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| Turnout | 64.65% | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Boozman: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Eldridge: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 40–50% 50% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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The2016 United States Senate election in Arkansas was held November 8, 2016, to elect a member of theUnited States Senate to represent the State ofArkansas, concurrently with the2016 U.S. presidential election, as well asother elections to the United States Senate in other states andelections to theUnited States House of Representatives and variousstate andlocal elections.
Incumbent senatorJohn Boozman won re-election to a second term in office, becoming the first Republican senator reelected in the history of the state. Former U.S. AttorneyConner Eldridge was the only Democrat to declare his candidacy. The primaries were held March 1.[1] This is also the first election that the state has simultaneously voted for a Republican Senate candidate and a Republican presidential candidate.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | John Boozman | Curtis Coleman | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Talk Business/Hendrix College[3] | February 4, 2016 | 457 | ± 4.6% | 68% | 23% | 9% |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | John Boozman (incumbent) | 298,039 | 76.45% | |
| Republican | Curtis Coleman | 91,795 | 23.55% | |
| Total votes | 389,834 | 100.00% | ||
Conner Eldridge was unopposed for the Democratic nomination.

| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Conner Eldridge | 214,228 | 100.00% | |
| Total votes | 214,228 | 100.00% | ||
TheLibertarian Party of Arkansas held a special nominating convention on October 24, 2015, to select nominees for elections in 2016. Frank Gilbert was selected as the nominee for the U.S. Senate race.[6]
| Dates | Location | Boozman | Eldridge | Gilbert | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 12, 2016 | Little Rock,Arkansas | Participant | Participant | Participant | [7] -C-SPAN |
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[8] | Safe R | November 2, 2016 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[9] | Safe R | November 7, 2016 |
| Rothenberg Political Report[10] | Safe R | November 3, 2016 |
| Daily Kos[11] | Safe R | November 8, 2016 |
| Real Clear Politics[12] | Safe R | November 7, 2016 |
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| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | John Boozman (R) | Conner Eldridge (D) | Frank Gilbert (L) | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyMonkey[13] | November 1–7, 2016 | 930 | ± 4.6% | 56% | 41% | — | — | 3% |
| SurveyMonkey[14] | October 31 – November 6, 2016 | 798 | ± 4.6% | 55% | 42% | — | — | 3% |
| SurveyMonkey[15] | October 28 – November 3, 2016 | 696 | ± 4.6% | 56% | 43% | — | — | 1% |
| SurveyMonkey[16] | October 27 – November 2, 2016 | 593 | ± 4.6% | 54% | 43% | — | — | 3% |
| SurveyMonkey[17] | October 26 – November 1, 2016 | 475 | ± 4.6% | 52% | 46% | — | — | 2% |
| SurveyMonkey[18] | October 25–31, 2016 | 484 | ± 4.6% | 54% | 44% | — | — | 2% |
| University of Arkansas[19] | October 18–25, 2016 | 800 | ± 3.5% | 61% | 38% | — | 1% | — |
| Talk Business/Hendrix College[20] | October 21, 2016 | 463 | ± 4.6% | 52% | 34% | 4% | 2% | 8% |
| Talk Business/Hendrix College[21] | September 15–17, 2016 | 831 | ± 3.4% | 55% | 29% | 5% | 3% | 8% |
| Emerson College[22] | September 9–13, 2016 | 600 | ± 3.6% | 44% | 30% | — | 11% | 15% |
| Talk Business/Hendrix College[23] | June 21, 2016 | 751 | ± 3.6% | 51% | 29% | 6% | — | 14% |
with Mike Beebe
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | John Boozman (R) | Mike Beebe (D) | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling[24] | August 1–3, 2014 | 1,066 | ± 3% | 40% | 46% | — | 14% |
| Public Policy Polling[25] | September 18–21, 2014 | 1,453 | ± 2.6% | 39% | 49% | — | 12% |
| Talk Business/Hendrix College[26] | June 8–11, 2015 | 1,183 | ± 1.84% | 37% | 45% | — | 18% |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | John Boozman (incumbent) | 661,984 | 59.77% | +1.87% | |
| Democratic | Conner Eldridge | 400,602 | 36.17% | −0.78% | |
| Libertarian | Frank Gilbert | 43,866 | 3.96% | +0.72% | |
| Write-in | 1,070 | 0.10% | N/A | ||
| Total votes | 1,107,522 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
| Republicanhold | |||||
Boozman won all four congressional districts[28]
| District | Boozman | Eldridge | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 63% | 33% | Rick Crawford |
| 2nd | 51% | 45% | French Hill |
| 3rd | 64% | 31% | Steve Womack |
| 4th | 62% | 35% | Bruce Westerman |
Official campaign websites (Archived)