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2014 Hawaii gubernatorial election

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

For related races, see2014 United States gubernatorial elections.

2014 Hawaii gubernatorial election

← 2010
November 4, 2014
2018 →
 
NomineeDavid IgeDuke AionaMufi Hannemann
PartyDemocraticRepublicanIndependent
Running mateShan TsutsuiElwin AhuLes Chang
Popular vote181,106135,77542,934
Percentage49.45%37.08%11.72%

County results
Precinct results
Ige:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     >90%
Aiona:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%
     No votes

Governor before election

Neil Abercrombie
Democratic

ElectedGovernor

David Ige
Democratic

Elections in Hawaii

The2014 Hawaii gubernatorial election took place on November 4, 2014, to elect theGovernor of Hawaii, concurrently with aspecial election to Hawaii'sClass IIISenate Seat, as well as other elections to theUnited States Senate in other states and elections to theUnited States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

Primary elections were held on August 9, 2014. In Hawaii, candidates for governor and lieutenant governor run in separate primaries and are then elected on the same ticket. Incumbent Democratic governorNeil Abercrombie ran for re-election to a second term in office, but was defeated byState SenatorDavid Ige in the Democratic primary, making Abercrombie the first incumbent governor to lose renomination in Hawaii history. Incumbent Democraticlieutenant governorShan Tsutsui was renominated.

The Republicans nominated formerlieutenant governorDuke Aiona and pastor and former circuit court judge Elwin Ahu. Also running as an independent was formermayor of HonoluluMufi Hannemann and former Honolulu parks and recreation director Les Chang. Ige and Tsutsui won the election. As of 2025, 2014 was the Hawaii gubernatorial since1994 where the winner failed to win a majority of the vote.

Democratic primary

[edit]

Governor

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Declared

Declined

Endorsements

[edit]
Neil Abercrombie

Individuals

Organizations

David Ige

Individuals

Debates

[edit]

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Neil
Abercrombie
David
Ige
OtherUndecided
Ward Research[8]July 21–29, 2014458± 4.6%36%54%11%
Civil Beat[9]July 24–28, 2014895± 3.3%41%51%8%
Public Policy Polling[10]July 23–24, 2014410± ?39%49%12%
Civil Beat[11]June 7–9, 2014729± 3.6%37%48%15%
SMS Research*[12]March 24–April 25, 20141,402± 2.6%42%28%30%
Civil Beat[13]February 12–15, 2014643± 3.9%37%37%26%
Ward Research[14]January 29–February 3, 2014528± 4.3%47%38%14%
  • * Internal poll for Neil Abercrombie campaign

Results

[edit]
Results by county:
Map legend
  •   Ige—70–80%
  •   Ige—60–70%
  •   Ige—50–60%
Democratic primary results[15]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticDavid Ige157,05066.01
DemocraticNeil Abercrombie (incumbent)73,50730.09
DemocraticVan Tanabe2,6221.01
DemocraticBlank vote4,6141.94
DemocraticOver vote1240.05
Total votes237,917100.00

Lieutenant governor

[edit]

Brian Schatz won the Democratic primary for lieutenant governor in 2010 with 37% of the vote and was elected alongside Abercrombie. After the death of U.S. SenatorDaniel Inouye in December 2012, Abercrombie appointed Schatz to succeed him in the Senate. Schatz resigned as lieutenant governor and was succeeded byShan Tsutsui, thepresident of theHawaii Senate.[16]

Candidates

[edit]

Declared

Results

[edit]
Results by county:
Map legend
  •   Tsutsui—70–80%
  •   Tsutsui—50–60%
Democratic primary results[15]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticShan Tsutsui (incumbent)120,77950.77
DemocraticClayton Hee81,25534.15
DemocraticMary Zanakis18,1747.64
DemocraticMiles Shiratori2,5931.09
DemocraticSam Puletasi2,1260.89
DemocraticBlank vote12,8505.04
DemocraticOver vote1390.06
Total votes237,916100.00

