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2016 United States Senate election in Arkansas

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2016 United States Senate election in Arkansas

← 2010November 8, 20162022 →
Turnout64.65%
 
NomineeJohn BoozmanConner Eldridge
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Popular vote661,984400,602
Percentage59.77%36.17%

County results
Congressional district results
Township results
Precinct results
Boozman:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Eldridge:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Tie:     40–50%     50%     No votes

U.S. senator before election

John Boozman
Republican

Elected U.S. Senator

John Boozman
Republican

Elections in Arkansas
Seal of Arkansas
Presidential elections
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The2016 United States Senate election in Arkansas was held November 8, 2016, to elect a member of theUnited States Senate to represent the State ofArkansas, concurrently with the2016 U.S. presidential election, as well asother elections to the United States Senate in other states andelections to theUnited States House of Representatives and variousstate andlocal elections.

Incumbent senatorJohn Boozman won re-election to a second term in office, becoming the first Republican senator reelected in the history of the state. Former U.S. AttorneyConner Eldridge was the only Democrat to declare his candidacy. The primaries were held March 1.[1] This is also the first election that the state has simultaneously voted for a Republican Senate candidate and a Republican presidential candidate.

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Declared

[edit]

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
John
Boozman
Curtis
Coleman
Undecided
Talk Business/Hendrix College[3]February 4, 2016457± 4.6%68%23%9%

Results

[edit]
Republican primary results[4]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanJohn Boozman (incumbent)298,03976.45%
RepublicanCurtis Coleman91,79523.55%
Total votes389,834100.00%

Democratic primary

[edit]

Conner Eldridge was unopposed for the Democratic nomination.

Candidates

[edit]
Eldridge campaigning

Declared

[edit]

Results

[edit]
Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticConner Eldridge214,228100.00%
Total votes214,228100.00%

Third parties

[edit]

TheLibertarian Party of Arkansas held a special nominating convention on October 24, 2015, to select nominees for elections in 2016. Frank Gilbert was selected as the nominee for the U.S. Senate race.[6]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominated

[edit]
  • Frank Gilbert,DeKalb Township Constable, former mayor ofTull, nominee for the state senate in 2012 and nominee for governor in2014[6]

General election

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Debates

[edit]
DatesLocationBoozmanEldridgeGilbertLink
October 12, 2016Little Rock,ArkansasParticipantParticipantParticipant[7] -C-SPAN

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[8]Safe RNovember 2, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball[9]Safe RNovember 7, 2016
Rothenberg Political Report[10]Safe RNovember 3, 2016
Daily Kos[11]Safe RNovember 8, 2016
Real Clear Politics[12]Safe RNovember 7, 2016

Polling

[edit]
This graph was using thelegacy Graph extension, which is no longer supported. It needs to be converted to thenew Chart extension.
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
John
Boozman (R)
Conner
Eldridge (D)
Frank
Gilbert (L)
OtherUndecided
SurveyMonkey[13]November 1–7, 2016930± 4.6%56%41%3%
SurveyMonkey[14]October 31 – November 6, 2016798± 4.6%55%42%3%
SurveyMonkey[15]October 28 – November 3, 2016696± 4.6%56%43%1%
SurveyMonkey[16]October 27 – November 2, 2016593± 4.6%54%43%3%
SurveyMonkey[17]October 26 – November 1, 2016475± 4.6%52%46%2%
SurveyMonkey[18]October 25–31, 2016484± 4.6%54%44%2%
University of Arkansas[19]October 18–25, 2016800± 3.5%61%38%1%
Talk Business/Hendrix College[20]October 21, 2016463± 4.6%52%34%4%2%8%
Talk Business/Hendrix College[21]September 15–17, 2016831± 3.4%55%29%5%3%8%
Emerson College[22]September 9–13, 2016600± 3.6%44%30%11%15%
Talk Business/Hendrix College[23]June 21, 2016751± 3.6%51%29%6%14%
Hypothetical polling

with Mike Beebe

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
John
Boozman (R)
Mike
Beebe (D)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling[24]August 1–3, 20141,066± 3%40%46%14%
Public Policy Polling[25]September 18–21, 20141,453± 2.6%39%49%12%
Talk Business/Hendrix College[26]June 8–11, 20151,183± 1.84%37%45%18%

Results

[edit]
United States Senate election in Arkansas, 2016[27]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
RepublicanJohn Boozman (incumbent)661,98459.77%+1.87%
DemocraticConner Eldridge400,60236.17%−0.78%
LibertarianFrank Gilbert43,8663.96%+0.72%
Write-in1,0700.10%N/A
Total votes1,107,522100.00%N/A
Republicanhold

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

[edit]

By congressional district

[edit]

Boozman won all four congressional districts[28]

DistrictBoozmanEldridgeRepresentative
1st63%33%Rick Crawford
2nd51%45%French Hill
3rd64%31%Steve Womack
4th62%35%Bruce Westerman

References

[edit]
  1. ^"Conner Eldridge to Challenge Boozman for U.S. Senate Seat | Times Record". Archived fromthe original on October 3, 2015. RetrievedOctober 30, 2015.
  2. ^DeMillo, Andrew (June 9, 2014)."Boozman, back at work post-surgery, to run in '16". Associated Press. RetrievedJune 9, 2014.
  3. ^Talk Business/Hendrix College
  4. ^"Preferential Primary and Nonpartisan General Election official Results". Arkansas Secretary of State. RetrievedMarch 22, 2016.
  5. ^Yokley, Eli (September 9, 2015)."Former U.S. Attorney Will Challenge Boozman in Arkansas".Roll Call. Archived fromthe original on November 9, 2015. RetrievedSeptember 9, 2015.
  6. ^abBrawner, Steve (October 25, 2015)."Arkansas Libertarians Nominate 23, Including Full Congressional Slate".Talk Business & Politics. RetrievedOctober 27, 2015.
  7. ^Full debate
  8. ^"2016 Senate Race Ratings for November 2, 2016".The Cook Political Report. RetrievedMarch 26, 2021.
  9. ^"2016 Senate".Sabato's Crystal Ball. RetrievedSeptember 19, 2016.
  10. ^"2016 Senate Ratings".Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. RetrievedNovember 3, 2016.
  11. ^"Daily Kos Election 2016 forecast: The final version".Daily Kos. RetrievedMarch 27, 2021.
  12. ^"Battle for the Senate 2016". Real Clear Politics. RetrievedOctober 28, 2016.
  13. ^SurveyMonkey
  14. ^SurveyMonkey
  15. ^SurveyMonkey
  16. ^SurveyMonkey
  17. ^SurveyMonkey
  18. ^SurveyMonkey
  19. ^University of Arkansas
  20. ^Talk Business/Hendrix College
  21. ^Talk Business/Hendrix College
  22. ^Emerson College
  23. ^Talk Business/Hendrix College
  24. ^Public Policy Polling
  25. ^Public Policy Polling
  26. ^Talk Business/Hendrix College
  27. ^"2016 General Election and Nonpartisan Runoff Election Unofficial County Results". Arkansas Secretary of State. RetrievedDecember 15, 2016.
  28. ^"DRA 2020".Daves Redistricting. RetrievedAugust 18, 2024.

External links

[edit]

Official campaign websites (Archived)

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