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Scott: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Dixon: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 40–50% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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The2016 United States Senate election in South Carolina was held on November 8, 2016, to elect a member of theUnited States Senate to represent the State ofSouth Carolina, concurrently with the2016 U.S. presidential election, as well asother elections to the United States Senate in other states andelections to theUnited States House of Representatives and variousstate andlocal elections. Both major parties held their primaries on June 14.
IncumbentRepublican SenatorTim Scott won re-election to a first full term in office.[1]
This was the second U.S. Senate election in South Carolina (and the second of three consecutive elections for this seat) where both major party nominees wereblack, and the third overall since the passage of theSeventeenth Amendment.[a]
Two-term Republican senatorJim DeMint was re-elected with 61.48% of the votein 2010. He resigned at the start of 2013 to become President ofThe Heritage Foundation and U.S. RepresentativeTim Scott ofSouth Carolina's 1st congressional district was appointed to replace him by GovernorNikki Haley.[2] Scott subsequently won thespecial election in 2014 for the remaining two years of the term.
| Dates | Location | Scott | Dixon | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 24, 2016 | Greenville,South Carolina | Participant | Participant | [8] |
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[9] | Safe R | November 2, 2016 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Safe R | November 7, 2016 |
| Rothenberg Political Report[11] | Safe R | November 3, 2016 |
| Daily Kos[12] | Safe R | November 8, 2016 |
| Real Clear Politics[13] | Safe R | November 7, 2016 |
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| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Tim Scott (R) | Thomas Dixon (D) | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyMonkey[14] | November 1–7, 2016 | 1,698 | ± 4.6% | 59% | 38% | – | 3% |
| SurveyMonkey[15] | October 31–November 6, 2016 | 1,642 | ± 4.6% | 58% | 39% | – | 3% |
| SurveyMonkey[16] | October 28–November 3, 2016 | 1,583 | ± 4.6% | 58% | 39% | – | 3% |
| SurveyMonkey[17] | October 27–November 2, 2016 | 1,501 | ± 4.6% | 58% | 39% | – | 3% |
| SurveyMonkey[18] | October 26–November 1, 2016 | 1,588 | ± 4.6% | 57% | 40% | – | 3% |
| SurveyMonkey[19] | October 25–31, 2016 | 1,762 | ± 4.6% | 56% | 39% | – | 5% |
| Starboard Communications (R)[20] | September 7–9, 2016 | 600 | ± 4.8% | 58% | 22% | – | 16% |
| Public Policy Polling[21] | August 9–10, 2016 | 1,290 | ± 2.7% | 45% | 30%[22] | 6%[23] | 20% |
with Joyce Dickerson
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Tim Scott (R) | Joyce Dickerson (D) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling[24] | November 7–8, 2015 | 1,290 | ± 2.7% | 53% | 25% | 23% |
with Bakari Sellers
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Tim Scott (R) | Bakari Sellers (D) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling[25] | February 12–15, 2015 | 868 | ± 3.3% | 56% | 28% | 16% |
with Leon Lott
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Tim Scott (R) | Leon Lott (D) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling[25] | February 12–15, 2015 | 868 | ± 3.3% | 54% | 27% | 19% |
with Jim Hodges
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Tim Scott (R) | Jim Hodges (D) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling[25] | February 12–15, 2015 | 868 | ± 3.3% | 54% | 32% | 15% |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Tim Scott (incumbent) | 1,241,609 | 60.57% | −0.55% | |
| Democratic | Thomas Dixon[28] | 757,022 | 36.93% | −0.16% | |
| Libertarian | Bill Bledsoe[29] | 37,482 | 1.83% | N/A | |
| American | Michael Scarborough | 11,923 | 0.58% | −1.17% | |
| n/a | Write-ins | 1,857 | 0.09% | +0.05% | |
| Total votes | 2,049,893 | 100.0% | N/A | ||
| Republicanhold | |||||
Scott won six of seven congressional districts.[30]
| District | Scott | Dixon | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 65% | 33% | Mark Sanford |
| 2nd | 63% | 34% | Joe Wilson |
| 3rd | 71% | 27% | Jeff Duncan |
| 4th | 67% | 30% | Trey Gowdy |
| 5th | 59% | 38% | Mick Mulvaney |
| 6th | 35% | 63% | Jim Clyburn |
| 7th | 61% | 37% | Tom Rice |