Movatterモバイル変換

[0]ホーム
URL:

Jump to content
WikipediaThe Free Encyclopedia
Search

2012 United States Senate election in North Dakota

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2012 United States Senate election in North Dakota
← 2006November 6, 20122018 →
Turnout60.6% (voting eligible)[1]
 
NomineeHeidi HeitkampRick Berg
PartyDemocratic–NPLRepublican
Popular vote161,337158,401
Percentage50.24%49.32%
County results
State senate district results
Heitkamp:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     80–90%
Berg:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%
U.S. senator before election

Kent Conrad
Democratic–NPL

Elected U.S. Senator

Heidi Heitkamp
Democratic–NPL

Elections in North Dakota
City elections
Mayoral elections
City elections
Mayoral elections

The2012 United States Senate election in North Dakota took place on November 6, 2012, concurrently with the2012 U.S. presidential election, other United States Senateelections, United States House of Representativeselections, and various state and local elections. IncumbentDemocratic-NPL SenatorKent Conrad decided to retire instead of running for reelection to a fifth term.

Though each party endorses a single candidate in stateconventions in the spring, ballot access for the general election was determined in aprimary election held on June 12, 2012.[2]

Heidi Heitkamp, a Democratic-NPL formerNorth Dakota Attorney General, won the open seat over RepublicanRick Berg, North Dakota'sat-large U.S. Representative, by a margin of 0.9%.[3] Heitkamp outperformed PresidentBarack Obama by 20.5%, the latter having lost North Dakota by 19.6% inthe concurrent presidential election.[4] Heitkamp's very narrow winning margin made it the closest race of the 2012 United States Senate elections. The victory made Heitkamp the first woman ever elected toCongress from North Dakota.[a]

As of 2024[update], this was the last time a Democrat won a federal and/or statewide election in North Dakota.[5]

Democratic-NPL primary

[edit]

The North Dakota Democratic-NPL Party held their state convention March 16–18, 2012, inGrand Forks. Former state attorney general and2000 Democratic gubernatorial nomineeHeidi Heitkamp was uncontested in seeking the official party nomination and was the only member of the party elected to appear on the state primary ballot.[6]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Withdrew

[edit]
  • Thomas Potter, Presbyterian pastor and former professor of finance atUND[8] (dropped out February 2012)[9]

Declined

[edit]

Republican primary

[edit]

North Dakota Republicans endorsed U.S. RepresentativeRick Berg at their convention, though general election ballot access is determined by a statewide primary election held on June 12, 2012. In contrast to state political tradition, declared candidateDuane Sand did not seek the party endorsement, trying instead to defeat Berg on the June primary ballot.[20]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]

Declined

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Rick Berg

Senators

Governors

Legislators

  • Nancy Johnson, state representative
  • George Nodland, state senator
  • Rich Wardner, State Senate Majority Leader
  • Mike Schatz, state representative
  • Vicky Steiner, state representative

Mayors

Organizations

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Rick
Berg		Duane
Sand		Undecided
Mason-Dixon[37]June 4–6, 2012625± 4.0%73%16%11%
Essman Research[38]May 3–8, 2012500± 4.3%65%21%14%

Results

[edit]
Results by county:
  Berg—80–90%
  Berg—70–80%
  Berg—60–70%
  Berg—50–60%
Republican primary results[39]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanRick Berg67,84966.41%
RepublicanDuane Sand34,20933.48%
RepublicanWrite-ins111.41%
Total votes102,281100.00%

General election

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Debates

[edit]

Fundraising

[edit]
Candidate (party)ReceiptsDisbursementsCash on handDebt
Heidi Heitkamp (D-NPL)$5,341,362$5,318,232$23,130$0
Rick Berg (R)$6,501,693$6,129,026$316,641$0
Source:Federal Election Commission[41][42]

Top contributors

[edit]

[43]

Heidi HeitkampContributionRick BergContribution
Motley Rice LLC$41,750Verizon Communications$43,666
Council for a Livable World$26,705Elliott Management Corporation$29,413
Weitz & Luxenberg$22,400NORPAC$26,700
Robbins Geller Rudman & Dowd LLP$15,050Mewbourne Oil Co$25,000
Medcenter One Health Systems$12,000Rurban Financial$22,700
American Association for Justice$10,833Hess Corp$22,500
Akin Gump Strauss Hauer & Feld$10,750NACCO Industries$22,000
American Federation of Teachers$10,300Marathon Oil$21,000
Patton Boggs LLP$10,250Berkshire Hathaway$20,500
American Postal Workers Union$10,000Koch Industries$20,000

