All 3 Nebraska seats to theUnited States House of Representatives | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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The2016 United States House of Representatives elections in Nebraska were held on November 8, 2016, to elect the threeU.S. representatives from thestate ofNebraska, one from each of the state's threecongressional districts. The elections coincided with the2016 U.S. presidential election, as well asother elections to the House of Representatives,elections to theUnited States Senate and variousstate andlocal elections. The primaries were held on May 10.
| Republican | 70.74% | |||
| Democratic | 28.04% | |||
| Libertarian | 1.22% | |||
| Republican | 100.0% | |||
| Democratic | 0% | |||
| Libertarian | 0% | |||
Results of the 2016 United States House of Representatives elections in Nebraska by district:
| District | Republican | Democratic | Others | Total | Result | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | ||
| District 1 | 189,771 | 69.45% | 83,467 | 30.55% | 0 | 0.00% | 273,238 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
| District 2 | 141,066 | 48.93% | 137,602 | 47.73% | 9,640 | 3.34% | 288,308 | 100.0% | Republican gain |
| District 3 | 226,720 | 100.0% | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0.00% | 226,720 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
| Total | 557,557 | 70.74% | 221,069 | 28.04% | 9,640 | 1.22% | 788,266 | 100.0% | |
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The 1st district encompassed most of the eastern quarter of the state and almost completely enveloped the 2nd district. It included the state capital,Lincoln, as well as the cities ofFremont,Columbus,Norfolk,Beatrice andSouth Sioux City. Incumbent RepublicanJeff Fortenberry, who had represented the district since 2005, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 69% of the vote in 2014. The district had aPVI of R+10.
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Jeff Fortenberry (incumbent) | 62,704 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 62,704 | 100.0 | ||
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Daniel Wik | 25,762 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 25,762 | 100.0 | ||
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[3] | Safe R | November 7, 2016 |
| Daily Kos Elections[4] | Safe R | November 7, 2016 |
| Rothenberg[5] | Safe R | November 3, 2016 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] | Safe R | November 7, 2016 |
| RCP[7] | Safe R | October 31, 2016 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Jeff Fortenberry (incumbent) | 189,771 | 69.5 | |
| Democratic | Daniel Wik | 83,467 | 30.5 | |
| Total votes | 273,238 | 100.0 | ||
| Republicanhold | ||||
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The 2nd district was based in theOmaha–Council Bluffs metropolitan area and included all ofDouglas County and the urbanized areas ofSarpy County. Incumbent DemocratBrad Ashford, who had represented the district since 2015, ran for re-election. He was elected with 49% of the vote in 2014, defeating Republican incumbentLee Terry. The district had aCook Partisan Voting Index (PVI) of R+4.
Scott Kleeb, a businessman who was the nominee forNebraska's 3rd congressional districtin 2006 and for the U.S. Senate in2008, was speculated to challenge Ashford, a centrist Democrat, from theleft.[9] Kleeb ultimately did not run and Ashford won the primary unopposed.
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Brad Ashford (incumbent) | 23,470 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 23,470 | 100.0 | ||
Former state senator and Douglas County CommissionerChip Maxwell, who considered running as an independent against Terry in2012,[10] and retiredUnited States Air Forcebrigadier generalDon Bacon ran in the Republican primary.[11]
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| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Don Bacon | 32,328 | 66.0 | |
| Republican | Chip Maxwell | 16,677 | 34.0 | |
| Total votes | 49,005 | 100.0 | ||
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Libertarian | Steven Laird | 108 | 46.2 | |
| Libertarian | Andy Shambaugh | 89 | 38.0 | |
| Libertarian | Jeffrey Lynn Stein | 37 | 15.8 | |
| Total votes | 234 | 100.0 | ||
The general election race was characterized as a tossup with the incumbent Ashford having a slight edge.[16]
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| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Brad Ashford (D) | Don Bacon (R) | Steven Laird (L) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Singularis Group (R-Bacon)[20] | October 26–27, 2016 | 1,482 | ± 2.54% | 45% | 47% | 4% | 3% |
| North Star Opinion Research (R-CLF)[21] | October 22–24, 2016 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 44% | 48% | — | 8% |
| Global Strategy Group (D–Ashford)[22] | September 14–18, 2016 | 402 | ± 4.9% | 50% | 40% | — | 10% |
| Singularis Group (R-Bacon)[23] | May 11–12, 2016 | 1,007 | ± 3.08% | 42% | 44% | 5% | 8% |
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[3] | Tossup | November 7, 2016 |
| Daily Kos Elections[4] | Tossup | November 7, 2016 |
| Rothenberg[5] | Tilt D | November 3, 2016 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] | Lean D | November 7, 2016 |
| RCP[7] | Tossup | October 31, 2016 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Don Bacon | 141,066 | 48.9 | |
| Democratic | Brad Ashford (incumbent) | 137,602 | 47.7 | |
| Libertarian | Steven Laird | 9,640 | 3.4 | |
| Total votes | 288,308 | 100.0 | ||
| Republicangain fromDemocratic | ||||
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The 3rd district encompassed the western three-fourths of the state; it was one of thelargest non-at-large Congressional districts in the country, covering nearly 65,000 square miles (170,000 km2), two time zones and 68.5 counties. It was mostly sparsely populated but included the cities ofGrand Island,Kearney,Hastings,North Platte andScottsbluff. Incumbent RepublicanAdrian Smith, who had represented the district since 2007, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 75% of the vote in 2014. The district had aPVI of R+23.
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Adrian Smith (incumbent) | 78,154 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 78,154 | 100.0 | ||
No Democrats filed.
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[3] | Safe R | November 7, 2016 |
| Daily Kos Elections[4] | Safe R | November 7, 2016 |
| Rothenberg[5] | Safe R | November 3, 2016 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] | Safe R | November 7, 2016 |
| RCP[7] | Safe R | October 31, 2016 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Adrian Smith (incumbent) | 226,720 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 226,720 | 100.0 | ||
| Republicanhold | ||||