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2012 United States House of Representatives elections in New Mexico

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2012 United States House of Representatives elections in New Mexico
← 2010November 6, 2012 (2012-11-06)2014 →
All 3 New Mexico seats to theUnited States House of Representatives
 Majority partyMinority party
 
PartyDemocraticRepublican
Last election21
Seats won21
Seat changeSteadySteady
Popular vote422,189343,269
Percentage55.11%44.81%
SwingIncrease3.53%Decrease3.61%
District results
County results

Democratic

  50–60%
  60–70%
  70–80%
  80–90%

Republican

  50–60%
  60–70%
  70–80%
  80–90%

Elections in New Mexico

The2012 United States House of Representatives elections in New Mexico were held on Tuesday, November 6, 2012, and elected the threeU.S. representatives from the state, one from each of the state's three congressional districts. The elections coincided with those for other federal and state offices, including a quadrennialpresidential election, and aU.S. Senate election.

Overview

[edit]
United States House of Representatives elections in New Mexico, 2012[1]
PartyVotesPercentageSeats beforeSeats after+/–
Democratic422,18955.11%22-
Republican343,26944.81%11-
Independent (Write-in)1730.02%-
Green Party (Write-in)4590.06%-
Totals766,090100%33-

District 1

[edit]
See also:New Mexico's 1st congressional district

The redrawn 1st district serves the central area ofNew Mexico, including almost three-fourths ofAlbuquerque. IncumbentDemocratMartin Heinrich, first elected in2008, did not seek reelection, but instead ran for theU.S. Senate seat vacated byJeff Bingaman.[2]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]
Declined
[edit]

Primary results

[edit]
Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticMichelle Lujan Grisham19,11140.1
DemocraticEric Griego16,70235.0
DemocraticMartin Chávez11,89524.9
Total votes47,708100.0

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Withdrawn
[edit]
Disqualified
[edit]
Declined
[edit]
  • Jon Barela, businessman and nominee for this seat in2010[15]

Primary results

[edit]
Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanJanice Arnold-Jones26,198100.0
Total votes26,198100.0

General election

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Michelle Lujan Grisham (D)

Organizations

Janice Arnold-Jones (R)

Organizations

Polling

[edit]
Poll
source		Date(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Michelle
Lujan Grisham (D)		Janice
Arnold-Jones (R)		Undecided
Research & Polling Inc[19]October 23–25, 2012401± 4.9%51%36%13%
Research & Polling Inc[20]October 9–11, 2012402± 4.9%51%37%12%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D-Lujan Grisham)[21]October 8–9, 2012407± 5.0%55%40%5%
Research & Polling Inc[22]September 3–6, 2012409± 4.8%46%34%20%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D-Lujan Grisham)[23]July 10–15, 2012502± 4.0%50%42%8%

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[24]Safe DNovember 5, 2012
Rothenberg[25]Safe DNovember 2, 2012
Roll Call[26]Safe DNovember 4, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball[27]Safe DNovember 5, 2012
NY Times[28]Lean DNovember 4, 2012
RCP[29]Safe DNovember 4, 2012
The Hill[30]Likely DNovember 4, 2012

Results

[edit]
New Mexico's 1st congressional district, 2012[1]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticMichelle Lujan Grisham162,92459.1
RepublicanJanice Arnold-Jones112,47240.8
GreenJeanne Pahls (write-in)4590.2
Total votes275,855100.0
Democratichold

District 2

[edit]
See also:New Mexico's 2nd congressional district

IncumbentRepublicanSteve Pearce was elected in2010, having previously served from 2003 until 2009. Pearce sought reelection in 2012.[31]

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]

Primary results

[edit]
Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanSteve Pearce (incumbent)29,911100.0
Total votes29,911100.0

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Withdrawn
[edit]
Disqualified
[edit]
  • Frank McKinnon, businessman and candidate for this seat in2008[35][33]
Declined
[edit]

Primary results

[edit]
Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticEvelyn Madrid Erhard24,175100.0
Total votes24,175100.0

General election

[edit]

Polling

[edit]
Poll
source		Date(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Steve
Pearce (R)		Evelyn
Madrid Erhard (D)		Undecided
Research & Polling Inc[19]October 23–25, 2012113± 9.2%56%38%6%
Research & Polling Inc[20]October 9–11, 2012116± 9.1%55%31%15%
Research & Polling Inc[22]September 3–6, 2012119± 9.0%56%30%14%

