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2016 United States Senate election in South Carolina

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2016 United States Senate election in South Carolina

← 2014
(special)
November 8, 20162022 →
 
NomineeTim ScottThomas Dixon
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Popular vote1,241,609757,022
Percentage60.57%36.93%

County results
Congressional district results
Precinct results
Scott:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Dixon:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Tie:     40–50%     No votes

U.S. senator before election

Tim Scott
Republican

Elected U.S. Senator

Tim Scott
Republican

Elections in South Carolina
U.S. President
Presidential primaries
U.S. Senate
U.S. House of Representatives

The2016 United States Senate election in South Carolina was held on November 8, 2016, to elect a member of theUnited States Senate to represent the State ofSouth Carolina, concurrently with the2016 U.S. presidential election, as well asother elections to the United States Senate in other states andelections to theUnited States House of Representatives and variousstate andlocal elections. Both major parties held their primaries on June 14.

IncumbentRepublican SenatorTim Scott won re-election to a first full term in office.[1]

This was the second U.S. Senate election in South Carolina (and the second of three consecutive elections for this seat) where both major party nominees wereblack, and the third overall since the passage of theSeventeenth Amendment.[a]

Background

[edit]

Two-term Republican senatorJim DeMint was re-elected with 61.48% of the votein 2010. He resigned at the start of 2013 to become President ofThe Heritage Foundation and U.S. RepresentativeTim Scott ofSouth Carolina's 1st congressional district was appointed to replace him by GovernorNikki Haley.[2] Scott subsequently won thespecial election in 2014 for the remaining two years of the term.

Republican primary

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Candidates

[edit]

Declared

[edit]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Declared

[edit]
  • Thomas Dixon, pastor and community activist (also running with Green Party nomination)[3]

Declined

[edit]

General election

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Candidates

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Debates

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DatesLocationScottDixonLink
October 24, 2016Greenville,South CarolinaParticipantParticipant[8]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[9]Safe RNovember 2, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10]Safe RNovember 7, 2016
Rothenberg Political Report[11]Safe RNovember 3, 2016
Daily Kos[12]Safe RNovember 8, 2016
Real Clear Politics[13]Safe RNovember 7, 2016

Polling

[edit]
This graph was using thelegacy Graph extension, which is no longer supported. It needs to be converted to thenew Chart extension.
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Tim
Scott (R)
Thomas
Dixon (D)
OtherUndecided
SurveyMonkey[14]November 1–7, 20161,698± 4.6%59%38%3%
SurveyMonkey[15]October 31–November 6, 20161,642± 4.6%58%39%3%
SurveyMonkey[16]October 28–November 3, 20161,583± 4.6%58%39%3%
SurveyMonkey[17]October 27–November 2, 20161,501± 4.6%58%39%3%
SurveyMonkey[18]October 26–November 1, 20161,588± 4.6%57%40%3%
SurveyMonkey[19]October 25–31, 20161,762± 4.6%56%39%5%
Starboard Communications (R)[20]September 7–9, 2016600± 4.8%58%22%16%
Public Policy Polling[21]August 9–10, 20161,290± 2.7%45%30%[22]6%[23]20%
Hypothetical polling

with Joyce Dickerson

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Tim
Scott (R)
Joyce
Dickerson (D)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling[24]November 7–8, 20151,290± 2.7%53%25%23%

with Bakari Sellers

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Tim
Scott (R)
Bakari
Sellers (D)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling[25]February 12–15, 2015868± 3.3%56%28%16%

with Leon Lott

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Tim
Scott (R)
Leon
Lott (D)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling[25]February 12–15, 2015868± 3.3%54%27%19%

with Jim Hodges

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Tim
Scott (R)
Jim
Hodges (D)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling[25]February 12–15, 2015868± 3.3%54%32%15%

