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2016 North Dakota gubernatorial election

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

For related races, see2016 United States gubernatorial elections.

2016 North Dakota gubernatorial election
← 2012November 8, 20162020 →
 
NomineeDoug BurgumMarvin Nelson
PartyRepublicanDemocratic–NPL
Running mateBrent SanfordJoan Heckaman
Popular vote259,86365,855
Percentage76.52%19.39%
County results
Precinct results
Burgum:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Nelson:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
Governor before election

Jack Dalrymple
Republican

Elected Governor

Doug Burgum
Republican

Elections in North Dakota
City elections
Mayoral elections
City elections
Mayoral elections

The2016 North Dakota gubernatorial election was held on November 8, 2016, to elect thegovernor andlieutenant governor of North Dakota, concurrently with the2016 U.S. presidential election, as well aselections to theUnited States Senate,elections to theUnited States House of Representatives, and variousstate and local elections. This would have been the first time North Dakotans selected a governor under new voter ID requirements, in which a student ID was insufficient identification to vote,[1] but a court ruling in August 2016 struck the down the provision; the election was held under the 2013 rules.[2]

The primaries took place on June 14. This is the first open seat election since2000. IncumbentRepublicanJack Dalrymple announced that he would not run for re-election to a second full term in office.[3] BusinessmanDoug Burgum (R) defeated state representativeMarvin Nelson (DNPL) in the general election to become the new governor of North Dakota.

Background

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In December 2010, Republican GovernorJohn Hoeven resigned after beingelected to the U.S. Senate. Jack Dalrymple, the lieutenant governor, was sworn in as governor and was elected to a full termin 2012. In August 2015, Dalrymple announced that he would not run for re-election to a second full term in office.[3]

Republican primary

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The North Dakota Republican Party endorsedNorth Dakota Attorney GeneralWayne Stenehjem at their April 2–3 state convention. However, ballot access was actually determined by the June 14 primary election, which former Microsoft executiveDoug Burgum won in anupset.[4]

Candidates

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Endorsed

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Other candidates

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Withdrawn

[edit]

Declined

[edit]

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Rick
Becker		Doug
Burgum		Wayne
Stenehjem		Undecided
ND United/DFM Research[15]February 18–25, 2016369[a]±5.1%—10%59%31%
  1. ^likely Republican primary voters

Republican State Convention

[edit]

To endorse a candidate, delegates to the Republican state convention voted for one candidate in a series of rounds. After the first round, all candidates would remain on the ballot, but after subsequent rounds of voting, the recipient of the lowest number of votes would be removed. The first candidate to receive more than half the cast vote would receive the state party endorsement.

After no candidate received the majority in the first round, a second round of voting was completed, in which enough delegates voted for Attorney General Wayne Stenehjem to give him the endorsement without having to remove a candidate from the ballot or vote again.[16]

First convention ballot
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanWayne Stenehjem76947.97%
RepublicanRick Becker58736.61%
RepublicanDoug Burgum24715.40%
Total votes1,603100.00%
Second convention ballot
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanWayne Stenehjem82351.50%
RepublicanRick Becker61838.67%
RepublicanDoug Burgum1579.82%
Total votes1,598100.00%

Republican primary results

[edit]
Results by county:
  Burgum—70–80%
  Burgum—60–70%
  Burgum—50–60%
  Burgum—40–50%
  Burgum/Stenehjem tie—40–50%
  Stenehjem—50–60%
Republican primary results[17]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanDoug Burgum68,04259.47%
RepublicanWayne Stenehjem44,15838.59%
RepublicanPaul Sorum2,1641.89%
RepublicanWrite-in510.04%
Total votes114,415100.00%

Democratic primary

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Candidates

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Endorsed

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Declined

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Results

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Democratic-NPL primary results[17]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic–NPLMarvin Nelson17,27899.66%
Democratic–NPLWrite-in590.34%
Total votes17,337100.00%

Libertarian Party

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Candidates

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Endorsed

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  • Marty Riske, businessman and former state party chairman[27]
    • Running mate: Joshua Voytek[8]

