblue-collar workers.[439] They represent a large portion of the American populace and were a major factor in Trump's eventualnomination. Trump's primary campaign was propelled by victories in Democratic states, and his supporters often did not identify as Republican.[440]

Media reports indicated that both candidates planned to concentrate on Florida, Pennsylvania, Ohio and North Carolina.[441][442] Among the Republican-leaning states, potential Democratic targets includedNebraska's second congressional district, Georgia, and Arizona.[443] Trump's relatively poor polling in some traditionally Republican states, such as Utah, raised the possibility that they could vote for Clinton, despite easy wins there by recentRepublican nominees.[444] However, many analysts asserted that these states were not yet viable Democratic destinations.[445][446] Several sites and individuals publish electoral predictions. These generally rate the race by the likelihood for each party to win a state.[447] The "tossup" label is usually used to indicate that neither party has an advantage, "lean" to indicate a party has a slight edge, "likely" to indicate a party has a clear but not overwhelming advantage, and "safe" to indicate a party has an advantage that cannot be overcome.[448]

As the parameters of the race established themselves, analysts converged on a narrower list of contested states, which were relatively similar to those of recent elections. On November 7, theCook Political Report categorized Arizona,Colorado,Florida,Iowa, Michigan,Nevada,New Hampshire, North Carolina,Ohio, Pennsylvania, andWisconsin as states with close races. Additionally, a district from each of Maine and Nebraska were considered to be coin flips.[449] Meanwhile,FiveThirtyEight listed twenty-two states as potentially competitive about a month beforethe election—Maine's two at-large electoral votes, New Mexico, Minnesota, Michigan, Colorado, Virginia, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, New Hampshire, Nevada, Florida, North Carolina, Ohio, Iowa, Arizona, Georgia, Alaska, South Carolina, Texas,Indiana, Missouri, and Utah—as well asMaine's second andNebraska's second congressional districts.[450]Nate Silver, the publication's editor-in-chief, subsequently removed Texas, South Carolina, Missouri, and Indiana from the list after the race tightened significantly.[451] These conclusions were supported bymodels such as thePrinceton Elections Consortium, the New York Times Upshot, and punditry evaluations fromSabato's Crystal Ball and theCook Political Report.[452][453][454][455]

Hillary Clinton won states likeNew Mexico by less than 10 percentage points.[456] Among the states where the candidates finished at a margin of within seven percent, Clinton won Virginia (13 electoral votes), Colorado (9), Maine (2), Minnesota (10), and New Hampshire (4). On the other hand, Trump won Michigan (16), Pennsylvania (20), Wisconsin (10), Florida (29), North Carolina (15), Arizona (11), Nebraska's second district (1), and Georgia (16). States won by Obama in the2012, such as Ohio (18), Iowa (6), and Maine's second district (1), were also won by Trump. The close result inMaine was not expected by most commentators, nor were Trump's victory of over 10 points in the second district and their disparities.[457][458][459] The dramatic shift ofMidwestern states towards Trump were contrasted in the media against the relative movement ofSouthern states towards theDemocrats.[460] For example, former Democratic strongholds such asMinnesota andMaine leaned towards theGOP while still voting Democratic, albeit by smaller margins. Meanwhile, Iowa voted more Republican than Texas did, Georgia was more Democratic than Ohio, and the margin of victory for Trump was greater in North Carolina than Arizona.[461][462] Trump's smaller victories inAlaska andUtah also took some experts by surprise.[463]

Close states

States where the margin of victory was under 1% (50 electoral votes; 46 won by Trump, 4 by Clinton):

  1. Michigan, 0.23% (10,704 votes) – 16 electoral votes
  2. New Hampshire, 0.37% (2,736 votes) – 4 electoral votes
  3. Pennsylvania, 0.72% (44,292 votes) – 20 electoral votes (tipping point state, including two faithless GOP electors)[464]
  4. Wisconsin, 0.77% (22,748 votes) – 10 electoral votes (tipping point state, excluding the two faithless GOP electors)[464]

States/districts where the margin of victory was between 1% and 5% (83 electoral votes; 56 won by Trump, 27 by Clinton):

  1. Florida, 1.20% (112,911 votes) – 29 electoral votes
  2. Minnesota, 1.52% (44,765 votes) – 10 electoral votes
  3. Nebraska's 2nd congressional district, 2.24% (6,534 votes) – 1 electoral vote
  4. Nevada, 2.42% (27,202 votes) – 6 electoral votes
  5. Maine, 2.96% (22,142 votes) – 2 electoral votes
  6. Arizona, 3.54% (91,234 votes) – 11 electoral votes
  7. North Carolina, 3.66% (173,315 votes) – 15 electoral votes
  8. Colorado, 4.91% (136,386 votes) – 9 electoral votes

States where the margin of victory was between 5% and 10% (94 electoral votes; 76 won by Trump, 18 by Clinton):

  1. Georgia, 5.13% (211,141 votes) – 16 electoral votes
  2. Virginia, 5.32% (212,030 votes) – 13 electoral votes
  3. Ohio, 8.13% (446,841 votes) – 18 electoral votes
  4. New Mexico, 8.22% (65,567 votes) – 5 electoral votes
  5. Texas, 8.99% (807,179 votes) – 38 electoral votes
  6. Iowa, 9.41% (147,314 votes) – 6 electoral votes

Red denotes states or congressional districts won by Republican Donald Trump;blue denotes those won by Democrat Hillary Clinton.

