 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
 Election results by county.
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
The2016 South Carolina Republican presidential primary took place on February 20 in the U.S. state ofSouth Carolina, marking theRepublican Party's third nominating contest in their series ofpresidential primaries ahead of the2016 presidential election.
TheDemocratic Party held itsNevada caucuses on the same day, while theirSouth Carolina primary would only take place a week later on February 27.
The states delegates are allocated in this way: 29 delegates are awarded to the winner of the primary; 3 delegates are awarded to the winner of each of the seven congressional districts.[1]
Donald Trump demonstrated his strength over the other candidates, winning amongSouthern WhiteEvangelical Christians.[2] Marco Rubio, who had the support of then-GovernorNikki Haley, managed second place due to his support amongcollege graduates.
Following a poor result in the primary,Jeb Bush announced the suspension of his campaign.[3]
January 9, 2016 – Columbia, South Carolina The Kemp Forum was held in theColumbia Metropolitan Convention Center by theJack Kemp Foundation. Bush, Carson, Christie, Fiorina, Huckabee, Kasich, and Rubio attended. The forum was moderated bySpeaker of the HousePaul Ryan and SenatorTim Scott.[4][5]
January 14, 2016 – North Charleston, South Carolina
| Candidate | Airtime[6] | Polls |
|---|---|---|
| Trump | 17:12 | 34.5% |
| Cruz | 17:52 | 19.3% |
| Rubio | 14:19 | 11.8% |
| Carson | 8:26 | 9.0% |
| Christie | 14:25 | 3.5% |
| Bush | 12:36 | 4.8% |
| Kasich | 12:26 | 2.3% |
| Candidate | Airtime | Polls |
|---|---|---|
| Fiorina | 12:06 | 2.8% |
| Paul | N/A | 2.3% |
| Huckabee | 13:00 | 1.8% |
| Santorum | 12:18 | 0.0% |
On December 8, 2015, it was announced thatFox Business Network would host an additional debate two days after theState of the Union address.[7] The debate was held in theNorth Charleston Coliseum inNorth Charleston, South Carolina. The anchor and managing editor of Business News,Neil Cavuto, and anchor and global markets editor,Maria Bartiromo, reprised their roles as moderators for theprime-time debate, which began at 9 p.m. EST. The earlier debate, which started at 6 p.m. EST, was again moderated by anchorsTrish Regan andSandra Smith.[8][9]
On December 22, 2015, Fox Business Network announced that in order to qualify for the prime-time debate, candidates had to either: place in the top six nationally, based on an average of the five most recent national polls recognized by FOX News; place in the top five in Iowa, based on an average of the five most recent Iowa state polls recognized by FOX News; or place in the top five in New Hampshire, based on an average of the five most recent New Hampshire state polls recognized by FOX News. In order to qualify for the first debate, candidates must have registered at least one percent in one of the five most recent national polls.[10]
On January 11, 2016, seven candidates were revealed to have been invited to the prime-time debate:Jeb Bush,Ben Carson,Chris Christie,Ted Cruz,John Kasich,Marco Rubio, andDonald Trump. The participants were introduced in order of their poll rankings at the debate.
Carly Fiorina,Mike Huckabee, andRick Santorum participated in the undercard debate.Rand Paul was also invited to the undercard debate, but said, "I won't participate in anything that's not first tier because we have a first tier campaign."[11][12] The candidates were introduced in order of their poll rankings. The first question was to assess the economy. The next questions asked Fiorina about the role of the US in the world, Santorum about the Iran deal, and Huckabee about the solution to Afghanistan's problems.
