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2015 Mississippi gubernatorial election

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

For related races, see2015 United States gubernatorial elections.

2015 Mississippi gubernatorial election

← 2011November 3, 20152019 →
 
NomineePhil BryantRobert Gray
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Electoral vote8537
Popular vote480,399234,858
Percentage66.24%32.38%

County results
Congressional district results
Bryant:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
Gray:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%

Governor before election

Phil Bryant
Republican

Elected Governor

Phil Bryant
Republican

Elections in Mississippi
U.S. President
Presidential primaries
U.S. Senate
U.S. House

The2015 Mississippi gubernatorial election took place on November 3, 2015, to elect thegovernor of Mississippi. IncumbentRepublican governorPhil Bryant ran for re-election to a second and final term in office. This is the highest percentage that a Republican has ever won in a gubernatorial election in Mississippi.

The election gained national news coverage and attention due to the unexpected Democratic nominee selection of truck driver and former firefighter, Robert Gray, who had not had any political experience prior to his candidacy.[1]

As of 2023, this is by far the best performance by a Republican in a gubernatorial election in Mississippi. This is also the only time that the following counties have voted Republican for governor:Clay,Marshall,Quitman,Sharkey, andTallahatchie.

Background

[edit]

Mississippi is one of nine states and territories that has lifetime limits of two terms for its governor. In2011, with incumbent Republican governorHaley Barbour term-limited, RepublicanLieutenant GovernorPhil Bryant was elected to succeed him. Bryant won the Republican primary with 59% of the vote and then defeated the Democratic nominee,Hattiesburg MayorJohnny DuPree, with 61% of the vote.

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Declared

[edit]

Declined

[edit]

Result

[edit]
Republican primary results[8]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanPhil Bryant (incumbent)256,68991.86%
RepublicanMitch Young22,7388.14%
Total votes279,427100.00%

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Declared

[edit]
  • Robert Gray, truck driver and retired firefighter[3][9]
  • Valerie Short, physician[10]
  • Vicki Slater, attorney[11][12]

Declined

[edit]

Result

[edit]
Results by county
Democratic primary results[18]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticRobert Gray152,08750.80%
DemocraticVicki Slater91,10430.43%
DemocraticValerie Short56,17718.77%
Total votes299,368100.00%

Reform Party nomination

[edit]

Candidate

[edit]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

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SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[20]Safe ROctober 26, 2015
Rothenberg Political Report[21]Safe ROctober 27, 2015
Sabato's Crystal Ball[22]Safe ROctober 29, 2015
DKE[23]Safe ROctober 29, 2015

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Phil
Bryant (R)
Robert
Gray (D)
Shawn
O'Hara (Ref)
Undecided
Mason-Dixon[24]October 21–25, 2015625± 4%66%28%1%5%
Hypothetical polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Phil
Bryant (R)
Jim
Hood (D)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling[25]July 10–13, 2014691± 3.7%44%33%22%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Phil
Bryant (R)
Brandon
Presley (D)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling[25]July 10–13, 2014691± 3.7%49%26%25%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Phil
Bryant (R)
Valerie
Short (D)
OtherUndecided
Mason-Dixon[26]April 21–23, 2015625± 4%63%28%3%[27]6%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Phil
Bryant (R)
Vicki
Slater (D)
OtherUndecided
Mason-Dixon[28]April 21–23, 2015625± 4%61%30%2%[27]7%

Results

[edit]
CandidatePartyPopular voteElectoral vote
Votes%Votes%
Phil Bryant(incumbent)Republican Party480,39966.248569.67
Robert GrayDemocratic Party234,85832.383730.33
Shawn O'HaraReform Party9,9501.37
Total725,207100.00122100.00
Source:Mississippi Secretary of State