County statistics

Counties with highest percentage of Republican vote:[245]

  1. Roberts County, Texas 94.58%
  2. King County, Texas 93.71%
  3. Motley County, Texas 92.03%
  4. Hayes County, Nebraska 91.83%
  5. Shackelford County, Texas 91.62%

Counties with highest percentage of Democratic vote:

  1. Bronx County, New York 88.52%
  2. Prince George's County, Maryland 88.13%
  3. Claiborne County, Mississippi 86.80%

Maps

  • Results by state, shaded according to winning candidate's percentage of the vote
    Results by state, shaded according to winning candidate's percentage of the vote
  • Results by state, shaded according to margin of victory
    Results by state, shaded according to margin of victory
  • Results by vote distribution among states. The size of each state's pie chart is proportional to its number of electoral votes.
    Results by vote distribution among states. The size of each state's pie chart is proportional to its number of electoral votes.
  • A discontinuous cartogram of the 2016 United States presidential election, scaled by their Electoral College contribution
    A discontinuouscartogram of the 2016 United States presidential election, scaled by their Electoral College contribution
  • A discretized cartogram of the 2016 United States presidential election using squares
    A discretizedcartogram of the 2016 United States presidential election using squares
  • A continuous cartogram of the 2016 United States presidential election
    A continuouscartogram of the 2016 United States presidential election
  • A discretized cartogram of the 2016 United States presidential election using hexagons
    A discretizedcartogram of the 2016 United States presidential election using hexagons
  • Results by county.[c] Red denotes counties that went to Trump; blue denotes counties that went to Clinton.
    Results by county.[c] Red denotes counties that went to Trump; blue denotes counties that went to Clinton.
  • Results by county,[c] shaded according to winning candidate's percentage of the vote
    Results by county,[c] shaded according to winning candidate's percentage of the vote
  • Results by county flips from 2012 to the 2016 presidential election[c]
    Results by county flips from 2012 to the 2016 presidential election[c]
  • County swing from 2012 to 2016[c]
    County swing from 2012 to 2016[c]
  • Results of election by congressional district, shaded by winning candidate's percentage of the vote
    Results of election by congressional district, shaded by winning candidate's percentage of the vote
  • Results by county, shaded according to percentage of the vote for Gary Johnson
    Results by county, shaded according to percentage of the vote forGary Johnson
  • Results by county, shaded according to percentage of the vote for Jill Stein
    Results by county, shaded according to percentage of the vote forJill Stein
  • Results by county, shaded according to percentage of the vote for Evan McMullin
    Results by county, shaded according to percentage of the vote forEvan McMullin

Viewership

The 2016 election was highly viewed, setting viewership records onCNN andFox News. Over 28 million people watched the election oncable television, with 63.99 million viewers including broadcast television. While more highly viewed than 2012 (60.86 million viewers), it was less viewed than 2008 (71.5 million viewers).[465]

Legend

cable news network
broadcast network

Total television viewers
8:00 to 11:00 p.m. EST
[465]

NetworkViewers
CNN13,258,000
FNC12,112,000
NBC11,152,000
ABC9,236,000
CBS8,008,000
MSNBC5,945,000
Fox4,196,000

Total cable TV viewers
2:00 to 3:00 a.m. EST

NetworkViewers
FNC9,778,000
CNN6,452,000
MSNBC2,858,000

Cable TV viewers 25 to 54
2:00 to 3:00 a.m. EST

NetworkViewers
FNC3,955,000
CNN3,372,000
MSNBC1,207,000

Exit poll

Voter demographic data for 2016 were collected by Edison Research for theNational Election Pool, a consortium ofABC News,CBS News,MSNBC,CNN,Fox News, and theAssociated Press. The voter survey is based onexit polls completed by 24,537 voters leaving 350 voting places throughout theUnited States onElection Day, in addition to 4,398 telephone interviews with early and absentee voters.[466] Trump's crucial victories in theMidwest were aided in large part by his strong margins amongnon-collegewhites—whileObama lost those voters by a margin of 10 points in2012, Clinton lost this group by 20 percent. The election also represented the first time that Republicans performed better among lower-income whites than among affluent white voters.[467] Clinton however had the majority amongst lower-income Americans overall. Voters 40 years of age or older (born in 1976 or earlier) were estimated to comprise 64% of the electorate in the exit poll, and subsequent survey data by thePew Research Center showed that theGreatest Generation, theSilent Generation,Baby boomers, andGeneration X accounted for 155 million of the 224 million eligible voters (or approximately 69%) and with Baby boomers and Generation X alone comprising 127 million (or approximately 57%).[468]

Trump narrowed Clinton's margin compared to Obama by seven points amongblacks andAfrican-Americans, eight points amongLatinos, and 11 points amongAsian-Americans. Meanwhile, Trump increased his lead with non-Hispanicwhite voters through one percent overMitt Romney's performance, andAmerican Indians,Alaska Natives, andPacific Islanders shifted their support towards the Republican candidate using the same relative amount.[469] Additionally, although 74 percent ofMuslim voters supported Clinton, Trump nearly doubled his support among those voters compared toMitt Romney at 13 percent, according to theCouncil on American–Islamic Relations exit poll.[470]

However, "more convincing data"[471] from the polling firm Latino Decisions indicates that Clinton received a higher share of the Hispanic vote, and Trump a lower share, than the Edison exit polls showed. Using wider, more geographically and linguistically representative sampling, Latino Decisions concluded that Clinton won 79% of Hispanic voters (also an improvement over Obama's share in 2008 and 2012), while Trump won only 18% (lower than previous Republicans such as Romney and McCain).[472] Additionally, the 2016Cooperative Congressional Election Study found that Clinton's share of the Hispanic vote was one percentage point higher than Obama's in 2012, while Trump's was seven percentage points lower than Romney's.[473]

