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2016 Indiana gubernatorial election

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

For related races, see2016 United States gubernatorial elections.

2016 Indiana gubernatorial election

← 2012November 8, 20162020 →
 
NomineeEric HolcombJohn R. Gregg
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Running mateSuzanne CrouchChristina Hale
Popular vote1,397,3961,235,503
Percentage51.38%45.42%

County results
Congressional district results
Precinct results
Holcomb:     30–40%     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Gregg:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Tie:     40–50%     50%     No data

Governor before election

Mike Pence
Republican

ElectedGovernor

Eric Holcomb
Republican

Elections in Indiana
Presidential elections
Presidential primaries
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1996
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2008
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Republican
2008
2012
2016
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U.S. House of Representatives elections
This article is part of
a series about
Mike Pence

Vice President of the United States


U.S. Representative
for Indiana's 2nd and 6th districts


Vice presidential campaigns

The2016 Indiana gubernatorial election was held on November 8, 2016, to elect thegovernor andlieutenant governor of Indiana, concurrently with the2016 U.S. presidential election as well aselections to theUnited States Senate andelections to theUnited States House of Representatives and variousstate andlocal elections. The primaries were held on May 3, 2016. Republican lieutenant governor Eric Holcomb won the race with 51.4% of the vote.

IncumbentRepublican GovernorMike Pence was running for reelection to a second term in office until July 15, 2016, when then-Republican presidential nomineeDonald Trump selected Pence as his vice presidential running mate.[1] As Pence was barred by Indiana law from simultaneously running for both offices, he subsequently withdrew from the gubernatorial election.[2] Pence went on to be electedVice President of the United States. He was replaced on the ballot for governor by his formerrunning mate, incumbent lieutenant governorEric Holcomb, who was selected by theIndiana Republican State Committee as the nominee on July 26, 2016.[3] Holcomb later selectedState AuditorSuzanne Crouch on August 1, 2016, to be his running mate as the nomination for lieutenant governor was made vacant by the decision of Holcomb to seek the gubernatorial nomination; she was confirmed at a subsequent meeting of the Indiana Republican State Committee later that day.[3][4]

John Gregg, the formerSpeaker of the Indiana House of Representatives, was the Democratic nominee. Gregg previously ran for Governorin 2012, but was defeated by Pence.

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Declared

[edit]

Declined

[edit]

Results

[edit]
Republican primary results[9]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanMike Pence (incumbent)815,699100.00%
Total votes815,699100.00%

Republican State Committee selection

[edit]

On July 15, 2016, Donald Trump announced that Pence would be his running mate asvice president in the2016 presidential election. Under Indiana law, Pence was unable to run for both governor and vice president simultaneously; he therefore withdrew from the gubernatorial election, creating a vacancy on the Republican ticket. On July 26, the chairman of theIndiana Republican Party, Jeff Cardwell, announced thatEric Holcomb had been nominated by the Indiana Republican State Committee to replace Pence on the ballot for governor. The vote totals were not released. Holcomb later selectedSuzanne Crouch on August 1, 2016, to be his running mate as the nomination for lieutenant governor was made vacant by the decision of Holcomb to seek the gubernatorial nomination; she was then confirmed by the Committee at a meeting later that day.[3][4]

Candidates

[edit]

Declared

[edit]

Declined

[edit]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Declared

[edit]

Withdrawn

[edit]

Declined

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
John Gregg

Politicians

Organizations

Results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[9]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticJohn R. Gregg547,375100.00
Total votes547,375100.00

Libertarian Party convention

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Declared

[edit]
  • Rex Bell, businessman[29]
  • Jim Wallace[29]

Nominated

[edit]
  • Rex Bell, businessman[29]
    • Running mate: Karl Tatgenhorst

General election

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Debates

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[30]TossupAugust 12, 2016
Daily Kos[31]TossupOctober 14, 2016
Rothenberg Political Report[32]Tilt RNovember 3, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball[33]Lean D(flip)November 7, 2016
Real Clear Politics[34]TossupNovember 1, 2016
Governing[35]TossupOctober 27, 2016

Polling

[edit]

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Eric
Holcomb (R)
John
Gregg (D)
Other/Undecided
[a]
Margin
Real Clear Politics[36]October 27 – November 3, 2016November 3, 201640.7%44.0%15.3%Gregg +3.3%

