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2014 United States Senate election in North Carolina

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2014 United States Senate election in North Carolina
← 2008November 4, 2014 (2014-11-04)2020 →
 
NomineeThom TillisKay Hagan
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Popular vote1,423,2591,377,651
Percentage48.82%47.26%
County results
Congressional district results
Township results
Precinct results
Tillis:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
Hagan:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Tie:     No Vote:     
U.S. senator before election

Kay Hagan
Democratic

Elected U.S. Senator

Thom Tillis
Republican

Elections in North Carolina
U.S. President
Presidential primaries
U.S. Senate
U.S. House of Representatives

The2014 United States Senate election inNorth Carolina took place on November 4, 2014, to elect a member of theUnited States Senate to represent thestate of North Carolina, concurrently withother elections to the United States Senate in other states andelections to theUnited States House of Representatives and variousstate andlocal elections. The primary took place on May 6, 2014.

This was one of the seven Democratic-held Senate seats up for election in a state thatMitt Romney won in the2012 presidential election.

IncumbentDemocratic senatorKay Hagan ran for re-election to a second term in office and lost toRepublicanThom Tillis,Speaker of theNorth Carolina House of Representatives by about 45,000 votes and a margin of 1.6%.[1] This made the election the second-closest race of the 2014 Senate election cycle, behind onlythe election in Virginia. This is the last time a Senator from North Carolina lost re-election.

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Declared

[edit]
  • Kay Hagan, incumbent U.S. senator[2][3]
  • Ernest T. Reeves,[4] retired U.S. Army captain[5]
  • Will Stewart, small business owner[6]

Withdrew

[edit]

Results

[edit]
Democratic primary election results[9]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticKay Hagan (incumbent)372,20977.16%
DemocraticWill Stewart66,90313.87%
DemocraticErnest T. Reeves43,2578.97%
Total votes482,369100.00%

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

The eight Republican candidates on the 2014 U.S. Senate primary ballot were the most in party history in North Carolina, more than the seven on the ballot in the 2002 Republican primary won byElizabeth Dole.[10]

Declared

[edit]

Withdrew

[edit]

Declined

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Greg Brannon

Politicians

Political figures

Organizations

Mark Harris
Jim Snyder
Thom Tillis

Organizations

Politicians

State legislators

Polling

[edit]

