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 Results by county Clinton: 40-50% 50-60% 60-70% Sanders: 40-50% 50-60% 60-70% Tie: 40-50% | |||||||||||||||||||
The2016 Missouri Democratic presidential primary took place on March 15 in the U.S. state ofMissouri as one of theDemocratic Party's primaries ahead of the2016 United States presidential election.
On the same day, theDemocratic Party held primaries inFlorida,Illinois,North Carolina andOhio, while theRepublican Party held primaries in the same five states, including their ownMissouri primary, plus the Northern Mariana Islands.
| Poll source | Date | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Official Primary results[2] | March 15, 2016 | Hillary Clinton 49.6% | Bernie Sanders 49.4% | Others / Uncommitted 1.0% | |
| Public Policy Polling[3] Margin of error: ± 3.4% | March 11–12, 2016 | Bernie Sanders 47% | Hillary Clinton 46% | Others / Undecided 7% | |
| RABA Research[4] Margin of error: ± 4% | March 8–10, 2016 | Hillary Clinton 44% | Bernie Sanders 40% | Others / Undecided 16% | |
| Fort Hayes State University[5] Margin of error: ± 8% | March 3–10, 2016 | Hillary Clinton 47% | Bernie Sanders 40% | Others / Undecided 13% | |
| Public Policy Polling[6] Margin of error: 5.2% | August 7–9, 2015 | Hillary Clinton 53% | Bernie Sanders 25% | Martin O'Malley 5% | Jim Webb 5%, Lincoln Chafee 1%, Not sure 12% |
Clinton went into election night in Missouri down to Senator Sanders in the polls. Throughout the evening Sanders maintained a lead over Clinton. HoweverSt. Louis County andJackson County, home of a large section ofKansas City, came in late and it was just enough to push Clinton over the finish line. Senator Sanders refused to request a recount citing concerns over wasting taxpayer dollars.[7]
| Missouri Democratic primary, March 15, 2016 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Popular vote | Estimated delegates | |||
| Count | Percentage | Pledged | Unpledged | Total | |
| Hillary Clinton | 312,285 | 49.61% | 36 | 11 | 47 |
| Bernie Sanders | 310,711 | 49.36% | 35 | 2 | 37 |
| Henry Hewes | 650 | 0.10% | |||
| Martin O'Malley(withdrawn) | 442 | 0.07% | |||
| Jon Adams | 433 | 0.07% | |||
| Rocky De La Fuente | 345 | 0.05% | |||
| Willie Wilson | 307 | 0.05% | |||
| Keith Russell Judd | 288 | 0.05% | |||
| John Wolfe Jr. | 247 | 0.04% | |||
| Uncommitted | 3,717 | 0.59% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Total | 629,425 | 100% | 71 | 13 | 84 |
| Source:[8][9] | |||||
| State of Missouri Democratic primary, March 15, 2016 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| District | Delegates | Votes Clinton | Votes Sanders | Votes Qualified | Clinton delegates | Sanders delegates | |
| 1 | 10 | 85656 | 59567 | 145223 | 6 | 4 | |
| 2 | 6 | 46785 | 49661 | 96446 | 3 | 3 | |
| 3 | 5 | 28983 | 35664 | 64647 | 2 | 3 | |
| 4 | 5 | 26178 | 33428 | 59606 | 2 | 3 | |
| 5 | 7 | 51696 | 45974 | 97670 | 4 | 3 | |
| 6 | 5 | 28786 | 32129 | 60915 | 2 | 3 | |
| 7 | 4 | 21574 | 31389 | 52963 | 2 | 2 | |
| 8 | 5 | 20944 | 21259 | 42203 | 2 | 3 | |
| Total | 47 | 310,602 | 309,071 | 619,673 | 23 | 24 | |
| PLEO | 9 | 310,602 | 309,071 | 619,673 | 5 | 4 | |
| At Large | 15 | 310,602 | 309,071 | 619,673 | 8 | 7 | |
| Gr. Total | 71 | 310,602 | 309,071 | 619,673 | 36 | 35 | |
| Total vote | 626,075 | 49.61% | 49.37% | ||||
| Source:Missouri Secretary of State Jason Kander statewide results andMissouri Secretary of State Jason Kander District results | |||||||
| County[10] | Clinton | % | Sanders | % | Others | % | Totals | TEV | TO% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adair | 799 | 40.7% | 1,153 | 58.8% | 15,231 | ||||