Republican primary

[edit]

Governor

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Declared

Declined

Endorsements

[edit]
Duke Aiona

Results

[edit]
Results by county:
Map legend
  •   Aiona—>90%
Republican primary results[15]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanDuke Aiona41,83294.77
RepublicanStuart Todd Gregory6401.45
RepublicanCharles (Trump) Collins5801.31
RepublicanBlank vote1,0542.39
RepublicanOver vote360.08
Total votes44,142100.00

Lieutenant governor

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Declared

  • Elwin Ahu, pastor and former circuit court judge[23]
  • Warner "Kimo" Sutton, businessman[24]

Declined

Results

[edit]
Republican primary results[15]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanElwin Ahu27,67862.07
RepublicanWarner "Kimo" Sutton11,51126.08
RepublicanBlank vote4,92111.15
RepublicanOver vote320.07
Total votes44,142100.00

Libertarian nomination

[edit]

Governor

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Declared

  • Jeff Davis, solar contractor and radio show host[26]

Results

[edit]
Libertarian primary results[15]
PartyCandidateVotes%
LibertarianJeff Davis58782.56
LibertarianBlank vote12417.44
Total votes711100.00

Lieutenant governor

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Declared

  • Cynthia (Lahi) Marlin

Results

[edit]
Libertarian primary results[15]
PartyCandidateVotes%
LibertarianCynthia (Lahi) Marlin55578.06
LibertarianBlank vote15621.94
Total votes711100.00

Hawaii Independent primary

[edit]

Governor

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Declared

Results

[edit]
Independent Party primary results[15]
PartyCandidateVotes%
IndependentMufi Hannemann2,10388.62
IndependentBlank vote26911.34
IndependentOver vote10.04
Total votes2,373100.00

Lieutenant governor

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Declared

  • Running mate: Les Chang, former Honolulu parks and recreation director[24]

Results

[edit]
Independent Party primary results[15]
PartyCandidateVotes%
IndependentLes Chang1,37057.73
IndependentBlank vote1,00242.23
IndependentOver vote10.04
Total votes2,373100.00

No Party primary

[edit]

Hawaii has strict criteria for independent candidates seeking to participate in the general election.[28] Three of the four candidates were disqualified for not having a running mate. The other candidate also had no running mate, but had already withdrawn from the race. They all still appeared on the ballot, alongside a notice about their status.[29]

Candidates

[edit]

Disqualified

[edit]

Withdrew

[edit]

Results

[edit]
Independent primary results[15]
PartyCandidateVotes%
IndependentMisty Davis20118.03
IndependentRichard Morse988.79
IndependentKhis Dejean Caldwell857.62
IndependentJoe Spatola403.59
IndependentBlank vote68761.61
IndependentOver vote40.36
Total votes1,115100.00

General election

[edit]

Debates

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[30]Lean DNovember 3, 2014
Sabato's Crystal Ball[31]Likely DNovember 3, 2014
Rothenberg Political Report[32]Lean DNovember 3, 2014
Real Clear Politics[33]Likely DNovember 3, 2014

