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2014 Kansas gubernatorial election

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

See also:2014 Kansas elections

2014 Kansas gubernatorial election

← 2010November 4, 20142018 →
 
NomineeSam BrownbackPaul Davis
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Running mateJeff ColyerJill Docking
Popular vote433,196401,100
Percentage49.82%46.13%

County results
Brownback:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
Davis:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%

Governor before election

Sam Brownback
Republican

ElectedGovernor

Sam Brownback
Republican

Elections in Kansas
Presidential elections
Presidential primaries
Democratic
2004
2008
2012
2016
2020
Republican
2008
2012
2016
2024
U.S. Senate elections
U.S. House of Representatives elections
Mayoral elections

The2014 Kansas gubernatorial election took place on November 4, 2014, to elect thegovernor of Kansas. It was held concurrently with theelection of Kansas'Class II U.S. Senate seat, elections to theUnited States Senate in other states, elections to theUnited States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections.

IncumbentRepublican governorSam Brownback ran for re-election to a second term.[1] He was opposed in the general election byDemocratPaul Davis, the minority leader of theKansas House of Representatives, and Libertarian attorney Keen Umbehr.

The election was viewed as a referendum on Brownback'saggressive tax cutting initiatives and his conservative values.[2] The consensus amongThe Cook Political Report,Governing,The Rothenberg Political Report,Sabato's Crystal Ball,Daily Kos Elections, and others was that the contest was a tossup. Brownback won the election by a margin of 3.69%. Davis carried seven counties, all in eastern Kansas. This is the last gubernatorial election in which a Democratic candidate wonJefferson County, as well as the last time that a candidate was elected governor of Kansas by winning a majority of counties.

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Declared

[edit]
  • Jennifer Winn, businesswoman[3]
  • Running mate: Robin Lais, advertising agency owner and natural healing shop owner[4]
  • Former running mate: Ethan McCord, Iraq War veteran[5]

Declined

[edit]

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Sam
Brownback
Jennifer
Winn
Undecided
SurveyUSA[10]July 17–22, 2014691± 3.7%60%30%9%
SurveyUSA[11]June 19–23, 2014508± 4.4%55%37%8%

Results

[edit]
Results by county:
  Brownback
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  Winn
  •   50–60%
Republican primary results[12]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanSam Brownback (incumbent)166,68763.2
RepublicanJennifer Winn96,90736.7
Total votes263,594100

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Declared

[edit]

Declined

[edit]

Results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[12]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticPaul Davis66,357100
Total votes66,357100

Libertarian nomination

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Declared

[edit]
  • Keen Umbehr, attorney[16]
  • Running mate: Josh Umbehr, physician and son of Keen Umbehr[17]

General election

[edit]

Debates

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Sam Brownback (R)

Republican politicians

Democratic politicians

Other individuals

Organizations

Paul Davis (D)

Democratic politicians

Republican politicians[25][26]

Organizations

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[27]TossupNovember 3, 2014
Sabato's Crystal Ball[28]Lean D(flip)November 3, 2014
Rothenberg Political Report[29]TossupNovember 3, 2014
Real Clear Politics[30]TossupNovember 3, 2014

