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2015 European migrant crisis

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Period of significant increase in migration
Several terms redirect here. For other uses, seeRefugee crisis, World War II evacuation and expulsion, and Ukrainian refugee crisis.

European refugee crisis
Part ofImmigration to Europe andImpact of Arab Winter
From top, left to right: Map of crisis,[a]Operation Triton, Refugees at Skala Sykamias Lesvos, Protesters at"Volem acollir" ("We want to welcome"), Protesters afterNew Year's Eve sexual assaults in Germany
Map
Date2014–2016
Location

The2015 European migrant crisis was a period of significantly increased movement ofrefugees andmigrants into Europe, mostly from theMiddle East. An estimated 1.3 million people came to the continent to requestasylum,[2] the most in a single year sinceWorld War II.[3] They were mostlySyrians,[4] but also included a significant number of people fromAfghanistan,Pakistan,Iraq,Nigeria,Eritrea,[5] and theBalkans.[6] The increase in asylum seekers has been attributed to factors such as the escalation of various wars in the Middle East andISIL's territorial and military dominance in the region due to theArab Winter, as well as Lebanon, Jordan, and Egypt ceasing to accept Syrian asylum seekers.[7]

The EU attempted to enact some measures to address the problem,[8] including distributing refugees among member countries, tackling root causes of emigration in the home countries of migrants, and simplifying deportation processes.[9] However, due to a lack of political coordination at the European level, the distribution of countries was unequal, with some countries taking in many more refugees than others. This translated into a humanitarian emergency due to the poor quality of the infrastructure used to manage migration flows. This endangered the safety of migrants deepening the psychological and physical trauma.[10]

The initial responses of national governments varied greatly.[9] ManyEuropean Union (EU) governments reacted by closing their borders, and most countries refused to take in the arriving refugees. Germany ultimately accepted most of the refugees after the government decided to temporarily suspend its enforcement of theDublin Regulation. Germany would receive over 440,000 asylum applications (0.5% of the population). Other countries that took in a significant number of refugees include Hungary (174,000; 1.8%), Sweden (156,000; 1.6%) and Austria (88,000; 1.0%).

The crisis had significant political consequences in Europe. The influx of migrants caused significant demographic and cultural changes in these countries.[11] As a consequence, some politicians raised concerns about the challenges of integrating migrants, and the public raised discussions about potential effects to European values.[12] Paired also with rising cost of living and other complex social problems, political polarization increased,[13] confidence in the European Union fell,[14] and many countries implemented stricter asylum policies. Right-wing populist parties gained support as immigration became a key political issue and became significantly more popular in many countries. There was an increase in protests regarding immigration and the circulation of thewhite nationalist conspiracy theory of theGreat Replacement.[15]

Terminology

[edit]

News organisations and academic sources use bothmigrant crisis andrefugee crisis to refer to the 2015 events, sometimes interchangeably. Some argued that the wordmigrant waspejorative or inaccurate in the context of people fleeing war and persecution because it implies most are emigrating voluntarily rather than being forced to leave their homes.[16][17] TheBBC[18] andThe Washington Post[19] argued against the stigmatization of the word, contending that it simply refers to anyone moving from one country to another.The Guardian said while it would not advise against using the word outright, "'refugees', 'displaced people' and 'asylum seekers' ... are more useful and accurate terms than a catch-all label like 'migrants', and we should use them wherever possible."[20]Al Jazeera, on the other hand, expressly avoided the term migrant, arguing it was inaccurate and risked "giving weight to those who want only to seeeconomic migrants".[17]

Some have taken issue with the framing of the phenomenon as a "crisis." Political scientistCas Mudde argued that the term reflects "more a matter of personal judgment than objective condition," writing that "[t]he EU had the financial resources to deal with even these record numbers of asylum seekers, although for years it had neglected to build an infrastructure to properly take care of them."[21]

Causes of increased asylum seekers

[edit]

The most significant root cause of the wave of refugees entering Europe in 2015 was theSyrian civil war.[22] Several other countries in the Middle East and northern Africa were also experiencing social unrest that drove people to flee.[23]

Background

[edit]

In 2014, theEU member states counted around 252,000 irregular arrivals and 626,065 asylum applications,[24][25] the highest number since the 672,000 applications received in the wake of theYugoslav Wars in 1992. Four countries – Germany, Sweden, Italy and France – received around two-thirds of the EU's asylum applications. Sweden, Hungary and Austria were among the top recipients of EU asylum applicationsper capita, when adjusted for their own populations, with 8.4 asylum seekers per 1,000 inhabitants in Sweden, 4.3 in Hungary, and 3.2 in Austria.[26][27] The EU countries that hosted the largest numbers of refugees at the end of 2014 wereFrance (252,000),Germany (217,000),Sweden (142,000) and theUnited Kingdom (117,000).[28]

In 2014, the main countries of origin, accounting for almost half of the asylum seekers, wereSyria (20%),Afghanistan (7%),Eritrea (6%),Kosovo (6%) andAlbania.[29] Most crossed theMediterranean Sea from Libya.[30] The overall rate of recognition of asylum applicants was 45 per cent at the first instance and 18 per cent on appeal[31] although there were huge differences between EU states,[32] ranging from Hungary (accepted 9% of applicants) to Sweden (accepted 74%).[31]

Escaping from conflicts or persecution

[edit]

According to theUnited Nations High Commissioner for Refugees, most of the people who arrived in Europe in 2015 wererefugees fleeing war andpersecution[33] inSyria,Afghanistan,Iraq andEritrea: 84% of Mediterranean Sea arrivals in 2015 came from the world's top ten refugee-producing countries.[34] Wars fueling the migrant crisis were theSyrian Civil War, theIraq War, theWar in Afghanistan, theWar in Somalia, and theWar in Darfur. Refugees from Eritrea, one of themost repressive states in the world, fled fromindefinite military conscription andforced labour.[35][36]

The major regions of conflict that have resulted in the increase of asylum seekers in the European region are:

Asylum applications by nationality in per cent / year[37]
SortRegion of origin20152016
SyrianWestern Asia29%28%
Other26%28%
AfghanistanCentral Asia14%15%
IraqWestern Asia10%11%
AlbanianSoutheast Europe5%2%
EritreaEast Africa3%3%
IranWestern Asia2%3%
KosovoSoutheast Europe5%
NigeriaWest Africa2%4%
PakistanSouth Asia4%4%

Kosovo

[edit]

Migration from Kosovo occurred in phases beginning from the second half of the 20th century. TheKosovo War (February 1998 – June 1999) created a wave. On 19 May 2011,Kosovo established the Ministry of Diaspora. Kosovo also established the Kosovo Diaspora Agency (KDA) to support migrants.

