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2011 Kentucky gubernatorial election

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2011 Kentucky gubernatorial election

← 2007November 8, 20112015 →
Turnout28.6%[1] (Decrease 9.2%)
 
NomineeSteve BeshearDavid L. WilliamsGatewood Galbraith
PartyDemocraticRepublicanIndependent
Running mateJerry AbramsonRichie FarmerDea Riley
Popular vote464,245294,03474,860
Percentage55.72%35.29%8.99%

County results
Congressional district results
Beshear:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%
Williams:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%

Governor before election

Steve Beshear
Democratic

ElectedGovernor

Steve Beshear
Democratic

Elections in Kentucky
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The2011 Kentucky gubernatorial election was held on November 8, 2011, to elect thegovernor of Kentucky and thelieutenant governor of Kentucky. IncumbentDemocratSteve Beshear won re-election, defeatingRepublican challengerDavid L. Williams, then thepresident of the state senate, andGatewood Galbraith, an independent candidate. Statewide turnout in this election was 28%.[2]

This was one of the two Democratic-held governorships up for election in a state thatJohn McCain won in the2008 presidential election, the other being West Virginia.

Background

[edit]

On July 19, 2009, Beshear announced his intention to run for re-election. However, in that announcement, he stated that then-Louisville mayorJerry Abramson would be his running mate in 2011[3] instead of current Lt. GovernorDaniel Mongiardo, who chose to run for the U.S. Senate in2010.[4] Kentucky state law requires that gubernatorial candidates file to run with running mates, otherwise they cannot legally raise money. Beshear wanted to fundraise and this would have required Mongiardo also saying that he was running in 2011, which he couldn't do.[5] Beshear and Abramson did not face any opposition for the Democratic nomination.

Among Republicans, Kentucky State Senate PresidentDavid Williams fromBurkesville announced his official candidacy along with running mateRichie Farmer, the term-limited State Agriculture Commissioner and formerKentucky Wildcats basketball player.[6] Louisville businessman Phil Moffett also announced his ticket with State Representative Mike Harmon fromDanville as his running mate.[7] Moffett was seen as the Tea Party favorite.[8] However, Williams also advocated for similar positions as Moffett, such as the repeal of theSeventeenth Amendment to theUnited States Constitution[9] and promoting tax reforms similar to what Moffett proposed.

AttorneyGatewood Galbraith of Lexington filed to run his fourth gubernatorial campaign as an independent on July 4, 2009, choosing marketing consultant Dea Riley as his running mate.

Democratic primary

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Candidates

[edit]

Declared

[edit]

Results

[edit]
Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticSteve Beshear (incumbent)446,048100.00%
Total votes446,048100.00%

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Declared

[edit]
  • Bobbie Holsclaw, Jefferson County Clerk, 1998–2010, 2014–present[10]
    • Running mate: Bill Vermillion, retired U.S. Navy master chief
  • Phil Moffett, Louisville businessman[11][12] and Tea Party activist[8]
    • Running mate:Mike Harmon, state representative, 2003–2016
  • David L. Williams, state senate president, 2000–2012; state senator 1987–2012; and nominee for U.S. Senate in1992[13]
    • Running mate:Richie Farmer, Kentucky Agriculture Commissioner, 2004–2012

Polling

[edit]
Poll SourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Bobbie
Holsclaw
Phil
Moffett
David
Williams
Undecided
Survey USA[14]May 4–10, 2011500± 4.5%12%21%47%21%
Survey USA[15]April 8–13, 2011507± 4.4%12%14%49%25%

Results

[edit]
Results by county:
  Williams
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  Moffett
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  Holsclaw
  •   30–40%
  Tie
  •   40–50%
Republican primary results[16]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanDavid Williams68,52848.0%
RepublicanPhil Moffett53,96638.0%
RepublicanBobbie Holsclaw19,61414.0%
Total votes142,108100.0%

Independents

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Declared

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  • Gatewood Galbraith, attorney, industrial hemp advocate and perennial candidate[17]
    • Running mate: Dea Riley, political consultant

General election

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Predictions

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SourceRankingAs of
Rothenberg Political Report[18]Lean DNovember 4, 2011
Governing[19]Lean DNovember 4, 2011
Cook[20]Lean DNovember 4, 2011
Sabato[21]Likely DNovember 4, 2011

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Steve
Beshear (D)
David
Williams (R)
Gatewood
Galbraith (I)
Undecided
Survey USA[22]October 28 – November 1, 2011576± 4.2%54%29%9%8%
Braun Research[23]October 17–19, 2011802± 3.5%54%26%8%12%
Survey USA[24]September 22–27, 2011569± 4.2%57%26%8%9%
Braun Research[25]August 29–31, 2011803± 3.5%54%25%7%14%
Public Policy Polling[26]August 25–28, 2011600± 4.0%55%28%10%8%
Survey USA[27]July 22–27, 2011512± 4.4%52%28%9%11%
Braun Research[28]June 6–8, 2011802± 3.5%51%30%6%14%
Survey USA[15]April 8–13, 20111,589± 2.5%51%39%10%
Braun Research[29]February 28 – March 1, 2011804± 3.5%48%38%14%
Public Policy Polling[30]October 28–30, 20101,021± 3.1%44%35%21%
Mason-Dixon[31]October 18–19, 2010625± 4.0%45%30%5%20%
Public Policy Polling[32]September 11–12, 2010959± 3.2%44%39%17%
Braun Research[33]August 30 – September 1, 2010802± 3.5%44%38%18%
Braun Research[34]July 19–21, 2010803± 3.4%48%30%20%
Hypothetical polling

