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2012 United States Senate election in Wisconsin

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2012 United States Senate election in Wisconsin
← 2006
November 6, 2012
2018 →
Turnout72.5% (voting eligible)[1]
 
NomineeTammy BaldwinTommy Thompson
PartyDemocraticRepublican
Popular vote1,547,1041,380,126
Percentage51.41%45.86%
County results
Congressional district results
Precinct results
Baldwin:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Thompson:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
     Tie     No data
U.S. senator before election

Herb Kohl
Democratic

Elected U.S. Senator

Tammy Baldwin
Democratic

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The2012 United States Senate election in Wisconsin took place on November 6, 2012, alongside aU.S. presidential election as well as other elections to theUnited States Senate andHouse of Representatives and various state and local elections. IncumbentDemocratic SenatorHerb Kohl retired instead of running for re-election to a fifth term. This was the first open Senate seat in Wisconsin since1988, when Kohl won his first term.

Primary elections were held on August 14, 2012. CongresswomanTammy Baldwin ofWisconsin's 2nd congressional district ran unopposed in the Democratic primary. The Republican nominee was formerWisconsin Governor andU.S. Secretary of Health and Human ServicesTommy Thompson, who won with a plurality in a four-way primary race. In the general election, Baldwin defeated Thompson and won the open seat. She became the first woman elected to represent Wisconsin in the Senate and the first openlygay U.S. senator in history. This is also the only time Thompson lost a statewide race.

Background

[edit]

Incumbent Democratic senatorHerb Kohl was re-elected to a fourth termin 2006, beating Republican attorney Robert Lorge by 67% to 30%. Kohl's lack of fundraising suggested his potential retirement.[2] There was speculation that Kohl might decide to retire to allowRuss Feingold, who lost his re-election bid in2010, to run again, although Mike Tate, chairman of theWisconsin Democratic Party, dismissed speculation about Kohl's potential retirement.[3] Ultimately, Kohl announced in May 2011 that he would not run for re-election in 2012.

Democratic primary

[edit]

Despite speculation that Kohl would retire to make way for his former Senate colleague Russ Feingold, who had been unseated in 2010, Feingold chose not to enter the race. Other potential candidates also declined to run, leaving Baldwin unopposed in the Democratic primary.

Candidates

[edit]

Declared

[edit]

Declined

[edit]

Polling

[edit]
Hypothetical polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Tammy
Baldwin		Jon
Erpenbach		Russ
Feingold		Kathleen
Falk		Steve
Kagen		Ron
Kind		Barbara
Lawton		Gwen
Moore		Other/
Undecided
Public Policy Polling[14]May 19–22, 2011783±3.5%12%5%70%1%3%4%1%2%3%
30%13%—4%17%16%3%6%12%
Magellan Strategies[15]July 12–13, 2011627±3.9%46%———21%———33%
41%————19%——40%
Public Policy Polling[16]August 12–14, 2011387±5%48%———19%———33%
37%———15%21%——27%

Results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[17]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticTammy Baldwin185,26599.77
DemocraticWrite ins4240.23
Total votes185,689100

Republican primary

[edit]

Congressman andHouse Budget Committee ChairmanPaul Ryan stated he would not run if Kohl sought reelection, but would contemplate a run if Kohl retired.[18] Ryan later stated that he was "95 percent sure" that he would not run.[19] He was later chosen as the Republican nominee for vice president by presidential nomineeMitt Romney.

Six candidates declared for the seat, although two later withdrew. The contest turned out to be a four-way fight. Although a large majority of Republican primary voters consistently expressed a preference for a nominee "more conservative" than Tommy Thompson, Eric Hovde and Mark Neumann split the conservative vote, allowing Thompson to narrowly prevail with a plurality of the vote.[20]

Candidates

[edit]

Declared

[edit]

Withdrew

[edit]

Declined

[edit]