| Andrew | 498 | 39.9% | 728 | 58.4% | 12,188 | ||||
| Atchison | 141 | 44.5% | 173 | 54.6% | 3,815 | ||||
| Audrain | 749 | 49.6% | 728 | 48.2% | |||||
| Barry | 796 | 47.0% | 874 | 51.6% | |||||
| Barton | 205 | 48.1% | 214 | 50.2% | |||||
| Bates | 518 | 43.5% | 632 | 53.1% | |||||
| Benton | 669 | 53.3% | 567 | 45.2% | |||||
| Bollinger | 242 | 53.8% | 203 | 45.1% | |||||
| Boone | 9,628 | 38.7% | 15,076 | 60.6% | |||||
| Buchanan | 3,443 | 44.5% | 4,148 | 53.7% | |||||
| Butler | 889 | 52.7% | 766 | 45.4% | |||||
| Caldwell | 244 | 43.2% | 314 | 55.6% | |||||
| Callaway | 1,378 | 44.5% | 1,678 | 54.2% | |||||
| Camden | 1,388 | 48.9% | 1,419 | 49.9% | |||||
| Cape Girardeau | 2,076 | 46.6% | 2,335 | 52.4% | |||||
| Carroll | 233 | 43.2% | 255 | 50.7% | |||||
| Carter | 138 | 48.6% | 142 | 50.0% | |||||
| Cass | 3,765 | 46.8% | 4,185 | 52.1% | |||||
| Cedar | 332 | 47.0% | 361 | 51.1% | |||||
| Chariton | 321 | 52.1% | 274 | 44.5% | |||||
| Christian | 2,146 | 40.8% | 3,073 | 58.4% | |||||
| Clark | 202 | 51.4% | 178 | 45.3% | |||||
| Clay | 10,630 | 45.5% | 12,542 | 53.7% | |||||
| Clinton | 765 | 46.2% | 852 | 51.4% | |||||
| Cole | 2,798 | 45.3% | 3,303 | 53.5% | |||||
| Cooper | 516 | 50.1% | 501 | 48.6% | |||||
| Crawford | 522 | 41.2% | 712 | 56.2% | |||||
| Dade | 201 | 48.1% | 213 | 51.0% | |||||
| Dallas | 397 | 42.9% | 515 | 55.7% | |||||
| Daviess | 239 | 51.0% | 221 | 47.1% | |||||
| DeKalb | 221 | 39.0% | 328 | 57.8% | |||||
| Dent | 327 | 40.5% | 449 | 55.6% | |||||
| Douglas | 268 | 40.5% | 384 | 58.1% | |||||
| Dunklin | 724 | 60.9% | 448 | 37.7% | |||||
| Franklin | 3,701 | 42.9% | 4,784 | 55.4% | |||||
| Gasconade | 401 | 43.8% | 507 | 55.3% | |||||
| Gentry | 171 | 48.0% | 176 | 49.4% | |||||
| Greene | 10,910 | 38.3% | 17,403 | 61.1% | |||||
| Grundy | 219 | 44.6% | 262 | 53.4% | |||||
| Harrison | 158 | 48.5% | 163 | 50.0% | |||||
| Henry | 780 | 51.7% | 696 | 46.1% | |||||
| Hickory | 73 | 53.7% | 60 | 44.1% | |||||
| Holt | 128 | 52.2% | 110 | 44.9% | |||||
| Howard | 413 | 48.8% | 408 | 48.2% | |||||
| Howell | 833 | 40.2% | 1,209 | 58.4% | |||||
| Iron | 349 | 43.8% | 426 | 53.5% | |||||
| Jackson | 48,860 | 52.9% | 42,823 | 46.4% | |||||
| Jasper | 2,289 | 37.1% | 3,826 | 62.0% | |||||
| Jefferson | 9,637 | 44.2% | 11,830 | 54.3% | |||||
| Johnson | 1,473 | 42.5% | 1,944 | 56.2% | |||||
| Knox | 134 | 56.8% | 94 | 39.8% | |||||
| Laclede | 737 | 43.6% | 927 | 54.8% | |||||
| Lafayette | 1,173 | 46.2% | 1,324 | 52.2% | |||||
| Lawrence | 872 | 45.3% | 1,028 | 53.5% | |||||
| Lewis | 239 | 48.3% | 239 | 48.3% | |||||
| Lincoln | 1,561 | 43.1% | 1,976 | 54.6% | |||||
| Linn | 436 | 50.5% | 409 | 47.3% | |||||
| Livingston | 397 | 48.5% | 398 | 48.6% | |||||
| Macon | 421 | 43.7% | 505 | 52.4% | |||||
| Madison | 346 | 49.4% | 334 | 47.6% | |||||
| Maries | 305 | 50.2% | 291 | 47.9% | |||||
| Marion | 925 | 54.7% | 707 | 41.8% | |||||
| McDonald | 364 | 47.6% | 385 | 50.3% | |||||
| Mercer | 69 | 51.9% | 63 | 47.4% | |||||
| Miller | 432 | 46.5% | 480 | 51.7% | |||||
| Mississippi | 486 | 67.2% | 209 | 28.9% | |||||
| Moniteau | 340 | 44.6% | 409 | 53.7% | |||||
| Monroe | 252 | 50.9% | 226 | 45.7% | |||||
| Montgomery | 330 | 49.4% | 324 | 48.5% | |||||
| Morgan | 554 | 51.5% | 506 | 47.1% | |||||
| New Madrid | 691 | 64.2% | 360 | 33.5% | |||||
| Newton | 1,240 | 43.9% | 1,553 | 55.0% | |||||
| Nodaway | 616 | 41.6% | 831 | 56.1% | |||||
| Oregon | 319 | 53.0% | 271 | 45.0% | |||||
| Osage | 314 | 47.7% | 326 | 49.5% | |||||
| Ozark | 217 | 42.1% | 293 | 56.8% | |||||
| Pemiscot | 602 | 69.4% | 250 | 28.8% | |||||