Similarly, a large, multi-lingual study by theAsian American Legal Defense and Education Fund found that Clinton won 79% of Asian-American voters, higher than the Edison exit poll showed, while Trump won only 18%, a decrease from McCain's and Romney's numbers.[474] Furthermore, according to the AALDEF's report, Trump received merely 2% of the Muslim-American vote, whereas Clinton received 97%.[475]The low percentage of Muslim votes for Trump may have been influenced by much of his rhetoric during the campaign regarding Muslims and Islam. The issue of islamophobia was demonstrated to be an important political issue for Muslim voters; an ISPU study done in 2016 found that, "...outside the issues of discrimination and Islamophobia there aren't, like, one or two big issues that unite all Muslims".[476]

2016 presidential election exit poll results (Edison)[466]
Response categoryClintonTrumpOther% of
total vote
Total vote48466100
Ideology
Liberals8410626
Moderates5241739
Conservatives1581435
Party
Democrats899237
Republicans790333
Independents41471231
Party by gender
Democratic men8710314
Democratic women908223
Republican men690417
Republican women989216
Independent men37511217
Independent women46431114
Gender
Men4152747
Women5441553
Marital status
Married4452459
Unmarried5537841
Gender by marital status
Married men3758529
Married women4947430
Non-married men4645919
Non-married women6132723
Race/ethnicity
White3757670
Black888412
Asian652964
Other563773
Hispanic (of any race)6529611
Gender by race/ethnicity
White men3162734
White women4352537
Black men801375
Black women94427
Latino men (of any race)623265
Latina women (of any race)682666
All other races613276
Religion
Protestant3759427
Catholic4552323
Mormon2559161
OtherChristian4155424
Jewish712453
Other religion5831117
None6726715
Religious service attendance
Weekly or more4054633
Monthly4649516
A few times a year4846629
Never6231722
White evangelical or born-again Christian
White evangelical or born-again Christian1681326
Everyone else5835774
Age
18–24 years old5635910
25–29 years old533989
30–39 years old5140917
40–49 years old4649519
50–64 years old4453330
65 and older4553215
Age by race
Whites 18–29 years old43471012
Whites 30–44 years old3754916
Whites 45–64 years old3462430
Whites 65 and older3958313
Blacks 18–29 years old85963
Blacks 30–44 years old89744
Blacks 45–64 years old89745
Blacks 65 and older919n/a1
Latinos 18–29 years old672673
Latinos 30–44 years old652874
Latinos 45–64 years old643244
Latinos 65 and older732521
Others613276
Sexual orientation
LGBT771495
Heterosexual4748595
First time voter
First time voter5439710
Everyone else4747690
Education
High school or less4451518
Somecollege education4252632
College graduate4945632
Postgraduate education5836618
Education by race/ethnicity
White college graduates4549637
White no college degree2867534
Non-white college graduates7122713
Non-white no college degree7520516
Education by race/ethnicity/sex
White women with college degrees5145420
White men with college degrees3953817
White women without college degrees3461517
White men without college degrees2371616
Non-whites7421529
Family income
Under $30,0005341617
$30,000–49,9995142719
$50,000–99,9994648631
$100,000–199,9994748524
$200,000–249,999484934
Over $250,000464866
Union households
Union5142718
Non-union4648682
Military service
Veterans3460613
Non-veterans5044687
Region
Northeast5540519
Midwest4449723
South4452437
West5339821
Community size
Cities (population 50,000 and above)5935634
Suburbs4549649
Rural areas3262617
Obama job approval
Strongly approve934333
Somewhat approve69201120
Somewhat disapprove1477912
Strongly disapprove393433
Direction of the country
Wrong track2668662
Right direction897433
Life for the next generation of Americans will be
Better than today5938337
About the same5438825
Worse than today3163633
Feelings about the federal government
Angry1875723
Dissatisfied4648646
Satisfied7619624
Enthusiastic781936
Opinion of the role of government
Government doing too much2272450
Government should do more7422445
Next president should
Be more conservative1382547
Continue Obama's policies915428
Be more liberal6923817
Decided on presidential vote
Before September5245360
In September4648612
In October37511212
Last week4149105
Last few days4343148
Importance ofpresidential debates to your vote
Most important factor5147225
An important factor5045538
A minor factor3758519
Not a factor41491011
Quality of candidate that mattered most
Can bring change1482439
Right experience907322
Good judgment65251020
Cares about me5734915
Opinion of presidential candidate voted for
Strongly favor5341641
Have reservations4948332
Dislike opponents39501125
Candidate viewed as honest
Clinton is honest971234
Trump is honest298N/A31
Neither are honest40431729
Both are honestN/AN/AN/A2
Candidate viewed as qualified
Clinton is qualified942446
Trump is qualified198132
Neither are qualified15661915
Both are qualified227175
Candidate viewed as having temperament to be President
Clinton does905549
Trump does297129
Neither does12672114
Both do207735
Clinton's use of private email for official use bothers you
A lot786745
Some6825718
Not much887517
Not at all935219
Donald Trump's treatment of women bothers you
A lot8311650
Some2073720
Not much888413
Not at all1186316
Issue regarded as most important
Economy5242652
Terrorism3957418
Foreign policy52341413
Immigration3264413
Condition of national economy
Poor1579621
Not good4053741
Good7618633
Excellent831613
Financial situation compared to four years ago
Better today7223531
About the same4745841
Worse today1977225
Candidate that would better handle the economy
Clinton951446
Trump394348
View of how thewar against ISIS is going
Very badly1283524
Somewhat badly3755828
Somewhat well7124535
Very well851164
Candidate that would better handle foreign policy
Clinton867753
Trump296242
Effect of international trade
Takes away U.S. jobs3264442
Creates U.S. jobs5935639
Does not affect jobs6530511
Illegal immigrants working in the U.S. should be
Offered chance at legal status6133670
Deported to home country1483325
View ofU.S. wall along the entire Mexican border
Support1085541
Oppose7616854
Importance of Supreme Court appointments to vote
The most important factor4156321
An important factor4946548
A minor factor49401114
Not a factor at all5537814
The country's criminal justice system
Treats blacks unfairly7222648
Treats all fairly2373443
View ofObamacare
Went too far2373447
Was about right8310718
Did not go far enough7818430
Confidence in vote count
Very confident6827547
Somewhat confident3361637
Not very confident2568711
Not at all confident2857154

