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All 27 Florida seats to theUnited States House of Representatives | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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 District results County results
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The2012 United States House of Representatives elections in Florida were held on Tuesday, November 6, 2012, to elect the 27congressional representatives from the state, one from each of the state's 27 congressional districts, a two-seat increase due to the2010 United States census. The elections coincided with the elections of other federal and state offices, including a quadrennialpresidential election and aU.S. Senate election. The primary elections were held on August 14, 2012.
In November 2010, Florida voters passed two amendments to theFlorida Constitution which would require congressional andstate legislative districts to be compact and follow geographical boundaries, thereby preventinggerrymandering. Shortly after the amendments were passed, U.S. RepresentativesCorrine Brown andMario Diaz-Balart filed alawsuit asking that the amendment concerning congressional districts be declared invalid.[1] Brown and Diaz-Balart alleged that the power to change rules for congressional redistricting lies exclusively with the state legislature, and as such cannot be changed through areferendum; however, in January 2012 athree-judge panel of the11th U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals rejected their arguments.[2]
Redistricting legislation which would create one new district each inNorth Florida andCentral Florida was passed by a committee of theFlorida House of Representatives on January 27,[3] by the full House of Representatives on February 3,[4] and by theFlorida Senate on February 9. Shortly after, theFlorida Democratic Party announced it would file a lawsuit, alleging that the map violated the Fair Districts provision, which requires that maps do not intentionally favor parties or incumbents. Separately, a coalition of groups includingCommon Cause, theLeague of Women Voters and theNational Council of La Raza announced it would file its own challenge on the legislation's being signed into law.[5]
The table below shows the total number and percentage of votes, as well as the number of seats gained and lost by each political party in the election for the United States House of Representatives in Florida. All vote totals come from the Florida Secretary of State's website along with the individual counties' election department websites.
| United States House of Representatives elections in Florida, 2012 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Votes | Percentage | Seats | +/– | |
| Republican | 4,157,046 | 51.61% | 17 | -2 | |
| Democratic | 3,678,725 | 45.67% | 10 | +4 | |
| Other Parties | 219,374 | 2.72% | 0 | - | |
| Totals | 8,055,145 | 100% | 27 | +2 | |
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 County results Miller: 60–70% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||
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Florida's new 1st district voting age population was 77.6% White (single race), 12.9% Black (includes multirace), 4.3% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Black), 0.3% Hispanic Black (includes multirace), and 5% other races.[6]Republican incumbentJeff Miller, who had representedFlorida's 1st congressional district since 2001, ran for re-election and secured the Republican nomination unopposed.
William Cleave Drummond, II ran for election as a write-in candidate.[7]
Organizations
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[11] | Safe R | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[12] | Safe R | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[13] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[14] | Safe R | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[15] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[16] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[17] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Jeff Miller (incumbent) | 238,440 | 69.6 | |
| Democratic | Jim Bryan | 92,961 | 27.1 | |
| Libertarian | Calen Fretts | 11,176 | 3.3 | |
| Independent | William Cleave (write-in) | 17 | 0.0 | |
| Total votes | 342,594 | 100.0 | ||
| Republicanhold | ||||
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 County results Southerland: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Lawson: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||
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Florida's new 2nd district voting age population was 68.5% non-Hispanic White (single race), 23.5% non-Hispanic Black (includes multirace), 4.4% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Black), 0.3% Hispanic Black (includes multirace), and 3.3% other races (non-Hispanic).[6]Republican incumbentSteve Southerland was first elected to representFlorida's 2nd congressional district in2010 and secured the Republican nomination unopposed.[7]
Former Republicanstate senatorNancy Argenziano was barred from running as a Democrat by state law, and tried to run on theIndependent Party of Florida line, but ultimately withdrew.[19]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Al Lawson | 46,900 | 54.6 | |
| Democratic | Leonard Bembry | 22,357 | 26.0 | |
| Democratic | Alvin L. Peters | 11,919 | 13.9 | |
| Democratic | Mark Schlakman | 4,653 | 5.4 | |
| Total votes | 85,829 | 100.0 | ||
Organizations
Organizations
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Steve Southerland (R) | Al Lawson (D) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| StPetePolls[26] | October 3–5, 2012 | 450 | ± 4.6% | 46% | 47% | 8% |
| Lester (D-DCCC)[27] | September 15–17, 2012 | 401 | ± 4.9% | 43% | 43% | 14% |
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[11] | Lean R | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[12] | Likely R | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[13] | Lean R | November 17, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[14] | Lean R | December 12, 2012 |
| NY Times[15] | Lean R | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[16] | Lean R | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[17] | Likely R | November 4, 2012 |
Southerland defeated Lawson for re-election to a second term, 53% to 47%, on November 6, 2012.