Top industries

[edit]

[44]

Heidi HeitkampContributionRick BergContribution
Lawyers/law firms$433,811Oil & gas$433,949
Leadership PACs$284,500Leadership PACs$277,163
Women's issues$111,593Financial institutions$274,941
Lobbyists$103,635Retired$218,909
Retired$100,812Real estate$171,686
Agribusiness$78,450Agribusiness$163,583
Public sector unions$73,800Insurance$140,011
Financial institutions$64,713Commercial banks$127,140
Education$60,960Health professionals$114,438
Building trade unions$52,500Mining$106,804

Independent expenditures

[edit]

In early October 2012,Crossroads GPS announced that it would launch a $16 million advertising buy in national races, of which four were this and three other Senate elections.[45]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[46]TossupNovember 1, 2012
Inside Elections[47]Tilt R(flip)November 2, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball[48]Lean R(flip)November 5, 2012
Real Clear Politics[49]TossupNovember 5, 2012

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Heidi
Heitkamp (D-NPL)		Rick
Berg (R)		OtherUndecided
Pharos Research[50]November 2–5, 2012503± 4.1%47%49%—4%
Pharos Research[51]October 26–28, 2012752± 3.6%50%48%—2%
Mason-Dixon[52]October 26–28, 2012625± 4.0%45%47%—8%
The Mellman Group (D-Heitkamp)[53]October 21–24, 2012600± 4.0%48%44%—7%
Pharos Research[54]October 19–21, 2012807± 3.4%49%48%—3%
The Mellman Group (D-Heitkamp)[55]October 16–19, 2012600± 4.0%45%42%—13%
Rasmussen Reports[56]October 17–18, 2012600± 4.0%45%50%—5%
Essman Research[57]October 12–15, 2012500± 4.4%40%50%—10%
Mason-Dixon[58]October 3–5, 2012625± 4.0%47%47%—6%
DFM Research (D)[59]September 24–27, 2012600± 4.0%48%44%—8%
DFM Research (D)[60]July 24–26, 2012400± 4.9%50%44%—6%
Rasmussen Reports[61]July 10–11, 2012400± 5.0%40%49%2%8%
Mason-Dixon[37]June 4–6, 2012625± 4.0%47%46%—7%
Essman Research[38]May 3–8, 2012500± 4.3%44%51%—5%
DFM Research (D)[62]April 18–26, 2012478± 4.5%49%44%1%6%

Results

[edit]
United States Senate election in North Dakota, 2012[63]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Democratic–NPLHeidi Heitkamp161,33750.24%−18.58%
RepublicanRick Berg158,40149.32%+19.79%
Write-in1,4060.44%N/A
Total votes321,144100.00%N/A
Democratic–NPLhold