Graphical summary

This graph was using thelegacy Graph extension, which is no longer supported. It needs to be converted to thenew Chart extension.
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Eric
Holcomb (R)
John
Gregg (D)
Rex
Bell (L)
Undecided
SurveyMonkey[37]November 1–7, 20161,700± 4.6%47%49%4%
SurveyMonkey[38]October 31 – November 6, 20161,383± 4.6%46%49%5%
WTHR/Howey[39]November 1–3, 2016600± 4.0%42%42%5%11%
SurveyMonkey[40]October 28 – November 3, 2016923± 4.6%47%47%6%
SurveyMonkey[41]October 27 – November 2, 2016790± 4.6%48%47%5%
Gravis Marketing[42]October 30 – November 1, 2016399± 4.9%38%42%4%16%
SurveyMonkey[43]October 26 – November 1, 2016638± 4.6%49%47%4%
SurveyMonkey[44]October 25–31, 2016674± 4.6%47%48%5%
Monmouth University[45]October 27–30, 2016402± 4.9%42%48%4%5%
Gravis Marketing[46]October 22–24, 2016596± 2.3%38%42%4%16%
Ball State University (PSRAI)[47]October 10–16, 2016544± 4.8%43%48%
Monmouth University[48]October 11–13, 2016402± 4.9%38%50%4%7%
BK Strategies (R-Holcomb)[49]October 11–13, 2016800± 3.5%42%42%3%13%
WTHR/Howey[50]October 3–5, 2016600± 4.0%39%41%5%15%
WTHR/Howey[51]September 6–8, 2016600± 4.0%35%40%6%19%
Monmouth University[52]August 13–16, 2016403± 4.9%42%41%4%13%
Expedition Strategies (D-Gregg)[53]August 1–3, 2016600± 4.0%39%46%6%9%
The Tarrance Group[54]July 20–21, 2016503± 4.4%34%42%24%
Hypothetical polling

with Mike Pence

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Mike
Pence (R)
John
Gregg (D)
OtherUndecided
Bellwether Research[55]May 11–15, 2016600± 4.0%40%36%24%
WTHR/Howey[56]April 18–21, 2016500± 4.3%49%45%1%5%
Bellwether Research[57]May 29–June 3, 2015800± 3.5%40%41%19%
Bellwether Research[58]April 12–14, 2015607± 4.0%43%37%21%
GQR Research[59]April 7–9, 2015500± 4.4%47%47%6%

with Susan Brooks

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Susan
Brooks (R)
John
Gregg (D)
OtherUndecided
The Tarrance Group[54]July 20–21, 2016503± 4.4%36%41%23%

with Todd Rokita

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Todd
Rokita (R)
John
Gregg (D)
OtherUndecided
The Tarrance Group[54]July 20–21, 2016503± 4.4%36%41%23%
Public Opinion Strategies[60]July 16–18, 2016600± 4.0%45%43%12%

with Baron Hill

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Mike
Pence (R)
Baron
Hill (D)
Undecided
Bellwether Research[61]April 12–14, 2015607± 4%43%36%21%

with Glenda Ritz

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Mike
Pence (R)
Glenda
Ritz (D)
OtherUndecided
Bellwether Research[57]May 29–June 3, 2015800± 3.5%42%42%16%
Bellwether Research[62]April 12–14, 2015607± 4%42%39%18%

Results

[edit]

Holcomb won with 51.4% of the votes, with Gregg taking 45.4%, and Libertarian Rex Bell finishing with 3.2%.[63]

2016 Indiana gubernatorial election[64]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
RepublicanEric Holcomb/Suzanne Crouch1,397,39651.38%+1.89%
DemocraticJohn R. Gregg/Christina Hale1,235,50345.42%−1.14%
LibertarianRex Bell87,0253.20%−0.75%
Write-in440.00%0.00%
Total votes2,719,968100.00%N/A
Republicanhold

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

[edit]

By congressional district

[edit]

Holcomb won seven of nine congressional districts.[65]

DistrictHolcombGreggRepresentative
1st36%62%Pete Visclosky
2nd53%43%Jackie Walorski
3rd60%37%Marlin Stutzman
4th58%39%Todd Rokita
5th52%45%Susan Brooks
6th59%36%Luke Messer
7th34%63%André Carson
8th52%45%Larry Bucshon
9th56%41%Todd Young

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.