February 13, 2016 – Greenville, South CarolinaThe ninth debate, and second debate in the month of February, was held in another early primary state of South Carolina, and aired on CBS News. The debate was moderated byJohn Dickerson in thePeace Center, began at 9 p.m. ET and lasted for 90 minutes.[13]
Statewide officials
U.S. Senators
State Senators
State Representatives
U.S. Representatives
State Senators
State Representatives
State Senators
State Representatives
Newspapers
Statewide officials
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
State Senators
State Representatives
Mayors
Statewide officials
State Representatives
State Representatives
U.S. Representatives
State Senators
State Representatives
| Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Marco Rubio Republican | Donald Trump Republican | Ted Cruz Republican | Jeb Bush Republican | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RealClearPolitics[61] | until February 20, 2016 | February 20, 2016 | 18.8% | 31.8% | 18.5% | 10.7% | Trump +13.0 |
| FiveThirtyEight[62] | until February 20, 2016 | February 20, 2016 | 19.8% | 30.5% | 19.5% | 11.4% | Trump +10.7 |
| Poll source | Date | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Primary results[63] | February 20, 2016 | Donald Trump32.51% | Marco Rubio22.48% | Ted Cruz22.33% | Jeb Bush 7.84%,John Kasich 7.61%,Ben Carson 7.23% |
| Opinion Savvy/ Augusta Chronicle[64] Margin of error: ± 3.5% Sample size: 780 | February 18–19, 2016 | Donald Trump 26.9% | Marco Rubio 24.1% | Ted Cruz 18.8% | Jeb Bush 10.6%, Ben Carson 8.2%, John Kasich 7.5%, Undecided 3.9% |
| South Carolina House GOP[65] Margin of error: ± 2.0% Sample size: 3500 | February 18, 2016 | Donald Trump 33.51% | Ted Cruz 18.96% | Marco Rubio 18.07% | Jeb Bush 11.56%, John Kasich 8.49%, Ben Carson 5.22%, Undecided 4.19% |
| National Research[66] Margin of error: ± ?% Sample size: 500 | February 17–18, 2016 | Donald Trump 32% | Ted Cruz 19% | Marco Rubio 18% | Jeb Bush 8%, John Kasich 7%, Ben Carson 6%, Refused 2%, Undecided 7% |
| ARG[67] Margin of error: ± 5.0% Sample size: 401 | February 17–18, 2016 | Donald Trump 34% | Marco Rubio 22% | John Kasich 14% | Ted Cruz 13%, Jeb Bush 9%, Ben Carson 4%, Other 1%, Undecided 3% |
| Emerson College[68] Margin of error: ± 4.7% Sample size: 418 | February 16–18, 2016 | Donald Trump 36% | Ted Cruz 19% | Marco Rubio 18% | John Kasich 10%, Jeb Bush 10%, Ben Carson 6% |
| Clemson University[69] Margin of error: ± 3.0% Sample size: 650 | February 14–18, 2016 | Donald Trump 28% | Ted Cruz 19% | Marco Rubio 15% | Jeb Bush 10%, John Kasich 9%, Ben Carson 6%, Undecided 13% |
| ARG[70] Margin of error: ± 5.0% Sample size: 400 | February 16–17, 2016 | Donald Trump 33% | Marco Rubio 20% | John Kasich 15% | Ted Cruz 13%, Jeb Bush 8%, Ben Carson 3%, Other 1%, Undecided 7% |
| Harper Polling[71] Margin of error: ± 4% Sample size: 599 | February 16–17, 2016 | Donald Trump 29% | Ted Cruz 17% | Marco Rubio 15% | Jeb Bush 14%, John Kasich 13%, Ben Carson 8%, Undecided 5% |
| NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College[72] Margin of error: ± 3.6% Sample size: 722 | February 15–17, 2016 | Donald Trump 28% | Ted Cruz 23% | Marco Rubio 15% | Jeb Bush 13%, Ben Carson 9%, John Kasich 9%, Undecided 5% |
| Fox News[73] Margin of error: ± 3.5% Sample size: 759 | February 15–17, 2016 | Donald Trump 32% | Ted Cruz 19% | Marco Rubio 15% | Jeb Bush 9%, Ben Carson 9%, John Kasich 6%, Other 1%, Undecided 8% |
| Emerson College[74] Margin of error: ± 5.0% Sample size: 315 | February 15–16, 2016 | Donald Trump 33% | Ted Cruz 20% | Marco Rubio 19% | John Kasich 9%, Jeb Bush 9%, Ben Carson 5%, Other 1%, Undecided 4% |