Primary

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Ted
Alexander		Alex
Bradshaw		Greg
Brannon		Heather
Grant		Mark
Harris		Edward
Kryn		Jim
Snyder		Thom
Tillis		Other/
Undecided
Public Policy Polling[53]February 6–9, 2014305± 5.6%10%—13%13%8%2%—20%34%
American Insights[54]February 11–15, 2014168± 7.6%——4%4%7%——11%74%
Public Policy Polling[53]March 6–9, 2014392± 5%7%6%14%11%7%1%4%14%36%
SurveyUSA[55]March 17–19, 2014405± 5%7%4%15%11%6%3%4%28%23%
SurveyUSA[56]March 19–23, 2014405± 5%1%2%13%5%9%0%5%27%38%
SurveyUSA[57]March 27–31, 2014433± 4.8%6%1%15%6%11%2%3%23%34%
Public Policy Polling[58]April 3–6, 2014314± 5.5%6%5%15%7%11%1%2%18%34%
SurveyUSA[59]April 16–22, 2014392± 5%1%1%20%2%15%2%2%39%19%
Public Policy Polling[58]April 26–28, 2014694± 3.7%2%1%20%5%11%2%3%46%12%
Public Policy Polling[60]May 3–4, 2014925± 3.2%2%0%28%4%15%1%1%40%11%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Phil
Berger		Greg
Brannon		Jim
Cain		Renee
Ellmers		Bill
Flynn		Virginia
Foxx		Heather
Grant		Mark
Harris		Thom
Tillis		Lynn
Wheeler		Other/
Undecided
Public Policy Polling[61]June 12–14, 2013374± 5.1%11%7%8%9%—23%—4%9%3%27%
Public Policy Polling[62]July 12–14, 2013373± 5.1%11%7%11%11%—16%—1%5%3%35%
22%——18%————21%—39%
———25%————32%—43%
Public Policy Polling[63]August 8–11, 2013344± 5.3%9%7%9%——18%4%4%8%2%40%
22%———————23%—56%
Public Policy Polling[64]September 6–9, 2013311± 5.6%13%6%11%———8%5%12%2%43%
Public Policy Polling[65]November 8–11, 2013498± 4.4%—11%————8%14%20%—47%
Public Policy Polling[66]December 5–8, 2013529± 4.3%—11%——8%—11%12%13%—44%
Public Policy Polling[67]January 9–12, 2014575± 4.1%—11%——7%—11%8%19%—44%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Phil
Berger		Cherie
Berry		Greg
Brannon		Renee
Ellmers		Terry
Embler		Dan
Forest		Virginia
Foxx		George
Holding		Patrick
McHenry		Thom
Tillis		Other/
Undecided
Public Policy Polling[68]February 7–10, 2013518± 4.3%7%18%5%10%1%—18%3%10%3%27%
Public Policy Polling[69]March 7–10, 2013530± 4.3%8%12%4%10%1%18%13%—7%2%24%
Public Policy Polling[70]April 11–14, 2013468± 4.5%11%18%6%12%1%—13%——7%32%
Public Policy Polling[71]May 17–20, 2013366± 5.1%10%14%7%10%——15%——6%38%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Phil
Berger		Renee
Ellmers		Virginia
Foxx		George
Holding		Richard
Hudson		Patrick
McHenry		Mark
Meadows		Sue
Myrick		Robert
Pittenger		Thom
Tillis		Other/
Undecided
Public Policy Polling[72]December 6–9, 2012462± 4.6%—11%17%9%6%13%4%14%—2%25%
Public Policy Polling[73]January 10–13, 2013449± 4.6%5%11%21%2%5%15%——6%2%33%

Runoff

Hypothetical runoff polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Greg
Brannon		Thom
Tillis		Undecided
Public Policy Polling[58]April 26–28, 2014694± 3.7%32%50%18%
Public Policy Polling[60]May 3–4, 2014925± 3.2%40%46%14%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Mark
Harris		Thom
Tillis		Undecided
Public Policy Polling[58]April 26–28, 2014694± 3.7%27%53%20%
Public Policy Polling[60]May 3–4, 2014925± 3.2%34%49%16%

Results

[edit]
Results by county:
  Tillis
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  Brannon
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  Harris
  •   30–40%
Republican primary election results[9]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanThom Tillis223,17445.68%
RepublicanGreg Brannon132,63027.15%
RepublicanMark Harris85,72717.55%
RepublicanHeather Grant22,9714.70%
RepublicanJim Snyder9,4141.93%
RepublicanTed Alexander9,2581.89%
RepublicanAlex Lee Bradshaw3,5280.72%
RepublicanEdward Kryn1,8530.38%
Total votes488,555100.00%

Libertarian primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Declared

[edit]

Results

[edit]
Libertarian primary election results[9]
PartyCandidateVotes%
LibertarianSean Haugh1,22660.69%
LibertarianTim D'Annunzio79439.31%
Total votes2,020100.00%

Other parties

[edit]

Certified write-in candidates

[edit]

General election

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Outside spending

[edit]

In July 2014, Jim Morrill ofThe Charlotte Observer calculated that as of the end of June, more than $26 million had been spent by outside advocacy groups on the election, with $17 million of it attacking Hagan or supporting Tillis and less than $9 million supporting Hagan or attacking Tillis. By contrast, outside groups spent $25 million during the entire2008 election. He reported that only $11.4 million had been reported to the FEC, with the rest of the "dark money" coming from groups that did not have to disclose their donors. 27% of the money spent supporting Tillis came from groups required to disclose their donors whereas 69% of the money supporting Hagan did so.[78]