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Steve Southerland (incumbent) | 175,856 | 52.7 | ||
| Democratic | Al Lawson | 157,634 | 47.2 | ||
| Independent | Floyd Patrick Miller (write-in) | 228 | 0.1 | ||
| Total votes | 333,718 | 100.0 | |||
| Republicanhold | |||||
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 County results Yoho: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% | |||||||||||||||||
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Florida's new 3rd district voting age population was 75.8% non-Hispanic White (single race), 12.9% non-Hispanic Black (includes multirace), 6.7% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Black), 0.3% Hispanic Black (includes multirace), and 4.3% other races (non-Hispanic).[6] RepublicanCliff Stearns, who had represented the 6th district since 1989, had his home inOcala drawn into the neighboring 11th district. However, he opted to seek reelection in the 3rd, which contained more than two-thirds of his former territory.
Stearns was upset in the primary byTed Yoho, a large-animal veterinarian fromGainesville.
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Ted Yoho | 22,273 | 34.4 | |
| Republican | Cliff Stearns (incumbent) | 21,398 | 33.0 | |
| Republican | Steve Oelrich | 12,329 | 19.0 | |
| Republican | James Jett | 8,769 | 13.5 | |
| Total votes | 64,769 | 100.0 | ||
Organizations
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Ted Yoho (R) | J. R. Gaillot (D) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| StPetePolls[30] | September 1–3, 2012 | 668 | ± 5.0% | 56% | 31% | 13% |
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | Safe R | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[12] | Safe R | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[13] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[14] | Safe R | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[15] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[16] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[17] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Ted Yoho | 204,331 | 64.7 | ||
| Democratic | J. R. Gaillot | 102,468 | 32.5 | ||
| Independent | Philip Dodds | 8,870 | 2.8 | ||
| Total votes | 315,669 | 100.0 | |||
| Republicanhold | |||||
Florida's new 4th district voting age population was 74.9% non-Hispanic White (single race), 12.5% non-Hispanic Black (includes multirace), 6.3% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Black), 0.4% Hispanic Black (includes multirace), and 5.9% other races (non-Hispanic).[6] Republican incumbentAnder Crenshaw, who had represented the 4th district since 2001, ran for re-election.[31]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Ander Crenshaw (incumbent) | 46,788 | 71.9 | |
| Republican | Bob Black | 11,816 | 18.1 | |
| Republican | Deborah Katz Pueschel | 6,505 | 10.0 | |
| Total votes | 65,109 | 100.0 | ||
Organizations
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | Safe R | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[12] | Safe R | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[13] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[14] | Safe R | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[15] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[16] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[17] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Ander Crenshaw (incumbent) | 239,988 | 76.1 | |
| Independent | Jim Klauder | 75,236 | 23.8 | |
| Independent | Gary Koniz (write-in) | 246 | 0.1 | |
| Total votes | 315,470 | 100.0 | ||
| Republicanhold | ||||
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 County results Brown: 60–70% 70–80% Kolb: 40–50% 50–60% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||
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Florida's new 5th district voting age population was 49% non-Hispanic Black (includes multirace), 36.2% non-Hispanic White (single race), 10% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Black), 1.1% Hispanic Black (includes multirace), and 3.7% other races (non-Hispanic).[6] It is the successor to the former 3rd district, which had been represented by DemocratCorrine Brown since 1993.[32]
Gerald Nyren announced plans to run as aLibertarian Party candidate.[34]
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[11] | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[12] | Safe D | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[13] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[14] | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[15] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[16] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[17] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Corrine Brown (incumbent) | 190,472 | 70.8 | |
| Republican | LeAnne Kolb | 70,700 | 26.3 | |
| Independent | Eileen Fleming | 7,978 | 3.0 | |
| Independent | Bruce Raey Riggs (write-in) | 3 | 0.0 | |
| Total votes | 269,153 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratichold | ||||
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2014 → | |||||||||||||||||
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 County results DeSantis: 50–60% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
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In redistricting, most of the old 7th district was renumbered as the new 6th district.John Mica, who had represented the 7th district since 1993, had his home drawn into the neighboring 7th district, and opted to seek re-election there.
Florida's new 6th district voting age population was 82.8% non-Hispanic White (single race), 8.8% non-Hispanic Black (includes multirace), 5.4% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Black), 0.3% Hispanic Black (includes multirace), and 2.7% other races (non-Hispanic).[6]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Ron DeSantis | 24,132 | 38.8 | |
| Republican | Fred Costello | 14,189 | 22.8 | |
| Republican | Beverly Slough | 8,229 | 13.2 | |
| Republican | Craig Miller | 8,113 | 13.1 | |
| Republican | Richard Clark | 6,090 | 9.8 | |
| Republican | Alec Pueschel | 739 | 1.2 | |
| Republican | William Billy Kogut | 628 | 1.0 | |
| Total votes | 62,120 | 100.0 | ||
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Heather Beaven | 29,909 | 80.5 | |
| Democratic | Vipin Verma | 7,253 | 19.5 | |
| Total votes | 37,162 | 100.0 | ||
Organizations
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[11] | Safe R | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[12] | Safe R | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[13] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[14] | Safe R | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[15] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[16] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[17] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Ron DeSantis | 195,962 | 57.3 | ||
| Democratic | Heather Beaven | 146,489 | 42.8 | ||
| Total votes | 342,451 | 100.0 | |||
| Republicanhold | |||||
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 County results Mica: 50–60% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
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The new 7th district is the successor to the old 24th district, represented by RepublicanSandy Adams since 2011.John Mica, who had represented the old 7th district since 1993, had his home drawn into the new 7th. The new 7th district voting age population was 70.2% non-Hispanic White (single race), 8.1% non-Hispanic Black (includes multirace), 8.1 percent Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Black), 0.9 percent Hispanic Black (includes multirace) and 4.7% other races (non-Hispanic).[6]
Mica defeated Adams in the Republican primary with 61 percent of the vote.