| ARG[75] Margin of error: ± 5.0% Sample size: 400 | February 14–16, 2016 | Donald Trump 33% | Marco Rubio 16% | Ted Cruz 14% | John Kasich 14%, Jeb Bush 9%, Ben Carson 3%, Other 2%, Undecided 8% |
| Monmouth University[76] Margin of error: ± 4.9% Sample size: 400 | February 14–16, 2016 | Donald Trump 35% | Ted Cruz 19% | Marco Rubio 17% | John Kasich 9%, Jeb Bush 8%, Ben Carson 7%, Undecided 5% |
| Bloomberg/Selzer[77] Margin of error: ± 4.4% Sample size: 502 | February 13–16, 2016 | Donald Trump 36% | Ted Cruz 17% | Marco Rubio 15% | Jeb Bush 13%, Ben Carson 9%, John Kasich 7%, Undecided 3% |
| Public Policy Polling[78] Margin of error: ± 3.3% Sample size: 897 | February 14–15, 2016 | Donald Trump 35% | Ted Cruz 18% | Marco Rubio 18% | John Kasich 10%, Jeb Bush 7%, Ben Carson 7%, Undecided 6% |
| South Carolina House GOP[79] Margin of error: ± 2.4% Sample size: 1700 | February 15, 2016 | Donald Trump 33.57% | Ted Cruz 15.54% | Marco Rubio 14.83% | Jeb Bush 14.54%, John Kasich 7.98%, Ben Carson 6.55%, Undecided 7.03% |
| CNN/ORC[80] Margin of error: ± 5% Sample size: 404 | February 10–15, 2016 | Donald Trump 38% | Ted Cruz 22% | Marco Rubio 14% | Jeb Bush 10%, Ben Carson 6%, John Kasich 4%, Jim Gilmore 1%, Someone Else 1%, Undecided 1%, No Opinion 3% |
| ARG[81] Margin of error: ± 5.0% Sample size: 400 | February 12–13, 2016 | Donald Trump 35% | John Kasich 15% | Marco Rubio 14% | Ted Cruz 12%, Jeb Bush 10%, Ben Carson 2%, Other 2%, Undecided 10% |
| South Carolina House GOP[82] Margin of error: ± ?% Sample size: 1200 | February 11–12, 2016 | Donald Trump 34.5% | Ted Cruz 15.5% | Jeb Bush 13% | Marco Rubio 12.5%, John Kasich 8.5%, Ben Carson 5%, Undecided 11% |
| CBS News/YouGov[83] Margin of error: ± 5.2% Sample size: 744 | February 10–12, 2016 | Donald Trump 42% | Ted Cruz 20% | Marco Rubio 15% | John Kasich 9%, Jeb Bush 6%, Ben Carson 6%, Chris Christie 1%, Carly Fiorina 0%, Jim Gilmore 0%, No preference 1% |
| Opinion Savvy/ Augusta Chronicle[84] Margin of error: ± 3.5% Sample size: 779 | February 10–11, 2016 | Donald Trump 36.3% | Ted Cruz 19.6% | Marco Rubio 14.6% | Jeb Bush 10.9%, John Kasich 8.7%, Ben Carson 4.7%, Undecided 5.2% |
| NBC/WSJ/Marist[85] Margin of error: ± 3.7% Sample size: 718 | January 17–23, 2016 | Donald Trump 36% | Ted Cruz 20% | Marco Rubio 14% | Jeb Bush 9%, Ben Carson 8%, Mike Huckabee 2%, Chris Christie 2%, Rand Paul 1%, John Kasich 1%, Carly Fiorina 1%, Other 0%, Undecided 6% |
| CBS/YouGov[86] Margin of error: ± 5.3% Sample size: 804 | January 18–21, 2016 | Donald Trump 40% | Ted Cruz 21% | Marco Rubio 13% | Ben Carson 9%, Jeb Bush 8%, Rand Paul 3%, Mike Huckabee 2%, John Kasich 2%, Chris Christie 1%, Carly Fiorina 1%, Rick Santorum 0%, Jim Gilmore 0%, No Preference 0% |
| Morris News/Opinion Savvy[87] Margin of error: ± 3.7% Sample size: 683 | January 15, 2016 | Donald Trump 32% | Ted Cruz 18% | Jeb Bush 13% | Marco Rubio 11%, Ben Carson 9%, Chris Christie 4%, Carly Fiorina 3%, Mike Huckabee 2%, John Kasich 2%, Rand Paul 2%, Rick Santorum 1%, Undecided 3% |
| Associated Industries of Florida[88] Margin of error: ± 3.9% Sample size: 600 | December 16–17, 2015 | Donald Trump 27% | Ted Cruz 27% | Marco Rubio 12% | Ben Carson 11%, Jeb Bush 7%, Others 5%, Undecided 11% |
| CBS News/YouGov[89] Margin of error: ± 5% Sample size: 1469 | December 14–17, 2015 | Donald Trump 38% | Ted Cruz 23% | Marco Rubio 12% | Ben Carson 9%, Jeb Bush 7%, Rand Paul 4%, John Kasich 2%, Chris Christie 1%, Carly Fiorina 1%, Mike Huckabee 1%, Lindsey Graham 1%, Rick Santorum 0%, George Pataki 0%, Jim Gilmore 0%, No preference 1% |