The unemployment rate in Kosovo in 2014 was estimated at 30%, a majority of the unemployed being in the age range 15–24.[38] This was reflected in the age range of the emigrants, roughly 50% of whom were youth between the age of 15–24.[39] Detected illegal border crossings to the EU from Kosovo numbered 22,069 in 2014 and 23,793 in 2015.[40] Theanti-government protests of 2015 coincided with a surge in migrant numbers.[41]

Syrian civil war

[edit]
Main article:Syrian civil war

The Syrian civil war began in response to theArab Spring protests of March 2011, which quickly escalated intoa civil uprising. By May 2011, thousands of people had fled the country and the first refugee camps opened in Turkey. In March 2012, theUNHCR appointed a Regional Coordinator for Syrian Refugees, recognising the growing concerns surrounding the crisis. As the conflict descended into full civil war,outside powers, notablyIran,Turkey, theUnited States andRussia funded and armed different sides of the conflict and sometimes intervened directly.[42] By March 2013, the total number of Syrian refugees reached 1,000,000,[43] the vast majority of whom wereinternally displaced within Syria or hadfled to Turkey orLebanon; smaller numbers had sought refuge inIraq andEgypt.[44]

War in Afghanistan

[edit]
Main article:War in Afghanistan (2001–2021)
See also:Anti-Afghan sentiment

Afghan refugees constitute the second-largest refugee population in the world.[45] According to the UNHCR, there are almost 2.5 million registered refugees from Afghanistan. Most of these refugees fled the region due to war and persecution. The majority have resettled in Pakistan and Iran, though it became increasingly common to migrate further west to the European Union. Afghanistan faced over 40 years of conflict dating back to theSoviet invasion in 1979. Since then, the nation faced fluctuating levels ofcivil war amidst unending unrest. The increase in refugee numbers was primarily attributed to theTaliban presence within Afghanistan. Their retreat in 2001 led to nearly 6 million Afghan refugees returning to their homeland. However, after theTaliban insurgency against NATO-led forces and subsequentFall of Kabul, nearly 2.5 million refugees fled Afghanistan.[46]

Boko Haram insurgency

[edit]
Main article:Boko Haram insurgency

The Boko Haram insurgency in Nigeria has resulted in the deaths of 20,000 people and displaced at least 2 million since 2009.[47] Around 75,000 Nigerians requested asylum in the EU in 2015 and 2016, around 3 per cent of the total.[37]

Means of entry into Europe

[edit]
Mediterranean sea arrivals to Greece and Italy from January 2015 to September 2016, according to UNHCR data[48]
Island groups of theAegean Sea

In all, over 1 million refugees and migrants crossed theMediterranean (mostly theAegean Sea) in 2015, three to four times more than the previous year.[49] 80% were fleeing from wars in Syria, Iraq, and Afghanistan.[50] About 85% of sea arrivals were inGreece (via Turkey) and 15% inItaly (vianorthern Africa). The European Union's external land borders (e.g., in Greece,Bulgaria orFinland) played only a minor role.[51]

Some also crossed via the Central Mediterranean Sea. This path is a much longer and considerably more dangerous journey than the relatively short trip across the Aegean. As a result, this route was responsible for a large majority of migrant deaths in 2015, even though it was far less used. An estimated 2,889 died in the Central Mediterranean; 731 died in the Aegean sea.[51]

TheEUBorder and Coast Guard Agency (Frontex) uses the terms "illegal" and "irregular" border crossings for crossings of an EU external border but not at an officialborder-crossing point.[52] These include people rescued at sea.[53] Because many migrants cross more than one external EU border (for instance when traveling through the Balkans from Greece to Hungary), the total number of irregular EU external border crossings is often higher than the number of irregular migrants arriving in the EU in a year. News media sometimes misrepresent these figures as given by Frontex.[30]

Turkey to Greece

[edit]
Migrants crossing theAegean Sea from Turkey to the Greek island ofLesbos, January 2016
A group of Syrian refugees arrive by boat from Turkey to airport area of Mytilini, Lesbos island, Greece, 13 December 2015

Because the refugees entering Europe in 2015 were predominantly from theMiddle East, the vast majority first entered the EU by crossing the Aegean Sea fromTurkey toGreece by boat; Turkey's land border has been inaccessible to migrants since a border fence was constructed there in 2012.[54] A number ofGreek islands are less than 6 km (4 mi) from the Turkish coast, such asChios,Kos,Lesbos,Leros,Kastellorizo,Agathonisi,Farmakonisi,Rhodes,Samos andSymi. At one point, incoming refugees on some of these islands outnumbered locals.[55]

A small number of people (34,000 or 3% of the total) used Turkey's land borders with Greece or Bulgaria.[51] From Greece, most tried to make their way toward through theBalkans toCentral andNorthern Europe.[56] This represented a stark change to the previous year, when most refugees and migrants landed in Italy from northern Africa. In fact, in the first half of 2015,Italy was, as in previous years, the most common landing point for refugees entering the EU, especially the southernSicilian island ofLampedusa. By June, however,Greece overtook Italy in the number of arrivals and became the starting point of a flow of refugees and migrants moving throughBalkan countries toNorthern European countries, particularly Germany and Sweden. By the end of 2015, about 80% of migrants had landed in Greece, compared to only 15% in Italy.[34]

Greece appealed to the European Union for assistance; theUNCHR European Director Vincent Cochetel said facilities for migrants on the Greek islands were "totally inadequate" and the islands were in "total chaos".[57] Frontex's Operation Poseidon, aimed at patrolling theAegean Sea, was underfunded and undermanned, with only 11 coastal patrol vessels, one ship, two helicopters, two aircraft, and a budget of €18 million.[58]

A section of northeastern Croatia is believed to contain up to 60,000unexplodedland mines from theCroatian War of Independence in the 1990s. Refugees were feared to be at risk of unknowingly detonating some of these minefields as they crossed the area. However, there were no reported cases of this happening in 2015 or 2016.[59]

Northern Africa to Italy

[edit]

The number of people making the considerably more dangerous sea journey fromnorthern Africa to Italy was comparatively low at around 150,000.[51] Most of the refugees and migrants taking this route came from African countries, especiallyEritrea,Nigeria, andSomalia.[60] At least 2,889 people died during the journey.[51]

Other routes

[edit]

A few other routes were also used by some refugees, although they were comparatively low in number. One such route was enteringFinland orNorway viaRussia; on a few days Arctic border stations in these countries saw several hundred "irregular" border crossings per day.[61] Norway recorded around 6,000 refugees crossing itsnorthern border in 2015.[62] Because it is illegal to drive from Russia to Norway without a permit, and crossing on foot is prohibited, some used a legal loophole and made the crossing by bicycle.[63][64] A year later in 2016, Norway built a short 200 m fence at theStorskog border crossing,[65] although it was viewed as a mostly symbolic measure.[66]

Some observers argued that the Russian government facilitated the influx in an attempt to warn European leaders against maintainingsanctions imposed afterRussia's annexation of Crimea.[61][67] In January 2016, aRussian border guard admitted that the RussianFederal Security Service was enabling migrants to enter Finland.[68]

Role of smugglers

[edit]

Asylum seekers are usually required to be physically present in the EU country where they wish to request asylum. However, there are few formal ways to allow them to reach Europe for this purpose.[69] For that reason, many asylum seekers paidsmugglers for advice, logistical help and transportation through Europe, especially for sea crossings.[70] Human traffickers charged $1,000 to $1,500 (€901 – €1352) for the 25-minute boat ride fromBodrum, Turkey toKos.[71] An onward journey to Germany which would not necessarily involve smugglers was estimated to cost €3,000 – €4,000. A journey to Britain was estimated to cost €10,000 – €12,000.[71] Airplane tickets directly from Turkey to Germany or Britain would have been far cheaper and safer, but the EU requires airlines flying into theSchengen Area to check that passengers have a visa or are exempted from carrying one (these rules are referred to as "carrier responsibility").[72] This prevented would-be migrants without a visa from being allowed on aircraft, boats, or trains entering the Schengen Area, and caused them to resort to smugglers.[73] Humanitarian visas are generally not given to refugees who want to apply for asylum.[74]

