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2016 United States House of Representatives elections in Maine

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2016 United States House of Representatives elections in Maine

← 2014November 8, 2016 (2016-11-08)2018 →

All 2 Maine seats to theUnited States House of Representatives
 Majority partyMinority party
 
PartyDemocraticRepublican
Last election11
Seats won11
Seat changeSteadySteady
Popular vote386,627357,447
Percentage51.93%48.01%
SwingIncrease0.40%Increase9.51%

District results
County results

Democratic

  50–60%
  60–70%

Republican

  50–60%
  60–70%

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The2016 United States House of Representatives elections in Maine were held on November 8, 2016, to elect the twoU.S. representatives from thestate ofMaine, one from each of the state's twocongressional districts. The elections coincided with the2016 U.S. presidential election, as well asother elections to the House of Representatives,elections to theUnited States Senate, and variousstate andlocal elections. The primaries were held on June 14.

Overview

[edit]

Statewide

[edit]
Popular vote
Democratic
51.93%
Republican
48.01%
House seats
Democratic
50.00%
Republican
50.00%

By district

[edit]

Results of the 2016 United States House of Representatives elections in Maine by district:

DistrictDemocraticRepublicanOthersTotalResult
Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%
District 1227,54657.99%164,56941.94%2760.07%392,391100.0%Democratic hold
District 2159,08145.17%192,87854.77%2240.06%352,183100.0%Republican hold
Total386,62751.93%357,44748.01%5000.07%744,574100.0%

District 1

[edit]
2016 Maine's 1st congressional district election

← 2014
2018 →
 
NomineeChellie PingreeMark Holbrook
PartyDemocraticRepublican
Popular vote227,546164,569
Percentage58.0%41.9%

County results
Pingree:     50–60%     60–70%

U.S. Representative before election

Chellie Pingree
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Chellie Pingree
Democratic

See also:Maine's 1st congressional district

Incumbent DemocratChellie Pingree, who had represented the district since 2009, ran for re-election. She was re-elected with 60% of the vote in 2014. The district had aPVI of D+9.

Democratic primary

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Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]

Results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[1]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticChellie Pingree (incumbent)28,143100.0
Total votes28,143100.0

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
  • Mark Holbrook, professional counselor[2]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]

Debate

[edit]
2016 Maine's 1st congressional district republican primary debate
No.DateHostModeratorLinkRepublicanRepublican
Key:
 P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited W  Withdrawn
Mark HolbrookAnde Smith
1Jun. 7, 2016WMTW (TV)Paul Merrill[4]PP

Results

[edit]

After a recount, Holbrook was declared the winner with a margin of 57 votes.[5]

Republican primary results[1]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanMark Holbrook10,36050.1
RepublicanAnde Smith10,30349.9
Total votes20,663100.0

General election

[edit]

Predictions

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SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[6]Safe DNovember 7, 2016
Daily Kos Elections[7]Safe DNovember 7, 2016
Rothenberg[8]Safe DNovember 3, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball[9]Safe DNovember 7, 2016
RCP[10]Safe DOctober 31, 2016

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Chellie
Pingree (D)
Mark
Holbrook (R)
OtherUndecided
University of New Hampshire[11]September 15–20, 2016266 LV± 6.0%64%22%2%12%
SurveyUSA[12]September 4–10, 2016382 LV± 5.1%57%37%7%
University of New Hampshire[13]June 15–21, 2016248 LV± 4.5%56%34%10%
Hypothetical polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Chellie
Pingree (D)
Ande
Smith (R)
University of New Hampshire[13]June 15–21, 2016248 LV± 4.5%55%34%

Endorsements

[edit]
Chellie Pingree (D)

Organizations

Results

[edit]
Maine's 1st congressional district, 2016[15]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticChellie Pingree (incumbent)227,54658.0
RepublicanMark Holbrook164,56941.9
LibertarianJames J. Bouchard (write-in)2760.1
Total votes392,391100.0
Democratichold

District 2

[edit]
2016 Maine's 2nd congressional district election

← 2014
2018 →
 
NomineeBruce PoliquinEmily Cain
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Popular vote192,878159,081
Percentage54.8%45.2%

County results
Poliquin:     50%–60%     60–70%
Cain:     50%–60%

U.S. Representative before election

Bruce Poliquin
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Bruce Poliquin
Republican

See also:Maine's 2nd congressional district

Incumbent RepublicanBruce Poliquin, who had represented the district since 2015, ran for re-election. He was elected with 47% of the vote in 2014. The district had aPVI of D+2.

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]

Results

[edit]
Republican primary results[1]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanBruce Poliquin (incumbent)19,252100.0
Total votes19,252100.0

Democratic primary

[edit]

After the 2014 election, Cain indicated she was interested in running against Poliquin in 2016.[16] In December 2014, Cain met withNancy Pelosi, the Democratic Leader of the House of Representatives, to discuss her potential candidacy.[17] On March 3, 2015, Cain announced that she would be running for the seat.[18]

Bangor City Councilors Joe Baldacci and Ben Sprague were mentioned as potential Democratic candidates.[19]Jeff McCabe, themajority leader of theMaine House of Representatives, indicated that he might run against Poliquin in 2016, but later said that he would not do so.[20]

Troy Jackson, the former majority leader of theMaine Senate, who lost to Cain in the 2014 Democratic primary election, had said he might run as an independent candidate,[21] but he elected to run for his former Senate seat instead.[22]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Withdrawn
[edit]
Declined
[edit]
Endorsements
[edit]
Emily Cain

U.S. representatives

Organizations

Results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[1]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticEmily Cain19,003100.0
Total votes19,003100

Independents

[edit]

Withdrawn

[edit]

Declined

[edit]

General election

[edit]

