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2010 United States Senate election in Louisiana

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
2010 Louisiana Senate elections

2010 United States Senate election in Louisiana

← 2004November 2, 20102016 →
 
NomineeDavid VitterCharlie Melançon
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Popular vote715,415476,572
Percentage56.55%37.67%

Parish results

Vitter:     40-50%     50-60%     60–70%     70-80%

Melançon:     40–50%     50–60%     70–80%

U.S. senator before election

David Vitter
Republican

Elected U.S. Senator

David Vitter
Republican

Elections in Louisiana
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The2010 United States Senate election in Louisiana was held on November 2, 2010.Republican incumbentU.S. SenatorDavid Vitter won re-election to a second term, becoming the first Republican ever to be re-elected to the United States Senate fromLouisiana.

Background

[edit]
  • Party primaries: Saturday, August 28, 2010
  • Runoffs (if necessary): Saturday, October 2, 2010
  • General Election: Tuesday, November 2, 2010,

Vitter faced a potentially serious challenge in the Republican primary as well as the general election.Lieutenant GeneralRussel L. Honoré, who is best known for serving as commander ofJoint Task Force Katrina responsible for coordinating military relief efforts forHurricane Katrina-affected areas across theGulf Coast, was allegedly mulling over whether or not to challenge Vitter in the Republican Primary.[1]Tony Perkins, a former Louisiana state representative and current president of the socially conservativeFamily Research Council, acknowledged interest in running against Vitter because of the prostitution scandal.[2][3] Nonetheless, Perkins decided not to run and endorsed Vitter for reelection.[4]

Some speculated that Vitter's reelection might have become complicated, by the prostitution scandal revealed in 2007, but he continued to lead in aggregate polling against potential opponents.[5]

Following a movement to draft him into the race,[6]John Cooksey, a formerU.S. Representative, appeared poised to put together a challenge, planning on spending $200,000 of his own money.[7] Cooksey, however, pulled back and did not qualify.

A campaign to draftporn actressStormy Daniels began in early 2009. She considered whether to run before ultimately declining.[8][9][10]

On June 14, 2009, CongressmanCharlie Melançon announced his intentions to run for Senate in 2010. Melançon, who was representing Louisiana's3rd Congressional District since 2005, released the announcement to his supporters, saying that "Louisiana needs a different approach, more bi-partisan, more disciplined, more honest and with a whole lot more common sense." Melançon was a leader of theBlue Dog Coalition, a group offiscally conservative Democrats who aim to lower the deficit and reform the budget.[11][12]

In the weeks before the election a major concern for Vitter's camp was possibly voter apathy about the race. For example,publisher Rolfe H. McCollister Jr., in hisGreater Baton Rouge Business Report, endorsed fellow RepublicanJay Dardenne over Democrat Caroline Fayard in the simultaneous race forLieutenant Governor of Louisiana, but then explicitly made "no endorsement" for U.S. Senate:

I have talked with a number of voters who are just not very excited about this race—the candidates or the tone. I'm not either. You're on your own here.[13]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Polling

[edit]
Poll SourceDates administeredCharlie MelançonNeeson ChauvinUndecided
Clarus Research Group[14]August 15–16, 201043%3%52%

Results

[edit]
Results by parish
  Melançon—80–90%
  Melançon—70–80%
  Melançon—60–70%
  Melançon—50–60%
  Melançon—40–50%
Democratic Primary results[15]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticCharlie Melançon77,70270.61%
DemocraticNeeson Chauvin19,50717.73%
DemocraticCary Deaton12,84211.67%
Total votes110,051100%

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Polling

[edit]
Poll SourceDates administeredDavid Vitter (R)Chet Traylor (R)Undecided
Clarus Research Group[14]August 15–16, 201074%5%18%
Public Policy Polling[16]August 21–22, 201081%5%9%

Results

[edit]
Results by parish
  Vitter—>90%
  Vitter—80–90%
  Vitter—70–80%
  Vitter—60–70%
Republican Primary results[15]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanDavid Vitter (Incumbent)85,17987.6%
RepublicanChet Traylor6,8387.03%
RepublicanNick Accardo5,2215.37%
Total votes97,238100%

Libertarian primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
  • Anthony Gentile[17]
  • Randall Todd Hayes[18]

Results

[edit]
Libertarian Primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
LibertarianRandall Todd Hayes1,52961.68%
LibertarianAnthony "Tony G" Gentile95038.32%
Total votes2,479100%

General election

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Major

[edit]

