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2014 United States Senate election in Wyoming

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2014 United States Senate election in Wyoming
← 2008November 4, 2014 (2014-11-04)2020 →
 
NomineeMike EnziCharlie HardyCurt Gottshall
PartyRepublicanDemocraticIndependent
Popular vote121,55429,37713,311
Percentage72.19%17.45%7.90%
County results
Enzi:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
U.S. senator before election

Mike Enzi
Republican

Elected U.S. Senator

Mike Enzi
Republican

Elections in Wyoming
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The2014 United States Senate election in Wyoming took place on November 4, 2014, to elect a member of theUnited States Senate for theState of Wyoming. IncumbentRepublican senatorMike Enzi won re-election to a fourth term in office. Enzi held Democratic nomineeCharlie Hardy to just 17.4 percent of the vote – the lowest percentage of the vote for any major party nominee in Wyoming U.S. Senate electoral history out of the 39 races conducted during the direct election era.[1]

Republican primary

[edit]

No incumbent Wyoming Republican senator running for re-election in the direct vote era has failed to win their party's nomination.[2]

Candidates

[edit]

Declared

[edit]
  • Thomas Bleming, former mercenary and candidate for the U.S. Senate in2012[3][4]
  • Arthur Bruce Clifton, oil company worker[5][6]
  • Mike Enzi, incumbent senator[7]
  • James "Coaltrain" Gregory[5]
  • Bryan E. Miller, retired air force officer and energy consultant[5]

Withdrew

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Mike Enzi
Liz Cheney(withdrawn)

U.S. Ambassadors

Individuals

Polling

[edit]
Hypothetical polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Mike
Enzi		Liz
Cheney		Undecided
Harper Polling[19]July 17–18, 2013422± 4.77%55%21%24%
Public Policy Polling[20]July 19–21, 2013780± 3.5%54%26%19%
Wickers Group^[21]August 22–28, 2013400± 4.5%61%21%18%
Wickers Group^[21]October 25–28, 2013400± 4.5%69%17%14%
  • ^ Internal poll for the Mike Enzi campaign
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Liz
Cheney		Cynthia
Lummis		Undecided
Public Policy Polling[20]July 19–21, 2013780± 3.5%34%41%25%

Results

[edit]
Results by county:
  Enzi
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
Republican primary results[22]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanMike Enzi (incumbent)77,96578.51%
RepublicanBryan E. Miller9,3309.39%
RepublicanJames "Coaltrain" Gregory3,7403.77%
RepublicanThomas Bleming2,5042.52%
RepublicanArthur Bruce Clifton1,4031.41%
RepublicanWrite-in3460.35%
RepublicanOver Votes510.05%
RepublicanUnder Votes3,9734.00%
Total votes99,312100.00%

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Declared

[edit]
  • William Bryk, attorney from New York and perennial candidate[5]
  • Charlie Hardy, retired priest and candidate for Congress in 2012[23]
  • Al Hamburg, retired house painter, veteran and perennial candidate[5][24][25]
  • Rex Wilde, contracting company employee and candidate for governor in2010[26]

Declined

[edit]

Results

[edit]
Results by county:
  Hardy
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  Wilde
  •   40–50%
Democratic primary results[22]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticCharlie Hardy7,20039.33%
DemocraticRex Wilde3,01216.46%
DemocraticAl Hamburg2,98816.32%
DemocraticWilliam Bryk1,6709.12%
DemocraticWrite-in2161.18%
DemocraticOver Votes310.17%
DemocraticUnder Votes3,18917.42%
Total votes18,306100.00%

Independents and third parties

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Declared

[edit]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[30]Solid RNovember 3, 2014
Sabato's Crystal Ball[31]Safe RNovember 3, 2014
Rothenberg Political Report[32]Safe RNovember 3, 2014
Real Clear Politics[33]Safe RNovember 3, 2014

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Mike
Enzi (R)		Charlie
Hardy (D)		OtherUndecided
CBS News/NYT/YouGov[34]July 5–24, 2014419± 5.1%66%23%5%7%
Rasmussen Reports[35]August 20–21, 2014700± 4%63%27%4%5%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov[36]August 18 – September 2, 2014350± 8%66%21%4%8%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov[37]September 20 – October 1, 2014264± 7%75%17%2%6%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov[37]October 16–23, 2014258± 11%67%27%0%6%
Hypothetical polling

With Enzi

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Mike
Enzi (R)		Dave
Freudenthal (D)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling[20]July 19–21, 20131,203± 2.8%54%31%—15%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Mike
Enzi (R)		Gary
Trauner (D)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling[20]July 19–21, 20131,203± 2.8%66%19%—14%

With Cheney

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Liz
Cheney (R)		Dave
Freudenthal (D)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling[20]July 19–21, 20131,203± 2.8%42%45%—13%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Liz
Cheney (R)		Gary
Trauner (D)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling[20]July 19–21, 20131,203± 2.8%49%31%—20%

Results

[edit]
United States Senate election in Wyoming, 2014[38]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
RepublicanMike Enzi (incumbent)121,55472.19%−3.44%
DemocraticCharlie Hardy29,37717.45%−6.81%
IndependentCurt Gottshall13,3117.90%N/A
LibertarianJoseph Porambo3,6772.18%N/A
Write-in4710.28%+0.17%
Total votes168,390100.00%N/A
Republicanhold

See also

[edit]

