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2012 United States presidential election in Wisconsin

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2012 United States presidential election in Wisconsin

← 2008November 6, 20122016 →
Turnout70.35%Increase[1]
 
NomineeBarack ObamaMitt Romney
PartyDemocraticRepublican
Home stateIllinoisMassachusetts
Running mateJoe BidenPaul Ryan
Electoral vote100
Popular vote1,620,9851,407,966
Percentage52.83%45.89%

County results
Congressional district results
Precinct results

Obama

  30–40%
  40–50%
  50–60%
  60–70%
  70–80%
  80–90%
  90–100%

Romney

  30–40%
  40–50%
  50–60%
  60–70%
  70–80%
  80–90%
  90–100%

Tie/No Data

  
  


President before election

Barack Obama
Democratic

Elected President

Barack Obama
Democratic

Elections in Wisconsin
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The2012 United States presidential election in Wisconsin took place on November 6, 2012, as part of the2012 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus theDistrict of Columbia participated.Wisconsin voters chose 10 electors to represent them in theElectoral College via a popular vote pittingincumbentDemocraticPresidentBarack Obama and his running mate,Vice PresidentJoe Biden, againstRepublican challenger and formerMassachusetts GovernorMitt Romney and his running mate,CongressmanPaul Ryan.

Obama won the state of Wisconsin with 52.83% of the vote to Romney's 45.89%, a 6.94% margin of victory.[2] While this represented half the victory margin of Obama's 13.91% win in2008, when he won 59 of 72counties and 7 of 8congressional districts, it still remains the only other presidential election in the 21st century where the winning candidate won the state by more than 1% of the vote. Obama's win was also surprisingly comfortable even though Wisconsin was the home state of Republican vice presidential nominee Paul Ryan, making him the first Republican vice presidential nominee to lose their home state sinceJack Kemp lostNew York in1996. Obama's win was attributed to victories inMilwaukee, the state's largest city;Madison, the state capital; northwestern Wisconsin; and theDriftless Region. Romney's strength was concentrated in the loyally Republican Milwaukee suburbs, particularly theWOW counties (Ozaukee,Washington, andWaukesha), where he carried a combined 67.03% of the vote to Obama's 32.00%. He also flipped 24 counties in the Northeast andCentral Plain regions, though most of them were rural and, therefore, insufficient to overcome Obama's aforementioned victories. Obama nonetheless became the first Democrat to win the White House without carryingIron County sinceWoodrow Wilson in1916.

As of2024, this is the last time the Democratic presidential nominee won the following counties:Adams,Buffalo,Columbia,Crawford,Dunn,Forest,Grant,Jackson,Juneau,Kenosha,Lafayette,Lincoln,Marquette,Pepin,Price,Racine,Richland,Sawyer,Trempealeau,Vernon, andWinnebago. This remains the last time that any candidate won Wisconsin with more than 50% of the vote or by more than 1 percentage point.[3]

Primary elections

[edit]

Democratic primary

[edit]

President Barack Obama ran unopposed in the Democratic Primary, winning 293,914 votes, or 97.89%. Uncommitted ballots received 5,092 votes, or 1.89% of the vote, while 849 votes, 0.28%, were scattered. 111 delegates, all of which were pledged to Obama were sent to the2012 Democratic National Convention inCharlotte, North Carolina.[4]

Republican primary

[edit]
2012Wisconsin Republican presidential primary

← 2008April 3, 2012 (2012-04-03)2016 →
 
CandidateMitt RomneyRick Santorum
Home stateMassachusettsPennsylvania
Delegate count339
Popular vote346,876290,139
Percentage44.03%36.83%

 
CandidateRon PaulNewt Gingrich
Home stateTexasGeorgia
Delegate count00
Popular vote87,85845,978
Percentage11.15%5.83%