Minor

[edit]
  • Michael Karlton Brown (I)
  • Skip Galan (I)
  • Milton Gordon (I)
  • Randall Todd Hayes (L)
  • Tommy LaFargue (I)
  • Bob Lang (I)
  • William McShan (Reform)
  • Sam Houston Melton Jr. (I)
  • Mike Spears (I)
  • Ernest Wooton (I)

Campaign

[edit]

Melançon heavily criticized Vitter forprostitution sex scandal.[19][20] Vitter released television advertising criticizing Melançon for his support for Obama's stimulus package and his support foramnesty forillegal immigrants.[21]

Debates

[edit]

Melançon claimed "In August, Melançon challenged Vitter to a series of five live, televised town hall-style debates across the state. In his 2004 campaign for Senate, Vitter committed to five live, televised debates. Since Melançon issued the challenge, Vitter and Melançon have been invited to a total of seven live, televised debates. Vitter only accepted invitations to debates hosted by WWL-TV and WDSU-TV, both in New Orleans."[22]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
Cook Political Report[26]Lean ROctober 26, 2010
Rothenberg[27]Likely ROctober 22, 2010
RealClearPolitics[28]Likely ROctober 26, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[29]Likely ROctober 21, 2010
CQ Politics[30]Likely ROctober 26, 2010

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
David
Vitter (R)
Charlie
Melançon (D)
Research 2000[31]March 2–4, 200948%41%
Public Policy Polling[32]July 17–19, 200944%32%
Rasmussen Reports[33]October 5, 200946%36%
Rasmussen Reports[34]January 14, 201053%35%
YouGovPolimetrix[35]January 6–11, 201052%32%
Rasmussen Reports[36]February 10, 201057%33%
Rasmussen Reports[37]March 10, 201057%34%
Rasmussen Reports[34]April 7, 201052%36%
Magellan Strategies[38]June 10–13, 201051%31%
Public Policy Polling[39]June 12–13, 201046%37%
Rasmussen Reports[40]June 24, 201053%35%
Clarus Research Group[14]August 15–16, 201048%36%
Public Policy Polling[41]August 21–22, 201051%41%
Rasmussen Reports[42]August 30, 201054%33%
Magellan Strategies[43]September 19, 201052%34%
Magellan Strategies[43]October 10, 201051%35%
Anazalone[44]October 22, 201046%43%
Clarus Research Group[45]October 21–24, 201050%38%
Magellan Strategies[46]October 24, 201052%35%

Fundraising

[edit]
Candidate (Party)ReceiptsDisbursementsCash On HandDebt
David Vitter (R)$8,384,938$6,833,900$3,555,994$0
Charles Melançon (D)$3,711,556$4,043,362$445,853$0
Source: Federal Election Commission[47]

Results

[edit]
United States Senate election in Louisiana, 2010[48][49]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
RepublicanDavid Vitter (incumbent)715,41556.56%+5.53%
DemocraticCharlie Melançon476,57237.67%+8.44%
LibertarianRandall Hayes13,9571.1%N/A
IndependentMichael Brown9,9730.79%N/A
IndependentMike Spears9,1900.73%N/A
IndependentErnest Wooton8,1670.65%N/A
IndependentSkip Galan7,4740.59%N/A
ReformWilliam McShan5,8790.46%N/A
IndependentBob Lang5,7340.45%N/A
IndependentMilton Gordon4,8100.38%N/A
IndependentTommy LaFargue4,0430.32%N/A
IndependentSam Melton3,7800.3%N/A
Total votes1,264,994100%
Republicanhold