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Sam
Brownback (R)
Paul
Davis (D)
Keen
Umbehr (L)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling[31]November 1–3, 2014963± 3.2%45%46%4%4%
47%48%3%
Public Policy Polling[32]October 30–31, 2014752± ?44%48%5%3%
YouGov[33]October 25–31, 20141,137± 4.8%39%38%2%1%21%
Fox News[34]October 28–30, 2014907± 3%42%48%4%<1%5%
Survey USA[35]October 22–26, 2014623± 4%43%46%5%7%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov[36]October 16–23, 20141,973± 4%43%40%1%16%
NBC News/Marist[37]October 18–22, 2014757 LV± 3.6%44%45%5%1%6%
1,055 RV± 3%43%43%6%1%7%
Rasmussen Reports[38]October 20–21, 2014960± 3%45%52%1%2%
Gravis Marketing[39]October 20–21, 20141,124± 3%44%49%7%
Monmouth University[40]October 16–19, 2014429± 4.7%45%50%2%5%
Remington Research[41]October 9–12, 20141,091± 2.97%48%45%3%4%
Public Policy Polling[42]October 9–12, 20141,081± 3%42%42%6%10%
44%45%12%
Fox News[43]October 4–7, 2014702± 3.5%46%40%2%2%11%
CNN/ORC[44]October 2–6, 2014687± 3.5%49%49%2%
SurveyUSA[45]October 2–5, 2014549± 4.3%42%47%4%7%
Gravis Marketing[46]September 30–October 1, 2014850± 3%40%48%12%
NBC News/Marist[47]September 27–October 1, 2014636 LV± 3.9%43%44%4%1%7%
1,097 RV± 3%41%43%5%1%10%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov[48]September 20–October 1, 20142,013± 3%45%42%0%12%
Suffolk University[49]September 27–30, 2014500± 4.4%42%46%6%7%
Fort Hays State University[50]September 10–27, 2014685± 3.8%37%39%9%16%
Remington Research[51]September 23, 2014625± 3.91%44%46%5%5%
Rasmussen Reports[38]September 16–17, 2014750± 4%43%47%4%6%
Fox News[52]September 14–16, 2014604± 4%41%45%4%8%
Public Policy Polling[53]September 11–14, 20141,328± 2.7%38%42%7%14%
39%45%15%
KSN/SurveyUSA[54]September 4–7, 2014555± 4.2%40%47%5%7%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov[55]August 18–September 2, 2014839± 5%47%40%2%11%
SurveyUSA[56]August 20–23, 2014560± 4.2%40%48%5%6%
Public Policy Polling[57]August 14–17, 2014903± 3.3%37%39%9%15%
Rasmussen Reports[38]August 6–7, 2014750± 4%41%51%3%5%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov[58]July 5–24, 20141,274± 6.1%52%40%3%5%
SurveyUSA[10]July 17–22, 20141,208± 2.9%40%48%5%7%
SurveyUSA[59]June 19–23, 20141,068± 3.1%41%47%5%7%
Rasmussen Reports[60]April 16–17, 2014750± 4%47%40%6%7%
Public Policy Polling[61]April 1–2, 2014886± 3.1%41%45%14%
Public Policy Polling[62]February 18–20, 2014693± 3.7%40%42%18%
Wilson Perkins Allen[63]January 29, 2014?± ?42%31%27%
SurveyUSA[64]October 23–24, 2013511± 4.4%39%43%12%6%
Hypothetical polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Sam
Brownback (R)
Carl
Brewer (D)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling[65]February 21–24, 20131,229± 2.8%44%40%15%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Sam
Brownback (R)
Tom
Holland (D)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling[65]February 21–24, 20131,229± 2.8%45%38%17%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Sam
Brownback (R)
Mark
Parkinson (D)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling[65]February 21–24, 20131,229± 2.8%45%39%16%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Sam
Brownback (R)
Joe
Reardon (D)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling[65]February 21–24, 20131,229± 2.8%45%36%19%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Sam
Brownback (R)
Kathleen
Sebelius (D)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling[65]February 21–24, 20131,229± 2.8%48%43%9%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Sam
Brownback (R)
Chad
Taylor (D)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling[65]February 21–24, 20131,229± 2.8%44%34%22%

Results

[edit]
Kansas gubernatorial election, 2014[66]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
RepublicanSam Brownback (incumbent)433,19649.82%−13.46%
DemocraticPaul Davis401,10046.13%+13.92%
LibertarianKeen Umbehr35,2064.05%+1.37%
Total votes869,502100.00%N/A
Republicanhold

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

[edit]