| Opinion Savvy/Augusta Chronicle[90] Margin of error: ± 4.2% Sample size: 536 | December 16, 2015 | Donald Trump 28.3% | Ted Cruz 21.1% | Marco Rubio 11.6% | Jeb Bush 9.6%, Ben Carson 9.5%, Chris Christie 5.5%, Carly Fiorina 4.6%, Rand Paul 2.6%, Mike Huckabee 2.1%, Lindsey Graham 1.9%, John Kasich 1.4%, Rick Santorum 0.5%, George Pataki 0.2%, Undecided 1.3% |
| Winthrop University[91] Margin of error: ± 3.4% Sample size: 828 | November 30 – December 7, 2015 | Donald Trump 24% | Ted Cruz 16% | Ben Carson 14% | Marco Rubio 11%, Jeb Bush 9%, Mike Huckabee 2%, Lindsey Graham 2%, Carly Fiorina 1%, Rand Paul 1%, Chris Christie 1%, John Kasich 1%, Rick Santorum 0%, George Pataki 0% |
| Fox News[92] Margin of error: ± 4.5% Sample size: 437 | December 5–8, 2015 | Donald Trump 35% | Ben Carson 15% | Marco Rubio/Ted Cruz 14% | Jeb Bush 5%, Rand Paul 2%, Lindsey Graham 2%, Chris Christie 2%, Carly Fiorina 1%, John Kasich 1%, Mike Huckabee 1%, Rick Santorum 1%, George Pataki 0%, None of the Above 1%, Don't Know 5% |
| CBS News/YouGov[93] Margin of error: ± 5.1% Sample size: ? | November 15–19, 2015 | Donald Trump 35% | Ben Carson 19% | Marco Rubio 16% | Ted Cruz 13%, Jeb Bush 5%, Lindsey Graham 3%, Carly Fiorina 2%, Mike Huckabee 2%, John Kasich 2%, Chris Christie 1%, Rand Paul 1%, Rick Santorum 1%, George Pataki 0%, Bobby Jindal 0%, Jim Gilmore 0% |
| Public Policy Polling[94] Margin of error: ± 3.5% Sample size: 787 | November 7–8, 2015 | Donald Trump 25% | Ben Carson 21% | Ted Cruz 15% | Marco Rubio 13%, Jeb Bush 8%, Carly Fiorina 5%, John Kasich 3%, Lindsey Graham 2%, Mike Huckabee 2%, Rand Paul 1%, Chris Christie 1%, Rick Santorum 1%, Bobby Jindal 0%, Jim Gilmore 0%, George Pataki 0%, Undecided 3% |
| CBS News/YouGov[95] Margin of error: ± 3.4% Sample size: 843 | October 15–23, 2015 | Donald Trump 40% | Ben Carson 23% | Ted Cruz 8% | Marco Rubio 7%, Jeb Bush 6%, Carly Fiorina 3%, Lindsey Graham 2%, Mike Huckabee 2%, John Kasich 2%, Rand Paul 1%, Chris Christie 1%, Bobby Jindal 1%, Rick Santorum 1%, Jim Gilmore 0%, George Pataki 0%, No Preference 5% |
| Clemson-Palmetto[96] Margin of error: ± 4% Sample size: 600 | October 13–23, 2015 | Donald Trump 23% | Ben Carson 19% | Ted Cruz 8% | Carly Fiorina 6%, Jeb Bush 7%, Marco Rubio 5%, Lindsey Graham 3%, Rand Paul 1%, Mike Huckabee 2%, Chris Christie 1%, John Kasich 2%, Bobby Jindal 1%, Rick Santorum 0%, Jim Gilmore 0%, George Pataki 0%, undecided/DK 15% |
| CNN/ORC[97] Margin of error: ± 4.5% Sample size: 521 | October 3–10, 2015 | Donald Trump 36% | Ben Carson 18% | Marco Rubio 9% | Carly Fiorina 7%, Jeb Bush 6%, Ted Cruz 5%, Lindsey Graham 5%, Rand Paul 4%, Mike Huckabee 3%, Chris Christie 2%, John Kasich 1%, Rick Santorum 1%, Jim Gilmore *%, George Pataki *% Bobby Jindal *%, None 1%, No opinion 4% |
| Gravis Marketing[98] Margin of error: ± 3.6% Sample size: 762 | October 1, 2015 | Donald Trump 29.1% | Ben Carson 16.4% | Carly Fiorina 11.1% | Ted Cruz 8.1%, Marco Rubio 8%, Jeb Bush 5.9%, John Kasich 3.5%, Mike Huckabee 3.1%, Lindsey Graham 1.5%, Chris Christie 1.4%, Rand Paul 0.9%, Rick Santorum 0.5%, George Pataki 0.3% Bobby Jindal 0.3%, Unsure 9.9% |
| CBS News/YouGov[99] Margin of error: ± 4.5% Sample size: 1002 | September 3–10, 2015 | Donald Trump 36% | Ben Carson 21% | Ted Cruz 6% | Lindsey Graham 5%, Jeb Bush 5%, John Kasich 4%, Mike Huckabee 3%, Carly Fiorina 3%, Marco Rubio 3%, Scott Walker 3%, Chris Christie 2%, Bobby Jindal 1%, Rick Santorum 1%, Rand Paul 1%, Rick Perry 0%, George Pataki 0%, Jim Gilmore 0%, No preference 5% |