Wisconsin results by county
  Mitt Romney
  Rick Santorum

The 2012 Wisconsin Republican presidential primary took place on April 3, 2012,[5][6] the same day as the primaries in theDistrict of Columbia andMaryland.Mitt Romney edged out a victory, with 44.03% of the vote and 33 delegates, with formerSenatorRick Santorum ofPennsylvania coming in second with 36.83% of the vote and 9 delegates. No other candidates won any delegates nor counties, thoughrepresentativeRon Paul ofTexas's 14th district received 11.15% and formerSpeaker of the HouseNewt Gingrich received 5.84%. All other candidates received less than 1%. Romney's strength was concentrated in Southeast Wisconsin, carryingMilwaukee and all of its suburbs (including theKenosha andRacine as well as the ancestrally Republican counties ofOzaukee,Washington, andWaukesha), as well asMadison. Santorum's most significant victories were in Western Wisconsin and inGreen Bay andits respective suburbs.[4]

2012 Wisconsin Republican presidential primary[4]
CandidateVotesPercentageDelegates
Mitt Romney346,87644.03%33
Rick Santorum290,13936.83%9
Ron Paul87,85811.15%0
Newt Gingrich45,9785.84%0
Michele Bachmann6,0450.77%0
Jon Huntsman5,0830.65%0
Uninstructed4,2000.53%0
Scattering1,6680.21%0
Total:787,847100%42

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
Huffington Post[7]Lean DNovember 6, 2012
CNN[8]TossupNovember 6, 2012
New York Times[9]TossupNovember 6, 2012
Washington Post[10]TossupNovember 6, 2012
RealClearPolitics[11]TossupNovember 6, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball[12]Lean DNovember 5, 2012
FiveThirtyEight[13]Solid DNovember 6, 2012

Results

[edit]

AlthoughRepublican vice presidential nomineePaul Ryan was from Wisconsin, representing the1st district in Congress, the Republican Party lost by around a seven-point margin, which was, albeit an improved loss from Obama's landslide 13.91% margin in2008,[14] a crucial loss.

2012 United States presidential election in Wisconsin
PartyCandidateRunning mateVotesPercentageElectoral votes
DemocraticBarack Obama(incumbent)Joe Biden(incumbent)1,620,98552.83%10
RepublicanMitt RomneyPaul Ryan1,407,96645.89%0
LibertarianGary JohnsonJim Gray20,4390.67%0
GreenJill SteinCheri Honkala7,6650.25%0
Write-InsWrite-Ins5,1700.17%0
ConstitutionVirgil GoodeJim Clymer4,9300.16%0
Socialist EqualityJerry WhitePhyllis Scherrer5530.02%0
Socialism and LiberationGloria La RivaFilberto Ramirez Jr.5260.02%0
JusticeRocky AndersonLuis J. Rodriguez1120.00%0
Peace & FreedomRoseanne BarrCindy Sheehan880.00%0
Totals3,068,434100.00%10