References

[edit]
  1. ^ab"Donald Trump selects Mike Pence as VP". RetrievedJuly 15, 2016.
  2. ^"Mike Pence officially withdraws from Indiana governor's race". WDRB.com. July 15, 2016. Archived fromthe original on November 10, 2018. RetrievedJuly 15, 2016.
  3. ^abcEason, Brian; Tony, Cook; Briggs, James (July 26, 2016)."Indiana GOP panel nominates Eric Holcomb for governor".The Indianapolis Star. RetrievedJuly 26, 2016.
  4. ^abc"Holcomb introduces Crouch as his running mate in governor's race".Fox 59. August 1, 2016. RetrievedAugust 2, 2016.
  5. ^Weidenbener, Lesley (April 22, 2015)."Brooks to run for House reelection, not Senate".The Statehouse File. RetrievedApril 22, 2015.
  6. ^abJoseph, Cameron (March 24, 2015)."Coats retirement in Indiana shakes up 2016 battle for Senate".The Hill. RetrievedMarch 24, 2015.
  7. ^abBrian Howey (January 30, 2015)."If Sen. Coates doesn't run, who does?". kokomoperspective.com. Archived fromthe original on February 1, 2015. RetrievedFebruary 3, 2015.
  8. ^Howey, Brian (May 26, 2015)."A fascinating U.S. Senate race is setting up".News and Tribune. RetrievedJune 4, 2015.
  9. ^ab"Indiana Primary Election, May 3, 2016". Pennsylvania Secretary of State. RetrievedJuly 20, 2016.
  10. ^abcdef"Holcomb, Rokita, Brooks in; Bosma out of race to be GOP gubernatorial nominee".Indiana Business Journal. July 15, 2016. Archived fromthe original on July 16, 2016. RetrievedJuly 15, 2016.
  11. ^Osowski, Zach (July 19, 2016)."Tomes says despite odds, "It's in my heart to run" for governor".Evansville Courier & Press. RetrievedJuly 19, 2016.
  12. ^LoBianco, Tom (April 30, 2015)."Source: Democrat John Gregg set to announce governor bid".The Indianapolis Star. RetrievedApril 30, 2015.
  13. ^"John Gregg Announces Rep. Christina Hale as Running Mate | News - Indiana Public Media". Archived fromthe original on May 26, 2016. RetrievedMay 25, 2016.
  14. ^Cook, Tony; Schneider, Chelsea (August 7, 2015)."Glenda Ritz drops out of governor's race".The Indianapolis Star. RetrievedAugust 7, 2015.
  15. ^Carden, Dan (August 17, 2015)."Tallian drops out of governor's race".The Times of Northwest Indiana. RetrievedAugust 17, 2015.
  16. ^ab"Bayh not running for governor in 2016". nwi.com. September 13, 2014. RetrievedOctober 26, 2014.
  17. ^Blasko, Erin (February 25, 2014)."Buttigieg: 'Zero interest' in governor's seat".South Bend Tribune. RetrievedFebruary 23, 2015.
  18. ^abcdefghijklmnopqrstuvwxyzaaabacadaeafagahaiajakal"36 Indiana Mayors Endorse John Gregg for Governor".Gregg for Governor. August 13, 2015. Archived fromthe original on August 16, 2015. RetrievedAugust 14, 2015.
  19. ^Spehler, Dan (February 13, 2015)."Potential candidate for governor talks education, healthcare".WXIN. RetrievedFebruary 20, 2015.
  20. ^Hayden, Maureen (December 3, 2014)."Former Congressman Hill mulls run for governor".News and Tribune. RetrievedDecember 3, 2014.
  21. ^Cahn, Emily (May 15, 2015)."Ousted Democrat Announces Indiana Senate Bid".Roll Call. Archived fromthe original on May 17, 2015. RetrievedMay 15, 2015.
  22. ^Carden, Dan (May 27, 2015)."Pelath rules out run for governor".The Times of Northwest Indiana. RetrievedMay 28, 2015.
  23. ^Schneider, Chelsea (August 7, 2015)."Long-time Bayh aide mulling run for governor".The Indianapolis Star. RetrievedAugust 7, 2015.