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s) administeredSample
size		Margin of
error		Jeff
Fitzgerald		Eric
Hovde		Mark
Neumann		Tommy
Thompson		Undecided
Public Policy Polling[32]August 8–9, 2012557± 4.2%15%27%24%25%9%
Marquette University[33]August 2–5, 2012519± 4.4%13%20%18%28%7%
We Ask America[34]July 31, 20121,237± 2.8%12%23%17%23%25%
Public Policy Polling[35]July 30–31, 2012400± 4.9%13%28%25%25%9%
—33%27%30%10%
Marquette University[36]July 5–8, 2012432± 4.8%6%23%10%35%25%
Public Policy Polling[37]July 5–8, 2012564± 4.1%9%31%15%29%16%
OnMessage Inc.[38]+June 26–27, 2012600± 4.0%7%29%16%34%14%
Marquette University[39]June 13–16, 2012344± 5.4%10%14%16%34%25%
Public Policy Polling[40]March 31–April 1, 2012609± 4.0%18%—25%38%19%
Public Policy Polling[41]February 23–26, 2012556± 4.2%22%—22%39%17%
32%—42%—26%
37%——46%17%
——36%46%18%
Public Policy Polling[42]October 20–23, 2011650± 3.8%21%—29%35%11%
——39%43%17%
28%—44%—28%
35%——47%17%
Public Policy Polling[16]August 12–14, 2011362± 5.2%——39%47%13%
Magellan Strategies[43]July 12–13, 2011638± 3.9%15%—26%41%18%
——36%44%20%
  • + Commissioned by Eric Hovde
Poll sourceDate(s) administeredSample
size		Margin of
error		Tommy
Thompson		Someone more
conservative		Undecided
Public Policy Polling[35]July 30–31, 2012400± 4.9%29%58%13%
Public Policy Polling[37]July 5–8, 2012564± 4.1%34%50%17%
Public Policy Polling[41]February 23–26, 2012556± 4.2%37%47%17%
Public Policy Polling[42]October 20–23, 2011650± 3.8%35%51%14%

Endorsements

[edit]
Jeff Fitzgerald
Eric Hovde
Mark Neumann
Tommy Thompson

Politicians

Celebrities and political commentators[65]

Cabinet officials[65]

  • Donald Rumsfeld, former Secretary of Defense from 1975 to 1977 and 2001 to 2006, former White House chief of staff, and former ambassador
  • Donald L. Nelson, former deputy assistant Secretary of Defense
  • Ray Boland, colonel and former Veterans Affairs Secretary

State legislators[65]

Political organization officials[65]

  • David Keene, president of theNational Rifle Association of America and former chairman of theAmerican Conservative Union[69]
  • Former Republican Party of Wisconsin Chairman Rick Graber
  • Wisconsin Club for Growth founders Terry and Mary Kohler
  • Former Wisconsin Federation of Republican Women President Sue Lynch
  • Former Wisconsin Federation of Republican Women President Ginny Marschman
  • Republican National Convention co-chairman Mary Buestrin

Law enforcement officials[65]

  • Waukesha County Sheriff Daniel Trawicki
  • Waukesha County District AttorneyBrad Schimel

Organizations[65]

  • Wisconsin Right to Life
  • Dairy Business Association
  • Wisconsin Corn Growers Association
  • Wisconsin Farm Bureau Federation
  • Milwaukee Police Association
  • Milwaukee Police Supervisors Organization
  • Milwaukee Professional Firefighters Association
  • Wisconsin Grocers Association
  • Wisconsin Restaurant Association
  • Chiropractic Society of Wisconsin
  • Wisconsin Health Care Association
  • Wisconsin Mortgage Bankers Association
  • GOProud[70]

Results

[edit]
Results by county
  Thompson
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  Hovde
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  Neumann
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
Republican primary results[17]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanTommy Thompson197,92834.0
RepublicanEric Hovde179,55730.8
RepublicanMark Neumann132,78622.8
RepublicanJeff Fitzgerald71,87112.3
RepublicanWrite ins2440.04
Total votes582,630100

General election

[edit]
Thompson and Baldwin withWISN-TV's Mike Gousha at the October 26 debate.

