Florida House of Representatives
U.S. Senator from Florida
The2016 United States Senate election in Florida was held on November 8, 2016 to elect a member of theUnited States Senate to represent the State ofFlorida , concurrently with the2016 U.S. presidential election ,other elections to the United States Senate in other states,elections to theUnited States House of Representatives , and variousstate andlocal elections . The primary elections for both the Republicans and Democrats took place on August 30, 2016.[ 1]
IncumbentRepublican SenatorMarco Rubio ran for another term, but faced well-funded Republican primary opposition after initially announcing he would not seek re-election to his Senate seat. He had openly considered whether to seek re-election or run for president in 2016.[ 2] [ 3] [ 4] He stated in April 2014 that he would not run for both the Senate and president in 2016, as Florida law prohibits a candidate from simultaneously appearing twice on a ballot, but did not rule out running for either office.[ 5]
However, in April 2015, Rubio announced that he wasrunning for president and would not seek re-election.[ 6] [ 7] [ 8] [ 9] He had initially said he would not run for re-election to the Senate even if he dropped out of theGOP presidential primary before he would have to qualify for the 2016 Senate primary ballot, for which the filing deadline was June 24, 2016.[ 10] [ 11]
On June 13, 2016, despite his previous statements that he would not run for re-election to his Senate seat, Rubio "seemed to open the door to running for re-election," citing the previous day'smass shooting in Orlando and how "it really gives you pause, to think a little bit about your service to your country and where you can be most useful to your country."[ 12] On June 22, 2016, Rubio announced that he would seek re-election to the Senate, reversing his pledge not to run.[ 13]
On August 30, the Republican Party nominated Marco Rubio, and the Democratic Party nominated RepresentativePatrick Murphy . Rubio won with the largest raw vote total in Florida history (until Donald Trump broke the record in 2020), taking a greater percentage of the popular vote than Republican presidential nomineeDonald Trump , who won the state in the election. He is the firstRepublican Senator from Florida since1994 , and only the second withConnie Mack , to be reelected to a second term. Also,Mel Martinez 's victory in2004 marks the first time that Republicans had won one of Florida'sSenate seats three times in a row (Mack succeededLawton Chiles , a Democrat, and was succeeded by another Democrat,Bill Nelson ).
Marco Rubio won 48% of the Hispanic vote and 17% of the African American vote during this election, at the time considered an exceptional number for a Republican during a presidential year.[ 14] Additionally, Rubio's raw vote total was the highest vote total for any Republican Senate candidate up untilTexas Senator John Cornyn broke it in2020 .
Rubio would later win by a larger 16.4% margin in2022 , including winning a majority of Hispanic voters in Florida.
Jeff Atwater ,chief financial officer of Florida [ 33] Rick Baker , former mayor ofSt. Petersburg [ 34] [ 35] Pam Bondi ,Florida attorney general [ 36] Dan Bongino , radio host, former Secret Service agent, and nominee for theU.S. Senate from Maryland in 2012 and forMD-06 in2014 [ 37] [ 38] [ 39] (running forFL-19 )Vern Buchanan , U.S. representative (ran forreelection )[ 20] [ 40] Ben Carson , retired neurosurgeon and former candidate forpresident in2016 [ 41] [ 42] Curt Clawson , U.S. representative[ 43] [ 44] Randy Fine, businessman[ 45] Anitere Flores , state senator (ran forreelection )[ 46] [ 47] Don Gaetz , state senator and former state senate president[ 48] Mike Haridopolos , formerpresident of the Florida Senate and candidate for the U.S. Senatein 2012 [ 43] [ 49] George LeMieux , former U.S. senator[ 50] Connie Mack IV , former U.S. representative and nominee for the U.S. Senatein 2012 [ 43] [ 51] Bill McCollum , formerFlorida attorney general , former U.S. representative, nominee for U.S. Senate in2000 , candidate in2004 and candidate for governor in2010 [ 52] [ 53] John Mica , U.S. representative (ran forreelection )[ 19] [ 54] Jeff Miller , U.S. representative[ 55] Adam Putnam ,Florida Commissioner of Agriculture and former U.S. representative[ 46] [ 56] [ 57] Francis Rooney , formerUnited States Ambassador to the Holy See (ran forU.S. House )[ 58] [ 59] [ 60] Tom Rooney , U.S. representative (ran forreelection )[ 61] [ 62] [ 63] Dennis A. Ross , U.S. representative (ran forreelection )[ 64] [ 65] Joe Scarborough , cable news personality and former U.S. representative[ 66] Will Weatherford , formerspeaker of theFlorida House of Representatives [ 67] Daniel Webster , U.S. representative[ 68] Allen West , former U.S. representative[ 69] Ted Yoho , U.S. representative (ran forreelection )[ 70] [ 71] Ron DeSantis (withdrew)