References

[edit]
  1. ^Ostermeier, Eric (November 10, 2014)."Rock Bottom: Democrats Hit Multiple Low Water Marks in US Senate Elections".Smart Politics.
  2. ^Ostermeier, Eric (July 9, 2013)."Could Liz Cheney End Wyoming's GOP Incumbency Streak?".Smart Politics.
  3. ^"Bleming Announces Another Run for Wyoming U.S. Senate Seat". Kitsap Sun. May 17, 2013. RetrievedJune 15, 2013.
  4. ^"Ex-Mercenary Running for Wyo. Senate Seat has 'Psychopath' in Crosshairs".U.S. News & World Report. June 28, 2013. RetrievedJuly 8, 2013.
  5. ^abcde"2014 Primary Candidate Roster"(PDF). Wyoming Secretary of State. RetrievedJune 3, 2014.
  6. ^"Arizona man the only Democratic challenger to Wyoming Rep. Cynthia Lummi".Casper Star-Tribune. May 30, 2014. RetrievedJune 3, 2014.
  7. ^Reilly, Mollie (July 16, 2013)."Mike Enzi Will Seek Reelection In 2014 Senate Race".Huffington Post. RetrievedJuly 16, 2013.
  8. ^Martin, Jonathan (January 6, 2014)."Liz Cheney Quits Wyoming Senate Race".The New York Times. RetrievedJanuary 6, 2014.
  9. ^abcZeleny, Jeff (July 16, 2013)."Liz Cheney Jumps Into Wyoming Senate Race Against Mike Enzi".ABC News. RetrievedJuly 23, 2013.
  10. ^abcdeEverett, Burgess (July 28, 2013)."GOP Senators to Liz Cheney: We Like Mike Enzi". Politico. RetrievedJuly 29, 2013.
  11. ^ab"McCain supports Mike Enzi in race over Liz Cheney". AZCentral.com. July 21, 2013. RetrievedJuly 23, 2013.
  12. ^Burns, Alexander (July 11, 2013)."Rand Paul: I've got Mike Enzi's back vs. Liz Cheney".Politico. RetrievedJuly 22, 2013.
  13. ^Everett, Burgess (July 22, 2013)."Olympia Snowe: Liz Cheney challenge to Mike Enzi 'unfortunate'".Politico. RetrievedJuly 24, 2013.
  14. ^Hohmann, James; Burns, Alexander; Raju, Manu (July 16, 2013)."Liz Cheney announces Senate bid". Politico. RetrievedJuly 23, 2013.
  15. ^"Twitter / HeyTammyBruce: I'm thrilled w @Liz_Cheney's". Twitter.com. July 16, 2013. RetrievedJuly 25, 2014.
  16. ^"Sean Hannity Endorses Liz Cheney For Senate".Huffington Post. July 19, 2013. RetrievedJuly 22, 2013.
  17. ^Spiering, Charlie (July 22, 2013)."Conservative talk radio lining up behind Liz Cheney".Washington Examiner. RetrievedJuly 22, 2013.
  18. ^Gold, Hadas (July 22, 2013)."Rush Limbaugh lines up with Liz Cheney". Politico. RetrievedJuly 23, 2013.
  19. ^Harper Polling
  20. ^abcdefPublic Policy Polling
  21. ^abWickers Group ^
  22. ^ab"2014 Official Primary Election results"(PDF). Wyoming Secretary of State. RetrievedSeptember 2, 2014.
  23. ^Roerink, Kyle (January 21, 2014)."Mike Enzi has new opponent: Democrat and former Catholic priest Charlie Hardy".Casper Star-Tribune. RetrievedJanuary 22, 2014.
  24. ^Laura Hancock (June 1, 2014)."Felon, out-of-staters among candidates who filed to run for office".Casper Star-Tribune. RetrievedJune 3, 2014.
  25. ^Trevor Brown (May 25, 2014)."Controversial candidate bids for U.S. Senate seat".Wyoming Tribune Eagle. RetrievedJune 3, 2014.
  26. ^Roerink, Kyle (January 22, 2014)."Second Democrat enters race against Wyoming U.S. Sen. Enzi".Casper Star-Tribune. RetrievedJanuary 22, 2014.
  27. ^Edwards-Levy, Ariel (July 23, 2013)."Liz Cheney Trails Mike Enzi In Wyoming Senate Race: Poll".Huffington Post. RetrievedJuly 24, 2013.
  28. ^Trevor Brown (April 3, 2014)."Laramie pilot is making independent Senate run".Wyoming Tribune Eagle. RetrievedJune 3, 2014.
  29. ^Trevor Brown (April 9, 2014)."Casper cook seeks U.S. Senate seat".Wyoming Tribune Eagle. RetrievedJune 3, 2014.
  30. ^"2014 Senate Race Ratings for November 3, 2014".The Cook Political Report. RetrievedSeptember 20, 2018.
  31. ^"The Crystal Ball's Final 2014 Picks".Sabato's Crystal Ball. November 3, 2014. RetrievedSeptember 20, 2018.
  32. ^"2014 Senate Ratings".Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. RetrievedSeptember 20, 2018.
  33. ^"2014 Elections Map - Battle for the Senate 2014". Real Clear Politics. RetrievedSeptember 20, 2018.
  34. ^CBS News/NYT/YouGov
  35. ^Rasmussen Reports
  36. ^CBS News/NYT/YouGov
  37. ^abCBS News/NYT/YouGov
  38. ^"Statewide Candidates Official Summary Wyoming General Election - November 4, 2014"(PDF).Wyoming Secretary of State. RetrievedNovember 16, 2014.

External links

[edit]

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