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
David
Ige (D)
Duke
Aiona (R)
Mufi
Hannemann (I)
OtherUndecided
CBS News/NYT/YouGov[34]October 16–23, 20141,002± 6%54%22%5%0%19%
Civil Beat[35]October 16–19, 20141,221± 2.8%40%34%11%6%[36]8%
27%26%47%
Tarrance Group/RGA[37]October 2014800± 3.5%39%36%12%3%[36]11%
Ward Research[38]October 11–18, 2014605± 4%47%35%12%1%[36]6%
Global Strategy Group[39]October 3–8, 2014600± 4%45%33%10%2%10%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov[40]September 20 – October 1, 20141,319± 4%41%35%6%0%18%
Civil Beat[41]September 11–14, 20141,055± 3%43%39%8%2%[36]8%
48%45%7%
Rasmussen Reports[42]September 9–10, 2014750± 4%40%39%14%2%6%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov[43]August 18 – September 2, 2014655± 6%37%35%6%2%20%
Ward Research[8]July 21–29, 2014612± 4%34%41%15%10%
Civil Beat[11]June 7–9, 20141,078± 3%31%31%17%21%
Ward Research[44]January 29 – February 3, 2014642± 3.9%34%51%15%
Hypothetical polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Neil
Abercrombie (D)
Duke
Aiona (R)
Mufi
Hannemann (I)
OtherUndecided
Ward Research[8]July 21–29, 2014612± 4%30%45%14%11%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov[45]July 5–24, 20141,083± 3%37%40%14%7%
Civil Beat[11]June 7–9, 20141,078± 3%27%33%18%22%
Ward Research[46]January 29 – February 3, 2014642± 3.9%40%48%12%

Results

[edit]
2014 Hawaii gubernatorial election[47]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
DemocraticDavid Ige181,10649.45%−9.16%
RepublicanDuke Aiona135,77537.08%−4.31%
IndependentMufi Hannemann42,93411.72%N/A
LibertarianJeff Davis6,3951.75%N/A
Total votes366,210100.00%N/A
Democratichold

By county

[edit]
By county
CountyDavid Ige
Democratic
Duke Aiona
Republican
All Others
#%#%#%
Hawaii25,67451.54%15,38730.89%8,75117.57%
Honolulu119,31248.12%100,27940.44%28,38111.45%
Kauai12,45153.14%7,49531.99%3,48314.77%
Maui23,69952.6%12,61428.03%8,71419.36%
Totals181,10649.45%135,77537.08%49,32913.47%