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | John Mica (incumbent) | 32,119 | 61.2 | |
| Republican | Sandy Adams (incumbent) | 20,404 | 38.8 | |
| Total votes | 52,523 | 100.0 | ||
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Jason H. Kendall | 12,816 | 61.3 | |
| Democratic | Nicholas Ruiz | 8,088 | 38.7 | |
| Total votes | 20,904 | 100.0 | ||
Organizations
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | Safe R | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[12] | Safe R | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[13] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[14] | Safe R | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[15] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[16] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[17] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | John Mica (incumbent) | 185,518 | 58.7 | ||
| Democratic | Jason H. Kenall | 130,479 | 41.3 | ||
| Independent | Fred Marra (write-in) | 13 | 0.0 | ||
| Total votes | 316,010 | 100.0 | |||
| Republicanhold | |||||
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 County results Posey: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
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The new 8th district was the successor to the 15th district, represented by RepublicanBill Posey since 2009. The voting age population was 80.4% non-Hispanic White (single race), 8.7% non-Hispanic Black (includes multirace), 7.3% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Black), 0.4% Hispanic Black (includes multirace), and 3.2% other races (non-Hispanic).[6]
Organizations
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | Safe R | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[12] | Safe R | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[13] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[14] | Safe R | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[15] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[16] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[17] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Bill Posey (incumbent) | 205,432 | 58.9 | ||
| Democratic | Shannon Roberts | 130,870 | 37.5 | ||
| Independent | Richard Gillmor | 12,607 | 3.6 | ||
| Total votes | 348,909 | 100.0 | |||
| Republicanhold | |||||
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2014 → | |||||||||||||||||
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 County results Grayson: 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
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The new9th district, anopen seat located south ofOrlando, was expected to favor Democrats.[45] It contains all ofOsceola County, part ofOrange County (including theOrlando International Airport), and part ofPolk County. The district's inhabitants voted overwhelmingly for PresidentBarack Obama, preferring him toJohn McCain 60-39%. The new 9th district voting age population was 42.9% non-Hispanic White (single race), 39.1% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Black), 10.1% non-Hispanic Black (includes multirace), 2.3% Hispanic Black (includes multirace), and 5.6% other races (non-Hispanic).[6][46][47][48]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Todd Long | 12,585 | 47.3 | |
| Republican | John "Q" Quinones | 7,514 | 28.3 | |
| Republican | Julius Anthony Melendez | 3,983 | 15.0 | |
| Republican | Mark Oxner | 2,510 | 9.4 | |
| Total votes | 26,592 | 100.0 | ||
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Alan Grayson (D) | Todd Long (R) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gravis Marketing (D-Grayson)[54] | October 11–12, 2012 | 487 | ± 4.5% | 56% | 41% | 3% |
| StPetePolls[26] | October 3–5, 2012 | 363 | ± 5.1% | 45% | 42% | 13% |
| Kitchens (D-Grayson)[55] | September 18–21, 2012 | 507 | ± 4.4% | 48% | 34% | 19% |
| StPetePolls[30] | September 1–3, 2012 | 629 | ± 5.0% | 46% | 41% | 13% |
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | Likely D(flip) | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[12] | Safe D(flip) | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[13] | Safe D(flip) | November 17, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[14] | Safe D(flip) | December 12, 2012 |
| NY Times[15] | Lean D(flip) | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[16] | Likely D(flip) | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[17] | Likely D(flip) | November 4, 2012 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Alan Grayson | 164,891 | 62.5 | ||
| Republican | Todd Long | 98,856 | 37.5 | ||
| Total votes | 263,747 | 100.0 | |||
| Democraticwin (new seat) | |||||
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 County results Webster: 50–60% Demings: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
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In redistricting, the8th district was renumbered as the10th district. RepublicanDaniel Webster, who had represented the 8th district since January 2011, sought re-election.[45] The new 10th district voting age population was 69.9% non-Hispanic White (single race), 13.5% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Black), 10.4% non-Hispanic Black (includes multirace), 0.7% Hispanic Black (includes multirace), and 5.4% other races (non-Hispanic).[6]
Organizations
Labor unions
Organizations
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Daniel Webster (R) | Val Demings (D) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Global Strategy Group (D-DCCC)[59] | October 11–14, 2012 | 401 | ± 4.9% | 43% | 41% | 16% |
| StPetePolls[26] | October 3–5, 2012 | 498 | ± 4.4% | 51% | 40% | 9% |
| Global Strategy Group (D-DCCC)[60] | September 22–25, 2012 | 402 | ± % | 46% | 41% | 13% |
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | Lean R | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[12] | Lean R | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[13] | Lean R | November 17, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[14] | Lean R | December 12, 2012 |
| NY Times[15] | Lean R | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[16] | Lean R | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[17] | Tossup | November 4, 2012 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Daniel Webster (incumbent) | 164,649 | 51.7 | ||
| Democratic | Val Demings | 153,574 | 48.3 | ||
| Independent | Naipaul Seegolam (write-in) | 46 | 0.0 | ||
| Total votes | 318,269 | 100.0 | |||
| Republicanhold | |||||
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 County results Nugent: 50–60% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