Election forecasts

Final polling averages for the 2016 election by state. Polls from lightly shaded states are older than September 1, 2016.
    Hillary Clinton216
    Donald Trump184
  Margin of error between Clinton and Trump
134
  No data
4
Further information:Nationwide opinion polling for the 2016 United States presidential election andStatewide opinion polling for the 2016 United States presidential election

Various methods were used toforecast the outcome of the 2016 election.[477] There were many competing election forecast approaches includingNate Silver'sFiveThirtyEight,The Upshot atThe New York Times,Daily Kos,Princeton Election Consortium,Cook Political Report,Rothenberg and Gonzales, PollyVote,Sabato's Crystal Ball andElectoral-Vote. These models mostly showed a Democratic advantage since the nominees were confirmed, and were supported by pundits and statisticians, includingNate Silver of FiveThirtyEight, Nate Cohn atThe New York Times, andLarry Sabato from the Crystal Ball newsletter, who predicted a Democratic victory in competitive presidential races and projected consistent leads in several battleground states around the country.[478] However, FiveThirtyEight's model pointed to the possibility of an Electoral College-popular vote split widening in the final weeks based on Trump's improvement in swing states like Florida or Pennsylvania. This was due to the demographics targeted by Trump's campaign which lived in big numbers there, in addition to Clinton's poor performance in several of those swing states in comparison with Obama's performance in 2012, as well as having a big number of her potential voters in very populated traditionally 'blue' states, but also in some very populated states traditionally 'red', like Texas, which were projected safe for Trump.[479]

Earlyexit polls generally favored Clinton.[480] After the polls closed and some of the results came in, the forecasts were found to be inaccurate, as Trump performed better in the competitive Midwestern states, such asIowa,Ohio, andMinnesota, than expected. Three Rust Belt states (Pennsylvania,Wisconsin andMichigan) which were considered to be part of Clinton'sfirewall, were won by Trump.[480] Of the states in theGreat Lakes region, Clinton won the swing state ofMinnesota by one point, as well as traditional Democratic strongholds such asNew York andIllinois with populous urban centers. This result stands in contrast to that of2012, whenPresident Barack Obama won all butIndiana, which he carried in2008. This table displays the final polling average published byReal Clear Politics on November 7, the actual electoral margin, and the over-performance by either candidate relative to the polls.

StateElectoral
votes
Polling averageFinal resultDifference
Arizona11Trump +4[481]Trump +3.5Clinton +0.5
Colorado9Clinton +2.9[482]Clinton +4.9Clinton +2
Florida29Trump +0.2[483]Trump +1.2Trump +1
Georgia16Trump +4.8[484]Trump +5.1Trump +0.3
Iowa6Trump +3[485]Trump +9.5Trump +6.5
Maine4Clinton +4.5[486]Clinton +2.9Trump +1.6
Michigan16Clinton +3.4[487]Trump +0.3Trump +3.7
Minnesota10Clinton +6.2[488]Clinton +1.5Trump +4.7
Nevada6Trump +0.8[489]Clinton +2.4Clinton +3.2
New Hampshire4Clinton +0.6[490]Clinton +0.3Trump +0.3
New Mexico5Clinton +5[491]Clinton +8.3Clinton +3.3
North Carolina15Trump +1[492]Trump +3.7Trump +2.7
Ohio18Trump +3.5[493]Trump +8.1Trump +4.6
Pennsylvania20Clinton +1.9[494]Trump +0.7Trump +2.6
Virginia13Clinton +5[495]Clinton +5.4Clinton +0.4
Wisconsin10Clinton +6.5[496]Trump +0.7Trump +7.2

Many pollsters were puzzled by the failure of mainstream forecasting models to predict the outcome of the 2016 election.[497][498] Some journalists compared the 2016 election to the failure of prognosticator Arthur Henning in the "Dewey Defeats Truman" incident from the1948 presidential election.[499][500]Sean Trende, writing forRealClearPolitics, wrote that many of the polls were accurate, but that the pundits' interpretation of these polls neglected polling error.[501]Nate Silver found that the high number of undecided and third-party voters in the election was neglected in many of these models, and that many of these voters decided to vote for Trump.[502] According to a February 2018 study byPublic Opinion Quarterly, the main sources of polling error were "a late swing in vote preference toward Trump and a pervasive failure to adjust for over-representation of college graduates (who favored Clinton)", whereas the share of "shy" Trump voters (who declined to admit their support for Trump to the pollsters) proved to be negligible.[503]Political scientist Lloyd Gruber said, "One of the major casualties of the 2016 election season has been the reputation of political science, a discipline whose practitioners had largely dismissed Donald Trump's chances of gaining the Republican nomination".[504] Trump said that he was surprised, and added "I always used to believe in [polls]. I don't believe them anymore."[338]