Results

[edit]
United States Senate election in South Carolina, 2016[26][27]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
RepublicanTim Scott (incumbent)1,241,60960.57%−0.55%
DemocraticThomas Dixon[28]757,02236.93%−0.16%
LibertarianBill Bledsoe[29]37,4821.83%N/A
AmericanMichael Scarborough11,9230.58%−1.17%
n/aWrite-ins1,8570.09%+0.05%
Total votes2,049,893100.0%N/A
Republicanhold

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

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By congressional district

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Scott won six of seven congressional districts.[30]

DistrictScottDixonRepresentative
1st65%33%Mark Sanford
2nd63%34%Joe Wilson
3rd71%27%Jeff Duncan
4th67%30%Trey Gowdy
5th59%38%Mick Mulvaney
6th35%63%Jim Clyburn
7th61%37%Tom Rice

References

[edit]
  1. ^abEmily Cahn; Alexis Levinson (January 28, 2015)."Senators Confirm Re-Election Bids for 2016".Roll Call. Archived fromthe original on January 29, 2015. RetrievedJanuary 29, 2015.
  2. ^Jeff Zeleny (December 17, 2012)."Rep. Tim Scott Chosen to Replace Jim DeMint as South Carolina Senator".The New York Times.
  3. ^Rindge, Brenda (February 22, 2016)."Thomas Dixon to challenge U.S. Sen. Tim Scott".The Post and Courier. Archived fromthe original on October 13, 2016. RetrievedFebruary 23, 2016.
  4. ^"SOUTH CAROLINA: Richland Co Councilwoman & '14 nom Joyce Dickerson (D) back for a second run vs US Sen Tim Scott (R)".Politics1. Twitter. November 2, 2015. RetrievedMarch 14, 2016.
  5. ^"Candidate Listing for the 11/8/2016 Statewide General Election".South Carolina Election Commission. RetrievedMarch 18, 2016.
  6. ^abcd"Candidate Listing for the 11/8/2016 Statewide General Election". South Carolina Election Commission. RetrievedAugust 14, 2016.
  7. ^Crowder, Mike (May 15, 2016)."American Party of SC nominates candidates for a handful of offices".WRHI. RetrievedAugust 9, 2016.
  8. ^Full debate - C-SPAN
  9. ^"2016 Senate Race Ratings for November 2, 2016".The Cook Political Report. RetrievedMarch 26, 2021.
  10. ^"2016 Senate".Sabato's Crystal Ball. RetrievedSeptember 19, 2016.
  11. ^"2016 Senate Ratings".Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. RetrievedNovember 3, 2016.
  12. ^"Daily Kos Election 2016 forecast: The final version".Daily Kos. RetrievedMarch 27, 2021.
  13. ^"Battle for the Senate 2016". Real Clear Politics. RetrievedOctober 28, 2016.
  14. ^SurveyMonkey
  15. ^SurveyMonkey
  16. ^SurveyMonkey
  17. ^SurveyMonkey
  18. ^SurveyMonkey
  19. ^SurveyMonkey
  20. ^Starboard Communications (R)Archived September 14, 2016, at theWayback Machine
  21. ^Public Policy Polling
  22. ^Fusion voting total- 28% as D, 2% as G
  23. ^Bill Bledsoe (L) with 4% and Michael Scarborough (A) with 2%
  24. ^Public Policy Polling
  25. ^abcPublic Policy Polling
  26. ^"2016 Statewide General Election official results". South Carolina State Election Commission. RetrievedDecember 20, 2016.
  27. ^"2016 South Carolina Senatorial Election Turnout Data". Archived fromthe original on December 20, 2016. RetrievedDecember 10, 2016.
  28. ^Aggregated total includes 37,610 votes Dixon received under the Working Families Party, and 14,872 votes received under the Green Party.
  29. ^Aggregated total includes 12,652 votes received under the Constitution Party.
  30. ^"DRA 2020".Daves Redistricting. RetrievedAugust 19, 2024.

Notes

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  1. ^AfterIllinois in 2004 andSouth Carolina in 2014.

External links

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