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In redistricting, most of the old5th district became the 11th district.Rich Nugent, who had represented the 5th since 2011, ran for re-election in the 11th.[61] The new 11th district voting age population was 83.1% non-Hispanic White (single race), 7.3% non-Hispanic Black (includes multirace), 7% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Black), 0.4% Hispanic Black (includes multirace), and 2.2% other races (non-Hispanic).[6]
Organizations
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | Safe R | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[12] | Safe R | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[13] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[14] | Safe R | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[15] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[16] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[17] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Rich Nugent (incumbent) | 218,360 | 64.5 | ||
| Democratic | H. David Werder | 120,303 | 35.5 | ||
| Total votes | 338,663 | 100.0 | |||
| Republicanhold | |||||
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 County results Bilirakis : 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
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In redistricting, most of the old9th district became the12th district. RepublicanGus Bilirakis, who had represented the 9th district since 2007, ran for re-election in the 12th.[62] The new 12th district voting age population was 82.6% non-Hispanic White (single race), 9.6% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Black), 4% non-Hispanic Blacs (includes multirace), 0.4% Hispanic Black (includes multirace), and 3.5% other races (non-Hispanic).[6]
John Russell, anacute carenurse practitioner, had announced prior to redistricting that he would run as an independent in the 11th district.[63] However, after he was drawn into the 12th, he opted to seek election there.[44]
Organizations
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Gus Bilirakis (R) | Jonathan Snow (D) | Paul Elliott (I) | John Russell (I) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| StPetePolls[30] | September 1–3, 2012 | 668 | ± 5.0% | 57% | 27% | 2% | 2% | 12% |
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | Safe R | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[12] | Safe R | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[13] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[14] | Safe R | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[15] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[16] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[17] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Gus Bilirakis (incumbent) | 209,604 | 63.5 | ||
| Democratic | Jonathan Michael Snow | 108,770 | 32.9 | ||
| Independent | John Russell | 6,878 | 2.1 | ||
| Independent | Paul Siney Elliott | 4,915 | 1.5 | ||
| Total votes | 330,167 | 100.0 | |||
| Republicanhold | |||||
In redistricting, most of the old 10th district became the 13th district.Bill Young, who had represented the 10th and its predecessors since 1971, ran for re-election. The new 13th district voting age population was 83.5% non-Hispanic White (single race), 7% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Black), 5% non-Hispanic Black (includes multirace), 0.3% Hispanic Black (includes multirace), and 4.2% other races (non-Hispanic).[6]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | C. W. Bill Young (incumbent) | 39,395 | 69.1 | |
| Republican | Darren Ayres | 10,548 | 18.5 | |
| Republican | Madeline Vance | 7,049 | 12.4 | |
| Total votes | 56,992 | 100.0 | ||
Labor unions
Organizations
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Bill Young (R) | Jessica Ehrlich (D) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| StPetePolls[26] | October 3–5, 2012 | 533 | ± 4.3% | 49% | 40% | 11% |
| StPetePolls[30] | September 1–3, 2012 | 1,691 | ± 5.0% | 50% | 39% | 11% |
| DCCC (D)[67] | July 18, 2012 | 800 | ± 3.5% | 49% | 35% | 16% |
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | Safe R | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[12] | Safe R | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[13] | Safe R | November 17, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[14] | Safe R | December 12, 2012 |
| NY Times[15] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[16] | Likely R | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[17] | Lean R | November 4, 2012 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Bill Young (incumbent) | 189,605 | 57.6 | ||
| Democratic | Jessica Ehrlich | 139,742 | 42.4 | ||
| Total votes | 329,347 | 100.0 | |||
| Republicanhold | |||||
| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
 County results Castor: 60–70% 80-90% | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
In redistricting, the 11th district was renumbered as the 14th district. DemocratKathy Castor, who had represented the 11th since 2007, ran for re-election here.[44] Florida's new 14th district voting age population was 46.5% non-Hispanic White (single race), 24% non-Hispanic Black (includes multirace), 24% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Black), 1.6% Hispanic Black (includes multirace), and 3.8% other races (non-Hispanic).[6]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Evelio "EJ" Otero | 12,084 | 60.3 | |
| Republican | Eddie Adams | 7,953 | 39.7 | |
| Total votes | 20,037 | 100.0 | ||
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Kathy Castor (D) | EJ Otero (R) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| StPetePolls[30] | September 1–3, 2012 | 1,459 | ± 5.0% | 59% | 32% | 9% |
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[11] | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[12] | Safe D | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[13] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[14] | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[15] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[16] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[17] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Kathy Castor (incumbent) | 197,121 | 70.2 | ||
| Republican | EJ Otero | 83,480 | 29.8 | ||
| Total votes | 280,601 | 100.0 | |||
| Democratichold | |||||
In redistricting, the12th district was renumbered as the15th district.Dennis Ross, who had represented the 12th district since 2011, ran for re-election.[73] The new 15th district voting age population was 68.6% non-Hispanic White (single race), 14.2% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Black), 12% non-Hispanic Black (includes multirace), 0.7% Hispanic Black (includes multirace), and 4.5% other races (non-Hispanic).[6]
No other party put up a candidate.