FiveThirtyEight's final polls-plus forecast predicted 18 states, plus the second congressional districts ofMaine andNebraska, with an interval of confidence lower than 90%.[505][506] However, every major forecaster, including FiveThirtyEight,The New York Times Upshot,prediction markets aggregator PredictWise, ElectionBettingOdds from Maxim Lott andJohn Stossel, theDailyKos, thePrinceton Election Consortium, theHuffington Post, theCook Political Report,Larry Sabato'sCrystal Ball, and theRothenberg and Gonzales Report, called every state the same way (although Cook and Rothenberg-Gonzales left two and five states as toss-ups, respectively). The lone exception wasMaine's 2nd congressional district. Of the forecasters who published results on the district, theTimes gave Trump a 64% chance of winning and PredictWise a 52% chance, FiveThirtyEight gave Clinton a 51% chance of winning in polls-only and 54% in polls-plus, Princeton gave her a 60% chance, Cook labelled it a toss-up, and Sabato leaned it towards Trump.[113] The following table displays the final winning probabilities given by each outlet, along with the final electoral result. The states shown have been identified byPolitico,[507]WhipBoard,[508]The New York Times,[509] and the Crystal Ball as battlegrounds.

Elections analysts and political pundits issue probabilistic forecasts of the composition of the Electoral College. These forecasts use a variety of factors to estimate the likelihood of each candidate winning the Electoral College electors for that state. Most election predictors use the following ratings:

  • "tossup": no advantage
  • "tilt" (used by some predictors): advantage that is not quite as strong as "lean"
  • "lean" or "leans": slight advantage
  • "likely": significant, but surmountable, advantage
  • "safe" or "solid": near-certain chance of victory

Below is a list of states considered by one or more forecasts to be competitive; states that are deemed to be "safe" or "solid" by forecastersSabato's Crystal Ball,New York Times,Princeton Election Consortium,PredictWise, andFiveThirtyEight.

StateThe New York Times Upshot[509]Five­Thirty­Eight[509]Predict­Wise[509]Princeton Election Consortium[509]Sabato's Crystal Ball[509]2012 margin2016 margin
AlaskaLikely RLikely RLikely RSafe RLikely RR+14R+15
ArizonaLikely RLean RLikely RLikely RLean RR+9R+4
ColoradoLikely DLikely DSafe DSafe DLikely DD+5D+5
FloridaLean DTossupLikely DLean DLean DD+1R+1
(flip)
GeorgiaLikely RLikely RLikely RLikely RLikely RR+8R+6
IowaLean R
(flip)
Lean R
(flip)
Likely R
(flip)
Lean R
(flip)
Lean R
(flip)
D+6R+10
(flip)
MaineLikely DLikely DSafe DSafe DLikely DD+15D+3
ME-2Lean R
(flip)
TossupTossupLean DLean R
(flip)
D+9R+10
(flip)
MichiganLikely DLikely DLikely DLikely DLean DD+9R+1
(flip)
MinnesotaLikely DLikely DSafe DSafe DLikely DD+8D+2
NE-2Likely RTossupLikely RLikely RLean RR+7R+3
New MexicoSafe DLikely DSafe DLikely DLikely DD+10D+8
NevadaLean DTossupLikely DLikely DLean DD+7D+2
New HampshireLikely DLean DLikely DLean DLean DD+6D+1
North CarolinaLean D
(flip)
TossupLean D
(flip)
Lean D
(flip)
Lean D
(flip)
R+2R+4
OhioTossupLean R
(flip)
Lean R
(flip)
Lean R
(flip)
Lean R
(flip)
D+3R+9
(flip)
PennsylvaniaLikely DLikely DLikely DLikely DLean DD+5R+1
(flip)
UtahLean RLikely RLikely RSafe RLean RR+48R+18
VirginiaSafe DLikely DSafe DSafe DLikely DD+4D+5
WisconsinLikely DLikely DSafe DSafe DLikely DD+7R+1
(flip)

Post-election events and controversies

See also:International reactions to the 2016 United States presidential election

Trump's victory, considered unlikely by most forecasts,[510][511][512][513][514] was characterized as an "upset" and as "shocking" by news organizations.[515][516][517][518] Trump himself thought he would lose even as the polls were closing.[519]

Protests

News report about the protests in Los Angeles on November 12 fromVoice of America
Further information:Protests against Donald Trump § Before first presidency

Following the announcement of Trump's election, large protests broke out across the United States with some continuing for several days.[520][521][522][523]

Protesters held up a number of different signs and chanted various shouts including "Not my president" and "We don't accept the president-elect".[524][520] The movement organized onTwitter under the hashtags #Antitrump and #NotMyPresident.[525][526]

High school and college students walked out of classes to protest.[527] At a few protests fires were lit, flags and other items were burned and people yelled derogatory remarks about Trump. Rioters also broke glass at certain locations.[528][529]Celebrities such asMadonna,Cher, andLady Gaga took part in New York.[530][531][532]Kendrick Lamar's song "Alright" was used repeatedly by protestors, despite the movement receiving no endorsement from Lamar himself.[533][534][535] Some protesters took to blockingfreeways inLos Angeles,San Diego, andPortland, Oregon, and were dispersed by police in the early hours of the morning.[536][537] In a number of cities, protesters were dispersed with rubber bullets, pepper spray and bean-bags fired by police.[538][539][540]In New York City, calls were made to continue the protests over the coming days after the election.[541] Los Angeles mayorEric Garcetti expressed understanding of the protests and praised those who peacefully wanted to make their voices heard.[542]