Debates

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Emily Cain (D)

U.S. senators

U.S. representatives

Organizations

Newspapers

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Emily
Cain (D)
Bruce
Poliquin (R)
Undecided
University of New Hampshire[30]October 20–25, 2016341 LV± 3.8%43%42%11%
Normington Petts (D-Cain)[31]October 2–3, 2016400 RV± 4.9%46%45%9%
University of New Hampshire[32]September 15–20, 2016231 LV± 6%35%45%15%
SurveyUSA[33]September 4–10, 2016397 LV± 5%45%50%6%
University of New Hampshire[13]June 15–21, 2016227 LV± 4.5%40%41%12%

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[6]TossupNovember 7, 2016
Daily Kos Elections[7]TossupNovember 7, 2016
Rothenberg[8]TossupNovember 3, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball[9]Lean D(flip)November 7, 2016
RCP[10]TossupOctober 31, 2016

Results

[edit]
Maine's 2nd congressional district, 2016[15]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanBruce Poliquin (incumbent)192,87854.8
DemocraticEmily Cain159,08145.2
IndependentJay Parker Dresser (write-in)2240.0
Total votes352,183100.0
Republicanhold

References

[edit]
  1. ^abcd"Tabulations for Elections held on June 14, 2016". Maine Secretary of State. RetrievedJuly 22, 2016.
  2. ^"Brunswick Republican files to challenge Pingree in 2016". November 20, 2015. RetrievedNovember 20, 2015.
  3. ^"North Yarmouth attorney will try to unseat Maine's U.S. Rep. Chellie Pingree - The Portland Press Herald / Maine Sunday Telegram".Pressherald.com. January 11, 2016. RetrievedJuly 9, 2016.
  4. ^YouTube
  5. ^Shepherd, Michael (June 29, 2016)."Holbrook confirmed GOP primary winner in Maine's 1st District — Politics — Bangor Daily News — BDN Maine".Bangordailynews.com. RetrievedJuly 9, 2016.
  6. ^ab"2016 House Race Ratings for November 7, 2016".House: Race Ratings.Cook Political Report. RetrievedNovember 12, 2016.
  7. ^ab"Daily Kos Elections House race ratings: Initial ratings for 2016".Daily Kos Elections. RetrievedNovember 7, 2016.
  8. ^ab"2016 House Ratings (November 3, 2016)".House Ratings.The Rothenberg Political Report. RetrievedNovember 3, 2016.
  9. ^ab"2016 House".Sabato's Crystal Ball. November 7, 2016. RetrievedNovember 7, 2016.
  10. ^ab"Battle for the House 2016".Real Clear Politics. RetrievedOctober 31, 2016.
  11. ^University of New Hampshire
  12. ^SurveyUSA
  13. ^abcUniversity of New Hampshire
  14. ^abc"Election 2016 | EqualityMaine". Archived fromthe original on October 4, 2016. RetrievedOctober 4, 2016.
  15. ^ab"Tabulations for Elections held in 2016". Maine Secretary of State. RetrievedDecember 12, 2016.
  16. ^"Democrats push for Cain vs. Poliquin 2016 rematch in Maine's 2nd District - Central Maine".Central Maine. November 15, 2014. RetrievedDecember 5, 2014.
  17. ^"Nancy Pelosi, Steny Hoyer Are Recruiting Emily Cain to Run Again".At the Races. Archived fromthe original on December 8, 2014. RetrievedDecember 5, 2014.
  18. ^abcdShepherd, Michael (March 3, 2015)."Cain seeks 2016 rematch for Maine's 2nd District seat".Kennebec Journal. RetrievedMarch 4, 2014.
  19. ^Michael Shepherd (January 11, 2015)."Maine's Bruce Poliquin dives into budget, energy issues".Central Maine. RetrievedJanuary 12, 2015.
  20. ^abMichael Shepherd (February 4, 2015)."Skowhegan's McCabe says he won't run for Congress in 2016".Central Maine. RetrievedFebruary 7, 2015.
  21. ^ab"What kind of a congressman will Maine's Bruce Poliquin be? - Central Maine".Central Maine. November 9, 2014. RetrievedDecember 5, 2014.
  22. ^abcShepherd, Michael (January 4, 2016)."Democrats McCabe, Jackson announce Maine Senate bids".Bangor Daily News. RetrievedJanuary 4, 2016.
  23. ^"Joe Baldacci Drops Out of Congressional Race | Maine Public Broadcasting".News.mpbn.net. February 5, 2016. RetrievedJuly 9, 2016.
  24. ^Cousins, Christopher (June 10, 2015)."Nancy Pelosi to boost Emily Cain's rematch against Bruce Poliquin in big-money fundraiser".Bangor Daily News. RetrievedJune 10, 2015.
  25. ^Moretto, Mario (June 9, 2015)."Young Republican star wields Taylor Swift against Paul LePage".Bangor Daily News. Archived fromthe original on June 10, 2015. RetrievedJune 9, 2015.
  26. ^Mitchell, Jennifer (May 14, 2016)."Candidate Proposing Nuke Plants for Maine Drops out of Congressional Race".MPBN. RetrievedJune 26, 2016.
  27. ^"Former Maine Senator endorses Emily Cain for Congress".WCSH. September 23, 2016. RetrievedSeptember 23, 2016.[permanent dead link]
  28. ^"Cain's pragmatism, openness would better serve Maine's 2nd District in Congress". October 20, 2016.
  29. ^The Editorial Board (October 23, 2016)."Our View: Vote Emily Cain in 2nd District to make Congress work again".
  30. ^University of New Hampshire
  31. ^Normington Petts (D-Cain)[permanent dead link]
  32. ^University of New Hampshire
  33. ^SurveyUSA

External links

[edit]
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