Results

[edit]
Libertarian primary results[17]
PartyCandidateVotes%
LibertarianMarty Riske1,08899.36%
LibertarianWrite-in70.64%
Total votes1,095100.00%

General election

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Debates

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Predictions

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SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[28]Safe RAugust 12, 2016
Daily Kos[29]Safe RNovember 8, 2016
Rothenberg Political Report[30]Safe RNovember 3, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball[31]Safe RNovember 7, 2016
Real Clear Politics[32]Safe RNovember 1, 2016
Governing[33]Safe ROctober 27, 2016

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Doug
Burgum (R)		Marvin
Nelson (D)		Undecided
SurveyMonkey[34]November 1–7, 2016313± 4.6%70%27%3%
SurveyMonkey[35]October 31–November 6, 2016288± 4.6%68%29%3%
SurveyMonkey[36]October 28–November 3, 2016276± 4.6%70%27%3%
SurveyMonkey[37]October 27–November 2, 2016260± 4.6%69%28%3%
SurveyMonkey[38]October 26–November 1, 2016254± 4.6%67%30%3%
SurveyMonkey[39]October 25–31, 2016279± 4.6%68%29%3%

Results

[edit]
North Dakota gubernatorial election, 2016[40]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
RepublicanDoug Burgum259,86376.52%+13.42%
Democratic–NPLMarvin Nelson65,85519.39%−14.92%
LibertarianMarty Riske13,2303.90%N/A
Write-in6530.19%N/A
Total votes339,601100.0%N/A
Republicanhold

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

[edit]