Individuals
Marsha Blackburn , U.S. representative (TN-07)[ 72] John R. Bolton , formerUnited States Ambassador to the United Nations [ 73] Dan Bongino , former U.S. Secret Service agent and U.S. House and Senate candidate[ 39] Ben Carson , retired neurosurgeon and former candidate forPresident in2016 [ 42] Jim France , NASCAR executive[ 74] Trey Gowdy , U.S. representative (SC-4)[ 75] Sean Jackson, chairman of the Black Republican Caucus of South Florida[ 76] Mike Lee , U.S. senator from Utah[ 77] Bob Martinez , former Florida governor[ 74] John Rood , former U.S. ambassador[ 74] Francis Rooney , former U.S. ambassador to the Vatican[ 74] Tom Rooney , U.S. representative (FL-17)[ 78] Organizations
Carlos López-Cantera (withdrew)
Statewide officials
State legislators
Ben Albritton , state representative[ 90] Frank Artiles , state representative[ 47] Bryan Avila , state representative[ 47] Dennis K. Baxley , state representative[ 91] Halsey Beshears , state representative[ 91] Michael Bileca , state representative[ 47] Jim Boyd , state representative[ 90] Jason Brodeur , state representative[ 92] Matt Caldwell , state representative[ 91] Bob Cortes , state representative[ 92] José Félix Díaz , state representative[ 47] Manny Díaz, Jr. , state representative[ 47] Miguel Diaz de la Portilla , state senator[ 47] Brad Drake , state representative[ 91] Dane Eagle , state representative[ 90] Heather Fitzenhagen , state representative[ 90] Anitere Flores , state senator[ 47] Erik Fresen , state representative[ 47] Bill Galvano , state senate majority leader[ 90] Rene Garcia , state senator[ 47] Julio Gonzalez , state representative[ 90] Tom Goodson , state representative[ 92] Clay Ingram , state representative[ 91] Mike La Rosa , state representative[ 92] MaryLynn Magar , state representative[ 91] George Moraitis , state representative[ 47] Jeanette Nuñez , state representative[ 47] H. Marlene O'Toole , state representative[ 92] José R. Oliva , state representative[ 47] Kathleen Passidomo , state representative[ 90] Keith Perry , state representative[ 91] Ray Pilon , state representative[ 90] Scott Plakon , state representative[ 92] Rene Plasencia , state representative[ 92] Elizabeth W. Porter , state representative[ 91] Holly Merrill Raschein , state representative[ 47] Ken Roberson , state representative[ 90] David Santiago , state representative[ 92] Jimmie Todd Smith , state representative[ 91] Carlos Trujillo , state representative[ 47] Ritch Workman , state representative[ 92] Mayors and other municipal leaders
Marco Rubio
Presidents of the United States
Governors
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
Individuals
John Bolton , formerUnited States Ambassador to the United Nations [ 109] Carly Fiorina , former CEO ofHewlett-Packard , 2010 Republican nominee for Senate in California, and2016 presidential candidate [ 110] Newt Gingrich , formerSpeaker of the House of Representatives and2012 presidential candidate [ 111] Sean Hannity , conservative talk radio host and host ofHannity [ 112] Evan McMullin , former chief policy director for theHouse Republican Conference in theU.S. House of Representatives , formerCIA operations officer and 2016 independent candidate for president[ 113] Reince Priebus ,Republican National Committee chairman[ 114] Donald Trump , chairman and CEO of theTrump Organization and2016 presidential nominee [ 115] Organizations
Statewide officials
Newspaper editorial boards
Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size Margin of error Carlos Beruff Ron DeSantis David Jolly Ilya Katz CarlosLópez-Cantera Marco Rubio Todd Wilcox Other/ Undecided Mason-Dixon [ 123] August 22–24, 2016 400 ± 5% 22% — — — — 61% — 15% Florida Atlantic University [ 124] August 19–22, 2016 327 ± 5.4% 8% — — — — 69% 5% 15% Florida Chamber of Commerce [ 125] August 17–22, 2016 249 ± 4.0% 19% — — — — 68% — 10% St. Leo University [ 126] August 14–18, 2016 479 ± 4.5% 14% — — — — 68% — 18% Suffolk University [ 127] August 1–3, 2016 183 ± 4.4% 12% – – – – 62% – 26% St. Pete Polls [ 128] August 2, 2016 1,835 ± 2.3% 22% – – – – 55% – 23% Bay News 9 /SurveyUSA [ 129] June 25–27, 2016 555 ± 4.1% 11% – – – – 63% – 13% Vox Populi Polling (R) [ 130] June 19–20, 2016 487 ± 4.4% 5% – – – – 57% 4% 34% St. Leo University [ 131] June 10–16, 2016 500 ± 7% 4% 5% 4% 1% 3% 52% 2% 27% 8% 8% 8% 2% 9% – 5% 57% Mason-Dixon [ 132] May 31–June 2, 2016 400 ± 5% 17% 10% 13% – 9% – 2% 49% News 13 /Bay News 9 [ 133] March 4–6, 2016 724 ± 3.7% 1% 11% 18% 4% 9% – 7% 50% Washington Post /Univision [ 134] March 2–5, 2016 450 ± 5.5% 0% 6% 5% – 6% – 2% 81% Public Policy Polling [ 135] February 24–25, 2016 464 ± 4.6% – 14% 26% – 11% – 2% 47% Florida Atlantic University College of Business [ 136] January 15–18, 2016 345 ± 5.2% – 8% 28% – 8% – – 57% St. Pete Polls /Saint Petersblog [ 137] December 14–15, 2015 2,694 ± 1.9% – 18% 21% – 10% – 8% 44% St. Leo University [ 138] November 29 – December 3, 2015 147 ± 8% – 6% 12% 4% 8% – 7% 63% Public Policy Polling [ 139] September 11–13, 2015 377 ± 5.1% – 15% 18% – 14% – – 52%
Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size Margin of errorVern Buchanan Ben Carson Ron DeSantis Don Gaetz David Jolly George LeMieux CarlosLópez-Cantera Bill McCollum Jeff Miller Tom Rooney Todd Wilcox Other/ Undecided News 13 /Bay News 9 [ 133] March 4–6, 2016 724 ± 3.7% – 56% – – – – – – – – – 44% Mason-Dixon [ 140] July 20–24, 2015 500 ± 4.5% – – 8% – 11% – 7% 22% 6% – 1% 45% – – 9% – 16% – 10% – 8% – 2% 55% St. Pete Polls [ 141] July 15, 2015 1,074 ± 3.0% – — 9% — 22% — 11% — 12% — – 46% Gravis Marketing [ 142] June 16—20, 2015 729 ± 3.6% – — 16% — — — 7% 25% 6% — – 46% St. Leo University [ 143] May 25–31, 2015 425 ± 4.5% – — 6% 4% 6% 3% 7% 16% 8% — – 43% Mason-Dixon [ 144] Apr. 14–16, 2015 425 ± 4.8% 7% – 4% 1% 8% 3% 4% 20% — 5% – 48%
Lateresa Jones, life coach and independent candidate for lieutenant governor in2014 (running as an Independent)[ 155] [ 156] Bob Buckhorn ,mayor ofTampa [ 46] [ 157] Kathy Castor , U.S. representative[ 158] Charlie Crist , former Republicangovernor of Florida , independent candidate for the U.S. Senatein 2010 and Democratic nominee for governorin 2014 (running for the U.S. House of Representatives)[ 159] Ted Deutch , U.S. representative (running for re-election)[ 160] Buddy Dyer ,mayor ofOrlando [ 46] Dan Gelber , former minority leader of theFlorida House of Representatives , former state senator and nominee for Florida attorney general in2010 [ 161] [ 162] Andrew Gillum , mayor ofTallahassee [ 163] [ 164] Philip Levine , mayor ofMiami Beach [ 165] Debbie Wasserman Schultz , U.S. representative and formerchair of theDemocratic National Committee (running for re-election)[ 166] Alan Grayson
Politicians
Individuals
Labor unions
Organizations
Pam Keith
Newspaper editorial boards
Patrick Murphy
Presidents
Vice presidents
U.S. cabinet members and cabinet-level officials
U.S. senators
Cory Booker , New Jersey[ 175] Sherrod Brown , Ohio[ 176] Bob Casey , Pennsylvania[ 176] Al Franken , Minnesota[ 177] Bob Graham , Florida (formerUnited States senator ; and formergovernor of Florida )[ 178] Martin Heinrich , New Mexico[ 179] Tim Kaine , Virginia[ 179] Amy Klobuchar , Minnesota[ 180] Claire McCaskill , Missouri[ 176] Chris Murphy , Connecticut[ 181] Bill Nelson , Florida[ 176] Harry Reid , Nevada[ 182] Brian Schatz , Hawaii[ 179] Chuck Schumer , New York[ 176] Jon Tester , Montana[ 176] Sheldon Whitehouse , Rhode Island[ 179] U.S. representatives
Pete Aguilar , California[ 183] Joyce Beatty , Ohio[ 183] Don Beyer , Virginia[ 183] John Carney , Delaware[ 183] Andre Carson , Indiana[ 183] David Cicilline , Rhode Island[ 183] Katherine Clark , Massachusetts[ 183] Bonnie Watson Coleman , New Jersey[ 183] Gerry Connolly , Virginia[ 183] Joe Crowley , New York[ 183] John Delaney , Maryland[ 183] Ted Deutch , Florida[ 184] Elizabeth Esty , Connecticut[ 183] Barney Frank , Massachusetts (former)[ 180] Lois Frankel , Florida[ 185] Marcia Fudge , Ohio[ 183] Tulsi Gabbard , Hawaii[ 183] Michelle Lujan Grisham , New Mexico[ 183] Janice Hahn , California[ 183] Alcee Hastings , Florida[ 186] Denny Heck , Washington[ 183] Jim Himes , Connecticut[ 183] Jared Huffman , California[ 183] Steve Israel , New York[ 183] Bill Keating , Massachusetts[ 183] Dan Kildee , Michigan[ 183] Derek Kilmer , Washington[ 183] Annie Kuster , New Hampshire[ 183] Carolyn Maloney , New York[ 183] Sean Patrick Maloney , New York[ 183] Jerry McNerney , California[ 183] Grace Meng , New York[ 183] Seth Moulton , Massachusetts[ 183] Beto O'Rourke , Texas[ 183] Bill Pascrell , New Jersey[ 183] Donald Payne, Jr. , New Jersey[ 183] Ed Perlmutter , Colorado[ 183] Scott Peters , California[ 183] Kathleen Rice , New York[ 183] Cedric Richmond , Louisiana[ 183] Raul Ruiz , California[ 183] Jan Schakowsky , Illinois[ 183] Terri Sewell , Alabama[ 183] Kyrsten Sinema , Arizona[ 183] Jackie Speier , California[ 183] Eric Swalwell , California[ 183] Mark Takano , California[ 183] Juan Vargas , California[ 183] Marc Veasey , Texas[ 183] Filemon Vela , Texas[ 183] Frederica Wilson , Florida[ 187] Statewide officials
State legislators
Joseph Abruzzo , state senator (D-Wellington)[ 191] Bruce Antone , state representative (D-Orlando)[ 191] Lori Berman , state representative (D-Lantana)[ 191] Jeff Clemens , state senator (D-Lake Worth)[ 191] Janet Cruz , state representative (D-Tampa)[ 191] Dwight Dudley , state representative (D-St. Petersburg)[ 191] Katie Edwards , state representative (D-Plantation)[ 191] Reggie Fullwood , state representative (D-Jacksonville)[ 192] Joe Geller , state representative (D-Aventura)[ 191] Audrey Gibson , state senator (D-Jacksonville)[ 191] Kristin Jacobs , state representative (D-Pompano Beach)[ 191] Evan Jenne , state representative (D-Hollywood)[ 191] Mia L. Jones , state representative (D-Tallahassee)[ 192] Shevrin D. Jones , state representative (D-West Park)[ 191] Dave Kerner , state representative (D-Lake Worth)[ 191] Larry Lee, Jr. , state representative (D-Port St. Lucie)[ 191] Gwen Margolis , state senator (D-Miami Beach)[ 191] Jared Moskowitz , state representative (D-Coral Springs)[ 191] Amanda Murphy , state representative (D-New Port Richey)[ 192] Ed Narain , state representative (D-Tampa)[ 191] Bobby Powell , state representative (D-Riviera Beach)[ 191] Kevin Rader , state representative (D-Delray Beach)[ 191] Jeremy Ring , state senator (D-Parkland)[ 191] Jose Javier Rodriguez , state representative (D-Miami)[ 191] Irving Slosberg , state representative (D-Boca Raton)[ 191] Chris Smith , state senator (D-Fort Lauderdale)[ 191] Eleanor Sobel , state senator (D-Hollywood)[ 193] Cynthia Stafford , state representative (D-Miami)[ 192] Richard Stark , state representative (D-Weston)[ 192] Dwayne L. Taylor , state representative (D-Daytona Beach)[ 191] Alan Williams , state representative (D-Tallahassee)[ 164] Mayors and other municipal leaders
Burt Aaronson, formerPalm Beach County commissioner[ 194] Peggy Bell, mayor ofCutler Bay [ 195] Diane Veltri Bendekovic, mayor ofPlantation [ 196] Mark Bogen, Broward County commissioner[ 197] Bob Buckhorn , mayor ofTampa [ 198] Skip Campbell , mayor ofCoral Springs [ 195] William Capote, mayor ofPalm Bay [ 199] Joyce Cusack,Volusia County councilwoman[ 194] Harry Dressler, mayor ofTamarac [ 199] Beam Furr, Broward County commissioner[ 197] Andrew Gillum , mayor ofTallahassee [ 164] Cary Glickstein, mayor ofDelray Beach [ 196] Derrick Henry, mayor ofDaytona Beach [ 194] Dale Holness, Broward County commissioner[ 197] Scott Israel, Broward County sheriff[ 197] Eric Jablin, mayor ofPalm Beach Gardens [ 196] Richard Kaplan, mayor ofLauderhill [ 199] Marty Kiar , Broward County commissioner[ 197] Rick Kriseman , mayor ofSt. Petersburg [ 200] Bob Margolis , mayor ofWellington [ 195] Wayne Messam , mayor ofMiramar [ 195] Jeri Muoio , mayor ofWest Palm Beach [ 200] Ben Nelson, Jr., mayor ofBonita Springs [ 199] Frank Ortis, mayor ofPembroke Pines [ 196] Lori Parrish, Broward County property appraiser[ 197] Michael Ryan, mayor ofSunrise [ 195] Tim M. Ryan , mayor ofBroward County [ 197] Jack Seiler , mayor ofFort Lauderdale [ 197] Becky Tooley, mayor ofCoconut Creek [ 195] Shelley Vana , mayor ofPalm Beach County and former state representative[ 199] Labor unions
Organizations
Newspaper editorial boards
Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size Margin of error Alan Grayson Pam Keith Lateresa Jones Patrick Murphy Other/ Undecided Mason-Dixon [ 123] August 22–24, 2016 400 ± 5% 22% 4% — 55% 19% Florida Atlantic University [ 124] August 19–22, 2016 364 8% 7% — 54% 22% Florida Chamber of Commerce [ 125] August 17–22, 2016 258 ± 4.0% 11% — — 40% 38% St. Leo University [ 126] August 14–18, 2016 532 ± 4.5% 17% 8% — 48% 27% Suffolk University [ 127] August 1–3, 2016 194 ± 4.4% 17% 2% – 36% 45% St. Pete Polls [ 216] August 2, 2016 1,807 ± 2.3% 20% 7% – 45% 28% Bay News 9 /SurveyUSA [ 129] June 25–27, 2016 618 ± 4.0% 21% 10% – 30% 35% Vox Populi Polling (R) [ 217] June 19–20, 2016 530 ± 4.3% 15% 5% – 19% 62% Targeted Persuasion [ 218] June 14–16, 2016 862 ± 3.34% 30% 5% – 27% 38% St. Leo University [ 131] June 10–16, 2016 500 ± 7% 14% 3% 4% 16% 61% Mason-Dixon [ 132] May 31–June 2, 2016 400 ± 5% 23% 3% – 31% 43% Public Policy Polling [ 219] March 22–23, 2016 829 ? 33% – – 32% 35% St. Leo University [ 220] March 13–17, 2016 540 ± 5% 17% – – 20% 63% Mason-Dixon [ 221] March 7–9, 2016 500 ± 4.5% 19% – – 33% 48% SurveyUSA [ 222] March 4–6, 2016 592 ± 4.1% 16% 11% – 27% 46% Bendixon & Amandi /The Tarrance Group [ 223] March 2–5, 2016 449 ± 6% 19% – – 27% 54% Univision [ 224] March 2–5, 2016 449 ± 6% 29% – – 36% 35% Public Policy Polling [ 135] February 24–25, 2016 388 ± 5% 33% – – 22% 45% 20/20 Insight LLC *[ 225] ~February 16–18, 2016 646 ± 3.9% 41% – – 32% 27% Florida Atlantic University College of Business [ 136] January 15–18, 2016 371 ± 5% 27% – – 20% 53% St. Leo University [ 138] November 29–December 3, 2015 160 ± 7.5% 7% 4% 6% 17% 55% Public Policy Polling [ 139] September 11–13, 2015 368 ± 5.1% 33% – – 27% 39% Mason-Dixon [ 140] July 20–24, 2015 500 ± 4.5% 24% – – 26% 50% 33% – – 32% 35% St. Pete Polls [ 226] July 15, 2015 1,018 ± 3.1% 30% 8% – 23% 39% Gravis Marketing [ 142] June 16–20, 2015 881 ± 3.3% 63% – – 19% 18% Vox Populi Polling (R) [ 227] June 15–17, 2015 717 ± 3.7% 24% – – 34% 42% St. Leo University [ 143] May 25–31, 2015 535 ± 4.5% 24% — – 27% 49% Mason-Dixon [ 228] April 14–16, 2015 400 ± 5% 14% – – 23% 63% Public Policy Polling [ 145] March 19–22, 2015 371 ± 5.1% 22% – – 21% 56%
* Internal poll for Alan Grayson
County results Libertarian primary [ edit ] On October 1, 2015,Adrian Wyllie and Lynn House, chair and vice chair, respectively, of theLibertarian Party of Florida , resigned their seats in protest after the executive committee refused to oust candidate Augustus Invictus from the party. According to Wyllie, Invictus had defendedeugenics , called for a new civil war, and brutally slaughtered a goat, and is not representative of the Libertarian Party. Invictus has refuted these claims, calling Wyllie's accusations "deliberate misrepresentation[s]."[ 229]
Paul Stanton
Individuals
Will Coley, activist, radio host, and former vice presidential candidate[ 233] Marc Allan Feldman, physician and former presidential candidate[ 233] [ 234] Jim Gray , author, former judge and Libertarian vice presidential nominee in 2012[ 233] [ 234] Thomas Knapp, writer, founder of theBoston Tea Party (political party) , and former Reform Party vice presidential candidate[ 233] [ 235] Gary Johnson , former governor of New Mexico and Libertarian nominee for president in 2016[ 233] [ 236] [ 234] John McAfee , CEO of MGT Capital Investments Inc, founder of McAfee Inc and former presidential candidate[ 233] [ 234] [ 237] Kevin McCormick, former presidential candidate[ 233] [ 234] Richard Molek, chair of the Libertarian Party of Lee County[ 233] [ 238] Darryl W. Perry, activist, author, radio host, lobbyist, former presidential candidate and former chairman of theBoston Tea Party (political party) [ 233] [ 234] [ 239] William Weld , former governor of Massachusetts and Libertarian nominee for vice president in 2016[ 233] Libertarian Party of Florida affiliates
Organizations
Eastern Liberty Alliance PAC[ 233] Ninjas for Liberty PAC[ 233] Augustus Sol Invictus
Individuals
Keon A. Grayson, North Central,Miami-Dade County Community councilman[ 244] Steve Scheetz, former chair of the Pennsylvania Libertarian Party[ 245] Bill Wohlsifer, former candidate for Florida attorney general[ 246] 2016 United States Senate Libertarian primary in Florida by county Stanton—50-60%
Stanton—60-70%
Stanton—70-80%
Stanton—80-90%
Stanton—>90%
Invictus—50-60%
Tie—50%
No votes
No party affiliation [ edit ] Declared
Graphical summary
Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size Margin of error Marco Rubio (R) Patrick Murphy (D) Paul Stanton (L) Other Undecided SurveyMonkey [ 261] November 1–7, 2016 4,092 ± 4.6% 48% 49% — — 3% Quinnipiac University [ 262] November 3–6, 2016 884 ± 3.3% 50% 43% — 2% 5% Alliance /ESA Poll [ 263] November 2–6, 2016 875 ± 4.2% 51% 40% — — 9% SurveyMonkey [ 264] October 31–November 6, 2016 3,574 ± 4.6% 48% 49% — — 3% CBS News /YouGov [ 265] November 2–4, 2016 1,188 ± 3.6% 47% 44% — 3% 6% SurveyMonkey [ 266] October 28–November 3, 2016 3,356 ± 4.6% 49% 49% — — 2% Breitbart /Gravis Marketing [ 267] November 1–2, 2016 1,220 ± 2.8% 47% 46% — — 7% FOX 13 Tampa Bay /Opinion Savvy [ 268] November 1–2, 2016 603 ± 4.0% 50% 46% — — 4% SurveyMonkey [ 269] October 27–November 2, 2016 2,901 ± 4.6% 49% 48% — — 3% CNN /ORC [ 270] October 27–November 1, 2016 773 LV ± 3.5% 49% 48% — — 2% 884 RV 50% 47% — — 3% Quinnipiac University [ 271] October 27–November 1, 2016 626 ± 3.9% 50% 44% — 1% 4% SurveyMonkey [ 272] October 26–November 1, 2016 2,715 ± 4.6% 49% 47% — — 4% SurveyMonkey [ 273] October 25–31, 2016 2,809 ± 4.6% 49% 47% — — 4% TargetSmart /William & Mary [ 274] October 25–28, 2016 718 ± 3.4% 49% 43% — 7% 1% Emerson College [ 275] October 26–27, 2016 500 ± 4.3% 49% 47% — 3% 1% New York Times Upshot /Siena College [ 276] October 25–27, 2016 814 ± 3.4% 51% 42% — — 5% Breitbart /Gravis Marketing [ 277] October 25–26, 2016 1,301 ± 2.7% 46% 46% — — 8% Public Policy Polling [ 278] October 25–26, 2016 742 ± 3.6% 46% 46% — — 8% NBC /WSJ /Marist [ 279] October 25–26, 2016 779 LV ± 3.5% 51% 43% — 4% 2% 990 RV ± 3.1% 50% 42% — 4% 3% St. Leo University [ 280] October 22–26, 2016 1,028 ± 3.0% 44% 39% — — 17% University of North Florida [ 281] October 20–25, 2016 836 ± 3.6% 49% 43% — — 8% Bloomberg /Selzer [ 282] October 21–24, 2016 953 ± 3.2% 51% 41% — — 8% Florida Atlantic University [ 283] October 21–23, 2016 500 ± 4.3% 46% 42% — — 12% Bay News 9 /SurveyUSA [ 284] October 20–24, 2016 1,251 ± 2.8% 45% 41% — 6% 8% CBS News /YouGov [ 285] October 20–21, 2016 1,042 ± 3.6% 44% 42% — 6% 8% FOX 13 Tampa Bay /Opinion Savvy [ 286] October 20, 2016 538 ± 4.2% 46% 46% — — 8% Google Consumer Surveys [ 287] October 18–20, 2016 500 ± 4.2% 57% 38% — — 5% Associated Industries of Florida [ 288] October 19, 2016 1,000 ± 3.1% 43% 38% — 8% 11% Florida Chamber of Commerce [ 289] October 16–19, 2016 507 ± 4.4% 51% 37% — 1% 11% The Times-Picayune /Lucid [ 290] October 17–18, 2016 892 ± 3.0% 45% 44% — — 11% Quinnipiac University [ 291] October 10–16, 2016 660 ± 3.8% 49% 47% — — 4% Washington Post /SurveyMonkey [ 292] October 8–16, 2016 1,702 ± 0.5% 51% 45% — — 4% Public Policy Polling [ 293] October 12–13, 2016 985 ± 3.1% 44% 38% 6% — 12% 48% 43% — — 9% Breitbart /Gravis Marketing [ 294] October 11–13, 2016 1,799 ± 2.3% 44% 36% — — 20% FOX 13 Tampa Bay /Opinion Savvy [ 295] October 10–11, 2016 533 ± 4.2% 48% 44% — — 8% NBC /WSJ /Marist [ 296] October 3–5, 2016 700 ± 3.7% 48% 46% — 2% 4% Associated Industries of Florida [ 297] October 2–5, 2016 600 ± 4.0% 49% 41% — 1% 9% Breitbart /Gravis Marketing [ 298] October 4, 2016 821 ± 3.4% 44% 40% — — 16% Emerson College [ 299] October 2–4, 2016 600 ± 3.6% 47% 39% — 6% 8% University of North Florida [ 300] September 27–October 4, 2016 667 ± 3.8% 48% 41% — 1% 10% Quinnipiac University [ 301] September 27–October 2, 2016 545 ± 4.2% 48% 44% — — 8% FOX 13 Tampa Bay /Opinion Savvy [ 302] September 28–29, 2016 619 ± 4.0% 47% 43% — — 10% Mason-Dixon [ 303] September 27–29, 2016 820 ± 3.5% 47% 40% 5% 2% 6% Public Policy Polling [ 304] September 27–28, 2016 826 ± 3.4% 42% 35% 9% — 15% 47% 44% — — 9% Suffolk University [ 305] September 19–21, 2016 500 ± 4.4% 43% 34% 2% 4% 17% Florida Chamber of Commerce [ 306] September 15–20, 2016 617 ± 4.0% 46% 42% — — 11% Monmouth University [ 307] September 16–19, 2016 400 ± 4.9% 47% 45% — 3% 5% Saint Leo University [ 308] September 10–16, 2016 502 ± 4.5% 44% 35% — — 21% New York Times Upshot /Siena College [ 309] September 10–14, 2016 867 ± 3.3% 48% 42% — — 8% CNN /ORC [ 310] September 7–12, 2016 788 LV ± 3.0% 54% 43% — 1% 2% 886 RV 51% 45% — 1% 4% Global Strategy Group [ 311] September 6–11, 2016 800 ± 3.5% 47% 45% — — 8% JMC Analytics (R) [ 312] September 7–8, 2016 781 ± 3.5% 43% 38% — 4% 15% Quinnipiac University [ 313] August 31–September 7, 2016 601 ± 4.0% 50% 43% — 1% 6% Public Policy Polling [ 314] September 4–6, 2016 744 ± 3.6% 40% 37% 10% — 13% Mason-Dixon [ 123] August 22–24, 2016 625 ± 4.0% 46% 43% — — 11% iCitizen [ 315] August 18–24, 2016 600 ± 4.0% 43% 42% — — 16% Florida Atlantic University [ 316] August 19–22, 2016 1,200 ± 2.7% 44% 39% — — 17% St. Leo University [ 126] August 14–18, 2016 1,380 ± 3.0% 46% 38% — — 