By county

[edit]
CountyBarack Obama
Democratic
Mitt Romney
Republican
Various candidates
Other parties
MarginTotal votes cast
#%#%#%#%
Adams5,55253.87%4,64445.14%1010.99%8988.73%10,287
Ashland5,39964.49%2,82033.68%1531.83%2,57930.81%8,372
Barron10,89047.99%11,44350.43%3591.58%-553-2.44%22,692
Bayfield6,03361.64%3,60336.81%1521.55%2,43024.83%9,788
Brown62,52648.50%64,83650.29%1,5661.21%-2,310-1.79%128,928
Buffalo3,57050.72%3,36447.79%1051.49%2062.93%7,039
Burnett3,98645.94%4,55052.44%1411.62%-564-6.50%8,677
Calumet11,48943.49%14,53955.03%3921.48%-3,050-11.54%26,420
Chippewa15,23749.26%15,32249.53%3731.21%-85-0.27%30,932
Clark6,17244.72%7,41253.71%2171.57%-1,240-8.99%13,801
Columbia17,17556.23%13,02642.64%3451.13%4,14913.59%30,546
Crawford4,62959.22%3,06739.24%1211.54%1,56219.98%7,817
Dane216,07171.03%83,64427.50%4,4661.47%132,42743.53%304,181
Dodge18,76242.17%25,21156.67%5151.16%-6,449-14.50%44,488
Door9,35752.95%8,12145.96%1931.09%1,2366.99%17,671
Douglas14,86364.92%7,70533.66%3261.42%7,15831.26%22,894
Dunn11,31651.46%10,22446.49%4522.05%1,0924.97%21,992
Eau Claire30,66655.95%23,25642.43%8841.62%7,41013.52%54,806
Florence95336.30%1,64562.67%271.03%-692-26.37%2,625
Fond du Lac22,37941.91%30,35556.84%6681.25%-7,976-14.93%53,402
Forest2,42552.17%2,17246.73%511.10%2535.44%4,648
Grant13,59456.06%10,25542.29%3991.65%3,33913.77%24,248
Green11,20658.00%7,85740.66%2591.34%3,34917.34%19,322
Green Lake3,79339.20%5,78259.76%1001.04%-1,989-20.56%9,675
Iowa8,10564.66%4,28734.20%1421.14%3,81830.46%12,534
Iron1,78449.12%1,79049.28%581.60%-6-0.16%3,632
Jackson5,29856.89%3,90041.88%1151.23%1,39815.01%9,313
Jefferson20,15845.52%23,51753.11%6061.37%-3,359-7.59%44,281
Juneau6,24252.78%5,41145.75%1741.47%8317.03%11,827
Kenosha44,86755.46%34,97743.24%1,0531.30%9,89012.22%80,897
Kewaunee5,15346.69%5,74752.07%1371.24%-594-5.38%11,037
La Crosse36,69357.82%25,75140.58%1,0181.60%10,94217.24%63,462
Lafayette4,53657.04%3,31441.68%1021.28%1,22215.36%7,952
Langlade4,57343.47%5,81655.29%1301.24%-1,243-11.82%10,519
Lincoln7,56349.70%7,45548.99%1981.31%1080.71%15,216
Manitowoc20,40347.88%21,60450.69%6101.43%-1,201-2.81%42,617
Marathon32,36346.32%36,61752.41%8821.27%-4,254-6.09%69,862
Marinette9,88247.56%10,61951.11%2761.33%-737-3.55%20,777
Marquette4,01449.52%3,99249.25%991.23%220.27%8,105
Menominee1,19186.49%17913.00%70.51%1,01273.49%1,377
Milwaukee332,43867.49%154,92431.45%5,2141.06%177,51436.04%492,576
Monroe9,51548.83%9,67549.65%2951.52%-160-0.82%19,485
Oconto8,86544.64%10,74154.09%2531.27%-1,876-9.45%19,859
Oneida10,45248.27%10,91750.42%2831.31%-465-2.15%21,652
Outagamie45,65948.27%47,37250.08%1,5651.65%-1,713-1.81%94,596
Ozaukee19,15934.32%36,07764.63%5811.05%-16,918-30.31%55,817
Pepin1,87650.72%1,79448.50%290.78%822.22%3,699
Pierce10,23548.69%10,39749.46%3881.85%-162-0.77%21,020
Polk10,07344.62%12,09453.58%4061.80%-2,021-8.96%22,573
Portage22,07556.12%16,61542.24%6471.64%5,46013.88%39,337
Price3,88749.20%3,88449.16%1301.64%30.04%7,901
Racine53,00851.28%49,34747.74%1,0090.98%3,6613.54%103,364
Richland4,96957.41%3,57341.28%1131.31%1,39616.13%8,655
Rock49,21961.00%30,51737.82%9541.18%18,70223.18%80,690
Rusk3,39747.24%3,67651.12%1181.64%-279-3.88%7,191
St. Croix19,91043.07%25,50355.17%8121.76%-5,593-12.10%46,225
Sauk18,73658.68%12,83840.21%3531.11%5,89818.47%31,927
Sawyer4,48649.71%4,44249.22%971.07%440.49%9,025
Shawano9,00044.38%11,02254.35%2571.27%-2,022-9.97%20,279
Sheboygan27,91844.56%34,07254.38%6611.06%-6,154-9.82%62,651
Taylor3,76339.56%5,60158.88%1481.56%-1,838-19.32%9,512
Trempealeau7,60556.41%5,70742.33%1691.26%1,89814.08%13,481
Vernon8,04456.37%5,94241.64%2831.99%2,10214.73%14,269
Vilas5,95142.99%7,74955.98%1421.03%-1,798-12.99%13,842
Walworth22,55243.12%29,00655.46%7451.42%-6,454-12.34%52,303
Washburn4,44747.88%4,69950.60%1411.52%-252-2.72%9,287
Washington23,16629.42%54,76569.55%8111.03%-31,599-40.13%78,742
Waukesha78,77932.31%162,79866.76%2,2790.93%-84,019-34.45%243,856
Waupaca11,57844.81%14,00254.19%2601.00%-2,424-9.38%25,840
Waushara5,33544.28%6,56254.47%1511.25%-1,227-10.19%12,048
Winnebago45,44950.97%42,12247.24%1,6021.79%3,3273.73%89,173
Wood18,58147.77%19,70450.65%6151.58%-1,123-2.88%38,900
Totals1,620,98552.83%1,407,96645.89%39,4831.29%213,0196.94%3,068,434
County Flips:
Democratic
  Hold
Republican
  Hold
  Gain from Democratic
Counties that flipped Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