OpenSecrets placed the final cost of outside spending at $8.5 million for Hagan and $35.5 million attacking Tillis, and $13.7 million for Tillis and $20.9 million attacking Hagan, placing the totals by candidate at $44 million for Hagan, and $34.6 million for Tillis.[79]

Debates

[edit]

Three televised debates between the candidates were held: the first on September 3 moderated byNorah O'Donnell of CBS, the second on October 7 moderated byGeorge Stephanopoulos of ABC, and the third (the only one to feature Sean Haugh) on October 9 moderated by Jon Evans ofWECT-TV.[80]

Video of the first debate is availablehere, with the secondhere and the thirdhere.

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[81]TossupNovember 3, 2014
Sabato's Crystal Ball[82]Lean DNovember 3, 2014
Rothenberg Political Report[83]TossupNovember 3, 2014
Real Clear Politics[84]TossupNovember 3, 2014

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Kay
Hagan (D)		Thom
Tillis (R)		Sean
Haugh (L)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling[72]December 6–9, 2012578± 4.1%48%38%——14%
Public Policy Polling[73]January 10–13, 2013608± 4%47%37%——16%
Public Policy Polling[68]February 7–10, 2013600± 4%46%38%——16%
Public Policy Polling[69]March 7–10, 2013611± 4%50%36%——14%
Public Policy Polling[70]April 11–14, 2013601± 4%49%39%——11%
Public Policy Polling[71]May 17–20, 2013500± 4.4%48%41%——11%
Public Policy Polling[61]June 12–14, 2013500± 4.4%45%40%——15%
Public Policy Polling[62]July 12–14, 2013600± 4%49%38%——12%
Public Policy Polling[63]August 8–11, 2013600± 4%47%39%——14%
Public Policy Polling[64]September 6–9, 2013600± 4%51%36%——14%
Public Policy Polling[85]October 4–6, 2013746± ?%47%40%——13%
Public Policy Polling[65]November 8–11, 2013701± 4%44%42%——14%
Public Policy Polling[66]December 5–8, 20131,281± 2.7%44%42%——14%
Public Policy Polling[67]January 9–12, 20141,384± 2.6%42%43%——15%
Harper Polling[86]January 20–21, 2014778± 3.51%44%44%——12%
Rasmussen Reports[87]January 22–23, 2014500± 4.5%40%47%—3%10%
Public Policy Polling[53]February 6–9, 2014708± 3.7%40%42%——17%
American Insights[54]February 11–15, 2014611± 4%38%35%——26%
Hickman Analytics[88]February 17–20, 2014400± 4.9%45%41%——13%
Public Policy Polling[89]March 6–9, 2014884± 3.3%45%43%——13%
SurveyUSA[57]March 27–31, 20141,489± 2.6%45%46%——9%
Public Policy Polling[58]April 3–6, 2014740± 3.6%43%41%——16%
New York Times/Kaiser Family[90]April 8–15, 2014900± ?42%40%—5%14%
Magellan Strategies[91]April 14–15, 2014804± 3.46%43%43%—8%6%
Rasmussen Reports[92]May 7–8, 2014750± 4%44%45%—5%7%
Public Policy Polling[93]May 9–11, 2014877± 3.3%38%36%11%—15%
41%41%——18%
Civitas Institute[94]May 20–22, 2014600± 4%36%39%8%—15%
41%46%——12%
Magellan Strategies[95]June 5–8, 2014700± 3.7%47%46%——7%
Public Policy Polling[96]June 12–15, 20141,076± 3%39%34%11%—16%
42%38%——20%
Civitas Institute[97]June 18–19 & 22, 2014600± 4%42%36%9%—12%
47%43%——9%
Public Policy Polling[98]July 17–20, 20141,062± 3%41%34%8%—16%
42%39%——19%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov[99]July 5–24, 20142,678± 3.5%44%45%—2%7%