Organizations
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | Safe R | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[12] | Safe R | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[13] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[14] | Safe R | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[15] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[16] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[17] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Dennis Ross (incumbent) | Unopposed | N/a | |
| Total votes | N/a | |||
| Republicanhold | ||||
In redistricting, theFlorida's 13th congressional district was renumbered as the16th district. RepublicanVern Buchanan, who had represented the 13th since 2007, ran for re-election in the 16th after deciding against running for the U.S. Senate.[74][75] The new 16th district voting age population was 83.5% non-Hispanic White (single race), 8.5% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Black), 5.6% non-Hispanic Black (includes multirace), 0.3% Hispanic Black (includes multirace), and 2.2% other races (non-Hispanic).[6]
Prior to redistricting, formerstate representativeKeith Fitzgerald had announced he would seek the Democratic nomination to challenge Buchanan.[76]
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Vern Buchanan (R) | Keith Fitzgerald (D) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| StPetePolls[26] | October 3–5, 2012 | 494 | ± 4.4% | 55% | 38% | 7% |
| StPetePolls[30] | September 1–3, 2012 | 897 | ± 5.0% | 56% | 37% | 7% |
| Public Policy Polling (D-Fitzgerald)[77] | July 18–19, 2012 | 586 | ± 4.1% | 44% | 36% | 19% |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R-Buchanan)[78] | July 15–16, 2012 | 500 | ± 4.9% | 54% | 32% | 14% |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R-Buchanan)[79] | March 20–21, 2012 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 58% | 36% | 6% |
| SEA Polling (D-Fitzgerald)[80] | February 12–18, 2012 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 49% | 38% | 13% |
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | Likely R | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[12] | Likely R | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[13] | Likely R | November 17, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[14] | Likely R | December 12, 2012 |
| NY Times[15] | Lean R | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[16] | Likely R | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[17] | Likely R | November 4, 2012 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Vern Buchanan (incumbent) | 187,147 | 53.6 | ||
| Democratic | Keith Fitzgerald | 161,929 | 46.4 | ||
| Total votes | 349,076 | 100.0 | |||
| Republicanhold | |||||
| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
 County results Rooney: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
The new17th district, an open seat for a large district comprising parts of 10 South and Central Florida counties as well as parts of theEverglades watershed, was expected to favor Republicans.[45][81] RepublicanTom Rooney, who had represented the16th district since 2009, ran for re-election in the new 17th district.[82] The new 17th district voting age population was 75.4% non-Hispanic White (single race), 13.9% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Black), 7.9% non-Hispanic Black (includes multirace), 0.4% Hispanic Black (includes multirace), and 2.3% other races (non-Hispanic).[6]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Tom Rooney (incumbent) | 37,881 | 73.2 | |
| Republican | Joe Arnold | 13,871 | 26.8 | |
| Total votes | 51,752 | 100.0 | ||
26-year-old Tom Baumann fromMiami (who ran unsuccessful campaigns in Minnesota and in the Borough of Manhattan) ran as a write-in candidate for theSocialist Workers Party.