| Public Policy Polling[100] Margin of error: ± 3.6% Sample size: 764 | September 3–6, 2015 | Donald Trump 37% | Ben Carson 21% | Ted Cruz 6% | Jeb Bush 6%, Carly Fiorina 4%, John Kasich 4%, Marco Rubio 4%, Lindsey Graham 3%, Mike Huckabee 3%, Scott Walker 3%, Rand Paul 3%, Rick Santorum 2%, Rick Perry 1%, Chris Christie 1%, Bobby Jindal 1%, George Pataki 0%, Jim Gilmore 0% |
| Monmouth University[101] Margin of error: ± 4.6% Sample size: 453 | August 20–23, 2015 | Donald Trump 30% | Ben Carson 15% | Jeb Bush 9% | Carly Fiorina 6%, Marco Rubio 6%, Ted Cruz 5%, Lindsey Graham 4%, Scott Walker 4%, John Kasich 3%, Mike Huckabee 3%, Rand Paul 3%, Chris Christie 2%, Rick Santorum 1%, Rick Perry 0%, George Pataki 0%, Bobby Jindal 0%, Jim Gilmore 0%, Undecided 11% |
| Opinion Savvy/Insider Advantage[102] Margin of error: ± 4.3% Sample size: 509 | August 3, 2015 | Donald Trump 31.3% | Jeb Bush 13.9% | Ben Carson 9.9% | Mike Huckabee 8.5%, Lindsey Graham 6.5%, Scott Walker 5.8%, Ted Cruz 4.3%, Chris Christie 4.1%, John Kasich 3.1%, Marco Rubio 2.3%, Carly Fiorina 1.8%, Rand Paul 1.7%, Bobby Jindal 0.7%, Rick Perry 0.6%, Rick Santorum 0.1%, George Pataki 0%, Someone else 3.1%, Undecided 2.5% |
| Gravis Marketing[103] Margin of error: ± 4.0% Sample size: 609 | July 29–30, 2015 | Donald Trump 34% | Ben Carson 10.9% | Jeb Bush 10.5% | Scott Walker 10.3%, Marco Rubio 6%, Mike Huckabee 5.5%, Lindsey Graham 4.9%, Ted Cruz 3.4%, John Kasich 3.3%, Chris Christie 2.5%, Rick Perry 2.5%, Carly Fiorina 2.4%, Rick Santorum 1.3%, Rand Paul 1%, Bobby Jindal 0.9%, George Pataki 0.7% |
| Morning Consult[104] Margin of error: ± 5.0% Sample size: 389 | May 31 – June 8, 2015 | Lindsey Graham 14% | Ben Carson 12% | Jeb Bush 11% | Scott Walker 10%, Marco Rubio 8%, Mike Huckabee 7%, Ted Cruz 6%, Chris Christie 5%, Rand Paul 5%, Donald Trump 2%, Carly Fiorina 1%,Don't know/No Opinion/Refused 16%, Someone else 2% |
| Winthrop University[105] Margin of error: ± 3.2% Sample size: 956 | April 4–12, 2015 | Scott Walker 13.6% | Jeb Bush 12.7% | Ted Cruz 8.1% | Lindsey Graham 7.6%, Rand Paul 6.2%, Chris Christie 5%, Ben Carson 4.9%, Mike Huckabee 4.9%, Marco Rubio 4%, Rick Perry 1.9%, Donald Trump 1.9%, Bobby Jindal 0.9%, Rick Santorum 0.3%, John Bolton 0.2%, Other 1.4%,Undecided 25.1% |
| Gravis Marketing[106] Margin of error: ± 3% Sample size: 1,371 | March 26–27, 2015 | Scott Walker 17% | Jeb Bush 16% | Ted Cruz 13% | Lindsey Graham 9%, Mike Huckabee 7%, Chris Christie 6%, Marco Rubio 6%, Rand Paul 5%, Rick Santorum 2%, Carly Fiorina 2%,Undecided 18% |
| Gravis Marketing[107] Margin of error: ± 3% Sample size: 792 | February 24–25, 2015 | Jeb Bush 19% | Scott Walker 17% | Lindsey Graham 12% | Mike Huckabee 10%, Chris Christie 8%, Rand Paul 6%, Marco Rubio 6%, Ted Cruz 2%, Carly Fiorina 2%, Rick Santorum 2%, Undecided 16% |
| Public Policy Polling[108] Margin of error: ± 4.3% Sample size: 525 | February 12–15, 2015 | Jeb Bush 19% | Scott Walker 18% | Ben Carson 13% | Lindsey Graham 13%, Mike Huckabee 12%, Chris Christie 7%, Rand Paul 5%, Ted Cruz 3%, Rick Perry 3%, Other/Undecided 6% |
| NBC News/Marist[109] Margin of error: ± 4.6% Sample size: 450 | February 3–10, 2015 | Lindsey Graham 17% | Jeb Bush 15% | Scott Walker 12% | Ben Carson 10%, Mike Huckabee 10%, Rand Paul 7%, Chris Christie 6%, Rick Perry 4%, Marco Rubio 4%, Rick Santorum 3%, Ted Cruz 1%, Undecided 11% |
| Gravis Marketing[110] Margin of error: ± 3% Sample size: 831 | January 21–22, 2015 | Mitt Romney 20% | Jeb Bush 16% | Scott Walker 9% | Ted Cruz 8%, Mike Huckabee 8%, Rand Paul 7%, Marco Rubio 7%, Chris Christie 5%, Rick Perry 4%, Rick Santorum 4%, Undecided 12% |
| Jeb Bush 18% | Mike Huckabee 11% | Scott Walker 11% | Ted Cruz 9%, Marco Rubio 9%, Chris Christie 8%, Rand Paul 8%, Rick Perry 5%, Rick Santorum 4%, Undecided 17% | ||