In September 2015,Europol estimated there were 30,000 suspected migrant smugglers operating in and around Europe. By the end of 2016, this number had increased to 55,000. 63 per cent of the smugglers were from Europe, 14 per cent from the Middle East, 13 per cent from Africa, nine per cent from Asia (excluding the Middle East) and one per cent from the Americas.[75]

On several occasions, unscrupulous smugglers caused the deaths of the people they were transporting, particularly by using poorly-maintained and overfilled boats and refusing to provide life jackets.[71][76] At least 3771 refugees and migrants drowned in the Mediterranean Sea in 2015. A single shipwreck nearLampedusa in April accounted for around 800 deaths.[77] Apart from drownings, the deadliest incident occurred on 27 August 2015,when 71 people were found dead in an unventilated food truck nearVienna.[78][79] Eleven of the smugglers responsible were later arrested and charged with murder and homicide in Hungary. The charges and trial took place in Hungary as authorities determined that the deaths had occurred there.[79]

TheMafia Capitale investigation revealed that theItalian Mafia profited from the migrant crisis and exploited refugees.[80][81]

Peak of the crisis

[edit]
See also:Timeline of the 2015 European migrant crisis
Monthly arrivalsMonth0100,000200,000300,000400,000500,0001/1/201510/1/20157/1/2016Monthly arrivalsMigrant and refugee arrivals in the EU, 2015-16
Migrant and refugee arrivals in the EU, 2015–16.[82] Defined as monthly "irregular border crossings" into the EU. The net number of refugees entering the EU is considerably lower because many migrants were double-counted as "illegally crossing an EU border": first when arriving in Greece, and again when entering the EU for the second time through Hungary or Croatia.[83]

Gradual surge in early 2015

[edit]

The first half of 2015 saw around 230,000 people enter the EU. The most common points of entry were Italy and Greece.[84] From there, arrivals either applied for asylum directly or attempted to travel to Northern and Western European countries, mostly by traveling through theBalkans and re-entering the EU throughHungary orCroatia.

Hungary was required by EU law to register them as asylum seekers and attempted to prevent them from traveling on to other EU countries.[citation needed] At the same time, Hungarian prime ministerViktor Orbán began using fear of immigration as a domestic political campaign issue[85][86] and stated his opposition to accepting long-term refugees.[87] By August 2015, Hungary housed about 150,000 refugees[88] in makeshiftcamps.[89] Many had little desire to stay in Hungary; due to the government's unwelcoming stance, squalid conditions in the camps, and their poor prospects of being allowed to stay.[90] Over the course of 2015 and 2016, almost everyone who had lodged an asylum claim in Hungary left the country.[91][92]

On 21 August 2015, the GermanFederal Office for Migration and Refugees was overwhelmed. This was attributed to the sheer mass of incoming asylum applications, the inherent complexity of determining whether applicants had previously claimed asylum in another EU country, and that almost all asylum applications by Syrians were being granted anyway[citation needed]

Due to their lack of capacity to process applications theGerman office suspended theDublin Regulation for Syrians.[93][94] Interpreting this to mean that Germany would begin accepting larger numbers of refugees many immigrants attempted to reach Germany from Hungary and southeastern Europe.[95] They were met with a warm reception from the German crowds.[96]

September–November 2015: peak of the crisis

[edit]

Germany accepts refugees stranded in Hungary

[edit]
Refugees at Vienna's Westbahnhof railway station, 5 September 2015
Newly arrived refugees in Germany, October 2015

On 1 September, Hungarian government closed outbound rail traffic fromBudapest'sKeleti station, which many refugees were using to travel toAustria and Germany.[97] Within days, a massive buildup of people had formed at the station. On 4 September, several thousand set off to make the 150 km journey towards Austria on foot, at which point the Hungarian government relented and no longer tried to stop them. In an effort to force the Austrian and German governments' hands, Hungary chartered buses to the Austrian border for both those walking and those who had stayed behind at the station.[98] Unwilling to resort to violence to keep them out, and faced with a potential humanitarian crisis if the huge numbers languished in Hungary indefinitely,[95][99] Germany and Austria jointly announced on 4 September that they would allow the migrants to cross their borders and apply for asylum.[100][101] Across Germany, crowds formed at train stations to applaud and welcome the arrivals.[102]

In the following three months, an estimated 550,000 people entered Germany to apply for asylum, around half the total for the entire year.[103] Though under pressure from conservative politicians, the German government refused to set an upper limit to the number of asylum applications it would accept, withAngela Merkel arguing that the "fundamentalright to seek refuge...from the hell of war knows no limit."[104] She famously declared her confidence that Germany could cope with the situation with "wir schaffen das" (roughly, "we can manage this"). This phrase quickly became a symbol of her government's refugee policy.[105]

Chaotic border closures in central Europe

[edit]

Within ten days of Germany's decision to accept the refugees in Hungary, the sudden influx had overwhelmed many of the major refugee processing and accommodation centres in Germany and the country began enacting border controls[106] and allowing people to file asylum applications directly at the Austrian border.[107] Although Austria also accepted some asylum seekers, for a time the country effectively became a distribution centre to Germany, slowing and regulating their transit into Germany and providing temporary housing, food and health care.[108] On some days, Austria took in up to 10,000 Germany-bound migrants arriving from Slovenia and Hungary.[109]

Germany's imposition of border controls had a domino effect on countries to Germany's southeast, as Austria and Slovakia successively enacted their own border controls.[110][111] Hungary closed its border with Serbia entirely with afence that had been under construction for several months, forcing migrants to pass through Croatia and Slovenia instead.[112] Croatia tried to force them back into Hungary, which responded with military force.[113] Croatian and Hungarian leaders each blamed each other for the situation and engaged in a bitter back-and-forth about what to do about the tens of thousands of stranded people.[113] Three days later, Croatia likewise closed its border with Serbia to avoid becoming a transit country.[114] Slovenia kept its borders open, although it did limit the flow of people, resulting in occasionally violent clashes with police.[115]

In October, Hungary also closed its border with Croatia, making Slovenia the only remaining way to reach Austria and Germany. Croatia reopened its own border to Serbia[116] and together with Slovenia began permitting migrants to pass through, providing buses and temporary accommodation en route.[117] Slovenia did impose a limit of 2,500 people per day, which initially stranded thousands of migrants in Croatia, Serbia andNorth Macedonia.[118][119] In November, Slovenia began erecting temporary fences along the border to direct the flow of people to formal border crossings.[120] Several countries, such as Hungary,[121] Slovenia[122] and Austria,[123] authorized theirarmies to secure their borders or repel migrants; some passed legislation specifically to give armed forces more powers.[124]

EU officials generally reacted with dismay at the border closures, warning that they undermined the mutual trust andfreedom of movement that the bloc was founded on and risked returning to a pre-1990s arrangement of costlyborder controls and mistrust. TheEuropean Commission warned EU members against steps that contravene EU treaties and urged members like Hungary to find other ways to cope with an influx of refugees and migrants.[125]

As winter set in, refugee numbers decreased, although they were still many times higher than in the previous year. In January and February 2016, over 123,000 migrants landed in Greece, compared to about 4,600 in the same period of 2015.[126]

Refugees in Sweden

[edit]

Sweden took in over 160,000 refugees in 2015, more per capita than any other country in Europe (other than Turkey). Well over half of these came to Sweden in October and November.[127] Most entered Sweden by traveling through Germany and then Denmark; few wanted to apply for asylum in Denmark because of its comparatively harsh conditions for asylum seekers.[128] There were occasionally scuffles as Danish police tried to register some of the arrivals, as they were technically required to do according to EU rules.[129][130] In early September, Denmark temporarily closed rail and road border crossings with Germany.[131] After initial uncertainty surrounding the rules, Denmark allowed most of the people wishing to travel on to Sweden to do so.[132] In the five weeks following 6 September, approximately 28,800 refugees and migrants crossed the Danish borders, 3,500 of whom applied for asylum in Denmark; the rest continued to otherNordic countries.[133]

In November 2015, Sweden reintroduced border controls at the Danish border, although this did not reduce the number of arrivals as they still had the right to apply for asylum.[134] Within hours of Swedish border control becoming effective, Denmark instituted border controls at the German border.[135] Some bypassed the border controls by taking a ferry toTrelleborg instead of the train toHyllie,[136][135] The border controls were never fully lifted before theCOVID-19 pandemic in 2020, which saw renewed border closures throughout Europe.