Candidates

[edit]

Debates

[edit]

Baldwin and Thompson agreed to three debates: September 28, October 18 and 26, all broadcast statewide, and nationwide throughC-SPAN.

The first debate originated from the studios ofMilwaukee Public Television and was coordinated by the Wisconsin Broadcasters Association. It aired on MPTV,Wisconsin Public Television,Wisconsin Public Radio and several commercial stations throughout the state.

The second debate originated from the Theater for Civic Engagement on the campus of theUniversity of Wisconsin–Marathon County inWausau and was coordinated by WPT/WPR, theMilwaukee Journal Sentinel and Milwaukee'sWTMJ-TV. Again it was carried on MPTV, WPT/WPR, and several commercial stations, including WTMJ-TV.

The third debate originated from Eckstein Hall on the campus ofMarquette University Law School and was coordinated byWISN-TV in Milwaukee. It aired on that station and across the state's otherABC affiliated stations.

External links

Fundraising

[edit]
Candidate (party)ReceiptsDisbursementsCash on handDebt
Tammy Baldwin (D)$14,643,869$15,204,940$143,852$0
Tommy Thompson (R)$9,585,823$9,582,888$2,934$0
Source:Federal Election Commission[73]

Top contributors

[edit]
Tammy BaldwinContributionTommy ThompsonContribution
EMILY's List$431,843Michael Best & Friedrich LLP$36,825
MoveOn.org$171,467ABC Supply$28,500
University of Wisconsin$117,600Akin Gump Strauss Hauer & Feld$28,250
J Street PAC$113,758Direct Supply$27,500
League of Conservation Voters$95,308Wisconsin Energy Corporation$25,750
Democracy Engine$81,330American Foods Group$25,000
Council for a Livable World$54,130Gilead Sciences$23,000
Voices for Progress$25,749Centene Corporation$20,750
Marshfield Clinic$21,800BGR Group$20,500
Microsoft Corporation$18,564C. R. Bard, Inc.$20,000
Source:OpenSecrets[74]

Top industries

[edit]
Tammy BaldwinContributionTommy ThompsonContribution
Women's Issues$915,482Retired$858,276
Retired$791,756Leadership PACs$244,804
Lawyers/Law Firms$597,674Financial Institutions$243,636
Democratic/Liberal$555,792Lawyers/Law Firms$228,379
Leadership PACs$309,430Real Estate$227,687
Universities$298,298Pharmaceuticals/Health Products$204,302
Human Rights Organizations$215,539Insurance Industry$202,654
Health Professionals$202,654Manufacturing & Distributing$169,104
Pro-Israel$172,380Health Professionals$150,149
Business Services$163,238Lobbyists$138,700
Source:OpenSecrets[75]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[76]TossupNovember 1, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball[77]Lean DNovember 5, 2012
Rothenberg Political Report[78]TossupNovember 2, 2012
Real Clear Politics[79]TossupNovember 5, 2012