| Perry | 436 | 49.3% | 437 | 49.4% | |||||
| Pettis | 1,265 | 44.8% | 1,509 | 53.5% | |||||
| Phelps | 1,137 | 38.4% | 1,744 | 58.9% | |||||
| Pike | 661 | 57.0% | 475 | 41.0% | |||||
| Platte | 4,645 | 47.1% | 5,142 | 52.1% | |||||
| Polk | 744 | 46.1% | 851 | 52.7% | |||||
| Pulaski | 860 | 44.6% | 1,020 | 52.8% | |||||
| Putnam | 102 | 46.8% | 108 | 49.5% | |||||
| Ralls | 415 | 54.5% | 311 | 40.9% | |||||
| Randolph | 647 | 44.9% | 750 | 52.0% | |||||
| Ray | 945 | 48.2% | 968 | 49.5% | |||||
| Reynolds | 230 | 47.1% | 228 | 46.7% | |||||
| Ripley | 259 | 49.1% | 250 | 47.3% | |||||
| Saline | 910 | 51.4% | 805 | 45.5% | |||||
| Schuyler | 124 | 49.2% | 119 | 47.2% | |||||
| Scotland | 108 | 44.1% | 134 | 54.7% | |||||
| Scott | 1,067 | 55.0% | 834 | 43.0% | |||||
| Shannon | 317 | 50.6% | 291 | 46.5% | |||||
| Shelby | 240 | 51.1% | 200 | 42.6% | |||||
| St. Charles | 17,805 | 44.8% | 21,593 | 54.3% | |||||
| St. Clair | 340 | 49.9% | 320 | 47.0% | |||||
| St. Francois | 1,939 | 45.3% | 2,267 | 53.0% | |||||
| St. Louis (City) | 34,458 | 55.0% | 27,748 | 44.3% | |||||
| St. Louis (County) | 89,373 | 55.3% | 71,134 | 44.0% | |||||
| Ste. Genevieve | 842 | 50.3% | 798 | 47.6% | |||||
| Stoddard | 674 | 56.6% | 489 | 41.1% | |||||
| Stone | 806 | 46.9% | 885 | 51.5% | |||||
| Sullivan | 177 | 59.8% | 112 | 37.8% | |||||
| Taney | 1,199 | 46.2% | 1,373 | 52.9% | |||||
| Texas | 603 | 46.3% | 666 | 51.2% | |||||
| Vernon | 490 | 47.8% | 518 | 50.5% | |||||
| Warren | 986 | 44.0% | 1,222 | 54.5% | |||||
| Washington | 754 | 51.4% | 664 | 45.3% | |||||
| Wayne | 393 | 57.8% | 264 | 38.8% | |||||
| Webster | 940 | 44.0% | 1,170 | 54.8% | |||||
| Worth | 59 | 41.5% | 76 | 53.5% | |||||
| Wright | 402 | 50.5% | 385 | 48.4% | |||||
| Total | 310,602 | 49.6% | 309,071 | 49.4% | 6,429 |
Hillary Clinton, having narrowly lost the Missouri primary toBarack Obamaeight years prior, managed a slim 0.2-percentage-point-victory over an increasingly popular insurgent Bernie Sanders in 2016. With Sanders winningmen 56-44, votersunder the age of 45 67-32, andwhite voters 54-45, Clinton won amongwomen 54-44,older voters 62-37, andAfrican American voters 67-32.
Sanders won among voters who made less than $50k and $100k per year, with Clinton winning moreaffluent voters. And while Sanders won 67-33 among self-identifiedIndependents who made up 24% of the electorate, Clinton won 55-44 among the 74% of voters who identified asDemocrats. While Sanders won amongliberals 53-46, Clinton won moderates andconservatives 55-44. Sanders was able to win 54-45 amongunion households, a key voting bloc in the industrialMidwest, and he won 53-46 among those who believetrade with other countries takes awayU.S. jobs;trade deals championed byBill and Hillary Clinton have not always gone over well in the industrialRust Belt. In terms of each voters' family financial situation, voters who were "getting ahead" or "holding steady" opted for Clinton, while those who felt they were "falling behind" overwhelmingly favored Sanders.[11]
Clinton won a large victory inSt. Louis City andSt. Louis County (she won 55-44 according to exit polls, likely thanks to her ardent African American support), and she also managed a 51-48 victory inKansas City on the western side of the state. Sanders, meanwhile, won victories inColumbia andSpringfield, keeping the race close statewide, and won in the largelywhite,rural and moreconservative counties, including areas of Northwestern Missouri borderingKansas andNebraska, and Southwestern Missouri borderingOklahoma. All three neighboring states areGreat Plains states that Sanders won earlier in March.