By county

[edit]
By county
CountyHeidi Heitkamp
Democratic–NPL		Rick Berg
Republican		Write-inMarginTotal
votes
#%#%#%#%
Adams47336.9080662.8730.23-333-25.971,282
Barnes3,18157.512,32942.11210.3885215.405,531
Benson1,45367.0870932.7340.1874434.452,166
Billings16027.9241271.9010.17-252-43.98573
Bottineau1,63646.331,87553.10200.57-239-6.773,531
Bowman62136.291,08663.4740.23-465-27.181,711
Burke36035.2965764.4130.29-731-29.121,020
Burleigh19,28444.7923,53854.672310.54-4,254-9.8843,053
Cass41,48056.5131,56943.003590.499,91113.5173,408
Cavalier1,08752.4997747.1870.341105.312,071
Dickey1,12544.431,39955.2580.32-274-10.922,532
Divide59250.9556748.8030.26252.151,162
Dunn74636.711,28363.1430.15-537-26.432,032
Eddy69360.0045539.3970.6123820.611,155
Emmons70937.851,15261.51120.64-443-23.661,873
Foster85351.0581048.4780.48432.581,671
Golden Valley26528.5966071.2020.22-395-42.61927
Grand Forks16,54255.6013,10144.041070.363,44111.5629,750
Grant54238.6685360.8470.50-311-22.181,402
Griggs70452.8562847.1500.00765.701,332
Hettinger51137.6384362.0840.29-332-24.451,358
Kidder61346.1970653.2080.60-93-7.011,327
LaMoure1,06548.341,12551.07130.59-60-2.732,203
Logan44642.0061057.4460.56-164-15.441,062
McHenry1,35950.201,33949.4690.33200.742,707
McIntosh64842.3587256.99100.65-224-14.641,530
McKenzie1,22936.022,17763.8060.18-948-26.983,412
McLean2,35747.962,54451.76140.28-187-3.804,915
Mercer1,80740.592,62759.01180.40-820-18.424,452
Morton6,32546.687,13552.66900.66-810-5.9813,550
Mountrail1,74550.921,67348.8290.26722.103,427
Nelson99359.5067040.1460.3632319.361,669
Oliver44644.3355555.1750.50-109-10.841,006
Pembina1,67251.301,57948.4580.25932.853,259
Pierce1,02747.221,13652.23120.55-109-5.012,175
Ramsey2,76655.182,22944.46180.3653710.725,013
Ransom1,66968.7175531.0850.2191437.632,429
Renville58046.0067653.6150.40-96-7.611,261
Richland4,44558.393,13541.181021.311,31017.217,613
Rolette3,66280.0890219.7290.202,76060.364,573
Sargent1,32165.6667933.75120.6064231.912,012
Sheridan29936.2952163.2340.49-222-26.94824
Sioux96383.5218516.0550.4377867.471,153
Slope14933.4829466.0720.45-100-32.59445
Stark4,11035.637,39364.09320.28-3,283-28.4611,535
Steele64161.6339838.2710.1024323.361,040
Stutsman4,80050.614,65449.07300.321461.549,484
Towner69959.3947240.1060.5122719.291,177
Traill2,31159.061,58940.61130.3372218.453,913
Walsh2,64554.942,15144.68180.3749410.264,814
Ward11,23044.4513,88854.971450.57-2,658-10.5225,263
Wells98241.591,36357.73160.68-38116.142,361
Williams3,14232.376,54167.38240.25-3,399-35.019,707
Totals161,16350.23158,28249.331,4060.442,4920.9320,851
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

See also

[edit]

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^Jocelyn Burdick appointed to finish herlate husband's term at this seat, but did not run to finish the term.