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Tammy
Baldwin (D)		Tommy
Thompson (R)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling[80]May 19–22, 20111,636±2.4%44%45%—11%
Public Policy Polling[81]August 12–14, 2011830±3.4%42%50%—8%
Public Policy Polling[82]October 20–23, 20111,170±2.9%44%46%—10%
Rasmussen Reports[83]October 26, 2011500±4.5%42%49%4%6%
Marquette University[84]February 16–19, 2012716±3.7%42%48%1%9%
Public Policy Polling[41]February 23–26, 2012900±3.3%46%45%—9%
Rasmussen Reports[85]February 27, 2012500±4.5%36%50%4%10%
Rasmussen Reports[86]March 27, 2012500±4.5%44%48%4%4%
Public Policy Polling[87]April 13–15, 20121,136±2.9%45%47%—8%
Rasmussen Reports[88]May 9, 2012500±4.5%38%50%5%7%
Public Policy Polling[89]May 11–13, 2012851±3.4%42%47%—11%
Rasmussen Reports[90]June 12, 2012500±4.5%36%52%6%6%
Marquette University[39]June 13–16, 2012707±3.8%41%49%—10%
Public Policy Polling[37]July 5–8, 20121,057±3.0%45%45%—11%
Marquette University[36]July 5–8, 2012810±3.5%41%45%—14%
Rasmussen Reports[91]July 25, 2012500±4.5%48%41%5%6%
Marquette University[92]August 2–5, 20121,400±2.6%43%48%—5%
Quinnipiac[93]July 31 – August 6, 20121,428±2.6%47%47%1%5%
Rasmussen Reports[94]August 15, 2012500±4.5%43%54%1%3%
Public Policy Polling[95]August 16–19, 20121,308±2.7%44%49%—7%
Marquette University[96]August 16–19, 2012576±4.2%41%50%—9%
CBS/NYT/Quinnipiac[97]August 15–21, 20121,190±3.0%44%50%1%4%
YouGov[98]September 4–11, 2012772±n/a42%48%—10%
Public Policy Polling[99]September 12–13, 2012959±n/a48%45%—6%
Marquette University[100]September 13–16, 2012705±3.8%50%41%—5%
CBS/NYT/Quinnipiac[101]September 11–17, 20121,485±2.5%47%47%—6%
NBC/WSJ/Marist Poll[102]September 16–18, 2012968±3.2%48%46%—5%
Public Policy Polling[103]September 18–19, 2012842±3.4%49%45%—6%
We Ask America[104]September 20–23, 20121,238±2.8%52%40%—8%
Marquette University[105]September 27–30, 2012894±3.3%48%44%—6%
Public Policy Polling[106]October 4–6, 2012979±3.1%49%46%—6%
CBS/NYT/Quinnipiac[107]October 4–9, 20121,327±2.7%48%46%—5%
Rasmussen Reports[108]October 9, 2012500±4.5%51%47%1%2%
YouGov[109]October 4–11, 2012639±4.9%48%43%—9%
Marquette University[110]October 11–14, 2012870±3.3%45%46%—7%
NBC/WSJ/Marist Poll[111]October 15–17, 20121,013±3.1%49%45%1%5%
Mason-Dixon[112]October 15–17, 2012625±4%47%45%—8%
Rasmussen Reports[113]October 18, 2012500±4.5%46%48%3%3%
Angus Reid Public Opinion[114]October 18–20, 2012502±4.5%45%42%3%11%
Rasmussen Reports[115]October 25, 2012500±4.5%47%48%2%4%
Marquette University[116]October 25–28, 20121,243±2.8%47%43%—10%
St. Norbert College[117]October 25–29, 2012402±5%43%46%—11%
Rasmussen Reports[115]October 29, 2012750±4.0%48%48%1%2%
NBC/WSJ/Marist[118]October 31, 20121,065±3.0%48%47%4%1%
WeAskAmerica[119]October 31 – November 1, 20121,210±3%49%46%—5%
YouGov[120]October 31 – November 3, 20121,225±3.1%48%47%—5%
Angus Reid Public Opinion[121]November 1–3, 2012482±4.5%50%48%2%—
Public Policy Polling[122]November 2–3, 20121,256±2.8%51%48%—2%
Hypothetical polling