References

[edit]
  1. ^General Russell Honore To Run Vs David Vitter In Louisiana US Race?Archived September 1, 2009, at theWayback Machine
  2. ^"Perkins, Toomey for Senate?". Politico.com. April 7, 2008. RetrievedDecember 16, 2008.
  3. ^Libit, Daniel (February 25, 2009)."Perkins, porn star eye Vitter's seat".Politico.
  4. ^Kraushaar, Josh (March 13, 2009)."Perkins not challenging Vitter".The Scorecard.Politico.
  5. ^Murray, Shailagh (July 10, 2007)."Senator's Number on 'Madam' Phone List".Washington Post. RetrievedMay 27, 2010.
  6. ^"Draft Cooksey Campaign To Replace Louisiana David Vitter".BayouBuzz.com. February 27, 2009. Archived fromthe original on March 1, 2009. RetrievedFebruary 27, 2009.
  7. ^Blake, Aaron (February 27, 2009)."Louisiana heats up with potential Vitter challenger".The Hill.com. Archived fromthe original on March 2, 2009. RetrievedFebruary 27, 2009.
  8. ^Church, Glenn (January 26, 2009)."Porn Star To Run Against Vitter In Louisiana Senate Race?". Foolocracy. RetrievedJune 14, 2010.
  9. ^ryan."And the nominee is ... Stormy Daniels!publisher=Daily Kingfish". Archived fromthe original on July 8, 2011. RetrievedJune 14, 2010.
  10. ^"Porn Actress Considers Run For La. Senate Seat - New Orleans News Story - WDSU New Orleans". Wdsu.com. February 9, 2009. Archived fromthe original on September 27, 2011. RetrievedMay 5, 2015.
  11. ^ab"Melancon running against Vitter - The Scorecard". Politico.Com. RetrievedJune 14, 2010.
  12. ^"Blue Dogs - 15 Years of Leadership". House.gov. Archived fromthe original on June 15, 2010. RetrievedJune 14, 2010.
  13. ^McCollister, Rolfe (October 19, 2010)."Making choices on Nov. 2".Greater Baton Rouge Business Report. p. 6. Archived fromthe original on October 27, 2010. RetrievedOctober 26, 2010.
  14. ^abcClarus Research Group
  15. ^ab"Louisiana Senate Primary Results".Politico. August 28, 2010. RetrievedAugust 29, 2010.
  16. ^Public Policy Polling
  17. ^"GentileForSenator.com". GentileForSenator.com. Archived fromthe original on June 19, 2010. RetrievedJune 14, 2010.
  18. ^"Randall Todd Hayes US Senate". anti-politician.com. RetrievedJune 14, 2010.
  19. ^Melancon's First TV Ad: 'David Vitter Hasn't Been Honest With Louisiana' (VIDEO) | TPMDC
  20. ^Melancon Turns Vitter Prostitutution Reenactment Video Into Two-Minute TV Ad (VIDEO) | TPMDC
  21. ^David Vitter slams Charlie Melancon in new Senate TV ad | NOLA.com
  22. ^"Louisiana Politics: Vitter Agrees to Second Televised Debate in New Orleans". Archived fromthe original on March 13, 2012. RetrievedNovember 1, 2010.
  23. ^"Vitter, Melancon meet for first debate | wwltv.com | WWL Home Page". Archived fromthe original on September 14, 2010. RetrievedNovember 1, 2010.
  24. ^David Vitter, Charlie Melancon will debate tonight | NOLA.com
  25. ^"Senate candidates face off for final time on WWL-TV in heated debate | New Orleans News, Local News, Breaking News, Weather | wwltv.com | Political News". Archived fromthe original on June 22, 2011. RetrievedNovember 1, 2010.
  26. ^"Senate".Cook Political Report. RetrievedOctober 26, 2010.
  27. ^"Senate Ratings".Rothenberg Political Report. RetrievedOctober 26, 2010.
  28. ^"Battle for the Senate".RealClearPolitics. RetrievedOctober 26, 2010.
  29. ^"2010 Senate Ratings".Sabato's Crystal Ball. Archived fromthe original on October 28, 2010. RetrievedOctober 26, 2010.
  30. ^"Race Ratings Chart: Senate".CQ Politics. Archived fromthe original on October 28, 2010. RetrievedOctober 26, 2010.
  31. ^Research 2000
  32. ^Public Policy Polling
  33. ^Rasmussen Reports
  34. ^abRasmussen Reports
  35. ^YouGovPolimetrix
  36. ^Rasmussen Reports
  37. ^Rasmussen Reports
  38. ^Magellan StrategiesArchived July 2, 2010, at theWayback Machine
  39. ^Public Policy Polling
  40. ^Rasmussen Reports
  41. ^Public Policy Polling
  42. ^Rasmussen Reports
  43. ^abMagellan Strategies
  44. ^AnazaloneArchived November 16, 2010, at theWayback Machine
  45. ^Clarus Research Group
  46. ^Magellan StrategiesArchived November 16, 2010, at theWayback Machine
  47. ^"2010 House and Senate Campaign Finance for Louisiana". fec.gov. RetrievedAugust 22, 2010.[permanent dead link]
  48. ^"Louisiana - Election Results 2010 - New York Times".New York Times. November 2, 2010. RetrievedNovember 7, 2010.
  49. ^"2010 Election Official Results".Louisiana Secretary of State.

External links

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