References

[edit]
  1. ^ab"Brownback running for re-election".Lawrence Journal-World. June 21, 2013. RetrievedAugust 16, 2013.
  2. ^"Brownback defeats Davis in Kansas Governor's race". Archived fromthe original on November 29, 2014. RetrievedNovember 14, 2014.
  3. ^"Wichita woman enters governor's race".KAKE. January 12, 2014. Archived fromthe original on March 25, 2014. RetrievedMarch 31, 2014.
  4. ^Benchaabane, Nassim (June 2, 2014)."Wichita candidate for governor announces new running mate".The Wichita Eagle. Archived fromthe original on June 26, 2014. RetrievedJune 25, 2014.
  5. ^"Wikileaks Soldier to Run for Ks Lt. Governor".The Kansas City Star. February 11, 2014. RetrievedOctober 29, 2016.
  6. ^"In case there's any doubt: Kris Kobach running for re-election in 2014".Midwest Democracy. February 1, 2013. Archived fromthe original on February 6, 2013. RetrievedJuly 29, 2013.
  7. ^abcdeHanna, John (July 31, 2013)."Ex-Kan. ag chief not thinking about gov.'s race".The Wichita Eagle.Associated Press. Archived fromthe original on August 6, 2013. RetrievedAugust 9, 2013.
  8. ^abKraske, Steve (June 23, 2013)."Sandy Praeger finds herself an outsider among Kansas Republicans".The Kansas City Star. Archived fromthe original on June 27, 2013. RetrievedAugust 15, 2013.
  9. ^abcdeLoomis, Burdett (August 4, 2013)."Burdett Loomis: Who will take on Brownback?".The Wichita Eagle. Archived fromthe original on September 16, 2013. RetrievedAugust 15, 2013.
  10. ^ab"SurveyUSA". Archived fromthe original on July 25, 2014. RetrievedJuly 24, 2014.
  11. ^SurveyUSA
  12. ^ab"2014 Primary Election Official Vote Totals"(PDF). Kansas Secretary of State. RetrievedAugust 28, 2014.
  13. ^Carpenter, Tim (September 17, 2013)."Davis launches Democratic campaign for Kansas governor".The Topeka Capital-Journal. Archived fromthe original on September 17, 2013. RetrievedSeptember 17, 2013.
  14. ^"Brownback and His Opponents".Morning Sun. April 16, 2013. RetrievedJune 14, 2013.
  15. ^abcdJohn Hanna (August 8, 2013)."Paul Davis forms committee for Kansas governor's race".The Wichita Eagle. Archived fromthe original on August 11, 2013. RetrievedJuly 20, 2014.
  16. ^Carpenter, Tim (August 29, 2013)."Alma lawyer seeks Libertarian nomination for governor".CJOnline. RetrievedOctober 2, 2013.
  17. ^Kelsey Ryan (May 27, 2014)."Kansas Man Serving as Dad's Running Mate in Governor's Race".Governing. RetrievedMay 27, 2014.
  18. ^Nonpartisan report: Davis' tax-freeze plan stalls $20M in Brownback-endorsed cuts
  19. ^Former congresswoman endorses Brownback
  20. ^"Wyandotte County Democrats endorse Gov. Brownback".KSN-TV. September 26, 2014. Archived fromthe original on October 4, 2014. RetrievedOctober 4, 2014.
  21. ^"Former CEO in Wichita, Touts Brownback". Archived fromthe original on October 20, 2014. RetrievedOctober 16, 2014.
  22. ^Kansas Rifle Association Endorses Brownback
  23. ^NFIB endorses Brownback for second term as Governor
  24. ^"Former GOP, Dem lieutenant governors join Davis campaign".The Topeka Capital-Journal. June 30, 2014. RetrievedJuly 20, 2014.
  25. ^"Republicans for Kansas Values – Biographies and Memberships".Paul Davis for Governor. July 17, 2014. Archived fromthe original on July 19, 2014. RetrievedJuly 20, 2014.
  26. ^"Who are the 104?".The Topeka Capital-Journal. July 17, 2014. RetrievedJuly 20, 2014.
  27. ^"2014 Governor Race Ratings for November 3, 2014".The Cook Political Report. RetrievedSeptember 3, 2018.
  28. ^"The Crystal Ball's Final 2014 Picks".Sabato's Crystal Ball. RetrievedSeptember 3, 2018.
  29. ^"2014 Gubernatorial Ratings".Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. RetrievedSeptember 3, 2018.
  30. ^"2014 Elections Map - 2014 Governors Races". Real Clear Politics. RetrievedSeptember 3, 2018.
  31. ^Public Policy Polling
  32. ^Public Policy PollingArchived January 12, 2015, at theLibrary of Congress Web Archives
  33. ^YouGov
  34. ^Fox News
  35. ^Survey USA
  36. ^CBS News/NYT/YouGov
  37. ^NBC News/Marist
  38. ^abcRasmussen Reports
  39. ^Gravis Marketing
  40. ^Monmouth University
  41. ^Remington Research
  42. ^Public Policy Polling
  43. ^Fox News
  44. ^CNN/ORC
  45. ^SurveyUSA
  46. ^Gravis Marketing
  47. ^NBC News/Marist
  48. ^CBS News/NYT/YouGov
  49. ^Suffolk UniversityArchived October 2, 2014, at theWayback Machine
  50. ^Fort Hays State University
  51. ^Remington Research
  52. ^Fox News
  53. ^Public Policy Polling
  54. ^KSN/SurveyUSA
  55. ^CBS News/NYT/YouGov
  56. ^SurveyUSA
  57. ^Public Policy Polling
  58. ^CBS News/NYT/YouGov
  59. ^SurveyUSA
  60. ^Rasmussen Reports
  61. ^Public Policy Polling
  62. ^Public Policy Polling
  63. ^Wilson Perkins Allen
  64. ^SurveyUSA
  65. ^abcdefPublic Policy Polling
  66. ^"Kansas Secretary of State 2014 General Election Official Vote Totals"(PDF). RetrievedDecember 14, 2014.

External links

[edit]

Campaign websites

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