Gravis Marketing[100]July 22–27, 20141,380± 3%44%41%——15%
Civitas Institute[101]July 28–29, 2014600± 4%41%39%7%—12%
43%45%——10%
Rasmussen Reports[102]August 5–6, 2014750± 4%40%45%—6%9%
Public Policy Polling[103]August 14–17, 2014856± 3.4%42%38%8%—13%
43%42%——14%
Suffolk University[104]August 16–19, 2014500± 4.4%45.4%43%5.2%—6.4%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov[105]August 18 – September 2, 20142,059± 3%42%43%5%0%10%
Garin-Hart-Yang[106]September 3–6, 2014802± 3.5%48%45%——7%
Elon University[107]September 5–9, 2014629 LV± 3.91%44.9%40.8%—9.1%5.2%
983 RV± 3.13%42.7%36.8%—10.7%9.8%
American Insights[108]September 5–10, 2014459± 4.6%46%36%6%—13%
Rasmussen Reports[109]September 8–10, 20141,000± 4%45%39%—6%9%
Civitas Institute[110]September 9–10, 2014490± 4.5%46%43%5%—6%
47%46%——7%
Public Policy Polling[111]September 11–14, 20141,266± 2.8%44%40%5%—11%
46%42%——12%
Fox News[112]September 14–16, 2014605± 4%41%36%6%—13%
High Point University[113]September 13–18, 2014410± 5%42%40%6%—12%
Global Strategy Group[114]September 16–18, 2014600± 4.9%45%41%5%—9%
Gravis Marketing[115]September 22–23, 2014860± 3%46%42%——12%
CNN/ORC[116]September 22–25, 2014595 LV± 4%46%43%7%—4%
860± 3.5%46%39%9%—6%
Civitas[117]September 25, 27–28, 2014600± 4%46%41%4%1%8%
860± 3.5%50%43%——8%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov[118]September 20 – October 1, 20142,002± 3%46%45%2%1%6%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner[119]September 25 – October 1, 20141,000± 2.09%45%41%—14%
NBC News/Marist[120]September 27 – October 1, 2014665 LV± 3.8%44%40%7%<1%9%
1,132 RV± 2.9%42%37%8%1%12%
Morey Group[121]October 1–6, 2014956± 3.2%40.1%37.8%—2%20.2%
Suffolk University[122]October 4–7, 2014500± 4.4%46.8%45.4%4.4%—3.4%
Rasmussen Reports[123]October 6–7, 2014970± 3%48%46%—2%4%
High Point University[124]September 30 – October 2 and October 4–9, 2014584± 4.1%39.5%40.4%7%—13%
SurveyUSA[125]October 10–12, 2014554± 4.2%44%41%7%—8%
45%46%——9%
Civitas Institute[126]October 15–18, 2014600± 4%41%42%6%—11%
44%44%——12%
Gravis Marketing[127]October 16–18, 20141,022± 3%43%48%——9%
Public Policy Polling[128]October 16–18, 2014780± 3.5%46%43%5%—7%
47%44%——8%
SurveyUSA[129]October 16–20, 2014568± 4.2%46%43%6%—5%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov[118]October 16–23, 20141,910± 4%44%41%2%0%13%
NBC News/Marist[130]October 19–23, 2014756 LV± 3.6%43%43%7%<1%6%
1,070 RV± 3%42%40%8%1%9%
SurveyUSA[131]October 21–25, 2014802± 4%44%44%5%3%5%
Elon University[132]October 21–25, 2014687 LV± 3.74%44.7%40.7%—6.3%6.6%
996 RV± 3.11%44.8%37.5%—7.7%8.5%
Monmouth University[133]October 23–26, 2014432± 4.7%48%46%1%—4%
Vox Populi[134]October 26–27, 2014615± 3.95%43%48%——9%
Public Policy Polling[135]October 28–29, 2014657± ?47%46%4%—3%
Rasmussen Reports[123]October 28–29, 2014982± 3%47%46%—3%3%
CNN/ORC[136]October 27–30, 2014559 LV± 4%48%46%4%—2%
896 RV± 3.5%47%41%8%—4%
Fox News[137]October 28–30, 2014909± 3%43%42%4%1%9%
Harper Polling[138]October 28–30, 2014511± 4.34%44%46%6%—4%
45%48%——7%
Civitas Institute[139]October 29–30, 2014600± 4%41%41%6%—10%