With Moffett

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Steve
Beshear (D)
Phil
Moffett (R)
Gatewood
Galbraith (I)
Other/
Undecided
Survey USA[15]April 8–13, 20111,589± 2.5%54%34%13%
Braun Research[29]February 28-March 1, 2011804± 3.5%53%28%19%
Public Policy Polling[30]October 28–30, 20101,021± 3.1%45%26%29%
Mason-Dixon[35]October 18–19, 2010625± 4.0%43%24%6%26%
Public Policy Polling[32]September 11–12, 2010959± 3.2%46%28%26%
Braun Research[33]September 1, 201049%29%22%

With Holsclaw

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Steve
Beshear (D)
Bobbie
Holsclaw (R)
Gatewood
Galbraith (I)
Other/
Undecided
Survey USA[15]April 8–13, 20111,589± 2.5%53%34%13%
Braun Research[29]February 28 – March 1, 2011804± 3.5%53%27%21%

Results

[edit]
[36]
Kentucky gubernatorial election, 2011
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
DemocraticSteve Beshear (incumbent)464,24555.72%−2.99%
RepublicanDavid L. Williams294,03435.29%−6.00%
IndependentGatewood Galbraith74,8608.99%+8.99%
Total votes833,139100.00%N/A
Democratichold

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

[edit]

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

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By congressional district

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Beshear won all six congressional districts, including four that were represented by Republicans.[37]

DistrictBeshearWilliamsGalbraithRepresentative
1st54%41%5%Ed Whitfield
2nd57%38%6%Brett Guthrie
3rd67%27%6%John Yarmuth
4th53%40%6%Geoff Davis
5th47%44%8%Hal Rogers
6th56%23%21%Ben Chandler

See also

[edit]

References

[edit]
  1. ^"Voter Turnout Report for the 11/08/11 General Election".Kentucky State Board of Elections.
  2. ^"Election summary". Archived fromthe original on February 11, 2021. RetrievedMay 1, 2021.
  3. ^Gerth, Joseph (July 19, 2009)."Abramson to be Beshear's running mate in 2011".The Courier-Journal. Archived fromthe original on January 2, 2013. RetrievedJuly 20, 2009.
  4. ^Ronnie Ellis (March 27, 2009)."Beshear endorses Mongiardo for Senate". News-tribune.net. Archived fromthe original on February 22, 2013. RetrievedAugust 18, 2012.
  5. ^"Mongiardo considers running for Senate".
  6. ^Alford, Roger (October 28, 2009)."Farmer mulls run for governor". Lexington Herald-Leader. RetrievedOctober 28, 2009.
  7. ^Arnold, Joe (July 29, 2010)."Phil Moffett announces candidacy for governor | WHAS11.com Louisville". Whas11.com. Archived fromthe original on March 5, 2012. RetrievedAugust 18, 2012.
  8. ^abBrammer, Jack (November 15, 2010)."David Williams and Phil Moffett in a battle for the Republican Party's soul".Lexington Herald Leader. RetrievedFebruary 5, 2020.
  9. ^Jack Brammer,Lexington Herald Leader, November 19, 2010"Williams pushes repeal of 17th amendment"
  10. ^Newton, Dave (January 25, 2011)."Stage Set For the Primary Election".Kentuckians For The Commonwealth. RetrievedFebruary 2, 2020.
  11. ^"Louisville businessman Phil Moffett running for governor : Bluegrass Politics". Bluegrasspolitics.bloginky.com. July 29, 2010. RetrievedAugust 18, 2012.
  12. ^"Republican Phil Moffett announces gubernatorial campaign, hopes for Tea Party support".Apex MediaWire. July 29, 2009. Archived fromthe original on March 26, 2012. RetrievedJuly 29, 2009.
  13. ^Brammer, Jack (September 2, 2010)."David Williams and Richie Farmer form slate to seek state's top offices". Lexington Herald-Leader. Archived fromthe original on September 3, 2010. RetrievedSeptember 2, 2010.
  14. ^Survey USA
  15. ^abcdSurvey USA
  16. ^"KY – Election Results". RetrievedAugust 18, 2012.
  17. ^Blackford, Linda B. (October 13, 2011)."Dea Riley brings energy, and baggage, to Gatewood Galbraith's campaign".Lexington Herald Leader. RetrievedFebruary 2, 2020.
  18. ^"Gubernatorial Ratings | Inside Elections".www.insideelections.com.
  19. ^"An Update on the 2011-2012 Gubernatorial Contests".Governing. July 25, 2011. Archived fromthe original on August 1, 2011.
  20. ^"2011/2012 GOVERNORS RACE RATINGS".The Cook Political Report. September 15, 2011. Archived fromthe original on October 7, 2011.
  21. ^"2012 Governor".Sabato's Crystal Ball.
  22. ^Survey USA
  23. ^Braun Research
  24. ^Survey USA
  25. ^Braun Research
  26. ^Public Policy Polling[dead link]
  27. ^Survey USA
  28. ^Braun Research
  29. ^abcBraun Research
  30. ^abPublic Policy Polling
  31. ^Mason-DixonArchived May 18, 2011, at theWayback Machine
  32. ^abPublic Policy Polling
  33. ^abBraun Research[permanent dead link]
  34. ^Braun Research
  35. ^Mason-DixonArchived May 18, 2011, at theWayback Machine
  36. ^"KY – Election Results". RetrievedAugust 18, 2012.
  37. ^https://x.com/kentucky_kiwi/status/1690856927197024258

External links

[edit]

Candidates

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