By county

[edit]
County[29]Phil Bryant
Republican
Robert Gray
Democratic
Shawn O'Hara
Reform
MarginTotal
#%#%#%#%
Adams3,76751.06%3,53947.97%710.96%2283.09%7,377
Alcorn8,81783.34%1,64915.59%1131.07%7,16867.76%10,579
Amite3,17661.96%1,87436.56%761.48%1,30225.40%5,126
Attala3,44967.96%1,57731.07%490.97%1,87236.89%5,075
Benton1,75363.40%95834.65%541.95%79528.75%2,765
Bolivar4,25545.30%5,04053.66%981.04%-785-8.36%9,393
Calhoun3,95776.81%1,14422.20%510.99%2,81354.60%5,152
Carroll2,93472.25%1,09626.99%310.76%1,83845.26%4,061
Chickasaw3,54561.76%2,14137.30%540.94%1,40424.46%5,740
Choctaw2,21578.66%57020.24%311.10%1,64558.42%2,816
Claiborne1,15833.24%2,25064.58%762.18%-1,092-31.34%3,484
Clarke4,25371.72%1,59526.90%821.38%2,65844.82%5,930
Clay3,60149.85%3,54749.10%761.05%540.75%7,224
Coahoma1,86746.58%2,09552.27%461.15%-228-5.69%4,008
Copiah4,08855.66%3,16243.06%941.28%92612.61%7,344
Covington4,47170.02%1,83828.79%761.19%2,63341.24%6,385
DeSoto16,83779.87%3,90418.52%3391.61%12,93361.35%21,080
Forrest11,99869.61%4,96828.82%2701.57%7,03040.79%17,236
Franklin2,05366.46%99632.24%401.29%1,05734.22%3,089
George5,34887.51%63410.37%1292.11%4,71477.14%6,111
Greene3,09779.78%69717.95%882.27%2,40061.82%3,882
Grenada4,46265.11%2,32433.91%670.98%2,13831.20%6,853
Hancock6,67578.64%1,63419.25%1792.11%5,04159.39%8,488
Harrison21,54869.52%8,70928.10%7392.38%12,83941.42%30,996
Hinds22,40339.33%33,54858.89%1,0121.78%-11,145-19.57%56,963
Holmes1,61032.45%3,27265.95%791.59%-1,662-33.50%4,961
Humphreys1,13342.71%1,49056.16%301.13%-357-13.46%2,653
Issaquena34661.35%21137.41%71.24%13523.94%564
Itawamba6,05386.81%84012.05%801.15%5,21374.76%6,973
Jackson18,32373.83%6,00024.18%4941.99%12,32349.66%24,817
Jasper3,64456.86%2,65441.41%1111.73%99015.45%6,409
Jefferson71326.10%1,97172.14%481.76%-1,258-46.05%2,732
Jefferson Davis2,00949.24%2,03249.80%390.96%-23-0.56%4,080
Jones13,96079.49%3,35619.11%2471.41%10,60460.38%17,563
Kemper1,95251.30%1,81447.67%391.02%1383.63%3,805
Lafayette6,88162.76%3,89835.55%1851.69%2,98327.21%10,964
Lamar11,55584.63%1,94114.22%1581.16%9,61470.41%13,654
Lauderdale12,13071.38%4,68627.58%1771.04%7,44443.81%16,993
Lawrence3,44669.34%1,47529.68%490.99%1,97139.66%4,970
Leake3,88564.51%2,09034.71%470.78%1,79529.81%6,022
Lee14,40274.66%4,66524.18%2241.16%9,73750.47%19,291
Leflore3,17744.61%3,86854.31%771.08%-691-9.70%7,122
Lincoln7,98476.58%2,36222.65%800.77%5,62253.92%10,426
Lowndes10,28758.53%7,13740.61%1510.86%3,15017.92%17,575
Madison18,93769.41%8,00229.33%3451.26%10,93540.08%27,284
Marion5,67475.56%1,76223.47%730.97%3,91252.10%7,509
Marshall3,41251.81%3,10547.15%681.03%3074.66%6,585
Monroe7,68271.57%2,95127.49%1010.94%4,73144.07%10,734
Montgomery2,49763.76%1,38535.37%340.87%1,11228.40%3,916
Neshoba5,96881.53%1,29117.64%610.83%4,67763.89%7,320
Newton5,17575.75%1,58423.19%731.07%3,59152.56%6,832
Noxubee1,21735.21%2,19063.37%491.42%-973-28.15%3,456
Oktibbeha6,77360.23%4,34938.67%1231.09%2,42421.56%11,245
Panola6,86860.64%4,34438.36%1131.00%2,52422.29%11,325
Pearl River7,50181.58%1,50116.32%1932.10%6,00065.25%9,195
Perry3,28281.14%68817.01%751.85%2,59464.13%4,045
Pike6,68255.89%5,12642.88%1471.23%1,55613.02%11,955
Pontotoc7,00883.33%1,31515.64%871.03%5,69367.69%8,410
Prentiss5,15579.66%1,25819.44%580.90%3,89760.22%6,471
Quitman1,44950.56%1,35947.42%582.02%903.14%2,866
Rankin27,58481.56%5,81117.18%4271.26%21,77364.38%33,822
Scott4,68865.82%2,36533.21%690.97%2,32332.62%7,122
Sharkey84050.09%81648.66%211.25%241.43%1,677
Simpson5,65672.33%2,07726.56%871.11%3,57945.77%7,820
Smith4,68081.24%1,00317.41%781.35%3,67763.83%5,761
Stone4,09377.92%1,05820.14%1021.94%3,03557.78%5,253
Sunflower2,77148.06%2,90350.35%921.60%-132-2.29%5,766
Tallahatchie2,11458.25%1,45940.20%561.54%65518.05%3,629
Tate4,48673.59%1,52725.05%831.36%2,95948.54%6,096
Tippah5,32981.87%1,10917.04%711.09%4,22064.83%6,509
Tishomingo5,43780.92%1,16317.31%1191.77%4,27463.61%6,719
Tunica1,20147.21%1,28150.35%622.44%-80-3.14%2,544
Union6,54885.59%1,02713.42%750.98%5,52172.17%7,650
Walthall3,31268.18%1,47030.26%761.56%1,84237.92%4,858
Warren7,64163.79%4,19635.03%1411.18%3,44528.76%11,978
Washington4,38645.46%5,15353.41%1091.13%-767-7.95%9,648
Wayne4,37768.33%1,92930.11%1001.56%2,44838.21%6,406
Webster2,89882.63%58216.60%270.77%2,31666.04%3,507
Wilkinson1,31135.92%2,25561.78%842.30%-944-25.86%3,650
Winston4,14065.14%2,17834.27%380.60%1,96230.87%6,356
Yalobusha2,43363.66%1,34135.09%481.26%1,09228.57%3,822
Yazoo3,97759.05%2,69440.00%640.95%1,28319.05%6,735
Totals480,39966.24%234,85832.38%9,9501.37%245,54133.86%725,207