[edit]

Despite losing the state, Romney won five of eight congressional districts.[15]

DistrictRomneyObamaRepresentative
1st51.65%47.44%Paul Ryan
2nd30.46%68.3%Mark Pocan
3rd43.82%54.82%Ron Kind
4th23.78%75.33%Gwen Moore
5th61.31%37.75%Jim Sensenbrenner
6th53.1%45.77%Tom Petri
7th50.92%47.83%Sean Duffy
8th51.26%47.56%Reid Ribble

See also

[edit]

References

[edit]
  1. ^"Wisconsin Voter Turnout Statistics | Wisconsin Elections Commission".
  2. ^"Wisconsin Gov Accountability Board"(PDF). RetrievedJanuary 16, 2013.
  3. ^Brownstein, Ronald (September 16, 2024)."Why these three states are the most consistent tipping point in American politics". CNN. RetrievedSeptember 16, 2024.
  4. ^abc"Canvass Results for 2012 Presidential Preferenrce and Spring Election - 4/3/2012"(PDF).Wisconsin Government Accountability Board. April 3, 2012. Archived fromthe original(PDF) on March 15, 2016. RetrievedJanuary 11, 2021 – viaWayback Machine.
  5. ^"Primary and Caucus Printable Calendar".CNN. RetrievedJanuary 12, 2012.
  6. ^"Presidential Primary Dates"(PDF).Federal Election Commission. RetrievedJanuary 23, 2012.
  7. ^"Huffington Post Election Dashboard".HuffPost. Archived fromthe original on August 13, 2013.
  8. ^"America's Choice 2012 Election Center: CNN Electoral Map".CNN. Archived fromthe original on January 19, 2013.
  9. ^"Election 2012 - The Electoral Map: Building a Path to Victory".The New York Times. Archived fromthe original on July 8, 2012.
  10. ^"2012 Presidential Election Results".The Washington Post.Archived from the original on July 26, 2012.
  11. ^"RealClearPolitics - 2012 Election Maps - Battle for White House". Archived fromthe original on June 8, 2011.
  12. ^"PROJECTION: OBAMA WILL LIKELY WIN SECOND TERM".
  13. ^"Nate Silver's political calculations predict 2012 election outcome".
  14. ^ab"Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections".Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections.Archived from the original on April 12, 2006. RetrievedJanuary 1, 2021.
  15. ^"Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts".Daily Kos. RetrievedAugust 11, 2020.

External links

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