Results

[edit]
New Mexico's 2nd congressional district, 2012[1]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanSteve Pearce (incumbent)133,18059.0
DemocraticEvelyn Madrid Erhard92,16240.9
IndependentJack A. McGrann (write-In)1730.1
Total votes225,515100.0
Republicanhold

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportSafe RNovember 5, 2012
Rothenberg[25]Safe RNovember 2, 2012
Roll Call[26]Safe RNovember 4, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball[27]Safe RNovember 5, 2012
NY Times[28]Safe RNovember 4, 2012
RCP[29]Safe RNovember 4, 2012
The Hill[30]Safe RNovember 4, 2012

District 3

[edit]
See also:New Mexico's 3rd congressional district

Incumbent DemocratBen Ray Luján was first elected in 2008. In April 2011 Luján declined to enter the U.S. Senate race and instead chose to seek reelection to the House of Representatives.[39]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Declined
[edit]

Primary results

[edit]
Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticBen R. Luján (incumbent)53,908100.0
Total votes53,908100.0

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]

Primary results

[edit]
Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanJefferson L. Byrd13,05553.5
RepublicanFrederick L. Newton11,34046.5
Total votes24,395100.0

General election

[edit]

Polling

[edit]
Poll
source		Date(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Ben Ray
Luján (D)		Jefferson
Byrd (R)		Undecided
Research & Polling Inc[19]October 23–25, 2012148± 8.0%53%35%12%
Research & Polling Inc[20]October 9–11, 2012140± 8.3%58%34%8%
Research & Polling Inc[22]September 3–6, 2012139± 8.3%57%31%12%

Results

[edit]
New Mexico's 3rd congressional district, 2012[1]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticBen Ray Luján (incumbent)167,10363.1
RepublicanJefferson Byrd97,61636.9
Total votes264,719100.0
Democratichold

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[45]Safe DNovember 5, 2012
Rothenberg[25]Safe DNovember 2, 2012
Roll Call[26]Safe DNovember 4, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball[27]Safe DNovember 5, 2012
NY Times[28]Safe DNovember 4, 2012
RCP[29]Safe DNovember 4, 2012
The Hill[30]Safe DNovember 4, 2012