with Tammy Baldwin

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Tammy
Baldwin (D)		Jeff
Fitzgerald (R)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling[80]May 19–22, 20111,636±2.4%48%37%—15%
Public Policy Polling[82]October 20–23, 20111,170±2.9%44%40%—16%
Rasmussen Reports[83]October 26, 2011500±4.5%46%39%4%6%
Marquette University[84]February 16–19, 2012716±3.7%45%37%3%15%
Public Policy Polling[41]February 23–26, 2012900±3.3%47%39%—14%
Rasmussen Reports[85]February 27, 2012500±4.5%40%41%4%15%
Rasmussen Reports[86]March 27, 2012500±4.5%48%40%4%7%
Public Policy Polling[87]April 13–15, 20121,136±2.9%47%40%—13%
Rasmussen Reports[88]May 9, 2012500±4.5%45%41%4%9%
Rasmussen Reports[115]June 12, 2012500±4.5%44%43%5%8%
Marquette University[39]June 13–16, 2012707±3.8%45%39%—16%
Public Policy Polling[37]July 5–8, 20121,057±3.0%46%42%—13%
Marquette University[36]July 5–8, 2012810±3.5%43%37%—20%
Rasmussen Reports[115]July 25, 2012500±4.5%47%37%6%10%
Marquette University[92]August 2–5, 20121,400±2.6%45%40%—7%
Quinnipiac[93]July 31 – August 6, 20121,428±2.6%51%39%—9%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Tammy
Baldwin (D)		Eric
Hovde (R)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling[89]May 11–13, 2012851±3.4%41%45%—14%
Rasmussen Reports[115]June 12, 2012500±4.5%42%44%4%10%
Marquette University[39]June 13–16, 2012707±3.8%45%36%—19%
Public Policy Polling[37]July 5–8, 20121,057±3.0%44%45%—11%
Marquette University[36]July 5–8, 2012810±3.5%44%38%—18%
Rasmussen Reports[115]July 25, 2012500±4.5%45%42%5%8%
Marquette University[92]August 2–5, 20121,400±2.6%44%41%—9%
Quinnipiac[93]July 31 – August 6, 20121,428±2.6%47%43%1%8%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Tammy
Baldwin (D)		Mark
Neumann (R)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling[80]May 19–22, 20111,636±2.4%46%41%—13%
Public Policy Polling[81]August 12–14, 2011830±3.4%40%44%—15%
Public Policy Polling[82]October 20–23, 20111,170±2.9%44%43%—13%
Rasmussen Reports[83]October 26, 2011500±4.5%44%43%4%9%
Marquette University[84]February 16–19, 2012716±3.7%44%40%2%14%
Public Policy Polling[41]February 23–26, 2012900±3.3%47%41%—12%
Rasmussen Reports[85]February 27, 2012500±4.5%37%46%4%13%
Rasmussen Reports[86]March 27, 2012500±4.5%48%40%4%8%
Public Policy Polling[87]April 13–15, 20121,136±2.9%46%45%—9%
Rasmussen Reports[88]May 9, 2012500±4.5%42%44%4%9%
Public Policy Polling[89]May 11–13, 2012851±3.4%42%46%—12%
Rasmussen Reports[115]June 12, 2012500±4.5%43%45%5%7%
Marquette University[39]June 13–16, 2012707±3.8%44%44%—12%
Public Policy Polling[37]July 5–8, 20121,057±3.0%45%41%—13%
Marquette University[36]July 5–8, 2012810±3.5%43%40%—17%
Rasmussen Reports[115]July 25, 2012500±4.5%48%42%3%8%
Marquette University[92]August 2–5, 20121,400±2.6%44%44%—6%
Quinnipiac[93]July 31 – August 6, 20121,428±2.6%48%45%1%6%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Tammy
Baldwin (D)		J. B.
Van Hollen (R)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling[80]May 19–22, 20111,636±2.4%46%39%—15%

with Russ Feingold

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Russ
Feingold (D)		Jeff
Fitzgerald (R)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling[80]May 19–22, 20111,636±2.4%55%39%—7%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Russ
Feingold (D)		Mark
Neumann (R)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling[81]August 12–14, 2011830±3.4%51%44%—5%
Public Policy Polling[80]May 19–22, 20111,636±2.4%53%41%—6%
Public Policy Polling[123]February 24–27, 2011768±3.5%50%40%—10%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Russ
Feingold (D)		Paul
Ryan (R)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling[124]December 10–12, 2010702±3.7%50%43%—7%
Public Policy Polling[123]February 24–27, 2011768±3.5%49%42%—9%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Russ
Feingold (D)		Tommy
Thompson (R)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling[124]December 10–12, 2010702±3.7%49%40%—11%
Public Policy Polling[80]May 19–22, 20111,636±2.4%52%42%—6%
Public Policy Polling[81]August 12–14, 2011830±3.4%48%47%—5%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Russ
Feingold (D)		J. B.
Van Hollen (R)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling[124]December 10–12, 2010702±3.7%52%41%—7%
Public Policy Polling[123]February 24–27, 2011768±3.5%51%39%—10%
Public Policy Polling[80]May 19–22, 20111,636±2.4%53%38%—9%

