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2016 United States House of Representatives elections in Nebraska

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2016 United States House of Representatives elections in Nebraska

← 2014November 8, 2016 (2016-11-08)2018 →

All 3 Nebraska seats to theUnited States House of Representatives
 Majority partyMinority party
 
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Last election21
Seats won30
Seat changeIncrease 1Decrease 1
Popular vote557,557221,069
Percentage70.74%28.04%
SwingIncrease 7.10%Decrease 6.55%

District results
County results

Republican

  40–50%
  50–60%
  60–70%
  70–80%
  80–90%
  >90%

Democratic

  50–60%

Elections in Nebraska
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The2016 United States House of Representatives elections in Nebraska were held on November 8, 2016, to elect the threeU.S. representatives from thestate ofNebraska, one from each of the state's threecongressional districts. The elections coincided with the2016 U.S. presidential election, as well asother elections to the House of Representatives,elections to theUnited States Senate and variousstate andlocal elections. The primaries were held on May 10.

Overview

[edit]

Statewide

[edit]
Popular vote
Republican
70.74%
Democratic
28.04%
Libertarian
1.22%
House seats
Republican
100.0%
Democratic
0%
Libertarian
0%

By district

[edit]

Results of the 2016 United States House of Representatives elections in Nebraska by district:

DistrictRepublicanDemocraticOthersTotalResult
Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%
District 1189,77169.45%83,46730.55%00.00%273,238100.0%Republican hold
District 2141,06648.93%137,60247.73%9,6403.34%288,308100.0%Republican gain
District 3226,720100.0%00.00%00.00%226,720100.0%Republican hold
Total557,55770.74%221,06928.04%9,6401.22%788,266100.0%

District 1

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2016 Nebraska's 1st congressional district election

← 2014
2018 →
 
NomineeJeff FortenberryDaniel Wik
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Popular vote189,77183,467
Percentage69.5%30.5%

U.S. Representative before election

Jeff Fortenberry
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Jeff Fortenberry
Republican

See also:Nebraska's 1st congressional district

The 1st district encompassed most of the eastern quarter of the state and almost completely enveloped the 2nd district. It included the state capital,Lincoln, as well as the cities ofFremont,Columbus,Norfolk,Beatrice andSouth Sioux City. Incumbent RepublicanJeff Fortenberry, who had represented the district since 2005, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 69% of the vote in 2014. The district had aPVI of R+10.

Republican primary

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Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]

Results

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Republican primary results[1]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanJeff Fortenberry (incumbent)62,704100.0
Total votes62,704100.0

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
  • Daniel Wik, physician[2]

Results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[1]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticDaniel Wik25,762100.0
Total votes25,762100.0

General election

[edit]

Predictions

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SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[3]Safe RNovember 7, 2016
Daily Kos Elections[4]Safe RNovember 7, 2016
Rothenberg[5]Safe RNovember 3, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball[6]Safe RNovember 7, 2016
RCP[7]Safe ROctober 31, 2016

Results

[edit]
Nebraska's 1st congressional district, 2016[8]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanJeff Fortenberry (incumbent)189,77169.5
DemocraticDaniel Wik83,46730.5
Total votes273,238100.0
Republicanhold

District 2

[edit]
2016 Nebraska's 2nd congressional district election

← 2014
2018 →
 
NomineeDon BaconBrad Ashford
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Popular vote141,066137,602
Percentage48.9%47.7%

U.S. Representative before election

Brad Ashford
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Don Bacon
Republican

See also:Nebraska's 2nd congressional district

The 2nd district was based in theOmaha–Council Bluffs metropolitan area and included all ofDouglas County and the urbanized areas ofSarpy County. Incumbent DemocratBrad Ashford, who had represented the district since 2015, ran for re-election. He was elected with 49% of the vote in 2014, defeating Republican incumbentLee Terry. The district had aCook Partisan Voting Index (PVI) of R+4.