References

[edit]
  1. ^abcd"Statewide Results"(PDF). New Mexico Secretary of State. Archived fromthe original(PDF) on November 4, 2013.
  2. ^Blake, Aaron (April 2, 2011)."Heinrich to run for Senate in New Mexico".The Washington Post. RetrievedApril 20, 2011.
  3. ^"Lujan Grisham wins hotly contested CD-1 primary".KOAT-TV. June 6, 2012. Archived fromthe original on October 22, 2013. RetrievedJune 5, 2013.
  4. ^abTrygstad, Kyle (June 29, 2011)."Ex-Albuquerque Mayor Marty Chavez Running in 1st District".Roll Call. RetrievedJune 29, 2011.
  5. ^Miller, Sean J. (May 2, 2011)."Field grows in race for Heinrich's NM House seat".The Hill. RetrievedMay 4, 2011.
  6. ^Reichbach, Matthew (April 13, 2011)."Balderas won't seek Heinrich's seat".The New Mexico Independent. RetrievedApril 20, 2011.
  7. ^abHaussamen, Heath (April 19, 2011)."Keller won't run for Congress".NMPolitics.net. RetrievedApril 20, 2011.
  8. ^Haussamen, Heath (June 29, 2011)."Chávez is running for Congress; Denish isn't".NMPolitics.net. RetrievedJune 30, 2011.
  9. ^"No Moe in US House race".Capitol Report New Mexico. June 8, 2011. RetrievedMay 13, 2012.
  10. ^Flores, Danielle (July 16, 2011)."Second Republican enters Congressional race".KOB. RetrievedJuly 18, 2011.
  11. ^abReichbach, Matthew (March 20, 2012)."Dan Lewis drops out of congressional race".New Mexico Telegram. Archived from the original on March 22, 2012. RetrievedMay 13, 2012.
  12. ^Haussamen, Heath (April 4, 2011)."Lewis formally enters congressional race".NMPolitics.net. RetrievedApril 20, 2011.
  13. ^Trygstad, Kyle (November 3, 2011)."Sierra Club Backs Eric Griego in New Mexico Primary".Roll Call. RetrievedNovember 7, 2011.
  14. ^Reichbach, Matthew (April 16, 2012)."CD1: District court judge takes Smith off GOP primary ballot".New Mexico Telegram. Archived from the original on April 19, 2012. RetrievedMay 13, 2012.
  15. ^Haussamen, Heath (January 21, 2012)."Barela won't run for CD1 seat".NMPolitics.net. RetrievedJanuary 25, 2012.
  16. ^"RED TO BLUE 2012". DCCC. Archived fromthe original on October 26, 2012. RetrievedMarch 5, 2023.
  17. ^"Help Our Candidates Win!".emilyslist.org. Archived fromthe original on November 14, 2012. RetrievedJanuary 31, 2023.
  18. ^"Maggie's List is pleased to endorse these conservative women candidates".maggieslist.org. Maggie's List. Archived fromthe original on August 26, 2012. RetrievedMarch 4, 2023.
  19. ^abcResearch & Polling Inc
  20. ^abcResearch & Polling Inc
  21. ^Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D-Lujan Grisham)
  22. ^abcResearch & Polling Inc
  23. ^Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D-Lujan Grisham)
  24. ^"The Cook Political Report — Charts – 2012 House Competitive Races". Cookpolitical.com. November 5, 2012. RetrievedNovember 6, 2012.
  25. ^abc"House Ratings". Rothenbergpoliticalreport.com. November 2, 2012. RetrievedNovember 4, 2012.
  26. ^abc[1], as of November 4, 2012[update]
  27. ^abcCrystal Ball, as of November 5, 2012[update]
  28. ^abcHouse Race Ratings,The New York Times, as of November 4, 2012[update]
  29. ^abc[2], as of November 4, 2012[update]
  30. ^abc"House Ratings".The Hill. November 3, 2012. RetrievedNovember 4, 2012.
  31. ^"Pearce re-election committee has balance of $682K".Las Cruces Sun-News. April 17, 2012. RetrievedMay 13, 2012.[permanent dead link]
  32. ^"Mesilla Democrat Seeks 2nd Congressional District Seat".Las Cruces Sun-News.Albuquerque Journal. December 1, 2011. RetrievedMay 13, 2012.
  33. ^abReichbach, Matthew (March 10, 2012)."Heinrich, Griego win pre-primaries, Balderas with a strong showing".New Mexico Telegram. Archived from the original on March 17, 2012. RetrievedMay 13, 2012.
  34. ^"Sunland Park mayor won't run for Congress".Alamogordo Daily News.Associated Press. October 7, 2011. RetrievedOctober 11, 2011.
  35. ^"Democratic longshot takes on Steve Pearce".Capitol Report New Mexico. November 5, 2011. Archived fromthe original on March 9, 2016. RetrievedMay 13, 2012.
  36. ^Haussamen, Heath (June 29, 2011)."Congressional run isn't likely, Cote says".NMPolitics.net. RetrievedJuly 18, 2011.
  37. ^Haussamen, Heath (May 5, 2011)."Sunland Park mayor running for Congress; Cote might too".NMPolitics.net. RetrievedMay 7, 2011.
  38. ^"Harry Teague: I won't run again".KRQE.Associated Press. January 7, 2011. RetrievedMay 13, 2012.
  39. ^Catanese, David (April 25, 2011)."Ben Ray Lujan won't run for Senate".Politico. RetrievedApril 25, 2011.
  40. ^Terrell, Steve (November 18, 2011)."Artist, hotel worker takes on Luján in Democratic primary".The Santa Fe New Mexican. RetrievedDecember 3, 2011.
  41. ^Haussamen, Heath (January 20, 2012)."Montoya to challenge Luján in CD3 Dem primary".NMPolitics.net. RetrievedJanuary 25, 2012.
  42. ^Simonich, Milan (May 11, 2012)."Congressional candidate urges 2,000-mile barricade along US southern border".Carlsbad Current-Argus. RetrievedMay 13, 2012.
  43. ^Terrell, Steve (October 31, 2011)."Security-tech entrepreneur seeks to challenge Rep. Luján".The Santa Fe New Mexican. RetrievedNovember 2, 2011.
  44. ^AP results
  45. ^"The Cook Political Report — Charts – 2012 House Competitive Races". Cookpolitical.com. November 5, 2012. RetrievedNovember 6, 2012.

External links

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