45%44%——11%
Gravis Marketing[140]October 29–30, 20141,006± 3%46%47%——8%
YouGov[141]October 25–31, 20141,727± 3%44%41%—3%12%
Public Policy Polling[142]October 30–31, 2014738± ?46%45%4%—5%
Public Policy Polling[143]November 1–3, 20141,333± 2.7%46%44%5%—6%
48%46%——6%
Hypothetical polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Kay
Hagan (D)		Ted
Alexander (R)		Undecided
Public Policy Polling[53]February 6–9, 2014708± 3.7%38%45%17%
Public Policy Polling[89]March 6–9, 2014884± 3.3%43%45%12%
SurveyUSA[57]March 27–31, 20141,489± 2.6%44%46%10%
Public Policy Polling[58]April 3–6, 2014740± 3.6%42%43%15%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Kay
Hagan (D)		Phil
Berger (R)		Undecided
Public Policy Polling[73]January 10–13, 2013608± 4%47%38%15%
Public Policy Polling[68]February 7–10, 2013600± 4%49%38%13%
Public Policy Polling[69]March 7–10, 2013611± 4%51%37%12%
Public Policy Polling[70]April 11–14, 2013601± 4%48%39%13%
Public Policy Polling[71]May 17–20, 2013500± 4.4%46%42%12%
Public Policy Polling[61]June 12–14, 2013500± 4.4%44%40%17%
Public Policy Polling[62]July 12–14, 2013600± 4%49%39%12%
Public Policy Polling[63]August 8–11, 2013600± 4%47%39%14%
Public Policy Polling[64]September 6–9, 2013600± 4%53%36%11%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Kay
Hagan (D)		Cherie K.
Berry (R)		Undecided
Public Policy Polling[68]February 7–10, 2013600± 4%46%38%16%
Public Policy Polling[69]March 7–10, 2013611± 4%50%38%12%
Public Policy Polling[70]April 11–14, 2013601± 4%46%41%13%
Public Policy Polling[71]May 17–20, 2013500± 4.4%45%45%9%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Kay
Hagan (D)		Alex
Bradshaw (R)		Undecided
Public Policy Polling[89]March 6–9, 2014884± 3.3%43%43%14%
Public Policy Polling[58]April 3–6, 2014740± 3.6%41%42%17%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Kay
Hagan (D)		Greg
Brannon (R)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling[68]February 7–10, 2013600± 4%48%35%—17%
Public Policy Polling[69]March 7–10, 2013611± 4%51%36%—13%
Public Policy Polling[70]April 11–14, 2013601± 4%49%36%—15%
Public Policy Polling[71]May 17–20, 2013500± 4.4%49%40%—11%
Public Policy Polling[61]June 12–14, 2013500± 4.4%44%40%—15%
Public Policy Polling[62]July 12–14, 2013600± 4%49%39%—12%
Public Policy Polling[63]August 8–11, 2013600± 4%47%38%—15%
Public Policy Polling[64]September 6–9, 2013600± 4%52%36%—12%
Public Policy Polling[85]October 4–6, 2013746± ?%46%40%—14%
Public Policy Polling[65]November 8–11, 2013701± 4%43%44%—14%
Public Policy Polling[66]December 5–8, 20131,281± 2.7%43%45%—11%
Public Policy Polling[67]January 9–12, 20141,384± 2.6%41%43%—16%
Rasmussen Reports[87]January 22–23, 2014500± 4.5%39%43%4%14%
Public Policy Polling[53]February 6–9, 2014708± 3.7%40%43%—17%
American Insights[54]February 11–15, 2014611± 4%38%36%—26%
Public Policy Polling[89]March 6–9, 2014884± 3.3%43%43%—14%
SurveyUSA[57]March 27–31, 20141,489± 2.6%45%47%—9%
Public Policy Polling[58]April 3–6, 2014740± 3.6%40%42%—18%