Democratic primary

[edit]

Scott Kleeb, a businessman who was the nominee forNebraska's 3rd congressional districtin 2006 and for the U.S. Senate in2008, was speculated to challenge Ashford, a centrist Democrat, from theleft.[9] Kleeb ultimately did not run and Ashford won the primary unopposed.

Candidates

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Nominee
[edit]
Declined
[edit]

Results

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Democratic primary results[1]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticBrad Ashford (incumbent)23,470100.0
Total votes23,470100.0

Republican primary

[edit]

Former state senator and Douglas County CommissionerChip Maxwell, who considered running as an independent against Terry in2012,[10] and retiredUnited States Air Forcebrigadier generalDon Bacon ran in the Republican primary.[11]

Candidates

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Nominee
[edit]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]
Withdrawn
[edit]
  • Dirk Arneson, salesmen (withdrew September 3, 2015, and endorsed Bacon[citation needed])

Endorsements

[edit]
Don Bacon

U.S. Senators

U.S. Representatives

State officials

State legislators

Individuals

Results

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Republican primary results[1]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanDon Bacon32,32866.0
RepublicanChip Maxwell16,67734.0
Total votes49,005100.0

Libertarian primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
  • Steven Laird
Eliminated in primary
[edit]
  • Andy Shambaugh[15]
  • Jeffrey Lynn Stein[15]

Results

[edit]
Libertarian primary results[1]
PartyCandidateVotes%
LibertarianSteven Laird10846.2
LibertarianAndy Shambaugh8938.0
LibertarianJeffrey Lynn Stein3715.8
Total votes234100.0

General election

[edit]

Campaign

[edit]

The general election race was characterized as a tossup with the incumbent Ashford having a slight edge.[16]

Endorsements

[edit]
Brad Ashford (D)

Organizations

Don Bacon (R)

U.S. Senators

U.S. Representatives

State officials

State legislators

Organizations

Individuals

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Brad
Ashford (D)
Don
Bacon (R)
Steven
Laird (L)
Undecided
Singularis Group (R-Bacon)[20]October 26–27, 20161,482± 2.54%45%47%4%3%
North Star Opinion Research (R-CLF)[21]October 22–24, 2016400± 4.9%44%48%8%
Global Strategy Group (D–Ashford)[22]September 14–18, 2016402± 4.9%50%40%10%
Singularis Group (R-Bacon)[23]May 11–12, 20161,007± 3.08%42%44%5%8%

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[3]TossupNovember 7, 2016
Daily Kos Elections[4]TossupNovember 7, 2016
Rothenberg[5]Tilt DNovember 3, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball[6]Lean DNovember 7, 2016
RCP[7]TossupOctober 31, 2016

Results

[edit]
Nebraska's 2nd congressional district, 2016[8]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanDon Bacon141,06648.9
DemocraticBrad Ashford (incumbent)137,60247.7
LibertarianSteven Laird9,6403.4
Total votes288,308100.0
Republicangain fromDemocratic

District 3

[edit]
2016 Nebraska's 3rd congressional district election

← 2014
2018 →
 
NomineeAdrian Smith
PartyRepublican
Popular vote226,720
Percentage100.0%

U.S. Representative before election

Adrian Smith
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Adrian Smith
Republican

See also:Nebraska's 3rd congressional district

The 3rd district encompassed the western three-fourths of the state; it was one of thelargest non-at-large Congressional districts in the country, covering nearly 65,000 square miles (170,000 km2), two time zones and 68.5 counties. It was mostly sparsely populated but included the cities ofGrand Island,Kearney,Hastings,North Platte andScottsbluff. Incumbent RepublicanAdrian Smith, who had represented the district since 2007, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 75% of the vote in 2014. The district had aPVI of R+23.

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]

Results

[edit]
Republican primary results[1]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanAdrian Smith (incumbent)78,154100.0
Total votes78,154100.0

Democratic primary

[edit]

No Democrats filed.