References

[edit]
  1. ^Dr. Michael McDonald (February 9, 2013)."2012 General Election Turnout Rates".George Mason University. Archived fromthe original on April 24, 2013. RetrievedApril 6, 2013.
  2. ^"North Dakota election calendar"(PDF).Secretary of State. July 2011. RetrievedAugust 17, 2011.
  3. ^Kate Nocera (November 7, 2012)."Heidi Heitkamp scores upset win in North Dakota". Politico. RetrievedApril 17, 2014.
  4. ^"Can Heitkamp Win Again in Red North Dakota?".www.realclearpolitics.com. RetrievedOctober 21, 2019.
  5. ^The Associated Press (February 22, 2024)."North Dakota Republican Sen. Kevin Cramer says he's seeking reelection".Toronto Star. RetrievedFebruary 23, 2024.
  6. ^"ND Democrats set their fall legislative ticket".Newsday.Associated Press. March 17, 2012. RetrievedMarch 29, 2012.
  7. ^abDaum, Kristen M (November 8, 2011)."SPECULATION NO MORE: Heitkamp announces U.S. Senate run".Flickertales from The Hill. Archived fromthe original on July 16, 2012. RetrievedNovember 8, 2011.
  8. ^Nodland, Chad (October 25, 2011)."Tom Potter: I'm Running For Senate".NorthDecoder.com. Archived fromthe original on April 2, 2012. RetrievedOctober 25, 2011.
  9. ^Smith, Nick (February 24, 2012)."Potter drops Senate bid".The Bismarck Tribune. RetrievedFebruary 25, 2012.
  10. ^Haga, Chuck (January 18, 2011)."Conrad will not run for re-election in 2012".Grand Forks Herald. Archived fromthe original on December 16, 2012. RetrievedJanuary 18, 2011.
  11. ^Miller, Joshua (September 26, 2011)."Ex-State Rep. Pam Gulleson Launches House Bid".Roll Call. Archived fromthe original on November 16, 2011. RetrievedOctober 25, 2011.
  12. ^ab"State Sen. Schneider: 2012 U.S. Senate race not now 'in the cards'".Grand Forks Herald. August 1, 2011. RetrievedOctober 25, 2011.[permanent dead link](subscription required)
  13. ^Catanese, David (November 1, 2011)."Heitkamp telling Dems she's running for Senate".Politico. RetrievedFebruary 25, 2012.
  14. ^Miller, Tricia (January 18, 2011)."Retirements Shuffle 2012 Senate Landscape".Roll Call. Archived fromthe original on January 21, 2011. RetrievedJanuary 18, 2011.
  15. ^abcdBeitsch, Rebecca (January 18, 2011)."Neither party lacking Senate contenders".Bismarck Tribune. RetrievedJanuary 18, 2011.
  16. ^Trygstad, Kyle; Toeplitz, Shira (April 11, 2011)."West Virginia, North Dakota Senate Race Ratings Change".Roll Call. Archived fromthe original on September 17, 2011. RetrievedOctober 25, 2011.
  17. ^Sullivan, Sean (April 28, 2011)."Club For Growth Slams Berg".National Journal. Archived fromthe original on April 6, 2012. RetrievedApril 29, 2011.
  18. ^Rodgers, Ben (January 19, 2011)."Schneider says he hasn't ruled out running for Conrad's Senate seat".The Jamestown Sun. RetrievedJanuary 19, 2011.[permanent dead link]
  19. ^"Democrat Taylor joins race for N.D. governor".Grand Forks Herald. December 12, 2011. RetrievedDecember 19, 2011.[permanent dead link](subscription required)
  20. ^Daum, Kristen (March 29, 2012)."Divide within North Dakota's GOP creates friction in endorsement process".The Forum of Fargo-Moorhead. RetrievedMarch 29, 2012.[permanent dead link]
  21. ^abSobel, Julie (May 16, 2011)."Berg Enters N.D. Senate Race".National Journal: Hotline On Call. Archived fromthe original on November 4, 2011. RetrievedOctober 25, 2011.
  22. ^abToeplitz, Shira (May 16, 2011)."House Freshman Berg Will Run for Senate in North Dakota".Roll Call. Archived fromthe original on February 16, 2012. RetrievedOctober 25, 2011.
  23. ^"Sand Announces Entry into North Dakota Senate Race" (Press release). Standard Newswire. August 8, 2011. RetrievedOctober 25, 2011.
  24. ^Toeplitz, Shira (May 3, 2011)."N.D. GOP Expecting Competitive House Race".Roll Call. Archived fromthe original on January 6, 2012. RetrievedOctober 25, 2011.
  25. ^abCatanese, David (April 26, 2011)."N.D. lawmakers unite behind Berg for Senate".Politico. RetrievedOctober 25, 2011.
  26. ^abSmith, Nick (November 3, 2011)."Dalrymple to run in 2012".Williston Herald. RetrievedNovember 3, 2011.
  27. ^Daum, Kristen M (October 13, 2011)."N.D. tax commissioner opts against congressional bid in 2012".Flickertales from The Hill. Archived fromthe original on December 18, 2011. RetrievedOctober 25, 2011.