As of the SeptemberFEC financial reporting deadline, Rooney had collected $930,248 in campaign contributions and had $564,716 on hand; the FEC had no reports on Bronson or Baumann.[81][84][85]
Organizations
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | Safe R | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[12] | Safe R | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[13] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[14] | Safe R | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[15] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[16] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[17] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Tom Rooney (incumbent) | 165,488 | 58.6 | ||
| Democratic | William Bronson | 116,766 | 41.4 | ||
| Socialist Workers | Tom Baumann (write-in) | 12 | 0.0 | ||
| Total votes | 282,266 | 100.0 | |||
| Republicanwin (new seat) | |||||
| |||||||||||||||||
2014 → | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
 County results Murphy: 50–60% West: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
Allen West, who was first elected to representFlorida's 22nd congressional district in2010, ran for re-election in the new18th district.[86] The new 18th district voting age population was 74.7% non-Hispanic White (single race), 11.6% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Black), 10.6% non-Hispanic Black (includes multirace), 0.4% Hispanic Black (includes multirace), and 2.7% other races (non-Hispanic).[6]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Allen B. West (incumbent) | 45,790 | 74.4 | |
| Republican | Robert L. Crowder | 15,758 | 25.6 | |
| Total votes | 61,548 | 100.0 | ||
Patrick Murphy, an environmental services executive, had planned to seek the Democratic nomination in the 22nd district,[88] but announced in February 2012 that he would continue to challenge West in the 18th district.[89]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Patrick Murphy | 26,791 | 79.7 | |
| Democratic | Jim Horn | 3,843 | 11.4 | |
| Democratic | Jerry Lee Buechler | 2,984 | 8.9 | |
| Total votes | 33,618 | 100.0 | ||
Marilyn Davis Holloman qualified to run as a write-in.[90] Everett Wilkinson, the chair of the South FloridaTea Party and registered to vote withno party affiliation, decided not to run.[91]
Organizations
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Allen West (R) | Patrick Murphy (D) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[93] | October 25–26, 2012 | 631 | ± ?% | 47% | 48% | 5% |
| Frederick Polls (D-Murphy)[94] | October 16–17, 2012 | 333 | ± 5.3% | 47% | 47% | 6% |
| Sunshine State News/VSS[95] | October 16–17, 2012 | 752 | ± 3.6% | 49% | 48% | 3% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[96] | October 15–16, 2012 | 500 | ± 4.0% | 51% | 42% | 8% |
| StPetePolls[26] | October 3–5, 2012 | 902 | ± 3.3% | 53% | 41% | 7% |
| Kimball Political Consulting (R)[97] | September 28, 2012 | 408 | ± 4.8% | 45% | 49% | 6% |
| Garin-Hart-Yang (D-House Majority PAC)[98] | September 26–27, 2012 | 401 | ± 4.9% | 43% | 52% | 5% |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R-West)[99] | September 24–25, 2012 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 52% | 41% | 7% |
| StPetePolls[30] | September 1–3, 2012 | 535 | ± 5.0% | 49% | 43% | 9% |
| Grove Insight (D-DCCC)[100] | August 21–24, 2012 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 46% | 47% | 7% |
| Frederick Polls (D-Murphy)[101] | May 6–8, 2012 | 500 | ± 4.3% | 45% | 45% | 10% |
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | Tossup | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[12] | Tilt R | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[13] | Lean R | November 17, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[14] | Lean R | December 12, 2012 |
| NY Times[15] | Tossup | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[16] | Tossup | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[17] | Tossup | November 4, 2012 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Patrick Murphy | 166,257 | 50.3 | ||
| Republican | Allen West (incumbent) | 164,353 | 49.7 | ||
| Independent | Marilyn Davis Holloman (write-in) | 55 | 0.0 | ||
| Total votes | 330,665 | 100.0 | |||
| Democraticgain fromRepublican | |||||
In redistricting, the14th district was renumbered as the19th district.[45]Connie Mack IV, who had represented the 14th district since 2005,ran for the U.S. Senate rather than for re-election.[102] The new 19th district voting age population was 77.1% non-Hispanic White (single race), 14.4% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Black), 6% non-Hispanic Black (includes multirace), 0.5% Hispanic Black (includes multirace), and 2.1% other races (non-Hispanic).[6]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Trey Radel | 22,304 | 30.0 | |
| Republican | Chauncey Porter Goss | 16,005 | 21.5 | |
| Republican | Paige Kreegel | 13,167 | 17.7 | |
| Republican | Gary Aubuchon | 11,498 | 15.5 | |
| Republican | Byron Donalds | 10,389 | 14.0 | |
| Republican | Joe Davidow | 1,028 | 1.4 | |
| Total votes | 74,391 | 100.0 | ||
Brandon Smith was on the general election ballot as an independent candidate.