New York Times/Kaiser Family[90]April 8–15, 2014900± ?41%39%4%17%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Kay
Hagan (D)		James P.
Cain (R)		Undecided
Public Policy Polling[71]May 17–20, 2013500± 4.4%48%41%11%
Public Policy Polling[61]June 12–14, 2013500± 4.4%46%38%16%
Public Policy Polling[62]July 12–14, 2013600± 4%49%36%15%
Public Policy Polling[63]August 8–11, 2013600± 4%46%39%14%
Public Policy Polling[64]September 6–9, 2013600± 4%50%37%13%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Kay
Hagan (D)		Renee
Ellmers (R)		Undecided
Public Policy Polling[72]December 6–9, 2012578± 4.1%45%39%19%
Public Policy Polling[73]January 10–13, 2013608± 4%46%40%14%
Public Policy Polling[68]February 7–10, 2013600± 4%47%38%15%
Public Policy Polling[69]March 7–10, 2013611± 4%49%36%15%
Public Policy Polling[70]April 11–14, 2013601± 4%48%40%12%
Public Policy Polling[71]May 17–20, 2013500± 4.4%48%39%12%
Public Policy Polling[61]June 12–14, 2013500± 4.4%46%39%15%
Public Policy Polling[62]July 12–14, 2013600± 4%49%36%14%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Kay
Hagan (D)		Terry
Embler (R)		Undecided
Public Policy Polling[68]February 7–10, 2013600± 4%48%33%20%
Public Policy Polling[69]March 7–10, 2013611± 4%52%33%15%
Public Policy Polling[70]April 11–14, 2013601± 4%47%37%16%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Kay
Hagan (D)		Bill
Flynn (R)		Undecided
Public Policy Polling[66]December 5–8, 20131,281± 2.7%43%45%12%
Public Policy Polling[67]January 9–12, 20141,384± 2.6%42%44%15%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Kay
Hagan (D)		Dan
Forest (R)		Undecided
Public Policy Polling[69]March 7–10, 2013611± 4%50%40%11%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Kay
Hagan (D)		Virginia
Foxx (R)		Undecided
Public Policy Polling[72]December 6–9, 2012578± 4.1%49%39%12%
Public Policy Polling[73]January 10–13, 2013608± 4%47%40%13%
Public Policy Polling[68]February 7–10, 2013600± 4%48%38%15%
Public Policy Polling[69]March 7–10, 2013611± 4%49%37%14%
Public Policy Polling[70]April 11–14, 2013601± 4%48%39%13%
Public Policy Polling[71]May 17–20, 2013500± 4.4%49%42%10%
Public Policy Polling[61]June 12–14, 2013500± 4.4%46%39%15%
Public Policy Polling[62]July 12–14, 2013600± 4%49%37%13%
Public Policy Polling[63]August 8–11, 2013600± 4%48%39%13%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Kay
Hagan (D)		Heather
Grant (R)		Undecided
Public Policy Polling[63]August 8–11, 2013600± 4%47%37%16%
Public Policy Polling[64]September 6–9, 2013600± 4%48%36%15%
Public Policy Polling[65]November 8–11, 2013701± 4%43%40%17%
Public Policy Polling[66]December 5–8, 20131,281± 2.7%43%43%14%
Public Policy Polling[67]January 9–12, 20141,384± 2.6%41%42%17%
Public Policy Polling[53]February 6–9, 2014708± 3.7%39%41%20%
Public Policy Polling[89]March 6–9, 2014884± 3.3%43%42%15%
SurveyUSA[57]March 27–31, 20141,489± 2.6%44%46%10%
Public Policy Polling[58]April 3–6, 2014740± 3.6%39%43%19%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Kay
Hagan (D)		Mark
Harris (R)		Undecided
Public Policy Polling[71]May 17–20, 2013500± 4.4%46%40%13%