Diplomatic incidents

[edit]

In October 2015, the Slovenian government accused Croatian police of helping migrants bypass Slovene border controls and released a night time thermovision video allegedly documenting the event.[137][138]

Housing conditions

[edit]

After inspecting a refugee camp inTraiskirchen, Austria, in August 2015,Amnesty International noted inhabitants were receiving insufficient medical care and claimed Austria was "violating human rights".[139]

In late November, Finnish reception centers were running out of space, which forced authorities to resort to refurbishedshipping containers and tents to house new asylum seekers.[140] Deputy prime ministerPetteri Orpo announced that special repatriation centers would be established to house denied asylum seekers. While he stressed that these camps would not be prisons, he stated that the inhabitants would be under strict surveillance.[141]

Many migrants tried to enter theUnited Kingdom, resulting in camps ofmigrants around Calais where one of theEurotunnel entrances is located. In the summer of 2015, at least nine people died in attempts to reach Britain, including falling from trains, being hit by trains, or drowning in a canal at the Eurotunnel entrance.[142] In response, a UK-financed fence was built along the A-216 highway inCalais.[143][144] At the camp near Calais, known as theJungle, riots broke out when authorities began demolishing the illegally constructed campsite on 29 January 2015.[145] Amid the protests, which included hunger strikes, thousands of refugees living in the camp were relocated to France's "first international-standard refugee camp" at theLa Liniere refugee camp inGrande-Synthe which replaced the previousBasroch refugee camp.[146]

Germany has a quota system to distribute asylum seekers amongall German states, but in September 2015 the federal states, responsible for accommodation, criticised the government inBerlin for not providing enough help to them.

In Germany, which took in by far the highest number of refugees, the federal government distributes refugees among the 16states proportionally to their tax revenue and population;[147] the states themselves are required to come up with housing solutions. In 2015, this arrangement came under strain as many states ran out of dedicated accommodation for incoming refugees.[148] Many resorted to temporarily housing refugees in tents or repurposed empty buildings. The small village ofSumte (population 102), which contained a large unused warehouse, famously took in 750 refugees.[149] Although media and some locals feared racial strife and afar-right political surge, the town remained peaceful and locals largely accepting. By 2020, most of the arrivals had moved on to bigger German cities for work or study; a small number settled in Sumte permanently.[150] In Berlin, authorities housed refugees in temporary accommodations at the site of the decommissionedTempelhof Airport, then developed a program ofcontainer housing known as Tempohomes, followed byModular Accommodations for Refugees (Modulare Unterkünfte für Flüchtlinge); many of the Tempohomes and MUF are still in use as of 2022, and some have begun housingUkrainian refugees as well.[151]

EU-Turkey refugee return agreement

[edit]
Syrian refugees at theKilis Oncupinar Accommodation Facility in Turkey

Because the vast majority of refugees arriving in Europe in 2015 passed through Turkey, the country's cooperation was seen as central to efforts to stem the flow of people and prevent refugees from attempting to make dangerous sea crossings. There was also a recognition that it would be unfair to expect Turkey to shoulder the financial and logistical burden of hosting and integrating millions of refugees on its own. In 2015, theEuropean Commission began negotiating an agreement with Turkey to close its borders to Greece in exchange for money and diplomatic favours. In March 2016, after months of tense negotiations[152] during which Turkish presidentRecep Tayyip Erdoğan repeatedly threatened to open Turkey's borders and "flood" Europe with migrants to extract concessions,[153] a deal was announced. Turkey agreed to significantly increase border security at its shores and take back all future irregular entrants into Greece (and thereby the EU) from Turkey. In return, the EU would pay Turkey 6 billion euros (around US$7 billion).[154] In addition, for every Syrian sent back from Greece, the EU would accept one registered Syrian refugee living in Turkey who had never tried to enter the EU illegally, up to a total of 72,000. If the process succeeded in dramatically reducing irregular immigration to a maximum of 6,000 people per month, the EU would set up a resettlement scheme by which it would regularly resettle Syrian refugees registered in Turkey and upon vetting and recommendation by theUnited Nations High Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR). The EU also promised to institute visa-free travel to theSchengen area and to breathe new life intoTurkey's EU accession talks.[155]

The deal came into force on 20 March 2016.[156] On 4 April, the first group of 200 people had been deported from Greece to Turkey under the provisions of the deal. Turkey planned to deport most of them to their home countries.[157] The agreement resulted in a steep decline of migrant arrivals in Greece; in April, Greece recorded only 2,700 irregular border crossings, a 90 per cent decrease compared to the previous month.[158] This was also the first time since June 2015 that more migrants arrived in Italy than in Greece.[158]

The plan to send migrants back to Turkey was criticized by human right organisations and theUnited Nations, which warned that it could be illegal to send the migrants back to Turkey in exchange for financial and political rewards.[159] The UNHCR said it was not a party to the EU-Turkey deal and would not be involved in returns or detentions.[160] Like the UNHCR, four aid agencies (Médecins Sans Frontières, theInternational Rescue Committee, theNorwegian Refugee Council andSave the Children) said they would not help to implement the EU-Turkey deal because blanket expulsion of refugees contravened international law.[161]Amnesty International called the agreement "madness", and said 18 March 2016 was "a dark day for Refugee Convention, Europe and humanity". Turkish prime ministerAhmet Davutoglu said that Turkey and EU had the same challenges, the same future, and the same destiny.President of the European CouncilDonald Tusk said that the migrants in Greece would not be sent back to dangerous areas.[162]

Turkey's EU accession talks began in July 2016 and the first $3.3 billion was transferred to Turkey.[156] The talks were suspended in November 2016 after the Turkey'santidemocratic response to the2016 Turkish coup attempt.[163] Erdoğan again threatened to flood Europe with migrants after theEuropean Parliament voted to suspend EU membership talks in November 2016: "if you go any further, these border gates will be opened. Neither me nor my people will be affected by these dry threats."[164][165] Over the next few years, Turkish officials continued to threaten the EU with reneging on the deal and engineering a repeat of the 2015 refugee crisis in response to criticism of the Erdoğan government.[166][167] In one incident in March 2020, the Turkish government bused large numbers of Syrians living in Turkey to the Greek border and encouraged them to cross. Greece repelled the arrivals with border guards.[168][169]

One effect of the closure of the "Balkan route" was to drive refugees to other routes, especially across the central and eastern Mediterranean. As a result, migrant deaths due toshipwrecks began increasing again. On 16 April, a large boat sank between Libya and Italy, with as many as 500 deaths.[170] In addition, countries that had seen comparatively few refugee arrivals began recording significant numbers. In 2017, for instance, there was a 60% significant jump in the number of migrants reachingSpain.[171] Similarly,Cyprus recorded an approximately 8-fold increase in the number of arrivals between 2016 and 2017.[172][173]

