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Schumer: 40-50% 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% 80-90% >90% Long: 40-50% 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 40–50% 50% No votes | ||||||||||||||||||||
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The2016 United States Senate election in New York was held November 8, 2016, to elect a member of theUnited States Senate to represent the State ofNew York, concurrently with thepresidential election, as well asother elections to the United States Senate in other states andelections to theUnited States House of Representatives and variousstate andlocal elections. The primaries took place on June 28. This was the last time any U.S. Senate candidate in New York won a general election by more than 35 percentage points.
IncumbentDemocratic SenatorChuck Schumer won re-election to a fourth term in office.[1] This was considered by many polling aggregate groups to be one of the safest Democratic seats in the nation for this cycle. The prediction turned out to be correct, with Schumer winning around 71% of the vote and all but five of the state's62 counties:Hamilton,Orleans,Wyoming,Allegany andSteuben.
| Dates | Location | Schumer | Long | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 30, 2016 | Schenectady,New York | Participant | Participant | [9] |
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[12] | Safe D | November 2, 2016 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[13] | Safe D | November 7, 2016 |
| Rothenberg Political Report[14] | Safe D | November 3, 2016 |
| Daily Kos[15] | Safe D | November 8, 2016 |
| Real Clear Politics[16] | Safe D | November 7, 2016 |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Chuck Schumer (D) | Wendy Long (R) | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyMonkey[17] | November 1–7, 2016 | 2,208 | ± 4.6% | 71% | 25% | — | 4% |
| SurveyMonkey[18] | October 31–November 6, 2016 | 2,132 | ± 4.6% | 71% | 25% | — | 4% |
| Siena College[19] | November 3–4, 2016 | 617 | ± 4.5% | 67% | 25% | — | 8% |
| SurveyMonkey[20] | October 28–November 3, 2016 | 1,949 | ± 4.6% | 71% | 26% | — | 3% |
| SurveyMonkey[21] | October 27–November 2, 2016 | 1,755 | ± 4.6% | 70% | 26% | — | 4% |
| SurveyMonkey[22] | October 26–November 1, 2016 | 1,645 | ± 4.6% | 70% | 27% | — | 3% |
| SurveyMonkey[23] | October 25–31, 2016 | 1,734 | ± 4.6% | 68% | 28% | — | 4% |
| Siena College[24] | October 13–17, 2016 | 611 | ± 4.6% | 66% | 27% | 1% | 6% |
| NBC 4 NY/WSJ/Marist[25] | September 21–23, 2016 | 676 | ± 3.8% | 70% | 24% | 1% | 6% |
| Siena College[26] | September 11–15, 2016 | 600 | ± 5.0% | 69% | 23% | — | 8% |
| Emerson College[27] | August 28–30, 2016 | 800 | ± 3.4% | 60% | 23% | 4% | 12% |
| Siena College[28] | August 7–10, 2016 | 717 | ± 4.3% | 63% | 24% | — | 13% |
| Quinnipiac University[29] | July 13–17, 2016 | 1,104 | ± 3.0% | 60% | 28% | 1% | 8% |
| Siena College[30] | June 22–28, 2016 | 803 | ± 4.0% | 66% | 23% | — | 11% |
| Siena College[31] | May 22–26, 2016 | 825 | ± 3.9% | 64% | 22% | — | 14% |
| Siena College[32] | April 24–27, 2016 | 802 | ± 4.1% | 64% | 24% | — | 12% |
| Public Policy Polling[33] | April 7–10, 2016 | 1,403 | ± 2.6% | 55% | 23% | — | 22% |
| Quinnipiac University[34] | March 22–29, 2016 | 1,667 | ± 2.4% | 63% | 24% | — | 11% |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Chuck Schumer | 4,784,218 | 64.72% | +6.25% | |
| Working Families | Chuck Schumer | 241,672 | 3.27% | −0.73% | |
| Independence | Chuck Schumer | 150,654 | 2.04% | −1.82% | |
| Women's Equality | Chuck Schumer | 45,401 | 0.61% | N/A | |
| Total | Chuck Schumer (incumbent) | 5,221,945 | 70.64% | +4.31% | |
| Republican | Wendy Long | 1,723,920 | 23.32% | −3.65% | |
| Conservative | Wendy Long | 267,622 | 3.62% | −1.62% | |
| Reform | Wendy Long | 17,813 | 0.24% | N/A | |
| Total | Wendy Long | 2,009,355 | 27.18% | −5.03% | |
| Green | Robin Laverne Wilson | 113,413 | 1.53% | +0.61% | |
| Libertarian | Alex Merced | 48,120 | 0.65% | +0.11% | |
| Total votes | 7,392,833 | 100.0% | N/A | ||
| Democratichold | |||||
Schumer won all 27 congressional districts, including nine that elected Republicans.[36]
| District | Schumer | Long | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 58% | 40% | Lee Zeldin |
| 2nd | 61% | 38% | Peter T. King |
| 3rd | 64% | 35% | Steve Israel |
| Thomas Suozzi | |||
| 4th | 66% | 32% | Kathleen Rice |
| 5th | 90% | 9% | Gregory Meeks |
| 6th | 75% | 22% | Grace Meng |
| 7th | 88% | 8% | Nydia Velázquez |
| 8th | 89% | 8% | Hakeem Jeffries |
| 9th | 89% | 9% | Yvette Clarke |
| 10th | 82% | 15% | Jerry Nadler |
| 11th | 64% | 34% | Dan Donovan |
| 12th | 83% | 14% | Carolyn Maloney |
| 13th | 92% | 5% | Charles B. Rangel |
| Adriano Espaillat | |||
| 14th | 84% | 14% | Joe Crowley |
| 15th | 95% | 4% | Jose Serrano |
| 16th | 80% | 19% | Eliot Engel |
| 17th | 68% | 30% | Nita Lowey |
| 18th | 59% | 39% | Sean Patrick Maloney |
| 19th | 58% | 39% | John Faso |
| 20th | 68% | 30% | Paul Tonko |
| 21st | 57% | 40% | Elise Stefanik |
| 22nd | 59% | 38% | Richard L. Hanna |
| Claudia Tenney | |||
| 23rd | 56% | 42% | Tom Reed |
| 24th | 66% | 32% | John Katko |
| 25th | 68% | 30% | Louise Slaughter |
| 26th | 74% | 23% | Brian Higgins |
| 27th | 55% | 43% | Chris Collins |
Official campaign websites