16% Monmouth University [ 317] August 12–15, 2016 402 ± 4.9% 48% 43% — 3% 5% FOX 13 Tampa Bay /Opinion Savvy [ 318] August 10, 2016 622 ± 4.0% 45% 43% — — 12% Civis Analytics [ 319] August 9–15, 2016 1,436 ± 2.8% 44% 45% — — 9% NBC /WSJ /Marist [ 320] August 4–10, 2016 862 ± 3.3% 49% 43% — 3% 5% Public Policy Polling [ 321] August 5–7, 2016 938 ± 3.2% 42% 40% — — 18% Quinnipiac University [ 322] July 30–August 7, 2016 1,056 ± 3.0% 48% 45% — — 7% Suffolk University [ 127] August 1–3, 2016 500 ± 4.4% 46% 33% — — 21% JMC Analytics (R) [ 323] July 9–10, 2016 700 ± 3.7% 40% 33% — 5% 21% NBC /WSJ /Marist [ 324] July 5–11, 2016 871 ± 3.3% 47% 44% — 2% 7% Quinnipiac University [ 325] June 30–July 11, 2016 1,015 ± 3.1% 50% 37% — 1% 8% Bay News 9 /SurveyUSA [ 129] June 25–27, 2016 1,678 ± 2.4% 43% 43% — 7% 8% Quinnipiac University [ 326] June 8–19, 2016 975 ± 3.1% 47% 40% — — 13% Public Policy Polling [ 327] June 15–16, 2016 508 ± 4.4% 41% 42% — — 17% Public Policy Polling [ 328] June 2–5, 2016 737 ± 3.6% 43% 44% — — 13% Associated Industries of Florida [ 329] April 25–27, 2016 604 ± 5.0% 49% 41% — — 10% Public Policy Polling [ 139] September 11–13, 2015 814 ± 3.4% 46% 40% — — 14% Public Policy Polling [ 145] March 19–22, 2015 923 ± 3.2% 48% 41% — — 11% Mason-Dixon [ 330] March 3–5, 2015 800 ± 3.5% 50% 38% — — 12% Public Policy Polling [ 147] September 4–7, 2014 818 ± 3.4% 46% 41% — — 12%
Hypothetical polling
with Ron DeSantis
Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size Margin of errorRon DeSantis (R) Alan Grayson (D) Other Undecided Quinnipiac University [ 326] June 8–19, 2016 975 ± 3.1% 33% 41% 1% 24% Quinnipiac University [ 331] April 27–May 8, 2016 1,051 ± 3.0% 38% 36% — 26% Public Policy Polling [ 135] February 24–25, 2016 1,012 ± 3.1% 34% 40% — 26% Quinnipiac University [ 332] September 25-October 5, 2015 1,173 ± 2.9% 31% 37% 1% 26% Public Policy Polling [ 139] September 11–13, 2015 814 ± 3.4% 37% 36% — 28% Quinnipiac University [ 333] June 4–15, 2015 1,147 ± 2.9% 32% 38% 1% 29%
Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size Margin of errorRon DeSantis (R) Patrick Murphy (D) Other Undecided Quinnipiac University [ 326] June 8–19, 2016 975 ± 3.1% 32% 42% 1% 25% Quinnipiac University [ 331] April 27–May 8, 2016 1,051 ± 3.0% 35% 36% — 29% Associated Industries of Florida [ 329] April 25–27, 2016 604 ± 5% 28% 40% — 32% Public Policy Polling [ 135] February 24–25, 2016 1,012 ± 3.1% 31% 43% — 26% Quinnipiac University [ 332] September 25-October 5, 2015 1,173 ± 2.9% 30% 37% 1% 29% Public Policy Polling [ 139] September 11–13, 2015 814 ± 3.4% 35% 40% — 25% Quinnipiac University [ 333] June 4–15, 2015 1,147 ± 2.9% 31% 39% 1% 29% St. Leo University [ 143] May 25–31, 2015 535 ± 4.5% 14% 33% — 53%
with David Jolly
Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size Margin of errorDavid Jolly (R) Patrick Murphy (D) Other Undecided Quinnipiac University [ 326] June 8–19, 2016 975 ± 3.1% 34% 41% 1% 25% Public Policy Polling [ 328] June 2–5, 2016 737 ± 3.6% 29% 44% — 27% Quinnipiac University [ 331] April 27–May 8, 2016 1,051 ± 3.0% 34% 37% — 29% Associated Industries of Florida [ 329] April 25–27, 2016 604 ± 5% 33% 40% — 27% Public Policy Polling [ 135] February 24–25, 2016 1,012 ± 3.1% 34% 38% — 27% Democracy Corps [ 334] October 24–28, 2015 400 ± 4.9% 44% 43% — 13% Public Policy Polling [ 139] September 11–13, 2015 814 ± 3.4% 35% 40% — 25% St. Leo University [ 143] May 25–31, 2015 535 ± 4.5% 14% 35% — 52%
with Carlos Lopez-Cantera
Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size Margin of errorCarlos López-Cantera (R) Alan Grayson (D) Other Undecided Quinnipiac University [ 326] June 8–19, 2016 975 ± 3.1% 35% 40% 1% 24% Quinnipiac University [ 331] April 27–May 8, 2016 1,051 ± 3.0% 37% 37% — 26% Public Policy Polling [ 135] February 24–25, 2016 1,012 ± 3.1% 35% 38% — 26% Quinnipiac University [ 332] September 25-October 5, 2015 1,173 ± 2.9% 32% 35% 1% 27% Public Policy Polling [ 139] September 11–13, 2015 814 ± 3.4% 34% 41% — 24% Quinnipiac University [ 333] June 4–15, 2015 1,147 ± 2.9% 31% 37% 1% 31% Quinnipiac University [ 335] March 17–28, 2015 1,087 ± 3% 33% 32% 1% 34% Public Policy Polling [ 145] March 19–22, 2015 923 ± 3.2% 36% 40% — 24%
Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size Margin of errorCarlos López-Cantera (R) Patrick Murphy (D) Other Undecided Quinnipiac University [ 326] June 8–19, 2016 975 ± 3.1% 32% 41% 1% 26% Quinnipiac University [ 331] April 27–May 8, 2016 1,051 ± 3.0% 34% 38% — 28% Associated Industries of Florida [ 329] April 25–27, 2016 604 ± 5% 31% 42% — 27% Public Policy Polling [ 135] February 24–25, 2016 1,012 ± 3.1% 31% 40% — 29% Quinnipiac University [ 332] September 25-October 5, 2015 1,173 ± 2.9% 29% 37% 1% 30% Public Policy Polling [ 139] September 11–13, 2015 814 ± 3.4% 35% 41% — 24% Quinnipiac University [ 333] June 4–15, 2015 1,147 ± 2.9% 28% 40% 1% 32% St. Leo University [ 143] May 25–31, 2015 535 ± 4.5% 15% 30% — 56% Quinnipiac University [ 335] March 17–28, 2015 1,087 ± 3% 31% 35% 1% 33% Public Policy Polling [ 145] March 19–22, 2015 923 ± 3.2% 34% 41% — 25%
with Jeff Atwater
Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size Margin of errorJeff Atwater (R) Debbie Wasserman Schultz (D) Undecided Mason-Dixon [ 330] March 3–5, 2015 800 ± 3.5% 45% 35% 20%
with Pam Bondi
Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size Margin of errorPam Bondi (R) Alan Grayson (D) Undecided Public Policy Polling [ 145] March 19–22, 2015 923 ± 3.2% 45% 42% 13%
Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size Margin of errorPam Bondi (R) Patrick Murphy (D) Undecided Public Policy Polling [ 145] March 19–22, 2015 923 ± 3.2% 45% 41% 14%
with Don Gaetz
Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size Margin of errorDon Gaetz (R) Patrick Murphy (D) Undecided St. Leo University [ 143] May 25–31, 2015 535 ± 4.5% 9% 36% 55%
with Jeff Miller
Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size Margin of errorJeff Miller (R) Patrick Murphy (D) Undecided St. Leo University [ 143] May 25–31, 2015 535 ± 4.5% 15% 34% 52%
with Marco Rubio
Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size Margin of errorMarco Rubio (R) Alex Sink (D) Undecided Public Policy Polling [ 336] September 27–29, 2013 579 ± 4.1% 45% 42% 13%
with Allen West
Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size Margin of errorAllen West (R) Alan Grayson (D) Undecided Public Policy Polling [ 145] March 19–22, 2015 923 ± 3.2% 39% 42% 19%
Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size Margin of errorAllen West (R) Patrick Murphy (D) Undecided Public Policy Polling [ 145] March 19–22, 2015 923 ± 3.2% 39% 41% 20%
Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size Margin of errorAllen West (R) Alex Sink (D) Undecided Public Policy Polling [ 336] September 27–29, 2013 579 ± 4.1% 38% 44% 18%
with Todd Wilcox
with Carlos Beruff
with Alan Grayson
Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size Margin of errorMarco Rubio (R) Alan Grayson (D) Other Undecided iCitizen [ 315] August 18–24, 2016 600 ± 4.0% 44% 39% — 16% St. Leo University [ 126] August 14–18, 2016 1,380 ± 3.0% 47% 34% — 19% Monmouth University [ 317] August 12–15, 2016 402 ± 4.9% 50% 39% 5% 6% Quinnipiac University [ 322] July 30–August 7, 2016 1,056 ± 3.0% 49% 43% 1% 8% Suffolk University [ 127] August 1–3, 2016 500 ± 4.4% 45% 31% — 24% JMC Analytics (R) [ 323] July 9–10, 2016 700 ± 3.7% 41% 33% 4% 22% Quinnipiac University [ 325] June 30–July 11, 2016 1,015 ± 3.1% 50% 38% 1% 8% Quinnipiac University [ 326] June 8–19, 2016 975 ± 3.1% 50% 38% 1% 11% Public Policy Polling [ 327] June 15–16, 2016 508 ± 4.4% 42% 40% — 17% Public Policy Polling [ 328] June 2–5, 2016 737 ± 3.6% 43% 38% — 19% Public Policy Polling [ 139] September 11–13, 2015 814 ± 3.4% 48% 38% — 14% Public Policy Polling [ 145] March 19–22, 2015 923 ± 3.2% 49% 40% — 11%
United States Senate election in Florida, 2016[ 338] Party Candidate Votes % ±% Republican Marco Rubio (incumbent)4,835,191 51.98% +3.09% Democratic Patrick Murphy 4,122,088 44.31% +24.11% Libertarian Paul Stanton 196,956 2.12% +1.66% Independent Bruce Nathan 52,451 0.56% N/A Independent Tony Khoury 45,820 0.49% N/A Independent Steven Machat 26,918 0.29% N/A Independent Basil E. Dalack 22,236 0.24% N/A Write-in 160 0.00% 0.00% Total votes 9,301,820 100.00% N/A Republican hold
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic [ edit ] Counties that flipped from Independent to Democratic [ edit ] Counties that from Independent to Republican [ edit ] By congressional district [ edit ] Rubio won 16 of 27 congressional districts, with the remaining 11 going to Murphy. Each candidate won a congressional district that elected a representative of the other party.[ 339]
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