In response to the increased numbers of people reaching Italian shores, Italy signed an agreement in early 2017 with theUN-recognizedgovernment ofLibya, from where most migrants started their boat journeys to Italy. In return for Libya making more efforts to prevent migrants from reaching Europe, Italy provided money and training for the Libyan coast guard and for migrant detention centres in northern Libya. In August of that year, the Libyan Coast Guard began requiring NGO rescue vessels to stay at least 360 km (225 mi) from the Libyan coast unless they were given express permission to enter.[174] As a result, NGOsMSF,Save the Children andSea Eye suspended their operations after clashes with the Libyan Coast Guard after the latter asserted its sovereignty of its waters by firingwarning shots.[70] Soon afterwards, refugee arrivals in Italy dropped significantly. At the same time, the lack of rescue vessels made the crossing much more dangerous; by September 2018, one in five migrants attempting to cross theMediterranean Sea fromLibya either drowned or disappeared.[175] In 2019, the deal was renewed for a further three years.[176]

Asylum applications by country[177]
CountryTotal processed asylum applications in 2015–17[b]
Germany
1,404,550
France
276,340
Italy
239,455
Sweden
205,405
Austria
108,670
United Kingdom
96,825
Belgium
68,425
Netherlands
65,285
Switzerland
60,645
Greece
45,605
Norway
35,485
Finland
30,890
Denmark
29,585
Spain
25,545
Bulgaria
13,960
Hungary
12,615
Poland
8,590
Cyprus
6,490
Romania
4,680
Malta
4,035
Ireland
4,015
Czech Republic
3,825
Luxembourg
3,745
Portugal
1,915
Croatia
945
Lithuania
830
Latvia
790
Slovenia
635
Estonia
525
Migrants at the Greece–North Macedonia border nearGevgelija, 24 August 2015
Rescued male migrants are brought to southern Italian ports, 28 June 2015
Migrants in ahunger strike in front of theBudapest Keleti railway station, 3 September 2015
Migrants arrived inLampedusa
Eritrean migrants inMessina, October 2015
large group of migrants moving along a road, being directed by the army and police
Arrival of migrants in Dobova, Slovenia

EU response

[edit]
Main article:European Union response to the 2015 migrant crisis

The response at the EU level was relatively uncoordinated, as some member states unilaterally closed their borders and others, like Germany and Sweden, maintained a relatively welcoming stance. The sudden border closures often resulted in chaos, trapping large numbers of people in countries where they had no desire to stay.

TheEuropean Commission made some attempts toharmonize the different policies, such as the Common European Asylum System (CEAS). In addition, theEuropean Border and Coast Guard Agency focused on strengthening European border integrity in theMediterranean Sea. Several policies, such as an "Emergency Trust Fund," were also developed to address problems in the home countries of asylum seekers.

Role of non-governmental organizations

[edit]

Non-governmental organizations often filled the vacuum official operations were insufficient.[179] Following the end of Italy's Mare Nostrum operation in 2014, NGOs began performing search and rescue operations.[180] Some Italian authorities feared that they encouraged people to use the dangerous passage facilitated by human traffickers.[181][182] In July 2017, Italy drew up a code of conduct for NGO rescue vessels delivering migrants to Italian ports.[183] These rules prohibited coordinating with human traffickers via flares or radio and required vessels to permit police presence on board. More controversially, they also forbade entering theterritorial waters of Libya and transferring rescued people onto other vessels, which severely limited the number of people NGOs could save.[184] TheHuman Rights Watch andAmnesty International criticised the code of conduct and some NGOs, includingDoctors Without Borders, eventually suspended rescue operations.[181] In the years following its implementation, Mediterranean Sea crossings dropped considerably, although the degree to which this was caused by the NGO code is disputed. A study conducted from 2014 to 2019 concluded that external factors like weather and the political stability of Libya contributed more to the ebbs and flows of migrants crossing the Mediterranean.[185] Non-governmental search and rescue operations cannot entirely stop the loss of life at sea in the wake of large-scale migratory flows.[182]

In September 2016, Greek volunteers of the "Hellenic Rescue Team" and human rights activist Efi Latsoudi were awarded theNansen Refugee Award by the UNHCR "for their tireless volunteer work" in helping refugees arrive in Greece during the 2015 refugee crisis.[186]

Public opinion

[edit]

A 2016 study byPew Research Center suggested widespread anxiety over the refugee crisis and immigration in general, particularly about effects on the labour market, crime, and difficultyintegrating the newcomers. The study also revealed insecurities about weakeningnational identities when taking in people from other cultures.[187]

Many Europeans also harbored more specific anxieties aroundMuslim immigration with a fear thatIslam is incompatible with European values.[12] Some national leaders, notably in Slovakia and Hungary, exploited and at times encouraged this fear for electoral gain.[188] A study of ten European countries byRoyal Institute of International Affairs found that an average of 55% would support stopping further immigration from Muslims, with support ranging from 40% (Spain) to 70% (Poland).[189] A study by theEuropean Social Survey using more nuanced wording found that 25% were opposed to all Muslim immigration; a further 30% supported permitting only "some" Muslim immigration.[190]

The public perception of the migrant crisis from the Hungarian point of view characterized as anti-immigration since 2015. Muslim immigrants are perceived as a symbolic threat to the dominant—mostly Christian—Western culture and [specifically in the Hungarian context] asylum seekers with a Christian background are more welcomed than those with a Muslim background.[191]

A study released by theEuropean Union Agency for Fundamental Rights found out that almost 40% of first and second-generation Muslims in Europe surveyed reported discrimination in their daily life.[192]

British Somali poetWarsan Shire's poem 'Home' became a prominent depiction of the refugee experience. A video ofBenedict Cumberbatch reciting the poem after a stage performance as part of an impassioned plea to help refugees wentviral in September 2015.[193]

Death of Alan Kurdi

[edit]
Main article:Death of Alan Kurdi

A photo of the body of a 2-year-old Syrian boy named Alan Kurdi (after he drowned on 2 September 2015) became a symbol of the suffering of refugees trying to reach Europe.[194] Unlike many pictures of refugees often published in European media, in which "asylum-seekers are generally shown in groups of people, often on boats, rather than as single individuals", the picture was of a single, identifiable child victim and engendered a wave of compassion throughout Europe.[195] Multiple EU leaders addressed the photo and called for EU action to address the crisis.[196][197] Kurdi and his family were Syrian refugees, and 2-year-old Alan died alongside his brother and mother – only his father survived the journey, telling CNN "everything I was dreaming of is gone. I want to bury my children and sit beside them until I die."[197] Kurdi's body was photographed by Turkish journalistNilüfer Demir.