See also

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References

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  1. ^Watts, Adam; Lyden, Grace (March 9, 2016)."ID law may complicate voting for North Dakota students".Forum of Fargo-Moorhead. RetrievedMarch 9, 2016.
  2. ^Childress, Sarah (August 2, 2016)."North Dakota's Voter ID Law Is Latest to Be Overturned".Frontline.WGBH-TV. RetrievedSeptember 22, 2016.
  3. ^abc"Dalrymple won't run for re-election".KFGO. August 24, 2015. Archived fromthe original on August 25, 2015. RetrievedAugust 24, 2015.
  4. ^abSpringer, Patrick (January 14, 2016)."Doug Burgum announces bid for North Dakota governor".Grand Forks Herald. Archived fromthe original on March 4, 2016. RetrievedJanuary 14, 2016.
  5. ^"Stenehjem to announce for governor next week".The Forum of Fargo-Moorhead. November 17, 2015. RetrievedNovember 19, 2015.
  6. ^"After two ballots, Stenehjem wins GOP nomination for ND governor's race".The Dickinson Press.Forum Communications. Forum News Service. April 2, 2016. Archived fromthe original on April 17, 2016. RetrievedApril 5, 2016.
  7. ^Nelson, TJ (April 3, 2016)."Stenehjem Announces Running Mate in ND Governor Race".KVRR.com. Red River Broadcast Co. RetrievedApril 10, 2016.
  8. ^abNowatzki, Mike (April 8, 2016)."After criticizing Burgum, Sanford agrees to be his running mate".Jamestown Sun.Forum Communications. Forum News Service. RetrievedApril 10, 2016.
  9. ^"State lawmaker from Bismarck running for governor".Grand Forks Herald. September 23, 2015. Archived fromthe original on September 27, 2015. RetrievedSeptember 26, 2015.
  10. ^Hageman, John (November 16, 2015)."Campbell announces he won't run for North Dakota governor".The Forum of Fargo-Moorhead. RetrievedSeptember 19, 2015.
  11. ^Musland, Cally (August 25, 2015)."Congressman Kevin Cramer: "Timing isn't right for me to run for Governor"".KFGO. Archived fromthe original on September 30, 2015. RetrievedSeptember 29, 2015.
  12. ^"Former Secretaries".usda.gov. United States Department of Agriculture. RetrievedMarch 19, 2019.
  13. ^Nowatzki, Mike (November 18, 2015)."ND treasurer Schmidt to seek fourth term, won't run for governor".The Forum of Fargo-Moorhead. RetrievedNovember 19, 2015.
  14. ^Nowatzki, Mike (September 28, 2015)."North Dakota Lt. Gov. Wrigley won't run for governor".The Forum of Fargo-Moorhead. RetrievedSeptember 29, 2015.
  15. ^Nowatzki, Mike (March 1, 2016)."Poll finds Burgum trailing Stenehjem by large margin".Forum of Fargo-Moorhead. Forum News Service. RetrievedMarch 3, 2016.
  16. ^"news".INFORUM.
  17. ^abc"North Dakota Secretary of State". ND Secretary of State. RetrievedSeptember 22, 2016.
  18. ^Nowatzki, Mike (April 4, 2016)."Four races still unfilled".Jamestown Sun.Forum Communications. RetrievedApril 5, 2016.
  19. ^Grossfeld, Max (March 23, 2016)."ND Gov. Candidate Nelson Chooses New Rockford Sen. Heckaman as Running Mate".KFYR-TV.Associated Press. Archived fromthe original on April 3, 2016. RetrievedApril 10, 2016.
  20. ^Nowatzki, Mike (September 9, 2015)."Heitkamp says she won't run for governor in 2016".The Forum of Fargo-Moorhead. RetrievedSeptember 9, 2015.
  21. ^abHaney, Don (January 29, 2016)."North Dakota democrat party leader says plenty of potential canidates [sic] for governor".KFGO. Archived fromthe original on March 4, 2016. RetrievedFebruary 26, 2016.
  22. ^abMonk, Jim (March 3, 2016)."Sinner rules out gov. race; may not run for re-election to senate".KFGO. Archived fromthe original on March 5, 2016. RetrievedMarch 4, 2016.
  23. ^Jacobson, Louis (January 23, 2015)."Democrats Have More Seats to Defend in 2015-2016 Governors Races".Governing. RetrievedMarch 24, 2015.
  24. ^Nowatzki, Mike (August 25, 2015)."Heitkamp: Decision on ND governor's race coming 'sooner rather than later'".The Forum of Fargo-Moorhead. RetrievedSeptember 9, 2015.
  25. ^Nowatzki, Mike (November 3, 2015)."Former ND ag commissioner exploring run for governor".The Forum of Fargo-Moorhead. Archived fromthe original on November 25, 2015. RetrievedNovember 19, 2015.
  26. ^"Vogel bows out of North Dakota governor's race".The Forum of Fargo-Moorhead. January 28, 2016. RetrievedJanuary 29, 2016.
  27. ^"Fargo businessman to run for governor as Libertarian".The Forum of Fargo-Moorhead.Forum Communications. Forum News Service. April 5, 2016. RetrievedApril 5, 2016.
  28. ^"2016 Governor Race ratings".The Cook Political Report. RetrievedOctober 15, 2018.
  29. ^"Elections 2015-16".Daily Kos. RetrievedOctober 15, 2018.[permanent dead link]
  30. ^"Gubernatorial Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. RetrievedOctober 15, 2018.
  31. ^"Our Final 2016 picks".Sabato's Crystal Ball. Archived fromthe original on October 15, 2018. RetrievedOctober 15, 2018.
  32. ^"2016 Election Maps - 2016 Governor Races". Real Clear Politics. RetrievedOctober 15, 2018.
  33. ^"2016 Governors Races Ratings & News". Governing Magazine. Archived fromthe original on October 27, 2016. RetrievedOctober 28, 2016.
  34. ^SurveyMonkey
  35. ^SurveyMonkey
  36. ^SurveyMonkey
  37. ^SurveyMonkey
  38. ^SurveyMonkey
  39. ^SurveyMonkey
  40. ^"Official Results General Election".North Dakota Voting Information & Central Election Systems.North Dakota Secretary of State. November 8, 2016. RetrievedJanuary 2, 2017.

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