Vote tampering concerns

"How Hard Is It to Hack the US Election" video report fromVoice of America, November 5 (three days before the election)

After the election, computer scientists, includingJ. Alex Halderman, the director of theUniversity of Michigan Center for Computer Security and Society, urged the Clinton campaign to request anelection recount in Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania (three swing states where Trump had won narrowly) for the purpose of excluding the possibility that the hacking ofelectronic voting machines had influenced the recorded outcome.[543][544][545] However, statisticianNate Silver performed aregression analysis which demonstrated that the alleged discrepancy between paperballots and electronicvoting machines "completely disappears once you control for race and education level".[546] On November 25, theObama administration said the results from November 8 "accurately reflect the will of the American people".[547] The following day, the White House released another statement, saying: "the federal government did not observe any increased level of malicious cyberactivity aimed at disrupting our electoral process on Election Day".[548][549]

In the years following the election, Hillary Clinton has alleged that official maleficence contributed to and may have caused her electoral loss, saying in 2022, "Literally within hours of the polls closing in 2016, we had so much evidence pouring in about voters being turned away in Milwaukee and not being able to vote in Detroit. These states were run by Republicans so there was no way to find out the truth about any of them".[550]

Donald Trump and New Hampshire governorChris Sununu both complained that liberal voters from Massachusetts were illegally bused into New Hampshire for the 2016 election, andScott Brown blamed the same phenomenon for losing his senate race in 2014.[551] The New Hampshire Secretary of State and New Hampshire Department of Justice issued a report in 2018 regarding complaints of voters being bused in from Vermont, Maine, and Massachusetts for the 2016 election. They found that in every case, field inspectors were able to determine that the voters were from New Hampshire, though they were riding a bus operated by an out-of-state company (which has its name and address written on the outside of the bus, presumably the source of the confusion).[551] Out of 743,000 votes cast, four were determined to be cast illegally, either because the voters were told to go to the wrong location, or because the voter believed they were able to vote in each town in which they owned property.[551] Out of about 6,000 same-day voter registrations in the state, the report says only 66 voters could not have their residency confirmed (though fraud is not the only explanation for such a failure).[551]

Recount petitions

Main article:2016 United States presidential election recounts

On November 23,Green Party presidential candidateJill Stein launched a public fundraiser to pay for recounts inWisconsin,Michigan, andPennsylvania, asserting that the election's outcome had been affected by hacking in those states; Stein did not provide evidence for her claims.[552][553] Changing the outcome of these three states would make Clinton the winner, and this would require showing that fewer than 60,000 votes had been counted for Trump which should have been counted for Clinton. Stein filed for a recount in Wisconsin on November 25,[554] after which Clinton campaign general counselMarc Elias said their campaign would join Stein's recount efforts in that state and possibly others "in order to ensure the process proceeds in a manner that is fair to all sides".[361][555] Stein subsequently filed for a recount in Pennsylvania on November 28,[556] and in Michigan on November 30.[557] Concurrently,American Delta Party/Reform Party presidential candidateRocky De La Fuente sought and was granted a partial recount in Nevada that was unrelated to Stein's efforts.[363]

President-elect Donald Trump issued a statement denouncing Stein's Wisconsin recount request saying, "The people have spoken and the election is over". Trump further commented that the recount "is a scam by the Green Party for an election that has already been conceded".[558] The Trump campaign and Republican Party officials moved to block Stein's three recount efforts through state and federal courts.[559][560]

U.S. District Judge Mark Goldsmith ordered a halt to the recount in Michigan on December 7, dissolving a previous temporary restraining order against the Michigan Board of Elections that allowed the recount to continue, stating in his order: "Plaintiffs have not presented evidence of tampering or mistake. Instead, they present speculative claims going to the vulnerability of the voting machinery—but not actual injury".[561] On December 12,U.S. District Judge Paul Diamond rejected an appeal by the Green Party and Jill Stein to force a recount in Pennsylvania, stating that suspicion of a hacked Pennsylvania election "borders on the irrational" and that granting the Green Party's recount bid could "ensure that no Pennsylvania vote counts" given the December 13, federal deadline to certify the vote for the Electoral College.[562] Meanwhile, the Wisconsin recount was allowed to continue as it was nearing completion and had uncovered no significant irregularities.[563]

The recounts in Wisconsin and Nevada were completed on schedule, resulting in only minor changes to vote tallies.[564][565] A partial recount of Michigan ballot found some precinct imbalances in Detroit, which were corrected. A subsequent state audit found no evidence ofvoter fraud and concluded that the mistakes, which were "almost entirely" caused by poll-worker mistakes attributed to poor training, did not impair "the ability of Detroit residents to cast a ballot and have their vote counted".[566] The overall outcome of the election remained unchanged by the recount efforts.[564][565][567]

Electoral College lobbying

Intense lobbying (in one case involving claims ofharassment anddeath threats)[568] andgrass-roots campaigns were directed at various GOP electors of theUnited States Electoral College[569] to convince a sufficient number of them (37) to not vote for Trump, thus precluding a Trump presidency.[570] Members of the Electoral College themselves started a campaign for other members to "vote their conscience for the good of America" in accordance withAlexander Hamilton'sFederalist Paper No. 68.[571][572][573][574] Former candidateLawrence Lessig and attorneyLaurence Tribe established The Electors Trust on December 5 under the aegis ofEqual Citizens to providepro bono legal counsel as well as a secure communications platform for members of the Electoral College who were considering avote of conscience against Trump.[575]

