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 County results Congressional district results Precinct resultsShelby: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Crumpton: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 40–50% | |||||||||||||||||
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The2016 United States Senate election in Alabama was held on November 8, 2016, to elect a member of theUnited States Senate to represent the State ofAlabama, concurrently with the2016 U.S. presidential election, as well asother elections to the United States Senate in other states andelections to theUnited States House of Representatives, and variousstate andlocal elections.
IncumbentRepublican SenatorRichard Shelby won re-election to a sixth term in office. The primaries were held on March 1. Ron Crumpton, a marijuana legalization activist, was theDemocratic nominee.[1] Shelby won re-election with 63.96% of the vote. Despite an overwhelming victory statewide, this marked Shelby's first and only race as either a Republican or Democrat in which he failed to carryJefferson County, home ofBirmingham, the state's largest city. In Jefferson, Crumpton took 51.99% (156,574 votes) to Shelby's 47.86% (144,136 votes);[2] this shift was due in part to increased Democratic support in core urban areas across the nation.
Shelby was first elected to the Senatein 1986 as a Democrat and was easily re-electedin 1992 as such. He switched his party affiliation to Republican on November 9, 1994, one day after the Republicans won control of both houses in themidterm elections. He won his first full term as a Republicanin 1998 by a large margin and faced no significant oppositionin 2004 or2010.
Following thedivisive Republican primary in Mississippi ahead of the2014 election in which SenatorThad Cochran was almost defeated, it had been speculated that Shelby could also face aTea Party primary challenger, due to his lengthy tenure and support for federal largesse. However, that did not happen, in part due to his large campaign war chest, which stood at $19.4 million as of September 2015.[1] If Shelby had decided to retire, numerous high-profile Alabama Republicans were speculated to run, including U.S. RepresentativesRobert Aderholt,Mo Brooks,Bradley Byrne,Gary Palmer,Martha Roby, andMike Rogers, State TreasurerYoung Boozer, State SpeakerMike Hubbard, Lieutenant GovernorKay Ivey, State Senate President Pro TemporeDel Marsh, Secretary of StateJohn Merrill, U.S. Appeals Court JudgeWilliam H. Pryor Jr., former governorBob Riley, and Attorney GeneralLuther Strange.[3][4][5] Shelby announced in January 2015 that he would run for re-election.[6]
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
Organizations
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Marcus Bowman | John Martin | Shadrack McGill | Jonathan McConnell | Richard Shelby | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Partners Strategies (R-McConnell)[15] | January 29–30, 2016 | 1,299 | ± 2.7% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 25% | 55% | 16% |
| McLaughlin & Associates (R-Shelby)[16] | January 25–26, 2016 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 9% | 75% | 13% |
| Thomas Partners Strategies (R-McConnell)[15] | December 2015 | – | – | 1% | 2% | 3% | 15% | 64% | 21% |
| McLaughlin & Associates (R-Shelby)[16] | November 2015 | – | – | 1% | 2% | 1% | 5% | 71% | 20% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Richard Shelby | Someone Else | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Partners Strategies (R-McConnell)[15] | January 29–30, 2016 | 1,299 | ±2.7% | 55% | 29% | 16% |
| Thomas Partners Strategies (R-McConnell)[15] | December 2015 | ? | ±?% | 64% | 15% | 21% |
| Thomas Partners Strategies (R-McConnell)[15] | October 2015 | ? | ±?% | 53% | 22% | 26% |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Richard Shelby (incumbent) | 505,586 | 64.91% | |
| Republican | Jonathan McConnell | 214,770 | 27.58% | |
| Republican | John Martin | 23,558 | 3.02% | |
| Republican | Marcus Bowman | 19,707 | 2.53% | |
| Republican | Shadrack McGill | 15,230 | 1.96% | |
| Total votes | 778,851 | 100.00% | ||
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Ron Crumpton | 145,681 | 55.97% | |
| Democratic | Charles Nana | 114,617 | 44.03% | |
| Total votes | 260,298 | 100.00% | ||
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[23] | Safe R | November 2, 2016 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[24] | Safe R | November 7, 2016 |
| Rothenberg Political Report[25] | Safe R | November 3, 2016 |
| Daily Kos[26] | Safe R | November 8, 2016 |
| Real Clear Politics[27] | Safe R | November 7, 2016 |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Richard Shelby (R) | Ron Crumpton (D) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyMonkey[28] | November 1–7, 2016 | 1,131 | ± 4.6% | 57% | 38% | 5% |
| SurveyMonkey[29] | October 31 – November 6, 2016 | 971 | ± 4.6% | 58% | 37% | 5% |
| SurveyMonkey[30] | October 28 – November 3, 2016 | 722 | ± 4.6% | 57% | 38% | 5% |
| SurveyMonkey[31] | October 27 – November 2, 2016 | 621 | ± 4.6% | 58% | 37% | 5% |
| SurveyMonkey[32] | October 26 – November 1, 2016 | 503 | ± 4.6% | 56% | 40% | 4% |
| SurveyMonkey[33] | October 25–31, 2016 | 485 | ± 4.6% | 60% | 36% | 4% |
| Google Consumer Surveys[34] | October 18–20, 2016 | 474 | ± 4.2% | 71% | 26% | 3% |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Richard Shelby (incumbent) | 1,335,104 | 63.96% | −1.22% | |
| Democratic | Ron Crumpton | 748,709 | 35.87% | +1.16% | |
| Write-in | 3,631 | 0.17% | +0.06% | ||
| Total votes | 2,087,444 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
| Republicanhold | |||||
Shelby won six of seven congressional districts.[36]
| District | Shelby | Crumpton | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 65% | 34% | Bradley Byrne |
| 2nd | 66% | 34% | Martha Roby |
| 3rd | 66% | 34% | Mike Rogers |
| 4th | 79% | 21% | Robert Aderholt |
| 5th | 67% | 33% | Mo Brooks |
| 6th | 73% | 27% | Gary Palmer |
| 7th | 31% | 69% | Terri Sewell |
Official campaign websites
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See also:Political party strength in Alabama | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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