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

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By congressional district

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Bryant won three of four congressional districts.[30]

DistrictBryantGrayRepresentative
1st73%26%Trent Kelly
2nd49%50%Bennie Thompson
3rd69%30%Gregg Harper
4th76%23%Steven Palazzo

See also

[edit]

References

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  1. ^Robertson, Campbell (September 7, 2015)."Chosen by Mississippi Democrats, Shy Trucker is at a Crossroad".The New York Times.
  2. ^Geoff Pender (January 18, 2015)."Power Rankings: Top Session Issues".The Clarion-Ledger. RetrievedJanuary 28, 2015.
  3. ^abWagster Pettus, Emily (February 26, 2015)."Bryant to face primary challenge from Mitch Young".The Clarion-Ledger. RetrievedFebruary 27, 2015.
  4. ^Geoff Pender (July 19, 2014)."Pender: Who's running for what in '15".The Clarion-Ledger. RetrievedSeptember 7, 2014.
  5. ^Pender, Geoff (February 26, 2015)."McDaniel running for re-election to state Senate".The Clarion-Ledger. RetrievedFebruary 27, 2015.
  6. ^Alexander Burns (June 24, 2014)."Mississippi's revolution may be just starting".Politico. RetrievedJune 24, 2014.
  7. ^Pender, Geoff (February 26, 2015)."Watson running for re-election, not higher office".The Clarion-Ledger. RetrievedFebruary 27, 2015.
  8. ^"2015 REPUBLICAN PRIMARY".Mississippi Secretary of State. Archived fromthe original on February 25, 2021. RetrievedAugust 18, 2019.
  9. ^Nave, R.L. (August 5, 2015)."Robert Gray in (Truck) Driver's Seat to Challenge Gov. Phil Bryant".Jackson Free Press. RetrievedAugust 5, 2015.
  10. ^Wagster Pettus, Emily (February 27, 2015)."All 8 statewide Mississippi officials challenged in election".The Sun Herald. Archived fromthe original on March 1, 2015. RetrievedMarch 1, 2015.
  11. ^abcPender, Geoff (February 14, 2015)."Candidates playing chicken with deadline".The Clarion-Ledger. RetrievedFebruary 15, 2015.
  12. ^Pender, Geoff (February 19, 2015)."Democratic Party announcing Slater for governor".The Clarion-Ledger. RetrievedFebruary 19, 2015.
  13. ^Abby Livingston (September 25, 2013)."Mississippi Republicans Wait for Cochran's Decision".Roll Call. RetrievedSeptember 26, 2013.
  14. ^Floyd Ingram (July 31, 2013)."Jim Hood to open state office in Houston".Chickasaw Journal. RetrievedJuly 23, 2014.
  15. ^"AP analysis: Mississippi party leaders preparing strategy for 2015".Gulf Live. August 25, 2013. RetrievedJuly 23, 2014.
  16. ^Wright, Jesse (January 13, 2015)."'Draft Bill' movement not gaining traction with Luckett".Clarksdale Press Register. Archived fromthe original on January 18, 2015. RetrievedJanuary 14, 2015.
  17. ^Gates, Jimmie E. (December 30, 2014)."Brandon Presley says he isn't running for governor".The Clarion-Ledger. RetrievedJanuary 1, 2015.
  18. ^"2015 DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY".Mississippi Secretary of State. RetrievedAugust 18, 2019.
  19. ^"2015 Candidate Qualifying List"(PDF). Mississippi Secretary of State. RetrievedJuly 28, 2015.
  20. ^"2015-16 Governor Race ratings".The Cook Political Report.
  21. ^"Gubernatorial Ratings | Inside Elections".www.insideelections.com.
  22. ^"Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2016 Governor".crystalball.centerforpolitics.org.
  23. ^"Election Outlook: 2016 Race Ratings".Daily Kos. RetrievedOctober 21, 2015.
  24. ^Mason-Dixon
  25. ^abPublic Policy Polling
  26. ^Mason-DixonArchived May 20, 2015, at theWayback Machine
  27. ^abShawn O'Hara (Reform)
  28. ^Mason-DixonArchived May 20, 2015, at theWayback Machine
  29. ^Hosemann, Delbert (February 14, 2016)."Amended Statewide Certification"(PDF).Secretary of State of Mississippi.Archived(PDF) from the original on June 17, 2025. RetrievedSeptember 5, 2025.
  30. ^"Our Campaigns - MS Governor Race - Nov 03, 2015".

External links

[edit]

Campaign websites (archived)

U.S. House
Governors
Attorneys
general
Secretaries
of state
State
legislatures
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territories
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