with Steve Kagen

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Steve
Kagen (D)		Jeff
Fitzgerald (R)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling[80]May 19–22, 20111,636±2.4%43%38%—19%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Steve
Kagen (D)		Mark
Neumann (R)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling[80]May 19–22, 20111,636±2.4%42%41%—17%
Public Policy Polling[81]August 12–14, 2011830±3.4%38%45%—17%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Steve
Kagen (D)		Tommy
Thompson (R)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling[80]May 19–22, 20111,636±2.4%42%45%—13%
Public Policy Polling[81]August 12–14, 2011830±3.4%41%49%—10%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Steve
Kagen (D)		J. B.
Van Hollen (R)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling[80]May 19–22, 20111,636±2.4%43%38%—19%

with Ron Kind

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Ron
Kind (D)		Jeff
Fitzgerald (R)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling[80]May 19–22, 20111,636±2.4%45%37%—18%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Ron
Kind (D)		Mark
Neumann (R)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling[80]May 19–22, 20111,636±2.4%44%40%—16%
Public Policy Polling[81]August 12–14, 2011830±3.4%40%43%—17%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Ron
Kind (D)		Tommy
Thompson (R)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling[80]May 19–22, 20111,636±2.4%44%44%—12%
Public Policy Polling[81]August 12–14, 2011830±3.4%41%48%—11%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Ron
Kind (D)		J. B.
Van Hollen (R)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling[80]May 19–22, 20111,636±2.4%44%38%—17%

with Herb Kohl

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Herb
Kohl (D)		Mark
Neumann (R)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling[123]February 24–27, 2011768±3.5%51%37%—12%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Herb
Kohl (D)		Paul
Ryan (R)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling[124]December 10–12, 2010702±3.7%48%42%—11%
Public Policy Polling[123]February 24–27, 2011768±3.5%49%42%—10%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Herb
Kohl (D)		Tommy
Thompson (R)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling[124]December 10–12, 2010702±3.7%49%40%—11%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Herb
Kohl (D)		J. B.
Van Hollen (R)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling[124]December 10–12, 2010702±3.7%51%38%—11%
Public Policy Polling[123]February 24–27, 2011768±3.5%52%37%—11%

Results

[edit]
United States Senate election in Wisconsin, 2012[125]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
DemocraticTammy Baldwin1,547,10451.41%−15.90%
RepublicanTommy Thompson1,380,12645.86%+16.38%
LibertarianJoseph Kexel62,2402.07%N/A
IndependentNimrod Allen, III16,4550.55%N/A
Write-in3,4860.11%+0.05%
Total votes3,009,411100.00%N/A
Democratichold

Counties that flipped Democratic to Republican

[edit]

By congressional district

[edit]

Despite losing the state, Thompson won five of eight congressional districts.[126]

DistrictThompsonBaldwinRepresentative
1st50.61%46.56%Paul Ryan
2nd32.28%65.82%Mark Pocan
3rd44.31%52.77%Ron Kind
4th25.15%72.93%Gwen Moore
5th61.06%36.68%Jim Sensenbrenner
6th52.93%44.05%Tom Petri
7th48.93%48.06%Sean Duffy
8th50.21%46.63%Reid Ribble

Aftermath

[edit]

Brian Schimming, the vice chairman of theWisconsin Republican Party, partly blamed Thompson's defeat on the fact that he had to face a competitive primary whereas Baldwin was unopposed for the Democratic nomination: "[Thompson] blew all his money going through the primary. So when he gets through the primary, it was like three weeks before he was up on the air. [Baldwin] piled on immediately." He claimed "If [Thompson] hadn't had as ugly a primary, we could have won that seat."[127]

See also

[edit]

References

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External links

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