Pro and anti-immigration protests

[edit]
"Syrian Refugees Welcome" rally in Vienna, 31 August 2015
Anti-immigration rally in Poland in 2015
Anti-immigration rally called "For our culture and safe country" in Prague, Czech Republic, 12 September 2015
A pro-migration demonstration in Helsinki, Finland, showing a sign saying Natsit & ISIS = samaa paskaa, Finnish for "Nazis & ISIS = the same shit".
Pro-migration rally in Prague, Czech Republic, 17 October 2015
(pro) 12 September 2015Vienna; (anti) 2015Poland; (anti) 12 September 2015 Czech Republic; (pro) 6 December 2018 Finland; (pro) 17 October 2015Czech Republic

Pegida, a pan-European far-right political movement founded in 2014 on opposition to immigration from Muslim countries, experienced a resurgence during the refugee crisis, especially ineastern Germany. The movement said that "Western civilisation could soon come to an end through Islam conquering Europe".[198] In theUnited Kingdom, members of the far-right anti-immigration groupBritain First organised protest marches.[199] An analysis byHope not Hate, an anti-racist advocacy group, identified 24 different British groups attempting to whip up mistrust of Muslims and provoke a "cultural civil war", including theUK chapter of Pegida and the political partyLiberty GB.[200]

White-nationalistconspiracy theories predicting a Muslim takeover of Europe gained wider prominence during and after the refugee crisis.[201] A theory known asEurabia, which claims thatglobalist entities led by French and Arab powers are plotting to "islamise" and "arabise" Europe, was propagated widely in far-right circles.[202] Many groups also circulated a similar conspiracy theory called the "Great Replacement".[15]

Other notable anti-immigration protests in the aftermath of 2015, some of which escalated to riots, included:

Notable pro-refugee or pro-immigration protests in response to the refugee crisis included:

  • 15 June 2015:Birlikte, a series of semi-annual rallies and correspondingcultural festivals against right-wing extremist violence in Germany[206][207]
  • 12 September 2015: "day of action" in several European cities in support of refugees and migrants, several 10,000 participants.[208] On the same day, anti-immigration rallies took place in some eastern European countries.[208]
  • 18 February 2017:Volem acollir ("we want to welcome") protest inBarcelona, 160,000–500,000 participants[209]

Statistics

[edit]

More than 3,700 migrants died trying, usually by drowning.[210]

Asylum applications

[edit]
EU Asylum applicants by origin[211]
Origin20152016
Syria
362,715
334,815
Afghanistan
178,290
182,975
Iraq
121,585
127,090
Pakistan
46,510
47,655
Nigeria
30,000
46,245
Iran
25,400
40,210
Eritrea
33,110
33,370
Albania
66,145
29,145
Russia
18,395
23,045
Unknown
21,135
20,035
Rest of the world
354,450
322,225
Countries of origin of asylum applicants in the EU and EFTA states between 1 January and 30 June 2015
This map shows the distribution of refugees and asylum seekers at the end of 2015 in the regions of Middle East, Africa and Europe while also showing the top 8 (data in millions) worldwide countries of origin of refugees (note that Turkey is out of scale, hosting 2.7 millions refugees while Palestinian refugees are not included; UNHCR data)
Nationalities of the Mediterranean sea arrivals to Greece and Italy in 2015, according to UNHCR data
Map of migrants' routes to North Africa and Europe from West Africa
Syrian refugees hosted in some Middle East countries (Turkey, Lebanon, Jordan, Iraq, and Egypt); only a small fraction of all Syrian refugees have been resettled anywhere in the world (data as of August 2015)
Countries of origin of asylum applicants (1 January – 30 June 2015), Distribution of refugees and asylum seekers at 2015[212] Nationalities of the Mediterranean sea arrivals in 2015,[48] Map of migrants' routes, Syrian refugees as of August 2015[213]

Over 75% of asylum seekers arriving in Europe in 2015 were fleeing fromSyria,Afghanistan orIraq.[214] Other significant countries of origin wereKosovo,Albania,Pakistan andEritrea.[215]

Around half of asylum applications were made by young adults between 18 and 34 years of age; 96,000 refugees wereunaccompanied minors. Around three-quarters of applications were by men.[216] The gender imbalance among refugees reaching Europe has multiple related causes, most significantly the dangerous and expensive nature of the journey. Men with families often travel to Europe alone with the intent of applying forfamily reunification once their asylum request is granted.[217] In addition, in many countries, such as Syria, men are at greater risk than women of being forciblyconscripted or killed.[218]

Developing countries hosted the largest share of refugees (86 per cent by the end of 2014, the highest figure in more than two decades); theleast developed countries alone provided asylum to 25 per cent of refugees worldwide.[28] Even though most Syrian refugees were hosted by neighbouring countries such asTurkey,Lebanon andJordan, the number of asylum applications lodged by Syrian refugees in Europe steadily increased between 2011 and 2015, totaling 813,599 in 37 European countries (including both EU members and non-members) as of November 2015; 57 per cent of them applied forasylum in Germany orSerbia.[219]

Acceptance rate of asylum requests

[edit]
Number of first time asylum applications received by the top ten recipients in the EU-28, January–December 2015. The top ten recipients account for more than 90 per cent of the asylum applications received in the EU-28.[220]

52 per cent of asylum applications in the EU were granted in 2015; another 14 per cent were granted on appeal. The citizenships with the highest recognition rates at first instance were Syria (97.2 per cent), Eritrea (89.8 per cent), Iraq (85.7 per cent), Afghanistan (67 per cent), Iran (64.7 per cent), Somalia (63.1 per cent) and Sudan (56 per cent).[221] Asylum applications by citizens of some countries with high levels of violence, likeNigeria andPakistan, nevertheless had low success rates.

Economic migrants

[edit]

Some people applying for asylum were perceived to beeconomic migrants using the asylum process to move to Europe to find work, rather than fleeing war or persecution. Economic migrants are not eligible for asylum, although the distinction between economic migrants and refugees is not always clear since some people fleeing war are also fleeing poverty.[222] It is difficult to say what proportion of the 2015 arrivals to Europe were "economic migrants." Some analysts use refugee recognition rates as a metric,[223] although this is also difficult since these vary widely between EU countries.[224]

People from theWestern Balkans — most of whom wereRomanis, a marginalized ethnic group[225] — were often perceived to beeconomic migrants.[226] Parts ofWest Africa andPakistan also had low recognition rates.[227][228] However, these nationalities made up a relatively small percentage of 2015 arrivals. In 2015, 14% of all first-time asylum requests filed in the EU were by people from the Western Balkans; in 2016 the figure was 5%.[220] Syrians, Afghans and Iraqis, whose asylum recognition rates ranged between 60% and 100% in Germany (which accepted by far the largest number of refugees in 2015) together filed around half of all asylum requests in both years.[224]

Some argue that migrants have been seeking to settle preferentially in national destinations that offer more generoussocial welfare benefits and host more established Middle Eastern and African immigrant communities. Others argue that migrants are attracted to more tolerant societies with stronger economies, and that the chief motivation for leaving Turkey is that they are not permitted to leave camps or work.[229] A large number of refugees in Turkey have been faced with difficult living circumstances;[230] thus, many refugees arriving in southern Europe continue their journey in attempts to reach northern European countries such as Germany, which are observed as having more prominent outcomes of security.[231] In contrast to Germany, France's popularity eroded in 2015 among migrants seeking asylum after being historically considered a popular final destination for the EU migrants.[232][233]

Migrants along the Western Balkan route crossing from Serbia into Hungary, 24 August 2015

International reactions

[edit]

In September 2015,NATO Secretary GeneralJens Stoltenberg noted that NATO could play a long-term role stabilizing war-torn countries in the Middle East, North Africa, and in Afghanistan, but that "immediate measures, border, migrant, the discussion about quotas, so on – [are] civilian issues, addressed by the European Union."[234]

The Russian Federation released an official statement on 2 September 2015 reporting that theUnited Nations Security Council was working on a draft resolution to address the European migrant crisis, likely by permitting the inspection of suspected migrant ships.[235]

The International Organization for Migration claimed that deaths at sea increased ninefold after the end ofOperation Mare Nostrum.[236]Amnesty International condemned European governments for "negligence towards thehumanitarian crisis in the Mediterranean" which they say led to an increase in deaths at sea.