  28. ^Daum, Kristen M (November 29, 2011)."Goettle declares as 4th GOP contender in 2012 U.S. House race".Flickertales from The Hill. Archived fromthe original on July 16, 2012. RetrievedNovember 29, 2011.
  29. ^Beitsch, Rebecca (May 13, 2011)."Sand starts Senate campaign committee".Bismarck Tribune. RetrievedOctober 25, 2011.
  30. ^Trygstad, Kyle (May 20, 2011)."Kalk to Run for House Instead of Senate in North Dakota".Roll Call. Archived fromthe original on May 23, 2011. RetrievedMay 20, 2011.
  31. ^Daum, Kristen M (December 5, 2011)."West Fargo legislator seeks GOP nod in packed U.S. House race".Flickertales from The Hill. Archived fromthe original on July 15, 2012. RetrievedDecember 5, 2011.
  32. ^Miller, Tricia (December 27, 2010)."North Dakota GOPers Target Conrad Seat".Roll Call.Archived from the original on December 30, 2010. RetrievedJanuary 17, 2011.
  33. ^Finneman, Teri (February 20, 2012)."Kelly Schmidt to seek third term as North Dakota treasurer".The Forum of Fargo-Moorhead. RetrievedFebruary 25, 2012.[permanent dead link]
  34. ^Gonzales, Nathan L (April 26, 2011)."Berg Senate Run Likely in North Dakota".Roll Call.Archived from the original on April 29, 2011. RetrievedOctober 25, 2011.
  35. ^Bunk, Matt (June 1, 2011)."In Focus with Bismarck Mayor John Warford".Great Plains Examiner. Archived fromthe original on June 13, 2011. RetrievedFebruary 25, 2012.
  36. ^"ND House candidates attract dueling endorsements for pro-gun groups".Grand Forks Herald. Fargo. October 13, 2012.Archived from the original on August 2, 2023. RetrievedAugust 2, 2023.
  37. ^ab"Heitkamp Leads Berg in Latest Poll".Valley News Live.Gray Television. June 7, 2012. Archived fromthe original on June 7, 2012.
  38. ^abDaum, Kristen (May 17, 2012)."Poll: Berg leads Heitkamp in U.S. Senate race".The Forum of Fargo-Moorhead.Forum Communications. Archived fromthe original on May 23, 2012.
  39. ^"North Dakota Secretary of State".
  40. ^"Candidate throws his name into the U.S. Senate Race".WDAY-TV.Forum Communications Company. September 6, 2012. Archived fromthe original on September 10, 2012.
  41. ^"2012 House and Senate Campaign Finance for North Dakota HEITKAMP, HEIDI". fec.gov. November 26, 2012. Archived fromthe original on April 21, 2011. RetrievedDecember 17, 2012.
  42. ^"2012 House and Senate Campaign Finance for North Dakota BERG, RICHARD A". fec.gov. November 26, 2012. Archived fromthe original on April 21, 2011. RetrievedDecember 17, 2012.
  43. ^"North Dakota Senate 2012 Race".OpenSecrets. RetrievedSeptember 2, 2022.
  44. ^"North Dakota Senate 2012 Race: Top Industries".OpenSecrets. RetrievedSeptember 2, 2022.
  45. ^Haberman, Maggie (October 2, 2012)."Crossroads launches $16 million buy in Senate, presidential contests". Politico.com. RetrievedOctober 2, 2012.
  46. ^"2012 Senate Race Ratings for November 1, 2012".The Cook Political Report. Archived fromthe original on August 29, 2018. RetrievedSeptember 20, 2018.
  47. ^"2012 Senate Ratings".Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. RetrievedSeptember 20, 2018.
  48. ^"2012 Senate".Sabato's Crystal Ball. RetrievedSeptember 20, 2018.
  49. ^"2012 Elections Map - Battle for the Senate 2012". Real Clear Politics. RetrievedSeptember 20, 2018.
  50. ^Pharos Research
  51. ^"North Dakota Polling Report: 10/26/12-10/28/12"(PDF).Pharos Research Group. Archived fromthe original(PDF) on October 20, 2014.
  52. ^Mason-Dixon
  53. ^The Mellman Group (D-Heitkamp)
  54. ^Pharos Research
  55. ^The Mellman Group (D-Heitkamp)
  56. ^Rasmussen Reports
  57. ^Essman Research
  58. ^Mason-Dixon
  59. ^DFM Research (D)
  60. ^DFM Research (D)
  61. ^Rasmussen Reports
  62. ^DFM Research (D)
  63. ^"OFFICIAL 2012 GENERAL ELECTION RESULTS".results.sos.nd.gov. RetrievedJanuary 13, 2019.

External links

[edit]

Official campaign websites (Archived)

U.S.
President
U.S.
Senate
U.S.
House
(Election
ratings)
Governors
Attorneys
general
Other
statewide
elections
State
legislatures
Mayoral
Local
States and
territories
General
Governor
U.S. President
U.S. Senate
U.S. House
Retrieved from "https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=2012_United_States_Senate_election_in_North_Dakota&oldid=1297046250"
Categories:
Hidden categories:
[8]ページ先頭
©2009-2025 Movatter.jp