On December 6,Colorado Secretary of StateWayne W. Williams castigated Democratic electors who had filed a lawsuit in Federal court to have the state law binding them to the popular vote (in their case for Hillary Clinton) overturned.[576]

On December 10, ten electors, in an open letter headed byChristine Pelosi to the Director of National IntelligenceJames Clapper, demanded an intelligence briefing[577][578] in light ofRussian interference in the election to help Trump win the presidency.[579] Fifty-eight additional electors subsequently added their names to the letter,[578] bringing the total to 68 electors from 17 different states.[580] On December 16, the briefing request was denied.[581]

On December 19, several electorsvoted against their pledged candidates: two against Trump and five against Clinton. A further three electors attempted to vote against Clinton but were replaced or forced to vote again. The115th United States Congress officially certified the results on January 6, 2017.[582][583]

Faithless electors

Main article:Faithless electors in the 2016 United States presidential election

In the Electoral College vote on December 19, for the first time since the ratification of the 12th Amendment, multiplefaithless electors voted against their pledged qualified presidential candidate.[d] Five Democrats rebelled inWashington andHawaii, while two Republicans rebelled inTexas.[584] Two Democratic electors, one in Minnesota and one in Colorado, were replaced after voting forBernie Sanders andJohn Kasich, respectively.[585][586] Electors in Maine conducted a second vote after one of its members voted for Sanders; the elector then voted for Clinton.[587] Likewise, for the first time since1896,[e] multiple faithless electors voted against the pledged qualified vice presidential candidate.

  • One Clinton elector in Colorado attempted to vote for John Kasich.[588] The single vote was ruled invalid by Colorado state law, the elector was dismissed, and an alternative elector was sworn in who voted for Clinton.[589][586]
  • One Clinton elector in Minnesota voted for Bernie Sanders as president andTulsi Gabbard as vice president; his votes were discarded and he was replaced by an alternate who voted for Clinton.[589]
  • One Clinton elector in Maine voted for Bernie Sanders; this vote was invalidated as "improper" and the elector subsequently voted for Clinton.[589]
  • Four Clinton electors in Washington did not vote for Clinton (three votes went toColin Powell, and one toFaith Spotted Eagle).[590]
  • One Trump elector in Georgia resigned before the vote rather than vote for Trump and was replaced by an alternate.[591]
  • Two Trump electors in Texas did not vote for Trump (one vote went to John Kasich, one to Ron Paul); one elector did not vote for Pence and instead voted forCarly Fiorina for vice president; a third resigned before the vote rather than vote for Trump and was replaced by an alternate.[590]
  • One Clinton elector in Hawaii voted for Bernie Sanders.[592]

Of the faithless votes,Colin Powell andElizabeth Warren were the only two to receive more than one; Powell received three electoral votes for president and Warren received two for vice president. Receiving one valid electoral vote each were Sanders,John Kasich,Ron Paul andFaith Spotted Eagle for president, andCarly Fiorina,Susan Collins,Winona LaDuke andMaria Cantwell for vice president. Sanders is the firstJewish American to receive an electoral vote for president. LaDuke is the firstGreen Party member to receive an electoral vote, and Paul is the third member of theLibertarian Party to do so, following the party's presidential and vice-presidential nominees each getting one vote in1972. It is the first election with faithless electors from more than one political party.

StatePartyPresidential voteVice presidential voteName of electorReferences
NationwideDonald Trump, 304Mike Pence, 305Pledged
Hillary Clinton, 227Tim Kaine, 227
HawaiiBernie Sanders (I-VT)Elizabeth Warren (D-MA)David Mulinix[593]
TexasJohn Kasich (R-OH)Carly Fiorina (R-VA)Christopher Suprun[594][595]
Ron Paul (L-TX / R-TX)Mike Pence (as pledged)Bill Greene[594][524]
WashingtonColin Powell (R-VA)[599]Maria Cantwell (D-WA)Levi Guerra[600][601]
Susan Collins (R-ME)Esther John[113][600]
Elizabeth Warren (D-MA)Bret Chiafalo[113][600]
Faith Spotted Eagle (D-SD)[602]Winona LaDuke (G-MN)Robert Satiacum Jr.[113][600][603]

Democratic objections to vote certification

Main article:2017 United States Electoral College vote count

On January 6, 2017, aJoint Session of Congress was held to count the Electoral College votes, pursuant to theElectoral Count Act. This count was unusual for the many unsuccessful objections raised by Democratic members of theHouse of Representatives, allegingvoter suppression and foreign interference.

Handling of illegal votes

Critics alleged racial bias after comparing the different sentences handed down to two white people and one black person who were convicted of attempting to vote illegally in the 2016 presidential election.[604]

Involvement of other countries

Russian involvement

Main articles:Russian interference in the 2016 United States elections andMueller report

On December 9, 2016, theCentral Intelligence Agency issued an assessment to lawmakers in the US Senate, stating that a Russian entity hacked the DNC andJohn Podesta's emails to assist Donald Trump. TheFederal Bureau of Investigation agreed.[605] PresidentBarack Obama ordered a "full review" into such possible intervention.[606] Director of National IntelligenceJames R. Clapper in early January 2017 testified before a Senate committee that Russia's meddling in the 2016 presidential campaign went beyond hacking, and included disinformation and the dissemination offake news, often promoted on social media.[607] Facebook revealed that during the 2016 United States presidential election, a Russian company funded byYevgeny Prigozhin, a Russian businessman with ties toVladimir Putin,[608] had purchased advertisements on the website for US$100,000,[609] 25% of which were geographically targeted to the U.S.[610]