In April 2015, Amnesty International andHuman Rights Watch criticised the funding of search and rescue operations. Amnesty International said that the EU was "turning its back on its responsibilities and clearly threatening thousands of lives".[237][238]

Australian prime ministerTony Abbott said the tragedies were "worsened by Europe's refusal to learn from its own mistakes and from the efforts of others who have handled similar problems. Destroying the criminal people-smugglers was the centre of gravity ofour border control policies, and judicious boat turnbacks was the key."[239]

Then-U.S. PresidentBarack Obama praised Germany for taking a leading role in accepting refugees.[240] During his April 2016 visit toGermany, he praised German ChancellorAngela Merkel for being on "the right side of history" with her open-border immigration policy.[241]

In a report released in January 2016,Médecins Sans Frontières (MSF) denounced the EU response to therefugee crisis in 2015 and said that policies of deterrence and chaotic response to the humanitarian needs of those who fled actively worsened the conditions of refugees and migrants and created a "policy-made humanitarian crisis". According to MSF, obstacles placed by EU governments included "not providing any alternative to a deadly sea crossing, erecting razor wire fences, continuously changing administrative and registration procedures, committing acts of violence at sea and at land borders and providing completely inadequate reception conditions in Italy and Greece".[242]

In March 2016, NATO GeneralPhilip Breedlove stated, "Together, Russia and the Assad regime are deliberately weaponizing migration in an attempt to overwhelm European structures and break European resolve. .. These indiscriminate weapons used by both Bashar al-Assad, and the non-precision use of weapons by the Russian forces – I can't find any other reason for them other than to cause refugees to be on the move and make them someone else's problem."[243] He also expressed concern that criminals, extremists andISIS fighters might be among the flow of migrants.[244]

On 18 June 2016,United Nations chiefBan Ki-moon also called for international support and praised Greece for showing "remarkable solidarity and compassion" towards refugees.[245][246] The lack of action by UNESCO in this area was the subject of controversy. Some scholars, like António Silva,[247] blamed UNESCO for not denouncing racism against war refugees in Europe with the same vigor as the vandalism against ancient monuments perpetrated by fundamentalists in the Middle East.[citation needed]

Aftermath

[edit]

Following the European Union's measures to prevent asylum seekers from reaching its borders, monthly arrivals dropped to around 10,000–20,000 in spring 2016. Arrival numbers fell in each of the following years, dropping to 95,000 by 2020.[248] Turkish presidentRecep Tayyip Erdoğan continued to occasionally threaten to renege on Turkey's agreement to prevent migrants and refugees from reaching Europe, often demanding more cash[249] or retaliating for European criticism of Turkey's human rights record.[250]

Effects on politics

[edit]

The refugee crisis polarized European society. In Western Europe, large majorities supported accepting refugees fleeing violence and war, while Eastern Europeans were generally more ambivalent. At the same time, however, large majorities also disapproved of the EU's handling of the refugee wave.[13]

Czech politician and leader of the right-wing populist partySPD,Tomio Okamura, speaks at an anti-immigration rally inPrague, 17 October 2015

As southeastern European countries began seeing large numbers of refugees and migrants began moving through them, political leaders began to capitalize on the uncertainty felt by locals. The Hungarian prime minister,Viktor Orbán, in particular began to campaign on fear of immigration, calling refugees "Muslim invaders",[251] conflating migrants with terrorism,[252] and stating that they were part of a "left-wing conspiracy" to gain new voters.[253] In October, Czech PresidentMiloš Zeman used similar rhetoric to campaign on opposition to refugees.[254]

The refugee crisis was also a major issue in Poland's2015 parliamentary elections, with then-opposition leaderJarosław Kaczyński in particular stoking fear of immigrants and claiming the EU was planning to flood Poland with Muslims. Under incumbent prime ministerEwa Kopacz, Poland had agreed to accept 2,000 refugees as part of the European Union's plan to distribute a fraction of that year's arrivals, while at the same time opposing the settlement of "economic migrants".[255] After Kaczyński'sLaw and Justice party won the elections, Poland rescinded its willingness to cooperate with the European Commission.[256]

Nigel Farage, leader of the BritishUnited Kingdom Independence Party, said that Islamists could exploit the situation and enter Europe in large numbers.[257][258] In western European countries, although support for refugees was generally high,[13]far-right leaders fiercely opposed allowing the newly arrived refugees to stay.Matteo Salvini, leader of Italy'sLeague, described the migration as a "planned invasion" which must be stopped.[259]Geert Wilders, leader of the DutchParty for Freedom, called the influx of people an "Islamic invasion" and spoke of "masses of young men in their twenties with beards singingAllahu Akbar across Europe".[260]Marine Le Pen, leader of the French far-rightNational Front, was criticized by German media[261][262] for implying that Germany was looking to undercut minimum wage laws and hire "slaves".[263]

Germany's acceptance of over 1 million asylum seekers was controversial both within Angela Merkel'scentre-rightChristian Democratic Union party and among the general public.[264]Pegida, an anti-immigration protest movement, flourished briefly in late 2014, followed by a new wave of anti-immigration protests in the late summer of 2015. Many members of parliament for the CDU voiced dissatisfaction with Merkel.Horst Seehofer, then premier ofBavaria, became a prominent critic within the CDU of Merkel's refugee policy[265] and alleged that as many as 30 per cent of Germany's asylum seekers claiming to be from Syria were in fact from other countries.[266]Yasmin Fahimi, secretary-general of thecentre-leftSocial Democratic Party (SPD), the junior partner of the ruling coalition, praised Merkel's policy allowing migrants in Hungary to enter Germany as "a strong signal of humanity to show that Europe's values are valid also in difficult times".[267]

In the2017 German federal election, theright-wing populistAlternative for Germany (AfD) gained 12% of the vote, which was attributed in part to anxieties around immigration.[268] A 2022 study by the Bertelsmann Foundation showed that positive and negative assessments have begun to "roughly balance each other out", with those surveyed for the study expressing concerns about additional burden on the welfare state and social conflict, while also hoping that the migrants "could solve Germany's demographic and economic problems.[269][270]

Viktor Orbán declares the government's victory after the publication of the preliminary result on the eve of the referendum. Subtitle: "Let us defend Hungary!"
Italian far-right politicianMatteo Salvini speaks at an anti-immigration rally inTurin, 2013

The Hungarian government underFidesz held a referendum in 2016, where the overwhelming majority (98.4%) rejected the EU's mandatory migrant quotas, although the result was not considered valid because turnout fell short of the required 50% threshold, due to the opposition boycotting the referendum.

Effects on 2016 Brexit vote

[edit]
Further information:Causes of the vote in favour of Brexit

The2016 United Kingdom European Union membership referendum took place on 23 June 2016, around nine months after peak of the refugee crisis. The UK was never a member of theSchengen Area and so experienced very few direct effects of the influx of migrants.[271] Nevertheless,Leave.EU, one of the two main groups campaigning in favour of Brexit, made the refugee crisis its defining issue (the other main pro-Leave group,Vote Leave, primarily focused on economic arguments). The campaign portrayed the European Union as inept and unable to control its borders, and conflated the refugee crisis with unease over Turkey's application tojoin the EU (although very few of the 2015 refugees were from Turkey).[14]

Theresa May, thenHome Secretary (and laterprime minister), though critical of the European Union's immigration policy, opposed Brexit and argued that the UK was already well-isolated from immigration crises occurring in the wider EU:

"Now I know some people say the EU does not make us more secure because it does not allow us to control our border. But that is not true.Free movement rules mean it is harder to control the volume of European immigration – and as I said yesterday that is clearly no good thing – but they do not mean we cannot control the border. The fact that we are not part ofSchengen – the group of countries without border checks – means we have avoided the worst of the migration crisis that has hit continental Europe over the last year."

