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All 2 Maine seats to theUnited States House of Representatives | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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The2012 United States House of Representatives elections in Maine were held on Tuesday, November 6, 2012, to elect the twoU.S. representatives from the state ofMaine, one from each of the state's twocongressional districts. The elections coincided with the elections of other federal and state offices, including a quadrennialpresidential election and anelection to the U.S. Senate. Democrats would not win both of Maine's congressional districts again until 2018.
| United States House of Representatives elections in Maine, 2012[1] | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Votes | Percentage | Seats before | Seats after | +/– | |
| Democratic | 427,819 | 61.66% | 2 | 2 | - | |
| Republican | 265,982 | 38.34% | 0 | 0 | - | |
| Totals | 693,801 | 100% | 2 | 2 | - | |
This article needs to beupdated. Please help update this section to reflect recent events or newly available information.(January 2012) |
Unlike most states, which had passedredistricting laws to redraw the boundaries of their congressional districts based on the2010 United States census in advance of the 2012 elections, Maine law required that redistricting be done in 2013. In March 2011, alawsuit was filed asking aU.S. district judge to ensure redistricting is completed in time for the 2012 elections. According to the Census, the1st district had a population of 8,669 greater than that of the2nd district.[2] TheMaine Democratic Party, which opposes the lawsuit, was grantedintervenor status, and argued that the lawsuit constituted an attempt by theMaine Republican Party to force RepresentativesChellie Pingree andMike Michaud, both of whom are Democrats, to run in the same district.[3] On June 9, 2011, a panel of three federal judges agreed that failing to redistrict would be unconstitutional, and that the state should redraw the boundaries of its districts immediately.[4]
GovernorPaul LePage called aspecial session of theMaine Legislature on September 27 to consider a redistricting plan.[5] On August 15, both Republicans and Democrats released redistricting proposals. The Republican plan would moveLincoln County,Knox County (including Pingree's hometown ofNorth Haven) andSagadahoc County from the 1st district to the 2nd, and moveOxford County andAndroscoggin County from the 2nd district to the 1st, thereby making the 2nd district more favorable to Republicans. The Democratic plan, meanwhile, would not significantly change the current districts: onlyVassalboro would be moved from the 1st district to the 2nd.[6]
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County results Pingree: 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
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DemocratChellie Pingree, who had representedMaine's 1st congressional district since 2009, was gathering signatures torun for the U.S. Senate, but she decided not to run.[7][8]State senatorCynthia Dill andstate representativeJon Hinck, both of whom are Democrats, picked up petitions to run in the 1st district. However, after Pingree stepped out of the Senate race, Dill and Hinck returned, campaigning for U.S. Senate.
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Chellie Pingree (incumbent) | 31,965 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 31,965 | 100.0 | ||
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Jonathan Courtney | 14,558 | 50.4 | |
| Republican | Patrick Calder | 14,330 | 49.6 | |
| Total votes | 28,888 | 100.0 | ||
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Chellie Pingree (D) | Jon Courtney (R) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MPRC/Maine People's Alliance (D)[11] | November 1–3, 2012 | 469 | ± 3.3% | 62% | 34% | 4% |
| Pan Atlantic SMS Group[12] | September 24–28, 2012 | 198 | ± 7.0% | 57% | 24% | 19% |
| MPRC/Maine People's Alliance (D)[13] | September 15–17, 2012 | 444 | ± 4.3% | 60% | 32% | 8% |
| Critical Insights (Portland Press Herald)[14] | June 20–25, 2012 | 615 | ± 4.0% | 57% | 31% | 12% |
| Maine People's Resource Center (D)[15] | March 31–April 2, 2012 | 522 | ± 4.3% | 61% | 28% | 11% |
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[16] | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[17] | Safe D | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[18] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[19] | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[20] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[21] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[22] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Chellie Pingree (incumbent) | 236,363 | 64.8 | |
| Republican | Jonathan Courtney | 128,440 | 35.2 | |
| Total votes | 364,803 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratichold | ||||
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County results Michaud: 50%–60% 60–70% 70–80% Raye: 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
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DemocratMike Michaud, who had representedMaine's 2nd congressional district since 2003, decided not torun for the U.S. Senate, and was running for a sixth term in theUnited States House of Representatives.[23] David Costa, aconcierge at the Portland Harbor Hotel; Wellington Lyons, a lawyer; andDavid Lemoine, a formerstate treasurer, had taken out papers to seek the Democratic nomination to succeed Michaud had he run for Senate.[9]Emily Cain, theminority leader of theMaine House of Representatives, had also planned to seek the Democratic nomination in the 2nd district if Michaud decided to run for the Senate seat.[24]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Mike Michaud (incumbent) | 21,895 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 21,895 | 100.0 | ||
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Kevin Raye | 18,703 | 60.0 | |
| Republican | Blaine R. Richardson | 12,465 | 40.0 | |
| Total votes | 31,168 | 100.0 | ||
Organizations
Organizations
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Mike Michaud (D) | Kevin Raye (R) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MPRC/Maine People's Alliance (D)[11] | November 1–3, 2012 | 469 | ± 3.3% | 50% | 46% | 4% |
| Eaton River Strategies/Scientific Marketing & Analysis (R-Raye)[29] | October 10–11, 2012 | 1,200 | ± 2.8% | 47% | 40% | 13% |
| Normington, Petts & Associates (D-Michaud)[30] | October 8–9, 2012 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 58% | 33% | 9% |
| Pan Atlantic SMS Group[12] | September 24–28, 2012 | 202 | ± 6.9% | 52% | 32% | 16% |
| MPRC/Maine People's Alliance (D)[31] | September 15–17, 2012 | 410 | ± 4.3% | 56% | 37% | 7% |
| Normington, Petts & Associates (D-Michaud)[32] | June 25–27, 2012 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 62% | 30% | 8% |
| Critical Insights (Portland Press Herald)[14] | June 20–25, 2012 | 615 | ± 4.0% | 47% | 35% | 18% |
| Maine People's Resource Center (D)[15] | March 31–April 2, 2012 | 471 | ± 4.5% | 53% | 37% | 10% |
| Normington, Petts & Associates (D-Michaud)[33] | January 23–25, 2012 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 55% | 32% | 13% |
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[34] | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[17] | Safe D | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[18] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[19] | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[20] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[21] | Lean D | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[22] | Likely D | November 4, 2012 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Mike Michaud (incumbent) | 191,456 | 58.2 | |
| Republican | Kevin Raye | 137,542 | 41.8 | |
| Total votes | 328,998 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratichold | ||||