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[3]Safe RNovember 7, 2016
Daily Kos Elections[4]Safe RNovember 7, 2016
Rothenberg[5]Safe RNovember 3, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball[6]Safe RNovember 7, 2016
RCP[7]Safe ROctober 31, 2016

Results

[edit]
Nebraska's 3rd congressional district, 2016[8]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanAdrian Smith (incumbent)226,720100.0
Total votes226,720100.0
Republicanhold

References

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  1. ^abcdef"Official 2016 Primary Election Results"(PDF). Nebraska Secretary of State. Archived fromthe original(PDF) on August 20, 2016. RetrievedOctober 20, 2016.
  2. ^Warneke, Kent (February 23, 2016)."Norfolk physician to challenge Fortenberry for seat in Congress".Norfolk Daily News. RetrievedFebruary 28, 2016.
  3. ^abc"2016 House Race Ratings for November 7, 2016".House: Race Ratings.Cook Political Report. RetrievedNovember 12, 2016.
  4. ^abc"Daily Kos Elections House race ratings: Initial ratings for 2016".Daily Kos Elections. RetrievedNovember 7, 2016.
  5. ^abc"2016 House Ratings (November 3, 2016)".House Ratings.The Rothenberg Political Report. RetrievedNovember 3, 2016.
  6. ^abc"2016 House".Sabato's Crystal Ball. November 7, 2016. RetrievedNovember 7, 2016.
  7. ^abc"Battle for the House 2016".Real Clear Politics. RetrievedOctober 31, 2016.
  8. ^abc"Official Report of the Board of State Canvassers"(PDF). Nebraska Secretary of State. Archived fromthe original(PDF) on December 20, 2016. RetrievedDecember 7, 2016.
  9. ^Jordan, Joe (January 15, 2015)."Brad Ashford to get challenge from fellow Democrat? It's a 'possibility'".Nebraska Watchdog. Archived fromthe original on January 19, 2015. RetrievedJanuary 19, 2015.
  10. ^Jordan, Joe (November 5, 2014)."Move over 2014, 2016 Omaha House race is off and running".Nebraska Watchdog. Archived fromthe original on November 14, 2014. RetrievedNovember 19, 2014.
  11. ^Walton, Don (March 24, 2015)."Retired general bids for Ashford House seat".Lincoln Journal Star. RetrievedMarch 25, 2015.
  12. ^Tysver, Robynn (March 25, 2015)."Citing military and foreign policy as priorities, retired Brig. Gen. Don Bacon announces bid for Congress".Omaha World-Herald. RetrievedMarch 25, 2015.
  13. ^abcdefghijklmnopqr"ENDORSEMENTS". Archived fromthe original on March 26, 2016. RetrievedMarch 28, 2016.
  14. ^abcdRobynn Tysver (April 29, 2016)."Don Bacon picks up Ricketts' endorsement in 2nd District race".omaha.com. Omaha World-Herald. Archived fromthe original on November 18, 2018. RetrievedJuly 25, 2023.
  15. ^ab"Statewide Candidate List"(PDF).Nebraska Secretary of State. Archived fromthe original(PDF) on March 5, 2016. RetrievedFebruary 28, 2016.
  16. ^Loizzo, Mike (September 26, 2016)."Nebraska's 2nd Congressional District Race Remains a Toss-Up". Nebraska Radio Network. Archived fromthe original on December 26, 2016. RetrievedDecember 25, 2016.
  17. ^Ben Ray Lujan (February 12, 2015)."FRONTLINE DEMOCRATS 2015-2016".dccc.org/. DCCC. Archived fromthe original on October 24, 2016. RetrievedJune 5, 2023.
  18. ^"U.S. Chamber of Commerce endorses Brad Ashford over Don Bacon in 2nd District House race".omaha.com. Omaha World-Herald. June 20, 2016. Archived fromthe original on June 30, 2016. RetrievedJuly 25, 2023.
  19. ^"Young Gun candidates".gopyoungguns.com. Archived fromthe original on October 29, 2016. RetrievedJune 5, 2023.
  20. ^Singularis Group (R-Bacon)
  21. ^North Star Opinion Research (R-CLF)
  22. ^Global Strategy Group (D–Ashford)
  23. ^Singularis Group (R-Bacon)

External links

[edit]
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