President-elect Trump originally called the report fabricated.[611]Julian Assange said the Russian government was not the source of the documents.[612] Days later, Trump said he could be convinced of the Russian hacking "if there is a unified presentation of evidence from the Federal Bureau of Investigation and other agencies".[613]

Several U.S. senators—including RepublicansJohn McCain,Richard Burr, andLindsey Graham—demanded a congressional investigation.[614] TheSenate Intelligence Committee announced the scope of their bipartisanofficial inquiry on December 13, which began on January 24, 2017.[615]

A formalSpecial Counsel investigation headed by former FBI directorRobert Mueller was initiated in May 2017 to uncover the detailed interference operations by Russia, and to determine whether any people associated with the Trump campaign were complicit in the Russian efforts. When questioned byChuck Todd onMeet the Press in March 2017, Clapper declared that intelligence investigations on Russian interference performed by theFBI,CIA,NSA and hisODNI office had found no evidence of collusion between theTrump campaign and Russia.[616] Mueller concluded his investigation on March 22, 2019, by submitting his report to Attorney GeneralWilliam Barr.[617]

On March 24, 2019, Barr submitteda letter describing Mueller's conclusions,[618][619] and on April 18, 2019, a redacted version of theMueller report was released to the public. It concluded that Russian interference in the 2016 presidential election did occur "in sweeping and systematic fashion" and "violated U.S. criminal law".[620][621]

The first method detailed in the final report was the usage of theInternet Research Agency, waging "a social media campaign that favored presidential candidate Donald J. Trump and disparaged presidential candidate Hillary Clinton".[622] The Internet Research Agency also sought to "provoke and amplify political and social discord in the United States".[623]

The second method of Russian interference saw the Russian intelligence service, theGRU, hacking into email accounts owned by volunteers and employees of the Clinton presidential campaign, including that of campaign chairman John Podesta, and also hacking into "the computer networks of theDemocratic Congressional Campaign Committee (DCCC) and theDemocratic National Committee (DNC)".[624] As a result, the GRU obtained hundreds of thousands of hacked documents, and the GRU proceeded by arranging releases of damaging hacked material via the WikiLeaks organization and also GRU's personas "DCLeaks" and "Guccifer 2.0".[625][626]To establish whether a crime was committed by members of the Trump campaign with regard to Russian interference, the special counsel's investigators "applied the framework ofconspiracy law", and not the concept of "collusion", because collusion "is not a specific offense or theory of liability found in the United States Code, nor is it a term of art in federal criminal law".[627][628] They also investigated if members of the Trump campaign "coordinated" with Russia, using the definition of "coordination" as having "an agreement—tacit or express—between the Trump campaign and the Russian government on election interference". Investigators further elaborated that merely having "two parties taking actions that were informed by or responsive to the other's actions or interests" was not enough to establish coordination.[629]

The Mueller report writes that the investigation "identified numerous links between the Russian government and the Trump campaign", found that Russia "perceived it would benefit from a Trump presidency" and that the 2016 Trump presidential campaign "expected it would benefit electorally" from Russian hacking efforts. Ultimately, "the investigation did not establish that members of the Trump campaign conspired or coordinated with the Russian government in its election interference activities".[630][631]

However, investigators had an incomplete picture of what had really occurred during the 2016 campaign, due to some associates of Trump campaign providing either false, incomplete or declined testimony, as well as having deleted, unsaved or encrypted communications. As such, the Mueller report "cannot rule out the possibility" that information then unavailable to investigators would have presented different findings.[632][633] In March 2020, the US Justice Department dropped its prosecution of two Russian firms linked to interference in the 2016 election.[634][608]

Other countries

See also:Foreign electoral intervention

Special CouncilRobert Mueller also investigated the Trump campaign's alleged ties toSaudi Arabia, theUnited Arab Emirates,Turkey,Qatar,Israel, andChina.[635][636] According toThe Times of Israel, Trump's longtime confidantRoger Stone "was in contact with one or more apparently well-connected Israelis at the height of the 2016 US presidential campaign, one of whom warned Stone that Trump was 'going to be defeated unless we intervene' and promised 'we have critical intell [sic].'"[637][638]

The Justice Department accusedGeorge Nader of providing $3.5 million in illicit campaign donations to Hillary Clinton before the elections and to Trump after he won the elections. According toThe New York Times, this was an attempt by the government ofUnited Arab Emirates to influence the election.[639]

In December 2018, a Ukrainian court ruled that prosecutors in Ukraine had meddled in the 2016 election by releasing damaging information on Trump campaign chairmanPaul Manafort.[640]

Voice of America reported in April 2020 that "U.S. intelligence agencies concluded theChinese hackers meddled in both the 2016 and 2018 elections".[641]

In July 2021, the US federal prosecutors accused Trump's former adviserTom Barrack for being an unregistered foreign lobbying agent for the United Arab Emirates during the 2016 presidential campaign of Donald Trump.[642] In 2022, Barrack was found not guilty on all charges.[643]

See also

Notes

  1. ^Percentage point difference in margin from the2012 election
  2. ^Maine split its electoral votes for the first time since1828.[420]
  3. ^abcdAlaska and Louisiana do not have counties. Alaska'sboroughs and census areas and Louisiana'sparishes are pictured.
  4. ^The1872 presidential election also saw multiple electors vote for a different candidate than that pledged, due to the death ofLiberal Republican candidateHorace Greeley, after the popular vote, yet before the meeting of the Electoral College. Greeley still garnered three posthumous electoral votes which Congress subsequently dismissed.
  5. ^Not including1912, because of the death ofJames S. Sherman.

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