Organizations
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | Safe R | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[12] | Safe R | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[13] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[14] | Safe R | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[15] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[16] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[17] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Trey Radel | 189,833 | 62.0 | ||
| Democratic | Jim Roach | 109,746 | 35.8 | ||
| Independent | Brandon M. Smith | 6,637 | 2.2 | ||
| Total votes | 306,216 | 100.0 | |||
| Republicanhold | |||||
| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
 County results Hastings: 70–80% 80–90% | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
In redistricting, the23rd district was renumbered as the 20th district. DemocratAlcee Hastings, who had represented the 23rd since 1993, ran for reelection—in effect, trading district numbers with fellow DemocratDebbie Wasserman Schultz. The new 20th district voting age population was 49.2% non-Hispanic White (single race), 35.5% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Black), 9.8% non-Hispanic Black (includes multirace), 1.2% Hispanic Black (includes multirace), and 4.3% other races (non-Hispanic).[6]
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[11] | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[12] | Safe D | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[13] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[14] | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[15] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[16] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[17] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Alcee Hastings (incumbent) | 214,727 | 87.9 | ||
| Independent | Randall Terry | 29,553 | 12.1 | ||
| Independent | Anthony M. Dutrow (write-in) | 5 | 0.0 | ||
| Total votes | 244,285 | 100.0 | |||
| Democratichold | |||||
In redistricting, most of the old 19th district became the 21st district.Ted Deutch, who had represented the 19th district since April 2010, ran for re-election[115] The new 21st district voting age population was 66.6% non-Hispanic White (single race), 17.6% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Black), 10.6% non-Hispanic Black (includes multirace), 0.6% Hispanic Black (includes multirace), and 4.5% other races (non-Hispanic).[6]
Cesar Augusto Henao Cañas was an independent candidate.[116]
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[11] | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[12] | Safe D | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[13] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[14] | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[15] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[16] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[17] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Ted Deutch (incumbent) | 221,263 | 77.8 | ||
| Independent | W. Michael (Mike) Trout | 37,776 | 13.3 | ||
| Independent | Cesar Henao | 25,361 | 8.9 | ||
| Total votes | 284,400 | 100.0 | |||
| Democratichold | |||||
| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
 County results Frankel: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
RepublicanAllen West, who was first elected to representFlorida's 22nd congressional district in2010, sought re-election in the new18th district.[86] The new 22nd district voting age population was 69.4% non-Hispanic White (single race), 17.2% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Black), 9.8% non-Hispanic Black (includes multirace), 0.6% Hispanic Black (includes multirace), and 3.1% other races (non-Hispanic).[6]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Lois Frankel | 18,483 | 61.4 | |
| Democratic | Kristin Jacobs | 11,644 | 38.6 | |
| Total votes | 30,127 | 100.0 | ||
Organizations
Labor unions
Organizations
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Adam Hasner (R) | Lois Frankel (D) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anzalone-Liszt (D-Frankel)[121] | October 18–21, 2012 | 501 | ± 4.4% | 37% | 47% | 16% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[122] | October 15–16, 2012 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 44% | 47% | 9% |
| Sunshine State News/VSS[123] | October 14–16, 2012 | 750 | ± 3.6% | 47% | 47% | 6% |
| DCCC (D)[124] | October 10, 2012 | 450 | ± 4.6% | 39% | 49% | 13% |
| StPetePolls[26] | October 3–5, 2012 | 407 | ± 4.9% | 45% | 44% | 11% |
| StPetePolls[30] | September 1–3, 2012 | 1,054 | ± 5.0% | 41% | 47% | 12% |
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | Likely D(flip) | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[12] | Likely D(flip) | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[13] | Likely D(flip) | November 17, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[14] | Lean D(flip) | December 12, 2012 |
| NY Times[15] | Lean D(flip) | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[16] | Lean D(flip) | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[17] | Tossup | November 4, 2012 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Lois Frankel | 171,021 | 54.6 | ||
| Republican | Adam Hasner | 142,050 | 45.4 | ||
| Total votes | 313,071 | 100.0 | |||
| Democraticgain fromRepublican | |||||
In redistricting, the 20th district was renumbered as the 23rd district. DNC ChairwomanDebbie Wasserman Schultz, who had represented the 20th since 2005, ran for re-election. The new 23rd district voting age population was 48.9% non-Hispanic Black (includes multirace), 29.5% non-Hispanic White (single race), 17.4% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Black), 1.2% Hispanic Black (includes multirace), and 3.1% other races (non-Hispanic).[6]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Karen Harrington | 8,043 | 47.8 | |
| Republican | Joe Kaufman | 3,383 | 20.1 | |
| Republican | Ozzie deFaria | 2,356 | 14.0 | |
| Republican | Juan Eliel Garcia | 1,674 | 9.9 | |
| Republican | Gineen Bresso | 1,380 | 8.2 | |
| Total votes | 16,836 | 100.0 | ||
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[11] | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[12] | Safe D | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[13] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[14] | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[15] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[16] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[17] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Debbie Wasserman Schultz (incumbent) | 174,205 | 63.2 | ||
| Republican | Karen Harrington | 98,096 | 35.6 | ||
| Independent | Ilya Katz | 3,129 | 1.1 | ||
| Total votes | 275,430 | 100.0 | |||
| Democratichold | |||||
In redistricting, most of the old 17th district was renumbered as the 24th district. DemocratFrederica Wilson, who had represented the 17th since 2011, sought reelection. The new 24th district voting age population was 51.7% non-Hispanic Black (includes multirace), 29.9% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Black), 12.6% non-Hispanic White (single race), 3.2% Hispanic Black (includes multirace), and 2.5% other races (non-Hispanic).[6]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Frederica Wilson (incumbent) | 42,807 | 66.4 | |
| Democratic | Rudolph Moise | 21,680 | 33.6 | |
| Total votes | 64,487 | 100.0 | ||
Wilson was unopposed in the general election.