— Home Secretary, Theresa May[272]

The Brexit vote resulted in a narrow decision to leave the EU (51.9% to 48.1%). According toexit polls, one third of Leave voters believed leaving the EU would allow Britain to better control immigration and its own borders.[273]

Integration of refugees

[edit]
Main article:Integration of immigrants

While figures specifically for refugees are often not available, they tend to be disproportionately unemployed compared to the local population, especially in the years immediately following their resettlement.OECD data comparing employment rates of local-born compared to foreign-born residents demonstrated large differences between countries. According to a 2016 article, it took foreign-born an average of 20 years to fully "catch up" with locals. In all countries except Italy and Portugal, immigrants had lower rates of employment compared to the local population, but considerable differences exist with respect to both host countries and countries of origin. In theNetherlands,Denmark,Sweden andGermany, for instance, the gap was larger than in theUK,Italy andPortugal.[274]

Rejected asylum seekers

[edit]

People whose asylum applications are rejected are generally required to return to their home countries. Some do so voluntarily; others aredeported. However, deportation is often difficult in practice; a common reason is lacking travel documents or the person's country of origin refusing to accept returnees.[275] The annual rate of return has generally averaged around one-third.[276] In some countries that took in large numbers of asylum seekers, this has resulted in tens of thousands of people not having legal residency rights, raising worries of institutionalised poverty and the creation ofparallel societies.[277] The years following the 2015 refugee crisis saw some European countries enact legislation to speed up deportations.[278] The EU began threatening to withholddevelopment aid from or impose visa restrictions on countries refusing to take in their own citizens.

For a variety of reasons, some rejected asylum seekers also ended up being permitted to stay. Some countries, such as Germany and Sweden, allow rejected asylum seekers to apply for certain other visas (e.g., to pursuevocational training if they have secured anapprenticeship).[279]

Tightening of asylum laws

[edit]

Around November 2015, some European countries restrictedfamily reunions for refugees, and started campaigns to dissuade people worldwide to migrate to Europe. EU leaders also quietly encouraged Balkan governments to only allow nationals from the most war-torn countries (Syria, Afghanistan and Iraq) to pass into the EU.[280]

In 2016Sweden began issuing three-year residence permits to recognized refugees. Refugees had previously receivedpermanent residency automatically.[281]

In January 2016, Denmark passed a law permitting police to confiscate valuables like jewelry and cash from refugees. As of early 2019, the police had only enforced the cash-seizing provision.[282]

Post-traumatic stress

[edit]
See also:Refugee health § Mental health

Refugees, who have often fled violence their home countries and experienced further violence during their journey, have high rates ofpost-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD).[283] In 2016 in Sweden, 30% of Syrian refugees were estimated to suffer from PTSD,depression, andanxiety.[284] In 2020, a study of physically healthy young refugees in Germany identified 40% as having risk factors for PTSD.[285] Long asylum claim processing times, during which refugees cannot work or travel and contemplate being sent back to their home country, often compound poormental health.[286] Although asylum applications are in principle supposed to be processed within six months on average, many countries that took in significantly more refugees than in previous years took considerably longer – in many cases over year and sometimes up to two.[287]

In Germany, refugees do not have access to non-acute medical care, including therapy mental health treatments, until they have lived in the country for at least 15 months. Language barriers also often make therapy particularly difficult.[288]

Press coverage

[edit]

TheCardiff School of Journalism, in a report on behalf ofUNHCR, analysed several thousand media reports on the refugee crisis in Spain, Italy, United Kingdom, Germany and Sweden. In all countries, conservative tabloids and newspapers, such as the BritishDaily Mail, the SpanishABC and the GermanWelt, were found to be more likely to emphasize perceived risks of extremists among arriving refugees, while centre-left publications were more likely to mention humanitarian aspects. A similar split was apparent in the reasons for people fleeing their home countries: right-wing newspapers were more likely to mention economic reasons than left-of-centre ones.[289]

The study also found significant differences between countries, noting that right-wing media in the United Kingdom had conducted a "uniquely aggressive campaign" against refugees and migrants in 2015. Threats to welfare systems and cultural threats were most prevalent in Italy, Spain, and Britain while humanitarian themes were more frequent in Italian coverage. More subtle differences in were found in the terminology used: German and Swedish media overwhelmingly used the termsrefugee orasylum seeker while Italy and UK were more likely to use the termmigrant. In Spain, the dominant term wasimmigrant. Overall theSwedish press was most positive towards the arrivals.[289]

Press coverage of German migration policies

[edit]

JournalistWill Hutton for the British newspaperThe Guardian praised Angela Merkel's leadership during the refugee crisis: "Angela Merkel's humane stance on migration is a lesson to us all... The German leader has stood up to be counted. Europe should rally to her side... She wants to keep Germany and Europe open, to welcome legitimate asylum seekers in common humanity, while doing her very best to stop abuse and keep the movement to manageable proportions. Which demands a European-wide response (...)".[290]

Analyst Naina Bajekal for the United States' magazineTime in September 2015 suggested that the German decision to allow Syrian refugees to apply for asylum in Germany even if they had reached Germany through other EU member states in August 2015, led to increased numbers of refugees from Syria and other regions – Afghanistan, Somalia, Iraq, Ukraine, Congo, South Sudan etc. – endeavouring to reach (Western) Europe.[291]

In March 2016, the UK'sDaily Telegraph said that Merkel's 2015 decisions concerning migration represented an "open door policy", which it said was "encouraging migration into Europe that her own country is unwilling to absorb" and as damaging the EU, "perhaps terminally".[292]

See also

[edit]

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^Data for the rest of the year 2015 can be found in the EurostatAsylum quarterly report.[1]
  2. ^Although the majority of refugees arrived in Europe in 2015,[178] many did not file asylum claims until 2016 or 2017.

References

[edit]
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  2. ^Barlai, Melani; Fähnrich, Birte; Griessler, Christina; Rhomberg, Markus, eds. (2017).The migrant crisis: European perspectives and national discourses. Peter Filzmaier (preface). LIT Verlag Münster.ISBN 978-3-643-90802-5.OCLC 953843642.
  3. ^Dumont, Jean-Christophe; Scarpet, Stefano (September 2015)."Is this humanitarian migration crisis different?"(PDF).Migration Policy Debates.OECD.Archived(PDF) from the original on 30 July 2021. Retrieved23 August 2021.
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  9. ^abNugent, Neil (2017). "Setting the Scene: The 'Crises', the Challenges, and Their Implications for the Nature and Operation of the EU".The government and politics of the European Union (8th ed.).Palgrave Macmillan. pp. 1–20.ISBN 978-1-137-45409-6.
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  14. ^abOuthwaite, William (28 February 2019). Menjívar, Cecilia; Ruiz, Marie; Ness, Immanuel (eds.)."Migration Crisis and "Brexit"".The Oxford Handbook of Migration Crises. Oxford Handbooks.doi:10.1093/oxfordhb/9780190856908.001.0001.ISBN 9780190856908.Archived from the original on 14 May 2022. Retrieved24 February 2024.
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