References

[edit]
  1. ^"Hawaii Gov. Neil Abercrombie says he will seek second term". April 29, 2013. RetrievedMay 2, 2013.
  2. ^"Hawaii Gov. Abercrombie gets a primary challenger".The Washington Post. July 9, 2013. RetrievedJuly 10, 2013.
  3. ^"Candidate Q&A — Governor of Hawaii: Van Tanabe".Civil Beat. July 9, 2014. RetrievedAugust 1, 2014.
  4. ^Murakami, Kery (July 12, 2013)."Case To Join Outrigger, Says Political Career Likely Over". Honolulu Civil Beat. Archived fromthe original on August 20, 2013. RetrievedJuly 16, 2013.
  5. ^"President endorses Abercrombie for re-election".Honolulu Star-Advertiser. December 20, 2013. RetrievedJanuary 18, 2014.
  6. ^abc"IBEW backs Governor Abercrombie for Re-Election".Hawaii News Now. June 7, 2013. RetrievedDecember 11, 2013.
  7. ^abKerr, Keoki (November 18, 2013)."Cayetano drops support for Abercrombie, backs Ige".Hawaii News Now. RetrievedDecember 11, 2013.
  8. ^abc"hipoll_jul2014_gov"(PDF).Hawaii News Now.
  9. ^Blair, Chad (August 1, 2014)."Civil Beat Poll: Ige Maintains Solid Lead Over Abercrombie".Honolulu Civil Beat.
  10. ^"HI-Sen, HI-Gov PPP For LCV". Public Policy Polling. July 2014 – via Scribd.
  11. ^abcBlair, Chad (June 12, 2014)."Ige Holds Healthy Lead Over Abercrombie in Hawaii Governor's Race".Honolulu Civil Beat.
  12. ^Blair, Chad (June 3, 2014)."Abercrombie Campaign Manager Claims 14 Point Lead Over Ige".Honolulu Civil Beat.
  13. ^Blair, Chad (February 19, 2014)."Civil Beat Poll — A Referendum on Hawaii Gov. Neil Abercrombie?".Honolulu Civil Beat.
  14. ^Ward ResearchArchived February 24, 2014, at theWayback Machine
  15. ^abcdefghi"Primary Election 2014 -State of Hawaii – Statewide"(PDF). Hawaii Office of Elections. RetrievedOctober 24, 2014.
  16. ^Tran, Cam (December 27, 2012)."Tsutsui's promotion causes ripple effect: Senate to vote on new president on opening day".KITV. Archived fromthe original on January 27, 2013.
  17. ^"Hee Candidacy Shakes Up Gov and Lt. Gov Races, and Hawaii Senate". Honolulu Civil Beat. May 11, 2014. RetrievedMay 13, 2014.
  18. ^"Lt. Governor Shan Tsutsui Will Run in 2014". Hawaii Reporter. May 31, 2013. RetrievedMay 13, 2014.
  19. ^"Republican Duke Aiona officially enters Hawaii race for governor; race has echoes of 2010". The Republic. May 19, 2014. Archived fromthe original on May 21, 2014. RetrievedMay 20, 2014.
  20. ^Ian Scheuring (March 21, 2014)."State GOP chair confirms Djou congressional run".Hawaii News Now.
  21. ^Derrick DePledge (January 17, 2014)."'In discussions ...'". Governing. Archived fromthe original on February 1, 2014. RetrievedJanuary 27, 2014.
  22. ^"Boxer Manny Pacquiao endorses Duke Aiona for governor".KITV4. October 14, 2014. Archived fromthe original on December 9, 2014. RetrievedOctober 26, 2014.
  23. ^"Pastor to seek Republican nomination for lieutenant gov". Honolulu Star Advertiser. February 27, 2014. RetrievedMay 13, 2014.
  24. ^abDePledge, Derrick (June 3, 2014)."Hannemann picks ex-parks chief as gubernatorial running mate".Honolulu Star-Advertiser. RetrievedJune 30, 2014.
  25. ^"Pastor seeks GOP nomination for lieutenant governor". Find Law. RetrievedMay 13, 2014.
  26. ^"Jeff 'The Solar Guy' Davis Running for Hawaii Governor". January 9, 2014. Archived fromthe original on February 22, 2014. RetrievedFebruary 8, 2014.
  27. ^"Mufi Hannemann announces candidacy for Hawaii governor's race".Hawaii News Now. April 25, 2014. RetrievedApril 25, 2014.
  28. ^"No Independent Candidate Polls Enough Votes in Hawaii Primary to Advance to General Election Ballot". Ballot Access News. August 10, 2014. RetrievedOctober 27, 2014.
  29. ^abcde"Nonpartisans in Hawaii governor race disqualified". West Hawaii Today. June 25, 2014. Archived fromthe original on October 28, 2014. RetrievedOctober 27, 2014.
  30. ^"2014 Governor Race Ratings for November 3, 2014".The Cook Political Report. RetrievedSeptember 3, 2018.
  31. ^"The Crystal Ball's Final 2014 Picks".Sabato's Crystal Ball. RetrievedSeptember 3, 2018.
  32. ^"2014 Gubernatorial Ratings".Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. RetrievedSeptember 3, 2018.
  33. ^"2014 Elections Map - 2014 Governors Races". Real Clear Politics. RetrievedSeptember 3, 2018.
  34. ^CBS News/NYT/YouGov
  35. ^Civil Beat
  36. ^abcdJeff Davis (L)
  37. ^Tarrance Group/RGA
  38. ^Ward Research
  39. ^Global Strategy Group
  40. ^CBS News/NYT/YouGov
  41. ^Civil Beat
  42. ^Rasmussen Reports
  43. ^CBS News/NYT/YouGov
  44. ^Ward ResearchArchived February 24, 2014, at theWayback Machine
  45. ^CBS News/NYT/YouGov
  46. ^Ward ResearchArchived February 24, 2014, at theWayback Machine
  47. ^"2014 General election results"(PDF).

External links

[edit]

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