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[11] | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[12] | Safe D | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[13] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[14] | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[15] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[16] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[17] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Frederica Wilson (incumbent) | Unopposed | N/a | |
| Total votes | N/a | |||
| Democratichold | ||||
| |||||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||||
 County results Diaz-Balart: 60–70% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||||
In redistricting, the21st district was renumbered as the25th district. RepublicanMario Diaz-Balart, who had represented the 21st district since 2011, ran for re-election.[45] The new 25th district voting age population was 68.9% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Black), 21.2% non-Hispanic White (single race), 6% non-Hispanic Black (includes multirace), 1.7% Hispanic Black (includes multirace), and 2.1% other races (non-Hispanic).[6]
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | Safe R | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[12] | Safe R | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[13] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[14] | Safe R | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[15] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[16] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[17] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Mario Diaz-Balart (incumbent) | 151,466 | 75.6 | ||
| Independent | Stanley Blumenthal | 31,664 | 15.8 | ||
| Independent | VoteForEddie.com[129] | 17,099 | 8.5 | ||
| Total votes | 200,229 | 100.0 | |||
| Republicanhold | |||||
| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
 County results Garcia: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
In redistricting, the old 25th district was renumbered as the 26th district. RepublicanDavid Rivera, who had represented the 25th since 2011, ran for reelection.[45] The new 26th district voting age population was 67.4% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Black), 20.2% non-Hispanic White (single race), 8.6% non-Hispanic Black (includes multirace), 1.5% Hispanic Black (includes multirace), and 2.4% other races (non-Hispanic).[6]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Joe Garcia | 13,927 | 53.4 | |
| Democratic | Gloria Romero Roses | 8,027 | 30.8 | |
| Democratic | Lamar Sternad | 2,856 | 10.9 | |
| Democratic | Gustavo Marin | 1,286 | 4.9 | |
| Total votes | 26,096 | 100.0 | ||
Due toredistricting and constitutional amendments passed in 2010 restrictinggerrymandering, the race was considered a toss-up. While the old 25th leaned Republican, the new district was split narrowly in half between Republicans and Democrats.
Labor unions
Organizations
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | David Rivera (R) | Joe Garcia (D) | Angel Fernandez (I) | José Peixoto (I) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benenson (D-DCCC)[133] | October 9–11, 2012 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 35% | 46% | 2% | 1% | 15% |
| StPetePolls[26] | October 3–5, 2012 | 473 | ± 4.5% | 43% | 41% | 2% | 3% | 12% |
| NORS (R-Rivera)[134] | September 13–19, 2012 | 422 | ± ?% | 44% | 38% | — | — | 19% |
| Public Policy Polling (D-Democracy for America)[135] | September 12–13, 2012 | 578 | ± 4.1% | 39% | 46% | — | — | 16% |
| GBA Strategies (D-House Majority PAC)/SEIU)[136] | September 8–13, 2012 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 41% | 50% | — | — | 9% |
| Benenson (D-Garcia)[137] | August 20–22, 2012 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 40% | 49% | — | — | 11% |
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | Lean D(flip) | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[12] | Lean D(flip) | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[13] | Lean D(flip) | November 17, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[14] | Lean D(flip) | December 12, 2012 |
| NY Times[15] | Tossup | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[16] | Lean D(flip) | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[17] | Likely D(flip) | November 4, 2012 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Joe Garcia | 135,694 | 53.6 | ||
| Republican | David Rivera (incumbent) | 108,820 | 43.0 | ||
| Independent | Angel Fernandez | 5,726 | 2.3 | ||
| Independent | José Peixoto | 2,717 | 1.1 | ||
| Total votes | 252,957 | 100.0 | |||
| Democraticgain fromRepublican | |||||
In redistricting, the old 18th district was renumbered as the 27th district. RepublicanIleana Ros-Lehtinen, who had represented the 18th since 1989, ran for re-election. The new 27th district voting age population was 72.8% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Black), 17.5% non-Hispanic White (single race), 5.5% non-Hispanic Black (includes multirace), 2.2% Hispanic Black (includes multirace), and 2% other races (non-Hispanic).[6]
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | Safe R | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[12] | Safe R | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[13] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[14] | Safe R | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[15] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[16] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[17] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Ileana Ros-Lehtinen (incumbent) | 138,488 | 60.2 | ||
| Democratic | Manny Yevancey | 85,020 | 36.9 | ||
| Independent | Thomas Joe Cruz-Wiggins | 6,663 | 2.9 | ||
| Total votes | 230,171 | 100.0 | |||
| Republicanhold | |||||
When voters get their ballots for the Nov. 6 election, the U.S. Congressional District 17 will be one of the few in which there will be a three-way race.
...Rooney says he often feels like a political rookie these days as he pursues a third term by introducing himself to new voters in freshly drawn congressional District 17.
After the district lines were redrawn based on the 2010 Census, Rooney found himself running for a different seat in newly created District 17. Mostly rural and sprawling, the district spans 10 counties, including southern Hillsborough, parts of Manatee and Polk, Lee, Glades and Okeechobee.
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