| Clemson University[111] Margin of error: ± 6% Sample size: 400 | May 22–29, 2014 | Jeb Bush 22% | Chris Christie 10% | Ted Cruz 9% | Rand Paul 9%, Marco Rubio 6%, Bobby Jindal 3%,Undecided/Don't know 48% |
| Gravis Marketing[112] Margin of error: ± 4% Sample size: 735 | March 6–7, 2014 | Jeb Bush 22% | Mike Huckabee 19% | Chris Christie 12% | Ted Cruz 8%, Rand Paul 8%, Marco Rubio 6%, Scott Walker 5%, Rick Santorum 2%, Undecided 19% |
| Gravis Marketing[113] Margin of error: ± 4% Sample size: 601 | November 30 – December 2, 2013 | Chris Christie 16.6% | Jeb Bush 16% | Mike Huckabee 15.8% | Ted Cruz 11.1%, Rand Paul 9.7%, Marco Rubio 7.2%, Rick Santorum 2.8%, Scott Walker 2.3%,Undecided 18.5% |
| Harper Polling[114] Margin of error: ± 5.03% Sample size: 379 | October 27–28, 2013 | Chris Christie 19% | Ted Cruz 17% | Rand Paul 13% | Marco Rubio 12%, Paul Ryan 12%, Bobby Jindal 6%,Not sure 21% |
Primary date: February 20, 2016
District conventions: April 2016
State convention: May 7, 2016
National delegates: 50
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bound | Unbound | Total | |||
| Donald Trump | 240,882 | 32.51% | 50 | 0 | 50 |
| Marco Rubio | 166,565 | 22.48% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ted Cruz | 165,417 | 22.33% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jeb Bush | 58,056 | 7.84% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| John Kasich | 56,410 | 7.61% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ben Carson | 53,551 | 7.23% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Chris Christie(withdrawn) | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
| Carly Fiorina(withdrawn) | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
| Rand Paul(withdrawn) | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
| Mike Huckabee(withdrawn) | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
| Rick Santorum(withdrawn) | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
| Jim Gilmore(withdrawn) | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
| George Pataki(withdrawn) | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
| Lindsey Graham(withdrawn) | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
| Unprojected delegates: | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
| Total: | 740,881 | 100.00% | 50 | 0 | 50 |
| Source:The Green Papers | |||||
| County | Donald Trump | Marco Rubio | Ted Cruz | Jeb Bush | John Kasich | Ben Carson | All Other Candidates | Total | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
| Abbeville | 1,358 | 36.81% | 741 | 20.09% | 878 | 23.80% | 236 | 6.40% | 158 | 4.28% | 308 | 8.35% | 10 | 0.27% | 3,689 |
| Aiken | 9,163 | 31.39% | 6,895 | 23.62% | 7,142 | 24.47% | 1,238 | 4.24% | 1,957 | 6.70% | 2,644 | 9.06% | 151 | 0.52% | 29,190 |
| Allendale | 160 | 44.20% | 92 | 25.41% | 44 | 12.15% | 21 | 5.80% | 12 | 3.31% | 32 | 8.84% | 1 | 0.28% | 362 |
| Anderson | 10,983 | 31.85% | 7,198 | 20.87% | 8,778 | 25.46% | 2,412 | 6.99% | 2,047 | 5.94% | 2,969 | 8.61% | 96 | 0.28% | 34,483 |
| Bamberg | 481 | 39.92% | 333 | 27.63% | 193 | 16.02% | 58 | 4.81% | 57 | 4.73% | 78 | 6.47% | 5 | 0.41% | 1,205 |
| Barnwell | 1,107 | 42.58% | 575 | 22.12% | 516 | 19.85% | 129 | 4.96% | 91 | 3.50% | 171 | 6.58% | 11 | 0.42% | 2,600 |
| Beaufort | 9,960 | 29.94% | 9,165 | 27.55% | 4,419 | 13.28% | 2,198 | 6.61% | 6,263 | 18.83% | 1,100 | 3.31% | 164 | 0.49% | 33,269 |
| Berkeley | 9,410 | 33.86% | 6,178 | 22.23% | 6,252 | 22.49% | 2,664 | 9.59% | 1,555 | 5.59% | 1,642 | 5.91% | 92 | 0.33% | 27,793 |