  24. ^Schneider, Chelsea (September 21, 2015)."Tom Sugar will not run for governor".The Indianapolis Star. RetrievedSeptember 21, 2015.
  25. ^"Former governor candidate Ritz lends support to Gregg".Associated Press Newswires. AP. August 10, 2015.Factiva APRS000020150810eb8a008hr.
  26. ^Colombo, Hayleigh (December 28, 2015). "2015 YEAR IN REVIEW: Ritz quits governor's race, will run for superintendent".Indianapolis Business Journal. Vol. 36, no. 45. Indianapolis: IBJ Corporation. p. 24.ISSN 0274-4929.ProQuest 1754293324.
  27. ^Wang, Stephanie; Schneider, Chelsea (June 17, 2016). "Democrats present own pre-k proposal".Indianapolis Star. Indianapolis, Ind. p. A.9.ISSN 1930-2533.ProQuest 1797539523.
  28. ^"Indiana State AFL-CIO Endorses John Gregg for Governor".Indiana State AFL-CIO. August 17, 2015. Archived fromthe original on August 22, 2015. RetrievedAugust 17, 2015.
  29. ^abcStaff (April 28, 2016)."Libertarian Party of Indiana nominates Rex Bell for Governor".Greensburg Daily News. RetrievedMay 13, 2016.
  30. ^"2016 Governor Race ratings".The Cook Political Report. RetrievedOctober 15, 2018.
  31. ^"Elections 2015-16".Daily Kos. Archived fromthe original on October 15, 2018. RetrievedOctober 15, 2018.
  32. ^"Gubernatorial Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. RetrievedOctober 15, 2018.
  33. ^"Our Final 2016 picks".Sabato's Crystal Ball. Archived fromthe original on October 15, 2018. RetrievedOctober 15, 2018.
  34. ^"2016 Election Maps - 2016 Governor Races". Real Clear Politics. RetrievedOctober 15, 2018.
  35. ^"2016 Governors Races Ratings & News". Governing Magazine. Archived fromthe original on October 27, 2016. RetrievedOctober 28, 2016.
  36. ^Real Clear Politics
  37. ^SurveyMonkey
  38. ^SurveyMonkey
  39. ^WTHR/Howey
  40. ^SurveyMonkey
  41. ^SurveyMonkey
  42. ^Gravis Marketing
  43. ^SurveyMonkey
  44. ^SurveyMonkey
  45. ^Monmouth University
  46. ^Gravis Marketing
  47. ^Ball State University (PSRAI)
  48. ^Monmouth University
  49. ^BK Strategies (R-Holcomb)
  50. ^"EXCLUSIVE WTHR/HPI Poll: Gregg clings to small lead over Holcomb in governor race".13 WTHR Indianapolis [NBC affiliate]. WTHR commissioned the poll with Howey Politics Indiana. October 6, 2016. Archived fromthe original on October 9, 2016.{{cite news}}: CS1 maint: others (link)
  51. ^"EXCLUSIVE WTHR/HPI Poll: Gregg holds small lead on Holcomb".13 WTHR Indianapolis [NBC affiliate]. WTHR commissioned the poll with Howey Politics Indiana. September 9, 2016 [updated September 12, 2016]. Archived fromthe original on October 9, 2016.{{cite news}}: CS1 maint: others (link)
  52. ^Monmouth University
  53. ^Expedition Strategies (D-Gregg)
  54. ^abcThe Tarrance Group
  55. ^Bellwether Research
  56. ^WTHR/Howey
  57. ^abBellwether Research
  58. ^Bellwether ResearchArchived April 16, 2015, at theWayback Machine
  59. ^GQR Research
  60. ^Public Opinion Strategies
  61. ^Bellwether ResearchArchived April 16, 2015, at theWayback Machine
  62. ^Bellwether ResearchArchived April 16, 2015, at theWayback Machine
  63. ^Indiana Secretary of State Election Results
  64. ^"Indiana Secretary of State Election Results". Indiana Secretary of State. RetrievedJanuary 4, 2017.
  65. ^"DRA 2020".Daves Redistricting. RetrievedAugust 20, 2024.

External links

[edit]

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