Public Policy Polling[61]June 12–14, 2013500± 4.4%46%37%17%
Public Policy Polling[62]July 12–14, 2013600± 4%49%35%15%
Public Policy Polling[63]August 8–11, 2013600± 4%46%37%16%
Public Policy Polling[64]September 6–9, 2013600± 4%50%36%14%
Public Policy Polling[85]October 4–6, 2013746± ?%46%38%16%
Public Policy Polling[65]November 8–11, 2013701± 4%43%41%16%
Public Policy Polling[66]December 5–8, 20131,281± 2.7%43%43%14%
Public Policy Polling[67]January 9–12, 20141,384± 2.6%41%43%16%
Harper Polling[86]January 20–21, 2014778± 3.51%44%40%15%
Public Policy Polling[53]February 6–9, 2014708± 3.7%40%42%18%
American Insights[54]February 11–15, 2014611± 4%39%35%26%
Public Policy Polling[89]March 6–9, 2014884± 3.3%43%43%14%
SurveyUSA[57]March 27–31, 20141,489± 2.6%43%47%10%
Public Policy Polling[58]April 3–6, 2014740± 3.6%40%44%17%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Kay
Hagan (D)		George
Holding (R)		Undecided
Public Policy Polling[72]December 6–9, 2012578± 4.1%48%39%13%
Public Policy Polling[73]January 10–13, 2013608± 4%45%37%18%
Public Policy Polling[68]February 7–10, 2013600± 4%46%36%19%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Kay
Hagan (D)		Edward
Kryn (R)		Undecided
Public Policy Polling[53]February 6–9, 2014708± 3.7%40%40%20%
Public Policy Polling[89]March 6–9, 2014884± 3.3%43%41%16%
Public Policy Polling[58]April 3–6, 2014740± 3.6%40%41%19%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Kay
Hagan (D)		Patrick
McHenry (R)		Undecided
Public Policy Polling[72]December 6–9, 2012578± 4.1%48%40%12%
Public Policy Polling[73]January 10–13, 2013608± 4%45%39%16%
Public Policy Polling[68]February 7–10, 2013600± 4%45%40%15%
Public Policy Polling[69]March 7–10, 2013611± 4%49%39%12%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Kay
Hagan (D)		Sue
Myrick (R)		Undecided
Public Policy Polling[72]December 6–9, 2012578± 4.1%45%44%11%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Kay
Hagan (D)		Robert
Pittenger (R)		Undecided
Public Policy Polling[73]January 10–13, 2013608± 4%46%38%16%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Kay
Hagan (D)		Jim
Snyder (R)		Undecided
Public Policy Polling[89]March 6–9, 2014884± 3.3%42%43%15%
Public Policy Polling[58]April 3–6, 2014740± 3.6%41%41%18%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Kay
Hagan (D)		Lynn
Wheeler (R)		Undecided
Public Policy Polling[61]June 12–14, 2013500± 4.4%45%36%19%
Public Policy Polling[62]July 12–14, 2013600± 4%49%34%17%
Public Policy Polling[63]August 8–11, 2013600± 4%47%36%17%
Public Policy Polling[64]September 6–9, 2013600± 4%48%35%17%

Results

[edit]
2014 United States Senate election in North Carolina[144]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
RepublicanThom Tillis1,423,25948.82%+4.64%
DemocraticKay Hagan (incumbent)1,377,65147.26%−5.39%
LibertarianSean Haugh109,1003.74%+0.57%
Write-in5,2710.18%+0.14%
Total votes2,915,281100.00%N/A
Republicangain fromDemocratic

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

[edit]

See also

[edit]

References

[edit]
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