| Calhoun | 805 | 35.03% | 421 | 18.32% | 564 | 24.54% | 250 | 10.88% | 110 | 4.79% | 139 | 6.05% | 9 | 0.39% | 2,298 |
| Charleston | 14,461 | 26.28% | 15,295 | 27.79% | 9,082 | 16.50% | 6,160 | 11.19% | 7,318 | 13.30% | 2,485 | 4.52% | 236 | 0.43% | 55,037 |
| Cherokee | 3,617 | 41.84% | 1,451 | 16.78% | 1,979 | 22.89% | 382 | 4.42% | 309 | 3.57% | 879 | 10.17% | 28 | 0.32% | 8,645 |
| Chester | 1,403 | 41.92% | 553 | 16.52% | 844 | 25.22% | 126 | 3.76% | 119 | 3.56% | 284 | 8.49% | 18 | 0.54% | 3,347 |
| Chesterfield | 1,824 | 40.06% | 698 | 15.33% | 1,436 | 31.54% | 181 | 3.98% | 145 | 3.18% | 249 | 5.47% | 20 | 0.44% | 4,553 |
| Clarendon | 1,622 | 37.26% | 797 | 18.31% | 1,049 | 24.10% | 359 | 8.25% | 245 | 5.63% | 268 | 6.16% | 13 | 0.30% | 4,353 |
| Colleton | 2,326 | 43.14% | 936 | 17.36% | 1,104 | 20.47% | 505 | 9.37% | 223 | 4.14% | 281 | 5.21% | 17 | 0.32% | 5,392 |
| Darlington | 3,352 | 37.60% | 1,387 | 15.56% | 2,594 | 29.09% | 693 | 7.77% | 328 | 3.68% | 525 | 5.89% | 37 | 0.41% | 8,916 |
| Dillon | 972 | 36.24% | 445 | 16.59% | 912 | 34.00% | 169 | 6.30% | 65 | 2.42% | 112 | 4.18% | 7 | 0.26% | 2,682 |
| Dorchester | 6,967 | 31.38% | 5,253 | 23.66% | 5,216 | 23.50% | 1,952 | 8.79% | 1,422 | 6.41% | 1,315 | 5.92% | 75 | 0.34% | 22,200 |
| Edgefield | 1,366 | 34.01% | 900 | 22.40% | 1,148 | 28.58% | 116 | 2.89% | 151 | 3.76% | 328 | 8.17% | 8 | 0.20% | 4,017 |
| Fairfield | 920 | 35.77% | 497 | 19.32% | 632 | 24.57% | 205 | 7.97% | 164 | 6.38% | 145 | 5.64% | 9 | 0.35% | 2,572 |
| Florence | 6,023 | 33.04% | 3,369 | 18.48% | 5,218 | 28.63% | 1,463 | 8.03% | 824 | 4.52% | 1,273 | 6.98% | 57 | 0.31% | 18,227 |
| Georgetown | 4,627 | 40.03% | 2,695 | 23.31% | 1,594 | 13.79% | 960 | 8.30% | 1,024 | 8.86% | 611 | 5.29% | 49 | 0.42% | 11,560 |
| Greenville | 25,044 | 26.69% | 23,037 | 24.56% | 23,026 | 24.54% | 6,568 | 7.00% | 7,719 | 8.23% | 8,080 | 8.61% | 343 | 0.37% | 93,817 |
| Greenwood | 3,047 | 28.61% | 2,556 | 24.00% | 2,425 | 22.77% | 873 | 8.20% | 700 | 6.57% | 993 | 9.32% | 56 | 0.53% | 10,650 |
| Hampton | 721 | 43.12% | 314 | 18.78% | 365 | 21.83% | 83 | 4.96% | 88 | 5.26% | 92 | 5.50% | 9 | 0.54% | 1,672 |
| Horry | 26,684 | 49.00% | 9,699 | 17.81% | 8,579 | 15.75% | 3,189 | 5.86% | 3,462 | 6.36% | 2,662 | 4.89% | 180 | 0.33% | 54,455 |
| Jasper | 1,169 | 38.99% | 695 | 23.18% | 568 | 18.95% | 119 | 3.97% | 275 | 9.17% | 157 | 5.24% | 15 | 0.50% | 2,998 |
| Kershaw | 3,681 | 34.25% | 1,906 | 17.74% | 2,779 | 25.86% | 1,152 | 10.72% | 581 | 5.41% | 617 | 5.74% | 31 | 0.29% | 10,747 |
| Lancaster | 4,207 | 33.71% | 2,766 | 22.16% | 2,698 | 21.62% | 563 | 4.51% | 1,048 | 8.40% | 1,136 | 9.10% | 63 | 0.50% | 12,481 |
| Laurens | 3,327 | 34.29% | 1,584 | 16.32% | 2,750 | 28.34% | 767 | 7.90% | 439 | 4.52% | 793 | 8.17% | 43 | 0.44% | 9,703 |
| Lee | 744 | 47.24% | 196 | 12.44% | 353 | 22.41% | 152 | 9.65% | 58 | 3.68% | 65 | 4.13% | 7 | 0.44% | 1,575 |
| Lexington | 16,392 | 29.89% | 11,440 | 20.86% | 13,190 | 24.05% | 5,307 | 9.68% | 3,451 | 6.29% | 4,854 | 8.85% | 208 | 0.38% | 54,842 |
| Marion | 1,212 | 42.51% | 436 | 15.29% | 741 | 25.99% | 215 | 7.54% | 100 | 3.51% | 141 | 4.95% | 6 | 0.21% | 2,851 |
| Marlboro | 741 | 42.10% | 254 | 14.43% | 410 | 23.30% | 164 | 9.32% | 57 | 3.24% | 128 | 7.27% | 6 | 0.34% | 1,760 |
| McCormick | 616 | 33.77% | 468 | 25.66% | 372 | 20.39% | 76 | 4.17% | 180 | 9.87% | 106 | 5.81% | 6 | 0.33% | 1,824 |
| Newberry | 2,046 | 34.26% | 1,156 | 19.36% | 1,267 | 21.22% | 621 | 10.40% | 343 | 5.74% | 523 | 8.76% | 16 | 0.27% | 5,972 |
| Oconee | 4,427 | 28.29% | 3,165 | 20.23% | 4,004 | 25.59% | 1,391 | 8.89% | 1,478 | 9.45% | 1,126 | 7.20% | 56 | 0.36% | 15,647 |
| Orangeburg | 2,553 | 37.90% | 1,311 | 19.46% | 1,310 | 19.45% | 781 | 11.59% | 354 | 5.26% | 405 | 6.01% | 22 | 0.33% | 6,736 |
| Pickens | 7,149 | 30.04% | 4,963 | 20.85% | 6,404 | 26.91% | 2,035 | 8.55% | 1,448 | 6.08% | 1,715 | 7.21% | 84 | 0.35% | 23,798 |
| Richland | 9,205 | 23.28% | 10,992 | 27.80% | 7,983 | 20.19% | 4,493 | 11.36% | 4,063 | 10.27% | 2,641 | 6.68% | 169 | 0.43% | 39,546 |
| Saluda | 1,248 | 36.31% | 553 | 16.09% | 797 | 23.19% | 382 | 11.11% | 156 | 4.54% | 295 | 8.58% | 6 | 0.17% | 3,437 |
| Spartanburg | 15,293 | 32.62% | 10,711 | 22.85% | 11,494 | 24.52% | 2,746 | 5.86% | 2,461 | 5.25% | 4,041 | 8.62% | 134 | 0.29% | 46,880 |
| Sumter | 3,764 | 33.57% | 2,236 | 19.94% | 2,477 | 22.09% | 1,353 | 12.07% | 532 | 4.74% | 818 | 7.29% | 34 | 0.30% | 11,214 |
| Union | 1,403 | 38.75% | 752 | 20.77% | 885 | 24.44% | 269 | 7.43% | 114 | 3.15% | 189 | 5.22% | 9 | 0.25% | 3,621 |
| Williamsburg | 1,187 | 43.10% | 521 | 18.92% | 575 | 20.88% | 230 | 8.35% | 76 | 2.76% | 152 | 5.52% | 13 | 0.47% | 2,754 |
| York | 12,115 | 31.63% | 8,141 | 21.26% | 9,210 | 24.05% | 2,050 | 5.35% | 2,640 | 6.89% | 3,984 | 10.40% | 157 | 0.41% | 38,297 |
| Totals | 240,882 | 32.39% | 166,565 | 22.40% | 165,417 | 22.24% | 58,056 | 7.81% | 56,410 | 7.59% | 53,551 | 7.20% | 2,786 | 0.37% | 743,667 |
| 2016 South Carolina Republican Primary by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)[116] | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Demographic subgroup | Cruz | Trump | Rubio | Kasich | Bush | % of total vote |
| Total vote | 22.3 | 33.5 | 22.5 | 7.6 | 7.8 | 93% |
| Gender | ||||||
| Men | 22 | 36 | 22 | 7 | 7 | 51% |
| Women | 22 | 29 | 23 | 9 | 9 | 49% |
| Race | ||||||
| White | 22 | 33 | 22 | 8 | 8 | 96% |
| Education and Race | ||||||
| White College Graduate | 19 | 25 | 27 | 11 | 9 | 52% |
| WhiteNon-college | 24 | 42 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 45% |
| Age | ||||||
| 17–44 years old | 26 | 26 | 25 | 8 | 4 | 27% |
| 45+ years old | 21 | 35 | 22 | 7 | 9 | 73% |
| Income | ||||||
| $30,000 - $49,999 | 27 | 33 | 20 | 7 | 8 | 17% |
| $50,000 - $99,999 | 26 | 34 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 37% |
| $100,000 - $199,999 | 17 | 28 | 28 | 12 | 7 | 26% |
| Issue regarded as most important | ||||||
| Immigration | 25 | 51 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 10% |
| Economy | 15 | 36 | 24 | 13 | 7 | 29% |
| Terrorism | 25 | 31 | 23 | 5 | 9 | 32% |
| Government spending | 25 | 25 | 25 | 8 | 9 | 26% |
| Area type | ||||||
| Urban | 18 | 23 | 31 | 12 | 10 | 23% |
| Suburban | 26 | 36 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 48% |
| Rural | 20 | 34 | 22 | 8 | 8 | 29% |
| Religion | ||||||
| Evangelical | 26 | 34 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 67% |
| Non-Evangelical | 17 | 38 | 22 | 16 | 9 | 33% |
| Veteran household | ||||||
| Yes | 21 | 35 | 23 | 7 | 8 | 17% |
| No | 24 | 31 | 21 | 9 | 8 | 83% |
Donald Trump won the South Carolina primary by ten points. He carried the crucialEvangelical vote with 33% to Cruz at 27% and Rubio at 22%.[117][118] Many pundits were perplexed by Trump's dominance amongculturally conservativeSouthern whites who were expected to view him asimmoral, but he benefitted from voters'racial, cultural, and economic angst that mattered more than sharedvalues.[119]
Marco Rubio, who enjoyed theendorsement ofGovernorNikki Haley,[120] came in second in the primary. Rubio won the twourban counties ofRichland andCharleston, both of which have a higher percentage ofcollege-educated voters.
.jpg)
.jpg)
.jpg)
.jpg)
_(cropped).jpg)
.jpg)